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URBANIZ ATION & THE
EPIDEMIOLOGY OF
INFECTIOUS DISEASES
J O S H U A O K Y E R E
1
OUTLINE
• Background
• Theoretical framework
• Urbanization-infectious disease nexus
• Case-specific examples
• Way forward
• National urban policies
• Conclusion
2
BACKGROUND
• Urbanization is the growth of cities, brought about by a
population shift from rural areas and small communities to
large ones, and the change from a largely agricultural
economy to an industrial one.
• It is normally caused by the natural increase and human
migration.
3
4
KEY FACTS ABOUT URBANIZATION
• In 2009, a major demographic line was crossed:
– More people lived in urban areas than in the rural setting (Reyes et
al., 2013)
• The Urban center is expected to be absorbed by the entirety
of the world’s population by 2050
– Majority of this will be in the developing countries (Reyes et al.,
2013).
5
KEY FACTS ABOUT URBANIZATION/2
• By 2030, about 60 percent of the world’s population
will be living in cities (United Nations, 2006).
• According to United Nations estimates, the global
urban population will top 6 billion by the year 2050
(Alirol et al., 2011).
6
GEO-SPATIAL
REPRESENTATION
OF URBANIZATION
IN GHANA (2010)
7
Source – 2010 Population
and Housing Census
BACKGROUND/2
• Diseases can be said to be alteration of the normal
functioning of the body.
• They can be classified as:
– Communicable/infectious diseases
– Non-communicable/chronic diseases
– Injuries
8
BACKGROUND/3
• Infectious diseases are diseases caused by pathogenic
microorganisms, such as bacteria, viruses, parasites or fungi.
• The disease can be spread, directly or indirectly, from one person
to another.
• The SDG 3.3 asserts that by 2030, there must be an end the
epidemics of AIDS, tuberculosis, malaria and neglected tropical
diseases and combat hepatitis, water-borne diseases and other
communicable diseases (WHO, 2015).
9
EXAMPLES OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES
• Malaria
• Tuberculosis
• Ebola
• SARS
• HIV
• Zika
• Dengue fever
• Cholera
• Hepatitis B
• Influenza, etc.
10
THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK
• This presentation is situated in the Epidemiological Transition
Model
– Stage 1: Age of Pestilence
– Stage 2: Receding pandemics
– Stage 3: Man-made/degenerative diseases
– Stage 4: Recurring infectious diseases
11
KEY ASSUMPTIONS
• Basing on the Epidemiological Transition Model, it can be
assumed that, as nations urbanize:
– The diseases affecting populations evolve from infectious and
parasitic diseases to chronic and degenerative diseases.
– It will get to a point that infectious diseases will re-emerge.
– Highly urbanized areas will experience low incidence of
infectious diseases
12
13
URBANIZATION-INFECTIOUS DISEASE
NEXUS
• Studies show that majority of urban dwellers reside in slums
and shanty dwellings (WHO, UNICEF, 2008).
– Typical examples of some settlements include the Favela of
Brazil, slums in Kibera, etc.
• This has ripple effects on the development and spread of
infectious diseases.
14
15
Ezeh et al., 2017
Urban Built
Environment
Water
Hygiene
Infrastructure
Open Spaces
Sanitation
Housing
16
CASE-SPECIFIC URBANIZATION &
INFECTIOUS DISEASE RELATIONSHIP
17
MALARIA
• Malaria is an infectious disease
• Urbanization presents entomological, parasitological and
behavioural effects that assists in the reduction of malaria
in the urban and peri-urban centers (Tatem, Gething,
Smith & Hay, 2013).
18
MALARIA
NUMBER OF DEATHS
Region 2015 2016 2017 % Urban 2017
Africa 432,000 413,000 403,000 43
Americas 320 460 630 80
Eastern Mediterranean 8,660 8,160 8,300 71
Europe 0 0 0 74
South-East Asia 25,200 25,600 19,700 48
Western Pacific 2,860 3,510 3,620 67
Source: World Malaria Report, 2018 p. 42; World Population Data Sheet,
2018
19
DENGUE
• Dengue is spread by the same Aedes spp. mosquitoes that
also carry yellow fever (Gubler, 2011).
• Dengue is found in tropical and sub-tropical climates
worldwide, mostly in urban and semi-urban areas (WHO, 2019).
– It begins in cities and spreads centrifugally outward to neighboring city
areas, suburbs, and towns (Vazquez-Prokopec, 2010)
– About half of the world's population is now at risk (WHO, 2019).
20
TUBERCULOSIS
WHO REGION TB % (2017) % URBAN (2017)
Africa 25 43
Americas 3 80
Eastern Mediterranean 7 71
Europe 3 74
South-East Asia 45 48
Western Pacific 17 67
21World TB Report, 2018; World Population Data Sheet, 2018
22
WAY FORWARD
• Effective immunization programmes, even when case
incidence is low.
– There are many reasons for this, including financial constraints and
civil instability, but keeping up and modernizing those programs
might have prevented the resurgence of yellow fever.
• Proper urban planning can help in preventing the incidence
of infectious diseases in the urban environment.
23
WAY FORWARD
• Surveillance and public education should be constant and based
on a bottom-up community participation and community
ownership approach.
– Active surveillance also requires modern laboratory diagnostic
methods, which may not be readily available in many developing
countries.
– In these instances, a productive strategy is to develop ongoing
partnerships with scientists and laboratories in developed nations.
24
NATIONAL
URBAN
POLICIES
25
NATIONAL URBAN POLICY
• National Urban Policy is a coherent set of decisions derived
through a deliberate government-led process of
coordinating and rallying various actors for a common
vision and goal that will promote more transformative,
productive, inclusive and resilient urban development for
the long term.
26
NATIONAL URBAN POLICY/2
• Urbanization policies ought to cover certain areas
– Urban transportation
– Urban housing
– Education and health
– Urban government
27
NATIONAL URBAN POLICY/3
•Urbanization policies include
–United Nations Habitat III policy paper (2017)
–South Africa National Urban Policy (2018)
–Ghana National Urban Policy Plan (2012)
28
GNUPP & HEALTH
• The policy initiative 4.2 of the GNUPP (2012) focuses on preparing
and implementing sanitation action plans for all in the urban
space.
– Specifically, it will prepare and implement comprehensive programmes to
eliminate waste management problems.
– This will help in achieving SDG 3 (good health and wellbeing) and SDG 6
(clean water and sanitation.
29
GNUPP & HEALTH/2
• The policy initiative 4.11 of the GNUPP (2012) focuses on
public education about the appropriate use of coastal,
wetland and marine resources in the urban space.
– This, when executed effectively will help to reduce the incidence of
open defecation along the coast, hence, reducing the incidence of
cholera and other infectious diseases.
30
GNUPP & HEALTH/3
• The policy initiative 4.12 of the GNUPP (2012) focuses on hygiene
and quality of food of the urban public.
– Specifically, it strives to achieve this by assessing the sanitary conditions of
the preparation, storage, preservation, handling and presentation of food
in urban Ghana.
– This, when executed effectively will help to reduce the incidence of
infectious diseases such as cholera, diarrhoea, typhoid, dysentery, etc.
31
CONCLUSION
• We therefore conclude that there is an association between
urbanization and the epidemiology of infectious diseases.
• Urbanization has a two-tail relationship with infectious
diseases
– It can either reduce the incidence of infectious diseases or speed up
the spread of infectious diseases
32
THANK YOU!
33
34

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Urbanization & the epidemiology of infectious diseases

  • 1. URBANIZ ATION & THE EPIDEMIOLOGY OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES J O S H U A O K Y E R E 1
  • 2. OUTLINE • Background • Theoretical framework • Urbanization-infectious disease nexus • Case-specific examples • Way forward • National urban policies • Conclusion 2
  • 3. BACKGROUND • Urbanization is the growth of cities, brought about by a population shift from rural areas and small communities to large ones, and the change from a largely agricultural economy to an industrial one. • It is normally caused by the natural increase and human migration. 3
  • 4. 4
  • 5. KEY FACTS ABOUT URBANIZATION • In 2009, a major demographic line was crossed: – More people lived in urban areas than in the rural setting (Reyes et al., 2013) • The Urban center is expected to be absorbed by the entirety of the world’s population by 2050 – Majority of this will be in the developing countries (Reyes et al., 2013). 5
  • 6. KEY FACTS ABOUT URBANIZATION/2 • By 2030, about 60 percent of the world’s population will be living in cities (United Nations, 2006). • According to United Nations estimates, the global urban population will top 6 billion by the year 2050 (Alirol et al., 2011). 6
  • 7. GEO-SPATIAL REPRESENTATION OF URBANIZATION IN GHANA (2010) 7 Source – 2010 Population and Housing Census
  • 8. BACKGROUND/2 • Diseases can be said to be alteration of the normal functioning of the body. • They can be classified as: – Communicable/infectious diseases – Non-communicable/chronic diseases – Injuries 8
  • 9. BACKGROUND/3 • Infectious diseases are diseases caused by pathogenic microorganisms, such as bacteria, viruses, parasites or fungi. • The disease can be spread, directly or indirectly, from one person to another. • The SDG 3.3 asserts that by 2030, there must be an end the epidemics of AIDS, tuberculosis, malaria and neglected tropical diseases and combat hepatitis, water-borne diseases and other communicable diseases (WHO, 2015). 9
  • 10. EXAMPLES OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES • Malaria • Tuberculosis • Ebola • SARS • HIV • Zika • Dengue fever • Cholera • Hepatitis B • Influenza, etc. 10
  • 11. THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK • This presentation is situated in the Epidemiological Transition Model – Stage 1: Age of Pestilence – Stage 2: Receding pandemics – Stage 3: Man-made/degenerative diseases – Stage 4: Recurring infectious diseases 11
  • 12. KEY ASSUMPTIONS • Basing on the Epidemiological Transition Model, it can be assumed that, as nations urbanize: – The diseases affecting populations evolve from infectious and parasitic diseases to chronic and degenerative diseases. – It will get to a point that infectious diseases will re-emerge. – Highly urbanized areas will experience low incidence of infectious diseases 12
  • 13. 13
  • 14. URBANIZATION-INFECTIOUS DISEASE NEXUS • Studies show that majority of urban dwellers reside in slums and shanty dwellings (WHO, UNICEF, 2008). – Typical examples of some settlements include the Favela of Brazil, slums in Kibera, etc. • This has ripple effects on the development and spread of infectious diseases. 14
  • 15. 15
  • 16. Ezeh et al., 2017 Urban Built Environment Water Hygiene Infrastructure Open Spaces Sanitation Housing 16
  • 17. CASE-SPECIFIC URBANIZATION & INFECTIOUS DISEASE RELATIONSHIP 17
  • 18. MALARIA • Malaria is an infectious disease • Urbanization presents entomological, parasitological and behavioural effects that assists in the reduction of malaria in the urban and peri-urban centers (Tatem, Gething, Smith & Hay, 2013). 18
  • 19. MALARIA NUMBER OF DEATHS Region 2015 2016 2017 % Urban 2017 Africa 432,000 413,000 403,000 43 Americas 320 460 630 80 Eastern Mediterranean 8,660 8,160 8,300 71 Europe 0 0 0 74 South-East Asia 25,200 25,600 19,700 48 Western Pacific 2,860 3,510 3,620 67 Source: World Malaria Report, 2018 p. 42; World Population Data Sheet, 2018 19
  • 20. DENGUE • Dengue is spread by the same Aedes spp. mosquitoes that also carry yellow fever (Gubler, 2011). • Dengue is found in tropical and sub-tropical climates worldwide, mostly in urban and semi-urban areas (WHO, 2019). – It begins in cities and spreads centrifugally outward to neighboring city areas, suburbs, and towns (Vazquez-Prokopec, 2010) – About half of the world's population is now at risk (WHO, 2019). 20
  • 21. TUBERCULOSIS WHO REGION TB % (2017) % URBAN (2017) Africa 25 43 Americas 3 80 Eastern Mediterranean 7 71 Europe 3 74 South-East Asia 45 48 Western Pacific 17 67 21World TB Report, 2018; World Population Data Sheet, 2018
  • 22. 22
  • 23. WAY FORWARD • Effective immunization programmes, even when case incidence is low. – There are many reasons for this, including financial constraints and civil instability, but keeping up and modernizing those programs might have prevented the resurgence of yellow fever. • Proper urban planning can help in preventing the incidence of infectious diseases in the urban environment. 23
  • 24. WAY FORWARD • Surveillance and public education should be constant and based on a bottom-up community participation and community ownership approach. – Active surveillance also requires modern laboratory diagnostic methods, which may not be readily available in many developing countries. – In these instances, a productive strategy is to develop ongoing partnerships with scientists and laboratories in developed nations. 24
  • 26. NATIONAL URBAN POLICY • National Urban Policy is a coherent set of decisions derived through a deliberate government-led process of coordinating and rallying various actors for a common vision and goal that will promote more transformative, productive, inclusive and resilient urban development for the long term. 26
  • 27. NATIONAL URBAN POLICY/2 • Urbanization policies ought to cover certain areas – Urban transportation – Urban housing – Education and health – Urban government 27
  • 28. NATIONAL URBAN POLICY/3 •Urbanization policies include –United Nations Habitat III policy paper (2017) –South Africa National Urban Policy (2018) –Ghana National Urban Policy Plan (2012) 28
  • 29. GNUPP & HEALTH • The policy initiative 4.2 of the GNUPP (2012) focuses on preparing and implementing sanitation action plans for all in the urban space. – Specifically, it will prepare and implement comprehensive programmes to eliminate waste management problems. – This will help in achieving SDG 3 (good health and wellbeing) and SDG 6 (clean water and sanitation. 29
  • 30. GNUPP & HEALTH/2 • The policy initiative 4.11 of the GNUPP (2012) focuses on public education about the appropriate use of coastal, wetland and marine resources in the urban space. – This, when executed effectively will help to reduce the incidence of open defecation along the coast, hence, reducing the incidence of cholera and other infectious diseases. 30
  • 31. GNUPP & HEALTH/3 • The policy initiative 4.12 of the GNUPP (2012) focuses on hygiene and quality of food of the urban public. – Specifically, it strives to achieve this by assessing the sanitary conditions of the preparation, storage, preservation, handling and presentation of food in urban Ghana. – This, when executed effectively will help to reduce the incidence of infectious diseases such as cholera, diarrhoea, typhoid, dysentery, etc. 31
  • 32. CONCLUSION • We therefore conclude that there is an association between urbanization and the epidemiology of infectious diseases. • Urbanization has a two-tail relationship with infectious diseases – It can either reduce the incidence of infectious diseases or speed up the spread of infectious diseases 32
  • 34. 34