Mobility & Post-Mobility
ontario library information technology association
june 2010
now
4,100,000,000
PHOTO BY WALDOPEPPER - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/7NOFFB
CELL PENETRATION
PHOTO BY BERN@T - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/4FG8AJ
CELL SIGNAL
PHOTO BY BJÖRN SÖDERQVIST - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/6EN5ZK
2,400,000,000
PHOTO BY DONNAGRAYSON - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/BEWCD
trends
SERIOUS AGE DISCREPENCY
WHAT IS THAT “OTHER” GROUP USING?
SMARTPHONES WILL DOMINATE
IT’S JUST A MATTER OF TIME
MODERN SMARTPHONES?
ALREADY RIDICULOUSLY OUT OF DATE
MODERN SMARTPHONES?
IN JUST ONE YEAR...
IPHONE
MEDIA DARLING
Microsoft = $220 Billion
Microsoft = $220 Billion
 Walmart = $188 Billion
Apple = $226 Billion
Microsoft = $220 Billion
 Walmart = $188 Billion
Apple = $226 Billion
Microsoft = $220 Billion
 Walmart = $188 Billion
 Google = $154 Billion
Apple = $226 Billion
Microsoft = $220 Billion
 Walmart = $188 Billion
 Google = $154 Billion
   HP = $108 Billion
Apple = $226 Billion
Microsoft = $220 Billion
 Walmart = $188 Billion
 Google = $154 Billion
   HP = $108 Billion
   Dell ...
Apple = $226 Billion
Microsoft = $220 Billion
Apple = $226 Billion
Microsoft = $220 Billion
Apple = $226 Billion
Rogers = $20.88 Billion
APPLE IS NOW WORTH MORE THAN
NOKIA, RIM, SONY, MOTOROLA,
DELL, AND ADOBE
APPLE IS NOW WORTH MORE THAN
NOKIA, RIM, SONY, MOTOROLA,
DELL, AND ADOBE

-- COMBINED
APPLE ALSO, IN THE FIRST
QUARTER OF 2010, PASSED
MOTOROLA AS THE LARGEST US
MOBILE MANUFACTURER
however
RISE OF THE ANDROID
POOR, POOR PALM
APPLE?
NOT REALLY
MOBILE CANADA
PHOTO BY ARLO BATES - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/7XBSBA
991,074
PHOTO BY BENLUCIER - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/4JT1U4
1,014,508
PHOTO BY MARCOPAKO  - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/5KBAP7
6,275
PHOTO BY ANIRUDH KOUL - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/53WLEB
85,022
PHOTO BY GREGALICIOUS - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/7CG6X9
67% PENETRATION
PHOTO BY WOODY1778A - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/4QUWDH
hardware
KINDLE
EREADERS BECOME A COMMODITY IN 2010
CANADA’S OWN
DRIVING PRICES DOWN
COMMODITY ITEM
WHAT HAPPENS WHEN THESE ARE CHEAPER THAN PRINT?
AUTONET
THE BEGINNING OF THE CONNECTED CAR
HAVE YOU DRIVEN A FORD LATELY?
TOTAL CONNECTIVITY
MIFI
FREAKING INCREDIBLE TECHNOLOGY
WINDOWS PHONE 7 SERIES
CAN MICROSOFT MATTER IN MOBILE?
DELL MAKING A PLAY
THUNDER, LIGHTNING, FLASH, STREAK
TABLETS
PHOTO BY VINTAGEDEPT - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/86LP5E
DELL LOOKING GLASS
STREAK’S BIG BROTHER
NOTIONINK ADAM
REFLECTIVE AND TRANSMISSIVE SCREEN ENOUGH?
VERIZON + GOOGLE = ????
BEST NETWORK + COMPLETE INTEGRATION = ????
800 POUND GORILLA
DEFINED THE CATEGORY
IPHONE 4
DOES IT CHANGE THE GAME?
the future!
“IT JUST ISN’T EVENLY DISTRIBUTED” - GIBSON
PHOTO BY DOMINICCAMPBELL - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/6K3D4A
COST TO MANUFACTURE
MOORE’S LAW IN EFFECT
LESS THAN 10%
AND STILL FALLING
LESS THAN 10%
AND STILL FALLING
4G = WiMax & LTE
HTC Evo
First 4G Phone
FLIP SCANNING
 Masatoshi Ishikawa
FLIP SCANNING
 Masatoshi Ishikawa
TRANSLATE THE REAL WORLD
GOOGLE GOGGLES TRANSLATE
3D ICONS
WITH DIFFERENT FUNCTIONAL SIDES
3D THAT REACTS TO AMBIENT LIGHT
AND PRESUMABLY TO OTHER REAL-WORLD STIMULI
SQUARE UP
UNMEDIATED PAYMENTS
POINT OF SALE?
OR MOST AWESOME CIRCULATION TOOL EVER?
ENHANCED VISION SYSTEM
K.I.T.T. COMES TO LIFE
issues
WHAT DOES THE ROAD LOOK LIKE?
AND IS IT WORTH IT?
conclusion
ROGER’S ADOPTION/INNOVATION CURVE
WHERE ARE YOU? WHERE ARE YOUR PATRONS?
IF I’D ASKED THEM WHAT THEY WANTED...
...THEY’D HAVE SAID A FASTER HORSE. - HENRY FORD
the past of the future
MOBILITY
WATCH YOUR TELEVISION ANYWHERE
MOBILE PHONE?
SORT OF
NOTHING NEW UNDER THE SUN
ALL THIS HAS BEEN DONE BEFORE
MODERN MARVEL OF THE 1980’S
TOSHIBA PORTABLE CD PLAYER
CAR PHONE
LOOK MA, NO SEATBELT!
I’M ON A BOAT
NO, SERIOUSLY, I’M ON A BOAT
SERIOUSLY?
I MEAN...SERIOUSLY?
Thank you.
The Tech Set
Mobile Technology &
Libraries
Library Tech
Report
Gadgets & Gizmos: Personal
Electronics and the Library
WWW.DELICIOUS.COM/GRIFFEY/OLITA
Jason Griffey
                                         Email: griffey@gmail.com
                                         S...
OLITA: Mobility & Post-mobility
OLITA: Mobility & Post-mobility
OLITA: Mobility & Post-mobility
OLITA: Mobility & Post-mobility
OLITA: Mobility & Post-mobility
OLITA: Mobility & Post-mobility
OLITA: Mobility & Post-mobility
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OLITA: Mobility & Post-mobility

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My presentation on Mobility and Postmobility for the Ontario Library Information Technology Association's 2010 Digital Odyssey.

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  • Very roughly, I’m going to talk about Now, Trends, Hardware, and The Future!

  • There are, at the time of this writing, at least 4.1 billion mobile phone subscriptions in the world according to International Telecommunications Union (ITU), an agency of the UN. In december of 2009, the population of the earth is estimated to be 6.8 billion...so 60 percent of the globe owns a cell phone.
  • In over 50 countries, cell phone penetration (the number of cell phones per person) is above 100%.

    Hong Kong 10,550,000 7,008,900[29] 150.5 2009
    United States 271,000,000 306,694,000 [6] 88.04 Dec. 2008
    China 703,000,000 1,324,190,000 52.5 Jun 2009
    United Kingdom 75,750,000 61,612,300 122.95 Dec. 2008
    Spain 50,890,000 45,828,172 111.05 Dec. 2008
    Italy 88,580,000 60,090,400 147.41 Dec.2008
    Germany 107,000,000 82,210,000 130.15 2009

    The report is not due for official presentation until November and is understood to show that Italy has a penetration of 109.42 mobile phones per 100 inhabitants, with up to 62.7m mobile users in absolute terms.

    The penetration rate comes second only to Hong Kong, with a 114.5% recorded penetration rate. According to the ITU, a number of countries have challenged Italy's position, with claims that the Italian data is exaggerated by the fact that multiple SIMs are used on a single mobile phone.
  • By 2010, 90% of the world’s population will have access to a cell phone signal.
  • Short Message Service, or SMS, is a type of chat specific to the cell network. These messages are normally limited in character length (160 characters, including spaces) and are sent from phone to phone. It is the most used data service in the world, with over 2.4 billion active users, almost 75% of mobile phone users. Contrast this with an estimated 1.2 billion people using email, and it helps put the number in perspective. SMS is twice as popular as email throughout the world, and with the adoption rate of mobile phones in developing countries at a blistering pace (in some countries, the adoption rate of mobile phones is doubling yearly, and double-digit growth is common), it is likely to continue to be the primary method of communication for the world.



  • Smartphones are the largest growth market for mobile devices. But they aren’t the only model for constant connectivity. Gartner also noted that sales of smart phones, cell phones that pack more advanced features, will represent about one-fifth of all mobile handset sales by 2008.
  • Smartphones are the largest growth market for mobile devices. But they aren’t the only model for constant connectivity. Gartner also noted that sales of smart phones, cell phones that pack more advanced features, will represent about one-fifth of all mobile handset sales by 2008.

    http://www.tipb.com/2010/06/07/iphone-4-android-tech-specs/
  • Apple owns this space in the popular consciousness and the media.
  • Numbers as of may 10th: MS = 253.6 billion, Walmart = 197.6 billion, Apple = 231.1 billion.
  • As of 6/9/2010
  • As of 6/9/2010
  • As of 6/9/2010
  • As of 6/9/2010
  • As of 6/9/2010
  • As of 6/9/2010
  • As of 6/9/2010
  • As of 6/9/2010
  • As of 6/9/2010
  • As of 6/9/2010
  • As of 6/9/2010
  • As of 6/9/2010


  • However, it has lost its position as the largest U.S. maker of phones to Apple Inc. ( AAPL - news - people )Motorola ( MOT - news - people ) sold a total of 8.5 million phones in the quarter, while Apple sold 8.8 million iPhones. Four years ago, when the Razr was still popular, Motorola sold 46.1 million phones in the first quarter.






  • launched May 28th, but even in April admob reported 6,275 iPads being used in canada
  • Android devices reported by admob in April 2010
  • 22,971,586 cellular subscriptions in Canada, out of a population of 34 million

    67% of the population of Canada has a cellular contract
    285.6 million subscribers in total, or a 91.0% penetration rate in the US
    The country has 84.9 million subscribers in total, or a 77% penetration rate in Mexico.
  • New stuff - coming this year
  • The kindle, which comes with built in connnectivity that is subsidized by the cost of the books from Amazon. But the data is free.
  • kobo retailing for $150, really pushing the prices down across the board. JUST bluetooth connectivity, though...no wifi, no cell.

  • Autonet Mobile sells its $499 routers through Chrysler and Cadillac dealers as manufacturer-endorsed, dealer-installed options for those cars, branded as Uconnect Web and Cadillac Wi-Fi, respectively.
  • Not only GPS, traffic, streaming audio, etc...but actively supports 802.11 mobile hotspots.
  • Verizon mifi - connects to verizon, projects wifi. Allows about 5 people to share, costs about $100, data plans from $39 to $59 dollars a month. Use ipod touch like an iphone.

  • Big one is Thunder, then Flash, then Lightning, then Streak
    Dell Thunder - 4.1 inch OLED screen
    Dell Flash - Android Froyo
    Dell Lightning - Windows 7

  • Steve Jobs, in a recent interview, used the automotive analogy of Trucks. When the automobile first started, everything was a truck...they were used to Do Work. But now we have choices...some work, some play.
  • Looking Glass = 7 inch diagonal



  • Highlights: iMovie, HD Video capture, INCREDIBLE screen (326 ppi), etc.



  • 6.5% of the cost over 20 years. And Moore’s law tells us that cost doesn’t equal reduced capability...indeed, it means an increase in capabilities over the cost of the reduction in price. There is no other good that I can think of that gets cheaper AND better at the same time.
  • 6.5% of the cost over 20 years. And Moore’s law tells us that cost doesn’t equal reduced capability...indeed, it means an increase in capabilities over the cost of the reduction in price. There is no other good that I can think of that gets cheaper AND better at the same time.
  • 6.5% of the cost over 20 years. And Moore’s law tells us that cost doesn’t equal reduced capability...indeed, it means an increase in capabilities over the cost of the reduction in price. There is no other good that I can think of that gets cheaper AND better at the same time.
  • 6.5% of the cost over 20 years. And Moore’s law tells us that cost doesn’t equal reduced capability...indeed, it means an increase in capabilities over the cost of the reduction in price. There is no other good that I can think of that gets cheaper AND better at the same time.
  • 2 Mbit/s and maximum of 14.4 Mbit/s in current 3G. LTE will bring 100Mbit/s down & 50 Mbit/s up at least, with speeds of 326.4 Mbit/s down possible. # Rogers Wireless has stated that they intend on initially launching their LTE network in Vancouver by February 2010, just in time for the Winter Olympics. [22]# AT&T Mobility has stated that they intend on upgrading to LTE as their 4G technology in 2011, but will introduce HSUPA and HSPA+ as bridge standards. [23]
  • Sprint has the largest 4G rollout, showing up in 2010 inNew York  City
    Boston
    Denver
    Houston
    Kansas City
    Minneapolis
    San Francisco
    Washington D.C.
    Cincinnati
    Cleveland
    Los Angeles
    Miami
    Pittsburgh
    Salt  Lake City

  • The system, developed by lab members Takashi Nakashima and Yoshihiro Watanabe, lets you scan a book by rapidly flipping its pages in front of a high-speed camera. They call this method book flipping scanning. They told me they can digitize a 200-page book in one minute, and hope to make that even faster.
    The camera operates at 500 frames per second, with a resolution of 1280 by 1024 pixels. For each frame, the system alternates between two capture modes. First it shines regular light on the page and captures text and images. Then a laser device projects lines on the page and the camera captures that as well.

  • Understand English, French, Italian, German and Spanish, can translate into many more. Working on non-roman alphabets.



  • LINEA-PRO Portable Integrated Barcode Scanner and Magstripe Reader Compatible with iPod touch
    SEE LINEA-PRO IN ACTION TODAY

  • This is a whole new type of information delivery. It’s been imagined for quite some time, but is only now coming to life. Layar, Enkin, Yelp.

  • The research and development labs of General Motors have been working closely with several universities, including Carnegie Mellon University and the University of Southern California, to build an augmented reality system that could assist motorists in difficult driving situations.

  • DRM and the failure of the law to keep up with digital realities is the biggest holdup for innovation and experimentation. Copyright policies that attempt to punish innovative uses of media while desperately clinging to the 19th century ideals of the protection of ideas fail in the light of the digital revolution. Services that provide content (netlibrary, etc) are locking that content down to the point where you can’t DO anything with it.


  • Right now, I think it’s really important for us to be on the cutting edge of these things...this world moves faster than our patrons understand.







  • There have been several watershed moments in information sharing over the last millennium or so; Gutenberg and the printing press, the invention of mass media with the radio and television, the Internet. The cellular revolution in some ways is a natural outgrowth of the media before it. Indeed, it subsumes all of them, providing books, audio, and video as a part of its current incarnation. But the future of the mobile device is so much more than just as a platform for the media of the past. It is that, but it is also the mechanism of creation for entirely new types of information.
     
    The Honeywell Kitchen Computer or H316 pedestal model of 1969 was a short-lived product made by Honeywell and offered by Neiman Marcus. It sold for $10,000, weighs over 100 pounds, and is used for storing recipes (but reading or entering these recipes would have been very difficult for the average cook as the only "user interface" was the binary front panel lights and switches). It had a built in cutting board and had a few recipes built in. There is no evidence that any Honeywell Kitchen Computers were ever sold. [3]
    The full text of the Neiman-Marcus Advertisement seems to read:
    "If she can only cook as well as Honeywell can compute."
    "Her souffles are supreme, her meal planning a challenge? She's what the Honeywell people had in mind when they devised our Kitchen Computer. She'll learn to program it with a cross-reference to her favorite recipes by N-M's own Helen Corbitt. Then by simply pushing a few buttons obtain a complete menu organized around the entree. And if she pales at reckoning her lunch tabs, she can program it to balance the family checkbook. 84A 10,600.00 complete with two week programming course. 84B Fed with Corbitt data: the original Helen Corbitt cookbook with over 1,000 recipes $100 (.75) 84C Her Potluck, 375 of our famed Zodiac restaurant's best kept secret recipes 3.95 (.75) Corbitt Epicure 84D Her Labaird Apron, one-size, ours alone by Clairdon House, multi-pastel provencial cotton 26.00 (.90) Trophy Room"
     
    It would cost 58,000 in today's dollars.
     



  • http://bit.ly/mobile_evalhttp://bit.ly/mobile_eval
  • http://bit.ly/mobile_evalhttp://bit.ly/mobile_eval
  • http://bit.ly/mobile_evalhttp://bit.ly/mobile_eval
  • OLITA: Mobility & Post-mobility

    1. 1. Mobility & Post-Mobility ontario library information technology association june 2010
    2. 2. now
    3. 3. 4,100,000,000 PHOTO BY WALDOPEPPER - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/7NOFFB
    4. 4. CELL PENETRATION PHOTO BY BERN@T - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/4FG8AJ
    5. 5. CELL SIGNAL PHOTO BY BJÖRN SÖDERQVIST - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/6EN5ZK
    6. 6. 2,400,000,000 PHOTO BY DONNAGRAYSON - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/BEWCD
    7. 7. trends
    8. 8. SERIOUS AGE DISCREPENCY WHAT IS THAT “OTHER” GROUP USING?
    9. 9. SMARTPHONES WILL DOMINATE IT’S JUST A MATTER OF TIME
    10. 10. MODERN SMARTPHONES? ALREADY RIDICULOUSLY OUT OF DATE
    11. 11. MODERN SMARTPHONES? IN JUST ONE YEAR...
    12. 12. IPHONE MEDIA DARLING
    13. 13. Microsoft = $220 Billion
    14. 14. Microsoft = $220 Billion Walmart = $188 Billion
    15. 15. Apple = $226 Billion Microsoft = $220 Billion Walmart = $188 Billion
    16. 16. Apple = $226 Billion Microsoft = $220 Billion Walmart = $188 Billion Google = $154 Billion
    17. 17. Apple = $226 Billion Microsoft = $220 Billion Walmart = $188 Billion Google = $154 Billion HP = $108 Billion
    18. 18. Apple = $226 Billion Microsoft = $220 Billion Walmart = $188 Billion Google = $154 Billion HP = $108 Billion Dell = $25 Billion
    19. 19. Apple = $226 Billion Microsoft = $220 Billion
    20. 20. Apple = $226 Billion Microsoft = $220 Billion
    21. 21. Apple = $226 Billion Rogers = $20.88 Billion
    22. 22. APPLE IS NOW WORTH MORE THAN NOKIA, RIM, SONY, MOTOROLA, DELL, AND ADOBE
    23. 23. APPLE IS NOW WORTH MORE THAN NOKIA, RIM, SONY, MOTOROLA, DELL, AND ADOBE -- COMBINED
    24. 24. APPLE ALSO, IN THE FIRST QUARTER OF 2010, PASSED MOTOROLA AS THE LARGEST US MOBILE MANUFACTURER
    25. 25. however
    26. 26. RISE OF THE ANDROID POOR, POOR PALM
    27. 27. APPLE? NOT REALLY
    28. 28. MOBILE CANADA PHOTO BY ARLO BATES - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/7XBSBA
    29. 29. 991,074 PHOTO BY BENLUCIER - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/4JT1U4
    30. 30. 1,014,508 PHOTO BY MARCOPAKO  - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/5KBAP7
    31. 31. 6,275 PHOTO BY ANIRUDH KOUL - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/53WLEB
    32. 32. 85,022 PHOTO BY GREGALICIOUS - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/7CG6X9
    33. 33. 67% PENETRATION PHOTO BY WOODY1778A - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/4QUWDH
    34. 34. hardware
    35. 35. KINDLE EREADERS BECOME A COMMODITY IN 2010
    36. 36. CANADA’S OWN DRIVING PRICES DOWN
    37. 37. COMMODITY ITEM WHAT HAPPENS WHEN THESE ARE CHEAPER THAN PRINT?
    38. 38. AUTONET THE BEGINNING OF THE CONNECTED CAR
    39. 39. HAVE YOU DRIVEN A FORD LATELY? TOTAL CONNECTIVITY
    40. 40. MIFI FREAKING INCREDIBLE TECHNOLOGY
    41. 41. WINDOWS PHONE 7 SERIES CAN MICROSOFT MATTER IN MOBILE?
    42. 42. DELL MAKING A PLAY THUNDER, LIGHTNING, FLASH, STREAK
    43. 43. TABLETS PHOTO BY VINTAGEDEPT - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/86LP5E
    44. 44. DELL LOOKING GLASS STREAK’S BIG BROTHER
    45. 45. NOTIONINK ADAM REFLECTIVE AND TRANSMISSIVE SCREEN ENOUGH?
    46. 46. VERIZON + GOOGLE = ???? BEST NETWORK + COMPLETE INTEGRATION = ????
    47. 47. 800 POUND GORILLA DEFINED THE CATEGORY
    48. 48. IPHONE 4 DOES IT CHANGE THE GAME?
    49. 49. the future!
    50. 50. “IT JUST ISN’T EVENLY DISTRIBUTED” - GIBSON PHOTO BY DOMINICCAMPBELL - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/6K3D4A
    51. 51. COST TO MANUFACTURE MOORE’S LAW IN EFFECT
    52. 52. LESS THAN 10% AND STILL FALLING
    53. 53. LESS THAN 10% AND STILL FALLING
    54. 54. 4G = WiMax & LTE
    55. 55. HTC Evo First 4G Phone
    56. 56. FLIP SCANNING Masatoshi Ishikawa
    57. 57. FLIP SCANNING Masatoshi Ishikawa
    58. 58. TRANSLATE THE REAL WORLD GOOGLE GOGGLES TRANSLATE
    59. 59. 3D ICONS WITH DIFFERENT FUNCTIONAL SIDES
    60. 60. 3D THAT REACTS TO AMBIENT LIGHT AND PRESUMABLY TO OTHER REAL-WORLD STIMULI
    61. 61. SQUARE UP UNMEDIATED PAYMENTS
    62. 62. POINT OF SALE? OR MOST AWESOME CIRCULATION TOOL EVER?
    63. 63. ENHANCED VISION SYSTEM K.I.T.T. COMES TO LIFE
    64. 64. issues
    65. 65. WHAT DOES THE ROAD LOOK LIKE? AND IS IT WORTH IT?
    66. 66. conclusion
    67. 67. ROGER’S ADOPTION/INNOVATION CURVE WHERE ARE YOU? WHERE ARE YOUR PATRONS?
    68. 68. IF I’D ASKED THEM WHAT THEY WANTED... ...THEY’D HAVE SAID A FASTER HORSE. - HENRY FORD
    69. 69. the past of the future
    70. 70. MOBILITY WATCH YOUR TELEVISION ANYWHERE
    71. 71. MOBILE PHONE? SORT OF
    72. 72. NOTHING NEW UNDER THE SUN ALL THIS HAS BEEN DONE BEFORE
    73. 73. MODERN MARVEL OF THE 1980’S TOSHIBA PORTABLE CD PLAYER
    74. 74. CAR PHONE LOOK MA, NO SEATBELT!
    75. 75. I’M ON A BOAT NO, SERIOUSLY, I’M ON A BOAT
    76. 76. SERIOUSLY? I MEAN...SERIOUSLY?
    77. 77. Thank you.
    78. 78. The Tech Set Mobile Technology & Libraries
    79. 79. Library Tech Report Gadgets & Gizmos: Personal Electronics and the Library
    80. 80. WWW.DELICIOUS.COM/GRIFFEY/OLITA
    81. 81. Jason Griffey Email: griffey@gmail.com Site: jasongriffey.net gVoice: 423-443-4770 Twitter: @griffey Books: Mobile Technology & Libraries Library Blogging HEAD OF LIBRARY INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY UNIVERSITY OF TENNESSEE AT CHATTANOOGA Other: Perpetual Beta, TechSource WWW.DELICIOUS.COM/GRIFFEY/OLITA
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