An extension on hypothesis testing, this lesson introduces the concepts of a correlation and regression as part of measuring statistical relationships.
An extension on hypothesis testing, this lesson introduces the concepts of a correlation and regression as part of measuring statistical relationships.
A false sense of security is the best cure for your conscious yet less effective against a real attack.
Security is about risks and how you manage it, if you like to build good security you need to perform risk management and periodically measure risk against your security template. Attacks shift and so does your budget assignment. Simple questions can reveal more
needs and address security in those areas of importance.
it provide you information about public policy, its elements , policy cycle and its importance it also provide you information about problem solving process..These 8 lectures provide you the complete knowledge about public policy analysis.
it provide you information about public policy, its elements , policy cycle and its importance it also provide you information about problem solving process..These 8 lectures provide you the complete knowledge about public policy analysis.
Its all about risk, risk analysis, method, pros and cons, important factors and stake holders.
Ignoring risk does not make the risk go way. So organizations and stake holders has to accept some certain degree of risk which we called it risk tolerance.
it provide you information about public policy, its elements , policy cycle and its importance it also provide you information about problem solving process..These 8 lectures provide you the complete knowledge about public policy analysis.
it provide you information about public policy, its elements , policy cycle and its importance it also provide you information about problem solving process..These 8 lectures provide you the complete knowledge about public policy analysis.
This deck demonstrates how asset value can be created where it had not existed before. We create asset value through the construction of a “Real Option.”
“Real Option” thinking was in vogue during the 80’s but fell out of favor for lack of calculating tools. Now that we have the proper computer tools, “Real Option” thinking should be brought back in.
In this deck, we create $4.5 million dollars “Real Option” value through strategic thinking, with the assistance of a Bayesian revision, by examining a classic example, the Wildcatter Oil-Drill or Not question.
How Traditional Risk Reporting Has Let Us DownAcumen
This white paper discusses risk reporting techniques and ways of interpreting risk analysis results that actually enable the project team to make pro-active changes in reducing their risk exposure.
CompTIA exam study guide presentations by instructor Brian Ferrill, PACE-IT (Progressive, Accelerated Certifications for Employment in Information Technology)
"Funded by the Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration, Grant #TC-23745-12-60-A-53"
Learn more about the PACE-IT Online program: www.edcc.edu/pace-it
Adopting the Quadratic Mean Process to Quantify the Qualitative Risk AnalysisRicardo Viana Vargas
The objective of this paper is to propose a mathematical process to turn the results of a qualitative risk analysis into numeric indicators to support better decisions regarding risk response strategies.
Using a five-level scale for probability and a set of scales to measure different aspects of the impact and time horizon, a simple mathematical process is developed using the quadratic mean (also known as root mean square) to calculate the numerical exposition of the risk and consequently, the numerical exposition of the project risks.
This paper also supports the reduction of intuitive thinking when evaluating risks, often subject to illusions, which can cause perception errors. These predictable mental errors, such as overconfidence, confirmation traps, optimism bias, zero-risk bias, sunk-cost effect, and others often lead to the underestimation of costs and effort, poor resource planning, and other low-quality decisions (VIRINE, 2010).
A false sense of security is the best cure for your conscious yet less effective against a real attack.
Security is about risks and how you manage it, if you like to build good security you need to perform risk management and periodically measure risk against your security template. Attacks shift and so does your budget assignment. Simple questions can reveal more
needs and address security in those areas of importance.
it provide you information about public policy, its elements , policy cycle and its importance it also provide you information about problem solving process..These 8 lectures provide you the complete knowledge about public policy analysis.
it provide you information about public policy, its elements , policy cycle and its importance it also provide you information about problem solving process..These 8 lectures provide you the complete knowledge about public policy analysis.
Its all about risk, risk analysis, method, pros and cons, important factors and stake holders.
Ignoring risk does not make the risk go way. So organizations and stake holders has to accept some certain degree of risk which we called it risk tolerance.
it provide you information about public policy, its elements , policy cycle and its importance it also provide you information about problem solving process..These 8 lectures provide you the complete knowledge about public policy analysis.
it provide you information about public policy, its elements , policy cycle and its importance it also provide you information about problem solving process..These 8 lectures provide you the complete knowledge about public policy analysis.
This deck demonstrates how asset value can be created where it had not existed before. We create asset value through the construction of a “Real Option.”
“Real Option” thinking was in vogue during the 80’s but fell out of favor for lack of calculating tools. Now that we have the proper computer tools, “Real Option” thinking should be brought back in.
In this deck, we create $4.5 million dollars “Real Option” value through strategic thinking, with the assistance of a Bayesian revision, by examining a classic example, the Wildcatter Oil-Drill or Not question.
How Traditional Risk Reporting Has Let Us DownAcumen
This white paper discusses risk reporting techniques and ways of interpreting risk analysis results that actually enable the project team to make pro-active changes in reducing their risk exposure.
CompTIA exam study guide presentations by instructor Brian Ferrill, PACE-IT (Progressive, Accelerated Certifications for Employment in Information Technology)
"Funded by the Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration, Grant #TC-23745-12-60-A-53"
Learn more about the PACE-IT Online program: www.edcc.edu/pace-it
Adopting the Quadratic Mean Process to Quantify the Qualitative Risk AnalysisRicardo Viana Vargas
The objective of this paper is to propose a mathematical process to turn the results of a qualitative risk analysis into numeric indicators to support better decisions regarding risk response strategies.
Using a five-level scale for probability and a set of scales to measure different aspects of the impact and time horizon, a simple mathematical process is developed using the quadratic mean (also known as root mean square) to calculate the numerical exposition of the risk and consequently, the numerical exposition of the project risks.
This paper also supports the reduction of intuitive thinking when evaluating risks, often subject to illusions, which can cause perception errors. These predictable mental errors, such as overconfidence, confirmation traps, optimism bias, zero-risk bias, sunk-cost effect, and others often lead to the underestimation of costs and effort, poor resource planning, and other low-quality decisions (VIRINE, 2010).
This complete presentation has a set of thirtyseven slides to show your mastery of the subject. Use this ready-made PowerPoint presentation to present before your internal teams or the audience. All presentation designs in this Risk Mitigation Strategies Powerpoint Presentation Slides have been crafted by our team of expert PowerPoint designers using the best of PPT templates, images, data-driven graphs and vector icons. The content has been well-researched by our team of business researchers. The biggest advantage of downloading this deck is that it is fully editable in PowerPoint. You can change the colors, font and text without any hassle to suit your business needs.
This presentation talks about how risks in a project are analyzed and quantified. The presentation also discusses benefits of quantification of risks and the various tools at our disposal to manage risks effectively through quantification.
Risk Assessment And Mitigation Plan PowerPoint Presentation SlidesSlideTeam
This deck consists of total of thirty three slides. It has PPT slides highlighting important topics of Risk Assessment And Mitigation Plan Powerpoint Presentation Slides. This deck comprises of amazing visuals with thoroughly researched content. Each template is well crafted and designed by our PowerPoint experts. Our designers have included all the necessary PowerPoint layouts in this deck. From icons to graphs, this PPT deck has it all. The best part is that these templates are easily customizable. Just click the DOWNLOAD button shown below. Edit the colour, text, font size, add or delete the content as per the requirement. Download this deck now and engage your audience with this ready made presentation.
Effective Business Continuity Plan Powerpoint Presentation SlidesSlideTeam
Showcase proactive plan to avoid risk with our attention-grabbing Effective Business Continuity Plan PowerPoint Presentation Slides. The visually appealing risk assessment process PowerPoint complete deck contains editable templates with relevant content such as management oversight, risk management, business impact analysis, business continuity policy framework, recommend mitigations to name a few. The easy-to-use business continuity plan PPT slides also assist users to create an effective plan so that businesses can continue operating even during a time of emergency or disaster. Take advantage of mitigation planning PPT slideshow to create a system of prevention & recovery from possible risks. Furthermore, the emergency management PowerPoint templates allow you to present various topics like crisis management, disaster risk reduction, scenario planning, natural hazards control, business continuity auditing, and many more. Utilize our content-ready business continuity & resiliency planning PPT slides for crisis management & planning. Get access to this self-explanatory disaster recovery PowerPoint presentation deck now. https://bit.ly/3u4ql1O
Presenting this set of slides with name - Mitigation Planning Powerpoint Presentation Slides. Enhance your audiences knowledge with this well researched complete deck. Showcase all the important features of the deck with perfect visuals. This deck comprises of total of thirtytwo slides with each slide explained in detail. Each template comprises of professional diagrams and layouts. Our professional PowerPoint experts have also included icons, graphs and charts for your convenience. All you have to do is DOWNLOAD the deck. Make changes as per the requirement. Yes, these PPT slides are completely customizable. Edit the colour, text and font size. Add or delete the content from the slide. And leave your audience awestruck with the professionally designed Mitigation Planning Powerpoint Presentation Slides complete deck.
In this Spark session Ravi Saraogi talks about why estimating default risk in fund structures can be a challenging task. He presents on how this process has evolved over the years and the current methodologies for assessing such risks.
This complete presentation has a set of thirty two slides to show your mastery of the subject. Use this ready-made PowerPoint presentation to present before your internal teams or the audience. All presentation designs in this Risk Analysis PowerPoint Presentation Slides have been crafted by our team of expert PowerPoint designers using the best of PPT templates, images, data-driven graphs and vector icons. The content has been well-researched by our team of business researchers. The biggest advantage of downloading this deck is that it is fully editable in PowerPoint. You can change the colors, font and text without any hassle to suit your business needs.
In this presentation, Joe and Brian contrast traditional risk assessment with some emerging techniques that use internal and market risk event (incident) data to drive a more accurate risk model.
Presentation by:
Joe Crampton, VP – Applications, Resolver Inc.
Brian Link, CIA, VP – GRC Strategy & Partnerships, Resolver Inc.
Prevention And Control Strategies PowerPoint Presentation SlidesSlideTeam
This complete deck is oriented to make sure you do not lag in your presentations. Our creatively crafted slides come with apt research and planning. This exclusive deck with thirty four slides is here to help you to strategize, plan, analyse, or segment the topic with clear understanding and apprehension. Utilize ready to use presentation slides on Prevention And Control Strategies Powerpoint Presentation Slides with all sorts of editable templates, charts and graphs, overviews, analysis templates. It is usable for marking important decisions and covering critical issues. Display and present all possible kinds of underlying nuances, progress factors for an all inclusive presentation for the teams. This presentation deck can be used by all professionals, managers, individuals, internal external teams involved in any company organization.
The Art and Science Behind Successful Risk WorkshopsAcumen
This paper discusses how a well-structured balance of risk process combined with sound workshop facilitation can provide more value to a project’s bottom line than most typically ever realize. Imagine a silver bullet that enables you to objectively determine accurate project costs; contingency; strategic insight into which projects should be considered portfolio inclusion; and how realistic a project plan is. Sound too good to be true? Read on…
Advantages of Regression Models Over Expert Judgement for Characterizing Cybe...Thomas Lee
Expert Judgment is the foundation of many risk assessment methodologies. But research is robust on the inaccuracy of Expert Judgment with regards to rare events—and large data breach events are rare. Regression models, which are a statistical characterization of cross-company historical events are substantially more accurate than expert judgment or even models with expert judgment as a foundation.
Similar to Stephen cresswell risk are we missing a trick - 25th june (20)
APM webinar hosted by the Scotland Network on 14 May 2024.
Speakers: Chris Drysdale and Peter Huggett
An interactive session discussing how Project Managers can identify mental health symptoms, provide tools to help themselves and others, plus also increase the capabilities of the Project Management function. This webinar was held on 14 May 2024.
The covid-19 pandemic led to concerns about a worsening of mental health & wellbeing across the world and increased awareness in both society and the workplace. This webinar looks to advise the benefits of having a Mental Health First Aid function in the workplace whilst also providing tools and techniques that can be readily used and applied to yourself and colleagues. Additionally, there are wider benefits to Project Management which will be proposed and discussed.
Making communications land - Are they received and understood as intended? webinar
Thursday 2 May 2024
A joint webinar created by the APM Enabling Change and APM People Interest Networks, this is the third of our three part series on Making Communications Land.
presented by
Ian Cribbes, Director, IMC&T Ltd
@cribbesheet
The link to the write up page and resources of this webinar:
https://www.apm.org.uk/news/making-communications-land-are-they-received-and-understood-as-intended-webinar/
Content description:
How do we ensure that what we have communicated was received and understood as we intended and how do we course correct if it has not.
APM Welcome
Tuesday 30 April 2024
APM North West Network Conference, Synergies Across Sectors
Presented by:
Professor Adam Boddison OBE, Chief Executive Officer, APM
Conference overview:
https://www.apm.org.uk/community/apm-north-west-branch-conference/
Content description:
APM welcome from CEO
The main conference objective was to promote the Project Management profession with interaction between project practitioners, APM Corporate members, current project management students, academia and all who have an interest in projects.
Projecting for the Future: Harmonising Energy and Environment
Tuesday 30 April 2024
APM North West Network Conference, Synergies Across Sectors
Presented by:
Graham Winch, Professor of Project Management, Alliance Manchester Business School
Conference overview:
https://www.apm.org.uk/community/apm-north-west-branch-conference/
Content description:
APM launched Projecting the Future in June 2019 to debate the challenges and opportunities for the profession, building on the 2017 Future of Project Management exercise conducted by Arup and University College London. This presentation provides the initial results from this third phase of reflection on the future of our profession.
The main conference objective was to promote the Project Management profession with interaction between project practitioners, APM Corporate members, current project management students, academia and all who have an interest in projects.
New to Nuclear - Transition into nuclear from other sectors
Tuesday 30 April 2024
APM North West Network Conference, Synergies Across Sectors
Presented by:
Elaine Falconer, Head of Profession for Project Management, Jacobs
and
Karen Williams, Project Manager, Jacobs
Conference overview:
https://www.apm.org.uk/community/apm-north-west-branch-conference/
Content description:
In this session, Jacobs shared insights and learning from its ‘New to Nuclear’ programme designed to support mid-career and lateral entrants whose existing skills and expertise can be utilised in the nuclear sector.
The main conference objective was to promote the Project Management profession with interaction between project practitioners, APM Corporate members, current project management students, academia and all who have an interest in projects.
Tell us what to do, not how to do it
Tuesday 30 April 2024
APM North West Network Conference, Synergies Across Sectors
Presented by:
Alan Livingstone, Project Delivery Lead, UK&I Water Sector, Stantec
Conference overview:
https://www.apm.org.uk/community/apm-north-west-branch-conference/
Content description:
How the Stantec Project Management Framework provides our PMs with the flexibility to deliver projects of varying complexity, across a variety of different sectors, within a Global Organisation.
The main conference objective was to promote the Project Management profession with interaction between project practitioners, APM Corporate members, current project management students, academia and all who have an interest in projects.
The Future is Fractional
Tuesday 30 April 2024
APM North West Network Conference, Synergies Across Sectors
Presented by:
Karen Frith, Founder & Managing Partner, Greenlight Partners
Conference overview:
https://www.apm.org.uk/community/apm-north-west-branch-conference/
Content description:
Discovering the transformational impact of working with fractional experts. Learning how businesses and professionals are embracing fractional roles and how they’re redefining work structures for optimal agility and efficiency.
The main conference objective was to promote the Project Management profession with interaction between project practitioners, APM Corporate members, current project management students, academia and all who have an interest in projects.
Lessons learned across projects
Tuesday 30 April 2024
APM North West Network Conference, Synergies Across Sectors
Presented by:
Barney Harle, Head of Major Projects, Manchester City Council
Conference overview:
https://www.apm.org.uk/community/apm-north-west-branch-conference/
Content description:
What are my key takeaways from working on a vast array of projects including the recent 30+ low carbon and decarbonisation schemes at Manchester City Council?
The main conference objective was to promote the Project Management profession with interaction between project practitioners, APM Corporate members, current project management students, academia and all who have an interest in projects.
Agile Adaptability: Navigating Project Management in a Dynamic World
Tuesday 30 April 2024
APM North West Network Conference, Synergies Across Sectors
Presented by:
Nathan Lumb, Partners Project Manager, GEIC
Conference overview:
https://www.apm.org.uk/community/apm-north-west-branch-conference/
Content description:
This presentation delved into the vital role adaptability plays in modern project management.
The main conference objective was to promote the Project Management profession with interaction between project practitioners, APM Corporate members, current project management students, academia and all who have an interest in projects.
Inclusive Practices in Project Management: Leveraging Digital Frameworks for Diverse Minds
Tuesday 30 April 2024
APM North West Network Conference, Synergies Across Sectors
Presented by:
Caroline Keep, PhD researcher Digitization in Education Organisation, University of Central Lancaster
Conference overview:
https://www.apm.org.uk/community/apm-north-west-branch-conference/
Content description:
This talk aimed to provide actionable insights and strategies for embedding inclusivity into the fabric of project management, thereby unlocking the new dimensions of productivity and innovation in the digital sphere.
The main conference objective was to promote the Project Management profession with interaction between project practitioners, APM Corporate members, current project management students, academia and all who have an interest in projects.
Leadership - the project professionals secret weapon
Wednesday 24 April 2024
APM East of England Network
Presented by:
Chris MacLeod
Keep up to date with the APM East of England Network:
https://www.apm.org.uk/community/east-of-england-network/
Content description:
“I’m a Project Manager”.
That’s often what we tell family, friends and peers when asked what we do. But is it really a fair description? It may well be our role title, but it probably doesn’t convey a lot of what we actually do.
This presentation and discussion is about going beyond the frameworks, processes and stereotypes associated with project management and exploring the leadership roles we all in fact perform.
“I provide leadership focused on delivering projects and change for organisations”
APM Project Management Awards - Hints and tips for a winning award entry webinar
Thursday 18 April 2024
The APM Awards overview and the resources of this webinar:
https://www.apm.org.uk/apm-awards/
Content description:
Ahead of the APM Awards 2024, find out from our expert panel what elements make a winning APM Award entry.
Learn how to choose the category best suited to you or your company.
Answers provided to those all-important questions:
-What importance does the criteria hold?
-What are the judging panel looking for?
-How should I structure my entry?
-What additional evidence is acceptable?
-What will give my entry an edge?
X hashtag: #APMawards
The Vyrnwy Aqueduct Modernisation Programme webinar
Wednesday 17 April 2024
APM North West Network
Presented by:
Katie Rowlands
The link to the write up page and resources of this webinar:
https://www.apm.org.uk/news/the-vyrnwy-aqueduct-modernisation-programme-webinar/
Content description:
Spotlight on the Vyrnwy Aqueduct Modernisation Programme and the challenges facing a large project within Cheshire.
The Vyrnwy Aqueduct Modernisation Programme is one of United Utilities largest projects focused on the modernisation of three 42” aqueducts that carry clean drinking water across the North West.
This webinar covered the Vyrnwy project and an insight into the project challenges that face a live project within the Cheshire area.
APM event hosted by the London Network on 10 April 2024.
Speaker: Nick Fewings, MD of Ngagementworks
In March 2022, Nick Fewings, Ngagementworks, MD of Ngagementworks, published Team Lead Succeed, based on his 30+years of both leading operational and project teams, and subsequently facilitating team development around the world.
It has become a best seller, with a 96% 5-star review rating, and has been read on 5 of the 7 continents.
In this interactive session, Nick will share learning from Team Lead Succeed that can be applied immediately and make a positive difference to your teamwork.
Nick will share the importance of knowing both WHO is in your team and also HOW effective your teamwork is.
Only 10% of teams achieve high-performance, with 50% being average and 40% dysfunctional.
In this session, delivered by award-winning conference speaker Nick Fewings, and author of best-seller Team Lead Succeed, Nick will share his 30+ years of leading teams and facilitating team development.
Nick has profiled 1,000 of individuals and worked with 100s of teams.
Those attending will benefit from understanding;
Why many projects fail to achieve their goals.
Not relying on just measuring KPIs.
The importance of knowing WHO is in your team, both from a behavioural and technical skills aspect.
The 16 areas of high-performance teamwork, and their importance.
https://www.apm.org.uk/news/team-lead-succeed-helping-you-and-your-team-achieve-high-performance-teamwork-2/
Currently Knowledge Transfer Subject Matter Expert (Commercial) in the UKDT PMO on the Peru Reconstruction Plan. Stuart has more than 25 years’ track record of commercial and contract management experience working across both public and private sector projects, as well as more than 20 years’ experience in the development and delivery of professional training. As well as working for Gleeds in the UK and Peru, Stuart has also worked in China for Gleeds and has supported people development in Gleeds’ offices in Egypt and Poland. Stuart has been well placed to support the adoption of the NEC and UK Cost Management best practice in Peru – he was Chair of the RICS New Rules of Measurement (NRM) initiative and was heavily involved in the creation of the RICS Black Book Guidance (best practice in cost management).
APM event hosted by the Midlands Network on 11 April 2024.
Speaker: Carole Osterweil
Data is power. AI changes everything.
If the claims about both are true, how can we ensure we use data and AI well? And what does it mean for the very things which make us human - our feelings?
In this workshop Carole will draw on material from her ground-breaking book, Neuroscience for Project Success: why people behave as they do to answer both questions.
“We like to think our decision making is completely rational. However, once there's an element of uncertainty, conscious assessments are only part of the story. Two other inputs, both subconscious and driven by our innate need to survive, have a big impact.
One, automatic reactions driven by cognitive biases, gets plenty of airtime.
The other input, our raw visceral emotions might be scary to talk about and less understood - but that’s not a reason to pretend they don’t exist!”
This interactive workshop will draw on material from Carole’s book, Neuroscience for Project Success: why people behave as they do, published by APM in 2022.
You’ll come away with:
a clear understanding of how the human brain works.
a framework that:
explains ‘why people behave as they do’.
makes it easier to talk about feelings in a matter-of-fact way (so that they become part of your conscious data set)
new insights into yourself and your projects in a world that’s often characterised by stress and disorder.
Act on these insights and you’ll see the impact - on your teams and stakeholders, your decisions about how to use data and AI, and ultimately your project outcomes.
AI in the project profession: examples of current use and roadmaps to adoption webinar
Wednesday 27 March 2024
Association for Project Management
Speaker panel:
Andy Murray, James White, James Garner, Karina Singh and Alex Robertson
The link to the write up page and resources of this webinar:
https://www.apm.org.uk/news/ai-in-the-project-profession-examples-of-current-use-and-roadmaps-to-adoption-webinar/
Content description:
Disruptive technology and accelerating change is the now the norm within business. Advancements that feel relatively recent are already becoming embedded into business-as-usual activity. AI is one such advancement; it is already being used and having real-world impacts across the project profession.
To help P3M professionals understand the implications of this change, APM invited representatives from organisations that have introduced or are preparing to introduce AI into their project workstreams, to explain their approach and share their insight with fellow professionals.
This webinar on explored how AI is currently being used in project and programme management, and how organisations are gearing up for its adoption.
Katharine works for WRAP which is a climate action NGO working in more than 40 countries around the globe to tackle the causes of the climate crisis and give the planet a sustainable future. In this session, you will learn about WRAP’s plastics programme and how sustainability has been incorporated as a core value in delivery of the programme, with the aim of inspiring the audience to take action in their own work.
Kai-Fu Lee predicted that AI would change the world more than anything in the history of humanity – even electricity. It would disrupt how we live and work, how we operate our businesses, the core products and services on offer and the way in which we build technology.
However, in 2024 the impact of AI can no longer be discussed in future tense. With Microsoft copilot now publicly available, the change is already upon us. There is no consultation period or ‘unsubscribe’ button.
Project management professionals are likely to be asked to manage AI projects - and we are expected to skilfully use AI in our daily work lives. While overwhelming, this is not the first time we’ve had to adapt.
Sarah helps her audience sharpen their cutting-edge skills by answering:
What do I need to know about AI right now?
If I’m asked to work on an AI project, what techniques do I need to be successful?
Where do I start my own learning journey to upskill and prepare?
Sarah’s expertise in advanced agile and experience in highly regulated Finance environments give her a unique perspective into balancing governance with technical innovation. She uses her own experience building an AI solution in 2023 to share practical, widely applicable concepts in an “AI for project managers” 101 style session.
Palestine last event orientationfvgnh .pptxRaedMohamed3
An EFL lesson about the current events in Palestine. It is intended to be for intermediate students who wish to increase their listening skills through a short lesson in power point.
The French Revolution, which began in 1789, was a period of radical social and political upheaval in France. It marked the decline of absolute monarchies, the rise of secular and democratic republics, and the eventual rise of Napoleon Bonaparte. This revolutionary period is crucial in understanding the transition from feudalism to modernity in Europe.
For more information, visit-www.vavaclasses.com
A Strategic Approach: GenAI in EducationPeter Windle
Artificial Intelligence (AI) technologies such as Generative AI, Image Generators and Large Language Models have had a dramatic impact on teaching, learning and assessment over the past 18 months. The most immediate threat AI posed was to Academic Integrity with Higher Education Institutes (HEIs) focusing their efforts on combating the use of GenAI in assessment. Guidelines were developed for staff and students, policies put in place too. Innovative educators have forged paths in the use of Generative AI for teaching, learning and assessments leading to pockets of transformation springing up across HEIs, often with little or no top-down guidance, support or direction.
This Gasta posits a strategic approach to integrating AI into HEIs to prepare staff, students and the curriculum for an evolving world and workplace. We will highlight the advantages of working with these technologies beyond the realm of teaching, learning and assessment by considering prompt engineering skills, industry impact, curriculum changes, and the need for staff upskilling. In contrast, not engaging strategically with Generative AI poses risks, including falling behind peers, missed opportunities and failing to ensure our graduates remain employable. The rapid evolution of AI technologies necessitates a proactive and strategic approach if we are to remain relevant.
June 3, 2024 Anti-Semitism Letter Sent to MIT President Kornbluth and MIT Cor...Levi Shapiro
Letter from the Congress of the United States regarding Anti-Semitism sent June 3rd to MIT President Sally Kornbluth, MIT Corp Chair, Mark Gorenberg
Dear Dr. Kornbluth and Mr. Gorenberg,
The US House of Representatives is deeply concerned by ongoing and pervasive acts of antisemitic
harassment and intimidation at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT). Failing to act decisively to ensure a safe learning environment for all students would be a grave dereliction of your responsibilities as President of MIT and Chair of the MIT Corporation.
This Congress will not stand idly by and allow an environment hostile to Jewish students to persist. The House believes that your institution is in violation of Title VI of the Civil Rights Act, and the inability or
unwillingness to rectify this violation through action requires accountability.
Postsecondary education is a unique opportunity for students to learn and have their ideas and beliefs challenged. However, universities receiving hundreds of millions of federal funds annually have denied
students that opportunity and have been hijacked to become venues for the promotion of terrorism, antisemitic harassment and intimidation, unlawful encampments, and in some cases, assaults and riots.
The House of Representatives will not countenance the use of federal funds to indoctrinate students into hateful, antisemitic, anti-American supporters of terrorism. Investigations into campus antisemitism by the Committee on Education and the Workforce and the Committee on Ways and Means have been expanded into a Congress-wide probe across all relevant jurisdictions to address this national crisis. The undersigned Committees will conduct oversight into the use of federal funds at MIT and its learning environment under authorities granted to each Committee.
• The Committee on Education and the Workforce has been investigating your institution since December 7, 2023. The Committee has broad jurisdiction over postsecondary education, including its compliance with Title VI of the Civil Rights Act, campus safety concerns over disruptions to the learning environment, and the awarding of federal student aid under the Higher Education Act.
• The Committee on Oversight and Accountability is investigating the sources of funding and other support flowing to groups espousing pro-Hamas propaganda and engaged in antisemitic harassment and intimidation of students. The Committee on Oversight and Accountability is the principal oversight committee of the US House of Representatives and has broad authority to investigate “any matter” at “any time” under House Rule X.
• The Committee on Ways and Means has been investigating several universities since November 15, 2023, when the Committee held a hearing entitled From Ivory Towers to Dark Corners: Investigating the Nexus Between Antisemitism, Tax-Exempt Universities, and Terror Financing. The Committee followed the hearing with letters to those institutions on January 10, 202
The Roman Empire A Historical Colossus.pdfkaushalkr1407
The Roman Empire, a vast and enduring power, stands as one of history's most remarkable civilizations, leaving an indelible imprint on the world. It emerged from the Roman Republic, transitioning into an imperial powerhouse under the leadership of Augustus Caesar in 27 BCE. This transformation marked the beginning of an era defined by unprecedented territorial expansion, architectural marvels, and profound cultural influence.
The empire's roots lie in the city of Rome, founded, according to legend, by Romulus in 753 BCE. Over centuries, Rome evolved from a small settlement to a formidable republic, characterized by a complex political system with elected officials and checks on power. However, internal strife, class conflicts, and military ambitions paved the way for the end of the Republic. Julius Caesar’s dictatorship and subsequent assassination in 44 BCE created a power vacuum, leading to a civil war. Octavian, later Augustus, emerged victorious, heralding the Roman Empire’s birth.
Under Augustus, the empire experienced the Pax Romana, a 200-year period of relative peace and stability. Augustus reformed the military, established efficient administrative systems, and initiated grand construction projects. The empire's borders expanded, encompassing territories from Britain to Egypt and from Spain to the Euphrates. Roman legions, renowned for their discipline and engineering prowess, secured and maintained these vast territories, building roads, fortifications, and cities that facilitated control and integration.
The Roman Empire’s society was hierarchical, with a rigid class system. At the top were the patricians, wealthy elites who held significant political power. Below them were the plebeians, free citizens with limited political influence, and the vast numbers of slaves who formed the backbone of the economy. The family unit was central, governed by the paterfamilias, the male head who held absolute authority.
Culturally, the Romans were eclectic, absorbing and adapting elements from the civilizations they encountered, particularly the Greeks. Roman art, literature, and philosophy reflected this synthesis, creating a rich cultural tapestry. Latin, the Roman language, became the lingua franca of the Western world, influencing numerous modern languages.
Roman architecture and engineering achievements were monumental. They perfected the arch, vault, and dome, constructing enduring structures like the Colosseum, Pantheon, and aqueducts. These engineering marvels not only showcased Roman ingenuity but also served practical purposes, from public entertainment to water supply.
Unit 8 - Information and Communication Technology (Paper I).pdfThiyagu K
This slides describes the basic concepts of ICT, basics of Email, Emerging Technology and Digital Initiatives in Education. This presentations aligns with the UGC Paper I syllabus.
Read| The latest issue of The Challenger is here! We are thrilled to announce that our school paper has qualified for the NATIONAL SCHOOLS PRESS CONFERENCE (NSPC) 2024. Thank you for your unwavering support and trust. Dive into the stories that made us stand out!
Embracing GenAI - A Strategic ImperativePeter Windle
Artificial Intelligence (AI) technologies such as Generative AI, Image Generators and Large Language Models have had a dramatic impact on teaching, learning and assessment over the past 18 months. The most immediate threat AI posed was to Academic Integrity with Higher Education Institutes (HEIs) focusing their efforts on combating the use of GenAI in assessment. Guidelines were developed for staff and students, policies put in place too. Innovative educators have forged paths in the use of Generative AI for teaching, learning and assessments leading to pockets of transformation springing up across HEIs, often with little or no top-down guidance, support or direction.
This Gasta posits a strategic approach to integrating AI into HEIs to prepare staff, students and the curriculum for an evolving world and workplace. We will highlight the advantages of working with these technologies beyond the realm of teaching, learning and assessment by considering prompt engineering skills, industry impact, curriculum changes, and the need for staff upskilling. In contrast, not engaging strategically with Generative AI poses risks, including falling behind peers, missed opportunities and failing to ensure our graduates remain employable. The rapid evolution of AI technologies necessitates a proactive and strategic approach if we are to remain relevant.
Model Attribute Check Company Auto PropertyCeline George
In Odoo, the multi-company feature allows you to manage multiple companies within a single Odoo database instance. Each company can have its own configurations while still sharing common resources such as products, customers, and suppliers.
Stephen cresswell risk are we missing a trick - 25th june
1. Risk & Opportunity –
are we missing a trick?
Stephen Cresswell
25th June, 2019
stephen.cresswell@intorisk.com
07810 544073
Risk Management and project forecasting as commonly practices is missing a trick
(or many tricks) by ignoring the interdependencies between the identified risks. This
has potentially serious consequences. I will explain why I think this is the case – the
intention is to illustrate / open your eyes to these effects. There are other reasons
why projects overrun – this focuses on the calculation of ‘cost of risk’.
1
2. Simple Additive Approach for Cost
Base Plan
• WP1 - £xxxx
• WP2 - £xxxx
• WP3 - £xxxx
• WP4 - £xxxx
Risk Register
• Risk 1 – % x £
• Risk 2 - % x £
• Risk 3 - % x £
Base Cost £xxxx
+ Cost of Risk £xxxx
Forecast £xxxx
The most common approach for providing a risk adjusted forecast of project costs
involves simple addition.
An average or mean cost for each item in the risk register / list is calculated by
multiplying the Probability x Impact
The risk cost is calculated based on the assumption that it is the only risk that occurs,
and uses the base/planned cost as a reference.
The mean cost of the project is found by summing the mean value for each risk item
then summing all these and adding to the planned cost.
Monte carlo analysis might be used instead of an arithmetic approach – however the
limitations are the same.
This simple additive approach is used by most corporate processes and commercial
off the shelf data base systems
2
3. Common RM Frameworks - View
Cause Risk Event Consequence
Cause Risk Event Consequence
Cause Risk Event Consequence
This is the basic premise of a risk register, corporate data base, ERM system etc
Implicitly it assumes (management system not necessarily the PM) that all risks items
are independent of each other.
It also views the sources of uncertainty as risks, specific events that may or may not
happen, to which a probability can be assigned, This is a narrow definition.
3
4. Beyond Risk Events – Chris Chapman
• ‘Scheduling/Planning Risk’ – (Ambiguity-uncertainty)
- Top down from the ‘bubble chart’ challenged by ongoing ‘bottom up’ detailed execution planning
• Systemic-uncertainty
- Simple Mechanisms e.g. known damages for delay
- Projects as complex Systems – difficult to understand, potentially unpredictable
• Capability-culture uncertainty
- Cultural & behavioural factors e.g. deliberate misrepresentation, inherent optimism,
- Reliability of management & reporting systems
- Expertise, knowhow, productivity
• Variability-uncertainty
- Price, quantities, exchange rates, unnamed weather,
• Event-uncertainty – classic Risk Management
- named weather
www.enlightenedplanning.uk
This slide wasn’t shown, but there was an observation about risk as events only.
This is alternative portrayals of uncertainty from Chris new book ‘ Enlightened
Planning’
4
5. ‘Cause Association’
Cause Risk Event Consequence
Cause Risk Event Consequence
Cause Risk Event Consequence
- Systematic
optimism
- Team
Productivity and
Capability
- Material Costs
- Weather
Sticking with the Cause > Risk > Event despite its limitations. There could be
interdependencies on the cause side or the consequence side.
I call general cause side dependencies ‘Cause Association’ – you may also hear risk
experts talking about correlation.
Where the risks have common root causes they are more likely to happen / not
happen together – if they do happen then the are more likely to be higher or lower in
value together.
For instance risks will have been quantified by the same people – any systematic
optimism (or less likely pessimism) will affect all risks simultaneously. Similarly the
works may be undertaken by the same resources; any issues with productivity will
manifest in the likelihood and impact of the risks as a group.
5
6. Multiplying Effects
‘Qty of Units’
variability
+50%
‘Price per unit’
variability
+50%
Contractors OHP +10%
+
+
• Sub-component of project (£100), 3 risks occur:
Risk Register/Model: + £110
+50%
+50%
+10%
x
x
Final Account: + £147.50
Addition Multiplication
Here are some consequence side tricks. For instance if impacts are modelled as
additive when multiplicative would have been more appropriate.
In the example above if any risk occurs it affects the potential impact value of the
other items (in reality not in the simple additive risk model).
Consider that all the identified risks occur (this is more likely to happen than might be
assumed by the model if there is causal association). The actual impact will be
greater than that calculated in the model.
This is a very simple example – would see bigger effects if large numbers of variables
Real story – s/w development with offshore arrangement 1/3 cost of UK. SW was
more complexed than planned with 3x more effort and it had to be brought back to
the UK.
6
7. Prolongation
Cause Risk Event Consequence
Cause Risk Event Consequence
Cause Prolongation Consequence
Another common consequence side impact on projects.
Prolongation is a derivative of the other risks – not independent.
If other risk happen then prolongation is more likely – cannot happen spontaneously
on its own.
7
8. Why it matters:
• Real Project Data
• -40% to 164% overrun, 16% average
• Typical Simple Monte Carlo Cost Forecast
-5% 0% 30%
Two probability density functions showing cost overruns,
Left shows real data for early stage infrastructure projects, distinctive asymmetrical
shape with long tail. Project probably won’t overrun by much, but in the worst case it
could be bad’.
One on the right shows the output typical from a simple additive forecast ‘project will
definitely overrun but not by much’.
In my view the lack of realism is because the interdependencies are not being
appreciated:
Cause association increases the range of possibilities. Multiplicative effects do also –
probably there will be fewer virtuous cycles than you would like so an element of
asymmetry appears. Derivative impacts and complex knock ons like prolongation will
further accentuate the tail.
Conclusion:
Simple Addition can be a dangerous assumption. Projects can be thought of as a
system, the elements are work packages, resources, deliverables, risks etc. The
elements of the system may be ambiguous or poorly understood. There are
mechanisms between the elements – these may also be ambiguous. Assuming
8
9. simplicity may be very dangerous.
[Note to self: In future present this slide at the beginning, draw to scale and
superimpose on top of each other. ]
8
10. Identifying Interdependencies
• Ask and listen
• ‘Pairwise’ Review of key Risks in the Register
• A Visual Map or Influence Diagram
• Scenarios (or Stress Test)
9
11. Innovation
Wisdom of small (but well trained) crowds
This is a brief introduction to a project myself and colleague are currently working on.
Training component aims to make people better estimators of risk and uncertainty. In
conjunction with the wisdom of the crowd may provide an additional method gather
intelligence and insights on projects and the ecosystem.
This is an invitation to take part in the pilot.
10
12. Calibration Training
• Structured question sets with feedback
• Students become better at capturing uncertainty
Calibration training is scientifically validated vocationally (medics, weather
forecasters) but also works with general knowledge.
Performance improves over the course of the tests
App so can play on the train etc instead of candy saga
Takes about 1 hour (CPD credit)
11
13. Wisdom of the Crowd
• Sir Francis Galton famous analysis of
weight of prize winning bull
• Mean estimate from crowd of c800
visitors was accurate
• Relax precision requirements to a
90% ‘range’:
- 5 responses – Take minimum and
maximum
- 8 responses – Take the 2nd minimum and
2nd maximum
- 11 responses – Take the 3rd minimum and
3rd maximum, etc
Wisdom of the crowd correctly predicted weight of bull – to galtons surprise
(intellectual snob).
If we are interested in a range then much smaller numbers needed
If the crowd is trained (calibrated) can be a smaller crowd or better quality forecast
12
14. Star Performers
• How much did the Space Shuttle weigh at take off in metric tons?
Initial cohort of 40
Training showed who were the best performers (green line) x3 persons
Consistently got the measure of the crowd
13
15. Star Performers
• How long ago was the Boston (USA) marathon first run?
Average of the group was much lower estimate than the reality
Theory, Socially jogging is modern (70/80s ) phenomena
Star reasoned that boston was founded around 300 years ago - no justification or
data to go younger than this
Stars provided a better estimate
14
16. Pilot Invitation
• Android (at the moment)
• Calibration Training via the app
• All confidential
• Intelligence questions
- How long do you think it will be before the first truly self-driving car will be
available for public sale in the UK?
- How long until Notice to Proceed (permission to start works) will be given
to HS2 Main Works Civil Contractors?
• Contact
- Stephen.cresswell@intorisk.com / 07810 544073
After training complete will be asked intelligence questions
Answers will be shared with the piloteers.
Contact me if interested in taking part 0 and if you have an intelligence question!
15