The document outlines a model for analyzing transaction costs in portfolio choice. It presents explicit formulas for trading boundaries, certainty equivalent rates, liquidity premiums, and trading volumes in terms of model parameters like the spread. Graphs show how these quantities vary with factors like risk aversion. The results are obtained by solving a free boundary problem using a shadow price approach and smooth pasting conditions at the boundaries. Asymptotics of the solutions are also derived in terms of the spread approaching zero.
Hedging, Arbitrage, and Optimality with Superlinear Frictionsguasoni
In a continuous-time model with multiple assets described by cadlag processes, this paper characterizes superhedging prices, absence of arbitrage, and utility maximizing strategies, under general frictions that make execution prices arbitrarily unfavorable for high trading intensity. With such frictions, dual elements correspond to a pair of a shadow execution price combined with an equivalent martingale measure. For utility functions defined on the real line, optimal strategies exist even if arbitrage is present, because it is not scalable at will.
Nonlinear Price Impact and Portfolio Choiceguasoni
In a market with price-impact proportional to a power of the order flow, we derive optimal trading policies and their implied welfare for long-term investors with constant relative risk aversion, who trade one safe asset and one risky asset that follows geometric Brownian motion. These quantities admit asymptotic explicit formulas up to a structural constant that depends only on the price-impact exponent. Trading rates are finite as with linear impact, but they are lower near the target portfolio, and higher away from the target. The model nests the square-root impact law and, as extreme cases, linear impact and proportional transaction costs.
Never selling stocks is optimal for investors with a long horizon and a realistic range of preference and market parameters, if relative risk aversion, investment opportunities, proportional transaction costs, and dividend yields are constant. Such investors should buy stocks when their portfolio weight is too low, and otherwise hold them, letting dividends rebalance to cash over time rather than selling. With capital gain taxes, this policy outperforms both static buy-and-hold and dynamic rebalancing strategies that account for transaction costs. Selling stocks becomes optimal if either their target weight is low, or intermediate consumption is substantial.
Incomplete-Market Equilibrium with Unhedgeable Fundamentals and Heterogeneous...guasoni
We solve a general equilibrium model of an incomplete market with heterogeneous preferences, identifying first-order and second-order effects. Several long-lived agents with different absolute risk-aversion and discount rates make consumption and investment decisions, borrowing from and lending to each other, and trading a stock that pays a dividend whose growth rate has random fluctuations over time. For small fluctuations, the first-order equilibrium implies no trading in stocks, the existence of a representative agent, predictability of returns, multi-factor asset pricing, and that agents use a few public signals for consumption, borrowing, and lending. At the second-order, agents dynamically trade stocks and no representative agent exist. Instead, both the interest rate and asset prices depend on the dispersion of agents' preferences and their shares of wealth. Dynamic trading arises from agents' intertemporal hedging motive, even in the absence of personal labor income.
Leveraged and inverse ETFs seek a daily return equal to a multiple of an index' return, an objective that requires continuous portfolio rebalancing. The resulting trading costs create a tradeoff between tracking error, which controls the short-term correlation with the index, and excess return (or tracking difference) -- the long-term deviation from the levered index' performance. With proportional trading costs, the optimal replication policy is robust to the index' dynamics. A summary of a fund's performance is the \emph{implied spread}, equal to the product of tracking error and excess return, rescaled for leverage and average volatility. The implies spread is insensitive to the benchmark's risk premium, and offers a tool to compare the performance of funds on the same benchmark, but with different multiples and tracking errors.
Hedging, Arbitrage, and Optimality with Superlinear Frictionsguasoni
In a continuous-time model with multiple assets described by cadlag processes, this paper characterizes superhedging prices, absence of arbitrage, and utility maximizing strategies, under general frictions that make execution prices arbitrarily unfavorable for high trading intensity. With such frictions, dual elements correspond to a pair of a shadow execution price combined with an equivalent martingale measure. For utility functions defined on the real line, optimal strategies exist even if arbitrage is present, because it is not scalable at will.
Nonlinear Price Impact and Portfolio Choiceguasoni
In a market with price-impact proportional to a power of the order flow, we derive optimal trading policies and their implied welfare for long-term investors with constant relative risk aversion, who trade one safe asset and one risky asset that follows geometric Brownian motion. These quantities admit asymptotic explicit formulas up to a structural constant that depends only on the price-impact exponent. Trading rates are finite as with linear impact, but they are lower near the target portfolio, and higher away from the target. The model nests the square-root impact law and, as extreme cases, linear impact and proportional transaction costs.
Never selling stocks is optimal for investors with a long horizon and a realistic range of preference and market parameters, if relative risk aversion, investment opportunities, proportional transaction costs, and dividend yields are constant. Such investors should buy stocks when their portfolio weight is too low, and otherwise hold them, letting dividends rebalance to cash over time rather than selling. With capital gain taxes, this policy outperforms both static buy-and-hold and dynamic rebalancing strategies that account for transaction costs. Selling stocks becomes optimal if either their target weight is low, or intermediate consumption is substantial.
Incomplete-Market Equilibrium with Unhedgeable Fundamentals and Heterogeneous...guasoni
We solve a general equilibrium model of an incomplete market with heterogeneous preferences, identifying first-order and second-order effects. Several long-lived agents with different absolute risk-aversion and discount rates make consumption and investment decisions, borrowing from and lending to each other, and trading a stock that pays a dividend whose growth rate has random fluctuations over time. For small fluctuations, the first-order equilibrium implies no trading in stocks, the existence of a representative agent, predictability of returns, multi-factor asset pricing, and that agents use a few public signals for consumption, borrowing, and lending. At the second-order, agents dynamically trade stocks and no representative agent exist. Instead, both the interest rate and asset prices depend on the dispersion of agents' preferences and their shares of wealth. Dynamic trading arises from agents' intertemporal hedging motive, even in the absence of personal labor income.
Leveraged and inverse ETFs seek a daily return equal to a multiple of an index' return, an objective that requires continuous portfolio rebalancing. The resulting trading costs create a tradeoff between tracking error, which controls the short-term correlation with the index, and excess return (or tracking difference) -- the long-term deviation from the levered index' performance. With proportional trading costs, the optimal replication policy is robust to the index' dynamics. A summary of a fund's performance is the \emph{implied spread}, equal to the product of tracking error and excess return, rescaled for leverage and average volatility. The implies spread is insensitive to the benchmark's risk premium, and offers a tool to compare the performance of funds on the same benchmark, but with different multiples and tracking errors.
Shortfall aversion reflects the higher utility loss of a spending cut from a reference point than the utility gain from a similar spending increase, in the spirit of Prospect Theory's loss aversion. This paper posits a model of utility of spending scaled by a function of past peak spending, called target spending. The discontinuity of the marginal utility at the target spending corresponds to shortfall aversion. According to the closed-form solution of the associated spending-investment problem, (i) the spending rate is constant and equals the historical peak for relatively large values of wealth/target; and (ii) the spending rate increases (and the target with it) when that ratio reaches its model-determined upper bound. These features contrast with traditional Merton-style models which call for spending rates proportional to wealth. A simulation using the 1926-2012 realized returns suggests that spending of the very shortfall averse is typically increasing and very smooth.
This presentation provides and overview of the paper "Jump-Diffusion Risk-Sensitive Asset Management." The paper proposes a solution to a portfolio optimization problem in which asset prices are represented by SDEs driven by Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure,
with drifts that are functions of an auxiliary diffusion ‘factor’ process.
Notes I made in June 2013 on the derivation and use of the Black-Scholes equation. If you can forgive the terseness, you can look forward to some nifty stochastic partial differential equation twirling!
Any and all corrections are welcome!
An Approximate Distribution of Delta-Hedging Errors in a Jump-Diffusion Model...Volatility
1) Analyse the distribution of the profit&loss (P&L) of delta-hedging strategy for vanilla options in Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) model and an extension of the Merton jump-diffusion (JDM) model assuming discrete trading and transaction costs
2) Examine the connection between the realized variance and the realized P&L
3) Find approximate solutions for the P&L volatility and the expected total transaction costs
4) Apply the mean-variance analysis to find the trade-off between the costs and P&L variance given hedger's risk tolerance
5) Consider hedging strategies to minimize the jump risk
When trading incurs proportional costs, leverage can scale an asset's return only up to a maximum multiple, which is sensitive to the asset's volatility and liquidity. In a continuous-time model with one safe and one risky asset with constant investment opportunities and proportional transaction costs, we find the efficient portfolios that maximize long term expected returns for given average volatility. As leverage and volatility increase, rising rebalancing costs imply a declining Sharpe ratio. Beyond a critical level, even the expected return declines. For funds that seek to replicate multiples of index returns, such as leveraged ETFs, our efficient portfolios optimally trade off alpha against tracking error.
Shortfall aversion reflects the higher utility loss of a spending cut from a reference point than the utility gain from a similar spending increase, in the spirit of Prospect Theory's loss aversion. This paper posits a model of utility of spending scaled by a function of past peak spending, called target spending. The discontinuity of the marginal utility at the target spending corresponds to shortfall aversion. According to the closed-form solution of the associated spending-investment problem, (i) the spending rate is constant and equals the historical peak for relatively large values of wealth/target; and (ii) the spending rate increases (and the target with it) when that ratio reaches its model-determined upper bound. These features contrast with traditional Merton-style models which call for spending rates proportional to wealth. A simulation using the 1926-2012 realized returns suggests that spending of the very shortfall averse is typically increasing and very smooth.
This presentation provides and overview of the paper "Jump-Diffusion Risk-Sensitive Asset Management." The paper proposes a solution to a portfolio optimization problem in which asset prices are represented by SDEs driven by Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure,
with drifts that are functions of an auxiliary diffusion ‘factor’ process.
Notes I made in June 2013 on the derivation and use of the Black-Scholes equation. If you can forgive the terseness, you can look forward to some nifty stochastic partial differential equation twirling!
Any and all corrections are welcome!
An Approximate Distribution of Delta-Hedging Errors in a Jump-Diffusion Model...Volatility
1) Analyse the distribution of the profit&loss (P&L) of delta-hedging strategy for vanilla options in Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) model and an extension of the Merton jump-diffusion (JDM) model assuming discrete trading and transaction costs
2) Examine the connection between the realized variance and the realized P&L
3) Find approximate solutions for the P&L volatility and the expected total transaction costs
4) Apply the mean-variance analysis to find the trade-off between the costs and P&L variance given hedger's risk tolerance
5) Consider hedging strategies to minimize the jump risk
When trading incurs proportional costs, leverage can scale an asset's return only up to a maximum multiple, which is sensitive to the asset's volatility and liquidity. In a continuous-time model with one safe and one risky asset with constant investment opportunities and proportional transaction costs, we find the efficient portfolios that maximize long term expected returns for given average volatility. As leverage and volatility increase, rising rebalancing costs imply a declining Sharpe ratio. Beyond a critical level, even the expected return declines. For funds that seek to replicate multiples of index returns, such as leveraged ETFs, our efficient portfolios optimally trade off alpha against tracking error.
Asset Prices in Segmented and Integrated Marketsguasoni
This paper evaluates the effect of market integration on prices and welfare, in a model where two Lucas trees grow in separate regions with similar investors. We find equilibrium asset price dynamics and welfare both in segmentation, when each region holds its own asset and consumes its dividend, and in integration, when both regions trade both assets and consume both dividends. Integration always increases welfare. Asset prices may increase or decrease, depending on the time of integration, but decrease on average. Correlation in assets' returns is zero or negative before integration, but significantly positive afterwards, explaining some effects commonly associated with financialization.
We develop a new method to optimize portfolios of options in a market where European calls and puts are available with many exercise prices for each of several potentially correlated underlying assets. We identify the combination of asset-specific option payoffs that maximizes the Sharpe ratio of the overall portfolio: such payoffs are the unique solution to a system of integral equations, which reduce to a linear matrix equation under suitable representations of the underlying probabilities. Even when implied volatilities are all higher than historical volatilities, it can be optimal to sell options on some assets while buying options on others, as hedging demand outweighs demand for asset-specific returns.
Basic concepts and how to measure price volatility
Presented by Carlos Martins-Filho at the AGRODEP Workshop on Analytical Tools for Food Prices
and Price Volatility
June 6-7, 2011 • Dakar, Senegal
For more information on the workshop or to see the latest version of this presentation visit: http://www.agrodep.org/first-annual-workshop
60 Years Birthday, 30 Years of Ground Breaking Innovation: A Tribute to Bruno...Antoine Savine
The RiO 2018 conference in mathematical finance was held in Buzios, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, 24-28 November 2018, to celebrate the 60th birthday of Bruno Dupire, one of the most influential figures in the history of financial derivatives.
This presentation, given by Antoine Savine, one of Bruno Dupire's original alumni and a lecturer in Volatility at Copenhagen University, celebrates Dupire's most influential contributions to mathematical finance and puts in perspective the history and main results of volatility modeling.
In this work I studied characteristic polynomials, associated to the energy graph of the non linear Schrodinger equation on a torus. The discussion is essentially algebraic and combinatoral in nature.
Interactive Visualization in Human Time -StampedeCon 2015StampedeCon
At the StampedeCon 2015 Big Data Conference: Visualizing large amounts of data interactively can stress the limits of computer resources and human patience. Shaping data and the way it is viewed can allow exploration of large data sets interactively. Here we will look at how to generate a large amount of data and to organize it so that it can be explored interactively. We will use financial engineering as a platform to show approaches to making the large amount of data viewable.
Many techniques in financial engineering utilize a co-variance matrix. A co-variance matrix contains the square of the number of individual data series. Interacting with this data might require generating the matrix for thousands to millions of different starting and ending time combinations. We explore aggregation techniques to visualize this data interactively without spending more time than is available nor using more storage than can be found.
Cosmin Crucean: Perturbative QED on de Sitter Universe.SEENET-MTP
Lecture by dr Cosmin Crucean (Theoretical and Applied Physics, West University of Timisoara, Romania) on July 9, 2010 at the Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Nis, Serbia.
Investing on behalf of a firm, a trader can feign personal skill by committing fraud that with high probability remains undetected and generates small gains, but that with low probability bankrupts the firm, offsetting ostensible gains. Honesty requires enough skin in the game: if two traders with isoelastic preferences operate in continuous-time and one of them is honest, the other is honest as long as the respective fraction of capital is above an endogenous fraud threshold that depends on the trader’s preferences and skill. If both traders can cheat, they reach a Nash equilibrium in which the fraud threshold of each of them is lower than if the other one were honest. More skill, higher risk aversion, longer horizons, and greater volatility all lead to honesty on a wider range of capital allocations between the traders.
American student loans are fixed-rate debt contracts that may be repaid in full by a certain maturity. Alternatively, income-based schemes give borrowers the option to make payments proportional to their income above subsistence for a number of years, after which the remaining balance is forgiven but taxed as ordinary income. The repayment strategy that minimizes the present value of future payments takes two possible forms: For a small loan balance, it is optimal to make maximum payments until the loan is fully repaid, forgoing both income-based schemes and loan forgiveness. For a large balance, enrolling in income-based schemes is optimal either immediately or after a period of maximum payments. Overall, the benefits of income-based schemes are substantial for large loan balances but negligible for small loans.
Compared with existing payment systems, Bitcoin’s throughput is low. Designed to address Bitcoin’s scalability challenge, the Lightning Network (LN) is a protocol allowing two parties to secure bitcoin payments and escrow holdings between them. In a lightning channel, each party commits collateral towards future payments to the counterparty and payments are cryptographically secured updates of collaterals. The network of channels increases transaction speed and reduces blockchain congestion. This paper (i) identifies conditions for two parties to optimally establish a channel, (ii) finds explicit formulas for channel costs, (iii) obtains the optimal collaterals and savings entailed, and (iv) derives the implied reduction in congestion of the blockchain. Unidirectional channels costs grow with the square-root of payment rates, while symmetric bidirectional channels with their cubic root. Asymmetric bidirectional channels are akin to unidirectional when payment rates are significantly different, otherwise to symmetric bidirectional.
Reference Dependence: Endogenous Anchors and Life-Cycle Investingguasoni
In a complete market, we find optimal portfolios for an investor whose satisfaction stems from both a payoff's intrinsic utility and its comparison with a reference, as specified by Koszegi and Rabin. In the regular regime, arising when reference-dependence is low, the marginal utility of the optimal payoff is proportional to a twist of the pricing kernel. High reference-dependence leads to the anchors regime, whereby investors reduce disappointment by concentrating significant probability in one or few fixed outcomes, and multiple personal equilibria arise. If stocks follow geometric Brownian motion, the model implies that younger investors have larger stocks positions than older investors, highlighting the suggestion that reference-dependence helps explain this typical recommendation of financial planners.
A monopolist platform (the principal) shares profits with a population of affiliates (the agents), heterogeneous in skill, by offering them a common nonlinear contract contingent on individual revenue. The principal cannot discriminate across individual skill, but knows its distribution and aims at maximizing profits. This paper identifies the optimal contract, its implied profits, and agents' effort as the unique solution to an equation depending on skill distribution and agents' costs of effort. If skill is Pareto-distributed and agents' costs include linear and power components, closed-form solutions highlight two regimes: If linear costs are low, the principal's share of revenues is insensitive to skill distribution, and decreases as agents' costs increase. If linear costs are high, the principal's share is insensitive to the agents' costs and increases as inequality in skill increases.
Should Commodity Investors Follow Commodities' Prices?guasoni
Most institutional investors gain access to commodities through diversified index funds, even though mean-reverting prices and low correlation among commodities returns indicate that two-fund separation does not hold for commodities. In contrast to demand for stocks and bonds, we find that, on average, demand for commodities is largely insensitive to risk aversion, with intertemporal hedging demand playing a major role for more risk averse investors. Comparing the optimal strategies of investors who observe only the index to those of investors who observe all commodities, we find that information on commodity prices leads to significant welfare gains, even if trading is confined to the index only.
Health-care slows the natural growth of mortality, indirectly increasing utility from consumption through longer lifetimes. This paper solves the problem of optimal dynamic consumption and healthcare spending with isoelastic utility, when natural mortality grows exponentially to reflect the Gompertz' law. Optimal consumption and healthcare imply an endogenous mortality law that is asymptotically exponential in the old-age limit, with lower growth rate than natural mortality. Health spending steadily increases with age, both in absolute terms and relative to total spending. Differential access to healthcare with isoelastic effects can account for observed longevity gains across cohorts.
The Evolution of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) in India: Challenges...beulahfernandes8
Role in Financial System
NBFCs are critical in bridging the financial inclusion gap.
They provide specialized financial services that cater to segments often neglected by traditional banks.
Economic Impact
NBFCs contribute significantly to India's GDP.
They support sectors like micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs), housing finance, and personal loans.
Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank Introduce New Co-Branded Credit Cardnickysharmasucks
The unveiling of the IndusInd Bank Poonawalla Fincorp eLITE RuPay Platinum Credit Card marks a notable milestone in the Indian financial landscape, showcasing a successful partnership between two leading institutions, Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank. This co-branded credit card not only offers users a plethora of benefits but also reflects a commitment to innovation and adaptation. With a focus on providing value-driven and customer-centric solutions, this launch represents more than just a new product—it signifies a step towards redefining the banking experience for millions. Promising convenience, rewards, and a touch of luxury in everyday financial transactions, this collaboration aims to cater to the evolving needs of customers and set new standards in the industry.
Financial Assets: Debit vs Equity Securities.pptxWrito-Finance
financial assets represent claim for future benefit or cash. Financial assets are formed by establishing contracts between participants. These financial assets are used for collection of huge amounts of money for business purposes.
Two major Types: Debt Securities and Equity Securities.
Debt Securities are Also known as fixed-income securities or instruments. The type of assets is formed by establishing contracts between investor and issuer of the asset.
• The first type of Debit securities is BONDS. Bonds are issued by corporations and government (both local and national government).
• The second important type of Debit security is NOTES. Apart from similarities associated with notes and bonds, notes have shorter term maturity.
• The 3rd important type of Debit security is TRESURY BILLS. These securities have short-term ranging from three months, six months, and one year. Issuer of such securities are governments.
• Above discussed debit securities are mostly issued by governments and corporations. CERTIFICATE OF DEPOSITS CDs are issued by Banks and Financial Institutions. Risk factor associated with CDs gets reduced when issued by reputable institutions or Banks.
Following are the risk attached with debt securities: Credit risk, interest rate risk and currency risk
There are no fixed maturity dates in such securities, and asset’s value is determined by company’s performance. There are two major types of equity securities: common stock and preferred stock.
Common Stock: These are simple equity securities and bear no complexities which the preferred stock bears. Holders of such securities or instrument have the voting rights when it comes to select the company’s board of director or the business decisions to be made.
Preferred Stock: Preferred stocks are sometime referred to as hybrid securities, because it contains elements of both debit security and equity security. Preferred stock confers ownership rights to security holder that is why it is equity instrument
<a href="https://www.writofinance.com/equity-securities-features-types-risk/" >Equity securities </a> as a whole is used for capital funding for companies. Companies have multiple expenses to cover. Potential growth of company is required in competitive market. So, these securities are used for capital generation, and then uses it for company’s growth.
Concluding remarks
Both are employed in business. Businesses are often established through debit securities, then what is the need for equity securities. Companies have to cover multiple expenses and expansion of business. They can also use equity instruments for repayment of debits. So, there are multiple uses for securities. As an investor, you need tools for analysis. Investment decisions are made by carefully analyzing the market. For better analysis of the stock market, investors often employ financial analysis of companies.
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptxmarketing367770
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview
If you're dreaming of owning a home in California's rural or suburban areas, a USDA loan might be the perfect solution. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) offers these loans to help low-to-moderate-income individuals and families achieve homeownership.
Key Features of USDA Loans:
Zero Down Payment: USDA loans require no down payment, making homeownership more accessible.
Competitive Interest Rates: These loans often come with lower interest rates compared to conventional loans.
Flexible Credit Requirements: USDA loans have more lenient credit score requirements, helping those with less-than-perfect credit.
Guaranteed Loan Program: The USDA guarantees a portion of the loan, reducing risk for lenders and expanding borrowing options.
Eligibility Criteria:
Location: The property must be located in a USDA-designated rural or suburban area. Many areas in California qualify.
Income Limits: Applicants must meet income guidelines, which vary by region and household size.
Primary Residence: The home must be used as the borrower's primary residence.
Application Process:
Find a USDA-Approved Lender: Not all lenders offer USDA loans, so it's essential to choose one approved by the USDA.
Pre-Qualification: Determine your eligibility and the amount you can borrow.
Property Search: Look for properties in eligible rural or suburban areas.
Loan Application: Submit your application, including financial and personal information.
Processing and Approval: The lender and USDA will review your application. If approved, you can proceed to closing.
USDA loans are an excellent option for those looking to buy a home in California's rural and suburban areas. With no down payment and flexible requirements, these loans make homeownership more attainable for many families. Explore your eligibility today and take the first step toward owning your dream home.
What website can I sell pi coins securely.DOT TECH
Currently there are no website or exchange that allow buying or selling of pi coins..
But you can still easily sell pi coins, by reselling it to exchanges/crypto whales interested in holding thousands of pi coins before the mainnet launch.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell to these crypto whales and holders of pi..
This is because pi network is not doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges can get pi is by buying from miners and pi merchants stands in between the miners and the exchanges.
How can I sell my pi coins?
Selling pi coins is really easy, but first you need to migrate to mainnet wallet before you can do that. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
Tele-gram.
@Pi_vendor_247
If you are looking for a pi coin investor. Then look no further because I have the right one he is a pi vendor (he buy and resell to whales in China). I met him on a crypto conference and ever since I and my friends have sold more than 10k pi coins to him And he bought all and still want more. I will drop his telegram handle below just send him a message.
@Pi_vendor_247
how to sell pi coins in all Africa Countries.DOT TECH
Yes. You can sell your pi network for other cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, usdt , Ethereum and other currencies And this is done easily with the help from a pi merchant.
What is a pi merchant ?
Since pi is not launched yet in any exchange. The only way you can sell right now is through merchants.
A verified Pi merchant is someone who buys pi network coins from miners and resell them to investors looking forward to hold massive quantities of pi coins before mainnet launch in 2026.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.DOT TECH
If you are interested in selling your pi coins, i have a verified pi merchant, who buys pi coins and resell them to exchanges looking forward to hold till mainnet launch.
Because the core team has announced that pi network will not be doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges like huobi, bitmart and hotbit can get pi is by buying from miners.
Now a merchant stands in between these exchanges and the miners. As a link to make transactions smooth. Because right now in the enclosed mainnet you can't sell pi coins your self. You need the help of a merchant,
i will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant below. 👇 I and my friends has traded more than 3000pi coins with him successfully.
@Pi_vendor_247
US Economic Outlook - Being Decided - M Capital Group August 2021.pdfpchutichetpong
The U.S. economy is continuing its impressive recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic and not slowing down despite re-occurring bumps. The U.S. savings rate reached its highest ever recorded level at 34% in April 2020 and Americans seem ready to spend. The sectors that had been hurt the most by the pandemic specifically reduced consumer spending, like retail, leisure, hospitality, and travel, are now experiencing massive growth in revenue and job openings.
Could this growth lead to a “Roaring Twenties”? As quickly as the U.S. economy contracted, experiencing a 9.1% drop in economic output relative to the business cycle in Q2 2020, the largest in recorded history, it has rebounded beyond expectations. This surprising growth seems to be fueled by the U.S. government’s aggressive fiscal and monetary policies, and an increase in consumer spending as mobility restrictions are lifted. Unemployment rates between June 2020 and June 2021 decreased by 5.2%, while the demand for labor is increasing, coupled with increasing wages to incentivize Americans to rejoin the labor force. Schools and businesses are expected to fully reopen soon. In parallel, vaccination rates across the country and the world continue to rise, with full vaccination rates of 50% and 14.8% respectively.
However, it is not completely smooth sailing from here. According to M Capital Group, the main risks that threaten the continued growth of the U.S. economy are inflation, unsettled trade relations, and another wave of Covid-19 mutations that could shut down the world again. Have we learned from the past year of COVID-19 and adapted our economy accordingly?
“In order for the U.S. economy to continue growing, whether there is another wave or not, the U.S. needs to focus on diversifying supply chains, supporting business investment, and maintaining consumer spending,” says Grace Feeley, a research analyst at M Capital Group.
While the economic indicators are positive, the risks are coming closer to manifesting and threatening such growth. The new variants spreading throughout the world, Delta, Lambda, and Gamma, are vaccine-resistant and muddy the predictions made about the economy and health of the country. These variants bring back the feeling of uncertainty that has wreaked havoc not only on the stock market but the mindset of people around the world. MCG provides unique insight on how to mitigate these risks to possibly ensure a bright economic future.
How to get verified on Coinbase Account?_.docxBuy bitget
t's important to note that buying verified Coinbase accounts is not recommended and may violate Coinbase's terms of service. Instead of searching to "buy verified Coinbase accounts," follow the proper steps to verify your own account to ensure compliance and security.
how to swap pi coins to foreign currency withdrawable.DOT TECH
As of my last update, Pi is still in the testing phase and is not tradable on any exchanges.
However, Pi Network has announced plans to launch its Testnet and Mainnet in the future, which may include listing Pi on exchanges.
The current method for selling pi coins involves exchanging them with a pi vendor who purchases pi coins for investment reasons.
If you want to sell your pi coins, reach out to a pi vendor and sell them to anyone looking to sell pi coins from any country around the globe.
Below is the contact information for my personal pi vendor.
Telegram: @Pi_vendor_247
What price will pi network be listed on exchangesDOT TECH
The rate at which pi will be listed is practically unknown. But due to speculations surrounding it the predicted rate is tends to be from 30$ — 50$.
So if you are interested in selling your pi network coins at a high rate tho. Or you can't wait till the mainnet launch in 2026. You can easily trade your pi coins with a merchant.
A merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold massive quantities till mainnet launch.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
Falcon stands out as a top-tier P2P Invoice Discounting platform in India, bridging esteemed blue-chip companies and eager investors. Our goal is to transform the investment landscape in India by establishing a comprehensive destination for borrowers and investors with diverse profiles and needs, all while minimizing risk. What sets Falcon apart is the elimination of intermediaries such as commercial banks and depository institutions, allowing investors to enjoy higher yields.
1. Model Results Heuristics Method
Transaction Costs Made Tractable
Paolo Guasoni
Stefan Gerhold Johannes Muhle-Karbe Walter Schachermayer
Boston University and Dublin City University
Stochastic Analysis in Insurance and Finance
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor, May 17th , 2011
2. Model Results Heuristics Method
Outline
• Motivation:
Trading Bounds, Liquidity Premia, and Trading Volume.
• Model:
Constant investment opportunities and risk aversion.
• Results:
Explicit formulas. Asymptotics.
• Method:
Shadow Price and long-run optimality.
3. Model Results Heuristics Method
Transaction Costs
• Classical portfolio choice:
1 Constant ratio of risky and safe assets.
2 Sharpe ratio alone determines discount factor.
3 Continuous rebalancing and infinite trading volume.
• Transaction costs:
1 Variation in risky/safe ratio.
Tradeoff between higher tracking error and higher costs.
2 Liquidity premium.
Trading costs equivalent to lower expected return.
3 Finite trading volume.
Understand dependence on model parameters.
• Tractability?
4. Model Results Heuristics Method
Literature
• Magill and Constantinides (1976): the no-trade region.
• Constantinides (1986):
no-trade region large, but liquidity premium small.
• Davis and Norman (1990):
rigorous solution. Algorithm for trading boundaries.
• Taksar, Klass, and Assaf (1998), Dumas and Luciano (1991):
long-run control argument. Numerical solution.
• Shreve and Soner (1994):
Viscosity solution. Utility impact of ε transaction cost of order ε2/3
• Janeˇ ek and Shreve (2004):
c
Trading boundaries of order ε1/3 . Asymptotic expansion.
• Kallsen and Muhle-Karbe (2010),
Gerhold, Muhle-Karbe and Schachermayer (2010):
Logarithmic solution with shadow price. Asymptotics.
5. Model Results Heuristics Method
This Paper
• Long-run portfolio choice. No consumption.
• Constant relative risk aversion γ.
• Explicit formulas for:
1 Trading boundaries.
2 Certainty equivalent rate (expected utility).
3 Trading volume (relative turnover).
4 Liquidity premium.
In terms of gap parameter.
• Expansion for gap yields asymptotics for all other quantities.
Of any order.
• Shadow price solution. Long-run verification theorem.
• Shadow price also explicit.
6. Model Results Heuristics Method
Model
• Safe rate r .
• Ask (buying) price of risky asset:
dSt
= (r + µ)dt + σdWt
St
• Bid price (1 − ε)St . ε is the spread.
• Investor with power utility U(x) = x 1−γ /(1 − γ).
• Maximize certainty equivalent rate (Dumas and Luciano, 1991):
1
1 1−γ 1−γ
max lim log E XT
π T →∞ T
7. Model Results Heuristics Method
Welfare, Liquidity Premium, Trading
Theorem
Trading the risky asset with transaction costs is equivalent to:
• investing all wealth at hypothetical safe certainty equivalent rate
µ2 − λ 2
CeR = r +
2γσ 2
• trading a hypothetical asset, at no transaction costs, with same
volatility σ, but expected return decreased by the liquidity premium
LiP = µ − µ2 − λ 2 .
• Optimal to keep risky weight within buy and sell boundaries
(evaluated at buy and sell prices respectively)
µ−λ µ+λ
π− = , π+ = ,
γσ 2 γσ 2
8. Model Results Heuristics Method
Gap
Theorem
• λ identified as unique value for which solution of Cauchy problem
2µ µ−λ µ+λ
w (x) + (1 − γ)w(x)2 + − 1 w(x) − γ =0
σ2 γσ 2 γσ 2
µ−λ
w(0) = ,
γσ 2
satisfies the terminal value condition:
µ+λ u(λ) 1 (µ+λ)(µ−λ−γσ 2 )
w(log(u(λ)/l(λ))) = γσ 2
, where l(λ) = 1−ε (µ−λ)(µ+λ−γσ 2 ) .
• Asymptotic expansion:
1/3
λ = γσ 2 3 2
4γ π∗ (1 − π ∗ )2 ε1/3 + O(ε).
9. Model Results Heuristics Method
Trading Volume
Theorem
• Share turnover (shares traded d||ϕ||t divided by shares held |ϕt |).
1 T d ϕ t σ2 2µ 1−π− 1−π+
ShT = lim 0 |ϕt | = σ2
−1 2µ − 2µ .
T →∞ T 2 −1
(u/l) σ2 −1 (u/l)
1−
σ2 −1
• Wealth turnover, (wealth traded divided by the wealth held):
1 T (1−ε)St dϕ↓ T St dϕ↑
WeT = lim t
0 ϕ0 St0 +ϕt (1−ε)St + t
0 ϕ0 St0 +ϕt St
T →∞ T t t
σ2 2µ π− (1−π− ) π+ (1−π+ )
= 2 σ2
−1 2µ
−1
− 1−
2µ .
(u/l) σ2 −1 (u/l) σ2 −1
11. Model Results Heuristics Method
Implications
• λ/σ 2 depends on mean-variance ratio µ = µ/σ 2 . Only.
¯
• Trading boundaries depend only on µ.
¯
• Certainty equivalent, liquidity premium, volume per unit variance
depend only on µ.
¯
• Interpretation: certainty equivalent, liquidity premium, volume
t 2
proportional to business time 0 σs ds. Trading strategy invariant.
• All results extend to St such that:
dSt
= (r + µσt )dt + σt dWt
¯
St
1 T
with σt independent of Wt and ergodic (limT →∞ T 0 σt2 dt = σ 2 ).
¯
• Same formulas hold,
replacing µ/σ 2 with µ, and residual factor σ 2 with σ 2 .
¯ ¯
12. Model Results Heuristics Method
Trading Boundaries v. Spread
0.75
0.70
0.65
0.60
0.55
0.50
0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10
µ = 8%, σ = 16%, γ = 5. Zero discount rate for consumption.
17. Model Results Heuristics Method
Welfare, Volume, and Spread
• Liquidity premium and share turnover:
LiP 3
= ε + O(ε5/3 )
ShT 4
• Certainty equivalent rate and wealth turnover:
µ2
(r + γσ 2
) − CeR 3
= ε + O(ε5/3 ).
WeT 4
• Two relations, one meaning.
• Welfare effect proportional to spread, holding volume constant.
• For same welfare, spread and volume inversely proportional.
• Relations independent of market and preference parameters.
• 3/4 universal constant.
18. Model Results Heuristics Method
Wealth Dynamics
• Number of shares must have a.s. locally finite variation.
• Otherwise infinite costs in finite time.
• Strategy: predictable process (ϕ0 , ϕ) of finite variation.
• ϕ0 units of safe asset. ϕt shares of risky asset at time t.
t
• ϕt = ϕ↑ − ϕ↓ . Shares bought ϕ↑ minus shares sold ϕ↓ .
t t t t
• Self-financing condition:
St St
dϕ0 = −
t 0
dϕ↑ + (1 − ε) 0 dϕ↓
t
St St
• Xt0 = ϕ0 St0 , Xt = ϕt St safe and risky wealth, at ask price St .
t
dXt0 =rXt0 dt − St dϕ↑ + (1 − ε)St dϕ↓ ,
t t
dXt =(µ + r )Xt dt + σXt dWt + St dϕ↑ − St dϕ↓
t
19. Model Results Heuristics Method
Control Argument
• V (t, x, y ) value function. Depends on time, and on asset positions.
• By Itô’s formula:
1
dV (t, Xt0 , Xt ) = Vt dt + Vx dXt0 + Vy dXt + Vyy d X , X t
2
σ2 2
= Vt + rXt0 Vx + (µ + r )Xt Vy + X Vyy dt
2 t
+ St (Vy − Vx )dϕ↑ + St ((1 − ε)Vx − Vy )dϕ↓ + σXt dWt
t t
• V (t, Xt0 , Xt ) supermartingale for any ϕ.
• ϕ↑ , ϕ↓ increasing, hence Vy − Vx ≤ 0 and (1 − ε)Vx − Vy ≤ 0
Vx 1
1≤ ≤
Vy 1−ε
20. Model Results Heuristics Method
No Trade Region
V 1
• When 1 ≤ Vx ≤ 1−ε does not bind, drift is zero:
y
σ2 2 Vx 1
Vt + rXt0 Vx + (µ + r )Xt Vy + Xt Vyy = 0 if 1 < < .
2 Vy 1−ε
• This is the no-trade region.
• Ansatz: value function homogeneous in wealth.
Grows exponentially with the horizon.
V (t, Xt0 , Xt ) = (Xt0 )1−γ v (Xt /Xt0 )e−(1−γ)(β+r )t
• Set z = y /x. For 1 + z < (1−γ)v (z) < 1−ε + z, HJB equation is
v (z)
1
σ2 2
z v (z) + µzv (z) − (1 − γ)βv (z) = 0
2
• Linear second order ODE. But β unknown.
21. Model Results Heuristics Method
Smooth Pasting
• Suppose 1 + z < (1−γ)v (z) < 1−ε + z same as l ≤ z ≤ u.
v (z)
1
• For l < u to be found. Free boundary problem:
σ2 2
z v (z) + µzv (z) − (1 − γ)βv (z) = 0 if l < z < u,
2
(1 + l)v (l) − (1 − γ)v (l) = 0,
(1/(1 − ε) + u)v (u) − (1 − γ)v (u) = 0.
• Conditions not enough to find solution. Matched for any l, u.
• Smooth pasting conditions.
• Differentiate boundary conditions with respect to l and u:
(1 + l)v (l) + γv (l) = 0,
(1/(1 − ε) + u)v (u) + γv (u) = 0.
22. Model Results Heuristics Method
Solution Procedure
• Unknown: trading boundaries l, u and rate β.
• Strategy: find l, u in terms of β.
• Free bounday problem becomes fixed boundary problem.
• Find unique β that solves this problem.
23. Model Results Heuristics Method
Trading Boundaries
• Plug smooth-pasting into boundary, and result into ODE. Obtain:
2 l 2 l
− σ (1 − γ)γ (1+l)2 v + µ(1 − γ) 1+l v − (1 − γ)βv = 0.
2
• Setting π− = l/(1 + l), and factoring out (1 − γ)v :
γσ 2 2
− π + µπ− − β = 0.
2 −
• π− risky weight on buy boundary, using ask price.
• Same argument for u. Other solution to quadratic equation is:
u(1−ε)
π+ = 1+u(1−ε) ,
• π+ risky weight on sell boundary, using bid price.
24. Model Results Heuristics Method
Gap
• Optimal policy: buy when “ask" weight falls below π− , sell when
“bid" weight rises above π+ . Do nothing in between.
• π− and π+ solve same quadratic equation. Related to β via
µ µ2 − 2βγσ 2
π± = ± .
γσ 2 γσ 2
• Set β = (µ2 − λ2 )/2γσ 2 . β = µ2 /2γσ 2 without transaction costs.
• Investor indifferent between trading with transaction costs asset
with volatility σ and excess return µ, and...
• ...trading hypothetical frictionless asset, with excess return
µ2 − λ2 and same volatility σ.
• µ− µ2 − λ2 is liquidity premium.
• With this notation, buy and sell boundaries are π± = µ±λ .
γσ 2
25. Model Results Heuristics Method
Symmetric Trading Boundaries
• Trading boundaries symmetric around frictionless weight µ/γσ 2 .
• Each boundary corresponds to classical solution, in which
expected return is increased or decreased by the gap λ.
• With l(λ), u(λ) identified by π± in terms of λ, it remains to find λ.
• This is where the trouble is.
26. Model Results Heuristics Method
First Order ODE
• Use substitution:
log(z/l(λ))
w(y )dy , l(λ)ey v (l(λ)ey )
v (z) = e(1−γ) i.e. w(y ) = (1−γ)v (l(λ)ey )
• Then linear decond order ODE becomes first order Riccati ODE
2µ µ−λ µ+λ
w (x) + (1 − γ)w(x)2 + σ2
− 1 w(x) − γ γσ 2 γσ 2
=0
µ−λ
w(0) =
γσ 2
µ+λ
w(log(u(λ)/l(λ))) =
γσ 2
u(λ) 1 π+ (1−π− ) 1 (µ+λ)(µ−λ−γσ 2 )
where l(λ) = 1−ε π− (1−π+ ) = 1−ε (µ−λ)(µ+λ−γσ 2 ) .
• For each λ, initial value problem has solution w(λ, ·).
• λ identified by second boundary w(λ, log(u(λ)/l(λ))) = µ+λ .
γσ 2
27. Model Results Heuristics Method
Shadow Market
• Find shadow price to make argument rigorous.
˜
• Hypothetical price S of frictionless risky asset, such that trading in
˜
S withut transaction costs is equivalent to trading in S with
transaction costs. For optimal policy.
• For all other policies, shadow market is better.
• Use frictionless theory to show that candidate optimal policy is
optimal in shadow market.
• Then it is optimal also in transaction costs market.
28. Model Results Heuristics Method
Shadow Price Form
• Look for a shadow price of the form
˜ St
St = Y g(eYt )
e t
eYt = (Xt /Xt0 )/l ratio between risky and safe positions at mid-price
S, and centered at the buying boundary
π− (µ − λ)
l= = 2 − (µ − λ)
.
1 − π− γσ
• Idea: risky/safe ratio is the state variable of the shadow market.
• Shadow price has stochastic investment opportunities.
• Numbers of units ϕ0 and ϕ remain constant inside no-trade region.
• Y = log(ϕ/lϕ0 ) + log(S/S 0 ) follows Brownian motion with drift.
29. Model Results Heuristics Method
Shadow Price at Trading Boundaries
• Y must remain in [0, log(u/l)], so Y reflected at boundaries:
dYt = (µ − σ 2 /2)dt + σdWt + dLt − dUt ,
for L, U that only increase when {Yt = 0} and {Yt = log(u/l)}.
• g : [1, u/l] → [1, (1 − ε)u/l] satisfies conditions
g(1) =1 g(u/l) =(1 − ε)u/l
g (1) =1 g (u/l) =1 − ε.
˜
• Boundary conditions: S equals bid and the ask at boundaries.
˜
• Smooth-pasting: diffusion of S/S zero at boundaries.
30. Model Results Heuristics Method
Shadow Price
˜
• Itô’s formula and conditions on g imply that S satisfies:
˜ ˜
d St /St = (˜(Yt ) + r )dt + σ (Yt )dWt ,
µ ˜
where
2
µg (ey )ey + σ g (ey )e2y
2 σg (ey )ey
µ(y ) =
˜ , and σ (y ) =
˜ .
g(ey ) g(ey )
˜
• Local time terms vanish in the dynamics of S.
• How to find function g?
• First derive the HJB equation for generic g.
• Then, compare HJB equation to that for transaction cost problem.
• Value function must be the same.
Matching the two HJB equations identifies the function g.
31. Model Results Heuristics Method
Shadow HJB Equation
• Shadow wealth process of policy π is:
˜
˜ ˜ ˜ ˜ ˜ ˜˜ ˜
d Xt = r Xt dt + πt µ(Yt )Xt dt + πt σ (Yt )Xt dWt .
˜ ˜ ˜ ˜
• Setting Vt = V (t, Xt , Yt ), Itô’s formula yields for d Vt :
˜ ˜ ˜ ˜2 2 2
˜˜ ˜ ˜ 2 ˜
˜ ˜
2
˜
2
˜ σ˜ ˜ ˜
(Vt + r Xt Vx + µπt Xt Vx + σ πt2 Xt2 Vxx +(µ−σ )Vy + σ Vyy +σ˜ πt Xt Vxy )d
˜ σ˜ ˜ ˜ ˜
+ Vy (dLt − dUt ) + (˜ πt Xt Vx + σ Vy )dWt ,
˜
• V supermartingale for any strategy, martingale for optimal strategy.
• HJB equation:
˜ ˜ µ˜ ˜ ˜2 ˜ ˜ 2
˜ 2
˜ σ˜ ˜
supπ (Vt +rx Vx +˜π x Vx + σ π 2 x 2 Vxx +(µ− σ )Vy + σ Vyy +σ˜ π x Vxy ) = 0
˜ 2 2 2
with Neumann boundary conditions
˜ ˜
Vy (0) = Vy (log(u/l)) = 0.
32. Model Results Heuristics Method
Homogeneity
˜
• Homogeneous value function V (t, x, y ) = x 1−γ v (t, y ) implies:
˜
1 µ˜ ˜
σ vy
πt =
˜ 2
+ .
γ σ
˜ ˜ ˜
σ v
• Plugging equality back into the HJB equation:
2
σ2 σ2 1−γ µ˜ ˜
vy
˜ ˜
vt + (1 − γ)r v + µ − ˜
vy + ˜
vyy + +σ ˜
v = 0.
2 2 2γ σ
˜ 2 ˜
v
• Certainty equivalent rate β = (µ2 − λ2 )/(2γσ 2 ) for shadow market
must be the same as for transaction cost market. Set
y
˜
v (t, y ) = e−(1−γ)(β+r )t e(1−γ)
˜ w(z)dz
,
˜ ˜ ˜
• Since vy /v = (1 − γ)w, equation reduces to Riccati ODE
2
2µ 2β 1 µ
˜
w + (1 − γ)w 2 +
˜ ˜ σ2
˜
−1 w − σ2
+ γσ 2 σ
˜
˜
+ σ(1 − γ)w =0
˜ ˜
with boundary conditions w(0) = w(log(u/l)) = 0.
33. Model Results Heuristics Method
Matching HJB Equations
• Shadow market value function
y
Vt = e−(1−γ)(β+r )t Xt1−γ e(1−γ)
˜ ˜ ˜
w(z)dz
must coincide with transaction cost value function:
y
Vt = e−(1−γ)(β+r )t (Xt0 )1−γ e(1−γ) w(z)dz
˜
• X 0 safe position, X shadow wealth. Related by
˜
Xt ˜
ϕ0 S 0 + ϕt St
= t t0 0 = 1 + g(eYt )l = φ(Yt ).
Xt0 ϕt St
˜
• Condition V = V implies that
y
0 = log (1 + g(ey )l) + ˜
(w(z) − w(z))dz,
• Which in turn means that
g (ey )ey l φ (y )
˜
w(y ) = w(y ) − y )l
= w(y ) − .
1 + g(e φ(y )
34. Model Results Heuristics Method
Shadow price ODE
˜ ˜
• Plug w(y ) into ODE for w, use ODE for w, and simplify. Result:
2
µ(y )
˜ g (ey )ey l
(1 − γ)w(y ) + − = 0.
σ˜ (y ) 1 + g(ey )l
σ
• Plug µ(y ) and σ (y ) to obtain (ugly) ODE for g:
˜ ˜
g (ey )ey 2g (ey )ey l 2µ
y)
− y )l
+ 2 + 2(1 − γ)w(y ) = 0.
g (e 1 + g(e σ
1+g(e )ly
• Substitution k (y ) = g (ey )ey l makes ODE linear:
2µ
k (y ) = k (y ) − 1 + 2(1 − γ)w(y ) − 1.
σ2
35. Model Results Heuristics Method
Explicit Solutions
• First, solve ODE for w(x, λ). Solution (for positive discriminant):
a(λ) tan[tan−1 ( b(λ) ) + a(λ)x] + ( σ2 − 1 )
a(λ)
µ
2
w(λ, x) = ,
γ−1
where
2 2 2
−λ
a(λ) = (γ − 1) µγσ4 − 1
2 − µ
σ2
, b(λ) = 1
2 − µ
σ2
+ (γ − 1) µ−λ .
γσ 2
• Plug expression into ODE for k . Solution:
2 2 2
k (y ) = cos2 tan−1 b
a + ay − a tan tan−1
1 b
a +ay + a2 + (aa2 (µ−λ)
b +b )γσ
1 1 y 1
• Plug into g(ey ) = 1−ε + l exp 0 k (x) dx − 1 , which yields:
l
1 γσ 2 1
g(y ) = 1−ε 1+ µ−λ −1
1+ µ−λ
2
b
− 2a 2 tan[tan−1 ( b )+ay ]
γσ b2 +a2 a +b a
36. Model Results Heuristics Method
Verification
Theorem
˜
The shadow payoff XT of π =
˜ 1 µ˜
+ (1 − γ) σ w and the shadow
˜
γ σ2
˜ σ
˜
· µ
˜ y
discount factor MT = E(− 0 σ dWt )T
˜
˜
satisfy (with q (y ) = ˜
w(z)dz):
˜ 1−γ =e(1−γ)βT E e(1−γ)(q (Y0 )−q (YT )) ,
E XT ˆ ˜ ˜
1 γ γ
1− γ 1 ˜ ˜
( γ −1)(q (Y0 )−q (YT ))
E MT ˆ
=e(1−γ)βT E e .
ˆ ˆ
where E[·] is the expectation with respect to the myopic probability P:
ˆ T T 2
dP µ
˜ 1 µ
˜
= exp − + σ π dWt −
˜˜ − + σπ
˜˜ dt .
dP 0 σ
˜ 2 0 σ
˜
37. Model Results Heuristics Method
First Bound (1)
˜ ˜ ˜ ˜
• µ, σ , π , w functions of Yt . Argument omitted for brevity.
˜
• For first bound, write shadow wealth X as:
˜ 1−γ T σ2 2
˜ T
XT = exp (1 − γ) 0 µπ −
˜˜ 2 π
˜ dt + (1 − γ) 0 σ π dWt .
˜˜
• Hence:
ˆ 2
˜ 1−γ T σ2 2 µ
˜
XT = d P exp
dP 0 (1 − γ) µπ −
˜˜ ˜
2 π
˜ + 1
2 − σ + σπ
˜ ˜˜ dt
T µ
˜
× exp 0 (1 − γ)˜ π − − σ + σ π
σ˜ ˜ ˜˜ dWt .
1 µ˜
• Plug π = γ
˜ σ2
˜
+ (1 − γ) σ w . Second integrand is −(1 − γ)σ w.
σ
˜
˜ ˜
µ
˜ 2 2
• First integrand is 1 σ2 + γ σ π 2 − γ µπ , which equals to
2˜
˜
2 ˜ ˜˜
2 2
1−γ µ
˜
(1 − γ)2 σ w 2 +
2
˜ 2γ σ
˜
˜
+ σ(1 − γ)w .
38. Model Results Heuristics Method
First Bound (2)
1−γ
˜
• In summary, XT equals to:
ˆ T 2 2
dP 1 µ
˜
dP exp (1 − γ) 0 (1 − γ) σ w 2 +
2
˜ 2γ σ
˜
˜
+ σ(1 − γ)w dt
T
× exp −(1 − γ) 0
˜
σ wdWt .
˜ ˜
• By Itô’s formula, and boundary conditions w(0) = w(log(u/l)) = 0,
T 1 T
˜ ˜
q (YT ) − q (Y0 ) = 0
˜
w(Yt )dYt + 2 0
˜
w (Yt )d Y , Y t ˜ ˜
+ w(0)LT − w(u
T σ2 ˜ σ2 ˜ T
˜
= 0 µ− 2 w+ 2 w dt + 0 σ wdWt .
T ˜ 1−γ equals to:
˜
• Use identity to replace 0 σ wdWt , and XT
ˆ
dP T
dP exp (1 − γ) 0
˜ ˜
(β) dt) × exp (−(1 − γ)(q (YT ) − q (Y0 ))) .
2 2 2
σ2 1 µ
˜
as σ w + (1 − γ) σ w 2 + µ −
2
˜ 2
˜ 2
˜
w+ 2γ σ
˜
˜
+ σ(1 − γ)w = β.
• First bound follows.
40. Model Results Heuristics Method
Conclusion
• Portfolio choice with transaction costs.
• Constant risk aversion and long horizon.
• Formulas for trading boundaries, certainty equivalent rate, liquidity
premium and trading volume. All in terms of gap parameter.
• Gap identified as solution of scalar equation.
• Expansion for gap yield asymptotics for all quantities.
• Verification by shadow price.
• Shadow price also explicit.