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Market Review and Outlook

QE Index and Volume

The Qatar Exchange (QE) Index gained 154.10 points, or 1.48%,
during the trading week, to close at 10,545.27 points. Market
capitalization increased by 1.21% to reach QR561.7 billion (bn) as
compared to QR555.0 at the end of the previous week. Of the 42 listed
companies, 28 companies ended the week higher while 13 fell and 1
remained unchanged. Gulf International Services (GISS) was the best
performing stock with a gain of 7.35% on 1.3 million (mn) shares
traded. On the other hand, Dlala Brokerage & Investments Holding
Company (DBIS) was the worst performing stock with a decline of
4.46% on 0.7mn shares traded. The stock was the worst performing
stock in 2013 down 35.94%.

10,650

7,900,000

10,545.27

10,450

7,400,000
10,360.02

10,379.59
QE closed on
January 01, 2014

10,368.20

10,250

6,900,000
29-Dec

30-Dec

31-Dec

Volume

On the other hand, Ooredoo (ORDS) shaved 5.9 points off the
index during the week. The stock has had a decent run this year
and was up 31.9% in 2013. Qatari Investors Group (QIGD) after its
bull run in 2013 corrected by 1.74% week-over-week (WoW) and
dragged the index down by 4.4 points during the week.

Week ended
Dec 26, 2013
1,974.1

561,701.3

554,963.3

1.2

58.0

(47.4)

16,912

29,478

(42.6)

42

42

0.0

28:13

9:31

–

Market Breadth

Value Traded (QR mn)
Exch. Market Cap. (QR mn)
Volume (mn)
Number of Transactions
Companies Traded

Market Indices
Close
Total Return
15,066.77
All Share Index
2,622.47
Banks/Financial Svcs.
2,471.35
Industrials
3,568.61
Transportation
1,883.18
Real Estate
2,002.08
Insurance
2,353.76
Telecoms
1,449.95
Consumer
6,029.33
Al Rayan Islamic Index
3,105.66
Market Indices
Weekly Index Performance

5.0%

5.0%

Qatar (QE)*
Dubai
Abu Dhabi
Saudi Arabia
Kuwait##
Oman
Bahrain

Close
10,545.27
3,472.29
4,359.20
8,618.12
7,549.52
6,889.38
1,247.98

WTD%

MTD%

YTD%

1.5
5.0
4.1
1.6
(1.0)
1.5
2.1

1.6
3.0
1.6
1.0
NA
0.8
(0.1)

1.6
3.0
1.6
1.0
NA
0.8
(0.1)

(41.7)

MTD%
1.6
1.3
1.1
2.0
1.3
2.5
0.8
(0.3)
1.4
2.3

YTD%
1.6
1.3
1.1
2.0
1.3
2.5
0.8
(0.3)
1.4
2.3

2.1%

1.6%

1.5%

1.5%

0.0%

Weekly Exchange
Traded Value ($ mn)
315.99
1,398.68
838.68
7,129.58
187.69
150.79
7.79

#

Kuwait

Oman

Qatar

Bahrain

Abu Dhabi

Exchange Mkt.
Cap. ($ mn)
154,299.4
72,237.33
119,717.7
472,429.1#
109,312.9
24,730.3
50,055.7

Saudi Arabia

(1.0%)

(2.5%)

The GCC markets remained mixed during the week. Dubai’s
benchmark index was the top performer, surging by 5.0% WoW; it
was the best performing regional index and was up 107.7% in 2013.
Regional Indices

WTD%
1.5
1.3
0.8
2.6
0.4
2.1
1.0
(0.6)
1.2
1.4

Chg. %

4.1%

2.5%

Dubai

Foreign institutions remained bullish for the week with net buying
of QR126.2mn vs. net buying of QR110.5mn in the prior week.
Qatari institutions turned bearish with net selling of QR95.4mn vs. net
buying of QR4.3mn the week before. Foreign retail investors turned
bearish for the week with net selling of QR0.2mn vs. net buying of
QR16.6mn in the prior week. Qatari retailer investors remained bearish
with net selling of QR30.6mn vs. QR131.7mn the week before.

QE Index

Week ended
Jan 02, 2014
1,150.6

Market Indicators

7.5%

2-Jan

30.5

Industries Qatar (IQCD) was the biggest contributor to the QE
Index. The stock contributed 60.6 points to the index‟s weekly gain.
IQCD is up 3.80% during the week. GISS was the second biggest
contributor adding 24.7 points to the index. In fact, GISS was the best
performing stock in 2013 with a gain of 103.3% followed by Qatari
Investors Group (QIGD) which was up 90.0%.

Trading value during the week decreased by 41.71% to reach
QR1.15bn vs. QR1.97bn in the prior week. The Banks & Financial
Services sector led the trading value during the week, accounting for
35.07% of the total equity trading value. Trading volume decreased
by 47.44% to reach 30.5mn shares vs. 58.0mn shares in the prior
week. The number of transaction fell by 42.63% to reach 16,912
transactions versus 29,478 transactions in the prior week. The Banks
& Financial Services sector also led the trading volume, accounting for
30.73% of the total. The significant decline in trading value, trading
volume and number of transactions is due to the shortened trading
week.

1-Jan

TTM P/E**

P/B**

Dividend Yield

13.5
20.5
12.2
17.5
16.7
10.8
8.1

1.8
1.4
1.5
2.2
1.2
1.6
0.9

4.3
2.6
4.1
3.4
3.7
3.8
3.8

##

Source: Bloomberg, country exchanges and Zawya (** Trailing Twelve Months; * Value traded ($ mn) do not include special trades, if any) ( Data as of Jan. 1, 2014) ( Data as of Dec. 31, 2013)

Page 1 of 5
News
Economic News
 Qatar’s GDP growth accelerates to 6.2% YoY in 3Q2013 –
The Ministry of Development Planning and Statistics (MDPS)
said that Qatar's GDP growth, adjusted for inflation, accelerated
to 6.2% YoY in 3Q2013 from a revised 5.7% in 2Q2013. The
MDPS figures suggested that output in the mining & quarrying
sector, which includes oil & gas production and accounts for
more than 40% of the country‟s GDP, grew 3.5% QoQ (+1.8%
YoY) in 3Q2013. Meanwhile, the financial and real estate sector
jumped to 10.5% YoY, while the construction sector expanded
to 13.0% on the back of government spending on infrastructure
projects. (Gulf-Times.com)
 MDPS: Qatar trade surplus drops 4% in November 2013 as
imports jump – According to the preliminary estimates of the
Ministry of Development Planning & Statistics (MDPS), Qatar‟s
trade surplus fell more than 4% YoY to QR30.88bn in
November 2013, as its imports witnessed double-digit growth
while exports fell. The country‟s total exports were down 0.9%
to QR39.83bn despite a 96% surge in shipments to China.
Japan continued to be the top destination of Qatar‟s exports,
followed by South Korea, India, China and Singapore.
However, Qatar‟s re-exports surged 70.3% to QR625mn during
the review period. The country‟s exports of domestic products
fell 1.5% to QR39.21bn in November mainly on lower
shipments of crude products and other commodities. Petroleum
gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons constituted 60.95% of
total exports in November 2013 as compared to 60.6% in
November 2012; while crude petroleum oils constituted 19.28%
(19.61%); non-crude petroleum oils and bituminous minerals
6.32% (5.68%) and other commodities 13.41% (14.14%). (GulfTimes.com)
 MDPS: 208,000 expats came to Qatar in 2013 – According to
the data released by the Ministry of Development Planning &
Statistics (MDPS), a record high number of around 208,000
foreign workers, including family members, arrived in the
country last year. The figure should be higher considering that
around 23,000 people left the country last month. A vast
majority of these people could have travelled overseas on
winter holiday break, as over 18,500 of them were women. The
country‟s population stood at 2.04mn on December 31, 2013 as
against 1.83mn by 2012-end. (Peninsula Qatar)
Market & Corporate News

 FLSmidth to supply cement production line to for Al Khalij
Cement – Denmark-based FLSmidth & Company has received
an order worth 515m Danish krone from Al Khalij Cement
Company for the supply of a complete cement production line
at the company‟s plant in Umm Bab. This production line will be
similar to the existing line, which was supplied by FLSmidth in
2007. This production line is being supplied in cooperation with
CNBM International Engineering, which is part of China
National Building Materials (CNBM). (Bloomberg)
 Ooredoo Maldives expands 3G+ coverage – Ooredoo
(ORDS) Maldives has announced the expansion of its 3G+
network across the island nation. First launched on eight
islands, Ooredoo Maldives‟ service is expected to reach at least
28 islands by the year-end. The telecom operator said that the
coverage is now available on 166 islands. It aims to cover 84%
of the population by year-end. (Bloomberg)
 Barwa Bank participates in finance facility for QPI unit –
Barwa Bank has announced its participation of $123mn in a
finance facility for Qatar Petroleum International Upstream
OPC, a fully owned subsidiary of Qatar Petroleum International
Limited (QPI). This facility will be utilized to part finance Qatar
Petroleum International Upstream OPC for its investment in
Total‟s operations in Congo. The investment is through a share
capital increase in Total E&P Congo resulting in QPI holding a
15% share of the company. (Gulf-Times.com)
 GDI to become a wholly owned subsidiary of GISS – Gulf
International Services (GISS) has entered into discussions with
the foreign partner in its joint venture, Gulf Drilling International
(GDI), regarding the acquisition of its 30% stake in the capital of
GDI in order for GDI to become a wholly owned subsidiary of
Gulf International Services. (Company Press Release)
 QNBK’s BoD to meet on January 14 – QNB Group (QNBK)
announced that its board of directors will hold a meeting on
January 14, 2014 to discuss the company‟s financial results for
the period ending on December 31, 2013. (QE)
 ABQK BoD to meet on January 15 to discuss financial
results – Ahli Bank‟s (ABQK) board of directors will meet on
January 15, 2014 to discuss the financial results for the period
ending December 31, 2013. Moreover, the board will discuss
the proposal of profit distribution for FY2013 as well as to elect
the bank‟s BoD. (QE)

 QPI takes 15% stake in Total E&P Congo – France-based oil
major Total said that Qatar Petroleum International (QPI) has
purchased a 15% stake in Total E&P Congo through a share
capital increase following a framework agreement signed in
May. Total said that the $1.6bn increase of Total E&P Congo's
capital will consolidate its financial capacity at a time when the
development of the Moho Nord deep offshore project is
progressing. This deal is part of a wider agreement signed by
the two companies in March 2010 to cooperate on their projects
in Africa. (Peninsula Qatar)

 MARK’s BoD to meet on January 27 – Masraf Al Rayan
(MARK) announced that its board of directors will hold a
meeting on January 27, 2014 to discuss the company‟s
financial results for the period ending on December 31, 2013.
(QE)

 DHBK takes part in QPI arm’s loan deal – Doha Bank
(DHBK) has announced its participation of $123mn in a loan
deal for Qatar Petroleum International Upstream OPC, a fully
owned subsidiary of Qatar Petroleum International (QPI). The
loan will be utilized to part finance Qatar Petroleum
International Upstream OPC for its investment in Total‟s
operations in Congo. The investment is through a share capital
increase in Total E&P Congo resulting in QPI holding a 15%
share of the company. (Gulf-Times.com)

 NLCS BoD to meet on January 16 to discuss financial
results – Alijarah Holding‟s (NLCS) board of directors will meet
on January 16, 2014 to discuss the financial results for the
period ending December 31, 2013. (QE)

 QATI to hold general assembly meeting on February 16,
2014 – Qatar Insurance Company‟s (QATI) board of directors
has agreed to hold its general assembly meeting on February
16, 2014. However, if the quorum is not completed, then the
meeting will be adjourned until February 25, 2014. (QE)

 VFQS to announce 3Q2014 financial results on January 29
– Vodafone Qatar (VFQS) will announce its financial results for
the quarter ending December 31, 2013 on January 29, 2014.
(Qatar Tribune)

Page 2 of 5
Qatar Exchange
Top 5 Gainers

Top 5 Decliners
0.0%

8.0%

7.4%

-1.5%

6.0%

-1.9%
3.8%

4.0%

-3.0%

3.3%

3.1%

-3.2%

2.9%

-3.6%
2.0%

-4.5%

-4.1%
-4.5%

0.0%
Gulf
International
Services

Industries
Qatar

Qatar
Qatar German
International Co. for Medical
Islamic Bank
Devices

Qatar
Insurance

Source: Qatar Exchange (QE)

Dlala Holding Qatar General Widam Food
Insurance &
Co.
Reinsurance

Al Khaleej
Takaful
Insurance

Salam
International
Investment

2.0

2.0

Barwa Real
Estate

United
Development

Source: Qatar Exchange (QE)

Most Active Shares by Value (QR Million)

Most Active Shares by Volume (Million)

200.0

150.0

-6.0%

8.0
149.9

144.2

6.0

5.7

118.8

4.7

100.0

4.0

90.5

82.4

2.6
2.0

50.0

0.0
0.0

Vodafone Qatar
Masraf Al
Rayan

Industries
Qatar

Qatari
Investors
Group

QNB Group

Source: Qatar Exchange (QE)

20.28%

80%

Net Traded Value by Nationality (QR Million)

126

9.31%

14.46%

60%

Qatari
Investors
Group

Source: Qatar Exchange (QE)

Investor Trading Percentage to Total Value Traded

100%

Masraf Al
Rayan

Gulf
International
Services

26.65%

14.48%

274
400

34.94%

40%
20%

Non-Qatari

38.62%

41.28%

(126)
Qatari

877
751

0%

Buy

Sell

Qatari Individuals

Qatari Institutions

Non-Qatari Individuals

Non-Qatari Institutions

Source: Qatar Exchange (QE)

(200)

Net Investment

200

400
Total Sold

600

800

1,000

Total Bought

Source: Qatar Exchange (QE)

Page 3 of 5
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OF THE QE INDEX

Source: Bloomberg

The index started the week on a weak note, but ended on a high, as it jumped 1.6% on Thursday, to start the year on a strong note. The index gained 1.5%
during the week to close at 10,545.27, registering a new 52-week high. The index tested its strong support level of 10,316 on couple of occasions during the
week, but held on to finally bounce back strongly. The index has closed above the 21-day moving average (currently at 10,433.63), which is a bullish sign.
The index continued to tag higher highs and higher lows, indicating that the uptrend is intact. On the upside, the 10,560 level remains a strong resistance
level for the index. The RSI has moved higher after today‟s surge, while the MACD has converged with the signal line. The index will have to hold above the
21-day moving average to sustain its uptrend, a move below which may indicate a trend reversal.
DEFINITIONS OF KEY TERMS USED IN TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator – RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. The RSI oscillates
between 0 to 100. The index is deemed to be overbought once the RSI approaches the 70 level, indicating that a correction is likely. On the other hand, if
the RSI approaches 30, it is an indication that the index may be getting oversold and therefore likely to bounce back.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator – The indicator consists of the MACD line and a signal line. The divergence or the
convergence of the MACD line with the signal line indicates the strength in the momentum during the uptrend or downtrend, as the case may be. When the
MACD crosses the signal line from below and trades above it, it gives a positive indication. The reverse is the situation for a bearish trend.
Candlestick chart – A candlestick chart is a price chart that displays the high, low, open, and close for a security. The „body‟ of the chart is portion between
the open and close price, while the high and low intraday movements form the „shadow‟. The candlestick may represent any time frame. We use a one-day
candlestick chart (every candlestick represents one trading day) in our analysis.
Doji candlestick pattern – A Doji candlestick is formed when a security's open and close are practically equal. The pattern indicates indecisiveness, and
based on preceding price actions and future confirmation, may indicate a bullish or bearish trend reversal.
Shooting Star/Inverted Hammer candlestick patterns – These candlestick patterns have a small real body (open price and close price are near to each
other), and a long upper shadow (large intraday movement on the upside). The Shooting Star is a bearish reversal pattern that forms after a rally. The
Inverted Hammer looks exactly like a Shooting Star, but forms after a downtrend. Inverted Hammers represent a potential bullish trend reversal.

Page 4 of 5
Company Name

Price % Change 5(Jan 2)
Day

% Change
YTD

Market Cap.
QR Million

TTM P/E

P/B

Div. Yield

Qatar National Bank

173.00

0.17

0.58

121,053

13.1

2.4

3.5

Qatar Islamic Bank

69.80

1.16

1.16

16,493

15.3

1.4

5.4

Commercial Bank of Qatar

70.90

0.85

0.14

17,544

10.0

1.3

8.5

Doha Bank

58.80

1.38

1.03

15,192

10.3

1.7

7.1

Al Ahli Bank

55.00

(1.79)

0.00

6,989

13.5

2.0

5.5

Qatar International Islamic Bank

62.20

3.32

0.81

9,415

13.1

1.9

5.6

Masraf Al Rayan

32.55

1.88

3.99

24,413

14.6

2.4

3.1

Al Khaliji Bank

19.98

0.91

(0.05)

7,193

13.5

1.3

5.0

National Leasing

30.10

0.33

(0.17)

1,489

12.7

1.2

6.6

Dlala Holding

22.07

(4.46)

(0.14)

490

N/M

2.2

N/A

Qatar & Oman Investment

12.79

1.35

2.16

403

26.8

1.2

3.9

Islamic Holding Group

45.00

2.27

(2.17)

180

24.2

3.1

2.5

220,854

Banking and Financial Services
Zad Holding

69.00

0.73

(0.72)

903

9.2

0.7

5.8

Qatar German Co. for Medical Devices

14.13

3.14

2.02

163

N/M

0.9

N/A

Salam International Investment

13.10

(1.87)

0.69

1,498

11.6

0.9

5.3

Medicare Group

53.60

1.90

2.10

1,509

24.5

1.9

3.4

Qatar Cinema & Film Distribution

40.15

(0.12)

0.12

229

N/M

1.7

5.0

1.76

1.72

18,776

15.7

3.1

3.5

(3.56)

(0.39)

927

15.4

3.8

7.8

1.36

0.38

2,676

18.4

2.1

6.0

289.00

Qatar Fuel

51.50

Qatar Meat and Livestock

133.80

Al Meera Consumer Goods

26,680

Consumer Goods and Services
50.80

0.79

0.40

2,012

9.5

1.5

5.9

Qatar National Cement

119.00

1.28

0.00

5,843

13.7

2.4

5.0

Industries Qatar

172.30

3.80

2.01

104,242

12.8

3.2

4.5

48.05

(1.74)

9.95

5,974

25.6

2.8

1.6

179.50

(0.28)

(1.32)

17,950

11.9

3.2

4.1

Mannai Corp.

89.90

(0.11)

0.00

4,101

8.9

1.8

5.3

Aamal

14.95

0.00

(0.33)

8,970

14.2

1.3

N/A

Gulf International Services

64.30

7.35

5.41

9,560

15.8

3.3

2.3

Qatar Industrial Manufacturing

Qatari Investors Group
Qatar Electricity and Water

158,651

Industrials
Qatar Insurance

67.50

2.90

1.50

8,669

10.6

1.8

3.0

Doha Insurance

25.60

1.79

2.40

659

11.7

1.3

3.6

Qatar General Insurance & Reinsurance

47.00

(4.08)

(1.88)

2,709

3.1

0.8

1.9

Al Khaleej Takaful Insurance

37.50

(3.23)

2.74

640

13.3

1.1

2.2

Qatar Islamic Insurance

57.10

0.18

(1.38)

857

13.5

3.1

6.1

13,534

Insurance
United Development

23.15

2.84

2.39

7,807

9.5

0.7

4.3

Barwa Real Estate

30.60

1.83

2.68

11,907

17.4

0.9

4.9

Ezdan Real Estate

17.00

0.59

0.00

45,092

N/M

1.6

0.8

Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Development

11.35

(0.61)

1.52

1,135

17.1

1.0

5.3

43,596

16.5

1.8

3.7

9,316

N/M

1.5

N/A

65,941

Real Estate
136.10

(0.66)

(0.80)

11.02

(0.54)

2.89

Qatar Navigation (Milaha)

84.60

0.48

1.93

9,689

9.9

0.8

4.4

Gulf Warehousing

41.20

0.49

(0.72)

1,960

19.7

2.5

N/A

Qatar Gas Transport (Nakilat)
Transportation

20.50

0.39

1.23

11,480

15.0

3.3

4.9

Qatar Telecom
Vodafone Qatar

52,912

Telecoms

23,128

Qatar Exchange

561,701

Source: Bloomberg

Contacts

Saugata Sarkar

Ahmed M. Shehada

Keith Whitney

Sahbi Kasraoui

Head of Research

Head of Trading

Head of Sales

Manager - HNWI

Tel: (+974) 4476 6534

Tel: (+974) 4476 6535

Tel: (+974) 4476 6533

Tel: (+974) 4476 6544

saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa

ahmed.shehada@qnbfs.com.qa

keith.whitney@qnbfs.com.qa

sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com.qa

QNB Financial Services SPC
Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
PO Box 24025, Doha, Qatar
DISCLAIMER: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of Qatar National Bank (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar
Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange; QNB is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an
offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. We therefore strongly advise potential
investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be
reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. While this publication has been prepared with the utmost degree of care by our analysts,
QNBFS does not make any representations warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. QNBFS reserves the right
to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views
and opinions included in this report.
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS.

Page 5 of 5

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Weekly Market Report

  • 1. Market Review and Outlook QE Index and Volume The Qatar Exchange (QE) Index gained 154.10 points, or 1.48%, during the trading week, to close at 10,545.27 points. Market capitalization increased by 1.21% to reach QR561.7 billion (bn) as compared to QR555.0 at the end of the previous week. Of the 42 listed companies, 28 companies ended the week higher while 13 fell and 1 remained unchanged. Gulf International Services (GISS) was the best performing stock with a gain of 7.35% on 1.3 million (mn) shares traded. On the other hand, Dlala Brokerage & Investments Holding Company (DBIS) was the worst performing stock with a decline of 4.46% on 0.7mn shares traded. The stock was the worst performing stock in 2013 down 35.94%. 10,650 7,900,000 10,545.27 10,450 7,400,000 10,360.02 10,379.59 QE closed on January 01, 2014 10,368.20 10,250 6,900,000 29-Dec 30-Dec 31-Dec Volume On the other hand, Ooredoo (ORDS) shaved 5.9 points off the index during the week. The stock has had a decent run this year and was up 31.9% in 2013. Qatari Investors Group (QIGD) after its bull run in 2013 corrected by 1.74% week-over-week (WoW) and dragged the index down by 4.4 points during the week. Week ended Dec 26, 2013 1,974.1 561,701.3 554,963.3 1.2 58.0 (47.4) 16,912 29,478 (42.6) 42 42 0.0 28:13 9:31 – Market Breadth Value Traded (QR mn) Exch. Market Cap. (QR mn) Volume (mn) Number of Transactions Companies Traded Market Indices Close Total Return 15,066.77 All Share Index 2,622.47 Banks/Financial Svcs. 2,471.35 Industrials 3,568.61 Transportation 1,883.18 Real Estate 2,002.08 Insurance 2,353.76 Telecoms 1,449.95 Consumer 6,029.33 Al Rayan Islamic Index 3,105.66 Market Indices Weekly Index Performance 5.0% 5.0% Qatar (QE)* Dubai Abu Dhabi Saudi Arabia Kuwait## Oman Bahrain Close 10,545.27 3,472.29 4,359.20 8,618.12 7,549.52 6,889.38 1,247.98 WTD% MTD% YTD% 1.5 5.0 4.1 1.6 (1.0) 1.5 2.1 1.6 3.0 1.6 1.0 NA 0.8 (0.1) 1.6 3.0 1.6 1.0 NA 0.8 (0.1) (41.7) MTD% 1.6 1.3 1.1 2.0 1.3 2.5 0.8 (0.3) 1.4 2.3 YTD% 1.6 1.3 1.1 2.0 1.3 2.5 0.8 (0.3) 1.4 2.3 2.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% Weekly Exchange Traded Value ($ mn) 315.99 1,398.68 838.68 7,129.58 187.69 150.79 7.79 # Kuwait Oman Qatar Bahrain Abu Dhabi Exchange Mkt. Cap. ($ mn) 154,299.4 72,237.33 119,717.7 472,429.1# 109,312.9 24,730.3 50,055.7 Saudi Arabia (1.0%) (2.5%) The GCC markets remained mixed during the week. Dubai’s benchmark index was the top performer, surging by 5.0% WoW; it was the best performing regional index and was up 107.7% in 2013. Regional Indices WTD% 1.5 1.3 0.8 2.6 0.4 2.1 1.0 (0.6) 1.2 1.4 Chg. % 4.1% 2.5% Dubai Foreign institutions remained bullish for the week with net buying of QR126.2mn vs. net buying of QR110.5mn in the prior week. Qatari institutions turned bearish with net selling of QR95.4mn vs. net buying of QR4.3mn the week before. Foreign retail investors turned bearish for the week with net selling of QR0.2mn vs. net buying of QR16.6mn in the prior week. Qatari retailer investors remained bearish with net selling of QR30.6mn vs. QR131.7mn the week before. QE Index Week ended Jan 02, 2014 1,150.6 Market Indicators 7.5% 2-Jan 30.5 Industries Qatar (IQCD) was the biggest contributor to the QE Index. The stock contributed 60.6 points to the index‟s weekly gain. IQCD is up 3.80% during the week. GISS was the second biggest contributor adding 24.7 points to the index. In fact, GISS was the best performing stock in 2013 with a gain of 103.3% followed by Qatari Investors Group (QIGD) which was up 90.0%. Trading value during the week decreased by 41.71% to reach QR1.15bn vs. QR1.97bn in the prior week. The Banks & Financial Services sector led the trading value during the week, accounting for 35.07% of the total equity trading value. Trading volume decreased by 47.44% to reach 30.5mn shares vs. 58.0mn shares in the prior week. The number of transaction fell by 42.63% to reach 16,912 transactions versus 29,478 transactions in the prior week. The Banks & Financial Services sector also led the trading volume, accounting for 30.73% of the total. The significant decline in trading value, trading volume and number of transactions is due to the shortened trading week. 1-Jan TTM P/E** P/B** Dividend Yield 13.5 20.5 12.2 17.5 16.7 10.8 8.1 1.8 1.4 1.5 2.2 1.2 1.6 0.9 4.3 2.6 4.1 3.4 3.7 3.8 3.8 ## Source: Bloomberg, country exchanges and Zawya (** Trailing Twelve Months; * Value traded ($ mn) do not include special trades, if any) ( Data as of Jan. 1, 2014) ( Data as of Dec. 31, 2013) Page 1 of 5
  • 2. News Economic News  Qatar’s GDP growth accelerates to 6.2% YoY in 3Q2013 – The Ministry of Development Planning and Statistics (MDPS) said that Qatar's GDP growth, adjusted for inflation, accelerated to 6.2% YoY in 3Q2013 from a revised 5.7% in 2Q2013. The MDPS figures suggested that output in the mining & quarrying sector, which includes oil & gas production and accounts for more than 40% of the country‟s GDP, grew 3.5% QoQ (+1.8% YoY) in 3Q2013. Meanwhile, the financial and real estate sector jumped to 10.5% YoY, while the construction sector expanded to 13.0% on the back of government spending on infrastructure projects. (Gulf-Times.com)  MDPS: Qatar trade surplus drops 4% in November 2013 as imports jump – According to the preliminary estimates of the Ministry of Development Planning & Statistics (MDPS), Qatar‟s trade surplus fell more than 4% YoY to QR30.88bn in November 2013, as its imports witnessed double-digit growth while exports fell. The country‟s total exports were down 0.9% to QR39.83bn despite a 96% surge in shipments to China. Japan continued to be the top destination of Qatar‟s exports, followed by South Korea, India, China and Singapore. However, Qatar‟s re-exports surged 70.3% to QR625mn during the review period. The country‟s exports of domestic products fell 1.5% to QR39.21bn in November mainly on lower shipments of crude products and other commodities. Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons constituted 60.95% of total exports in November 2013 as compared to 60.6% in November 2012; while crude petroleum oils constituted 19.28% (19.61%); non-crude petroleum oils and bituminous minerals 6.32% (5.68%) and other commodities 13.41% (14.14%). (GulfTimes.com)  MDPS: 208,000 expats came to Qatar in 2013 – According to the data released by the Ministry of Development Planning & Statistics (MDPS), a record high number of around 208,000 foreign workers, including family members, arrived in the country last year. The figure should be higher considering that around 23,000 people left the country last month. A vast majority of these people could have travelled overseas on winter holiday break, as over 18,500 of them were women. The country‟s population stood at 2.04mn on December 31, 2013 as against 1.83mn by 2012-end. (Peninsula Qatar) Market & Corporate News  FLSmidth to supply cement production line to for Al Khalij Cement – Denmark-based FLSmidth & Company has received an order worth 515m Danish krone from Al Khalij Cement Company for the supply of a complete cement production line at the company‟s plant in Umm Bab. This production line will be similar to the existing line, which was supplied by FLSmidth in 2007. This production line is being supplied in cooperation with CNBM International Engineering, which is part of China National Building Materials (CNBM). (Bloomberg)  Ooredoo Maldives expands 3G+ coverage – Ooredoo (ORDS) Maldives has announced the expansion of its 3G+ network across the island nation. First launched on eight islands, Ooredoo Maldives‟ service is expected to reach at least 28 islands by the year-end. The telecom operator said that the coverage is now available on 166 islands. It aims to cover 84% of the population by year-end. (Bloomberg)  Barwa Bank participates in finance facility for QPI unit – Barwa Bank has announced its participation of $123mn in a finance facility for Qatar Petroleum International Upstream OPC, a fully owned subsidiary of Qatar Petroleum International Limited (QPI). This facility will be utilized to part finance Qatar Petroleum International Upstream OPC for its investment in Total‟s operations in Congo. The investment is through a share capital increase in Total E&P Congo resulting in QPI holding a 15% share of the company. (Gulf-Times.com)  GDI to become a wholly owned subsidiary of GISS – Gulf International Services (GISS) has entered into discussions with the foreign partner in its joint venture, Gulf Drilling International (GDI), regarding the acquisition of its 30% stake in the capital of GDI in order for GDI to become a wholly owned subsidiary of Gulf International Services. (Company Press Release)  QNBK’s BoD to meet on January 14 – QNB Group (QNBK) announced that its board of directors will hold a meeting on January 14, 2014 to discuss the company‟s financial results for the period ending on December 31, 2013. (QE)  ABQK BoD to meet on January 15 to discuss financial results – Ahli Bank‟s (ABQK) board of directors will meet on January 15, 2014 to discuss the financial results for the period ending December 31, 2013. Moreover, the board will discuss the proposal of profit distribution for FY2013 as well as to elect the bank‟s BoD. (QE)  QPI takes 15% stake in Total E&P Congo – France-based oil major Total said that Qatar Petroleum International (QPI) has purchased a 15% stake in Total E&P Congo through a share capital increase following a framework agreement signed in May. Total said that the $1.6bn increase of Total E&P Congo's capital will consolidate its financial capacity at a time when the development of the Moho Nord deep offshore project is progressing. This deal is part of a wider agreement signed by the two companies in March 2010 to cooperate on their projects in Africa. (Peninsula Qatar)  MARK’s BoD to meet on January 27 – Masraf Al Rayan (MARK) announced that its board of directors will hold a meeting on January 27, 2014 to discuss the company‟s financial results for the period ending on December 31, 2013. (QE)  DHBK takes part in QPI arm’s loan deal – Doha Bank (DHBK) has announced its participation of $123mn in a loan deal for Qatar Petroleum International Upstream OPC, a fully owned subsidiary of Qatar Petroleum International (QPI). The loan will be utilized to part finance Qatar Petroleum International Upstream OPC for its investment in Total‟s operations in Congo. The investment is through a share capital increase in Total E&P Congo resulting in QPI holding a 15% share of the company. (Gulf-Times.com)  NLCS BoD to meet on January 16 to discuss financial results – Alijarah Holding‟s (NLCS) board of directors will meet on January 16, 2014 to discuss the financial results for the period ending December 31, 2013. (QE)  QATI to hold general assembly meeting on February 16, 2014 – Qatar Insurance Company‟s (QATI) board of directors has agreed to hold its general assembly meeting on February 16, 2014. However, if the quorum is not completed, then the meeting will be adjourned until February 25, 2014. (QE)  VFQS to announce 3Q2014 financial results on January 29 – Vodafone Qatar (VFQS) will announce its financial results for the quarter ending December 31, 2013 on January 29, 2014. (Qatar Tribune) Page 2 of 5
  • 3. Qatar Exchange Top 5 Gainers Top 5 Decliners 0.0% 8.0% 7.4% -1.5% 6.0% -1.9% 3.8% 4.0% -3.0% 3.3% 3.1% -3.2% 2.9% -3.6% 2.0% -4.5% -4.1% -4.5% 0.0% Gulf International Services Industries Qatar Qatar Qatar German International Co. for Medical Islamic Bank Devices Qatar Insurance Source: Qatar Exchange (QE) Dlala Holding Qatar General Widam Food Insurance & Co. Reinsurance Al Khaleej Takaful Insurance Salam International Investment 2.0 2.0 Barwa Real Estate United Development Source: Qatar Exchange (QE) Most Active Shares by Value (QR Million) Most Active Shares by Volume (Million) 200.0 150.0 -6.0% 8.0 149.9 144.2 6.0 5.7 118.8 4.7 100.0 4.0 90.5 82.4 2.6 2.0 50.0 0.0 0.0 Vodafone Qatar Masraf Al Rayan Industries Qatar Qatari Investors Group QNB Group Source: Qatar Exchange (QE) 20.28% 80% Net Traded Value by Nationality (QR Million) 126 9.31% 14.46% 60% Qatari Investors Group Source: Qatar Exchange (QE) Investor Trading Percentage to Total Value Traded 100% Masraf Al Rayan Gulf International Services 26.65% 14.48% 274 400 34.94% 40% 20% Non-Qatari 38.62% 41.28% (126) Qatari 877 751 0% Buy Sell Qatari Individuals Qatari Institutions Non-Qatari Individuals Non-Qatari Institutions Source: Qatar Exchange (QE) (200) Net Investment 200 400 Total Sold 600 800 1,000 Total Bought Source: Qatar Exchange (QE) Page 3 of 5
  • 4. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OF THE QE INDEX Source: Bloomberg The index started the week on a weak note, but ended on a high, as it jumped 1.6% on Thursday, to start the year on a strong note. The index gained 1.5% during the week to close at 10,545.27, registering a new 52-week high. The index tested its strong support level of 10,316 on couple of occasions during the week, but held on to finally bounce back strongly. The index has closed above the 21-day moving average (currently at 10,433.63), which is a bullish sign. The index continued to tag higher highs and higher lows, indicating that the uptrend is intact. On the upside, the 10,560 level remains a strong resistance level for the index. The RSI has moved higher after today‟s surge, while the MACD has converged with the signal line. The index will have to hold above the 21-day moving average to sustain its uptrend, a move below which may indicate a trend reversal. DEFINITIONS OF KEY TERMS USED IN TECHNICAL ANALYSIS RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator – RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. The RSI oscillates between 0 to 100. The index is deemed to be overbought once the RSI approaches the 70 level, indicating that a correction is likely. On the other hand, if the RSI approaches 30, it is an indication that the index may be getting oversold and therefore likely to bounce back. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator – The indicator consists of the MACD line and a signal line. The divergence or the convergence of the MACD line with the signal line indicates the strength in the momentum during the uptrend or downtrend, as the case may be. When the MACD crosses the signal line from below and trades above it, it gives a positive indication. The reverse is the situation for a bearish trend. Candlestick chart – A candlestick chart is a price chart that displays the high, low, open, and close for a security. The „body‟ of the chart is portion between the open and close price, while the high and low intraday movements form the „shadow‟. The candlestick may represent any time frame. We use a one-day candlestick chart (every candlestick represents one trading day) in our analysis. Doji candlestick pattern – A Doji candlestick is formed when a security's open and close are practically equal. The pattern indicates indecisiveness, and based on preceding price actions and future confirmation, may indicate a bullish or bearish trend reversal. Shooting Star/Inverted Hammer candlestick patterns – These candlestick patterns have a small real body (open price and close price are near to each other), and a long upper shadow (large intraday movement on the upside). The Shooting Star is a bearish reversal pattern that forms after a rally. The Inverted Hammer looks exactly like a Shooting Star, but forms after a downtrend. Inverted Hammers represent a potential bullish trend reversal. Page 4 of 5
  • 5. Company Name Price % Change 5(Jan 2) Day % Change YTD Market Cap. QR Million TTM P/E P/B Div. Yield Qatar National Bank 173.00 0.17 0.58 121,053 13.1 2.4 3.5 Qatar Islamic Bank 69.80 1.16 1.16 16,493 15.3 1.4 5.4 Commercial Bank of Qatar 70.90 0.85 0.14 17,544 10.0 1.3 8.5 Doha Bank 58.80 1.38 1.03 15,192 10.3 1.7 7.1 Al Ahli Bank 55.00 (1.79) 0.00 6,989 13.5 2.0 5.5 Qatar International Islamic Bank 62.20 3.32 0.81 9,415 13.1 1.9 5.6 Masraf Al Rayan 32.55 1.88 3.99 24,413 14.6 2.4 3.1 Al Khaliji Bank 19.98 0.91 (0.05) 7,193 13.5 1.3 5.0 National Leasing 30.10 0.33 (0.17) 1,489 12.7 1.2 6.6 Dlala Holding 22.07 (4.46) (0.14) 490 N/M 2.2 N/A Qatar & Oman Investment 12.79 1.35 2.16 403 26.8 1.2 3.9 Islamic Holding Group 45.00 2.27 (2.17) 180 24.2 3.1 2.5 220,854 Banking and Financial Services Zad Holding 69.00 0.73 (0.72) 903 9.2 0.7 5.8 Qatar German Co. for Medical Devices 14.13 3.14 2.02 163 N/M 0.9 N/A Salam International Investment 13.10 (1.87) 0.69 1,498 11.6 0.9 5.3 Medicare Group 53.60 1.90 2.10 1,509 24.5 1.9 3.4 Qatar Cinema & Film Distribution 40.15 (0.12) 0.12 229 N/M 1.7 5.0 1.76 1.72 18,776 15.7 3.1 3.5 (3.56) (0.39) 927 15.4 3.8 7.8 1.36 0.38 2,676 18.4 2.1 6.0 289.00 Qatar Fuel 51.50 Qatar Meat and Livestock 133.80 Al Meera Consumer Goods 26,680 Consumer Goods and Services 50.80 0.79 0.40 2,012 9.5 1.5 5.9 Qatar National Cement 119.00 1.28 0.00 5,843 13.7 2.4 5.0 Industries Qatar 172.30 3.80 2.01 104,242 12.8 3.2 4.5 48.05 (1.74) 9.95 5,974 25.6 2.8 1.6 179.50 (0.28) (1.32) 17,950 11.9 3.2 4.1 Mannai Corp. 89.90 (0.11) 0.00 4,101 8.9 1.8 5.3 Aamal 14.95 0.00 (0.33) 8,970 14.2 1.3 N/A Gulf International Services 64.30 7.35 5.41 9,560 15.8 3.3 2.3 Qatar Industrial Manufacturing Qatari Investors Group Qatar Electricity and Water 158,651 Industrials Qatar Insurance 67.50 2.90 1.50 8,669 10.6 1.8 3.0 Doha Insurance 25.60 1.79 2.40 659 11.7 1.3 3.6 Qatar General Insurance & Reinsurance 47.00 (4.08) (1.88) 2,709 3.1 0.8 1.9 Al Khaleej Takaful Insurance 37.50 (3.23) 2.74 640 13.3 1.1 2.2 Qatar Islamic Insurance 57.10 0.18 (1.38) 857 13.5 3.1 6.1 13,534 Insurance United Development 23.15 2.84 2.39 7,807 9.5 0.7 4.3 Barwa Real Estate 30.60 1.83 2.68 11,907 17.4 0.9 4.9 Ezdan Real Estate 17.00 0.59 0.00 45,092 N/M 1.6 0.8 Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Development 11.35 (0.61) 1.52 1,135 17.1 1.0 5.3 43,596 16.5 1.8 3.7 9,316 N/M 1.5 N/A 65,941 Real Estate 136.10 (0.66) (0.80) 11.02 (0.54) 2.89 Qatar Navigation (Milaha) 84.60 0.48 1.93 9,689 9.9 0.8 4.4 Gulf Warehousing 41.20 0.49 (0.72) 1,960 19.7 2.5 N/A Qatar Gas Transport (Nakilat) Transportation 20.50 0.39 1.23 11,480 15.0 3.3 4.9 Qatar Telecom Vodafone Qatar 52,912 Telecoms 23,128 Qatar Exchange 561,701 Source: Bloomberg Contacts Saugata Sarkar Ahmed M. Shehada Keith Whitney Sahbi Kasraoui Head of Research Head of Trading Head of Sales Manager - HNWI Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 Tel: (+974) 4476 6533 Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa ahmed.shehada@qnbfs.com.qa keith.whitney@qnbfs.com.qa sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com.qa QNB Financial Services SPC Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 PO Box 24025, Doha, Qatar DISCLAIMER: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of Qatar National Bank (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange; QNB is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. While this publication has been prepared with the utmost degree of care by our analysts, QNBFS does not make any representations warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS. Page 5 of 5