University of Washington EMBA Program
Regional 20

“The Case of the Complaining Customer”

TA: Rory McLeod
The Case of the Complaining Customer
• Background
– Decision Maker: Presto Cleaner President J.W. Sewickley
• Recently received information on a “service failure”

– Customer: George Shelton
• Angry!!!
– Not very fond of new order system’s performance from the start
($3 for each bag, longer wait, service provider unfamiliarity with
the new system)
– Presto lost (and later found) shirts he submitted for cleaning
– Feels like he got “the run around”/no empathy from Paul Hoffner
& Presto Management or the current complaint resolution system
– After 9 day wait he bought 4 new shirts
– Eventually another customer—having inadvertently picked up
the wrong order—returned his 4 shirts
– Still has not heard from Presto as of October 8 (originally tried to
pick up his 4 shirts on August 10)
The Case of the Complaining Customer
• Background (cont.)
– Presto Manager: Paul Hoffner
•
•
•
•

Feels like he made a good faith effort
Considers circumstances to be highly mitigating factors
Customer has outright lied about some key facts
Willing to play the fall guy
The Case of the Complaining Customer
• Mr. Sewickley has 2 decisions to make:
– Fix the problem?
• Customer

– Assess and fix the system?
• Employee
• Operations System
• Corporate Culture
Case of the Complaining Customer
• Fixing the Problem: To Keep or Not To
Keep Customer?
– Costs vs. benefits to Presto
• Value of Customer
• Compensation needed/given to keep customer (if
any)
Case of the Complaining Customer
Sample Calculation of Lifetime Value
Customer Segment: The Sheltons (2001-2002)
Average Expenditure
Purchase Cycle (weeks)
Gross Margin %
Annual Contribution from Exchanges
Forecast Customer Life (years)
NPV of Lifetime Value of Direct Exchanges

*Assumes discount rate of 10%.

$25.00
1
50%
$650
4
$2,060
Case of the Complaining Customer
Sample Calculation of Lifetime Value
Customer Segment: The Sheltons (2001-2002)
Average Expenditure
Purchase Cycle (weeks)
Gross Margin %
Annual Contribution from Exchanges
Undiscounted Lifetime Profit
NPV of Lifetime Value of Direct Exchanges

$25.00
1
50%
$650
$2,600
$2,060

Associated Lifetime Value (NPV)
# of Persons Referred
Word-of-Mouth Conversion Rate
Annual Contribution from Exchanges with Referrals
NPV of Associated Lifetime Value

10
50.00%
$1,625.00
$5,151

TOTAL NPV

$7,751
Case of the Complaining Customer
Decision Alternative: Giving the Customer What He Wants
Benefits
Customer's Augemented (Basic + Associated) NPV

$7,751

Costs
Apology
Refunding the order
Replacing the 4 Shirts
"Extras"
Value of this Alternative to Presto

$0 (approximate value only)
$35
$300 (liberal estimate)
???
$7,416
Case of the Complaining Customer
Decision Alternative: Forget the Customer
Benefits
A more confident Mr. Hoffner

$0 ???

Costs
Missed opportunity to earn augmented NPV
Negative word-of-mouth
Number of current customers who hear the horror story
Likelihood that someone switches upon hearing story
Value of lost customer
Lost Opportunity to Obtain New Customers (Negative word-of-mouth)
Value of this Alternative to Presto

$0
$5,813
15
10%
$3,876
???
($5,813)
Case of the Complaining Customer
Building a Defection Tree
SERVICE ENCOUNTER
P1

Satisfied

Dissatisfied

a

b
Do not
Complain

Complain to
Employee

P2
Unhappy,
Leave

c
Complain to
Management

P3
Stay, but
Unhappy

Resolved,
Stay

Unresolved,
Leave

P4
Resolved,
Stay

Unresolved,
Leave

% Customers Lost =(P1)(a)(P2) + (P1)(b)(P3) +( P1)(c)(P4) + negative word of mouth
Case of the Complaining Customer
Building a Defection Tree
SERVICE ENCOUNTER
.90

Satisfied

P1=.10

Dissatisfied

.60

.05

.35

Do not
Complain

Complain to
Employee

Complain to
Management

P2=.50
. 50
Unhappy,
Leave

Stay, but
Unhappy

.50
Resolved,
Stay

P3=.50
Unresolved,
Leave

.70
Resolved,
Stay

P4=.30
Unresolved,
Leave

% Customers Lost = .03 + .0175 + .0015 = 4.9%, excluding negative word of mouth
% Lost observed by Management = 0.15% = 3% of Total Lost
For every customer Management loses, there are 33 more out there (x 1.5 negative w.o.m)!!!
Key Learnings
– A substantial portion of the customer’s “true” value to the
organization can stem from referrals, network effects, and
reduced service costs that are not part of “basic” LTV
calculations
– Informed decision makers tradeoff the costs and benefits
of service recovery, and they learn from mistakes
• Customers who complain are typically desperate to do business
with your organization

– Customers will typically hold your organization
responsible for their entire experience (whether you think
you’re responsible or not)
• Coordinate points of contact to send a consistent message
Key Learnings
– Its usually best to keep customers informed, even
when the news is bad
• Emotion plays a huge role in customer assessments of
service quality. Keeping customers in the dark risks
making things worse.

– In addition to assessing whether or not to fix the
problem, good marketing managers will check to
see whether or not the system needs fixing as well
Thank You!

The Case of Complaining Customer

  • 1.
    University of WashingtonEMBA Program Regional 20 “The Case of the Complaining Customer” TA: Rory McLeod
  • 2.
    The Case ofthe Complaining Customer • Background – Decision Maker: Presto Cleaner President J.W. Sewickley • Recently received information on a “service failure” – Customer: George Shelton • Angry!!! – Not very fond of new order system’s performance from the start ($3 for each bag, longer wait, service provider unfamiliarity with the new system) – Presto lost (and later found) shirts he submitted for cleaning – Feels like he got “the run around”/no empathy from Paul Hoffner & Presto Management or the current complaint resolution system – After 9 day wait he bought 4 new shirts – Eventually another customer—having inadvertently picked up the wrong order—returned his 4 shirts – Still has not heard from Presto as of October 8 (originally tried to pick up his 4 shirts on August 10)
  • 3.
    The Case ofthe Complaining Customer • Background (cont.) – Presto Manager: Paul Hoffner • • • • Feels like he made a good faith effort Considers circumstances to be highly mitigating factors Customer has outright lied about some key facts Willing to play the fall guy
  • 4.
    The Case ofthe Complaining Customer • Mr. Sewickley has 2 decisions to make: – Fix the problem? • Customer – Assess and fix the system? • Employee • Operations System • Corporate Culture
  • 5.
    Case of theComplaining Customer • Fixing the Problem: To Keep or Not To Keep Customer? – Costs vs. benefits to Presto • Value of Customer • Compensation needed/given to keep customer (if any)
  • 6.
    Case of theComplaining Customer Sample Calculation of Lifetime Value Customer Segment: The Sheltons (2001-2002) Average Expenditure Purchase Cycle (weeks) Gross Margin % Annual Contribution from Exchanges Forecast Customer Life (years) NPV of Lifetime Value of Direct Exchanges *Assumes discount rate of 10%. $25.00 1 50% $650 4 $2,060
  • 7.
    Case of theComplaining Customer Sample Calculation of Lifetime Value Customer Segment: The Sheltons (2001-2002) Average Expenditure Purchase Cycle (weeks) Gross Margin % Annual Contribution from Exchanges Undiscounted Lifetime Profit NPV of Lifetime Value of Direct Exchanges $25.00 1 50% $650 $2,600 $2,060 Associated Lifetime Value (NPV) # of Persons Referred Word-of-Mouth Conversion Rate Annual Contribution from Exchanges with Referrals NPV of Associated Lifetime Value 10 50.00% $1,625.00 $5,151 TOTAL NPV $7,751
  • 8.
    Case of theComplaining Customer Decision Alternative: Giving the Customer What He Wants Benefits Customer's Augemented (Basic + Associated) NPV $7,751 Costs Apology Refunding the order Replacing the 4 Shirts "Extras" Value of this Alternative to Presto $0 (approximate value only) $35 $300 (liberal estimate) ??? $7,416
  • 9.
    Case of theComplaining Customer Decision Alternative: Forget the Customer Benefits A more confident Mr. Hoffner $0 ??? Costs Missed opportunity to earn augmented NPV Negative word-of-mouth Number of current customers who hear the horror story Likelihood that someone switches upon hearing story Value of lost customer Lost Opportunity to Obtain New Customers (Negative word-of-mouth) Value of this Alternative to Presto $0 $5,813 15 10% $3,876 ??? ($5,813)
  • 10.
    Case of theComplaining Customer Building a Defection Tree SERVICE ENCOUNTER P1 Satisfied Dissatisfied a b Do not Complain Complain to Employee P2 Unhappy, Leave c Complain to Management P3 Stay, but Unhappy Resolved, Stay Unresolved, Leave P4 Resolved, Stay Unresolved, Leave % Customers Lost =(P1)(a)(P2) + (P1)(b)(P3) +( P1)(c)(P4) + negative word of mouth
  • 11.
    Case of theComplaining Customer Building a Defection Tree SERVICE ENCOUNTER .90 Satisfied P1=.10 Dissatisfied .60 .05 .35 Do not Complain Complain to Employee Complain to Management P2=.50 . 50 Unhappy, Leave Stay, but Unhappy .50 Resolved, Stay P3=.50 Unresolved, Leave .70 Resolved, Stay P4=.30 Unresolved, Leave % Customers Lost = .03 + .0175 + .0015 = 4.9%, excluding negative word of mouth % Lost observed by Management = 0.15% = 3% of Total Lost For every customer Management loses, there are 33 more out there (x 1.5 negative w.o.m)!!!
  • 12.
    Key Learnings – Asubstantial portion of the customer’s “true” value to the organization can stem from referrals, network effects, and reduced service costs that are not part of “basic” LTV calculations – Informed decision makers tradeoff the costs and benefits of service recovery, and they learn from mistakes • Customers who complain are typically desperate to do business with your organization – Customers will typically hold your organization responsible for their entire experience (whether you think you’re responsible or not) • Coordinate points of contact to send a consistent message
  • 13.
    Key Learnings – Itsusually best to keep customers informed, even when the news is bad • Emotion plays a huge role in customer assessments of service quality. Keeping customers in the dark risks making things worse. – In addition to assessing whether or not to fix the problem, good marketing managers will check to see whether or not the system needs fixing as well
  • 14.

Editor's Notes