A Football Season in Statistics – 2012/13
Summary of findings
% of Academy player appearances in the first team during
2012/13 season
Context
“Doing the same
things over and over
again and expecting
different results”
The definition of Insanity
Albert Einstein
The power of possession
The power of possession
Charles Reep
• The first analysis of
football - 1950s
• 90% of all
possessions end in
less than 4 passes
The study became
the basis of the long
ball game - get to
other penalty area in
less than 4 passes
Comparing Charles Reep’s
Analysis to the modern game
The power of possession
How do we compare?
The power of possession
A game of 2 halves?
Teams that have more possession
•Have more shots
•Score more goals
•Concede less goals
•Win more games
Possession - The role of the individual
3 of the top 5 originate from Barca’s academy- Toure
played for Barca - is this talent ID or a consequence of a
coaching model
The power of possession
• Jaeson Rosenfeld study -StatDna
• Studied 100,000 passes in
Brazilian Serie A
• Calibrated passes by Difficulty
rating including
• Pass Distance
• Pressure on receiver
• Forward Pass
• Air Pass
• Head Pass
• One Touch pass
Is pass accuracy a consequence of Skill?
The power of possession
• No discernable difference on the
pass quality
• Most accurate passers will:
 Get in right place to receive
 Find pockets with limited
pressure
 Engineer easier passes by
virtue of their position on the
pitch
 Accuracy dominated by
simplification
Is pass accuracy a consequence of Skill?
The power of possession
• No discernable difference on the
pass quality
• Least accurate passers will:
 Be position poor
 Dwell on the ball
 Poor body shape on receipt
 Over complicate
Is pass accuracy a consequence of Skill?
Turnovers
1.52
goals per game
1.18
goals per game
Goals conceded
1.15
goals per game
1.42
goals per game
Goals scored
Teams with
most
turnovers
Teams with
fewest
turnovers
Data based on all premier League game’s 2008-11
Turnovers
Possession- Observations
Core capability of the
modern game
Movement and positioning
as important as pass
accuracy
Low touch fast penetrative
movement key in final third
Capacity to exploit
turnovers is key
Capacity to change pace
based on strategic triggers
Some Suggestions!
Possession!
Training
Needs to be directional
Should include strategic
triggers - quick/slow etc
Movement and positional
work as important as pass
accuracy
Final third low touch coupled
with penetrative movement
Finishing
Finishing
% of Goals scored
inside the area
La Liga 87.1%
Bundesliga 86.7%
Premier 84.6%
Serie A 84.1%
Ligue 1 83.9%
Finishing -Observations
The 80%+ scoring zone
appears to be universal
across all elite leagues
Goal to chance conversion
rates at the top end 25%+
One of our poorest game
attributes
How do we replicate scoring
in training?
Suggestions!
Scoring!!
Frequency of use of keepers
in sessions
Frequency of the use of goals
in training
Emphasis on development of
subconscious capability in the
80% zone
Dribbling
The most successful
dribbler in Europe was
Frank Ribery he averaged
4.5 successful dribbles per
game
Dribbling is not overly
dominant in the modern
game
Dribbling is obviously an
essential and effective skill
provided it is part of a bigger
package e.g. Messi, Ribery
and Diego - high on
dribbles, goals and assists
Dribbling - Observations
Defending
Tackling - a
perspective
Xabi Alonso’s response to a question
posed by “The Guardian” re:How he
was surprised to see so many young
players at Liverpool herald tackling as
1 of their strengths
“I can’t get into my head that football
development would educate tackling
as a quality, something to learn,to
teach, a characteristic of your play.
How can that be a way of seeing the
game? I just don’t understand football
in these terms. Tackling is a last resort
and you will need it, but it isn’t a
quality to aspire to”
To Alonso tackling happens when
something goes wrong not right
Averaged 1
tackle every 2
games
Attack v Defence
The Italian way
5 v 10
Arrigo
Sacchi’s
great Milan
team of the
80’s / 90s
would run
this drill to
prove how
strong they
were
defensively
Defending - Observations
The modern day defender
appears to be more adept at
Forcing errors
Anticipating danger
Defending as part of a unit
Tackling appears a necessary
attribute rather than an
aspirational one
Tackling and winning aerial
duels are not overly dominant
within the modern game
Position specific profiles!
The data highlights
a number of
position specific
attributes e.g.
Attacking
midfielders masters
of assists from and
through Zone 14.
We need to create
prioritised position
specific profiles -
probably age
specific!!!
Measurement!
Measurement and
KPI’s are
increasingly
prominent in the
modern game we
need to develop a
suite of measures
that we universally
use to interpret
performance
individually and
collectively

Football Analysis summary

  • 1.
    A Football Seasonin Statistics – 2012/13 Summary of findings
  • 2.
    % of Academyplayer appearances in the first team during 2012/13 season Context
  • 3.
    “Doing the same thingsover and over again and expecting different results” The definition of Insanity Albert Einstein
  • 4.
    The power ofpossession
  • 5.
    The power ofpossession
  • 6.
    Charles Reep • Thefirst analysis of football - 1950s • 90% of all possessions end in less than 4 passes The study became the basis of the long ball game - get to other penalty area in less than 4 passes
  • 7.
  • 8.
    The power ofpossession How do we compare?
  • 9.
    The power ofpossession A game of 2 halves?
  • 10.
    Teams that havemore possession •Have more shots •Score more goals •Concede less goals •Win more games
  • 11.
    Possession - Therole of the individual 3 of the top 5 originate from Barca’s academy- Toure played for Barca - is this talent ID or a consequence of a coaching model
  • 12.
    The power ofpossession • Jaeson Rosenfeld study -StatDna • Studied 100,000 passes in Brazilian Serie A • Calibrated passes by Difficulty rating including • Pass Distance • Pressure on receiver • Forward Pass • Air Pass • Head Pass • One Touch pass Is pass accuracy a consequence of Skill?
  • 13.
    The power ofpossession • No discernable difference on the pass quality • Most accurate passers will:  Get in right place to receive  Find pockets with limited pressure  Engineer easier passes by virtue of their position on the pitch  Accuracy dominated by simplification Is pass accuracy a consequence of Skill?
  • 14.
    The power ofpossession • No discernable difference on the pass quality • Least accurate passers will:  Be position poor  Dwell on the ball  Poor body shape on receipt  Over complicate Is pass accuracy a consequence of Skill?
  • 15.
    Turnovers 1.52 goals per game 1.18 goalsper game Goals conceded 1.15 goals per game 1.42 goals per game Goals scored Teams with most turnovers Teams with fewest turnovers Data based on all premier League game’s 2008-11
  • 16.
  • 17.
    Possession- Observations Core capabilityof the modern game Movement and positioning as important as pass accuracy Low touch fast penetrative movement key in final third Capacity to exploit turnovers is key Capacity to change pace based on strategic triggers
  • 18.
    Some Suggestions! Possession! Training Needs tobe directional Should include strategic triggers - quick/slow etc Movement and positional work as important as pass accuracy Final third low touch coupled with penetrative movement
  • 19.
  • 20.
    Finishing % of Goalsscored inside the area La Liga 87.1% Bundesliga 86.7% Premier 84.6% Serie A 84.1% Ligue 1 83.9%
  • 21.
    Finishing -Observations The 80%+scoring zone appears to be universal across all elite leagues Goal to chance conversion rates at the top end 25%+ One of our poorest game attributes How do we replicate scoring in training?
  • 22.
    Suggestions! Scoring!! Frequency of useof keepers in sessions Frequency of the use of goals in training Emphasis on development of subconscious capability in the 80% zone
  • 23.
  • 24.
    The most successful dribblerin Europe was Frank Ribery he averaged 4.5 successful dribbles per game Dribbling is not overly dominant in the modern game Dribbling is obviously an essential and effective skill provided it is part of a bigger package e.g. Messi, Ribery and Diego - high on dribbles, goals and assists Dribbling - Observations
  • 25.
  • 26.
    Tackling - a perspective XabiAlonso’s response to a question posed by “The Guardian” re:How he was surprised to see so many young players at Liverpool herald tackling as 1 of their strengths “I can’t get into my head that football development would educate tackling as a quality, something to learn,to teach, a characteristic of your play. How can that be a way of seeing the game? I just don’t understand football in these terms. Tackling is a last resort and you will need it, but it isn’t a quality to aspire to” To Alonso tackling happens when something goes wrong not right
  • 27.
  • 28.
    Attack v Defence TheItalian way 5 v 10 Arrigo Sacchi’s great Milan team of the 80’s / 90s would run this drill to prove how strong they were defensively
  • 29.
    Defending - Observations Themodern day defender appears to be more adept at Forcing errors Anticipating danger Defending as part of a unit Tackling appears a necessary attribute rather than an aspirational one Tackling and winning aerial duels are not overly dominant within the modern game
  • 30.
    Position specific profiles! Thedata highlights a number of position specific attributes e.g. Attacking midfielders masters of assists from and through Zone 14. We need to create prioritised position specific profiles - probably age specific!!!
  • 31.
    Measurement! Measurement and KPI’s are increasingly prominentin the modern game we need to develop a suite of measures that we universally use to interpret performance individually and collectively