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Waste to Energy
Evaluations
Jamey Barker
January 22, 2020
King County Has Studied Evolving
Waste Technologies for 40 years.
1980s
Energy
Recovery
Program
2008
Alternative
Disposal
Technologies
2017
Advanced
Material
Recovery &
Waste To
Energy
(SWD)
2018
Waste To
Energy
(Normandeau)
2019
Waste To
Energy vs.
Waste Export
by Rail
(ARCADIS)
Background Assumptions
• King County will reach zero waste of resources.
• Recycling lowers disposal costs and increases
carbon offsets.
• WTE technology would be MSW mass burn.
• WTE doesn’t produce recognizable renewable
energy.
• 4,000 TPD of disposal capacity for the next 20 yrs.
• EPA’s WARM model is the tool for evaluating GHG
WTE Financials
• Initial capital costs estimated at $1.4 B - $1.8B
• Additional capital costs required for future
expansion (10-15 yrs.)
• Energy sales offset costs, however;
• Difficult to forecast
• Future value depends of Clean Energy Transformation Act
• Washington power pricing is relatively low
New State Laws Increase
Challenges/Costs for WTE
• By 2030 utility generation will need to be carbon
neutral
• By 2045 utility generation will be non-emitting
• Technology to make WTE non-emitting has not
been proven feasible at this scale
• Energy revenue offsets approximately $30M/year
for a 4,000 TPD plant.
For King County, Further
Development of Cedar Hills Was the
Right Choice for 2028
COMPARATIVE
ATTRIBUTE
FURTHER DEVELOP
CEDAR HILLS
CAPACITY
EXPORT TO OUT-OF-
COUNTY LANDFILL
WASTE-TO-ENERGY
FACILITY
Cost per Ton (2029$) $41 $55 $136
Life Cycle Greenhouse
Gas Emissions (EPA’s WARM
Model)
(131,000)
MTCO2e
(77,000)
MTCO2e
12,000 to 80,000
MTCO2e
Annual Greenhouse
Gas Emissions (EPA’s
eGGRT)
95,000
MTCO2e/year
95,000
MTCO2e/year
1,200,000
MTCO2e/year
Recycling Rate No Change No Change 2% Increase
Risks SEPA, Permitting Rail Capacity, Control Siting, Sizing
Title
• Bullet
• Points
80,000
(50,000)
(60,000)
(40,000)
(20,000)
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
MTCO2e
King County Waste Composition National Average Mixed MSW
Waste composition is extremely important when
evaluating the impact of any disposal technology.
Waste To Energy GHG Emissions
Siting & Permitting Pose
“Difficult to Quantify Risks”
• Site requirements estimated at 40-55 acres
• “Political acceptance and future regulations are two
difficult-to-quantify risks". (ARCADIS 2019)
• WTE permitting schedule “is based upon the
assumption that there are no significant regulatory
hurdles or public opposition to the project”.
(ARCADIS 2019)
• History of 1980s siting in Renton
• Conservative estimates are that 7% of the
ash could be in demand by local markets.
The remainder would be landfilled in a
monofil cell.
• Cedar Hills does not have a space
designated for a monofil.
• Out of county export of residual ash would
be required.
WTE Doesn't Eliminate Landfilling
• Any alternative to Cedar Hills will be more expensive. WTE is
not off the table – we are more informed and will continue to
keep an eye on evolving technology.
• We are not limited to either Landfilling or WTE. There are many
other alternatives that should be considered as part of the
solution.
• We will collaborate across traditional boundaries to discover
and desing our regional resource and waste management
system. (ZWORP)
• By 2025, we will upate our regional Comp Plan to guide our
strategies to zero waste.
Key Take Away Messages
Questions?
King Street Center
201 South Jackson Street, Suite 701
Seattle, WA 98104-3855
206-477-4466
711 TTY Relay
your.kingcounty.gov/solidwaste

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SWAC20-1KingCountyWastetoEnergyPresentation.pptx

  • 1. Waste to Energy Evaluations Jamey Barker January 22, 2020
  • 2. King County Has Studied Evolving Waste Technologies for 40 years. 1980s Energy Recovery Program 2008 Alternative Disposal Technologies 2017 Advanced Material Recovery & Waste To Energy (SWD) 2018 Waste To Energy (Normandeau) 2019 Waste To Energy vs. Waste Export by Rail (ARCADIS)
  • 3. Background Assumptions • King County will reach zero waste of resources. • Recycling lowers disposal costs and increases carbon offsets. • WTE technology would be MSW mass burn. • WTE doesn’t produce recognizable renewable energy. • 4,000 TPD of disposal capacity for the next 20 yrs. • EPA’s WARM model is the tool for evaluating GHG
  • 4. WTE Financials • Initial capital costs estimated at $1.4 B - $1.8B • Additional capital costs required for future expansion (10-15 yrs.) • Energy sales offset costs, however; • Difficult to forecast • Future value depends of Clean Energy Transformation Act • Washington power pricing is relatively low
  • 5. New State Laws Increase Challenges/Costs for WTE • By 2030 utility generation will need to be carbon neutral • By 2045 utility generation will be non-emitting • Technology to make WTE non-emitting has not been proven feasible at this scale • Energy revenue offsets approximately $30M/year for a 4,000 TPD plant.
  • 6. For King County, Further Development of Cedar Hills Was the Right Choice for 2028 COMPARATIVE ATTRIBUTE FURTHER DEVELOP CEDAR HILLS CAPACITY EXPORT TO OUT-OF- COUNTY LANDFILL WASTE-TO-ENERGY FACILITY Cost per Ton (2029$) $41 $55 $136 Life Cycle Greenhouse Gas Emissions (EPA’s WARM Model) (131,000) MTCO2e (77,000) MTCO2e 12,000 to 80,000 MTCO2e Annual Greenhouse Gas Emissions (EPA’s eGGRT) 95,000 MTCO2e/year 95,000 MTCO2e/year 1,200,000 MTCO2e/year Recycling Rate No Change No Change 2% Increase Risks SEPA, Permitting Rail Capacity, Control Siting, Sizing
  • 7. Title • Bullet • Points 80,000 (50,000) (60,000) (40,000) (20,000) - 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 MTCO2e King County Waste Composition National Average Mixed MSW Waste composition is extremely important when evaluating the impact of any disposal technology. Waste To Energy GHG Emissions
  • 8. Siting & Permitting Pose “Difficult to Quantify Risks” • Site requirements estimated at 40-55 acres • “Political acceptance and future regulations are two difficult-to-quantify risks". (ARCADIS 2019) • WTE permitting schedule “is based upon the assumption that there are no significant regulatory hurdles or public opposition to the project”. (ARCADIS 2019) • History of 1980s siting in Renton
  • 9. • Conservative estimates are that 7% of the ash could be in demand by local markets. The remainder would be landfilled in a monofil cell. • Cedar Hills does not have a space designated for a monofil. • Out of county export of residual ash would be required. WTE Doesn't Eliminate Landfilling
  • 10. • Any alternative to Cedar Hills will be more expensive. WTE is not off the table – we are more informed and will continue to keep an eye on evolving technology. • We are not limited to either Landfilling or WTE. There are many other alternatives that should be considered as part of the solution. • We will collaborate across traditional boundaries to discover and desing our regional resource and waste management system. (ZWORP) • By 2025, we will upate our regional Comp Plan to guide our strategies to zero waste. Key Take Away Messages
  • 12. King Street Center 201 South Jackson Street, Suite 701 Seattle, WA 98104-3855 206-477-4466 711 TTY Relay your.kingcounty.gov/solidwaste