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Do the following problems:
1) Exercise 6.5 in text.
2) Exercise 6.9 in text.
3) Exercise 6.14 in text.
4) Exercise 6.16 in text.
Problems
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Exercise 6.5:
Consider the Markov process illustrated below. The transitions are labelled by the rate qij at which those
transitions occur. The process can be viewed as a single server queue where arrivals become increasingly
discouraged as the queue lengthens. The word time- average below refers to the limiting time-average over
each sample-path of the process, except for a set of sample paths of probability 0.
Part a) Find the time-average fraction of time pi spent in each state i > 0 in terms of p0 and then solve for
p0. Hint: First find an equation relating pi to pi+1 for each i. It also may help to recall the power series
expansion of ex.
Solution: From equation (6.36) we know:
By iterating over i we get:
Solutions
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Where the last derivation is in fact the Taylor expansion of the function ex. Thus,
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We saw that so pi must decrease rapidly in for sufficiently large i. Thus
i
the fraction of time spent in very high numbered states must be negligible. This suggests that the steady-state
equations for the pi must have a solution. Since νi is bounded between µ and µ + λ for all i, it is intuitively clear
that i νipi is finite, so the embedded chain must be positive recurrent.
Part c) For the embedded Markov chain corresponding to this process, find the steady state probabilities πi for
each i ≥ 0 and the transition probabilities Pij for each i, j.
The embedded Markov chain will look like:
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Finding the steady state distribution of this Markov chain gives the same result as found above.
Part d) For each i, find both the time-average interval and the time-average number of overall state transitions
between successive visits to i.
Solution: Looking at this process as a delayed renewal reward process where each entry to state i is a renewal and
the inter-renewal intervals are independent. The reward is equal to 1 whenever the process is in state i.
Given that transition n − 1 of the embedded chain enters state i, the interval Un is exponential with rate vi, so
E[Un|Xn 1 = i] = 1/vi − . During this Un time, reward is 1 and then it is zero until the next renewal of the
process.
The total average fraction of time spent in state i is pi with high probability. So in the steady state, the total
fraction of time spent in state i (pi) should be equal to the fraction of time spent in state i in one inter-renewal
interval. The expected length of time spent in state i in one inter-renewal interval is 1/vi and the expected inter
renewal interval (Wi) is what we want to know:
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Applying Theorem 5.1.4 to the embedded chain, the expected number of transitions,
E [Tii] from one visit to state i to the next, is T ii = 1/Ï€i.
Exercise 6.9:
Let qi,i+1 = 2i−1 for all i ≥ 0 and let qi,i−1 = 2i−1 for all i ≥ 1. All other transition rates are 0.
Solution: The defined Markov process can be shown as:
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Part b) Find the transition probabilities for the embedded Markov chain and show that the chain is null-
recurrent.
Solution:
The embedded Markov chain is:
Part c) For any state i, consider the renewal process for which the Markov process starts in state i and
renewals occur on each transition to state i. Show that, for each i ≥ 1, the expected inter-renewal interval is
equal to 2. Hint: Use renewal reward theory.
Solution:
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Part d) Show that the expected number of transitions between each entry into state i is infinite. Explain why this does
not mean that an infinite number of transitions can occur in a finite time.
Solution: We have seen in part b) that the embedded chain is null-recurrent. This means that, given X0 = i, for
any given i, that a return to i must happen in a finite number of transitions (i.e., limn→∞ Fii(n) = 1). We have
seen many rv’s that have an infinite expectation, but, being rv’s, have a finite sample value WP1.
Exercise 6.14:
A small bookie shop has room for at most two customers. Potential customers arrive at a Poisson rate of 10
customers per hour; They enter if there is room and are turned away, never to return, otherwise. The bookie serves
the admitted customers in order, requiring an exponentially distributed time of mean 4 minutes per customer.
Part a) Find the steady state distribution of the number of customers in the shop.
Solution: The arrival rate of the customers is 10 customers per hour and the service time is exponentially
distributed with rate 15 customers per hour (or equivalently with mean 4 minutes per customer). The
Markov process corresponding to this bookie store is:
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Part b) Find the rate at which potential customers are turned away.
Solution:
The customers are turned away when the process is in state 2 and when the process is in state 2, at rate λ
= 10 the customers are turned away. So the overall rate at which the
19
Part c) Suppose the bookie hires an assistant; the bookie and assistant, working to gether, now serve each
customer in an exponentially distributed time of mean 2 minutes, but there is only room for one customer
(i.e., the customer being served) in the shop. Find the new rate at which customers are turned away.
Solution:
The new Markov process will look like:
Exercise 6.16:
Consider the job sharing computer system illustrated below. Incoming jobs arrive from the left in a Poisson
stream. Each job, independently of other jobs, requires pre-processing in system 1 with probability Q. Jobs in
system 1 are served FCFS and the service times for successive jobs entering system 1 are IID with an
exponential distribution of mean 1/µ1. The jobs entering system 2 are also served FCFS and successive service
times are IID with an exponential distribution of mean 1/µ2. The service times in the two systems are
independent of each other and of the arrival times. Assume that µ1 > λQ and that µ2 > λ. Assume that the
combined system is in steady state.
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Part a) Is the input to system 1 Poisson? Explain.
Solution: Yes. The incoming jobs from the left are Poisson process. This process is split in two processes
independently where each job needs a preprocessing in system 1
with probability Q. We know that if a Poisson process is split into two processes, each of the processes
are also Poisson. So the jobs entering the system 1 is Poisson with rate λQ.
Part b) Are each of the two input processes coming into system 2 Poisson?
Solution: By Burke’s theorem, the output process of a M/M/1 queue is a Poisson process that has the
same rate as the input process. So both sequences entering system 2 are Poisson, the first one has rate Qλ
and the second one has rate (1 − Q)λ. The overall input is merged process of these two that is going to be a
Poisson with rate λ (Since these processes are independent of each other.)
Part d) Give the joint steady-state PMF of the number of jobs in the two systems.
Explain briefly.
Solution: We call the number of customers being served in system 1 at time t as X1(t) and number of
customers being served in system 2 at time t, as X2(t).
The splitting of the input arrivals from the left is going to make two independent pro cesses with rates
Qλ and (1 − Q)λ. The first process goes into system 1 and defines X1(t). The output jobs of system 1 at
time t is independent of its previous arrivals. Thus the input sequence of system 2 is independent of
system 1. The two input processes of system 2 are also independent.
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Part e) What is the probability that the first job to leave system 1 after time t is the same as the first job that
entered the entire system after time t?
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Solution: The first job that enters the system after time t is the same as the first job to leave system 1 after time t
if and only if X1(t) = 0 (system 1 should be empty at time t, unless other jobs will leave system 1 before the
specified job) and the first entering job to the whole system needs preprocessing and is routed to system 1 (and
should need) which happens with probability Q. Since these two events are independent, the probability of the
desired event will be
Part f) What is the probability that the first job to leave system 2 after time t both passed through system 1 and
arrived at system 1 after time t?
Solution: This is the event that both systems are empty at time t and the first arriving job is routed to system 1
and is finished serving in system 1 before the first job without preprocesing enters system 2. These three
events are independent of each other.
The service time of the first job in system 1 is called Y1 which is exponentially distributed with rate µ1 and the
probability that the first job is finished before the first job without preprocessing enters system 2 is Pr{Y1 < Z}
where Z is the r.v. which is the arrival time of the first job that does not need preprocessing. it is also
exponentially distributed with
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Stochastic Processes Homework Help

  • 1. For any help regarding Stochastic Processes Assignment Help Visit :- https://www.statisticsassignmenthelp.com/ , Email :- info@statisticsassignmenthelp.com or call us at :- +1 678 648 4277 Statistics Assignment Help
  • 2. Do the following problems: 1) Exercise 6.5 in text. 2) Exercise 6.9 in text. 3) Exercise 6.14 in text. 4) Exercise 6.16 in text. Problems Statistics Assignment Help
  • 3. Exercise 6.5: Consider the Markov process illustrated below. The transitions are labelled by the rate qij at which those transitions occur. The process can be viewed as a single server queue where arrivals become increasingly discouraged as the queue lengthens. The word time- average below refers to the limiting time-average over each sample-path of the process, except for a set of sample paths of probability 0. Part a) Find the time-average fraction of time pi spent in each state i > 0 in terms of p0 and then solve for p0. Hint: First find an equation relating pi to pi+1 for each i. It also may help to recall the power series expansion of ex. Solution: From equation (6.36) we know: By iterating over i we get: Solutions Statistics Assignment Help
  • 4. Where the last derivation is in fact the Taylor expansion of the function ex. Thus, Statistics Assignment Help
  • 5. We saw that so pi must decrease rapidly in for sufficiently large i. Thus i the fraction of time spent in very high numbered states must be negligible. This suggests that the steady-state equations for the pi must have a solution. Since νi is bounded between µ and µ + λ for all i, it is intuitively clear that i νipi is finite, so the embedded chain must be positive recurrent. Part c) For the embedded Markov chain corresponding to this process, find the steady state probabilities Ï€i for each i ≥ 0 and the transition probabilities Pij for each i, j. The embedded Markov chain will look like: Statistics Assignment Help
  • 6. Finding the steady state distribution of this Markov chain gives the same result as found above. Part d) For each i, find both the time-average interval and the time-average number of overall state transitions between successive visits to i. Solution: Looking at this process as a delayed renewal reward process where each entry to state i is a renewal and the inter-renewal intervals are independent. The reward is equal to 1 whenever the process is in state i. Given that transition n − 1 of the embedded chain enters state i, the interval Un is exponential with rate vi, so E[Un|Xn 1 = i] = 1/vi − . During this Un time, reward is 1 and then it is zero until the next renewal of the process. The total average fraction of time spent in state i is pi with high probability. So in the steady state, the total fraction of time spent in state i (pi) should be equal to the fraction of time spent in state i in one inter-renewal interval. The expected length of time spent in state i in one inter-renewal interval is 1/vi and the expected inter renewal interval (Wi) is what we want to know: Statistics Assignment Help
  • 7. Applying Theorem 5.1.4 to the embedded chain, the expected number of transitions, E [Tii] from one visit to state i to the next, is T ii = 1/Ï€i. Exercise 6.9: Let qi,i+1 = 2i−1 for all i ≥ 0 and let qi,i−1 = 2i−1 for all i ≥ 1. All other transition rates are 0. Solution: The defined Markov process can be shown as: Statistics Assignment Help
  • 8. Part b) Find the transition probabilities for the embedded Markov chain and show that the chain is null- recurrent. Solution: The embedded Markov chain is: Part c) For any state i, consider the renewal process for which the Markov process starts in state i and renewals occur on each transition to state i. Show that, for each i ≥ 1, the expected inter-renewal interval is equal to 2. Hint: Use renewal reward theory. Solution: Statistics Assignment Help
  • 9. Part d) Show that the expected number of transitions between each entry into state i is infinite. Explain why this does not mean that an infinite number of transitions can occur in a finite time. Solution: We have seen in part b) that the embedded chain is null-recurrent. This means that, given X0 = i, for any given i, that a return to i must happen in a finite number of transitions (i.e., limn→∞ Fii(n) = 1). We have seen many rv’s that have an infinite expectation, but, being rv’s, have a finite sample value WP1. Exercise 6.14: A small bookie shop has room for at most two customers. Potential customers arrive at a Poisson rate of 10 customers per hour; They enter if there is room and are turned away, never to return, otherwise. The bookie serves the admitted customers in order, requiring an exponentially distributed time of mean 4 minutes per customer. Part a) Find the steady state distribution of the number of customers in the shop. Solution: The arrival rate of the customers is 10 customers per hour and the service time is exponentially distributed with rate 15 customers per hour (or equivalently with mean 4 minutes per customer). The Markov process corresponding to this bookie store is: Statistics Assignment Help
  • 10. Part b) Find the rate at which potential customers are turned away. Solution: The customers are turned away when the process is in state 2 and when the process is in state 2, at rate λ = 10 the customers are turned away. So the overall rate at which the 19 Part c) Suppose the bookie hires an assistant; the bookie and assistant, working to gether, now serve each customer in an exponentially distributed time of mean 2 minutes, but there is only room for one customer (i.e., the customer being served) in the shop. Find the new rate at which customers are turned away. Solution: The new Markov process will look like: Exercise 6.16: Consider the job sharing computer system illustrated below. Incoming jobs arrive from the left in a Poisson stream. Each job, independently of other jobs, requires pre-processing in system 1 with probability Q. Jobs in system 1 are served FCFS and the service times for successive jobs entering system 1 are IID with an exponential distribution of mean 1/µ1. The jobs entering system 2 are also served FCFS and successive service times are IID with an exponential distribution of mean 1/µ2. The service times in the two systems are independent of each other and of the arrival times. Assume that µ1 > λQ and that µ2 > λ. Assume that the combined system is in steady state. Statistics Assignment Help
  • 11. Part a) Is the input to system 1 Poisson? Explain. Solution: Yes. The incoming jobs from the left are Poisson process. This process is split in two processes independently where each job needs a preprocessing in system 1 with probability Q. We know that if a Poisson process is split into two processes, each of the processes are also Poisson. So the jobs entering the system 1 is Poisson with rate λQ. Part b) Are each of the two input processes coming into system 2 Poisson? Solution: By Burke’s theorem, the output process of a M/M/1 queue is a Poisson process that has the same rate as the input process. So both sequences entering system 2 are Poisson, the first one has rate Qλ and the second one has rate (1 − Q)λ. The overall input is merged process of these two that is going to be a Poisson with rate λ (Since these processes are independent of each other.) Part d) Give the joint steady-state PMF of the number of jobs in the two systems. Explain briefly. Solution: We call the number of customers being served in system 1 at time t as X1(t) and number of customers being served in system 2 at time t, as X2(t). The splitting of the input arrivals from the left is going to make two independent pro cesses with rates Qλ and (1 − Q)λ. The first process goes into system 1 and defines X1(t). The output jobs of system 1 at time t is independent of its previous arrivals. Thus the input sequence of system 2 is independent of system 1. The two input processes of system 2 are also independent. Statistics Assignment Help
  • 12. Part e) What is the probability that the first job to leave system 1 after time t is the same as the first job that entered the entire system after time t? Statistics Assignment Help
  • 13. Solution: The first job that enters the system after time t is the same as the first job to leave system 1 after time t if and only if X1(t) = 0 (system 1 should be empty at time t, unless other jobs will leave system 1 before the specified job) and the first entering job to the whole system needs preprocessing and is routed to system 1 (and should need) which happens with probability Q. Since these two events are independent, the probability of the desired event will be Part f) What is the probability that the first job to leave system 2 after time t both passed through system 1 and arrived at system 1 after time t? Solution: This is the event that both systems are empty at time t and the first arriving job is routed to system 1 and is finished serving in system 1 before the first job without preprocesing enters system 2. These three events are independent of each other. The service time of the first job in system 1 is called Y1 which is exponentially distributed with rate µ1 and the probability that the first job is finished before the first job without preprocessing enters system 2 is Pr{Y1 < Z} where Z is the r.v. which is the arrival time of the first job that does not need preprocessing. it is also exponentially distributed with Statistics Assignment Help