OLITA: Mobility & Post-mobility

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My presentation on Mobility and Postmobility for the Ontario Library Information Technology Association's 2010 Digital Odyssey.

My presentation on Mobility and Postmobility for the Ontario Library Information Technology Association's 2010 Digital Odyssey.

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  • Very roughly, I’m going to talk about Now, Trends, Hardware, and The Future!

  • There are, at the time of this writing, at least 4.1 billion mobile phone subscriptions in the world according to International Telecommunications Union (ITU), an agency of the UN. In december of 2009, the population of the earth is estimated to be 6.8 billion...so 60 percent of the globe owns a cell phone.
  • In over 50 countries, cell phone penetration (the number of cell phones per person) is above 100%.

    Hong Kong 10,550,000 7,008,900[29] 150.5 2009
    United States 271,000,000 306,694,000 [6] 88.04 Dec. 2008
    China 703,000,000 1,324,190,000 52.5 Jun 2009
    United Kingdom 75,750,000 61,612,300 122.95 Dec. 2008
    Spain 50,890,000 45,828,172 111.05 Dec. 2008
    Italy 88,580,000 60,090,400 147.41 Dec.2008
    Germany 107,000,000 82,210,000 130.15 2009

    The report is not due for official presentation until November and is understood to show that Italy has a penetration of 109.42 mobile phones per 100 inhabitants, with up to 62.7m mobile users in absolute terms.

    The penetration rate comes second only to Hong Kong, with a 114.5% recorded penetration rate. According to the ITU, a number of countries have challenged Italy's position, with claims that the Italian data is exaggerated by the fact that multiple SIMs are used on a single mobile phone.
  • By 2010, 90% of the world’s population will have access to a cell phone signal.
  • Short Message Service, or SMS, is a type of chat specific to the cell network. These messages are normally limited in character length (160 characters, including spaces) and are sent from phone to phone. It is the most used data service in the world, with over 2.4 billion active users, almost 75% of mobile phone users. Contrast this with an estimated 1.2 billion people using email, and it helps put the number in perspective. SMS is twice as popular as email throughout the world, and with the adoption rate of mobile phones in developing countries at a blistering pace (in some countries, the adoption rate of mobile phones is doubling yearly, and double-digit growth is common), it is likely to continue to be the primary method of communication for the world.



  • Smartphones are the largest growth market for mobile devices. But they aren’t the only model for constant connectivity. Gartner also noted that sales of smart phones, cell phones that pack more advanced features, will represent about one-fifth of all mobile handset sales by 2008.
  • Smartphones are the largest growth market for mobile devices. But they aren’t the only model for constant connectivity. Gartner also noted that sales of smart phones, cell phones that pack more advanced features, will represent about one-fifth of all mobile handset sales by 2008.

    http://www.tipb.com/2010/06/07/iphone-4-android-tech-specs/
  • Apple owns this space in the popular consciousness and the media.
  • Numbers as of may 10th: MS = 253.6 billion, Walmart = 197.6 billion, Apple = 231.1 billion.
  • As of 6/9/2010
  • As of 6/9/2010
  • As of 6/9/2010
  • As of 6/9/2010
  • As of 6/9/2010
  • As of 6/9/2010
  • As of 6/9/2010
  • As of 6/9/2010
  • As of 6/9/2010
  • As of 6/9/2010
  • As of 6/9/2010
  • As of 6/9/2010


  • However, it has lost its position as the largest U.S. maker of phones to Apple Inc. ( AAPL - news - people )Motorola ( MOT - news - people ) sold a total of 8.5 million phones in the quarter, while Apple sold 8.8 million iPhones. Four years ago, when the Razr was still popular, Motorola sold 46.1 million phones in the first quarter.






  • launched May 28th, but even in April admob reported 6,275 iPads being used in canada
  • Android devices reported by admob in April 2010
  • 22,971,586 cellular subscriptions in Canada, out of a population of 34 million

    67% of the population of Canada has a cellular contract
    285.6 million subscribers in total, or a 91.0% penetration rate in the US
    The country has 84.9 million subscribers in total, or a 77% penetration rate in Mexico.
  • New stuff - coming this year
  • The kindle, which comes with built in connnectivity that is subsidized by the cost of the books from Amazon. But the data is free.
  • kobo retailing for $150, really pushing the prices down across the board. JUST bluetooth connectivity, though...no wifi, no cell.

  • Autonet Mobile sells its $499 routers through Chrysler and Cadillac dealers as manufacturer-endorsed, dealer-installed options for those cars, branded as Uconnect Web and Cadillac Wi-Fi, respectively.
  • Not only GPS, traffic, streaming audio, etc...but actively supports 802.11 mobile hotspots.
  • Verizon mifi - connects to verizon, projects wifi. Allows about 5 people to share, costs about $100, data plans from $39 to $59 dollars a month. Use ipod touch like an iphone.

  • Big one is Thunder, then Flash, then Lightning, then Streak
    Dell Thunder - 4.1 inch OLED screen
    Dell Flash - Android Froyo
    Dell Lightning - Windows 7

  • Steve Jobs, in a recent interview, used the automotive analogy of Trucks. When the automobile first started, everything was a truck...they were used to Do Work. But now we have choices...some work, some play.
  • Looking Glass = 7 inch diagonal



  • Highlights: iMovie, HD Video capture, INCREDIBLE screen (326 ppi), etc.



  • 6.5% of the cost over 20 years. And Moore’s law tells us that cost doesn’t equal reduced capability...indeed, it means an increase in capabilities over the cost of the reduction in price. There is no other good that I can think of that gets cheaper AND better at the same time.
  • 6.5% of the cost over 20 years. And Moore’s law tells us that cost doesn’t equal reduced capability...indeed, it means an increase in capabilities over the cost of the reduction in price. There is no other good that I can think of that gets cheaper AND better at the same time.
  • 6.5% of the cost over 20 years. And Moore’s law tells us that cost doesn’t equal reduced capability...indeed, it means an increase in capabilities over the cost of the reduction in price. There is no other good that I can think of that gets cheaper AND better at the same time.
  • 6.5% of the cost over 20 years. And Moore’s law tells us that cost doesn’t equal reduced capability...indeed, it means an increase in capabilities over the cost of the reduction in price. There is no other good that I can think of that gets cheaper AND better at the same time.
  • 2 Mbit/s and maximum of 14.4 Mbit/s in current 3G. LTE will bring 100Mbit/s down & 50 Mbit/s up at least, with speeds of 326.4 Mbit/s down possible. # Rogers Wireless has stated that they intend on initially launching their LTE network in Vancouver by February 2010, just in time for the Winter Olympics. [22]# AT&T Mobility has stated that they intend on upgrading to LTE as their 4G technology in 2011, but will introduce HSUPA and HSPA+ as bridge standards. [23]
  • Sprint has the largest 4G rollout, showing up in 2010 inNew York  City
    Boston
    Denver
    Houston
    Kansas City
    Minneapolis
    San Francisco
    Washington D.C.
    Cincinnati
    Cleveland
    Los Angeles
    Miami
    Pittsburgh
    Salt  Lake City

  • The system, developed by lab members Takashi Nakashima and Yoshihiro Watanabe, lets you scan a book by rapidly flipping its pages in front of a high-speed camera. They call this method book flipping scanning. They told me they can digitize a 200-page book in one minute, and hope to make that even faster.
    The camera operates at 500 frames per second, with a resolution of 1280 by 1024 pixels. For each frame, the system alternates between two capture modes. First it shines regular light on the page and captures text and images. Then a laser device projects lines on the page and the camera captures that as well.

  • Understand English, French, Italian, German and Spanish, can translate into many more. Working on non-roman alphabets.



  • LINEA-PRO Portable Integrated Barcode Scanner and Magstripe Reader Compatible with iPod touch
    SEE LINEA-PRO IN ACTION TODAY

  • This is a whole new type of information delivery. It’s been imagined for quite some time, but is only now coming to life. Layar, Enkin, Yelp.

  • The research and development labs of General Motors have been working closely with several universities, including Carnegie Mellon University and the University of Southern California, to build an augmented reality system that could assist motorists in difficult driving situations.

  • DRM and the failure of the law to keep up with digital realities is the biggest holdup for innovation and experimentation. Copyright policies that attempt to punish innovative uses of media while desperately clinging to the 19th century ideals of the protection of ideas fail in the light of the digital revolution. Services that provide content (netlibrary, etc) are locking that content down to the point where you can’t DO anything with it.


  • Right now, I think it’s really important for us to be on the cutting edge of these things...this world moves faster than our patrons understand.







  • There have been several watershed moments in information sharing over the last millennium or so; Gutenberg and the printing press, the invention of mass media with the radio and television, the Internet. The cellular revolution in some ways is a natural outgrowth of the media before it. Indeed, it subsumes all of them, providing books, audio, and video as a part of its current incarnation. But the future of the mobile device is so much more than just as a platform for the media of the past. It is that, but it is also the mechanism of creation for entirely new types of information.
     
    The Honeywell Kitchen Computer or H316 pedestal model of 1969 was a short-lived product made by Honeywell and offered by Neiman Marcus. It sold for $10,000, weighs over 100 pounds, and is used for storing recipes (but reading or entering these recipes would have been very difficult for the average cook as the only "user interface" was the binary front panel lights and switches). It had a built in cutting board and had a few recipes built in. There is no evidence that any Honeywell Kitchen Computers were ever sold. [3]
    The full text of the Neiman-Marcus Advertisement seems to read:
    "If she can only cook as well as Honeywell can compute."
    "Her souffles are supreme, her meal planning a challenge? She's what the Honeywell people had in mind when they devised our Kitchen Computer. She'll learn to program it with a cross-reference to her favorite recipes by N-M's own Helen Corbitt. Then by simply pushing a few buttons obtain a complete menu organized around the entree. And if she pales at reckoning her lunch tabs, she can program it to balance the family checkbook. 84A 10,600.00 complete with two week programming course. 84B Fed with Corbitt data: the original Helen Corbitt cookbook with over 1,000 recipes $100 (.75) 84C Her Potluck, 375 of our famed Zodiac restaurant's best kept secret recipes 3.95 (.75) Corbitt Epicure 84D Her Labaird Apron, one-size, ours alone by Clairdon House, multi-pastel provencial cotton 26.00 (.90) Trophy Room"
     
    It would cost 58,000 in today's dollars.
     



  • http://bit.ly/mobile_evalhttp://bit.ly/mobile_eval
  • http://bit.ly/mobile_evalhttp://bit.ly/mobile_eval
  • http://bit.ly/mobile_evalhttp://bit.ly/mobile_eval

Transcript

  • 1. Mobility & Post-Mobility ontario library information technology association june 2010
  • 2. now
  • 3. 4,100,000,000 PHOTO BY WALDOPEPPER - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/7NOFFB
  • 4. CELL PENETRATION PHOTO BY BERN@T - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/4FG8AJ
  • 5. CELL SIGNAL PHOTO BY BJÖRN SÖDERQVIST - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/6EN5ZK
  • 6. 2,400,000,000 PHOTO BY DONNAGRAYSON - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/BEWCD
  • 7. trends
  • 8. SERIOUS AGE DISCREPENCY WHAT IS THAT “OTHER” GROUP USING?
  • 9. SMARTPHONES WILL DOMINATE IT’S JUST A MATTER OF TIME
  • 10. MODERN SMARTPHONES? ALREADY RIDICULOUSLY OUT OF DATE
  • 11. MODERN SMARTPHONES? IN JUST ONE YEAR...
  • 12. IPHONE MEDIA DARLING
  • 13. Microsoft = $220 Billion
  • 14. Microsoft = $220 Billion Walmart = $188 Billion
  • 15. Apple = $226 Billion Microsoft = $220 Billion Walmart = $188 Billion
  • 16. Apple = $226 Billion Microsoft = $220 Billion Walmart = $188 Billion Google = $154 Billion
  • 17. Apple = $226 Billion Microsoft = $220 Billion Walmart = $188 Billion Google = $154 Billion HP = $108 Billion
  • 18. Apple = $226 Billion Microsoft = $220 Billion Walmart = $188 Billion Google = $154 Billion HP = $108 Billion Dell = $25 Billion
  • 19. Apple = $226 Billion Microsoft = $220 Billion
  • 20. Apple = $226 Billion Microsoft = $220 Billion
  • 21. Apple = $226 Billion Rogers = $20.88 Billion
  • 22. APPLE IS NOW WORTH MORE THAN NOKIA, RIM, SONY, MOTOROLA, DELL, AND ADOBE
  • 23. APPLE IS NOW WORTH MORE THAN NOKIA, RIM, SONY, MOTOROLA, DELL, AND ADOBE -- COMBINED
  • 24. APPLE ALSO, IN THE FIRST QUARTER OF 2010, PASSED MOTOROLA AS THE LARGEST US MOBILE MANUFACTURER
  • 25. however
  • 26. RISE OF THE ANDROID POOR, POOR PALM
  • 27. APPLE? NOT REALLY
  • 28. MOBILE CANADA PHOTO BY ARLO BATES - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/7XBSBA
  • 29. 991,074 PHOTO BY BENLUCIER - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/4JT1U4
  • 30. 1,014,508 PHOTO BY MARCOPAKO  - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/5KBAP7
  • 31. 6,275 PHOTO BY ANIRUDH KOUL - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/53WLEB
  • 32. 85,022 PHOTO BY GREGALICIOUS - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/7CG6X9
  • 33. 67% PENETRATION PHOTO BY WOODY1778A - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/4QUWDH
  • 34. hardware
  • 35. KINDLE EREADERS BECOME A COMMODITY IN 2010
  • 36. CANADA’S OWN DRIVING PRICES DOWN
  • 37. COMMODITY ITEM WHAT HAPPENS WHEN THESE ARE CHEAPER THAN PRINT?
  • 38. AUTONET THE BEGINNING OF THE CONNECTED CAR
  • 39. HAVE YOU DRIVEN A FORD LATELY? TOTAL CONNECTIVITY
  • 40. MIFI FREAKING INCREDIBLE TECHNOLOGY
  • 41. WINDOWS PHONE 7 SERIES CAN MICROSOFT MATTER IN MOBILE?
  • 42. DELL MAKING A PLAY THUNDER, LIGHTNING, FLASH, STREAK
  • 43. TABLETS PHOTO BY VINTAGEDEPT - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/86LP5E
  • 44. DELL LOOKING GLASS STREAK’S BIG BROTHER
  • 45. NOTIONINK ADAM REFLECTIVE AND TRANSMISSIVE SCREEN ENOUGH?
  • 46. VERIZON + GOOGLE = ???? BEST NETWORK + COMPLETE INTEGRATION = ????
  • 47. 800 POUND GORILLA DEFINED THE CATEGORY
  • 48. IPHONE 4 DOES IT CHANGE THE GAME?
  • 49. the future!
  • 50. “IT JUST ISN’T EVENLY DISTRIBUTED” - GIBSON PHOTO BY DOMINICCAMPBELL - HTTP://FLIC.KR/P/6K3D4A
  • 51. COST TO MANUFACTURE MOORE’S LAW IN EFFECT
  • 52. LESS THAN 10% AND STILL FALLING
  • 53. LESS THAN 10% AND STILL FALLING
  • 54. 4G = WiMax & LTE
  • 55. HTC Evo First 4G Phone
  • 56. FLIP SCANNING Masatoshi Ishikawa
  • 57. FLIP SCANNING Masatoshi Ishikawa
  • 58. TRANSLATE THE REAL WORLD GOOGLE GOGGLES TRANSLATE
  • 59. 3D ICONS WITH DIFFERENT FUNCTIONAL SIDES
  • 60. 3D THAT REACTS TO AMBIENT LIGHT AND PRESUMABLY TO OTHER REAL-WORLD STIMULI
  • 61. SQUARE UP UNMEDIATED PAYMENTS
  • 62. POINT OF SALE? OR MOST AWESOME CIRCULATION TOOL EVER?
  • 63. ENHANCED VISION SYSTEM K.I.T.T. COMES TO LIFE
  • 64. issues
  • 65. WHAT DOES THE ROAD LOOK LIKE? AND IS IT WORTH IT?
  • 66. conclusion
  • 67. ROGER’S ADOPTION/INNOVATION CURVE WHERE ARE YOU? WHERE ARE YOUR PATRONS?
  • 68. IF I’D ASKED THEM WHAT THEY WANTED... ...THEY’D HAVE SAID A FASTER HORSE. - HENRY FORD
  • 69. the past of the future
  • 70. MOBILITY WATCH YOUR TELEVISION ANYWHERE
  • 71. MOBILE PHONE? SORT OF
  • 72. NOTHING NEW UNDER THE SUN ALL THIS HAS BEEN DONE BEFORE
  • 73. MODERN MARVEL OF THE 1980’S TOSHIBA PORTABLE CD PLAYER
  • 74. CAR PHONE LOOK MA, NO SEATBELT!
  • 75. I’M ON A BOAT NO, SERIOUSLY, I’M ON A BOAT
  • 76. SERIOUSLY? I MEAN...SERIOUSLY?
  • 77. Thank you.
  • 78. The Tech Set Mobile Technology & Libraries
  • 79. Library Tech Report Gadgets & Gizmos: Personal Electronics and the Library
  • 80. WWW.DELICIOUS.COM/GRIFFEY/OLITA
  • 81. Jason Griffey Email: griffey@gmail.com Site: jasongriffey.net gVoice: 423-443-4770 Twitter: @griffey Books: Mobile Technology & Libraries Library Blogging HEAD OF LIBRARY INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY UNIVERSITY OF TENNESSEE AT CHATTANOOGA Other: Perpetual Beta, TechSource WWW.DELICIOUS.COM/GRIFFEY/OLITA