RED BOX, RED YEARS (THE TREND OF BUDGET, BUDGET SIZE INDEX AND BUDGET PER CAPITA IN UK) http://iilss.net/ http://maynter.com AWAKE LIONS (UK GOVERNMENTAL WEIGHT INDEX ANALYSIS) UK WITH EU ACHIEVE TO WHAT? (UK POLITICAL WEIGHT INDEX ANALYSIS)

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2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
PW - political weight index
UK with EU achieve to what? (UK political weight index analysis)
1. The political weight index of UK Has
dropped over the past twenty years.
Encounter, a GW index has stable situation
but it has not coordinate with geopolitical
reality. In fact the main and obvious reason
for this event, rising from increasing of
population in Great Britain, The euro
fluctuates against the dollar‫و‬ world
economic crisis and Some UK
Adventures(like war against terrorism). It is
exactly obvious that UK could not increase
its political weight with EU.
2. All country behavior, intentionally or unintentionally, tends to keep up their political weight or even increasing of it.
Population and its rules in the country is very important Factor and the decline of budget per capita or budget size
index( in comparison with welfare state), and decline the size of GDP and decreasing of it, lead to complicate
situation in the future.
3. In all the time that UK was being with EU, losed political weight. UK for supply of its needs must run faster and needs
much money. Then UK behavior tending to any events that lead to more money in Easy Way. Petroleum, ICT,
insurance, cars industry, transport and food industry shaping the important sections of UK international trade. they
need the raw materials and cheap energy from Africa and Middle East. It seems that, this is with EU is very difficult.
Meanwhile, Germany, Spain, Italy, Austria and Netherlands in past 3 years Have experienced upward trend in PW.
4. UK PW index in the last 20 years, was declined at least 20%. This is while, their GW index has declined very lower
than of PW index. UK for retrieving the historical rules of itself and provide their needs for resource, has a hard play
with members of EU. UK has a strong type of government and EU structure has limited them. Of course they need
some EU membership advantages, but for jumping, UK needs opening EU chain from its legs.
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2. UK with EU achieve to what? (UK political weight index analysis)
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7. Europe is main trade partner of UK and after it, Asia and then USA the mostly partner of UK. The main body of UK
international trade shaping from produce and trade. UK population has the low tendency for decrease and They needs
the job. They comparison themself with other people in the other country( especially with welfare state). if increasing of
population and they needing for jobs, do not joining with national revenue increasing, it is lead to people dissatisfaction.
8. The bulk of British political weight dropped from 2001 to 2003, so it is controlled in 2004 and increasing until 2005.
hereinafter, from 2005 this indicator was descended until 2010 for 5 continues years. But from 2010 It is stayed around a
specific number(235), However in 2001 their weight equal to 298. Then we can say they lose some part of political weight.
9. UK needs industrial actions for making a job in accordance with populations and making the money. But UK has strong
challenges for this, which the important type of them is EU and China. In this situation UK cannot playing with some
matters that challenge their potentials in policy and economy, and maybe this is the one of the important reason of UK
exit from EU in the future.
5. Population increasing, lead to increase their needs for everything, then in next year and even in next
decade, their needs more geographical and economical resource. Thus the low oil price and free
international Trade system can help them for meeting the needs. Maybe they need to come back to
the history, and take back their traditional rules in the world, which from this way achieve to resource
and trade (especially in Asia) but it seems that EU, bounding and limiting their policy.
6. UK has a strong type of government that analysis of it political weight index, proof at least 75% of their
weight forming of GW index or governmental ability(its fantastic). In fact a little part of their political
weight formed from the geographical reality that shown by LPC(Land per Capita).
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2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017
GW
75%
LPC
25%

3. Awake lions(UK governmental weight index analysis)
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1. Governmental weight index show the macro element and structure of power in a country. UK GW
index is one of the best and highest indexes in the world. In fact the good cooperation between
economic Factors with authority and mental factors led to the situation that UK Experience a strong
type of governance.
2. UK GW index in the last 20 years always top of the 60(of 100). And almost GW share of PW (Political
Weight) index at least 70% of weight. It's clear that in comparison with 2001, they lose 8% of their
weight and at now, GW index standing on 64. Meanwhile, with this number, their situation is good.
3. The minimum index of UK in GW index happened in 2009 and 2010 that is directly relevant to
international economic crisis in 2008. But at now they retrieve their weight.
4. Our study shown, with being in the EU, UK will experience a little weight losing by decrease of budget
size index, but with brexit maybe UK Experience an economic shock in next year. Anyway, UK B index
and GW (Governmental Weight) index will have downward trend on next year, but in long-term , this
will not harm England.
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2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Trend of GW (governmental weight index) of UKSome country GW index in 2018

4. Awake lions(UK governmental weight index analysis)
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5. 35% of UK GW index in 2018 shaped of authority or concentration of Power that in last decade was
increased flow. It’s mean that UK use of more than force and hard power for controlling land and
population. But in comparison with undemocratic states it's good number.
6. In 2018, A less more than 35% of UK GW index, Shaped of mental element or Δt index (Governance
stability Index). It's mean that, UK political system experiencing a Good legitimacy among people and
also had a good performance in bureaucracy. The Long age of UK governance, in addition to a good
performance of their governments at the history, the sign of good performance for going to the Future
and facing with new crisis and affairs.
7. In 2001, %29 and in 2002, %30 of UK GW index Shaped of B index or budget size index, But in 2018
it's decline to 27% of GW. It’s shown us, the soft power or economic factor rule in governance at UK
declined. When in the form of governance of any country, soft power factors decline, that's state must
fulfilling it with hard power. Then, this type of country use of more authority and that's country
commitment to democracy, decreasing.
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25
30
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2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019
Share of B or budget size
Share of Δt or Governance
stability
Share of CP or concentration
of power
The share of each variable in GW index

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the trend of Budget, budget size index and budget per capita in UK
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1. “B” or budget size index was the important Factor that led to UK GW decline. Then we must describe
about it and we must know national budget is one of the best tools for understand what kind of crisis
and affairs lead to economic fluctuate. Because the governments and population benefit from all
aspects of the budget.
2. At first step we must know Budget size index is different with budget per capita amount. Maybe, by
observation of numbers of budget per capita, we see its grown in at a year but in comparison with
welfare state, its grows is not sufficient.
3. In 2000, bpc (budget per capita) in UK equal to $9,000 and in this year, they budget size index is 43 of
100 at UK (in comparison with best bpc in the world). In 2018, UK bpc equal with $15000 and in fact
it's unchanged in last 8 years. But UK “B” or budget size index, declined to 31/22 of 100 in 2018. So we
can say UK B index declined at least 43% in 2018, in comparison with the maximum index in past 20
years (2001) that was equal to 46/25 of 100.
4. UK economy has grown, but not in proportion with welfare state. The economic growth of UK doesn't
match via population growth. (Of course a part of this situation rising from world economic crisis)
Some country B (budget size) index in 2018
-4000
2000
8000
14000
20000
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
bpc – budget per capita in dollar

6. the trend of Budget, budget size index and budget per capita in UK
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5. We must now the amount of national budget is not the main factor for describe of political economy.
Any reasonable describe about budget quality, must basing on population size of country. Then we
must prorate of budget on the population.
6. UK Budget per capita in 2018 equal to $ 15224. This number in Germany is $ 22271. Although we see,
this number increasing as much $892 at UK in comparison with 2017, but according the increase of
this number in the welfare state, the budget size index in UK unchanged in comparison with 2017.
7. Although, UK national budget in last 20 years has increased flow (in euro it's double it in last 20 years),
But in dollar, UK budget has a high Volatility.(especially in 2008, because of economy crisis that
happened in the world and so, for the exchange rate fluctuate of dollars against euro).
8. In fact, although, the UK national budgets in Euro increase 32% in 7 years, but in dollars their budget
only increased 7/3%. Even in comparison with 2008, UK budget in dollar has declined. It seems that
UK along with other key rule player of EU, pay euro economic sustainability cost against international
economy and its crisis. Maybe for this reason, UK would like with going out of EU, decrease this costs.
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2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
B index or budget size index of UK
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200,000,000,000
400,000,000,000
600,000,000,000
800,000,000,000
1,000,000,000,000
1,200,000,000,000
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
The trend of Uk budget in euro and dollar