ARCH751 | Fall 2013 | University of Pennsylvania

1. MING LIU / TARO INOUE
ARCH.751.001
NOV.26.2013

4. 5000
10000
15000
20000
1945
1948
1959
1995
2011
6062|MikawaEarthquake+MakurazakiTyphoon
4897|FukuiEarthquake
5098|IsewanTyphoon(Vera)
6482|GreatHanshinEarthquake
19137|Earthquake+Tsunami
Death Toll (1945-2011)

5. Tohoku/Sanriku Earthquakes

6. 869 貞観地震 Jogan Earthquake 8.3-8.6 30.0 1,000
742 1611 慶長三陸地震 Keicho Sanriku Earthquake 8.1-8.5 20.0 5,000
66 1677 延宝八戸沖地震 Eiho Hachinohe Earthquake 7.4-7.9 6.0 -
86 1763 宝暦八戸沖地震 Houreki Hachinohe Earthquake 7.4-7.9 5.0 -
30 1793 寛政地震 Kansei Earthquake 8.0-8.4 7.0 100
63 1856 安政八戸沖地震 Ansei Hachinohe Earthquake 7.5-7.7 7.0 38
40 1896 明治三陸地震 Meiji Sanriku Earthquake 7.2-8.6 38.2 21,959
1 1897 7.7 3.0 -
36 1933 昭和三陸地震 Showa Sanriku Earthquake 8.1-8.4 28.7 3,064
35 1968 十勝沖地震 Offshore Tokachi Earthquake 7.9 6.0 52
26 1994 三陸はるか沖地震 Offshore Sanriku Earthquake 7.6 0.6 3
17 2011 東北地方太平洋沖地震 Tohoku Earthquake and Tsunami 9.0 40.1 18,800
Magnitude
Dead
+Missing
Max. Tsunami
Height (m)
Intervals
37
78
285
NameYear
Tsunami
1 / 133.3 yrs
Earthquake
1 / 40 yrs

7. where
and
how many
should we build:

8. Kamaishi
釜石市

9. 0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
2013
2011
2009
2007
2005
2003
2001
1999
37,003
people
17,098
households
2011.3.11
Kamaishi

10. 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000
Agriculture
Forestry
Fishery
Mining
Construction
Manufacturing
Infrasctructure
IT
Transportation
Retail
Finance
Real Estate
Restaurants
Medical
Education
Integrated Services
Other Services
Government
Other
2005
2010
What Kamaishi People Do

11. 9.3 - 19.3m
14:46
15:21
35min

12. Death Toll Population % Dead Missing Victim % vs population
0-14 4004 10% 15 3 18 0.45%
15-64 21867 55% 269 68 337 1.54%
65+ 13716 35% 471 104 575 4.19%
Total 39587 100% 755 175 930 2.35%
Damage by
# of housings
(originally)
Totally Destroyed Mostly Destroyed Half Destroyed Partly Damaged Total
Earthquake 2 0 11 116 129
Tsunami 1003 180 108 92 1383
Total 1005 180 119 208 1512
3291
0 500 1000 1500
# of Damaged Houses
92% by Tsunami
8% by Earthquake

13. I do not want to return
I want to return but I cannot
I have already returned but I will leave
I want to return and stay there
I have already returned & will stay here
What are obstacles of your return?
Debris
Housing
53%
Loss of
ship/sea port
33%
Contamination
20%
Road/Building
Infrastructure
18%
11%

14. 3building types

15. Wood House
4.3
1 Unit (3 people)
38 square meter/unit
Emergy of each unit
x10 SeJ
16
Emergency Pod / 7.5 kg

16. Escape Shelter Noah
7.5kg (16.5 lbs)
φ1200mm (3.9 ft)
www.newcosmopower.com

17. Artifical Ground
19.3
20 Units (60 people)
38-45 square meter/unit
Emergy of each unit
x10 SeJ
16
Artifical Ground

18. Hillside Housing
20.4
16 Units (48 people)
38 square meter/unit
Emergy of each unit
x10 SeJ
16
Parking

19. Tohoku
Community/
Neighbourhood
Wood House + Escape Pod
Artificial Ground + Multi-Housing
Hillside Multi-Housing
Trans-
portation
Factory
Factory
Recovery
Fuels Minerals Goods Services
Fuels Minerals Goods Services World
Economy
Japanese
Economy
Labor
Services
Labor
Services
Waste
Ecosystem
Waste
Sun
Wind
Elec
(No Nuke)
WaterGas
Rain
Output
Waste
Bio
Mass
Mega
Solar
Wind
Turbine
Water
Mill
Elec
(No Nuke)

20. 3scenarios

21. Scenario 1
6.5
Rebuild 1512 Damaged Houses
Emergy Required
x10 SeJ
19
Next Time

22. Scenario 2
29.4
Rebuild 64 Artificial Grounds+15 Hillside Housings
Emergy Required
x10 SeJ
19
Hillside
Housing
Artifical Ground

23. Scenario 3
10.2
Rebuild 1268 Damaged Houses+EmergencyPods+15 Hillside Housings
Emergy Required
x10 SeJ
19
EmergencyPod

24. 2x10 SeJ
19
2011 2061 2111 22112161
4x10 SeJ
19
6x10 SeJ
19
8x10 SeJ
19
10x10 SeJ
19
12x10 SeJ
19
14x10 SeJ
19
16x10 SeJ
19
5.4x10 SeJ
19
29.4x10 SeJ
19
Tsunami
Maintenance
Scenario 1
Tsunami
Scenario 2
Scenario 3

25. Ise Jingu Grand Shrine
Vicennial Reconstruction
since 690AD