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LESSON 2
ITÔ’S LEMMA AND BLACK-SCHOLES MODEL
Derivative Pricing - Module 4
Outline
I Log-normal property of stock prices
I Itô’s Lemma and the solution to GBM SDE
I Black-Scholes model
2
Log-Normal Property of Stock Prices
In order to analytically solve the SDE in the previous lesson, we are going to make use of two things:
(i) Log-normal property of stock prices
(ii) Itö’s Lemma to solve the SDE
Let’s explore the first of these ⇒ Is it realistic to assume stock prices follow a log-normal distribution?
Go to the first part of the Jupyter Notebook accompanying this lesson to see this:
3
Itô calculus for GBM
Conveniently for us, a log-normal transform of a log-normally distributed variable will follow a normal
distribution.
I By taking St = Ln(St ) and applying Itô’s Lemma, we can get a closed-form solution for St from our SDE:
Ln St
S0
=

µ − σ2
2

t + σWt ,
LnSt ∼ N

LnS0 +

µ − σ2
2

t , σ2t

which yields:
St = S0 e

µ− σ2
2

t+σWt

where,
E(St ) = S0eµt
Var(St ) = S2
0 e2µt

eσ2
t − 1

4
Black-Scholes-Merton Model
The last SDE gave rise to one of the most important option pricing models ever: Black-Scholes.
The model departs from some important assumptions (some will be relaxed in the future):
(i) Prices follow a GBM with µ and σ constant.
(ii) Perfect capital markets: No taxes, transaction costs, no dividends, absence of arbitrage, etc.
(iii) Risk-free rate is constant and equal for all maturities.
I Next, apply the same intuition as in binomial setting: No-arbitrage and riskless portfolio replica!
I This yields the following Black-Scholes-Merton SDE (see additional references for proof):
∂f
∂t
+ rS
∂f
∂S
+
1
2
σ2
S2 ∂2f
∂S2
= rf
for f being the claim associated with any derivative instrument.
I Importantly, note how the previous equation only depends on r → Risk-neutral valuation
5
Black-Scholes Formulas for Option Pricing
Using the Black-Scholes-Merton SDE, we can get closed-form solutions for call and put option prices.
I The formulas are the following:
Call option → c = S0N(d1) − Ke−rT
N(d2)
Put option → p = Ke−rT
N(−d2) − S0N(−d1)
where N() is the cumulative density function (CDF) of a standard normal and:
d1 =
Ln(S0/K) + (r + σ2/2)T
σ
√
T
d2 =
Ln(S0/K) + (r − σ2/2)T
σ
√
T
= d1 − σ
√
T
I Again, only discounting on r → Risk-neutral valuation
6
Greeks in Black-Scholes
In the final part of the lesson, we are going to deal with the Greeks in a Black-Scholes model.
We can interpret Greeks as the sensitivity of option price to different variables → remember Delta?
I Sensitivity to underlying stock price (Delta):
Call Option ∆ =
∂C
∂S
= N(d1); Put Option ∆ =
∂P
∂S
= N(d1) − 1
I Sensitivity to changes in underlying stock price (Gamma):
Γ =
∂2V
∂S2
=
N(d1)
Sσ
√
T − t
I Sensitivity to volatility (Vega):
ν =
∂2V
∂σ
= SN(d1)
√
T − t
7
Greeks in Black-Scholes (con.)
I Sensitivity to time (Theta):
Call Option Θ =
∂C
∂t
= −
SN(d1)σ
2
√
T − t
− rKe−r(T−t)
N(d2)
Put Option Θ =
∂P
∂t
= −
SN(d1)σ
2
√
T − t
+ rKe−r(T−t)
N(−d2)
I Sensitivity to risk-free rate (Rho):
Call Option ρ =
∂C
∂r
= K(T − t)e−r(T−t)
N(d2)
Put Option ρ =
∂P
∂r
= −K(T − t)e−r(T−t)
N(−d2)
⇒ You can consult additional references to see more on the derivation of each of these.
8
Summary of Lesson 2
In Lesson 2, we have looked at:
I Log-normality of stock prices
I Derivation of GBM process for stock prices using Itô’s Lemma
I Black-Scholes-Merton SDE and option pricing model
I Greeks (sensitivities) in Black-Scholes model
⇒ TO-DO NEXT: Now, please go to the associated Jupyter Notebook for this lesson to learn how to
implement the Black-Scholes option pricing model in Python. Also, you have a working example of the different
Greeks there. Lastly, please make sure that you check the additional material in this lesson to ensure that you
have a comprehensive understanding of how to derive the previous formulas (Itô’s Lemma, GBM,
Black-Scholes, etc.)
⇒ In the next lesson, we will see the application of a previously introduced method, Monte Carlo, for pricing
options under the Black-Scholes framework.
9

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DP_M4_L2.pdf

  • 1. LESSON 2 ITÔ’S LEMMA AND BLACK-SCHOLES MODEL Derivative Pricing - Module 4
  • 2. Outline I Log-normal property of stock prices I Itô’s Lemma and the solution to GBM SDE I Black-Scholes model 2
  • 3. Log-Normal Property of Stock Prices In order to analytically solve the SDE in the previous lesson, we are going to make use of two things: (i) Log-normal property of stock prices (ii) Itö’s Lemma to solve the SDE Let’s explore the first of these ⇒ Is it realistic to assume stock prices follow a log-normal distribution? Go to the first part of the Jupyter Notebook accompanying this lesson to see this: 3
  • 4. Itô calculus for GBM Conveniently for us, a log-normal transform of a log-normally distributed variable will follow a normal distribution. I By taking St = Ln(St ) and applying Itô’s Lemma, we can get a closed-form solution for St from our SDE: Ln St S0 = µ − σ2 2 t + σWt , LnSt ∼ N LnS0 + µ − σ2 2 t , σ2t which yields: St = S0 e µ− σ2 2 t+σWt where, E(St ) = S0eµt Var(St ) = S2 0 e2µt eσ2 t − 1 4
  • 5. Black-Scholes-Merton Model The last SDE gave rise to one of the most important option pricing models ever: Black-Scholes. The model departs from some important assumptions (some will be relaxed in the future): (i) Prices follow a GBM with µ and σ constant. (ii) Perfect capital markets: No taxes, transaction costs, no dividends, absence of arbitrage, etc. (iii) Risk-free rate is constant and equal for all maturities. I Next, apply the same intuition as in binomial setting: No-arbitrage and riskless portfolio replica! I This yields the following Black-Scholes-Merton SDE (see additional references for proof): ∂f ∂t + rS ∂f ∂S + 1 2 σ2 S2 ∂2f ∂S2 = rf for f being the claim associated with any derivative instrument. I Importantly, note how the previous equation only depends on r → Risk-neutral valuation 5
  • 6. Black-Scholes Formulas for Option Pricing Using the Black-Scholes-Merton SDE, we can get closed-form solutions for call and put option prices. I The formulas are the following: Call option → c = S0N(d1) − Ke−rT N(d2) Put option → p = Ke−rT N(−d2) − S0N(−d1) where N() is the cumulative density function (CDF) of a standard normal and: d1 = Ln(S0/K) + (r + σ2/2)T σ √ T d2 = Ln(S0/K) + (r − σ2/2)T σ √ T = d1 − σ √ T I Again, only discounting on r → Risk-neutral valuation 6
  • 7. Greeks in Black-Scholes In the final part of the lesson, we are going to deal with the Greeks in a Black-Scholes model. We can interpret Greeks as the sensitivity of option price to different variables → remember Delta? I Sensitivity to underlying stock price (Delta): Call Option ∆ = ∂C ∂S = N(d1); Put Option ∆ = ∂P ∂S = N(d1) − 1 I Sensitivity to changes in underlying stock price (Gamma): Γ = ∂2V ∂S2 = N(d1) Sσ √ T − t I Sensitivity to volatility (Vega): ν = ∂2V ∂σ = SN(d1) √ T − t 7
  • 8. Greeks in Black-Scholes (con.) I Sensitivity to time (Theta): Call Option Θ = ∂C ∂t = − SN(d1)σ 2 √ T − t − rKe−r(T−t) N(d2) Put Option Θ = ∂P ∂t = − SN(d1)σ 2 √ T − t + rKe−r(T−t) N(−d2) I Sensitivity to risk-free rate (Rho): Call Option ρ = ∂C ∂r = K(T − t)e−r(T−t) N(d2) Put Option ρ = ∂P ∂r = −K(T − t)e−r(T−t) N(−d2) ⇒ You can consult additional references to see more on the derivation of each of these. 8
  • 9. Summary of Lesson 2 In Lesson 2, we have looked at: I Log-normality of stock prices I Derivation of GBM process for stock prices using Itô’s Lemma I Black-Scholes-Merton SDE and option pricing model I Greeks (sensitivities) in Black-Scholes model ⇒ TO-DO NEXT: Now, please go to the associated Jupyter Notebook for this lesson to learn how to implement the Black-Scholes option pricing model in Python. Also, you have a working example of the different Greeks there. Lastly, please make sure that you check the additional material in this lesson to ensure that you have a comprehensive understanding of how to derive the previous formulas (Itô’s Lemma, GBM, Black-Scholes, etc.) ⇒ In the next lesson, we will see the application of a previously introduced method, Monte Carlo, for pricing options under the Black-Scholes framework. 9