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VIRGIN MOBILE USA: PRICING 
CASE ANALYSIS 
Siddharth Dhamija 
Section- F 
S No. 23
OVERVIEW 
• Objective – To develop a pricing strategy for a new wireless service 
• Target Segment – Teens and Twenties 
• Business Model – MVNO – No fixed cost or investment in physical 
infrastructure 
• Virgin’s Brand Personality – Innovative, fun, pro-active and challenging 
• Identify and enter areas, where competitors are complacent or customers 
taken for a ride by existing players
CORE COMPETENCY 
• Making a difference in the eyes of the customer in terms of : 
• Value for Money 
• Quality 
• Innovation 
• Fun 
• A sense of ‘Coolness’
SEGMENTATION 
Identified the age segment where the Industry penetration was the 
lowest, that is, between 15 years to 29 years of age 
Growth rate among this segment is projected to be robust for the next 5 
years 
Existing players ignored this segment due to poor credit quality, irregular 
usage etc 
60 
40 
20 
0 
Mobile Phone penetration 
Age 15-19 Age 20-29 Age 30-59 
Mobile Phone penetration
Identified the income segment with a low disposable income and high 
aspiration for trendiness. 
1 
15 
32 
32 
USA Demography by Income 
Upper Class 
Upper Middle Class 
Lower Middle Class 
Working Class 
Lower Class
VALUE PROPOSITION 
• Basic intent was to appeal to the youth, market, generate additional usage, 
and create loyalty 
• VirginExtras – Integrate entertainment with basic telephone services 
• Text Messaging, Online Real-Time Billing, Rescue Ring, Wake-Up Call, Ring Tones, 
Fun Clips, The Hit List, Music Messenger, Movies. 
• Packaging – colorful and vibrant, Hassle free sale 
• Availability – At places frequented by the youth
VALUE POSITIONING 
• Holistic marketing approach takes pricing decision based on various factors 
– 3Cs and marketing environment. 
• Company – Pricing should conform to the company’s marketing strategy and its 
target markets and brand positioning. 
• Customer – Uniform and hassle free pricing which will enhance Customer’s 
satisfaction. 
• Competition – A pricing strategy which will provide the company a distinct 
competitive advantage
BUSINESS MODEL 
• MVNO – was successful in UK not in Singapore 
• Ad budget – Approx $ 60 million 
• Lower commissions - $ 30 per phone as against industry 
average of $ 100 
• Different channel strategy where youth shop
PRICING STRATEGY: POSSIBLE OPTIONS 
• Option 1: Clone the industry prices 
• Pros 
• Ease in implementation 
• Service and application differentiation 
• Competitive Off peak hour rates and lesser hidden fees 
• Cons 
• No pricing advantage w.r.t competitors 
• Will not work with Low income segment 
• Poor credit quality of the targeted segment, will reduce the target 
market further 
• Difficult to penetrate the market without lower prices.
PRICING STRATEGY: POSSIBLE OPTIONS 
• Option 2: Price below the competition 
• Pros 
• Pricing advantage w.r.t competitors 
• Fits with the requirement of the target market, i.e lower prices. 
• Cheaper and hence accessible to Low income segment 
• Will enable better penetration 
• Cons 
• Low margin and would need deep pocket 
• May cause a price war
•Option 3: A whole new plan 
• Pros 
• Do away with the contracts so as to get Low Credit customers 
• Prepaid services to help customers decide their own talk plans 
• Specifically customized for the target market 
• Subsidized handsets to make the deal attractive 
• Eliminate all hidden costs 
• Cons 
• High churn rate of 6% 
• Concerns over margins 
• Concerns over the recovery of cost of handset 
• After evaluating the Pros and Cons of the three plans, I’ve decided to try 
Option 3 with Optimal Pricing.
PRICING LEVELS 
Break even analysis 
• Monthly ARPU $ 52 
• Monthly cost to serve is $ 30 
• Monthly margin is $ 22 ( 52-30) 
• Time required to break even on the acquisition cost is 
• $ 370/22 = 17 months
Annual retention rate in this industry is 
Calculated as 
1- ( Monthly churn rate * 12 months) = 1 – 0.02 * 12 = 0.76 
1- ( Monthly churn rate * 12 months) = 1 – 0.06 * 12 = 0.28
LTV OF CUSTOMERS 
• As per Exhibit 11 the interest rate is 5 % and an infinite economic life ( N) 
• Formula for LTV 
• LTV = M / (1- r +i) – AC where 
M - Margin customers generates in year a 
R - Annual retention rate 
i - Interest rate 
AC - Acquisition cost 
N - Number of years over which the relationship is calculated
LTV CALCULATION 
• 22 * 12/ 1-.76+.05 minus 370 = $ 540 
• If eliminating contracts, the LTV would be negative 
• 22 * 12 / 1-.28 + .05 minus 370= $ -27.14 
• The industry would lose money on the average customer given current 
acquisition costs if it abandon the practice of requiring contracts from their 
customers. Hence, it is not feasible for the industry to have a no contract 
strategy.
HOW TO COUNTER THE NEGATIVES 
• Lowering acquisition cost such as sales commission, 
advertising costs and handset subsidies 
• Current industry hand set cost is 225 
Average taken  (150+300)/2 = 225 
• Current industry subsidy is 150  (100+200)/2 
• Subsidy as a % is 67 calculated as { (150 / 225) *100 }
VIRGIN’S ACQUISITION COSTS 
• Handset cost is 60 to100 ( 80 on an average) 
• If virgin were to subsidize handsets by 40% its subsidy would equal to $ 30 
• Sales commission is $ 30 
• Ad per gross add is $ 60 
• Hand set subsidy is $ 30 
• Total acquisition cost is $ 120
COULD IT ACHIEVE PROFITABILITY 
• Acquisition costs of virgin is $ 120 versus the industry average of $ 370 
• Given the acquisition costs, what would virgin have to charge consumers on 
a per minute basis to equal the industry’s break even time of 17 months
FURTHER CALCULATIONS BASED ON SOME 
ASSUMPTIONS 
• Virgin’s monthly ARPU 200 minutes ( A mid point is taken given Virgin’s 
estimate of 100-300 minutes per month) 
• Monthly cost to serve is 45% of revenues ( given in exhibit 11) 
• Virgin’s Monthly ARPU = 200 minutes 
• Monthly cost to serve = .45 * 200 * p where p is price per minute 
• Virgin’s monthly margin = 200-90 = 110p 
• Virgin’s acquisition costs = 120 
• To break even in 17 months = 110/17 = 6.4 is the Price per minute
LTV AT VARIOUS PRICE POINTS 
• (1-.45) (200*12*.064) / 1-.28 + .05 Minus 120 = $ -10.29 
• (1-.45) (200*12*.10) / 1-.28 + .05 Minus 120 = $ 51 
• (1-.45) (200*12*.25) / 1-.28 + .05 Minus 120 = $ 309 
• Customers would not last the 17 months to cover the acquisition costs. In 
order to have a positive LTV, Virgin should charge more than 6.4. 
• This can be anywhere between 10 & 25 cents
WHAT HAPPENED 
• A pre paid plan 
• No contracts, hidden charges, peak or off peak hours 
• Very low hand set subsidies 
• No credit checks 
• No monthly bills 
• Price 25 cents for the first 10 minutes and 10 cents/minute for the rest of the day 
• A 3 month period in which to use pre paid minutes, plus an additional 2 month 
grace period 
• Handsets with one button access to view current balance/remaining minutes 
• Customers could purchase additional minutes via the phone or credit card. Users 
can also purchase a top-off card through virgin’s retail channels

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Virgin mobile USA pricing first time case analysis

  • 1. VIRGIN MOBILE USA: PRICING CASE ANALYSIS Siddharth Dhamija Section- F S No. 23
  • 2. OVERVIEW • Objective – To develop a pricing strategy for a new wireless service • Target Segment – Teens and Twenties • Business Model – MVNO – No fixed cost or investment in physical infrastructure • Virgin’s Brand Personality – Innovative, fun, pro-active and challenging • Identify and enter areas, where competitors are complacent or customers taken for a ride by existing players
  • 3. CORE COMPETENCY • Making a difference in the eyes of the customer in terms of : • Value for Money • Quality • Innovation • Fun • A sense of ‘Coolness’
  • 4. SEGMENTATION Identified the age segment where the Industry penetration was the lowest, that is, between 15 years to 29 years of age Growth rate among this segment is projected to be robust for the next 5 years Existing players ignored this segment due to poor credit quality, irregular usage etc 60 40 20 0 Mobile Phone penetration Age 15-19 Age 20-29 Age 30-59 Mobile Phone penetration
  • 5. Identified the income segment with a low disposable income and high aspiration for trendiness. 1 15 32 32 USA Demography by Income Upper Class Upper Middle Class Lower Middle Class Working Class Lower Class
  • 6. VALUE PROPOSITION • Basic intent was to appeal to the youth, market, generate additional usage, and create loyalty • VirginExtras – Integrate entertainment with basic telephone services • Text Messaging, Online Real-Time Billing, Rescue Ring, Wake-Up Call, Ring Tones, Fun Clips, The Hit List, Music Messenger, Movies. • Packaging – colorful and vibrant, Hassle free sale • Availability – At places frequented by the youth
  • 7. VALUE POSITIONING • Holistic marketing approach takes pricing decision based on various factors – 3Cs and marketing environment. • Company – Pricing should conform to the company’s marketing strategy and its target markets and brand positioning. • Customer – Uniform and hassle free pricing which will enhance Customer’s satisfaction. • Competition – A pricing strategy which will provide the company a distinct competitive advantage
  • 8. BUSINESS MODEL • MVNO – was successful in UK not in Singapore • Ad budget – Approx $ 60 million • Lower commissions - $ 30 per phone as against industry average of $ 100 • Different channel strategy where youth shop
  • 9. PRICING STRATEGY: POSSIBLE OPTIONS • Option 1: Clone the industry prices • Pros • Ease in implementation • Service and application differentiation • Competitive Off peak hour rates and lesser hidden fees • Cons • No pricing advantage w.r.t competitors • Will not work with Low income segment • Poor credit quality of the targeted segment, will reduce the target market further • Difficult to penetrate the market without lower prices.
  • 10. PRICING STRATEGY: POSSIBLE OPTIONS • Option 2: Price below the competition • Pros • Pricing advantage w.r.t competitors • Fits with the requirement of the target market, i.e lower prices. • Cheaper and hence accessible to Low income segment • Will enable better penetration • Cons • Low margin and would need deep pocket • May cause a price war
  • 11. •Option 3: A whole new plan • Pros • Do away with the contracts so as to get Low Credit customers • Prepaid services to help customers decide their own talk plans • Specifically customized for the target market • Subsidized handsets to make the deal attractive • Eliminate all hidden costs • Cons • High churn rate of 6% • Concerns over margins • Concerns over the recovery of cost of handset • After evaluating the Pros and Cons of the three plans, I’ve decided to try Option 3 with Optimal Pricing.
  • 12. PRICING LEVELS Break even analysis • Monthly ARPU $ 52 • Monthly cost to serve is $ 30 • Monthly margin is $ 22 ( 52-30) • Time required to break even on the acquisition cost is • $ 370/22 = 17 months
  • 13. Annual retention rate in this industry is Calculated as 1- ( Monthly churn rate * 12 months) = 1 – 0.02 * 12 = 0.76 1- ( Monthly churn rate * 12 months) = 1 – 0.06 * 12 = 0.28
  • 14. LTV OF CUSTOMERS • As per Exhibit 11 the interest rate is 5 % and an infinite economic life ( N) • Formula for LTV • LTV = M / (1- r +i) – AC where M - Margin customers generates in year a R - Annual retention rate i - Interest rate AC - Acquisition cost N - Number of years over which the relationship is calculated
  • 15. LTV CALCULATION • 22 * 12/ 1-.76+.05 minus 370 = $ 540 • If eliminating contracts, the LTV would be negative • 22 * 12 / 1-.28 + .05 minus 370= $ -27.14 • The industry would lose money on the average customer given current acquisition costs if it abandon the practice of requiring contracts from their customers. Hence, it is not feasible for the industry to have a no contract strategy.
  • 16. HOW TO COUNTER THE NEGATIVES • Lowering acquisition cost such as sales commission, advertising costs and handset subsidies • Current industry hand set cost is 225 Average taken  (150+300)/2 = 225 • Current industry subsidy is 150  (100+200)/2 • Subsidy as a % is 67 calculated as { (150 / 225) *100 }
  • 17. VIRGIN’S ACQUISITION COSTS • Handset cost is 60 to100 ( 80 on an average) • If virgin were to subsidize handsets by 40% its subsidy would equal to $ 30 • Sales commission is $ 30 • Ad per gross add is $ 60 • Hand set subsidy is $ 30 • Total acquisition cost is $ 120
  • 18. COULD IT ACHIEVE PROFITABILITY • Acquisition costs of virgin is $ 120 versus the industry average of $ 370 • Given the acquisition costs, what would virgin have to charge consumers on a per minute basis to equal the industry’s break even time of 17 months
  • 19. FURTHER CALCULATIONS BASED ON SOME ASSUMPTIONS • Virgin’s monthly ARPU 200 minutes ( A mid point is taken given Virgin’s estimate of 100-300 minutes per month) • Monthly cost to serve is 45% of revenues ( given in exhibit 11) • Virgin’s Monthly ARPU = 200 minutes • Monthly cost to serve = .45 * 200 * p where p is price per minute • Virgin’s monthly margin = 200-90 = 110p • Virgin’s acquisition costs = 120 • To break even in 17 months = 110/17 = 6.4 is the Price per minute
  • 20. LTV AT VARIOUS PRICE POINTS • (1-.45) (200*12*.064) / 1-.28 + .05 Minus 120 = $ -10.29 • (1-.45) (200*12*.10) / 1-.28 + .05 Minus 120 = $ 51 • (1-.45) (200*12*.25) / 1-.28 + .05 Minus 120 = $ 309 • Customers would not last the 17 months to cover the acquisition costs. In order to have a positive LTV, Virgin should charge more than 6.4. • This can be anywhere between 10 & 25 cents
  • 21. WHAT HAPPENED • A pre paid plan • No contracts, hidden charges, peak or off peak hours • Very low hand set subsidies • No credit checks • No monthly bills • Price 25 cents for the first 10 minutes and 10 cents/minute for the rest of the day • A 3 month period in which to use pre paid minutes, plus an additional 2 month grace period • Handsets with one button access to view current balance/remaining minutes • Customers could purchase additional minutes via the phone or credit card. Users can also purchase a top-off card through virgin’s retail channels