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Ranking of Earthquakes 20-21st Century
  Strong Earthquakes                              Deadly Earthquakes
Year          Place            Magnitude   Year           Place         Casualties
1960          Chili                  9.5   1976      China Tangshan         242800
1964         Alaska                  9.2   1920       China Ningxia         235502
2004   Indonesia Sumatra             9.1   2004     Indonesia Sumatra       227898
2011      East Japan                 9.0   2010           Haiti             222500
1952       Kamchatka                 9.0   1923       Japan Kanto           105000
2010          Chili                  8.8   2008      China Sichuan           87587
1906        Ecuador                  8.8   2005 Pakistan, Afghanistan        86000
1965 Alaska Aleutian Islands         8.7   1908        Italy Sicily          82000
2005   Indonesia Sumatra             8.6   1927       China Gansu            80000
1950      Tibet, Assam               8.6   1970           Peru               66794
1957 Alaska Aleutian Islands         8.6                    ・
                                                            ・
                                                            ・
                                           2011        East Japan            20001
Hazards Confronting Vulnerable Communities
             Cause Disasters
                       Disasters




   Hazard                          Vulnerability
   (risk assessment)               (societal conditions)   3
Less Disasters
                          Disasters




Hazard
                                      Vulnerability
(risk assessment)
                                      (societal conditions)   4
Four Phases of Disaster Reduction
Pre-Disaster

        Prevention & Mitigation
        Preparedness
Post-Disaster
        Response
        Recovery & Reconstruction
Real-time Earthquake Early Warning issued 8.6 seconds
after the first quake
 Earthquake!                Primary
                            Pressure
    Few Sec’s




                            wave
                            travels
                            much
                            faster than
    Several Sec’s




                            the                                        Epicenter
                            Secondary
                            Shake               15 seconds to Sendai
                            wave
                      Japan Met Agency
                       issues EEW and is
                    aired on TV, Radio and
                          cell phones
                                             65 seconds to Tokyo



 Protect yourself
 before the main
  shake comes!
NHK Broadcasting on March 11
    14:46 Emergency! Earthquake Early Warning




Live coverage of National Diet Session was being aired.
Suddenly the special alarm sound sets off and the special
screen broke in.
Tohoku Shinkansen (Bullet Train) immediately stopped
     No derailment, No fatalities, No injuries.




     Epicenter      P-wave detected      Power-off
                                                          Emergency
                        Seismo-       Electricity Power   Brake
                        meter         Transformer
     S-wave




                 Shinkansen running at 270km/h.
                          Safe Stop!
NHK Broadcasting on March 11
 14:48 Changed screen to live coverage from
 the automated camera in Sendai City.




Cut out from the live coverage of National Diet Session
14:49 JMA issues first Tsunami Warning to Pacific coast of Japan

            NHK Broadcasting on March 11
          14:50 Tsunami Warning Screen Aired




15:14 JMA upgrades Tsunami Warning based on the off shore
GPS buoy sea level observation. NHK immediately airs screen.
Tsunami Warning → Run!
           Disaster Education Tested!




                              Elementary   Junior High



Junior high school students helping elementary school
   children to run to high grounds in Kamaishi City.
Massive Evacuation !
                    Emergency Sirens for       Elementary School on hilltop
                     Tsunami Warning




                                           Signs of Tsunami Evacuation Building




Approx. 500,000 people in the
Tsunami inundated area.
Majority escaped.
But 20,000 did not make it!
                                                                  Photos by ADRC
(including 276 firefighters in duty)
Success & Failure of Mitigation Structures
                                                  Great Watergate of Fudai
                                                  15.5m high,
                                                  engineered to
                                                  withstand the 1896
                                                  tsunami.

                                                  All villagers safe.
                  Photo by Nihon Keizai Shinbun

                                                  Great Tsunami Levee of Taroo

                                                  10m high,
                                                  engineered to
                                                  withstand the 1933
                                                  tsunami.
                                                  Tsunami overran.
                                                  Catastrophic
                   Photo by Nikkei Construction   damage.
Lessons to be shared for future generations


                           December 2004
Lessons to be shared for future generations



                        September 2005
Lessons to be shared for future generations



                                 March 2011




                               Safe high grounds
Managing Catastrophic Risks - Satoru Nishikawa

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Managing Catastrophic Risks - Satoru Nishikawa

  • 1.
  • 2. Ranking of Earthquakes 20-21st Century Strong Earthquakes Deadly Earthquakes Year Place Magnitude Year Place Casualties 1960 Chili 9.5 1976 China Tangshan 242800 1964 Alaska 9.2 1920 China Ningxia 235502 2004 Indonesia Sumatra 9.1 2004 Indonesia Sumatra 227898 2011 East Japan 9.0 2010 Haiti 222500 1952 Kamchatka 9.0 1923 Japan Kanto 105000 2010 Chili 8.8 2008 China Sichuan 87587 1906 Ecuador 8.8 2005 Pakistan, Afghanistan 86000 1965 Alaska Aleutian Islands 8.7 1908 Italy Sicily 82000 2005 Indonesia Sumatra 8.6 1927 China Gansu 80000 1950 Tibet, Assam 8.6 1970 Peru 66794 1957 Alaska Aleutian Islands 8.6 ・ ・ ・ 2011 East Japan 20001
  • 3. Hazards Confronting Vulnerable Communities Cause Disasters Disasters Hazard Vulnerability (risk assessment) (societal conditions) 3
  • 4. Less Disasters Disasters Hazard Vulnerability (risk assessment) (societal conditions) 4
  • 5. Four Phases of Disaster Reduction Pre-Disaster Prevention & Mitigation Preparedness Post-Disaster Response Recovery & Reconstruction
  • 6. Real-time Earthquake Early Warning issued 8.6 seconds after the first quake Earthquake! Primary Pressure Few Sec’s wave travels much faster than Several Sec’s the Epicenter Secondary Shake 15 seconds to Sendai wave Japan Met Agency issues EEW and is aired on TV, Radio and cell phones 65 seconds to Tokyo Protect yourself before the main shake comes!
  • 7. NHK Broadcasting on March 11 14:46 Emergency! Earthquake Early Warning Live coverage of National Diet Session was being aired. Suddenly the special alarm sound sets off and the special screen broke in.
  • 8. Tohoku Shinkansen (Bullet Train) immediately stopped No derailment, No fatalities, No injuries. Epicenter P-wave detected Power-off Emergency Seismo- Electricity Power Brake meter Transformer S-wave Shinkansen running at 270km/h. Safe Stop!
  • 9. NHK Broadcasting on March 11 14:48 Changed screen to live coverage from the automated camera in Sendai City. Cut out from the live coverage of National Diet Session
  • 10. 14:49 JMA issues first Tsunami Warning to Pacific coast of Japan NHK Broadcasting on March 11 14:50 Tsunami Warning Screen Aired 15:14 JMA upgrades Tsunami Warning based on the off shore GPS buoy sea level observation. NHK immediately airs screen.
  • 11. Tsunami Warning → Run! Disaster Education Tested! Elementary Junior High Junior high school students helping elementary school children to run to high grounds in Kamaishi City.
  • 12. Massive Evacuation ! Emergency Sirens for Elementary School on hilltop Tsunami Warning Signs of Tsunami Evacuation Building Approx. 500,000 people in the Tsunami inundated area. Majority escaped. But 20,000 did not make it! Photos by ADRC (including 276 firefighters in duty)
  • 13. Success & Failure of Mitigation Structures Great Watergate of Fudai 15.5m high, engineered to withstand the 1896 tsunami. All villagers safe. Photo by Nihon Keizai Shinbun Great Tsunami Levee of Taroo 10m high, engineered to withstand the 1933 tsunami. Tsunami overran. Catastrophic Photo by Nikkei Construction damage.
  • 14. Lessons to be shared for future generations December 2004
  • 15. Lessons to be shared for future generations September 2005
  • 16. Lessons to be shared for future generations March 2011 Safe high grounds