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SUSTAINABLE BIofUELS INDUSTRY IN NIgERIA –
   A gATEWAY To ECoNoMIC DEVELoPMENT

                BY
      gRoUP gENERAL MANAgER,
  RENEWABLE ENERgY DIVISIoN of NNPC

 AT THE SECoND NIgERIAN ALTERNATIVE ENERgY
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                     OUTLINE

 INTRODUCTION

 ENERGY SITUATION

 SUSTAINABLE BIOFUELS AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN NIGERIA

 BENEFITS OF BIOFUELS PROGRAMME

 JOURNEY SO FAR

 CONCLUSION




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INTRODUCTION:                                                                           NA
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What is Biofuels?




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Biofuels are fuels derived from recently living organisms (biomass).




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They can be divided into three categories:

a) First-generation Biofuels: produced from energy crops e.g.
   Sugarcane, Cassava, Corn, Oil Palm, etc

b) Second-generation Biofuels: produced from ligno-cellulosic plant
   materials from organic wastes, food crop wastes and specific
   biomass crops

c) Third-generation Biofuels: produced from genetically modified
   energy crops such as algae and microbes

Examples of Biofuels include:-
 Liquid: Fuel-Ethanol and Biodiesel;
 Solid: wood, sawdust, grass cuttings, domestic refuse, charcoal,
  agricultural waste, non-food energy crops, dried manure;
 Gaseous: —Biogas from anaerobic digestion or gasification of
  biomass                                                                                           3
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  INTRODUCTION




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  Historical Sectoral Contributions to GDP Growth:




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• From pre-independence to mid-70s, Agriculture provided the seed capital
  for the development of the oil and gas industry in Nigeria
• By 2006, Oil and Gas contributed about 37% of GDP, while Agriculture
  contribution to GDP declined from 54.99% in 1966 to 32%
• The major end-product of the Agric re-launch is Biofuels
                                                                                                                                            Agric sector
                                                                                                                                            Agric sector
                                                                                                                                            contribution
                                                                                                                                            contribution
                                   Oil Industry and GDP Growth                                                                              to GDP has
                                                                                                                                            to GDP has
                                                                                                                                            declined
                                                                                                                                            declined
                                                                                                                                            over the
                                                                                                                                            over the
                                                                                                                                            years
                                                                                                                                            years
         60
               54.96             54.96                         54.96                          54.96                     54.96
         50
                                                                                              42.93
         40                                                    40.33                                                    37.82
                                                                                              31.13                     32.97
         30
                                 24.83
         20                      18.66
                                                               13.8
     %
     G
     D




         10
     P
     u
     b
     n
     o
     c
     r
     )
     (
     t
     i




               3.8
          0
           1966             1976                           1986                          1996                          2006

                                                           years



                       Agriculture GDP held constant (%)               Agriculture Contribution to GDP (%)

                       Oil sector contribution to GDP(%)



                                                                                                                                                               4
                                                                                                             Source: National Bureau of Statistics
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                 OUTLINE

 INTRODUCTION
 ENERGY SITUATION
 SUSTAINABLE BIOFUELS DEVELOPMENT IN NIGERIA

 BENEFITS OF BIOFUELS PROGRAMME

 JOURNEY SO FAR

 CONCLUSION




                                                                         5
ENERGY SITUATION: GLOBAL                                                          T IO   NAL
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Non-Renewable Energy account for about 75% of




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Energy Supplies (Oil, Gas & Coal) in the world                                OR              N




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                       Nuclear
           Gas           6% Large Hydro
           21%                  6%
                                   Traditional
                                    Biomass
                                      11%          Coal
                                                   Oil
                                          Other
                                                   Gas
                                        Renewables
                                           2%      Nuclear
                                                   Large Hydro
                                                   Traditional Biomass
                                                   Other Renewables

         Oil                     Coal
        32%                      22%

                                                                                           6
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        ENERGY SITUATION: NIGERIA




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     The Energy Resources in Nigeria include: Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Coal,
     Tar Sand and Renewables (Biomass, Hydro, Solar, Wind, etc.)

     Current Estimated Oil Reserve in Nigeria is 35.9 billion barrels with daily
      production capacity of 2.7 million barrels of Crude Oil

     Natural Gas is estimated at 185 trillion cubic feet of proven reserve as at (-
      OGJ).

     Coal and Lignite Reserves are estimated at 2.75 billion tons.


    The 35.9 billion barrels of oil in reserve will be depleted by 30 – 36
     years period.
     Renewable Energy (Biofuels) will increase fuel pool and address
     the adverse environmental impact of fossil fuels
    Source: Oil and Gas Journal
                                                                                                                    7
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                                     Non-Renewable Energy sources are depleting at a




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                                     fast rate
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                                                 1000

                                                            1 EJ = 10 18 J                                                              C
                                                        A

                                                 100                                                                              D
FLUID FOSSIL FUEL PRODUCTION / DEMAND IN EJ/yr




                                                  10


                                                                                                                       E
                                                        B                                                          F
                                                   1




                                                            LEGEND      A : World Fluid Fossil Fuel Production
                                                                        B : Nigerian Fluid Fossil Fuel Production
                                                  0.1                   C : World Fluid Fossil Fuel Demand Projection
                                                                        D : World Fluid Fossil Fuel Production Projection
                                                                        E : Nigerian Fluid Fossil Fuel Demand Projection
                                                                        F : Nigeria Fluid Fossil Fuel Production Projection
                                                            Note: 1E = One Exa-juole = 1018 J
                                                 0.01
                                                                                                                                                                                        8
                                                    1980     1990      2000      2010       2020      2030      2040       2050       2060   2070   2080    2090                          2100
                                                                                                                YEAR
ENERGY SITUATION:                                                    NA
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 Non-Renewables cause Global Warming due to CO2




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Emissions                                                            OR              N




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                                                                           Years




                                                                                  9
                                                  Years
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                   OUTLINE

   INTRODUCTION

   ENERGY SITUATION
SUSTAINABLE BIOFUELS DEVELOPMENT IN NIGERIA
   BENEFITS OF BIOFUELS PROGRAMME

   JOURNEY SO FAR

   CONCLUSION




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 Biofuels provide a new opportunity to enhance economic               OR              N




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  development in Nigeria.

 Maximizing the poverty-reducing effects of a Biofuels
  industry in Nigeria requires engaging and improving the
  productivity of small-holder farmers.

 Our Feasibility Study shows that Sugarcane/Cassava/Oil
  Palm-based Biofuels production is more profitable than
  other feedstock options.

 Our findings also indicate that a combination of Out-grower
  Scheme approach and yield improvements rather than
  expanded cultivation will address both poverty alleviation
  and land-use issues
                                                                                  11
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 Sustainable Biofuels and Economic Development                           OR              N




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 Incorporation of the Biofuels industry into National
  Development Plans, will contribute to achieving the
  Country’s overall development objectives.

 Biofuels industry allows Community participations, including
  local farmer

 Biofuels offer Sustainable development option that is full of
  promise and are developed in ways that protect our planet




                                                                                    12
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  To ensure sustainability the Biofuels programme will employ
  the use of:
      Suitable and more productive crops as feedstock

      Local/Indigenous varieties of selected feedstock

      Suitable feedstock for different ecological zones

      Modern and efficient conversion technology



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SUSTAINABLE BIOFUELS INDUSTRY DEVT. CONT.




                                                                                             N IG E R IA N




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Use of suitable and more productive feedstock:
  Typical Yields of Raw Materials Used in Biofuels Production
             Crop                 Yield            Ethanol/Biodiesel          Ethanol/Biodiesel
                               (ton/ha/yr)                yield                       yield
                                                      (litres/ton)               (litres/ha/yr)
  Sugarcane                       50-90                   70-90                   3,500-8,000
  Sweet sorghum                   45-80                   60-80                   1,750-5,300
  Sugar beet                      15-50                    90                     1,350-5,500
  Wheat                          1.5-2.1                   340                      510-714
  Rice                           2.5-5.0                   430                    1,075-2,150
  Maize                          1.7-5.4                   360                     600-1,944
  Sorghum                        1.0-3.7                   350                     350-1,295
  Cassava                         10-65                    170                   1,700-11,050
  Sweet potatoes                   8-50                    167                    1,336-8,350
  Oil Palm                       16 – 35                   136                        4760
  Jatropha                        6 – 10                 151.36                      1513.6
  Castor bean                   0.75 – 1.5                753.6                      1130.4                             14
      Suitable feedstock   Alternative feedstock        Low yield feedstock
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Use local/indigenous varieties as feedstock:


    To ensure the use of the best local crop varieties of the
    Preferred feedstocks, National Research Institutes have
    been engaged for selection and breeding of local varieties
    that are:
     High yielding;
     Disease resistant, and
     Pest resistant




                                                                                   15
SUSTAINABLE BIOFUELS INDUSTRY DEVT. CONT.                                                                                                  NA
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Use of suitable feedstock for different ecological zone:




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                          NATIONAL BIOFUELS FEEDSTOCK MAP

                           S ot
                            ok o
                                                     Katsina
                                                                          Jigawa
                                   Zamf
                                      ara                                                      Yobe        Bor
                                                                                                             no
                Kebbi
                                                                   Kano


              i
                                                          Kaduna                Bauchi       Gombe
                                           Niger
                                                                                                 Adamawa

                                                   FCT                          Plat
                                                                                   eau
                        Kwara
        Oyo                                                      N awa
                                                                  asar
                                                                                    Taraba
                           Ekiti              Kogi               Benue
                    OsunOndo
         Ogun
                                                                                                                  Potential Sugarcane
         Lagos                      Edo            Enugu
                                              Anambra
                                                               Ebonyi
                                                                                                                  Potential Cassava
                                                        Abia
                                   Delta           I
                                                   mo             Cross River                                     Potential Oil Palm

                                   Balyesa Rivers          A I
                                                            kwa bom                                                Potential Jathropha

   • Some States have potentials for more than one crop
   • By 2020, the projected peak of Biofuels production would require about
     500,000ha ~ 2% of the arable land (33million ha) in Nigeria.                                                                                       16
SUSTAINABLE BIOFUELS IN TRANSFORMATION AGENDA                                                                                                  NA
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                                                                                In
                                                                              Su crea
                                            er                             Oil gar sed
                                         ow g
                                                                                                                                              OR              N




                                                                                                                                     C
                                                                              ,A ,S                                                              P O R A T IO
                                        P    n                                  gro tar Prod
                                    sed n usi rces
                                  ea tio                                            -Ch ch, uct
                                r             u                                        em Cru ion
                             Inc era Reso
                                 n
                              Ge able                                                 Fe icals de P of
                                                                                        ed    & A alm
                                 ew
                             R en                                                                 nim
                                                                                                      al
              pro v ing,




                                                          r&                 Fo




                                                                                                                      Susta
                                                                           Se od




                                                                                                                      Sus a High
         -yield ed &




                                                        we y
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                                                      Po erg                 cu




                                                                                                                        Creat le Jobs
                                                                                                                        Creat le Jobs
                                                                               rity
                 i ng
  us in ized Far
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                                                                                                                         with
                                                                                                                         GDP
                                                                                                                         with
                                                       En
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                                                                                                                            i ab
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                                                                                                                              ion o
                                                                                                                              ion of
                                                                                        Creati
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       g im




                                                  n Agric ultu
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                                                                                                                                       t
                                                            TRANSFORMATION




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                                                                AGENDA
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                                                                                      S
                                          rt a




                                                                                         c
                                                                                         c ur
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        Co an nv ells
        Co ans n




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                                      sp




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          st spo iiro //Ble




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                 ffe ati e ds




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                  fe tio en s
                    ct on nt-
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                                                                                                           Ec rsif
                            s




                                                                                                              ve
                                                                                                           Di
                                                         Cooperative Transfer of



                                                                                                     Re
                                                         Technology & Access to
                                                            Research Findings
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       SUSTAINABLE BIOFUELS INDUSTRY DEVT. CONT.




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                    The Biofuels Programme Modality is
                                                                                               OR              N




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                      Food & Fuel NOT Food Vs Fuel
   The National Biofuels Programme excludes staple crops such as:
    millet, corn, rice, yam and grain sorghum, but plans to use Sugarcane, Cassava,
    Sweet Sorghum, Palm Oil and Jatropha as feedstock for Biofuels production

   Proposed Biofuels Projects are all integrated (Plant & Plantation) and as such will
    not distort current food supply

   Currently no commercial scale Biofuels production in Nigeria, hence the rising costs
    of food in Nigeria is due to causes other than Biofuels production

   The Programme is intended to boost Agriculture and add to food production through
    improved farming techniques and high-yielding varieties

   By 2020, the projected peak of Biofuels production would require about 500,000 ha
    – using less than 2% of the arable land (33million ha) in Nigeria for JV Plantations
    and Out-growers scheme

   The Programme is modelled to integrate the Agric sector with the Oil and Gas
                                                                             18
    Industry
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Sustainable Biofuels and Economic Development




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The proposed Biofuels Projects are integrated and
meet three design principles:


Integrated Business Model         Design Principles:
                                  Sustainability of the industry dictates
                                   large-scale mechanized Plantation
                                   operations integrated with processing
                                   Plants

                                  Out-grower schemes are planned
                                   around the core Plantation, using a
                                   Service Company Model managed by
                                   the Plantation governance structure

                                  Plantation and Plant operations must
                                   meet international sustainability
                                   standards:
                                       Profitable
                                       Environment-friendly
                                       Socially responsible                                    19
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                                                     C
Modern and efficient conversion technology:                      P O R A T IO




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Modern and efficient conversion technology                   OR              N




                                                    C
                                                                P O R A T IO


cont.
 BIODIESEL PRODUCTION PROCESS FLOW DIAGRAM




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Resource Availability:                                                             OR              N




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 Nigeria has about 33 million Hectares of arable land and only
  about 10% is under cultivation

 Favourable agro-climatic and ecological conditions across the
  country

 Strong capital base: Financial institutions are willing to
  participate

 Enormous skilled and unskilled labour

 NNPC infrastructural facilities nationwide

 Research institutions: NCRI, IITA, NRCRI, NIFOR, Universities,
  etc
                                                                                                 22
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SUSTAINABLE BIOFUELS AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT




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 Nigeria’s Biofuels Demand                                                                          OR              N




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Biofuels Type                                       Time Frame

                                Short             Medium           Long




Fuel-Ethanol (demand in 1.3                       3.4              52.5
billion liters/yr)                                (at 15% blend)   (at 50% blend)
                                 (at 10% blend)




Biodiesel (demand in            0.233             1.951            12.7
billion liters/yr)                                (at 20% blend)   (at 50% blend)
                                 (at 10% blend)




Source: National Energy Master plan                                                                            23
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                                                     C
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                 OUTLINE

 INTRODUCTION

 ENERGY SITUATION IN NIGERIA

 NIGERIA’S BIOFUELS DEMAND POTENTIALS

 RESOURCE AVAILABILITY IN NIGERIA FOR BIOFUELS

 BIOFUELS AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

 BENEFITS OF BIOFUEL PROGRAMME

 JOURNEY SO FAR

 CONCLUSION                                                             24
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The Biofuels industry presents vast social, economic




                                                                                                             ET
                                                                              N IG E R IA N




                                                                                                                 RO
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and environmental benefits for Nigeria.                                                       OR              N




                                                                                     C
                                                                                                 P O R A T IO


                       • Good returns on invested capital (high IRRs ~30%)
                       • Revitalization of the agricultural sector
                       • Increased local production of sugar and power complement
                         efforts at filling existing supply gaps in Nigeria (for
   Economic Benefits     sugarcane to ethanol)
                       • Diversification of the country’s energy usage and hence
                         increased ability to hedge supply risk
                       • Carbon credit earnings
                       • Reduction of gasoline imports and foreign currency use


    Environmental      • Environmentally friendly fuels / less pollution
       Benefits
                       • CO2 emission reduction



                       • Rural wealth and job creation
    Social Benefits
                       • Sustainable development                                                         25
THE ENERGY – ECONOMY RELATIONSHIP:                                                    T IO   NAL
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                                                                                                     RO
Energy touches various aspects of our economy




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                                                                                  OR              N




                                                                         C
                                                                                     P O R A T IO



                         AGRICULTURE

         INFORMATION &                     COMMERCE
         COMMUNICATION                     & INDUSTRY




TRANSPORTATION                                          FINANCE

                         ENERGY


     DEFENCE &                                   HOUSE HOLD
     SECURITY                                     & HEALTH


                 EDUCATION,
                  SCIENCE &      MINES & POWER
                 TECHNOLOGY



             THE NIGERIAN ECONOMY                                                            26
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                                                                                                                       RO
BENEFITS OF BIOFUELS PROGRAMME CONT.




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                                                                                                    OR              N




                                                                                           C
                                                                                                       P O R A T IO



                                                Diversification
                         Rural Economic         Of Energy
                         empowerment            Matrix
                                                                   Petroleum &
       Environment                                                 Agric industry
       Friendly                                                    integration



                                                                        Efficient
 Maximize                                                               supplier Chain
 carbon credit                                                           Road/Transport
 Opportunities




                 Home grown industry
                                            Research & Learning
                 Lower cost of production
                                            Sustainable Development
                 Rural wealth creation
                                            Energy sufficiency &
                                            Potential for export
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                                                     C
                                                                 P O R A T IO

                 OUTLINE

 INTRODUCTION

 ENERGY SITUATION IN NIGERIA

 NIGERIA’S BIOFUELS DEMAND POTENTIALS

 RESOURCE AVAILABILITY IN NIGERIA FOR BIOFUELS

 SUSTAINABLE BIOFUELS INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENT

 ECONOMIC BENEFITS OF BIOFUEL PROGRAMME
 JOURNEY SO FAR
 CONCLUSION
                                                                         28
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                      JOURNEY SO FAR CONT.




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                                                                                                    C
                                                                                                                P O R A T IO
  NNPC has invested significant resources in the promotion
  of the Biofuels programme with positive results:
                      POLICY
Policy & Incentives
                      • Biofuels Policy approved by the Federal Executive Council and gazetted
   Development
                        (Gazette No. 72, June 20th 2007) but is presently being reviewed by
                        Energy Commission of Nigeria

                      OFFTAKE AGREEMENT
                      The off-take agreement contract design concluded to provides guaranteed
                       market to local producers of Biofuels.

                      ETHANOL
                      • Developed 5 bankable feasibility studies for sugarcane & cassava ethanol

                      BIODIESEL
 Domestic Biofuel     • Completed 2 feasibility studies for oil palm to biodiesel projects
   Programme

                      IJV FORMATION
                      • Credible potential investor groups have shown interest to partner with
                        NNPC for joint development projects (IJV formation)                    29
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       Seven bankable feasibility studies have been completed




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       in five different states, while engaging various State                                                                                              OR              N




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       Governments in discussion for Land Sites.

                                    S o
                                     okot
                                                          Katsina
                                                                                 Jigawa
                                             Zamf
                                                ara                                                    Yobe              • Bor
                                                                                                                           Sugarcane 16,000 ha
                                                                                                                             no
                         Kebbi                                                                                           • 3 projects
                                                                          Kano
                                                                                                                         • EtOH: 75 million liters/yr
                                                                                                                         • Sugar:116,000 tonnes / year
                                                                                                                         • Electricity: 64 MW
•   Cassava:13,500 ha                                            Kaduna                Bauchi       Gombe                • Investment: $322 million
•   2 projects                     Niger
•   EtOH: 38 million liters/yr                                                                              Adamawa
•   Starch:36,000 tonnes / year
•   Investment: $115 million Kwara                                                     Plat
                                                                                          eau
                                                          FCT
                 Oyo                                                    N awa
                                                                         asar
                                                                                                       •    Oil Palm 14,000 ha & 8,500 ha
                                                                                           Taraba      •    2 projects
                                     Ekiti            Kogi              Benue                          •    Palm Oil: 60,000 / 32,000 t/yr
                             Osun
                                    Ondo                                                               •    Biodiesel: 38 / 21 million liters/ year
                  Ogun
                                                                                                       •    Investment: $75 / 44.5 million
                  Lagos                       Edo             Enugu
                                                                      Ebonyi
                                                       Anambra                                                                           Sugar cane
                                                              Abia
                                             Delta      I
                                                        mo               Cross River                                                     Cassava

                                             Balyesa Rivers       A I
                                                                   kwa bom
                                                                                                                                         Oil Palm


          There is potential for many more projects in other states.                                                                                                  30
Roadmap for a 500,000 ha Integrated Food,                                                                                             NA
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    Biofuels and Energy Industry




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                                                                                                                   Sustain Growth
                                                                                                                  • Seek increasing
                                                                                                                    use of biofuels
                                                                                                                    beyond E10 and
                                                                                                                    B5
                                                                                                                  • 500,000 ha
                                                                                                                    developed
                                                                                          •   250,000 ha
                                                                                                                    (285,000+ ha in
                                                                                              developed
                                                                                                                    biofuel
                                                                                              (70,000 ha in
                                                                 • >65,000 ha                                       production*)
                                                                                              biofuel             • 1.2 billion liters of
                                                                   developed (incl.           production*)
                                                                                                                    biofuels / year
                                            •
                                                                   cassava,               •    360 million liters •
                       • Create first JVs       >33,000 ha                                                          600+ MW co-
                                                developed          sugarcane and              ethanol/ year)
                       • Obtain bill                                                                                generation
                                            •   > 100,000 t        palm oil)              •   120+ MW co-
                         approval                                                                                 • $6+ billion
                                                cassava          • 10+ million liters         generation
  COMMENCEMENT • Upgrade                                                                                            invested
  • Implement policy                            harvested          ethanol/ year          •   Begin
                         distribution
                                            •   >3,500 jobs      • Begin production           production of
    (off-takes, etc.)_   infrastructure
  • Launch E10
                                                created            of sugarcane               palm biodiesel
                       • Sanction 2 or more •   Launch B5
  • Develop shared       private projects                                                     (15 million
                                                seeding                                       liters/year)
    ownership with     • Expand financing       programme
    relevant MDAs        facilities
  • kick-off bill


Note:
1. There is a lag of 3 to 6 years between land development and Biofuels production depending on the crop used as feedstock

2.Project commencement will be determined by provision of equity by the government for IJV formation.                                               31
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                 OUTLINE

 INTRODUCTION

 ENERGY SITUATION IN NIGERIA

 NIGERIA’S BIOFUELS DEMAND POTENTIALS

 RESOURCE AVAILABILITY IN NIGERIA FOR BIOFUELS

 SUSTAINABLE BIOFUELS INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENT

 ECONOMIC BENEFITS OF BIOFUEL PROGRAMME

 JOURNEY SO FAR

  CONCLUSION                                                            32
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CONCLUSION




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                                                                                       P O R A T IO



  The Biofuels industry has potential to make a significant impact on
   the Nigerian economy
  Growing oil/energy demand and limited oil resources calls for a
   complementary sustainable energy source –BIOFUELS
                                              –
  Awareness creation on the benefits of Biofuels industry and
   advocacy for the implementation of Biofuels Projects is paramount
   to the success of the industry
  Standardization of policies and incentives will facilitate the
   realization of a thriving domestic Biofuels industry




                                                                                               33
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                           34

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SUSTAINABLE Biofuels INDUSTRY in Nigeria

  • 1. T IO NAL NA P ET N IG E R IA N RO LEUM OR N C P O R A T IO SUSTAINABLE BIofUELS INDUSTRY IN NIgERIA – A gATEWAY To ECoNoMIC DEVELoPMENT BY gRoUP gENERAL MANAgER, RENEWABLE ENERgY DIVISIoN of NNPC AT THE SECoND NIgERIAN ALTERNATIVE ENERgY
  • 2. T IO NAL NA P ET N IG E R IA N RO LEUM OR N C P O R A T IO OUTLINE  INTRODUCTION  ENERGY SITUATION  SUSTAINABLE BIOFUELS AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN NIGERIA  BENEFITS OF BIOFUELS PROGRAMME  JOURNEY SO FAR  CONCLUSION 2
  • 3. INTRODUCTION: NA T IO NAL P ET N IG E R IA N RO What is Biofuels? LEUM OR N Biofuels are fuels derived from recently living organisms (biomass). C P O R A T IO They can be divided into three categories: a) First-generation Biofuels: produced from energy crops e.g. Sugarcane, Cassava, Corn, Oil Palm, etc b) Second-generation Biofuels: produced from ligno-cellulosic plant materials from organic wastes, food crop wastes and specific biomass crops c) Third-generation Biofuels: produced from genetically modified energy crops such as algae and microbes Examples of Biofuels include:-  Liquid: Fuel-Ethanol and Biodiesel;  Solid: wood, sawdust, grass cuttings, domestic refuse, charcoal, agricultural waste, non-food energy crops, dried manure;  Gaseous: —Biogas from anaerobic digestion or gasification of biomass 3
  • 4. T IO NAL NA P INTRODUCTION ET N IG E R IA N RO Historical Sectoral Contributions to GDP Growth: LEUM OR N C P O R A T IO • From pre-independence to mid-70s, Agriculture provided the seed capital for the development of the oil and gas industry in Nigeria • By 2006, Oil and Gas contributed about 37% of GDP, while Agriculture contribution to GDP declined from 54.99% in 1966 to 32% • The major end-product of the Agric re-launch is Biofuels Agric sector Agric sector contribution contribution Oil Industry and GDP Growth to GDP has to GDP has declined declined over the over the years years 60 54.96 54.96 54.96 54.96 54.96 50 42.93 40 40.33 37.82 31.13 32.97 30 24.83 20 18.66 13.8 % G D 10 P u b n o c r ) ( t i 3.8 0 1966 1976 1986 1996 2006 years Agriculture GDP held constant (%) Agriculture Contribution to GDP (%) Oil sector contribution to GDP(%) 4 Source: National Bureau of Statistics
  • 5. T IO NAL NA P ET N IG E R IA N RO LEUM OR N C P O R A T IO OUTLINE  INTRODUCTION  ENERGY SITUATION  SUSTAINABLE BIOFUELS DEVELOPMENT IN NIGERIA  BENEFITS OF BIOFUELS PROGRAMME  JOURNEY SO FAR  CONCLUSION 5
  • 6. ENERGY SITUATION: GLOBAL T IO NAL NA P ET N IG E R IA N RO Non-Renewable Energy account for about 75% of LEUM Energy Supplies (Oil, Gas & Coal) in the world OR N C P O R A T IO Nuclear Gas 6% Large Hydro 21% 6% Traditional Biomass 11% Coal Oil Other Gas Renewables 2% Nuclear Large Hydro Traditional Biomass Other Renewables Oil Coal 32% 22% 6
  • 7. T IO NAL NA P ENERGY SITUATION: NIGERIA ET N IG E R IA N RO LEUM OR N C P O R A T IO  The Energy Resources in Nigeria include: Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Coal,  Tar Sand and Renewables (Biomass, Hydro, Solar, Wind, etc.)  Current Estimated Oil Reserve in Nigeria is 35.9 billion barrels with daily production capacity of 2.7 million barrels of Crude Oil  Natural Gas is estimated at 185 trillion cubic feet of proven reserve as at (- OGJ).  Coal and Lignite Reserves are estimated at 2.75 billion tons. The 35.9 billion barrels of oil in reserve will be depleted by 30 – 36 years period.  Renewable Energy (Biofuels) will increase fuel pool and address the adverse environmental impact of fossil fuels Source: Oil and Gas Journal 7
  • 8. T IO NAL ENERGY SITUATION: NA P ET N IG E R IA N RO Non-Renewable Energy sources are depleting at a LEUM fast rate OR N C P O R A T IO 1000 1 EJ = 10 18 J C A 100 D FLUID FOSSIL FUEL PRODUCTION / DEMAND IN EJ/yr 10 E B F 1 LEGEND A : World Fluid Fossil Fuel Production B : Nigerian Fluid Fossil Fuel Production 0.1 C : World Fluid Fossil Fuel Demand Projection D : World Fluid Fossil Fuel Production Projection E : Nigerian Fluid Fossil Fuel Demand Projection F : Nigeria Fluid Fossil Fuel Production Projection Note: 1E = One Exa-juole = 1018 J 0.01 8 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 YEAR
  • 9. ENERGY SITUATION: NA T IO NAL P ET N IG E R IA N RO Non-Renewables cause Global Warming due to CO2 LEUM Emissions OR N C P O R A T IO Years 9 Years
  • 10. T IO NAL NA P ET N IG E R IA N RO LEUM OR N C P O R A T IO OUTLINE  INTRODUCTION  ENERGY SITUATION SUSTAINABLE BIOFUELS DEVELOPMENT IN NIGERIA  BENEFITS OF BIOFUELS PROGRAMME  JOURNEY SO FAR  CONCLUSION 10
  • 11. Sustainable Biofuels and Economic Development T IO NAL NA P ET N IG E R IA N RO LEUM  Biofuels provide a new opportunity to enhance economic OR N C P O R A T IO development in Nigeria.  Maximizing the poverty-reducing effects of a Biofuels industry in Nigeria requires engaging and improving the productivity of small-holder farmers.  Our Feasibility Study shows that Sugarcane/Cassava/Oil Palm-based Biofuels production is more profitable than other feedstock options.  Our findings also indicate that a combination of Out-grower Scheme approach and yield improvements rather than expanded cultivation will address both poverty alleviation and land-use issues 11
  • 12. T IO NAL NA P ET N IG E R IA N RO LEUM Sustainable Biofuels and Economic Development OR N C P O R A T IO  Incorporation of the Biofuels industry into National Development Plans, will contribute to achieving the Country’s overall development objectives.  Biofuels industry allows Community participations, including local farmer  Biofuels offer Sustainable development option that is full of promise and are developed in ways that protect our planet 12
  • 13. T IO NAL NA P ET N IG E R IA N RO LEUM SUSTAINABLE BIOFUELS INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENT OR N C P O R A T IO To ensure sustainability the Biofuels programme will employ the use of:  Suitable and more productive crops as feedstock  Local/Indigenous varieties of selected feedstock  Suitable feedstock for different ecological zones  Modern and efficient conversion technology 13
  • 14. T IO NAL NA P ET SUSTAINABLE BIOFUELS INDUSTRY DEVT. CONT. N IG E R IA N RO LEUM OR N C P O R A T IO Use of suitable and more productive feedstock: Typical Yields of Raw Materials Used in Biofuels Production Crop Yield Ethanol/Biodiesel Ethanol/Biodiesel (ton/ha/yr) yield yield (litres/ton) (litres/ha/yr) Sugarcane 50-90 70-90 3,500-8,000 Sweet sorghum 45-80 60-80 1,750-5,300 Sugar beet 15-50 90 1,350-5,500 Wheat 1.5-2.1 340 510-714 Rice 2.5-5.0 430 1,075-2,150 Maize 1.7-5.4 360 600-1,944 Sorghum 1.0-3.7 350 350-1,295 Cassava 10-65 170 1,700-11,050 Sweet potatoes 8-50 167 1,336-8,350 Oil Palm 16 – 35 136 4760 Jatropha 6 – 10 151.36 1513.6 Castor bean 0.75 – 1.5 753.6 1130.4 14 Suitable feedstock Alternative feedstock Low yield feedstock
  • 15. T IO NAL NA P SUSTAINABLE BIOFUELS INDUSRTY DEVT. CONT. ET N IG E R IA N RO LEUM OR N C P O R A T IO Use local/indigenous varieties as feedstock: To ensure the use of the best local crop varieties of the Preferred feedstocks, National Research Institutes have been engaged for selection and breeding of local varieties that are:  High yielding;  Disease resistant, and  Pest resistant 15
  • 16. SUSTAINABLE BIOFUELS INDUSTRY DEVT. CONT. NA T IO NAL P ET N IG E R IA N RO Use of suitable feedstock for different ecological zone: LEUM OR N C P O R A T IO NATIONAL BIOFUELS FEEDSTOCK MAP S ot ok o Katsina Jigawa Zamf ara Yobe Bor no Kebbi Kano i Kaduna Bauchi Gombe Niger Adamawa FCT Plat eau Kwara Oyo N awa asar Taraba Ekiti Kogi Benue OsunOndo Ogun Potential Sugarcane Lagos Edo Enugu Anambra Ebonyi Potential Cassava Abia Delta I mo Cross River Potential Oil Palm Balyesa Rivers A I kwa bom Potential Jathropha • Some States have potentials for more than one crop • By 2020, the projected peak of Biofuels production would require about 500,000ha ~ 2% of the arable land (33million ha) in Nigeria. 16
  • 17. SUSTAINABLE BIOFUELS IN TRANSFORMATION AGENDA NA T IO NAL P ET N IG E R IA N RO LEUM In Su crea er Oil gar sed ow g OR N C ,A ,S P O R A T IO P n gro tar Prod sed n usi rces ea tio -Ch ch, uct r u em Cru ion Inc era Reso n Ge able Fe icals de P of ed & A alm ew R en nim al pro v ing, r& Fo Susta Se od Sus a High -yield ed & we y m le Po erg cu Creat le Jobs Creat le Jobs rity i ng us in ized Far M ech arge-sca GDP with GDP with En l ings inab i ab re ion o ion of Creati Wealth Impa Wealt Impac H ig h g im n Agric ultu Seed re tion an high L f on t TRANSFORMATION t AGENDA ti o Se S rt a c c ur ur o un cr u rb e Co an nv ells Co ans n iity Co ss a t o c f t h sp ty e Tr g E Fu us nd T g F e st spo iiro //Ble th fri an fr sii dlly t– or n en ne y n o –e rt nm e n y e n Tr try oss ef ta m d ffe ati e ds ive om ti o Education fe tio en s ct on nt- c s t on ica iiv n t- ve ro B e Ec rsif s ve Di Cooperative Transfer of Re Technology & Access to Research Findings
  • 18. T IO NAL NA P SUSTAINABLE BIOFUELS INDUSTRY DEVT. CONT. ET N IG E R IA N RO LEUM The Biofuels Programme Modality is OR N C P O R A T IO Food & Fuel NOT Food Vs Fuel  The National Biofuels Programme excludes staple crops such as: millet, corn, rice, yam and grain sorghum, but plans to use Sugarcane, Cassava, Sweet Sorghum, Palm Oil and Jatropha as feedstock for Biofuels production  Proposed Biofuels Projects are all integrated (Plant & Plantation) and as such will not distort current food supply  Currently no commercial scale Biofuels production in Nigeria, hence the rising costs of food in Nigeria is due to causes other than Biofuels production  The Programme is intended to boost Agriculture and add to food production through improved farming techniques and high-yielding varieties  By 2020, the projected peak of Biofuels production would require about 500,000 ha – using less than 2% of the arable land (33million ha) in Nigeria for JV Plantations and Out-growers scheme  The Programme is modelled to integrate the Agric sector with the Oil and Gas 18 Industry
  • 19. T IO NAL NA P Sustainable Biofuels and Economic Development ET N IG E R IA N RO LEUM OR N C P O R A T IO The proposed Biofuels Projects are integrated and meet three design principles: Integrated Business Model Design Principles:  Sustainability of the industry dictates large-scale mechanized Plantation operations integrated with processing Plants  Out-grower schemes are planned around the core Plantation, using a Service Company Model managed by the Plantation governance structure  Plantation and Plant operations must meet international sustainability standards:  Profitable  Environment-friendly  Socially responsible 19
  • 20. T IO NAL NA P SUSTAINABLE BIOFUELS INDUSTRY DEVT. CONT. ET N IG E R IA N RO LEUM OR N C Modern and efficient conversion technology: P O R A T IO 20
  • 21. T IO NAL NA P ET N IG E R IA N RO LEUM Modern and efficient conversion technology OR N C P O R A T IO cont. BIODIESEL PRODUCTION PROCESS FLOW DIAGRAM 21
  • 22. T IO NAL NA P ET SUSTAINABLE BIOFUELS AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT N IG E R IA N RO LEUM Resource Availability: OR N C P O R A T IO  Nigeria has about 33 million Hectares of arable land and only about 10% is under cultivation  Favourable agro-climatic and ecological conditions across the country  Strong capital base: Financial institutions are willing to participate  Enormous skilled and unskilled labour  NNPC infrastructural facilities nationwide  Research institutions: NCRI, IITA, NRCRI, NIFOR, Universities, etc 22
  • 23. T IO NAL NA P SUSTAINABLE BIOFUELS AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ET N IG E R IA N RO LEUM Nigeria’s Biofuels Demand OR N C P O R A T IO Biofuels Type Time Frame Short Medium Long Fuel-Ethanol (demand in 1.3 3.4 52.5 billion liters/yr) (at 15% blend) (at 50% blend) (at 10% blend) Biodiesel (demand in 0.233 1.951 12.7 billion liters/yr) (at 20% blend) (at 50% blend) (at 10% blend) Source: National Energy Master plan 23
  • 24. T IO NAL NA P ET N IG E R IA N RO LEUM OR N C P O R A T IO OUTLINE  INTRODUCTION  ENERGY SITUATION IN NIGERIA  NIGERIA’S BIOFUELS DEMAND POTENTIALS  RESOURCE AVAILABILITY IN NIGERIA FOR BIOFUELS  BIOFUELS AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT  BENEFITS OF BIOFUEL PROGRAMME  JOURNEY SO FAR  CONCLUSION 24
  • 25. T IO NAL NA P The Biofuels industry presents vast social, economic ET N IG E R IA N RO LEUM and environmental benefits for Nigeria. OR N C P O R A T IO • Good returns on invested capital (high IRRs ~30%) • Revitalization of the agricultural sector • Increased local production of sugar and power complement efforts at filling existing supply gaps in Nigeria (for Economic Benefits sugarcane to ethanol) • Diversification of the country’s energy usage and hence increased ability to hedge supply risk • Carbon credit earnings • Reduction of gasoline imports and foreign currency use Environmental • Environmentally friendly fuels / less pollution Benefits • CO2 emission reduction • Rural wealth and job creation Social Benefits • Sustainable development 25
  • 26. THE ENERGY – ECONOMY RELATIONSHIP: T IO NAL NA P ET N IG E R IA N RO Energy touches various aspects of our economy LEUM OR N C P O R A T IO AGRICULTURE INFORMATION & COMMERCE COMMUNICATION & INDUSTRY TRANSPORTATION FINANCE ENERGY DEFENCE & HOUSE HOLD SECURITY & HEALTH EDUCATION, SCIENCE & MINES & POWER TECHNOLOGY THE NIGERIAN ECONOMY 26
  • 27. T IO NAL NA P ET N IG E R IA N RO BENEFITS OF BIOFUELS PROGRAMME CONT. LEUM OR N C P O R A T IO Diversification Rural Economic Of Energy empowerment Matrix Petroleum & Environment Agric industry Friendly integration Efficient Maximize supplier Chain carbon credit Road/Transport Opportunities Home grown industry Research & Learning Lower cost of production Sustainable Development Rural wealth creation Energy sufficiency & Potential for export
  • 28. T IO NAL NA P ET N IG E R IA N RO LEUM OR N C P O R A T IO OUTLINE  INTRODUCTION  ENERGY SITUATION IN NIGERIA  NIGERIA’S BIOFUELS DEMAND POTENTIALS  RESOURCE AVAILABILITY IN NIGERIA FOR BIOFUELS  SUSTAINABLE BIOFUELS INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENT  ECONOMIC BENEFITS OF BIOFUEL PROGRAMME  JOURNEY SO FAR  CONCLUSION 28
  • 29. T IO NAL NA P JOURNEY SO FAR CONT. ET N IG E R IA N RO LEUM OR N C P O R A T IO NNPC has invested significant resources in the promotion of the Biofuels programme with positive results: POLICY Policy & Incentives • Biofuels Policy approved by the Federal Executive Council and gazetted Development (Gazette No. 72, June 20th 2007) but is presently being reviewed by Energy Commission of Nigeria OFFTAKE AGREEMENT The off-take agreement contract design concluded to provides guaranteed market to local producers of Biofuels. ETHANOL • Developed 5 bankable feasibility studies for sugarcane & cassava ethanol BIODIESEL Domestic Biofuel • Completed 2 feasibility studies for oil palm to biodiesel projects Programme IJV FORMATION • Credible potential investor groups have shown interest to partner with NNPC for joint development projects (IJV formation) 29
  • 30. T IO NAL NA P Seven bankable feasibility studies have been completed ET N IG E R IA N RO LEUM in five different states, while engaging various State OR N C P O R A T IO Governments in discussion for Land Sites. S o okot Katsina Jigawa Zamf ara Yobe • Bor Sugarcane 16,000 ha no Kebbi • 3 projects Kano • EtOH: 75 million liters/yr • Sugar:116,000 tonnes / year • Electricity: 64 MW • Cassava:13,500 ha Kaduna Bauchi Gombe • Investment: $322 million • 2 projects Niger • EtOH: 38 million liters/yr Adamawa • Starch:36,000 tonnes / year • Investment: $115 million Kwara Plat eau FCT Oyo N awa asar • Oil Palm 14,000 ha & 8,500 ha Taraba • 2 projects Ekiti Kogi Benue • Palm Oil: 60,000 / 32,000 t/yr Osun Ondo • Biodiesel: 38 / 21 million liters/ year Ogun • Investment: $75 / 44.5 million Lagos Edo Enugu Ebonyi Anambra Sugar cane Abia Delta I mo Cross River Cassava Balyesa Rivers A I kwa bom Oil Palm There is potential for many more projects in other states. 30
  • 31. Roadmap for a 500,000 ha Integrated Food, NA T IO NAL P ET N IG E R IA N RO Biofuels and Energy Industry LEUM OR N C P O R A T IO Sustain Growth • Seek increasing use of biofuels beyond E10 and B5 • 500,000 ha developed • 250,000 ha (285,000+ ha in developed biofuel (70,000 ha in • >65,000 ha production*) biofuel • 1.2 billion liters of developed (incl. production*) biofuels / year • cassava, • 360 million liters • • Create first JVs >33,000 ha 600+ MW co- developed sugarcane and ethanol/ year) • Obtain bill generation • > 100,000 t palm oil) • 120+ MW co- approval • $6+ billion cassava • 10+ million liters generation COMMENCEMENT • Upgrade invested • Implement policy harvested ethanol/ year • Begin distribution • >3,500 jobs • Begin production production of (off-takes, etc.)_ infrastructure • Launch E10 created of sugarcane palm biodiesel • Sanction 2 or more • Launch B5 • Develop shared private projects (15 million seeding liters/year) ownership with • Expand financing programme relevant MDAs facilities • kick-off bill Note: 1. There is a lag of 3 to 6 years between land development and Biofuels production depending on the crop used as feedstock 2.Project commencement will be determined by provision of equity by the government for IJV formation. 31
  • 32. T IO NAL NA P ET N IG E R IA N RO LEUM OR N C P O R A T IO OUTLINE  INTRODUCTION  ENERGY SITUATION IN NIGERIA  NIGERIA’S BIOFUELS DEMAND POTENTIALS  RESOURCE AVAILABILITY IN NIGERIA FOR BIOFUELS  SUSTAINABLE BIOFUELS INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENT  ECONOMIC BENEFITS OF BIOFUEL PROGRAMME  JOURNEY SO FAR  CONCLUSION 32
  • 33. T IO NAL NA P ET N IG E R IA N RO CONCLUSION LEUM OR N C P O R A T IO  The Biofuels industry has potential to make a significant impact on the Nigerian economy  Growing oil/energy demand and limited oil resources calls for a complementary sustainable energy source –BIOFUELS –  Awareness creation on the benefits of Biofuels industry and advocacy for the implementation of Biofuels Projects is paramount to the success of the industry  Standardization of policies and incentives will facilitate the realization of a thriving domestic Biofuels industry 33
  • 34. T IO NAL NA P ET N IG E R IA N RO LEUM OR N C P O R A T IO 34