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Investing in polish bio-fuels sector
               the characteristics of the business
                         environment




Wirtschaftuniversitaet - Wien
Doing business in C.E.E.                       Henry Sichel
1. The business sector



              Front-runners products for climate change issue

                 Bio-ethanol – substitute of gasoline

                 Bio-diesel - blended with mineral fuel



              The bio-fuels generations…

                First generations – food-crops derived

                Second generation – non-food crops;
                better environmental potential


             100 agricultural refineries and few big players, but lack of incentives

              Huge fossil fuel competition, but interesting growth
Doing business in C.E.E.                                                Henry Sichel
2. Why investing here?

            Liberalization of energy market

            Large agricultural surface for specifical energy crops

            Kyoto Protocol and European engagement (10% in 2020)

            Biofuel Promotion Plan, 2007

            Availability of projects and market attractiveness

            Confusing government decisions and enforcement of law

            Possibility to export profits


            Grants for investments and training and Special Economic Zones

            Easy termination of employment

Doing business in C.E.E.                                                     Henry Sichel
3. The market environment

                            • Pattern equally split between bio-diesel and bio-ethanol
               Production • Potential plenty of raw materials
                            • Distribution problems (blending)
                            • Bio-fuels are not competitive

                            • Bio-fule Promo Program 2008/14: excise exemption;

                  Prices    • -19% surplus costs over the production of fossil fuels

                            • 45€/ha. of subsidization for farmers

                            • Fines for below-the-bar blended fuels producers
                            • German market
                         • Poland: bio-ethanol ¼ gasoline share,
               Consumers bio-diesel 1/9 diesel one
                         • Lack of awareness
                            • Opposition of car manufacturers
                            • 400 SMEs interested in producing biocomponents
                 Players
                            • few big players with high capacity and investment plans
4. The non-market environment


                             • D. 2003/96/EC (excise exemptions are accepted)
                 Europe
                             • An E.U. strategy for Bio-fuel (mandatory bio-fuel targets)

                             • supportive measure for plants producing equipment for the
                               generation of bio-fuels/bio-components
                National
               legislation • Bio-fuel Support Program 2008-14
                             • Bio-components and Liquid Biofuels Act (2006)

                             • National private and public
               Financing
                             • International private and public (E.U. structural cohesion fund)

               Popularity • Of low environmental pollution solutions
               Fossil fules • The variable of fossil fuels prices and availability
                 NIMC        • Not-In-My-Car syndrome
                Land-use     • Natural, food or bio-fuel destination

Doing business in C.E.E.                                                     Henry Sichel
5. Economic culture of polish managers and workers



                Hierarchy, authority, formalities


                Polarization between We (workers) and They (managers)


                Hofstede index

                High Power Distance: weak work ethic, no ask for suggestions,
                temptation to «fight against the common enemy»

                High Uncertainty Avoidance: lack of control about personal destiny

                Low Individualism: engagement is important, but leadership is accepted

                High Masculinity: personal success is not always welcome


Doing business in C.E.E.                                                     Henry Sichel
6. Main problems and perspectives



                  Main problems:
                  • Bio-fuels are expensive;
                  • Confusing regulation and many «stops-and-go»
                  • Technical barriers (specially for second generation bio-fuels)
                  • R&D barriers (needs for improvement in ethanol production
                    techs)
                  • Distortive role of personal connections


                 Prospects
                 • Perspectives are interesting, because of European and national
                    interest;
                 • The game will be played on the field of different crops varieties,
                    increased productivity and consisten policy-making




Doing business in C.E.E.                                              Henry Sichel

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Polish bio fuels market

  • 1. Investing in polish bio-fuels sector the characteristics of the business environment Wirtschaftuniversitaet - Wien Doing business in C.E.E. Henry Sichel
  • 2. 1. The business sector Front-runners products for climate change issue Bio-ethanol – substitute of gasoline Bio-diesel - blended with mineral fuel The bio-fuels generations… First generations – food-crops derived Second generation – non-food crops; better environmental potential 100 agricultural refineries and few big players, but lack of incentives Huge fossil fuel competition, but interesting growth Doing business in C.E.E. Henry Sichel
  • 3. 2. Why investing here? Liberalization of energy market Large agricultural surface for specifical energy crops Kyoto Protocol and European engagement (10% in 2020) Biofuel Promotion Plan, 2007 Availability of projects and market attractiveness Confusing government decisions and enforcement of law Possibility to export profits Grants for investments and training and Special Economic Zones Easy termination of employment Doing business in C.E.E. Henry Sichel
  • 4. 3. The market environment • Pattern equally split between bio-diesel and bio-ethanol Production • Potential plenty of raw materials • Distribution problems (blending) • Bio-fuels are not competitive • Bio-fule Promo Program 2008/14: excise exemption; Prices • -19% surplus costs over the production of fossil fuels • 45€/ha. of subsidization for farmers • Fines for below-the-bar blended fuels producers • German market • Poland: bio-ethanol ¼ gasoline share, Consumers bio-diesel 1/9 diesel one • Lack of awareness • Opposition of car manufacturers • 400 SMEs interested in producing biocomponents Players • few big players with high capacity and investment plans
  • 5. 4. The non-market environment • D. 2003/96/EC (excise exemptions are accepted) Europe • An E.U. strategy for Bio-fuel (mandatory bio-fuel targets) • supportive measure for plants producing equipment for the generation of bio-fuels/bio-components National legislation • Bio-fuel Support Program 2008-14 • Bio-components and Liquid Biofuels Act (2006) • National private and public Financing • International private and public (E.U. structural cohesion fund) Popularity • Of low environmental pollution solutions Fossil fules • The variable of fossil fuels prices and availability NIMC • Not-In-My-Car syndrome Land-use • Natural, food or bio-fuel destination Doing business in C.E.E. Henry Sichel
  • 6. 5. Economic culture of polish managers and workers Hierarchy, authority, formalities Polarization between We (workers) and They (managers) Hofstede index High Power Distance: weak work ethic, no ask for suggestions, temptation to «fight against the common enemy» High Uncertainty Avoidance: lack of control about personal destiny Low Individualism: engagement is important, but leadership is accepted High Masculinity: personal success is not always welcome Doing business in C.E.E. Henry Sichel
  • 7. 6. Main problems and perspectives Main problems: • Bio-fuels are expensive; • Confusing regulation and many «stops-and-go» • Technical barriers (specially for second generation bio-fuels) • R&D barriers (needs for improvement in ethanol production techs) • Distortive role of personal connections Prospects • Perspectives are interesting, because of European and national interest; • The game will be played on the field of different crops varieties, increased productivity and consisten policy-making Doing business in C.E.E. Henry Sichel