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Confidence Limits:
Confidence Limit is range within which all the Possible
sample mean will lie.
 A population mean ± 1 Std. Error limitcorrespond to
68.27 percentof sample meanvalue.
 A population mean ± 1.96 Std. Errorcorrespond to
95.0% of thesample mean values.
 Population mean ± 2.58 stand. Errorcorresponds to 99
% sample meanvalues.
 Population mean ± 3.29 correspond to 99.9% of the
sample meanvalue.
• Interval is confidence interval.
• A confidence interval, in statistics, refers to the
probability that a population parameter will fall
between a set of values for a certain proportion of
times.
• Analysts often use confidence intervals that
contain either 95% or 99% of expected
observations.
• Thus, if a point estimate is generated from a
statistical model of 10.00 with a 95% confidence
interval of 9.50 - 10.50, it can be inferred that
there is a 95% probability that the true value falls
within that range.
• Hypothesis:
A statistical Hypothesis is a statement about the parameter
(formsof population).
i.e. x1 = x2 or x = µ or p1 = p2 orp = P
• Null Hypothesis (H0):
It is hypothesis of no difference between two outcome
variables.
• Alternative Hypothesis (H1):
There is difference between the twovariables understudy.
• Hypotheses are always about parameters of populations,
never about statistic from samples.
• Testof Significance:
Testing the null hypothesis.
Steps of hypothesis testing
• Defining the research question.
• Null Hypothesis (H0) - there is no difference between the
group.
• Alternative hypothesis (H1) – there is some difference
between thegroups.
• Selecting appropriate test.
• Calculationof testcriteria (c).
• Deciding the acceptable level of significance (α). Usually
0.05 (5%).
• Compare the test criteriawith theoretical valueat α.
• Accepting Null Hypothesisor Alternative Hypothesis.
• Inference.
One Sided ( One tailed) Vs. Two Sided (two
tailed) :
• Two Sided test:
Significantly large departure from Null Hypothesis in
eitherdirection will be judged by significance.
• One Sided Test:
Is used we are interested in measuring thedeparture in
only one particulardirection.
• A one sided test at level P is sameas two sided test at level
2P.
• Example: test tocompare population mean of twogroup A
and B
– Alternate Hypothesis mean of A > mean of B. – One tailed test.
– Alternate Hypothesis Mean of B > mean of A > meanof B. – two
tailed test.
Type -1 Error
 Rejecting a null hypothesis (H0) when
it is true that is called type-1 error
Type-2 Error
 Accepting a null hypothesis (H0)
when it is false that is called type-2 error
 The power of a test is the probability
of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is
false
 It is the probability of avoiding a type
II error.
 The power may also be thought of as
the likelihood that a particular study will
detect a deviation from the null
hypothesis given that one exists.
unit-2.2 and 2.3.pptx
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unit-2.2 and 2.3.pptx
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unit-2.2 and 2.3.pptx

  • 1.
  • 2. Confidence Limits: Confidence Limit is range within which all the Possible sample mean will lie.  A population mean ± 1 Std. Error limitcorrespond to 68.27 percentof sample meanvalue.  A population mean ± 1.96 Std. Errorcorrespond to 95.0% of thesample mean values.  Population mean ± 2.58 stand. Errorcorresponds to 99 % sample meanvalues.  Population mean ± 3.29 correspond to 99.9% of the sample meanvalue. • Interval is confidence interval.
  • 3. • A confidence interval, in statistics, refers to the probability that a population parameter will fall between a set of values for a certain proportion of times. • Analysts often use confidence intervals that contain either 95% or 99% of expected observations. • Thus, if a point estimate is generated from a statistical model of 10.00 with a 95% confidence interval of 9.50 - 10.50, it can be inferred that there is a 95% probability that the true value falls within that range.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7. • Hypothesis: A statistical Hypothesis is a statement about the parameter (formsof population). i.e. x1 = x2 or x = µ or p1 = p2 orp = P • Null Hypothesis (H0): It is hypothesis of no difference between two outcome variables. • Alternative Hypothesis (H1): There is difference between the twovariables understudy. • Hypotheses are always about parameters of populations, never about statistic from samples. • Testof Significance: Testing the null hypothesis.
  • 8. Steps of hypothesis testing • Defining the research question. • Null Hypothesis (H0) - there is no difference between the group. • Alternative hypothesis (H1) – there is some difference between thegroups. • Selecting appropriate test. • Calculationof testcriteria (c). • Deciding the acceptable level of significance (α). Usually 0.05 (5%). • Compare the test criteriawith theoretical valueat α. • Accepting Null Hypothesisor Alternative Hypothesis. • Inference.
  • 9.
  • 10. One Sided ( One tailed) Vs. Two Sided (two tailed) : • Two Sided test: Significantly large departure from Null Hypothesis in eitherdirection will be judged by significance. • One Sided Test: Is used we are interested in measuring thedeparture in only one particulardirection. • A one sided test at level P is sameas two sided test at level 2P. • Example: test tocompare population mean of twogroup A and B – Alternate Hypothesis mean of A > mean of B. – One tailed test. – Alternate Hypothesis Mean of B > mean of A > meanof B. – two tailed test.
  • 11. Type -1 Error  Rejecting a null hypothesis (H0) when it is true that is called type-1 error Type-2 Error  Accepting a null hypothesis (H0) when it is false that is called type-2 error
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.  The power of a test is the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is false  It is the probability of avoiding a type II error.  The power may also be thought of as the likelihood that a particular study will detect a deviation from the null hypothesis given that one exists.