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ECON621
Topic 3
Drivers of growth
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Introduction
• Now that we have covered what the trends in the world
  economy are (global slowdown!) the question becomes,
  what will drive growth?
• The views from macroeconomics…
• Acemoglu & Robinson (WNF) looks at the reasons for
  inequality of incomes and growth rates:
  • They say it is not due to adverse geography, differences in culture
    or ignorant policymakers.
  • It can be explained by institutions
• In this lecture we examine different views of the drivers of
  growth.
• And have presentations on the importance of openness,
  infrastructure and human capital.
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Drivers of growth
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More drivers of growth
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Deep determinants
• A recent paper by Easterly & Levine looks at the impact of
  European settlement during the colonial period on
  economic development today.
• There is an interesting literature on how European
  colonization shaped economic growth in the new world.
  • Through political institutions: settler vs. extractive colonies.
  • Influenced the rate of human capital accumulation.
  • British vs. other European political and legal systems.
  • Through technological diffusion.
• E&L compile data on the historical determinants of
 European settlement.
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Deep determinants
• They find that the proportion of colonial Europeans of the
 population is positively and strongly associated with
 current levels of economic development.
  • 47% of development outside Europe us attributed to the share of
   European settlers.
• Particularly true for the early stages of colonization.
• It matters more than the proportion of Europeans today.
• Seems to support the idea that Europeans brought
 growth-promoting characteristics:
  • Institutions,
  • Human capital,
  • Connections with international markets.
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Conclusions
• The debate over the drivers of economic growth is unlikely
  to be settled anytime soon.
• There is no silver bullet – growth is the result of getting
  many big and small things right.
• The relevance is clear in this week's reaction to the DA's
  economic growth plan.
• We will be having a closer look at some of the policy
  options throughout this course.

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Topic 3

  • 2. htpp://econ621.wordpress.com Introduction • Now that we have covered what the trends in the world economy are (global slowdown!) the question becomes, what will drive growth? • The views from macroeconomics… • Acemoglu & Robinson (WNF) looks at the reasons for inequality of incomes and growth rates: • They say it is not due to adverse geography, differences in culture or ignorant policymakers. • It can be explained by institutions • In this lecture we examine different views of the drivers of growth. • And have presentations on the importance of openness, infrastructure and human capital.
  • 5. htpp://econ621.wordpress.com Deep determinants • A recent paper by Easterly & Levine looks at the impact of European settlement during the colonial period on economic development today. • There is an interesting literature on how European colonization shaped economic growth in the new world. • Through political institutions: settler vs. extractive colonies. • Influenced the rate of human capital accumulation. • British vs. other European political and legal systems. • Through technological diffusion. • E&L compile data on the historical determinants of European settlement.
  • 6. htpp://econ621.wordpress.com Deep determinants • They find that the proportion of colonial Europeans of the population is positively and strongly associated with current levels of economic development. • 47% of development outside Europe us attributed to the share of European settlers. • Particularly true for the early stages of colonization. • It matters more than the proportion of Europeans today. • Seems to support the idea that Europeans brought growth-promoting characteristics: • Institutions, • Human capital, • Connections with international markets.
  • 7. htpp://econ621.wordpress.com Conclusions • The debate over the drivers of economic growth is unlikely to be settled anytime soon. • There is no silver bullet – growth is the result of getting many big and small things right. • The relevance is clear in this week's reaction to the DA's economic growth plan. • We will be having a closer look at some of the policy options throughout this course.