The document discusses the evolution of football tactics and possession-based play over time. It analyzes Charles Reep's 1950s study finding that 90% of possessions ended within 4 passes. Modern graphs show an increase in the number of passes per possession. The success of Spain's tiki-taka style is examined through World Cup and Euro tournament data on their passing statistics, possession percentages, and defensive metrics. Additional sections explore metrics like the "hot zone" area for shots, a player's passing profiles within different thirds of the pitch, and how possession percentages correlate with winning and losing.

1. The Future Game??

2. Content!
A 6 year revolution
Hot Zone ratio’s
Possession
Position profiling

3. The distant past?
Charles Reep
First meaningful analysis of football
1950-1967
• 90% of all possessions
end in less than 4 passes

4. Comparing Charles Reep’s Analysis
to the modern game
Number of passes before possession is lost
50.0%
Frequency
37.5%
25.0%
12.5%
0.0%
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Number of passes
1953-67
Prem league 2012
Spain u21s
7+

5. Premier League Long passing
% long passes - Over 35m
18%
17.3%
16%
16.6%
15%
14%
15.3%
14.2%
12.9%
12%
12.1%
11.9%
10%
8%
2006-7
2007-8
2008-9
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14

6. World Cup 2006

7. Spain’s Journey
Successful Pass Count
700
626
525
527
481
454
350
175
0
World Cup 2006
Euro 2008
World Cup 2010
Euro 2012

8. Spain’s Journey
Pass Accuracy
90%
90%
89%
88%
88%
88%
Euro 2008
World Cup 2010
87%
87%
86%
World Cup 2006
Euro 2012

9. Spain’s Journey
Possession in oppositions half
Euro 2008
46.8%
54%
World Cup 2010
59%
Euro 2012
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%

10. Spain’s Journey
Defensive
100
100
96
95
86
80
83
80
60
60
40
40
20
20
0
0
World Cup 2006
Euro 2008
Tackles
World Cup 2010
Interceptions
Euro 2012

11. Spain’s Journey
Other Changes
Less Shots -19 to 15
More shots in the area - up to 58%
Less Crosses per game - 12.75 to 9.17
Shot/goal ratio up to 12.6%

12. The Hot Zone

13. The Hot Zone

14. Ratio of Shots attempted in hot zone v shots conceded
in hot Zone
Season to 23/11/13
Hot zone shot analysis
3
Goal
Difference
Bayern
Athletico M
Man City
20+
Dortmund
Arsenal
Real
2
WBA
Stoke
West Ham
1
0
Barca
10+
Southampton
Chelsea
Spurs
Liverpool
Everton
Man U
Swansea
0+
Newcastle
Aston V Norwich
Cardiff
C.PalaceHull
Sunderland
Fulham
0
100
200
300
400
passes per game
30+
-10
500
600
700
-20

15. Ratio of Shots attempted in hot zone v shots conceded
in hot Zone
Season to 23/11/13
80% shot zone analysis
3
Goal
Difference
Bayern
Athletico M
Man City
20+
Dortmund
Arsenal
Real
2
WBA
Stoke
West Ham
1
0
30+
Barca
10+
Southampton
Chelsea
Spurs
Liverpool
Everton
Man U
Swansea
0+
Teams with a Ratio in excess of 2
Newcastle
Aston V Norwich
Cardiff
C.PalaceHull
Sunderland
Fulham
0
100
200
300
400
passes per game
-10
500
600
700
-20

16. Most prolific Creators in the Hot Zone
9
8.7
8.7
8.6
8.3
7.9
7.8
6
3.8
3
0
Bayern
Dortmund
Man City Real Madrid Athletico
Hot Zone shots
Barca
CCFC 18s

17. Bayern 3 v 0 Augsburg
Overall analysis

18. Bayern 3 v 0 Augsburg
Hot Zone shots

19. Bayern 3 v 0 Augsburg
Shot assists

20. Least prolific Creators in the
Hot Zone
3.9
4
3.1
3
3.1
Sunderland
C.Palace
Hot Zone shots
4
2.8
2
1
0
Fulham
CCFC
Aston Villa

21. Meanest Hot Zone Defences
4
3.75
3.75
Dortmund
Spurs
3.42
3
2.92
3
Bayern
Athletico
3.08
2
1
0
Man City
Arsenal
Hot Zone shots

22. Bayern 3 v 0 Augsburg
Augsburg Hot Zone shots

23. Bayern 3 v 0 Augsburg
Augsburg Shot assists

24. Hot Zone Data!
Implications for us!
Performance analysis measure
Hot Zone coaching - Creativity
Coaching Defending the Hot Zone
Scoring Conversion rate

25. Possession

26. % Wins
100%
100%
% wins
75%
80%
81%
50%
48%
46%
35%
25%
23%
0%
200-299
300-399
400-499
500-599
Pass Count
600-699
700-799
800-899

27. % Loses
48%
50%
38%
37.5%
35%
% loses
29%
25%
10%
12.5%
0%
0%
200-299
300-399
400-499
500-599
Pass Count
600-699
700-799
0%
800-899

28. Forward Passes
65%
A.Madrid
C.Palace
% Forward
60%
Aston Villa
Stoke
Dortmund
WBA Hull Newcastle
Norwich
Man Utd
Spurs
Fulham
Sunderland
Arsenal
Swansea
Southampton
West Ham
Everton
Cardiff Real
Barca
Chelsea
55%
50%
Liverpool
Bayern
Man City
45%
40%
0
100
200
300
400
500
Pass Count
600
700
800

29. Pass Accuracy
No of players over 90%
60
57
48
42
36
24
12
0
2012-13
2013-14

30. Pass Accuracy
Jaeson Rosenfeld study (StatDna)
Studied 100,000 passes in Brazilian Serie A
Calibrated passes by Difficulty rating
including
• Pass Distance
• Pressure on receiver
• Forward Pass
• Air Pass
• Head Pass
• One Touch pass

31. Pass Accuracy
No discernable difference on the pass quality
Most accurate passers will:
✓ Get in right place to receive
✓ Find pockets with limited pressure
✓ Engineer easier passes by virtue of their
position on the pitch
✓ Accuracy dominated by simplification

32. Pass Accuracy
No discernable difference on
the pass quality
Least accurate passers will:
✓ Be position poor
✓ Dwell on the ball
✓ Poor body shape on
receipt
✓ Over complicate

33. Possession!
Implications for us!
How do we measure it! !
Pass accuracy!
Movement patterns -Support or hurt!
Pitch geography!
Pass profiles!

34. Position profiling - Jerome Boateng
Champions League - Man City v Bayern Munich

35. Position profiling - Jerome Boateng
Man City v Bayern Munich - Overall dashboard

36. Position profiling - Jerome Boateng
Man City v Bayern Munich - Passes

37. Position profiling - Jerome Boateng
Man City v Bayern Munich - Attacking third passes

38. Position profiling - Jerome Boateng
Man City v Bayern Munich - Middle third passes

39. Position profiling - Jerome Boateng
Man City v Bayern Munich - Defensive third passes

40. Position profiling - Jerome Boateng
Man City v Bayern Munich - Short passing dashboard

41. Position profiling - Jerome Boateng
Man City v Bayern Munich - Long passing dashboard

42. Position profiling - Jerome Boateng
Man City v Bayern Munich - Passes received

43. Position profiling - Jerome Boateng
Man City v Bayern Munich - Defensive dashboard

44. Position profiling - Marc Bartra
Centre Back

45. Position profiling - Marc Bartra
Centre Back

46. Position profiling - Dani Alves
Champions League - AC Milan v Barcelona

47. Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves
AC Milan v Barcelona - Overall dashboard

48. Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves
AC Milan v Barcelona - Overall Passing dashboard

49. Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves
AC Milan v Barcelona - Attacking third Passing dashboard

50. Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves
AC Milan v Barcelona - Middle third Passing dashboard

51. Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves
AC Milan v Barcelona - Defensive third Passing dashboard

52. Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves
AC Milan v Barcelona - Long Passing dashboard

53. Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves
AC Milan v Barcelona - Short Passing dashboard

54. Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves
AC Milan v Barcelona - Chances created dashboard

55. Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves
AC Milan v Barcelona - Passes received dashboard

56. Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves
AC Milan v Barcelona - Defensive dashboard