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by Patrick Hervé BABOGA, M. Eng 1/3
FACTS AND FIGURES FOR TOP 5 WAF POWER MARKETS – 2014
In 2014, the top 5 power markets of West
Africa (WAF) were in order Nigeria, Ghana,
Ivory Coast, Cameroon and Senegal with
consumption amounting to 44.5
Terawatthours. Although, they have been
growing over the past few years and are at
different stages of their liberalization
process, these markets continue to face
the same challenges, namely:
 structural shortfall of supply that
usually leads to load shedding;
 difficulties in fossil fuels supply;
 old and obsolete transmission and
distribution network resulting in:
 frequent partial and total
collapse of the national grid;
 significant system losses,
especially in distribution.
 low end-user prices that jeopardize
the financial health of power
companies.
To solve these issues, the governments of
these countries have chosen to reform their
market to enable private investment in the
power sector.
According to many experts, Ivory Coast is
an example of liberalization of the power
sector. She was one of the first WAF
country to launch the reform its power
market. This process started in 1985 with a
new law governing the power sector that
liberalized electricity generation. The
privatization of the national Company EECI
in 1990, the concession contract signed
with CIE the same year and the beginning
of production of CIPREL, the first Ivoirian
IPP, in 1994, are some milestones of this
process. This country now has 3 IPP, but is
still dominated by the CIE that has enjoyed
a monopoly in transmission and
distribution. Nevertheless, with the
opening of transmission and distribution to
competition as per the new electricity code
of 2014, this situation will likely evolve in
the short term. The main challenge that
this market will face in future is securing
gas for its thermal generation.
The second country to kick-off the
liberalization of its electricity market was
Ghana, with the acts 538 and 541 of 1997.
Milestones of this process are: the
beginning of production of TICO, first
Ghanaian IPP, in 2000, and the creation of
a transmission company in 2008. In 2014,
there were many utilities active in the
power generation (5) and distribution (3),
transmission being a monopoly as per law.
Although on many aspects Ghana power
market can be considered as the most
mature WAF market, it continues to be
by Patrick Hervé BABOGA, M. Eng 2/3
dominated by state-owned companies,
namely VRA, BPA, GRIDCO, ECG and
NEDCO. The main challenge of the
Ghanaian power market for the
foreseeable future will be the setting of
appropriate end-user tariffs that will
reestablish financial health of the sector
without jeopardizing demand.
Senegal was the third of the top 5 WAF
markets to start the reorganization of its
power sector with a law published in 1998.
This process led to a privatization
agreement in 1999 that was cancelled 2000
and to date SENELEC is still a state-owned
company. Despite this unsuccessful
privatization, IPP started production as
early as 1999, with commissioning of the
GTI Dakar Plant. Senegal had in 2014, two
independent power producers, two
dedicated capacity in Malian hydro dams
and is leasing additional engines to meet its
domestics needs. SENELEC remains the
dominant player of this market and is
active in the generation, transmission and
distribution. The main challenge that this
market will face in future is the access
to cheap primary resource or electricity
(Banda Gas project and the FSRU project
are interesting alternatives).
The fourth market to take a step in the
liberalization process in the WAF Zone was
Cameroon with the electricity code of 1998
and the sell-out in 2001, of 56 % interest in
National Company SONEL, by the State.
Some milestones of this process are: the
beginning of production of DPDC, first
private utility in 2009 and the
commissioning in 2013 of the biggest
generation capacity to come online for
more than 30 years (the 216 MW Kribi
plant). Although having two IPP,
Cameroonian electricity market continues
to be dominated by ENEO the successor of
SONEL that has enjoyed monopoly in
transmission and distribution and also
operates hydro and thermal plants. This
monopoly was ended with the new
electricity code of 2011 and the creation of
a transmission company in 2015. Given the
important generation capacity under
construction, the main challenge of this
market will be to develop and upgrade
the grid (merge the three existing
network).
The poor performance of its electricity
market has obliged Nigeria to start
liberalization of this sector with the
granting of express approvals to some
companies. This approach resulted in the
commissioning of AES Barge in 2001, the
first Nigerian IPP, and of the Agip Okpai
plant in 2005. In parallel, Nigeria kicked-off
the revision of its regulation, to stimulate
private financing. This led to the
enactment in 2005 of the Electric Power
Sector Reform. The main achievement of
this reform occurred in 2013 with the
creation of 5 power generation companies,
one transmission company and 11
distribution companies, all successors of
the Power Holding Company of Nigeria.
This reform has also enabled the arrival of
many additional IPP since 2005. Thus,
Nigeria had at the end of the year 2014,
more than 30 utilities and was the biggest
WAF market. In the coming years, this
market will face two main challenges:
reducing transmission and distribution
losses (46 % in 2014) and setting the
appropriate electricity tariffs.
The following factsheet highlights facts and
figures on these markets for 2014.
Rank County Main indicators Production Transmission Ditribution Consumption Comments
1 Nigeria
Population : 177,500,000
GDP (MUSD) : 568,500
Area : 923,768 km
2
Installed Capacity : 11.732 GW
Available capacity : 7.485 GW
Net production : 29,244 GWh
Load Factor : 28.5 %
Fuel : Natural gas, hydro
Utilities : 22 producing utilities (PHCN
succesors, IPP, NIPP, IOC)
Peak load 4.144 GW
Network length : 15,022 km
Lines type : 330/132 kV
losses : 9.7 %
Number of networks : 1
Operator : TCN (State owned)
9 collapses of the grid
Lines length : 356,363 km
MV : 33/11 kV
LV: 415/220 V
18 % of netwok losses + 28 % of
collection losses
Operators : 11 distribution
companies
Consumption : 21,654 GWh
Number of subscribers : 8,645,000
Consumption per capita : 126 kWh
Average end-user price : 144.60 USD/MWh
Electricity access 45 %
PHCN historical power company was privatized in 2013
Second Multi-Year Tarrif Order (MYTO 2) is under implentation and
tariffs are more cost reflective
Regulatory agencies : NERC, ECN
Unavailability of gas, water shortages and grid constraints affects
power generation and transmission
Exports power to Togo, Benin and Niger
Gas cost : 3.3 USD/MMBTU
2 Ghana
Population : 26,790,000
GDP (MUSD) : 38,620
Area : 238,535 km
2
Installed Capacity : 2.830 GW
Net production : 12,963 GWh
Load factor 52.3 %
Fuel : Hydro, natural gas, light crude oil
(LCO), solar
Utilities : VRA, BPA (State owned) TICO, CEL,
SAPP, (IPP)
Peak load 2.061 GW
Network length : 4,450 km
Lines type : 330/225/161/65 kV
Losses : 4.3 %
Number of networks : 1
Operator : GRIDCO (State Owned)
Lines length : 91,382 km
MV : 34,5/33/30/20/11 kV
LV: 415/220 V
losses : 25.2 %
Operators : ECG, NEDCO (State
Owned) and EPC (Private owned)
Consumption : 10,182 GWh
Number of subscribers : 2,658,602
1
Consumption per capita : 380 kWh
Average end-user price : 158.07 USD/MWh
Electricity access 80 %
SAIDI : 215/106 hrs per customer
1
SAIFI : 135 per customer
1
IPP generation started in 2000 (commissioning of TICO)
Automatic Adjustment Formula (AAF) is under implementation and
tariffs are more cost reflective
Regulatory agencies : PURC, EC
Poor performance of the WAGP has obliged Ghana to rely on LCO
for thermal production
Exports power to Togo, Benin and Burkina
Gas cost : 8.7 USD/MMBTU
LCO cost : 110.2 USD/bbl
3 Ivory Coast
Population : 22,160,000
GDP (MUSD) : 34,250
Area : 322,463 km
2
Installed Capacity : 1.632 GW
Net production : 8,152 GWh
Load factor 57.0 %
Fuel : Natural gas, Hydro, fuel-oil, diesel
Utilities : CIE (15 % State owned), CIPREL,
AGGREKO, AZITO (IPP)
Peak load 1.148 GW
Network length : 4,697 km
Lines type : 225/90 kV
Losses : 6.4 %
Number of networks : 1
Operator : CIE
Lines length : 37,961 km
MV : 30/11 kV
LV: 380/220 V
losses : 17.6 %
Operator : CIE
Consumption : 5,563 GWh
Number of subscribers : 1,311,741
Consumption per capita : 251 kWh
Average end-user price : 138.7 USD/MWh
Electricity access 77 %
SAIDI : 40 hrs per customer
EECI historical power comany was privatized in 1990
Prices are regulated, not cost reflective and rarely modified
Regulatory agency : ANARE
Exports power to Togo, Benin, Burkina, Mali and Ghana
Gas cost : 5.3 USD/MMBTU
Fuel-oil cost : 972.2 USD/MT
4 Cameroon
Population : 22,770,000
GDP (MUSD) : 32,050
Area : 475,440 km
2
Installed Capacity : 1.249 GW
Net production : 6,080 GWh
Load factor 55.6 %
Fuel : Hydro, Natural gas, fuel-oil, diesel,
Solar
Utilities : ENEO (44 % State owned), KPDC,
DPDC (IPP)
Peak load 0.790 GW
Network length : 2,232 km
Lines type : 225/110/90 kV
Losses : 5.6 %
Number of networks : 3
Operator : ENEO
Lines length : 34,358 km
MV : 30/15 kV
LV: 380/220 V
losses : 30.9 %
Operator : ENEO
Consumption : 4,360 GWh
Number of subscribers : 951,496
Consumption per capita : 191 kWh
Average end-user price : 129,40 USD/MWh
Electricity access : 50 %
SAIDI : 105.2 hrs per customer
SAIFI : 305 per customer
SONEL historical power company was privatized in 2001
Prices are regulated and rarely modified
Regulatory agency : ARSEL
Transmission company created in 2015
Fuel-oil cost : 476.2 USD/MT
Diesel cost : 1,213.2 USD/MT
5 Senegal
Population : 14,670,000
GDP (MUSD) : 15,660
Area : 196,190 km
2
Installed Capacity : 0.828 GW
Net production : 3,227 GWh
Load factor 44.0 %
Fuel : Fuel-oil, hydro, natural gas, diesel
Utilities : SENELEC (State owned), GTI,
KONOUNE (IPP), MANANTALI, FELOU (Dedicated
capacity), AGGREKO, APR Energy (Leased
capcity)
Peak load 0.466 GW1
Network length : 511 km1
Lines type : 225/90 kV
Losses : 2.4 %
Number of networks : 3
Operator : SENELEC
Lines length : 16,466 km
1
MV : 30/6.6 kV
LV: 380/220/127 V
losses : 18.4 %
Operator : SENELEC
Consumption : 2,565 GWh
Number of Subscribers : 1,050,228
Consumption per capita : 194 kWh
Average end-user price : 237.69 USD/MWh
Electricity access : 60 %
END = 21 GWh
The privatization deal with the consortium of Hydro-Quebec and
Elyo was canceled by Senegal in 2000
Prices are regulated, not cost reflective and rarely modified
Regulatory agency : CRSE
Senegal has 60 and 15 MW of dedicated capacity in Manantali and
Felou hydro dams (Mali)
Fuel-oil cost : 710.0 USD/MT
Diesel cost : 1,083.1 USD/MT
Gas price : 8.9 USD/MMBTU
1
2012 data
Sources : Regulators, Utilities, Ministries of Enegy, International Energy Agency, World bank, African Development Bank
By Patrick Hervé BABOGA, M. Eng. 3/3

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Top 5 West African (WAF) power markets - 2014

  • 1. by Patrick Hervé BABOGA, M. Eng 1/3 FACTS AND FIGURES FOR TOP 5 WAF POWER MARKETS – 2014 In 2014, the top 5 power markets of West Africa (WAF) were in order Nigeria, Ghana, Ivory Coast, Cameroon and Senegal with consumption amounting to 44.5 Terawatthours. Although, they have been growing over the past few years and are at different stages of their liberalization process, these markets continue to face the same challenges, namely:  structural shortfall of supply that usually leads to load shedding;  difficulties in fossil fuels supply;  old and obsolete transmission and distribution network resulting in:  frequent partial and total collapse of the national grid;  significant system losses, especially in distribution.  low end-user prices that jeopardize the financial health of power companies. To solve these issues, the governments of these countries have chosen to reform their market to enable private investment in the power sector. According to many experts, Ivory Coast is an example of liberalization of the power sector. She was one of the first WAF country to launch the reform its power market. This process started in 1985 with a new law governing the power sector that liberalized electricity generation. The privatization of the national Company EECI in 1990, the concession contract signed with CIE the same year and the beginning of production of CIPREL, the first Ivoirian IPP, in 1994, are some milestones of this process. This country now has 3 IPP, but is still dominated by the CIE that has enjoyed a monopoly in transmission and distribution. Nevertheless, with the opening of transmission and distribution to competition as per the new electricity code of 2014, this situation will likely evolve in the short term. The main challenge that this market will face in future is securing gas for its thermal generation. The second country to kick-off the liberalization of its electricity market was Ghana, with the acts 538 and 541 of 1997. Milestones of this process are: the beginning of production of TICO, first Ghanaian IPP, in 2000, and the creation of a transmission company in 2008. In 2014, there were many utilities active in the power generation (5) and distribution (3), transmission being a monopoly as per law. Although on many aspects Ghana power market can be considered as the most mature WAF market, it continues to be
  • 2. by Patrick Hervé BABOGA, M. Eng 2/3 dominated by state-owned companies, namely VRA, BPA, GRIDCO, ECG and NEDCO. The main challenge of the Ghanaian power market for the foreseeable future will be the setting of appropriate end-user tariffs that will reestablish financial health of the sector without jeopardizing demand. Senegal was the third of the top 5 WAF markets to start the reorganization of its power sector with a law published in 1998. This process led to a privatization agreement in 1999 that was cancelled 2000 and to date SENELEC is still a state-owned company. Despite this unsuccessful privatization, IPP started production as early as 1999, with commissioning of the GTI Dakar Plant. Senegal had in 2014, two independent power producers, two dedicated capacity in Malian hydro dams and is leasing additional engines to meet its domestics needs. SENELEC remains the dominant player of this market and is active in the generation, transmission and distribution. The main challenge that this market will face in future is the access to cheap primary resource or electricity (Banda Gas project and the FSRU project are interesting alternatives). The fourth market to take a step in the liberalization process in the WAF Zone was Cameroon with the electricity code of 1998 and the sell-out in 2001, of 56 % interest in National Company SONEL, by the State. Some milestones of this process are: the beginning of production of DPDC, first private utility in 2009 and the commissioning in 2013 of the biggest generation capacity to come online for more than 30 years (the 216 MW Kribi plant). Although having two IPP, Cameroonian electricity market continues to be dominated by ENEO the successor of SONEL that has enjoyed monopoly in transmission and distribution and also operates hydro and thermal plants. This monopoly was ended with the new electricity code of 2011 and the creation of a transmission company in 2015. Given the important generation capacity under construction, the main challenge of this market will be to develop and upgrade the grid (merge the three existing network). The poor performance of its electricity market has obliged Nigeria to start liberalization of this sector with the granting of express approvals to some companies. This approach resulted in the commissioning of AES Barge in 2001, the first Nigerian IPP, and of the Agip Okpai plant in 2005. In parallel, Nigeria kicked-off the revision of its regulation, to stimulate private financing. This led to the enactment in 2005 of the Electric Power Sector Reform. The main achievement of this reform occurred in 2013 with the creation of 5 power generation companies, one transmission company and 11 distribution companies, all successors of the Power Holding Company of Nigeria. This reform has also enabled the arrival of many additional IPP since 2005. Thus, Nigeria had at the end of the year 2014, more than 30 utilities and was the biggest WAF market. In the coming years, this market will face two main challenges: reducing transmission and distribution losses (46 % in 2014) and setting the appropriate electricity tariffs. The following factsheet highlights facts and figures on these markets for 2014.
  • 3. Rank County Main indicators Production Transmission Ditribution Consumption Comments 1 Nigeria Population : 177,500,000 GDP (MUSD) : 568,500 Area : 923,768 km 2 Installed Capacity : 11.732 GW Available capacity : 7.485 GW Net production : 29,244 GWh Load Factor : 28.5 % Fuel : Natural gas, hydro Utilities : 22 producing utilities (PHCN succesors, IPP, NIPP, IOC) Peak load 4.144 GW Network length : 15,022 km Lines type : 330/132 kV losses : 9.7 % Number of networks : 1 Operator : TCN (State owned) 9 collapses of the grid Lines length : 356,363 km MV : 33/11 kV LV: 415/220 V 18 % of netwok losses + 28 % of collection losses Operators : 11 distribution companies Consumption : 21,654 GWh Number of subscribers : 8,645,000 Consumption per capita : 126 kWh Average end-user price : 144.60 USD/MWh Electricity access 45 % PHCN historical power company was privatized in 2013 Second Multi-Year Tarrif Order (MYTO 2) is under implentation and tariffs are more cost reflective Regulatory agencies : NERC, ECN Unavailability of gas, water shortages and grid constraints affects power generation and transmission Exports power to Togo, Benin and Niger Gas cost : 3.3 USD/MMBTU 2 Ghana Population : 26,790,000 GDP (MUSD) : 38,620 Area : 238,535 km 2 Installed Capacity : 2.830 GW Net production : 12,963 GWh Load factor 52.3 % Fuel : Hydro, natural gas, light crude oil (LCO), solar Utilities : VRA, BPA (State owned) TICO, CEL, SAPP, (IPP) Peak load 2.061 GW Network length : 4,450 km Lines type : 330/225/161/65 kV Losses : 4.3 % Number of networks : 1 Operator : GRIDCO (State Owned) Lines length : 91,382 km MV : 34,5/33/30/20/11 kV LV: 415/220 V losses : 25.2 % Operators : ECG, NEDCO (State Owned) and EPC (Private owned) Consumption : 10,182 GWh Number of subscribers : 2,658,602 1 Consumption per capita : 380 kWh Average end-user price : 158.07 USD/MWh Electricity access 80 % SAIDI : 215/106 hrs per customer 1 SAIFI : 135 per customer 1 IPP generation started in 2000 (commissioning of TICO) Automatic Adjustment Formula (AAF) is under implementation and tariffs are more cost reflective Regulatory agencies : PURC, EC Poor performance of the WAGP has obliged Ghana to rely on LCO for thermal production Exports power to Togo, Benin and Burkina Gas cost : 8.7 USD/MMBTU LCO cost : 110.2 USD/bbl 3 Ivory Coast Population : 22,160,000 GDP (MUSD) : 34,250 Area : 322,463 km 2 Installed Capacity : 1.632 GW Net production : 8,152 GWh Load factor 57.0 % Fuel : Natural gas, Hydro, fuel-oil, diesel Utilities : CIE (15 % State owned), CIPREL, AGGREKO, AZITO (IPP) Peak load 1.148 GW Network length : 4,697 km Lines type : 225/90 kV Losses : 6.4 % Number of networks : 1 Operator : CIE Lines length : 37,961 km MV : 30/11 kV LV: 380/220 V losses : 17.6 % Operator : CIE Consumption : 5,563 GWh Number of subscribers : 1,311,741 Consumption per capita : 251 kWh Average end-user price : 138.7 USD/MWh Electricity access 77 % SAIDI : 40 hrs per customer EECI historical power comany was privatized in 1990 Prices are regulated, not cost reflective and rarely modified Regulatory agency : ANARE Exports power to Togo, Benin, Burkina, Mali and Ghana Gas cost : 5.3 USD/MMBTU Fuel-oil cost : 972.2 USD/MT 4 Cameroon Population : 22,770,000 GDP (MUSD) : 32,050 Area : 475,440 km 2 Installed Capacity : 1.249 GW Net production : 6,080 GWh Load factor 55.6 % Fuel : Hydro, Natural gas, fuel-oil, diesel, Solar Utilities : ENEO (44 % State owned), KPDC, DPDC (IPP) Peak load 0.790 GW Network length : 2,232 km Lines type : 225/110/90 kV Losses : 5.6 % Number of networks : 3 Operator : ENEO Lines length : 34,358 km MV : 30/15 kV LV: 380/220 V losses : 30.9 % Operator : ENEO Consumption : 4,360 GWh Number of subscribers : 951,496 Consumption per capita : 191 kWh Average end-user price : 129,40 USD/MWh Electricity access : 50 % SAIDI : 105.2 hrs per customer SAIFI : 305 per customer SONEL historical power company was privatized in 2001 Prices are regulated and rarely modified Regulatory agency : ARSEL Transmission company created in 2015 Fuel-oil cost : 476.2 USD/MT Diesel cost : 1,213.2 USD/MT 5 Senegal Population : 14,670,000 GDP (MUSD) : 15,660 Area : 196,190 km 2 Installed Capacity : 0.828 GW Net production : 3,227 GWh Load factor 44.0 % Fuel : Fuel-oil, hydro, natural gas, diesel Utilities : SENELEC (State owned), GTI, KONOUNE (IPP), MANANTALI, FELOU (Dedicated capacity), AGGREKO, APR Energy (Leased capcity) Peak load 0.466 GW1 Network length : 511 km1 Lines type : 225/90 kV Losses : 2.4 % Number of networks : 3 Operator : SENELEC Lines length : 16,466 km 1 MV : 30/6.6 kV LV: 380/220/127 V losses : 18.4 % Operator : SENELEC Consumption : 2,565 GWh Number of Subscribers : 1,050,228 Consumption per capita : 194 kWh Average end-user price : 237.69 USD/MWh Electricity access : 60 % END = 21 GWh The privatization deal with the consortium of Hydro-Quebec and Elyo was canceled by Senegal in 2000 Prices are regulated, not cost reflective and rarely modified Regulatory agency : CRSE Senegal has 60 and 15 MW of dedicated capacity in Manantali and Felou hydro dams (Mali) Fuel-oil cost : 710.0 USD/MT Diesel cost : 1,083.1 USD/MT Gas price : 8.9 USD/MMBTU 1 2012 data Sources : Regulators, Utilities, Ministries of Enegy, International Energy Agency, World bank, African Development Bank By Patrick Hervé BABOGA, M. Eng. 3/3