Dr Boulent Imam presented a seminar titled "Risk-based bridge assessment under changing load-demand and environmental conditions" as part of the SMART Seminar Series on 17th July 2018.
More information: https://news.eis.uow.edu.au/event/risk-based-bridge-assessment-under-changing-load-demand-and-environmental-conditions/
Keep updated with future events: http://www.uoweis.co/events/category/smart-infrastructure-facility/
Evaluation of rigid pavements by deflection approacheSAT Journals
Abstract
Since 1951 there has been a sevenfold increase in the Indian road network while the traffic has increased 120 times. This leads to
the deterioration of the surface of the pavements. Deterioration of pavements may be functional or structural in nature.
Evaluation and timely assessment of pavement condition will help to judge the necessary steps to be taken to improve pavement
conditions. Pavement surface deflection measurements are one of the primary means of evaluating a flexible pavement structure.
‘Benkelman Beam Deflection (BBD) Technique is used to find out the characteristic deflection for flexible pavement. The testing
and analysis by BBD technique finally provides us with overlay thickness in terms of Bituminous Macadam.
The use of BBD technique may not be only limited to evaluate flexible pavements. Evaluation of newly constructed rigid
pavements on the basis of Load Transfer Efficiency of dowel bars gives an idea of the overall performance. The accuracy of
evaluating load transfer efficiency (LTE) of joint is important to estimate whether the dowel is disabled or not. The ratio of the
edge deflection of unloaded slab to the edge deflection of loaded slab is used as index to evaluate LTE of joint. The objective of
this paper is to find out the utility of Benkelman Beam Deflection Test on rigid pavements. In this paper based on the known
deflection relationship between loaded and unloaded slab calculated with the help of two Benkelman beams which is a technique
generally used to determine the overlay thickness for flexible pavements. A rigid pavement road stretch (Swami Vivekanand Road)
constructed 2 years ago in Pune city was evaluated using BBD technique. Deflections measured on slabs (loaded slab and
unloaded slab) across the dowel bars would give a measure of the load transfer efficiency of the dowel bars.
Keywords: Rigid Pavement, Benkelman Beam Deflection Test, Load Transfer Efficiency
Evaluation of rigid pavements by deflection approacheSAT Journals
Abstract
Since 1951 there has been a sevenfold increase in the Indian road network while the traffic has increased 120 times. This leads to
the deterioration of the surface of the pavements. Deterioration of pavements may be functional or structural in nature.
Evaluation and timely assessment of pavement condition will help to judge the necessary steps to be taken to improve pavement
conditions. Pavement surface deflection measurements are one of the primary means of evaluating a flexible pavement structure.
‘Benkelman Beam Deflection (BBD) Technique is used to find out the characteristic deflection for flexible pavement. The testing
and analysis by BBD technique finally provides us with overlay thickness in terms of Bituminous Macadam.
The use of BBD technique may not be only limited to evaluate flexible pavements. Evaluation of newly constructed rigid
pavements on the basis of Load Transfer Efficiency of dowel bars gives an idea of the overall performance. The accuracy of
evaluating load transfer efficiency (LTE) of joint is important to estimate whether the dowel is disabled or not. The ratio of the
edge deflection of unloaded slab to the edge deflection of loaded slab is used as index to evaluate LTE of joint. The objective of
this paper is to find out the utility of Benkelman Beam Deflection Test on rigid pavements. In this paper based on the known
deflection relationship between loaded and unloaded slab calculated with the help of two Benkelman beams which is a technique
generally used to determine the overlay thickness for flexible pavements. A rigid pavement road stretch (Swami Vivekanand Road)
constructed 2 years ago in Pune city was evaluated using BBD technique. Deflections measured on slabs (loaded slab and
unloaded slab) across the dowel bars would give a measure of the load transfer efficiency of the dowel bars.
Keywords: Rigid Pavement, Benkelman Beam Deflection Test, Load Transfer Efficiency
Piping systems associated with production, transporting oil & gas, water/gas injection into reservoirs, experience wear & tear with time & operations. There would be metal loss due to erosion, erosion-corrosion and cavitation to name a few. The presence of corrosion defects provides a means for localized fractures to propagate causing pipe ruptures & leakages. This also reduces the pipe/pipeline maximum allowable operating pressure [MAOP].
The following document covers methods by DNV standards to quantitatively estimate the erosion rate for ductile pipes and bends due to the presence of sand. It is to be noted that corrosion can occur in many other scenarios such as pipe dimensioning, flow rate limitations, pipe performance such as pressure drop, vibrations, noise, insulation, hydrate formation and removal, severe slug flow, terrain slugging and also upheaval buckling. However these aspects are not covered in this document.
Based on the erosional rates of pipes and bends, the Maximum Safe Pressure/Revised MAOP is evaluated based on a Level 1 Assessment procedure for the remaining strength of the pipeline. The Level 1 procedures taken up in this tutorial are RSTRENG 085dL method, DNVGL RP F-101 (Part-B) and PETROBRAS’s PB Equation.
ASTM developed a collection of documents called material specifications for
standardizing materials of large use in the industry.
• Specifications starting with “A” are for steel.
• Specifications starting with “B” are for non-ferrous alloys (bronze, brass,
copper nickel alloys, aluminum alloys and so on).
• Specifications starting with “D” are for plastic material, as PVC.
An ASTM specification specifies the basic chemical composition of material and the
process through which the material is shaped into the final product. Some of the
common material standards are
Effects of CO2 impurities on the consequences of pipeline releases – possibility of fracture - presentation by Alexander Collard in the Effects of Impurities on CO2 Properties session at the UKCCSRC Cardiff Biannual Meeting, 10-11 September 2014
#تواصل_تطوير
المحاضرة رقم 187
أستاذ دكتور / مدحت كمال عبدالله
عنوان المحاضرة:
تدعيم كباري باستخدام التفاعل المشترك
للمياه - جسم الكوبري
وعرض حالة عملية
Temporary Support Of Existing Bridges Using
Water-Structure Interaction
including case study
يوم الإثنين 26 ديسمبر 2022
الثامنة مساء توقيت القاهرة
التاسعة مساء توقيت مكة المكرمة
و الحضور عبر تطبيق زووم من خلال الرابط
https://us02web.zoom.us/meeting/register/tZModeusrzsoHtbqmSpzcaX1yPR0TmfeoAQl
علما ان هناك بث مباشر للمحاضرة على القنوات الخاصة بجمعية المهندسين المصريين
ونأمل أن نوفق في تقديم ما ينفع المهندس ومهمة الهندسة في عالمنا العربي
والله الموفق
للتواصل مع إدارة المبادرة عبر قناة التليجرام
https://t.me/EEAKSA
ومتابعة المبادرة والبث المباشر عبر نوافذنا المختلفة
رابط اللينكدان والمكتبة الالكترونية
https://www.linkedin.com/company/eeaksa-egyptian-engineers-association/
رابط قناة التويتر
https://twitter.com/eeaksa
رابط قناة الفيسبوك
https://www.facebook.com/EEAKSA
رابط قناة اليوتيوب
https://www.youtube.com/user/EEAchannal
رابط التسجيل العام للمحاضرات
https://forms.gle/vVmw7L187tiATRPw9
ملحوظة : توجد شهادات حضور مجانية لمن يسجل فى رابط التقيم اخر المحاضرة.
Richard Skarbez presented a seminar titled "Cognitive Illusions in Virtual Reality: What do I mean? And why should you care?" as part of the SMART Seminar Series on the 4th March 2019.
More information:
https://news.eis.uow.edu.au/event/cognitive-illusions-in-virtual-reality-what-do-i-mean-and-why-should-you-care/
Keep updated with future events: http://www.uoweis.co/events/category/smart-infrastructure-facility
Dr Ricardo Peculis presented a seminar titled "Trusted Autonomous Systems as System of Systems" as part of the SMART Seminar Series on 19th February 2019.
More information:
https://news.eis.uow.edu.au/event/trusted-autonomous-systems-as-system-of-systems/
Keep updated with future events: http://www.uoweis.co/events/category/smart-infrastructure-facility"
More Related Content
Similar to SMART Seminar Series: "Risk-based bridge assessment under changing load-demand and environmental conditions". Presented by Dr Boulent Imam
Piping systems associated with production, transporting oil & gas, water/gas injection into reservoirs, experience wear & tear with time & operations. There would be metal loss due to erosion, erosion-corrosion and cavitation to name a few. The presence of corrosion defects provides a means for localized fractures to propagate causing pipe ruptures & leakages. This also reduces the pipe/pipeline maximum allowable operating pressure [MAOP].
The following document covers methods by DNV standards to quantitatively estimate the erosion rate for ductile pipes and bends due to the presence of sand. It is to be noted that corrosion can occur in many other scenarios such as pipe dimensioning, flow rate limitations, pipe performance such as pressure drop, vibrations, noise, insulation, hydrate formation and removal, severe slug flow, terrain slugging and also upheaval buckling. However these aspects are not covered in this document.
Based on the erosional rates of pipes and bends, the Maximum Safe Pressure/Revised MAOP is evaluated based on a Level 1 Assessment procedure for the remaining strength of the pipeline. The Level 1 procedures taken up in this tutorial are RSTRENG 085dL method, DNVGL RP F-101 (Part-B) and PETROBRAS’s PB Equation.
ASTM developed a collection of documents called material specifications for
standardizing materials of large use in the industry.
• Specifications starting with “A” are for steel.
• Specifications starting with “B” are for non-ferrous alloys (bronze, brass,
copper nickel alloys, aluminum alloys and so on).
• Specifications starting with “D” are for plastic material, as PVC.
An ASTM specification specifies the basic chemical composition of material and the
process through which the material is shaped into the final product. Some of the
common material standards are
Effects of CO2 impurities on the consequences of pipeline releases – possibility of fracture - presentation by Alexander Collard in the Effects of Impurities on CO2 Properties session at the UKCCSRC Cardiff Biannual Meeting, 10-11 September 2014
#تواصل_تطوير
المحاضرة رقم 187
أستاذ دكتور / مدحت كمال عبدالله
عنوان المحاضرة:
تدعيم كباري باستخدام التفاعل المشترك
للمياه - جسم الكوبري
وعرض حالة عملية
Temporary Support Of Existing Bridges Using
Water-Structure Interaction
including case study
يوم الإثنين 26 ديسمبر 2022
الثامنة مساء توقيت القاهرة
التاسعة مساء توقيت مكة المكرمة
و الحضور عبر تطبيق زووم من خلال الرابط
https://us02web.zoom.us/meeting/register/tZModeusrzsoHtbqmSpzcaX1yPR0TmfeoAQl
علما ان هناك بث مباشر للمحاضرة على القنوات الخاصة بجمعية المهندسين المصريين
ونأمل أن نوفق في تقديم ما ينفع المهندس ومهمة الهندسة في عالمنا العربي
والله الموفق
للتواصل مع إدارة المبادرة عبر قناة التليجرام
https://t.me/EEAKSA
ومتابعة المبادرة والبث المباشر عبر نوافذنا المختلفة
رابط اللينكدان والمكتبة الالكترونية
https://www.linkedin.com/company/eeaksa-egyptian-engineers-association/
رابط قناة التويتر
https://twitter.com/eeaksa
رابط قناة الفيسبوك
https://www.facebook.com/EEAKSA
رابط قناة اليوتيوب
https://www.youtube.com/user/EEAchannal
رابط التسجيل العام للمحاضرات
https://forms.gle/vVmw7L187tiATRPw9
ملحوظة : توجد شهادات حضور مجانية لمن يسجل فى رابط التقيم اخر المحاضرة.
Similar to SMART Seminar Series: "Risk-based bridge assessment under changing load-demand and environmental conditions". Presented by Dr Boulent Imam (20)
Richard Skarbez presented a seminar titled "Cognitive Illusions in Virtual Reality: What do I mean? And why should you care?" as part of the SMART Seminar Series on the 4th March 2019.
More information:
https://news.eis.uow.edu.au/event/cognitive-illusions-in-virtual-reality-what-do-i-mean-and-why-should-you-care/
Keep updated with future events: http://www.uoweis.co/events/category/smart-infrastructure-facility
Dr Ricardo Peculis presented a seminar titled "Trusted Autonomous Systems as System of Systems" as part of the SMART Seminar Series on 19th February 2019.
More information:
https://news.eis.uow.edu.au/event/trusted-autonomous-systems-as-system-of-systems/
Keep updated with future events: http://www.uoweis.co/events/category/smart-infrastructure-facility"
David Kennewell presented a seminar titled " "The Evolution of the Metric System: From Precious Lumps of Metal to Constants of Nature" as part of the SMART Seminar Series on 1st November 2018.
More information:
https://news.eis.uow.edu.au/event/the-evolution-of-the-metric-system-from-precious-lumps-of-metal-to-constants-of-nature/
Keep updated with future events: http://www.uoweis.co/events/category/smart-infrastructure-facility"
Dr Ilya Budovsky presented a seminar titled "The Evolution of the Metric System: From Precious Lumps of Metal to Constants of Nature" as part of the SMART Seminar Series on 1st November 2018.
More information:
https://news.eis.uow.edu.au/event/the-evolution-of-the-metric-system-from-precious-lumps-of-metal-to-constants-of-nature/
Keep updated with future events: http://www.uoweis.co/events/category/smart-infrastructure-facility/
Dr Johan Barthelemy presented a seminar titled "Using AI and edge computing devices for traffic flow monitoring" as part of the SMART Seminar Series on 11th October 2018.
More information: https://news.eis.uow.edu.au/event/using-ai-and-edge-computing-devices-for-traffic-flow-monitoring/
Keep updated with future events: http://www.uoweis.co/events/category/smart-infrastructure-facility/
Prof Willy Susilo presented a seminar titled "Blockchain and its Applications" as part of the SMART Seminar Series on 20th September 2018.
More information: https://news.eis.uow.edu.au/event/blockchain-and-its-applications/
Keep updated with future events: http://www.uoweis.co/events/category/smart-infrastructure-facility/
Prof Theirry Monteil & Fabian Ho presented a seminar titled "From an IoT cloud based architecture to Edge for dynamic service" as part of the SMART Seminar Series on 24th August 2018.
More information: https://news.eis.uow.edu.au/event/from-an-iot-cloud-based-architecture-to-edge-for-dynamic-service/
Keep updated with future events: http://www.uoweis.co/events/category/smart-infrastructure-facility/
Dr Bobby Du and Paul-Antonin Dublanche presented a seminar titled "Is bus bunching serious in Sydney? Preliminary findings based on Opal card data analysis" as part of the SMART Seminar Series on 2nd August 2018.
More information: https://news.eis.uow.edu.au/event/is-bus-bunching-serious-in-sydney-preliminary-findings-based-on-opal-card-data-analysis/
Keep updated with future events: http://www.uoweis.co/events/category/smart-infrastructure-facility/
Dr Nicolas Verstaevel presented a seminar titled "Keep it SMART, keep it simple! – Challenging complexity with self-organising software" as part of the SMART Seminar Series on 24th July 2018.
More information: https://news.eis.uow.edu.au/event/keep-it-smart-keep-it-simple-challenging-complexity-with-self-organising-software/
Keep updated with future events: http://www.uoweis.co/events/category/smart-infrastructure-facility/
Dr Rohan Wickramasuriya presented a seminar titled "Deep Learning: Fundamentals and Practice" as part of the SMART Seminar Series on 29th May 2018.
More information: http://www.uoweis.co/event/deep-learning-fundamentals-and-practice/
Keep updated with future events: http://www.uoweis.co/events/category/smart-infrastructure-facility/
Dr Sarah Dunn presented a seminar titled "Infrastructure Resilience: Planning for Future Extreme Events" as part of the SMART Seminar Series on 12th April 2018.
More information: http://www.uoweis.co/event/infrastructure-resilience-planning-for-future-extreme-events/
Keep updated with future events: http://www.uoweis.co/events/category/smart-infrastructure-facility/
Dr George Grozev presented a seminar titled "Potential use of drones for infrastructure inspection and survey: as part of the SMART Seminar Series on 27th March 2018.
More information: http://www.uoweis.co/event/potential-use-of-drones-for-infrastructure-inspection-and-survey/
Keep updated with future events: http://www.uoweis.co/events/category/smart-infrastructure-facility/
Professor Timoteo Carletti presented a seminar titled "A journey in the zoo of Turing patterns: the topology does matter as part of the SMART Seminar Series on 8th March 2018.
More information: http://www.uoweis.co/event/a-journey-in-the-zoo-of-turing-patterns-the-topology-does-matter/
Keep updated with future events: http://www.uoweis.co/events/category/smart-infrastructure-facility/
Dr Carole Adam presented a seminar titled Human behaviour modelling and simulation for crisis management as part of the SMART Seminar Series on 1st March 2018.
More information: http://www.uoweis.co/event/human-behaviour-modelling-and-simulation-for-crisis-management/
Keep updated with future events: http://www.uoweis.co/events/category/smart-infrastructure-facility/
Professor Graham Harris presented a seminar titled Dealing with uncertainty: With the observer in the loop as part of the SMART Seminar Series on 13th February 2018.
More information: http://www.uoweis.co/event/dealing-with-uncertainty-with-the-observer-in-the-loop/
Keep updated with future events: http://www.uoweis.co/events/category/smart-infrastructure-facility/
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More information: http://www.uoweis.co/event/smart-cities-the-good-the-bad-the-ugly/
Keep updated with future events: http://www.uoweis.co/events/category/smart-infrastructure-facility/
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More information: http://www.uoweis.co/event/how-to-improve-the-order-of-evolutionary-models-in-agent-based-simulations-for-population-dynamics/
Keep updated with future events: http://www.uoweis.co/tag/smart-infrastructure/
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More information: http://www.uoweis.co/event/onem2m-towards-end-to-end-interoperability-of-the-iot/
Keep updated with future events: http://www.uoweis.co/tag/smart-infrastructure/
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More information: http://www.uoweis.co/event/blue-green-vs-grey-black-infrastructure-which-is-best-for-c21st-survival/
Keep updated with future events: http://www.uoweis.co/tag/smart-infrastructure/
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More information: http://www.uoweis.co/event/coastal-infrastructure-urban-mobility-and-vulnerability-santos-brazil/
Keep updated with future events: http://www.uoweis.co/tag/smart-infrastructure/
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Digital Tools and AI for Teaching Learning and Research
SMART Seminar Series: "Risk-based bridge assessment under changing load-demand and environmental conditions". Presented by Dr Boulent Imam
1. Risk-based Bridge Assessment Under Changing
Load-Demand and Environmental Conditions
Dr Boulent Imam
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
University of Surrey
b.imam@surrey.ac.uk
SMART Seminar Series
2. • Introduction on metallic railway bridges
• Fatigue analysis of riveted railway bridges
- Load modelling (current, past & future)
- Finite element analysis
- Probabilistic/reliability analysis
• Long-term deterioration of metallic bridges
- Long-term material deterioration
- Impact of changing environmental conditions
• Scour analysis of bridges
- Climate change effects
Contents
3. Introduction
• Degradation through corrosion and fatigue
• Large number of aged railway bridges in UK (> 15,000)
and Europe (> 30,000)
• Heavily utilised networks – replacement is impossible
• Improved assessment methods & repair/strengthening
techniques are sought
• Infinite life assets!
• Meeting asset management objectives for next
generation of transport infrastructure
11. Metallic railway bridges
Age
<20 yrs 20-50 yrs 50-100 yrs >100 yrs
Material
Cast Iron Wrought Iron Steel
Span
<10 m 10-40 m >40 m
Total number in UK: 16000
12. Motivation of research
• Riveted bridges may be close to or have exceeded their fatigue lives
• Able to cope with current load demands
• Unusual material – wrought iron
• Cracks have been discovered in riveted connections (in many cases
hidden)
• More reliable fatigue assessment methodology
• Better (optimal) decision making
19. Past, present and future …
• Understand the past
• Evaluate the present
• Predict the future
Stress
TimePresent
Past Future
TimePresent
Accumulated
damage ?
Future
Cumulative
fatigue damage
Failure
? Remaining life
27. Probabilistic fatigue analysis
•Loading Uncertainties
Dynamic amplification factor (DAF)
Annual train frequency (fti )
•Material Uncertainties
S-N curve (fatigue resistance behaviour)
Damage index Δ in Miner’s sum (fatigue failure limit)
•Model Uncertainties
Factor accounting for the differences between measured and
calculated stresses in steel bridges
28. 0.0E+00
1.0E+05
2.0E+05
3.0E+05
4.0E+05
5.0E+05
6.0E+05
7.0E+05
0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 52 56 60 64 68 72 76 80 84 88 92 96 100
Stress range (MPa)
Numberofappliedcycles
Modified Class B
fatigue limit
Class WI
fatigue limit
Class D
fatigue limit
Mean = 5.79 MPa
CoV = 1.09
Weibull distribution parameters
η=6.02 , β=1.0
0.0E+00
1.0E+05
2.0E+05
3.0E+05
4.0E+05
5.0E+05
6.0E+05
7.0E+05
8.0E+05
9.0E+05
1.0E+06
0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 52 56 60 64 68 72 76 80 84 88 92 96 100
Stress range (MPa)
Numberofappliedcycles
Modified Class B
fatigue limit
Class WI
fatigue limit
Class D
fatigue limit
Mean = 6.75 MPa
CoV = 0.84
Weibull distribution parameters
η=5.05 , β=0.98
0.0E+00
1.0E+05
2.0E+05
3.0E+05
4.0E+05
5.0E+05
6.0E+05
7.0E+05
0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 52 56 60 64 68 72 76 80 84 88 92 96 100
Stress range (MPa)
Numberofappliedcycles
Modified Class B
fatigue limit
Class WI
fatigue limit
Class D
fatigue limit
Mean = 8.91 MPa
CoV = 0.64
Weibull distribution parameters
η=4.35 , β=0.90
0.0E+00
5.0E+04
1.0E+05
1.5E+05
2.0E+05
2.5E+05
3.0E+05
3.5E+05
4.0E+05
0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 52 56 60 64 68 72 76 80 84 88 92 96 100
Stress range (MPa)
Numberofappliedcycles
Modified Class B
fatigue limit
Class WI
fatigue limit
Class D
fatigue limit
Mean = 12.6 MPa
CoV = 0.75
Weibull distribution parameters
η=15.0 , β=1.60
Period 1900-1920
Probabilistic fatigue analysis
Period 1920-1940
Period 1940-1970 Period 1970-
29. Probabilistic fatigue analysis
0.000001
0.00001
0.0001
0.001
0.01
0.1
1
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
ProbabilityoffailurePf
Time after 2005 (years)
μ = 685 years
sdev = 411 years
μ = 515 years
sdev = 304 years
No load evolution
Increase in train frequencies
Increase in train
frequencies & axle
weights
μ = 242 years
sdev = 133 years
6,000 similar
bridges
100,000 similar
connections
Very high standard deviations
Intensified inspection,
monitoring and repair
plans for old bridges
33. Refined Assessment
• Influence of:
• Rivet clamping force
• Friction between connection elements
• Most highly stressed parts of the connection
itself
• Different damage scenarios (cracking, loss of
rivet clamping force, loss of rivets)
39. Main findings
• Inner stringer-to-cross-girder connections are the most fatigue
critical
• Significant increase in the damage accumulation rate during the last
few decades
• Very high standard deviations in fatigue life → high uncertainty in
fatigue evaluation procedures → improvement of assessment
procedures unlikely → importance of inspection and management
plans
• Some connections approaching the end of their service life → given
their very large number in the bridge network → adopting timely
management of repairs and replacement
• Traditional code methods can underestimate fatigue damage in
some cases by a factor of 3
41. 41
Material corrosion
Level Description Comments
1
Empirical models. Effect of all influencing
factors taken into account through model
constants
Model coefficients are associated with very high
uncertainty. Statistical properties may not be reliable due
to inhomogeneous samples. Questionable model
transferability.
2
Empirical models which relate the rate of
corrosion to specific exposure variables, also
known as dose response functions (DRF).
Reliance on spatial data for atmospheric pollutants and
climatic parameters. Potentially suitable for probabilistic
analysis, though uncertainty modelling largely untested.
3
Theoretical models involving simulation
techniques to predict airflow patterns and
pollutant mass transfer on exposed surfaces.
Heavy reliance on modelling assumptions. Complex
uncertainty modelling, currently lack of input data at
desired granularity level.
B
AttC )(
0T2
1
SOTOW Cl
1 1
D F H
J TB
C t At e
C E G
Level 1:
Level 2:
42. 42
Material corrosion
Corrosivity
category
Description Corrosion rates 1
(mm/year)
C1 Very low corrosivity: Dry or cold zone, atmospheric environment with
very low pollution and time of wetness, e.g. certain deserts, Central
Arctic/Antarctica.
≤ 0.0013
C2 Low corrosivity: Temperate zone, atmospheric environment with low
pollution (SO2 < 5 μg/m3
), e.g. rural areas, small towns. Dry or cold
zone, atmospheric environment with short time of wetness, e.g. deserts,
subarctic areas.
0.0013 < A ≤ 0.025
C3 Medium corrosivity: Temperate zone, atmospheric environment with
medium pollution (SO2: 5 μg/m2
to 30 μg/m3
) or some effect of
chlorides, e.g. urban areas, coastal areas with low deposition of
chlorides. Subtropical and tropical zone, atmosphere with low pollution.
0.025 < A ≤ 0.050
C4 High corrosivity: Temperate zone, atmospheric environment with high
pollution (SO2: 30 μg/m3
to 90 μg/m3
) or substantial effect of chlorides,
e.g. polluted urban areas, industrial areas, coastal areas without spray of
salt water or, exposure to effect of de-icing salts. Subtropical and tropical
zone, atmosphere with medium pollution.
0.050 < A ≤ 0.080
C5 Very high corrosivity: Temperate and subtropical zone, atmospheric
environment with very high pollution (SO2: 90 μg/m3
to 250 μg/m3
)
and/or significant effect of chlorides, e.g. industrial areas, coastal areas,
sheltered positions on coastline.
0.080 < A ≤ 0.200
CX Extreme corrosivity: Subtropical and tropical zone (very high time of
wetness), atmospheric environment with high SO2 pollution (higher than
250 μg/m3
) including accompanying and production factors and/or
strong effect of chlorides, e.g. extreme industrial areas, coastal and
offshore areas, occasional contact with salt spray.
0.200 < A ≤ 0.700
Notes: 1
Corrosion rates correspond to the first year of exposure.
1
43. Changing environmental conditions
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
Air temperature (oC)
PDF
UKCP09 simulation: period 2010-2039
Normal fit (mean = 11.67, SD = 0.52)
UKCP09 simulation: period 2070-2099
Normal fit (mean = 13.08, SD = 0.95)
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
Air temperature (oC)
PDF
UKCP09 simulation: period 2010-2039
Normal fit (mean = 11.65, SD = 0.51)
UKCP09 simulation: period 2070-2099
Normal fit (mean = 14.68, SD = 1.33)
Low emissions scenario High emissions scenario
UKCP09 – UK Climate Projections Database
44. Changing environmental conditions
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0 15 30 45 60 75 90
Time (years)
Corrosionloss(mm)
TOW = 5500h/year
TOW = 4000h/year
TOW = 2500h/year
SO2 = 60 μg/m3
Cl = 0 mg/m2
/day
T = 12 o
C
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0 15 30 45 60 75 90
Time (years)
Corrosionloss(mm)
Cl = 300 mg/m2/day
Cl = 60 mg/m2/day
Cl = 0 mg/m2/day
SO2 = 60 μg/m3
TOW = 4000 h/year
T = 12 o
C
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0 15 30 45 60 75 90
Time (years)
Corrosionloss(mm)
Sulphur dioxide = 250 μg/m3
Sulphur dioxide = 90 μg/m3
Sulphur dioxide = 30 μg/m3
Cl = 0 mg/m2
/day
TOW = 4000 h/year
T = 12 o
C
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0 15 30 45 60 75 90
Time (years)
Corrosionloss(mm)
T = 17 oC
T = 15 oC
T = 12 oC
SO2 = 60 μg/m3
Cl = 60 mg/m2
/day
TOW = 4000 h/year
Time-of-
wetness
(TOW)
Cl
deposition
rate
SO2
concentration
Temperature
47. Material corrosion – Probability of
failure
Effect of temperature
1.0E-05
1.0E-04
1.0E-03
1.0E-02
1.0E-01
2012 2032 2052 2072 2092
Year
Cumulativeprobabilityd
offlexuralfailure,pf(0,t)
S2
S3
S4
S5
1.0E-05
1.0E-04
1.0E-03
1.0E-02
1.0E-01
1.0E+00
2012 2032 2052 2072 2092
Year
Cumulativeprobabilityd
offlexuralfailure,pf(0,t)
S1
S5
S6
S7
1.0E-05
1.0E-04
1.0E-03
1.0E-02
1.0E-01
2012 2032 2052 2072 2092
Year
Cumulativeprobabilityofd
flexuralfailure,pf(0,t)
S5
S8
Effect of SO2
Effect of TOW
48. Material corrosion - Risk
Risk of failure = probability of failure × consequences of failure
tCtptR ff )(
1.0E+02
1.0E+03
1.0E+04
1.0E+05
1.0E+06
1.0E+07
2012 2032 2052 2072 2092
Year
Time-dependentrisk(GBP,£)
S1
S5
S6
S7
49. Network-based risk
Consequences Examples
Human Fatalities
Injuries
Economic Reconstruction cost
Repair costs
Loss of functionality/downtime
Traffic delay / re-routing costs
…..
Environmental CO2 Emissions
Energy use
Pollutant releases
Societal Loss of reputation / public
confidence
Changes in professional practice
Loss of business
Often practical to express all consequences in terms of monetary units
50. Consequences of failure
• System boundaries
– Structural domain (structural
system itself)
– Spatial domain (transportation
network)
• Extent of spatial domain
– Single route with diversions
– Wider network (redundancy)
• Further layers can be added
(environment, society, …)
51. Human consequences
• Fatalities and / or injuries
• Highly variable in terms of predicting & valuing
• Valuation of human life
- UK DfT: £1.43 million for road fatalities (2005 prices)
- EU: €1.5 million for road fatalities
- RSSB: £3.46 million for rail fatalities (2003 prices)
- HSE: £1 million for fatality (2001 prices)
• Encompass direct human and economic loss i.e. loss of
output, medical costs, amount to reflect pain & grief
52. Economic consequences
• Reconstruction time:
- highway bridges: mean=230 days, st.dev.=110 days
- railway bridges: mean=110 days, st.dev.=73 days
• These can be used to estimate traffic delay costs
• Debris clean up costs:
- transportation of failed material
- number of trucks, capacities, distance to disposal site, fuel
consumption
53. Economic consequences
• UK Highways Agency:
- £9.30/hour (2002 prices) for average vehicle
• U.S. Department of Transportation
- $8.90/person-hour for local travel
- $12.20/person-hour for intercity travel (in 1997 prices)
- $16.50/person-hour for trucks
• EU countries (in 1998 prices)
Passenger Transport Freight Transport
Car
Business: €21.00/person-hour
Commuting/Private: €6.00/person-hour
Leisure/Holiday: €4.00/person-hour
Light Goods Vehicle: €40.0/vehicle-hour
Light Goods Vehicle: €43.0/vehicle-hour
Interurban Rail
Business: €21.00/person-hour
Commuting/Private: €6.40/person-hour
Leisure/Holiday: €3.20/person-hour
Full train load (950 tonnes): €725.0/tonne-hour
Wagon load (40 tonnes): €30.0/tonne-hour
Average per tonne: €0.76/tonne-hour
54. Economic consequences
• Traffic management costs in case of bridge repairs:
- over or under the bridge
- selection of scheme depends on traffic volume and road type
Carriageway closure /
full contraflow
One-lane closure Two-lane closure
Motorway
£850 (1 km TM scheme) £350 £450
£1250 (3 km TM scheme)
Dual
carriageway
£500 £350 £450
Single
carriageway
£800 (traffic signal control
management)
£300
55. Economic consequences
• Consequences on business
• Disruption of normal business activities
• Delays on customers, deliveries, suppliers
• Loss of business, increased production costs etc.
• Economic expertise is required
57. Environmental consequences
• Carbon emissions from production of bridge materials
Material Carbon emitted
Steel 1820 Kg CO2/te
Cement 800 Kg CO2/te
Reinforced Concrete 260-450 Kg CO2/te
Asphalt 46 Kg CO2/te
58. Environmental consequences
• Emissions from traffic related sources
Vehicle type CO2 emissions
Petrol car 0.1730-0.2994 kg CO2 / passenger km
Diesel car 0.1452-0.2455 kg CO2 / passenger km
Hybrid car 0.1191-0.2173 kg CO2 / passenger km
Light commercial van (petrol) 0.1941-0.2558 kg CO2 / vehicle km
Light commercial van (diesel) 0.1571-0.2691 kg CO2 / vehicle km
Heavy goods vehicle (diesel) 0.5276-1.163 kg CO2 / vehicle km
Rail (passenger) 0.05340 kg CO2 / vehicle km
Rail (freight) 0.02850 kg CO2 / tonne km
59. Environmental consequences
• Air / Noise pollution
• Number of affected households
• PM10 pollution; NOx pollution
• ~ €135/household/1μg/m³ for PM10
• ~ €1,300/tonne for NOx
• Different noise severity levels
• €40/household for 50 decibels
• €165/household for 75 decibels.
62. Bridge scour
• Bridge scour is the most common cause for bridge failure!
• Most prediction methods are empirical
• Sources of uncertainty
River/flow characteristics
Effect of changing environmental conditions (climate change)
Unknown foundation depths
Empirical models
• Framework for scour reliability assessment under changing
conditions
65. Low flow Normal flow Extreme flow
More record
extreme flow
Statistical variability of climate change
Bridge scour & Climate change
66. • Scour assessment based on max annual flow, Q, with return period T=2 years
• Q obtained from annual maxima series of pooling group flood data (FEH)
• Expected annual flow best described by Generalised Extreme Value (GEV)
distribution
• Flow events in different years assumed to be independent
• Parametric study to quantify changing conditions through changes in distribution
parameters
Bridge scour & Climate change
67. Random variables
Variables Mean COV Distribution Reference
River
Width B (m) 65 0.05 Normal Assumed
Streambed conditions (K3) 1.1 0.05 Uniform
NCHRP
(2003)
Bed material size (K4) 1.0 - Deterministic Assumed
Slope s 0.0032 0.05 Lognormal Assumed
Manning’s coefficient n 0.035 0.28 Lognormal
NCHRP
(2003)
Bridge
piers
Foundation depth DF (m) 4.5 - Deterministic Assumed
Pier nose shape (K1) 1.0 - Deterministic Assumed
Angle of attack (K2) 1.0 - Deterministic Assumed
Pier width, D (m) 2 0.05 Normal Assumed
Scour
eqn.
Modelling uncertainty, λsc 0.55 0.52
Normal/
lognormal
NCHRP
(2003)
Bridge scour – Case Study
68. Parametric analyses: 20%, 40% and 60% increases over a 60-year period
A: Annual; C: Cumulative probabilities of failure
Effect of river flow characteristics
Bridge scour – Case Study
70. Effect of scour modelling uncertainty (FD = 5m)
Bridge scour – Case Study
71. Effect of asset data uncertainties
Bridge scour – Case Study
72. Concluding remarks
• Better understanding of fatigue and deterioration – more effective
asset management
• Still a lot to learn from the first infrastructure asset population –
invaluable to next generation of structures
• Utilising the best out of our assets’ service
• Environmental sensitivity becoming more and more important
• Climate change uncertainty is often quoted as a major barrier for
adaptation. However, in some cases be overshadowed by other
modelling and asset uncertainties, which can be reduced
• Understanding uncertainties and variabilities is key to effective
risk assessment
73. Key publications
• Imam B.M., Righiniotis T.D., Chryssanthopoulos M.K. (2007). Numerical modelling of riveted railway bridge
connections for fatigue evaluation. Engineering Structures, 29(11): 3071-3081.
• Imam B.M., Righiniotis T.D., Chryssanthopoulos M.K. (2008). Probabilistic fatigue evaluation of riveted railway bridges.
Journal of Bridge Engineering (ASCE), 13(3): 237-244.
• Righiniotis T.D., Imam B.M., Chryssanthopoulos M.K. (2008). Fatigue analysis of riveted railway bridge connections
using the theory of critical distances. Engineering Structures, 30(10): 2707-2715.
• Imam B.M., Righiniotis T.D. (2010). Fatigue evaluation of riveted railway bridges through global and local analysis.
Journal of Constructional Steel Research, 66(11): 1411-1421.
• Imam B.M., Chryssanthopoulos M.K, Frangopol D.M. (2012). Fatigue system reliability analysis of riveted railway
bridge connections. Structure and Infrastructure Engineering, 8(10), 967-984.
• Imam B.M., Chryssanthopoulos M.K. (2012). Causes and consequences of metallic bridge failures. Structural
Engineering International, 22(1): 93-98.
• Kumar P., Imam B.M. (2013). Footprints of air pollution and changing environment on the sustainability of built
infrastructure. Science of the Total Environment, 444, 85-101.
• Kallias A.N., Imam B. (2015). Probabilistic Assessment of Local Scour in Bridge Piers under Changing Environmental
Conditions. Structure and Infrastructure Engineering, 12(9): 1228- 1241.
• Kallias A.N., Imam B.M., Chryssanthopoulos M.K. (2016). Performance profiles of metallic bridges subject to coating
degradation and atmospheric corrosion, Structure and Infrastructure Engineering, 440-453.
• Dikanksi H., Hagen-Zanker A., Imam B., Avery K. (2017). Climate change impacts on railway structures: bridge scour.
Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers (ICE) Journal – Engineering Sustainability, 170(5): 237-248.
• Dikanski H., Imam B., Hagen-Zanker A. (2018). Effects of uncertain stock data on the assessment of climate change
risks: A case study of bridge scour in the UK. Structural Safety, 71: 1-12