Welcome to the Future of 2014 – our annual booklet of thought pieces of what to expect from the year ahead, written by the Mindshare Ireland team.
The theme of the articles is all about being adaptive. In the fast moving world of media that we find ourselves in today, we need to be adaptive in how and when we communicate to consumers. The Future of 2014 book will give you the necessary information you need to start you on the adaptive journey.
2. INSIDE THE FUTURE OF ... 2014
3
Q&A WITH BILL KINLAY, CEO
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TRADING INTO THE RECOVERY
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8
9
10
12
14
MEDIA DAYS LIKE THESE
BEING ADAPTIVE
ADAPTING FOR 2014 – Q&A NORM JOHNSON
SOCIAL MEDIA MAKING ITS MARK IN 2014
THE RESEARCH STARTING POINT
FUTURE PROOFING RADIO IN 2014
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MOBILE: THE LESSER TAPPED MEDIUM
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THINKING DIGITAL
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22
WHAT HAPPENS IN A DAY?
MAKING NEWS PAY - PRINT OR DIGITAL?
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USE YOUR DATA TO SEE THE WOOD FOR THE TREES
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EXTENDING TV REACH WITH VOD
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30
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DIGITIZING OUT OF HOME
ADAPTING DIGITAL TO DRIVE RESPONSE
THE INTERNET OF THINGS (TO COME)
3. BILL KINLAY CEO, Q&A
Q. What are the main things to watch out for in 2014?
We work in a very fast moving dynamic and ever changing
marketplace and this pace of change will undoubtedly continue. The
main task for our company is to remain flexible and to embrace the
changes as they come. Some are predictable, some are not. Having
said that there are a number of clear areas that will continue to
increase in importance throughout 2014 and for which we need to
prepare.
Business Intelligence – clients require a different level of strategic
advice from their media partner and it’s important for us to be more
of a business partner and offer much deeper and wider advice than
we have done so to date.
Q. What are the greatest business challenges that clients are
facing in 2014?
It’s an extremely competitive environment out there and clients are
under severe pressure just to maintain market share. There are many
challenges that they face but in my experience the top three are:
·
Understanding customers and maintaining loyalty – this is
the main issue facing clients and forms the bedrock of what all
business attempts to master. With our dedicated Business
Planning and Intelligence teams we are in the ideal position to
help clients address this fundamental challenge.
·
Uncertainty in the economy/pressure on value – although
there are undoubtedly some green shoots, the Irish economy
remains challenging and competitive. Most clients have strong
international pressures to deal with alongside local ones.
Mindshare can certainly help in driving value both in terms of the
strategic planning, but also through the market beating media
value and intelligent GroupM investment offering.
·
Properly understanding return on investment – due to
patchy data and the high cost involved, relatively few clients have
invested the time and money necessary to build a robust sales
model to accurately measure and predict return on investment.
Mindshare can offer advice and expertise across the whole area
of performance building affordable and effective models that
have a strong track record in transforming businesses.
Better ROI measurement – big data and econometrics will increase
in importance and will become a necessary and expected part of our
industry offering.
Mobile – the challenge of mobile is nothing new, we addressed
similar issues in 2000 when we needed to adapt for display media.
But this time the pace of consumer adoption is incredible and we as
an industry need to move faster to meet that.
“The main task for our company
is to remain flexible and to embrace the
changes as they come”
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4. MEDIA DAYS LIKE THESE Emma O’Doherty
Today as I’m writing this article, international and global
media outlets are all telling us the same powerful story
– news headlines and front pages are awash with
images and reviews of the life of Nelson Mandela; social
media is filled with commentary, personal expressions
and of course, the odd cynic. It’s the same story in all,
but different, it has been adapted to suit the channel
and its audience.
Days like these demonstrate the ability of the media to
adapt their stories and content as the world around
them changes.
Days like these stand out as they challenge us to
choose those media outlets whose ‘take’ on the exact
same story best captures our attention, our point of
view and importantly, our hearts. And isn’t that what
our shops are filled with – the same products, but with
their own unique formula? Isn’t that what advertising
is filled with – those same products all trying to tell
their own stories? But how can those stories capture
our attention, our hearts and our cash?
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5. “(Change is) the only evidence of life” Evelyn Waugh, Brideshead Revisited
We’ll take the lead from consumers; they are in charge after all, choosing when, where and
how they engage with content – from TV programmes, to news, to music and of course,
advertising. Digital technology has become the great enabler, breathing life into all media –
for both consumers and advertisers – you’ll read about some of these developments
throughout this book. There are growing numbers of case studies revealing the power of
other media in driving digital performance (e.g. TV impacting search volumes) or digital
enhancing the story other media can deliver (e.g. the growth of Shazamable TV ads).
I heard a brand manager recently say that they are now
“potentially just 140 characters away from disaster!”
It’s a scary and exhausting thought. Know your audience, know your brand story and take it
from there. But be adaptive. We can all become better at using the data in our arsenals to
keep communications plans and content responsive to consumers and to business needs. A
key focus for Mindshare in 2014, and the theme to this year’s Future Of, is enabling clients to
be more adaptive, combining our data for better business planning.
Days like these are never the same. We all have to keep changing, we think you’ll see and read
evidence of this in thoughts from our staff for 2014.
P.S. one of the most powerful advertising stories I’ve heard this year is the case Les Binet and
Peter Field have outlined for the effectiveness of long and short-term advertising (The Long
& Short of It, IPA, 2013). It’s comprehensive in its make-up – 30 years, 700 brands and 996
campaigns. If you, or someone else in your organisation, is yet to be convinced of advertising’s
contribution to long-term business success then I’d suggest you give this a go. Happy reading!
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6. TRADING INTO THE RECOVERY Neil Johnston
We might as well start with the prediction that everyone
is looking for: Advertising revenue is going to grow in
2014 in Ireland. Ah, you want to know by how much? We
think 2% or 3%. Digital will continue to outperform the
general market, with video driving the growth, up by
15%. Next up is TV with 4% growth, followed by Out of
Home, Radio and Print. So if the revenue falls are over,
what does that mean for how the market is to be traded?
Since 2008 advertiser demand has halved, whilst with
the growth of the Online medium, consumers now
spend a similar amount of time online (13.5 hrs) as they
do watching TV (15.4hrs) (Source: IAB Mediascope).
This growth in media consumption has largely benefitted
non-Irish media owners such as BSkyB in TV and
Facebook, Twitter etc. in Online. Advertising money has
followed consumers, consequently, the halving of
advertiser demand has affected Irish media owners even
more than the headline halving of revenue suggests.
Beneath the headline revenue drop, Irish media owners
have also seen their share of advertising revenues drop
as money has moved to non-Irish media owners.
Source: Colourbox.com
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“Advertising revenue is going to grow by 2%-3% in 2014”
7. Unfortunately, during this media recession, certain media owners
have not responded to the tumultuous business environment by
revolutionising the structure of their ad-sales businesses in order
to make them more commercially fit for purpose. Lots of local
based sellers have “old” and “new” media in silos (often in different
buildings). Mindshare media buyers are multi-media. This allows our
traders to deliver on adaptive plans and react to real time
movements that affect our media buys, be that sales data, the
weather or social media. The Mindshare Exchange team react across
all media.
Multimedia trading is about extracting value; buying more of what
media owners have to sell (if we want to) will mean that we drive
more value for clients, whilst also having a more holistic approach
to that media owners’ audience and delivery. It means that our
buyers are more joined up with the planning process, thinking about
the whole audience and not just bits of it. If our media owner
partners have a valuable audience, we’ll buy more of it at the right
price.
A few rays of sunshine on the 2014 media horizon will encourage
some media owners to try to raise their price. Whilst media has
decent prospects in 2014 the general business environment is still
tough. Irish consumers looking for every day value means that
retailers are largely competing on price. This then has
consequences, particularly for FMCG companies and the margins
of their Irish businesses. Hence, Mindshare will strongly resist media
price rises on behalf of our clients.
So in summary, 2014 starts to see an Irish media recovery, but
media owners with old-fashioned structures or who try to raise their
prices better beware.
“Multimedia trading is about
extracting value”
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8. BEING ADAPTIVE Aoife Dunlevy & Paul Enright
Adaptive marketing is about brands getting closer to consumers via
media, particularly digital media. We can leverage the data those
relationships and media generate to rapidly adapt marketing activity
to make it more competitive, more relevant and crucially, more
profitable.
We are already beginning to see the first signs of this with Sky’s trial
of Adsmart. It allows advertisers to tailor TV ads to specific
households based on age, gender, estimated income and where
they live. It turns your Sky box into your own individual ad server!
For example, a car brand would serve a people carrier ad to a family,
but a sporty model to a younger customer without children.
How does adaptive marketing affect media?
In Mindshare Ireland we have invested in making our agency
adaptive. Our data team work with clients to find ways to create
better business intelligence from multiple data sources. Our cross
media implementation team can pull learnings from one media and
apply it to another so that we constantly push for better and more
profitable campaigns.
We are in an age where consumers expect more from marketing,
they don’t want one size fits all, instead they are responding best
to campaigns which are tailored personally to them. Adaptive
marketing can deliver this; campaigns which combine data from
multiple sources to find new opportunities, and which constantly
learn from consumer responses to become ever more specific.
In many ways Irish media is already adaptive, television campaigns
are optimised daily based on overnight ratings from Nielsen and
digital media is continually monitored and adapted accordingly. Our
media buying ethos has already shifted to an audience model.
Direct response campaigns are a good example of adaptive
marketing with multiple data sources used to constantly refine the
audience and drive better return on investment. As media platforms
evolve, the proliferation of available data will open up even more
ways to make media adaptive.
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Kleenex adapts for the flu season!
The Kleenex team in Mindshare London fused flu data from both
Google and the NHS to geo-locate UK flu outbreaks in real time last
winter. Once they knew where the flu bug was about to hit, they
were then able to evolve the media plan with activity and
investment shifted to those locations. The logic was that demand
would be higher in affected areas and by focusing on these
locations rather than a traditional nationally targeted campaign,
Kleenex could maximise return on investment. The campaign was
a phenomenal success with sales up 40% YOY, and went on to win
Gold at Cannes Lions 2013.
9. ADAPTING FOR 2014 with Norm Johnson
Norm is the Chief Digital Ocer for Mindshare Worldwide
Q. You’ve recommended that brands need to revisit the
established consumer journey model - what do you believe will
be the major challenge for brands seeking to do this in 2014?
Mobile will continue to be the key driver in changing the consumer
journey. Whether second-screen usage or instant price
comparisons, more people than ever will use their mobile to
accelerate through the consumer journey. Showrooming is the
most recent twist on the ever-evolving journey. Consumers now
research in the store only to buy at a competitive price online. So
we’ve gone from research online, purchase offline to research
offline, purchase online – often on your mobile phone in the
physical store itself.
Q. The move from the traditional media plan to marketing rules
may feel like an uncomfortable shift for some marketers – does
this actually mean that investment may become less
transparent as it moves and adapts?
brand safety, to determine what type of media sites can be
associated with their brand. It’s a bit like paid search. Most brands
will not scrutinize every keyword purchased, but they will want some
rules that govern the types of keywords that can be considered.
Q. Adaptive marketing feels like a particularly digital friendly
concept – do you believe it can be equally well executed in
traditional channels?
Digital accelerates adaptability, but also can be used to help adapt
offline. For example, we can correlate search and social activity with
TV advertising, and then adapt that TV plan based to up-weight
those programs that are generated greater consumer engagement
through Google and Facebook. Even with up-fronts there is the
opportunity to adapt the TV ad creative messaging based on online
data such as buzz monitoring or social shares that can provide
some insight into what messaging and creative is resonating with
audiences.
Media will remain transparent in the sense that everyone will know
the rules, but it may become less disclosed in the sense that
advertising may be more focused on audiences and results rather
than specific media inventory. However, even within this new type
of buying, brands will need to develop rules, particularly around
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10. SOCIAL MEDIA MAKING ITS MARK IN 2014 Maeve O’Gorman & Aideen Murphy
2014 will hopefully be the year that social media grows up. At this
point it is an essential part of the marketing mix, but many brands
are still confused about the role it plays for their business. So what
are some of the major opportunities for 2014?
Photocommunication
The days of text based social updates are past. The growth of
platforms like Instagram mean that brands need to focus on
minimising copy and maximising visual assets.
Photocommunication has been driven by the development of
camera features on mobile phones. Consumers use image sharing
apps daily; from Snapchat with self-deleting photos to Life Crumbs,
a photo diary. It’s estimated that 10% of all photos ever taken were
taken in the last 12 months! For 2014 the implications are clear; say
it with pictures not words.
“Forget conversation calendars,
build content strategies.”
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Micro video
Until now video content on social media was generally long-form,
but costs made this prohibitive for most brands. The consumer
trend of making quick videos on Vine and Instagram is very much
welcomed.
The opportunity this offers brands is to create on-the-go shoots and
produce snippets of video content, without the expense of formal
production. These short video clips will work nicely in the new
Facebook auto-play for video feature.
Social is Mobile
While advertisers have struggled with the challenges of effectively
investing in mobile, social media is ready because the channel is
already inherently mobile. Around 80% of Twitter’s traffic in Ireland
is mobile and in any given month 77% of Facebook users will access
it via mobile. Therefore any content published on these networks
is more likely to be seen on a mobile device than desktop.
For advertisers this presents one of the easiest entry points to
mobile, with all of the rich targeting options that are unique to social
media.
11. Social ads
Internal social metrics (likes etc.) are still important, but there are
new opportunities to use social ads for a different return on
investment. One new option is to use Facebook’s Custom
Audiences to target people on Facebook based on previous
interaction with your brand - an incomplete purchase or a mobile
app they haven’t used recently. Twitter’s big move is to target TV
spends; their Twitter and TV tool has just launched in Ireland. Brands
can expect to see more budgets going into social media ads in 2014
but spent differently than before.
Don’t dismiss Google
There is a certain déjà vu to talk about Google as an upcoming
social trend but 2014 may be the year when it finally plays a serious
role. Google itself has evolved; from a functional search engine that
links to websites, to an online curator which guesses what
consumers are seeking and suggests content. This shift towards
semantics means that SEO strategy will move away from keyword
tagging and towards regular updates of long-form content and
linked to Google+.
Advertisers will need to update their Google+ profiles more regularly
and ensure their key influencers have proper Google Authorship.
This won’t mean a major increase of resource going into Google+
management, but more attention will be needed.
Forget conversation calendars, build content strategies
In summary the evolution of the image and video options,
combined with the growth of native ads will mean 2014 is the year
of content. Building content strategies requires long-term planning
and investment in assets. But for brands who develop content
strategies, social media will finally take its place as an integrated
and valued part of their communications planning.
SOCIAL CONSUMER TRENDS FOR 2014
Collaboration powered by social media goes mainstream. From Airbnb room rentals, now spreading to sharing cars and even dinners in homes.
Humour bombing is rife, with memes developing as soon as a story breaks. Being the first to share the joke endows social credibility.
Social cliques; Social networks are personified by the types of people who use them; I Pin because I am creative.
Innovation by consumers; through crowdsourcing consumers are directly investing in products and services.
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12. THE RESEARCH STARTING POINT Mark Kelly, Ollie Smith and Peter Flanagan
E-commerce and Online Retail is a category with
huge potential to grow in Ireland. Here, we outline
some of the most important developments in
search marketing that can help the category
achieve its undoubted potential.
Mobile Opportunity
79% of Irish adults now have a portable online
device, and up to 4 in 10 searches are conducted on
mobile. This represents a significant opportunity for
online retailers.
Using paid ads on Mobile search is an excellent way
to generate business. You can easily adapt your
advertising message depending on the user’s search
query, location and time of day. We have moved
beyond just tracking clicks, and now have the
capability of tracking the consumer journey right
through to the point of purchase.
Source@ Google analytics 2013
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13. Dynamic ads help to scale search
Product listing ads for Ireland?
Keeping paid search advertising up to date with an e-commerce
site’s changing products and offerings can be a real challenge. This
often results in a website’s merchandise being poorly represented
by paid search campaigns.
By Q2 2014 retailers may have the opportunity to have highly
targeted rich display ads on the search engine results page.
Advertisers can share their product lists, images, and prices with
Google by creating a Google Shopping account. Google can then
display these details in a grid as sponsored listings, or even as part
of an individual PPC ad. If launched in Ireland e-commerce retailers
will need to stay on top of their game to take advantage of it.
Google’s Dynamic Search Ads were introduced in 2013, and allow
retailers to automatically show consumers paid search ads based
on the website’s content. Google Adwords will automatically
generate the ad headline and site landing page, based on a search
query, without the need to add keywords.
Expect to see more online retailers build their list of advertised
products with the assistance of Dynamic search campaigns in 2014.
“Search engines have
embedded themselves as
the first point of research
before a purchase.”
Mobile voice search
Keep an eye out for developments in voice activated search. It
allows users to query products, model names or numbers by
speaking into their mobile device, minimising spelling errors from
fat fingers. Expect to see more search terms starting with “where is
the cheapest, what is the, and how much is…”, as searches become
more like questions.
Search engines have embedded themselves as the first point of
research before a purchase, whether the sale is completed online
or offline. The developments above help e-commerce sites address
many of the challenges they face, and should help search marketers
realise its full potential.
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14. FUTURE PROOFING RADIO IN 2014 Conor White
2013 proved a challenging year for the radio market once more.
While 2014 appears to be more optimistic, Irish commercial radio
needs to create new opportunities for selling its product. It is no
longer enough to simply talk about your radio show or personality,
but rather the station brand and franchise and delivering the radio
content to the consumer in whatever platform they desire.
There are some key considerations to look at for 2014:
Maximising Social Media opportunities
Radio has always been a two-way medium where the listeners
interact with the show and have a voice, no more so than now with
the developing strength of social media in the industry. This social
interaction is what makes radio stand out from other music
offerings such as iTunes or Spotify. It is vital that commercial
stations develop a very strong social network that reflects their
traditional listeners.
A strong mobile offering
With 66% of radio listeners having access to radio through their
mobile*, it is becoming more and more important to offer a
commercially friendly app and most importantly a free app. The key
to radio’s continued success is to develop into a multimedia
platform. (*Source: Ipsos MRBI (JNLR survey)
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Always on radio
Some great strides have been made over the last couple of years,
with the introduction of the Radio players, as well as a significant
increase in podcast downloads. Content is king, and while radio is
traditionally an immediate media, the opportunity to evolve into a
multimedia platform and offer archive content at any time opens
the possibility of target marketing for clients.
While 2014 will offer a number of new challenges to the radio
industry new opportunities such as digital partnerships could open
radio content to a new audience. With Spotify now in the Irish
market it is a great opportunity to work alongside radio groups to
share archives or even run live simulcasts.
2014 will be the a year of transformation in radio and will offer some
exciting new commercial opportunities.
“The key to radio’s
continued success is to
develop into a multimedia
platform”
15. MOBILE: THE LESSER TAPPED MEDIUM Keith Wallace
Mobile is fast becoming our go to device for internet browsing, 20%
of all global internet traffic is accessed via mobile* and we expect
this to continue to rise in the coming years. So what are the biggest
challenges/opportunities for mobile advertising in 2014?
Don’t shut the door
It may sound obvious but at present not all brands have a mobile
optimised site. Consumers expect a mobile friendly user experience,
with 37% saying they would immediately exit a website if it was not
mobile optimised (O2 media Christmas survey Oct 2013). Brands
that have not optimised for mobile are effectively closing their shop
door to more than 1 in 3 potential customers.
Quicker consideration
According to Microsoft, 70% of all PC based search tasks are
completed within one week, 70% of mobile search tasks are
completed within one hour. So for a brand hoping to do business
via mobile, they have an incredibly short window to work with and
anything they can do to shorten the consumer journey to sale is
extremely important. Building search campaigns with deep links
directly to the consumer’s goal is a massive opportunity for
brands (*Source: Statcounter Aug 2013)
What’s in it for me?
Mobiles are intensely personal devices, to encourage engagement
brands must offer value to consumers
In store - 55% of Irish consumers use their mobiles to showroom**
when in store (O2 media Christmas survey Oct 2013). This is a huge
opportunity for brands such as FMCG brands to create awareness
of new products, offer coupons or perhaps supply new recipes with
the aim of getting their brand into the shopping basket.
On the go - If done correctly location based advertising can
dramatically increase footfall in store. Finding out that Joes Café
down the road is doing half price coffee may just entice you to
swing by.
At home - The rise in second screening allows brands to target (real
time) ads to consumers while they watch bespoke TV programmes.
Brands that provide interesting and relevant content that enhances
the consumer experience may encourage brand affinity.
With the rise of 4G, mobile devices are going to become even more
powerful, advertising opportunities more prominent and the
potential to increase both profit and brand loyalty even greater.
Brands that set out clear mobile marketing plans will provide
themselves with a distinct competitive advantage in the year ahead.
**Using mobiles to compare prices, check reviews or product details while in store
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16. WHAT HAPPENS IN A DAY? Michael Kehoe and David Ahlstrom
A typical day in the life
Multi-screening
In the age of ever flowing data, we still have a need to understand
how consumers go about their typical day and what role media
plays within that day.
We know that multi-screening is on the increase and is clearly
evident when we look at the chart here. TV viewing is not being
viewed in isolation - 37% of ABC1 25-44 adults used social media,
37% browsed online and 33% searched online while watching TV.
This emphasises the importance for brands to adopt a multiscreen
approach, ensuring they are with their consumer every step of the
way.
The Day in the Life (DILO) research is a study of the media
consumption habits and activities of Irish consumers tracked across
a 24 hour period. With the growth in multi-screening and multiple
device usage, a fair and accurate way of measuring all media across
the day is required. A DILO report provides a single currency of
media consumption across all media touch points. Our second DILO
report, conducted in June 2013, with a 1,000 nationally
representative sample measures media consumption patterns and
other activities they participated in yesterday on an hourly basis.
“a single currency
of media consumption across
all media touchpoints”
Source: Mindshare Day in the Life of study 2013
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17. Device Usage
When do main shoppers go shopping?
DILO also allows clients to look at cross-media consumption and
device usage for different audiences; enabling greater
understanding of media consumption and more acute targeting for
campaigns. For example, 81% of ABC1 25-44 adults watched TV
yesterday with 69% watching via a regular TV set. No major
surprises! However, 10% watched TV via their computers and 9%
watched TV on their smartphones which is something we expect
to increase in the coming year. The main implication is clear – the
need to widen audio visual (AV) campaigns beyond TV for added
reach.
The ability to overlay daily activities with media consumption hour
by hour is the key to accurately reaching consumers when in the
correct state of mind. From the graphics overleaf we can see the
differences between a standard weekday versus weekend. During
the week grocery shopping peaks from 10am-1pm and is at it’s
highest 4pm-5pm. While weekend shopping begins earlier and is
generally at a higher level across the day. When grocery shopping
is overlaid with media activities we can see that radio is generally
consumed close to the time of shopping, while online is with the
main shopper throughout their shopping experience.
DILO is a powerful tool allowing a deeper and comprehensive view
of the Irish consumer across a typical day. As media fragmentation
increases, it is vital we have this knowledge to apply to campaign
strategy and planning for 2014 and beyond.
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18. MAIN SHOPPER WITH KIDS: WEEKDAY
Source: Mindshare A Day in The Life (DILO)
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19. MAIN SHOPPER WITH KIDS: WEEKEND
Source: Mindshare A Day in The Life (DILO)
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20. THINKING DIGITAL
Mindshare’s structure as an organisation has evolved to better service our client’s digital requirements. We believe the future for all media is
integration and the adaptive nature of digital means we cannot afford to have it run separately and miss opportunities for better return on
investment through media synergy. Therefore we’ve adapted our structure from a separate digital team, to full integration of digital services
within our planning and buying teams.
Within the planning teams our Digital Strategy Directors, Fiona and Maeve work with clients to identify the challenges and opportunities
facing brands and provide strategic direction. The search marketing team’s work is intrinsic to digital strategy and Vanessa leads a team of
experts in paid search, SEO and analytics. Digital implementation is headed up by Jill Robinson who also leads AV [TV, Cinema and VoD] buying
thereby extracting maximum value across media.
Jill Robinson
Head of AV & Digital Investment
@J_Ro
Maeve O’Gorman
Digital Strategy Director
@MaeveOG
How does cross media implementation benefit clients?
We have structured the agency so that buyers are more integrated
into the planning process, trading cross platform, ensuring the
process is more streamlined. For our clients it means we are best
placed to take advantage of the cross media solutions available in
the market to deliver the right audience, in the right environment.
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What are you most optimistic about for 2014?
The popularity of the data discussion and its potential uses are
building towards the creation of some really exciting activity. It’s
nothing new for marketing to use business intelligence to create
great campaigns, but the difference now is that the quantity and
variety of data being captured by brands will lend itself to new and
original ideas.
21. Fiona Gallagher
Digital Strategy Director
@FiGall01
Vanessa Vallejo
Head of Search
@VanVallejo
What is the key digital challenge facing clients in 2014?
What search trends are you most excited about for 2014?
In today’s world where consumers share on average 3,254 pieces
of personal info digitally per week and are constantly connected,
brands will need to create fast-decision making structures across
their entire organisations that can leverage real-time data
intelligence and dynamically communicate in key cultural
moments.
The convergence of mobile/voice search, 4G and responsive design
will make mobile central to all commerce, whether off or online.
Retailers that understand this and attribute their data accordingly
will be miles ahead of the competition in 2014.
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22. MAKING NEWS PAY – PRINT OR DIGITAL? Darren Bracken
We talked last year about how print titles are evolving to stay
relevant to the modern consumer and this still holds true. However,
we can see that print houses are doing more than just driving the
online version of their printed editions.
There are some key considerations to look at for 2014:
Revenue
In the last number of years we have seen huge declines in reported
Press revenues, as we go into 2014 that decline will reduce. This is
very positive news for the Press industry, in previous years they had
to contend with two elements, the declining revenue and the need
to adjust to the increasing digital needs of consumers and in turn
the integrated sales packages which were required by advertisers.
With the immediate threat of further revenue decline being
removed, we envisage news houses investing in further up-skilling
of their staff, which will benefit sales offers. News Houses also have
the added benefit of the World Cup next summer, which will
undoubtedly add value in improved circulations and the potential
for increased advertising revenues.
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Digital beginning to drive revenue
Whilst newspapers have been investing in their digital offerings, the
return on investment from digital advertising revenue has been
disproportionate. However, fortunes turned towards the end of
2013 with many publishers citing improvements in revenues, mainly
due to digital growth. For example, Independent News and Media’s
Jan-Sep report stated a 8.1% ad revenue decline versus 12.7% for
Jan-Jun; essentially an 18% increase in digital revenues Jul-Sep
improving their position.
What has been the turning point for News Houses? There are several
reasons – adjusting their sales offering to include better crossplatform packages and sales teams adequately equipped to do this
job and in fact in 2013 we’ve seen Irish Sun, Irish Mirror and Sunday
World all launch their websites. One other important change has
been the improvement in the advertising opportunity – landmark
and high impact formats, rich media and video opportunities, simply
good brand building formats.
In 2014 we will see digital contributing an even larger percentage
of the overall revenue, driving better return on investment.
23. Is circulation the only measure?
Paywalls: To change or not to change
In 2013 we still saw newspaper circulations in decline, however
readership for newspapers is holding at 81% (all adults). But should
we be so focused on circulation figures when online readership is
growing? 13% of all adults read newspapers online, but this figure
increases significantly for certain demographics – 39% of ABs
working full-time read a daily newspaper online.
Throughout 2013 we saw news houses announcing the possible
introduction of paywalls for their products in 2014. We in Mindshare
do not see this as a positive move for the industry. Paywalls while
providing short term gain in terms of subscription revenues,
ultimately leads to huge declines in visitor numbers to the websites
and dilutes the digital offering they are selling to clients, as the
potential reach of a campaign is restrained. In 2014 we would hope
to see newspapers reversing these plans.
Publishers however are still attempting to counteract circulation
declines through (1) branding campaigns such as Irish Times, Irish
Independent and more recently the Sunday Business Post; and (2)
short-term promotions, those that result in small increases in
circulation week on week (CDs, books, offers). Like all other brands
newspapers have the same issue juggling brand building and
activations.
Currently we see that those who continue to invest in activations
are maintaining their figures. The Irish Daily Mail saw the least
decline in the latest ABC report (Jan-Jun13) with 51,740 down from
51,841.
“In 2014 we will see digital
contributing an even larger
percentage of the overall
revenue for news houses”
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24. USE YOUR DATA TO SEE THE WOOD FOR THE TREES Dave Bruen
The Big Data conversation rolls on. For governments and citizens;
Edward Snowden, whistle-blowing and NSA surveillance, all illustrate
the sheer volume of data in circulation and the controversy around
privacy. For marketers, how best to gain insights from available data
sources remains a priority. And these insights come, not from
having myriads of data, but from having the ability to gather,
integrate and analyse that data.
Clients who are successfully navigating their way through these
data sets are improving and refining their CRM and customer
segmentation models, to identify valuable customers and develop
more effective retention and acquisition strategies.
These are also the clients who acknowledge that the best results
come when there is a commitment to data sharing and evaluation.
Given the complex nature of the consumer decision making process
and path-to-purchase, a focus on the last consumer touch point,
whether it‘s a phone call, search click or display banner, is no longer
appropriate. Effective measurement now requires that every brand
engagement is factored into the model. While effective attribution
modelling allows us to improve efficiencies and gather insights we
also believe that a more holistic approach is also required; that is
the correlation of the many variables that influence business
performance, with the results.
So what’s the promise? As we’ve discussed before the proliferation
of data can be a double-edged sword and sometimes it’s hard to
see the wood for the trees. However it’s an area where we are now
adding real value for clients. Through client accessible dashboards
we are providing transparency and an up-to-date sharing facility that
saves time, provides greater visibility and accountability and delivers
insights to support internal business decisions.
Source: Facegroup
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25. Last year we introduced our web-based analytics tool and this has
now been developed further, to introduce real-time web-tracking
and baseline analysis. Furthermore our technology team in the UK
has been developing best-in-class proprietary tools that are we are
now ready to share. So now we have a suite of tools and applications
that are accessible to all of our clients; large and small, local and
global. And we’re ready to bring these solutions to even more
Mindshare clients in 2014.
And how would we like our clients to proceed?
Clean up your data; by determining what is actually valuable
through a data audit you can reduce your data storage costs and
put the valuable data in clean usable formats.
Share your data with your business partners, the full benefits of your
data will be realised when combined with data from other sources.
Invest in tools, the scale of the data requires tools that can delve
into it and discover correlations that will guide your business
towards better return on investment.
Source: Flickr Creative Comms
“…insights come, not from
having myriads of data,
but from having the ability to
gather, integrate and analyse
that data”
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26. DIGITISING OUT OF HOME Jane Nash, Vivienne Storan, Clodagh Ryan
As all media evolves into the digital world, outdoor is no different
with digital Out of Home (OOH) innovations set to be at the centre
of 2014. With consumers exposed to so many brands and media
formats, driving engagement and relevancy has become
increasingly difficult to achieve. Further, consumer demand for
more entertaining and relevant advertising has led to the ever
evolving digital innovations currently taking hold within this sector.
To make brands more relevant and engaging, outdoor advertisers
need to adapt to these evolving innovations.
As far as digital signage goes, only tremors have been felt to date
with the real explosion yet to take hold. The exciting thing is the
progression of OOH becoming a much more targeted and
accountable medium. Traditionally, OOH has been used as a big
impactful medium, guaranteed to reach a mass audience. There’s
no denying that creating big impact and high reach is still a key role
of OOH, but with the help of newer specialised digital technologies,
OOH is set to become a lot more tailored in how it can deliver more
relevant messages and this in itself will have greater impact and cut
through for brands.
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Similar to cookies that follow us as we navigate online, there will be
new technology that will soon follow us on our morning and
evening commute, think Minority Report, when we all thought that
digital future was so far ahead, that kind of digital targeting in OOH
is now upon us.
“As far as what digital
signage can oer, only
tremors have been felt to date
with the real explosion yet
to take hold.”
27. Some of the key trends to look out for across digital outdoor:
Facial recognition – to serve targeted outdoor ads by age, gender
and mood. This technology is already here with Tesco having begun
trialling in the UK but has yet to be fully embraced.
With these advances in digital technology set to be embraced
across 2014, it’s exciting times ahead for consumers who are going
to receive a much more engaging and tailor-made experience from
brands looking to reach them through OOH.
Contextual Advertising – consumers being served digital outdoor
ads relevant to their situation for example it’s almost lunchtime so
an ad for a restaurant near by.
NFC ( Near Field Communications) – we really expect this to grow
in 2014 as smartphone penetration increases allowing advertisers
to serve consumers with additional advertising rich media content,
product information and promotional offers to name a few.
Personal preference – through building up profiles on consumer
shopping habits from mobile devices and NFC, advertisers can
target consumers with products they’re likely to have an interest
in based on previous experience.
Source: Kinetic & endgadget.com
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28. EXTENDING TV REACH WITH VoD Ken Nolan
Video on Demand (or VoD for short) is not new news. It has been a
part of media plans for a number of years and for most advertisers
has sat most comfortably when signing off TV activity.
The argument for VoD on plans is a simple one. TV consumption
has become more fragmented. To ensure that we are reaching and
maintaining strong coverage, agencies seek out eyeballs, whether
they are viewing on 50” plasma or on an iPad. In the same way
consumers are no longer channel loyal but content loyal, our plans
similarly follow where the content and audience are.
Is VoD an extension of TV or Digital?
It is not a cop-out to say it is both.
As an extension of your TV plan, wherever people are choosing to
watch their favourite programme, be that live on TV, on catch up
via player, or online via a streamed site – we need to make sure that
we are capturing these eyeballs. It is not just TV, it is AV.
VoD, when bought efficiently, results in incremental reach on TV
campaigns. The amount of incremental reach depends on each
specific campaign and audience. A rough guide on how the unique
incremental reach VoD can add to TV campaigns (source: GroupM
Ireland) is as follows:
·
·
Housekeepers with Children: 5 percentage points
·
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Adults 25-44: 6 percentage points
Adults: 4 percentage points
29. Understanding incremental reach and coverage is essential to
reassure marketers of the success of VoD on plans. In Mindshare we
use a proprietary tool called WebKarma that allows us to measure
combined TV and VoD reach, and shows us the incremental reach
using both channels offers. This gives our clients not only the
assurance what they are doing is correct – but the confidence to
really look and grow their AV penetration in the marketplace.
On YouTube and increasingly on other channels, consumers can
skip after 5 seconds. On Vine the max time is 6 seconds. Often
traditional TV ads place the message or key take out at the end.
When content is viewed online messages need to be front weighted
and ideally made for that medium. The work done by Lyons and VHI
this year are two prime examples of brands understanding how best
to use the medium.
Through econometric study, we have measured the effect of VOD
upon last click and compared those results to other Online formats.
Whilst we need to carry out further study across a wider group of
advertisers, our initial findings point to VOD delivering 5 times the
influence on the final click compared to other Online formats.
Points to remember for VoD planning:
·
VoD is an extension of TV and so needs to be on every plan
alongside your TV buy to help build reach and coverage.
·
When planning TV creative, brief in your creative agency from
the outset that you will be using VoD channels.
·
Make sure there is other online, search etc. running alongside
the VOD campaign in order to maximise the Online effects.
·
Plan and buy VOD using and reporting the same audiences as
your other TV and Online activity.
Can we simply run our TV ad on VoD?
While the simple answer would be yes, this is not respecting the
format. To do this would be the same as taking a print ad and
putting it on outdoor and expecting the same results. This approach
is simply a tick-the-box exercise, but not maximising the return you
can get within that given channel by tailoring the message to suit
the medium.
How consumers view content is changing. Online video ads
outscore TV ads 2-to-1 in message recall, according to IAB/Nielsen
study – so brands need to make the message count!
“VoD, when bought eciently,
results in incremental reach on
TV campaigns”
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30. ADAPTING DIGITAL TO DRIVE RESPONSE Ricky Joyce & Maeve O’Gorman
Digital Direct Response (DR) advertising refers to online campaigns
which are planned to derive a specific reaction from consumers at
the lowest possible cost. Digital DR is in a constant state of flux,
driven by the speed at which the latest and greatest technology is
replaced and surpassed by new products. It’s about being adaptive,
which you will have already come across in this book. To be at the
cutting edge of this for 2014, we consider the five areas below as
paramount;
1. Increased investment in Programmatic buying
2. Taking on the cookie challenge
Cookies - small pieces of code that are dropped onto an internet
browser to track activity - have received bad press recently, and
some of the big players in the online space (Google, Facebook) have
begun to develop their own solutions to try to replace cookies.
This development could disrupt the current models of online DR
advertising which depend on them. Cookies provide advertisers with
information about the consumers viewing and interacting with their
ads for tracking and optimisations. This may become a major issue
in the future but we believe the cookie is safe, for now.
Programmatic buying means the utilisation of automated buying
within a campaign, usually based on a mixture of algorithms and
adaptive marketing rules set by the advertiser. Programmatic buying
software analyses numerous factors to determine how best to buy,
phase and optimise digital campaigns.
An increasing share of display advertising is moving towards
programmatic buying due to its inherent efficiency. Although
programmatic suggests little or no human intervention, algorithmic
optimisation can only do so much. Smart optimisations made by
analytical traders amplify performance significantly. Brands can
expect to see more programmatic buying on plans in 2014 and
better performance as a result.
Source: Deweys.com
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31. 3. Going mobile
5. Improving your performance measurement
One major weakness with the cookie solution is the unfortunate
fact that it simply does not work on mobile. Mobile already
represents 20% of all internet traffic globally (Statcounter, Aug 13)
and it is the only media where consumption is growing (eMarketer).
The key to cracking mobile DR is to plan efficient user experiences
and deliver consumers to their goal as directly as possible. There
are areas where mobile DR will excel; e.g. driving calls to call centres
and providing location information. Brands should create mobile
friendly information on their websites to capitalise on these
opportunities.
Getting your attribution right is more important than ever before,
in fact 55% of marketers expect to invest more in understanding
attribution better in 2014 than ever before (eMarketer Sep 13).
These tools can be expensive to set up but the long term business
benefits are massive. As brands better understand the roles of
different media in the consumer journey they can better adjust all
media investment to optimise towards both hard metrics like sales
and soft metrics like bounce rates.
4. The potential for social DR
Social media platforms namely Facebook have long offered brands
low cost inventory within very basic ad formats on their sites. The
development of the Facebook Exchange, was the first major move
to grow this. In 2014 this will evolve again as Facebook are testing
the roll-out of their ads outside of their own site. Taking
opportunities to use rich social data outside of social networks will
be of massive benefit to brands.
The brands that embrace these challenges and hit them head on
will be the ones who find themselves in the best position to speak
more effectively to their target audience. Digital DR is a long road
with many twists and turns, but for the ones who get it right, it is a
journey worth taking.
“opportunities to use rich social
data outside of social networks
will be of massive benefit”
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32. THE INTERNET OF THINGS (TO COME) Fiona Gallagher
There is much in this document that details how data, technology
and mobile have changed forever the path to purchase funnel and
how this will play out for brands in 2014. However, it is important
to note that these influences are just stepping stones to a world
where it will be hard to determine the physical line between devices,
individuals and the internet. Hand held mobile devices (be it a
smartphone, tablet or the cross-breed phablet) will evolve into
‘wearables’ such as Google Glass headsets, Samsung Galaxy Gear
smart-watches, rings and even t-shirts that can monitor our heart
rate or determine what shoppers actually see as they navigate
around the shopping aisle.
The Irish adult has on average access to three on-the-go mobile
devices at home*, but shortly the home will see more and more
devices – TV, radio, kitchen appliances and food packing – IPenabled and seamlessly connected to the Internet via the Cloud.
More screens and more data – all providing the opportunity for
brands to both dynamically identify and address consumers at the
exact moment of need or alternatively deliver content at
unexpected times.
We talk about the challenge of Big Data but, truth be known, we are
merely shaking hands with Baby Data whilst that growing shadow
behind us is Daddy Data
We talk about content marketing but more connected devices
giving rise to more screen real-estate means that brands equally
need to be focusing on their screen distribution strategies. The
buzzword of 2013, ‘native advertising’, already represents a move
away from standardised ad formats, such as MPUs or skyscrapers
that sit on the side line of the content to ads that are much more
contextually relevant and tend to be delivered within the news
steam of mobile newsfeeds.
No longer can audiences be defined by their demographic, and no
longer can media be defined by channel. Rather, in 2014 I would
encourage brand marketing teams to foster and harness greater
collaboration with their sales, product and shopper marketing
colleagues to ensure that multiple data sources are collated to both
apply real-time intelligence and content creation for the next stage
of connected consumer, connected devices and connected homes.
“brands need to be focusing on
their screen distribution strategies.”
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*(Source: eircom HSS report Sep 13)
33. For more information on the topics that you have read here –
check out the following blog posts on blog.mindshare.ie
Social Media
The Internet of Things
Twitter Driving Word Of Mouth And Sales April 2013
Have you got The Gear? September 2013
Four Ways To Boost Your Brand’s Visibility On Facebook
September 2013
Google Glass – The Future In Sight October 2013
Print
Search
Musings on the Press Industry April 2013
PPC & SEO – Should We Bid On Terms When We Rank Organically?
January 2013
JNRS Embrace Digital In Their Latest Survey September 2013
Tips for Improving Adwords Quality Score November 2013
Mobile
AV
Online video – An IAB Study from The US May 2013
Brands Who Dare September 2013
Rise Of The Tablet April 2013
Turning Mobile Apps Into Sales Engines October 2013
Radio
Spin is Growing Up June 2013
Consumer Insights
What do we mean by Engagement? May 2013
Day In The Life Research November 2013
Are we all Emotionally Weak? December 2013
All the facts and figures from JNLR October 2013
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