Mobile Evolution


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A look at the smartphone landscape.

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  • Notes: Source: AMob internal metricsDevelopment resources:
  • Development resources: Developer resources: (Oct. 20-22, Santa Clara)
  • Notes: Source: AdMob internal metrics
  • Mobile Evolution

    1. 1. Mobile Evolution 11/05/09
    2. 2. Mobile OS Competitive Landscape iPhone OS (Apple) BlackBerry OS (RIM) Window Mobile (Microsoft) Android (Google) Symbian (Nokia) Platform <ul><li>Closed </li></ul><ul><li>Closed </li></ul><ul><li>Open </li></ul><ul><li>Open </li></ul><ul><li>Open </li></ul>Source Code <ul><li>Closed </li></ul><ul><li>Closed </li></ul><ul><li>Closed </li></ul><ul><li>Open </li></ul><ul><li>Open (in future) </li></ul>Q2 WW Market Share (Gartner) <ul><li>38% (1) </li></ul><ul><li>17.4% </li></ul><ul><li>12.0% </li></ul><ul><li>n/a </li></ul><ul><li>57.1% </li></ul>Smartphone traffic share (AdMob) <ul><li>WW: 65% </li></ul><ul><li>US: 70% </li></ul><ul><li>WW: 11% </li></ul><ul><li>WW: 13% </li></ul><ul><li>WW: 9% </li></ul><ul><li>WW: 12% </li></ul><ul><li>US: 2% </li></ul>Pros <ul><li>Early momentum </li></ul><ul><li>Data hungry early adopters </li></ul><ul><li>Powerful distribution channel </li></ul><ul><li>Strong reach (particularly in US) </li></ul><ul><li>Manufacturer / carrier agnostic </li></ul><ul><li>Manufacturer / carrier agnostic </li></ul><ul><li>Open source innovation </li></ul><ul><li>Massive global reach </li></ul><ul><li>Open source innovation </li></ul>Issues <ul><li>Apple dependant </li></ul><ul><li>BB dependent </li></ul><ul><li>Distribution </li></ul><ul><li>Distribution </li></ul><ul><li>Late to market </li></ul><ul><li>Uncertain consumer demand </li></ul><ul><li>Limited reach in US </li></ul><ul><li>Distribution </li></ul>Application ecosystem <ul><li>>75K apps (~20% free) </li></ul><ul><li>More than 1.5B installs in 1 6mos. </li></ul><ul><li>1K apps </li></ul><ul><li>BB Application Center being developed for Storm </li></ul><ul><li>>18K apps </li></ul><ul><li>Skymarket to launch in 2H of 2009 </li></ul><ul><li>>5K Apps </li></ul><ul><li>$3.8MM awarded in Developer Challenge </li></ul><ul><li>>1.5K apps </li></ul><ul><li>Claims >90MM installs over last 2 years </li></ul>
    3. 3. Apple OS iPhone <ul><li>Pros </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Strong user growth and data-hungry user base </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>More than 17 million iPhones sold. Available in 80 Countries. </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>43% of worldwide smartphone web/data traffic and 68% in US (1) </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Application store creating a vibrant app ecosystem with great momentum </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>51,000 Developers creating 70,000 Apps in Store </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>More than 1 billion downloads since May 2009 </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Powerful technology enablers (e.g., multi-touch, GPS, accelerometer) </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Issues </li></ul><ul><ul><li>App approval process is largely a black-box to developers </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Downloads highly dependent on “featured” or “top download” promotion in store </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>App store is the only authorized distribution channel </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Apple / hardware dependent </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Recent news / developments </li></ul><ul><ul><li>New iPhone MMS– Video and Sound released Sept. 25, 2009 </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Steve Jobs first public appearance and product launch: Sept. 9, 2009 </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>New iPhone 3G S released June 19, 2009 </li></ul></ul>
    4. 4. BlackBerry OS (RIM) <ul><li>Pros </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Large reach and data-hungry user base </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>US market with 31% of smartphone traffic (1) </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>#2 in worldwide market with 19% of smartphone traffic (1) </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Developers not limited to single distribution channel </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Issues </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Developer momentum appears to be shifting to iPhone </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Less reach outside of North America </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Application distribution more difficult today vs. iPhone’s app store </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Users more email focused vs. web consuming iPhone users </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>RIM / hardware dependent </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Recent news / developments </li></ul><ul><ul><li>RIM debut w/ BlackBerry Storm new OS v4.7 </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Blackberry Storm (iPhone Competitor) sales behind expectations </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Sept. ‘09- RIM sales fall short of expectations. RIM lowers outlook. </li></ul></ul>
    5. 5. Symbian (Nokia) <ul><li>Pros </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Global reach </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>WW market with 62% of smartphone traffic (1) </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>57% market share of smartphones sold in Q2 ‘08 </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Like Android, being open source could help accelerate pace of innovation </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Issues </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Limited reach in the US </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Application distribution more difficult today vs. iPhone’s app store </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Recent news / developments </li></ul><ul><ul><li>June ’08: Nokia announced plans to acquire full ownership of Symbian and start the Symbian Foundation, which will be an independent force for the future development of Symbian OS. They stated that Symbian OS (including the platforms S60, UIQ and MOAP(S)) will become open source in the first half of 2009 </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Developer resources </li></ul><ul><ul><li> </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Notes: </li></ul><ul><li>Source: AdMob internal metrics </li></ul>
    6. 6. Windows Mobile <ul><li>Pros </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Strong user reach </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>#3 in US market with 30% of smartphone traffic (1) </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>#3 in worldwide market with 13% of smartphone traffic (1) </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Manufacturer agnostic </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>>18K apps </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Issues </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Current version in market (Windows Mobile 6) lacks support for some popular technology enablers (e.g., multi-touch, GPS, accelerometer) </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Next-gen version will be late to market </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Less developer enthusiasm vs. that for iPhone and Android </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Application distribution more difficult today vs. iPhone’s app store </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Recent news / developments </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Microsoft to launch “Skymarket” applications marketplace for Windows Mobile 7 </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Speculation that Windows Mobile 7 will support revamped UI and multi-touch </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Sept. ‘09 Steve Ballmer from Microsoft to announce new phone line. </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Developer resources </li></ul><ul><ul><li> </li></ul></ul>
    7. 7. Android (Google) <ul><li>Pros </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Open source => could help accelerate pace of innovation </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Manufacturer-independent => could help accelerate consumer adoption </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Technology support (e.g., touchscreen, GPS, accelerometer, video and still cameras) </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Issues </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Late to market relative to iPhone </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>At least initially, demand is expected to trail iPhonedemand </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Recent news / developments </li></ul><ul><ul><li>1 st Android phone (T-Mobile G1) </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Sept. ’08:released v1.0 of SDK </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Sept. ‘09: Motorola releases suite of Android device products </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Developer resources </li></ul><ul><ul><li> </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li> </li></ul></ul>
    8. 8. Contact The Team <ul><li>Stewart Dixon [email_address] 312-497-8995 </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Co-Founder and Managing Partner </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Mark Hahs [email_address] 661-703-9700 </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Co-Founder and Managing Partner </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Stephanie Piche [email_address] 310-729-2997 </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Vice President of Marketing </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Kyle Porter [email_address] 773-230-7117 </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Vice President of Business Development </li></ul></ul>11/05/09