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The Impact of Droughts and Floods on Food Security and Policy Options  to Alleviate Negative Effects Stephen Devereux Institute of Development Studies University of Sussex, UK IAAE plenary session: “ Economics of Natural Disasters” Gold Coast, Australia, 13 August 2006
Structure of Presentation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Drought & Flood Impacts on Food Security as a Sequence of “Entitlement Failures” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Production–based  entitlements Labour–based  entitlements Trade–based  entitlements Transfer–based  entitlements
Impacts of Weather Shocks on Crop and Livestock Production ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Production–based  entitlements Labour–based  entitlements Trade–based  entitlements Transfer–based  entitlements
Impacts of Weather Shocks on Foodcrop Production in Malawi ,[object Object],Production–based  entitlements
Impacts of Weather Shocks on Foodcrop Production in Malawi ,[object Object],Production–based  entitlements
Impacts of Weather Shocks on Labour Markets ,[object Object],[object Object],Production–based  entitlements Labour–based  entitlements Trade–based  entitlements Transfer–based  entitlements
Impacts of Weather Shocks on Labour Markets in Malawi ,[object Object],Labour–based  entitlements Labour demand Labour supply 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Impacts of Weather Shocks on Commodity Markets ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Production–based  entitlements Labour–based  entitlements Trade–based  entitlements Transfer–based  entitlements
Impacts of Weather Shocks on Food Markets in Malawi ,[object Object],Trade–based  entitlements
Impacts of Weather Shocks on Asset Markets in Malawi ,[object Object],Trade–based  entitlements
[object Object],[object Object],Impacts of Weather Shocks on Informal Transfers Production–based  entitlements Labour–based  entitlements Trade–based  entitlements Transfer–based  entitlements
Policy Responses to Failures of Crop and Livestock Production ,[object Object],[object Object],Production–based  entitlements Labour–based  entitlements Trade–based  entitlements Transfer–based  entitlements
Policy Responses to Failures of Crop and Livestock Production ,[object Object],Production–based  entitlements Commercialisation ( Land reform ) Intensification ( Access to inputs ) High Vulnerability   Migration ( Rural–rural;  rural–urban ) Diversification ( On–farm; off–farm ) Low Vulnerability   High Growth Low Growth
Policy Responses to Failures of Labour Markets ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Production–based  entitlements Labour–based  entitlements Trade–based  entitlements Transfer–based  entitlements
Policy Responses to Failures of Commodity Markets ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Production–based  entitlements Labour–based  entitlements Trade–based  entitlements Transfer–based  entitlements
[object Object],[object Object],Policy Responses to Failures of Informal Transfers Production–based  entitlements Labour–based  entitlements Trade–based  entitlements Transfer–based  entitlements
Policy Responses to Failures of Informal Transfers ,[object Object],Transfer–based  entitlements
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object]

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  • 1. The Impact of Droughts and Floods on Food Security and Policy Options to Alleviate Negative Effects Stephen Devereux Institute of Development Studies University of Sussex, UK IAAE plenary session: “ Economics of Natural Disasters” Gold Coast, Australia, 13 August 2006
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