![World Science Forum
2017 Jordan
Science and Food Security:
How to Feed the World Sustainably and Equitably
The shifting environment of the food security debate
Jordan, 7 November 2017
[Graphs updated 8 February 2019]
Tassos Haniotis
Director
Strategy, Simplification and Policy Analysis
DG AGRI, European Commission](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/190208wsfjordanhaniotisupdate-190208163853/85/Science-and-food-security-How-to-feed-the-world-sustainably-and-equitably-1-320.jpg)
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Science and food security: How to feed the world sustainably and equitably
- 1. World Science Forum 2017 Jordan Science and Food Security: How to Feed the World Sustainably and Equitably The shifting environment of the food security debate Jordan, 7 November 2017 [Graphs updated 8 February 2019] Tassos Haniotis Director Strategy, Simplification and Policy Analysis DG AGRI, European Commission
- 2. What to feed the world? • Changing food patterns and the growing obesity/hunger paradox At what (economic) price to feed the world? • Changing price patterns and the (uneven) distribution of benefits At what (environmental) price to feed the world? • Increasing environmental pressures and the climate change What has changed in the food security debate?
- 3. 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 (2010 = 100) Agriculture Fertilizers Energy Metals & minerals Source: World Bank. Commodity price changes in recent years
- 4. The challenge is now widely recognized in everyday life… …thus adaptation strategies and best practices could gain momentum addressing soil, air, water and biodiversity challenges …diverse climatic conditions lead to diversified strategies… …internationalizing the search for innovative solutions and allowing their spread with networking across the globe …but mind the emerging gaps… …on knowledge, technology and perceptions on science, significant gaps exist and widen the uneven distribution of benefits and opportunities Is climate change the catalyst for sustainability?
- 5. Source: © 2017 Münchener Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft, Geo Risks Research, NatCatSERVICE (January 2017) Climate-linked extreme loss events
- 6. World Science Forum 2017 Jordan Science and Food Security: How to Feed the World Sustainably and Equitably The shifting environment of the food security debate Jordan, 7 November 2017 [Annex Graphs updated 8 February 2019] Tassos Haniotis Director Strategy, Simplification and Policy Analysis DG AGRI, European Commission
- 7. World and population: cereals and veg oils 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% Consumptiongrowth Population growth Cereals 1961-1973 1973-1985 1985-1997 1997-2009 2009-2017 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% Consumptiongrowth Population growth Vegetable oils 1961-1973 1973-1985 1985-1997 1997-2009 2009-2017 Source: EC-DG AGRI, based on OECD.
- 8. World consumption and population: wheat and maize 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% Consumptiongrowth Population growth Wheat 1961-1973 1973-1985 1985-1997 1997-2009 2009-2017 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% Consumptiongrowth Population growth Maize 1961-1973 1973-1985 1985-1997 1997-2009 2009-2017 Source: EC-DG AGRI, based on OECD.
- 9. World consumption and population: rice and soybeans 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% Consumptiongrowth Population growth Rice 1961-1973 1973-1985 1985-1997 1997-2009 2009-2017 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% Consumptiongrowth Population growth Soybeans 1961-1973 1973-1985 1985-1997 1997-2009 2009-2017 Source: EC-DG AGRI, based on OECD.
- 10. World consumption and population: meat and dairy 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% Consumptiongrowth Population growth Meat 1961-1973 1973-1985 1985-1997 1997-2009 2009-2017 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% Consumptiongrowth Population growth Fresh dairy products 1961-1973 1973-1985 1985-1997 1997-2009 2009-2017 Source: EC-DG AGRI, based on OECD.
- 11. World consumption and population: beef and pig meat 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% Consumptiongrowth Population growth Beef 1961-1973 1973-1985 1985-1997 1997-2009 2009-2017 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% Consumptiongrowth Population growth Pigmeat 1961-1973 1973-1985 1985-1997 1997-2009 2009-2017 Source: EC-DG AGRI, based on OECD.
- 12. World consumption and population: poultry, sheep/goat meat 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% Consumptiongrowth Population growth Poultry 1961-1973 1973-1985 1985-1997 1997-2009 2009-2017 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% Consumptiongrowth Population growth Sheep/goat 1961-1973 1973-1985 1985-1997 1997-2009 2009-2017 Source: EC-DG AGRI, based on OECD.
- 13. World consumption and population: butter and cheese -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% Consumptiongrowth Population growth Butter 1961-1973 1973-1985 1985-1997 1997-2009 2009-2017 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% Consumptiongrowth Population growth Cheese 1961-1973 1973-1985 1985-1997 1997-2009 2009-2017 Source: EC-DG AGRI, based on OECD.
- 14. World consumption and population: sugar and palm oil 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% Consumptiongrowth Population growth Sugar 1961-1973 1973-1985 1985-1997 1997-2009 2009-2017 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% Consumptiongrowth Population growth Palm oil 1961-1973 1973-1985 1985-1997 1997-2009 2009-2013 Source: EC-DG AGRI, based on OECD.
- 15. World annual growth rates (%) Period Population Cereals (incl. rice) Wheat Maize Rice Soybeans Palm oil Pop. Yield Cons. Yield Cons. Yield Cons. Yield Cons. Yield Cons. Yield Cons. 1961-1973 2,0% 3,0% 3,6% 3,7% 3,8% 2,9% 3,7% 2,3% 3,8% 2,9% 6,2% 2,9% 4,2% 1973-1985 1,8% 2,2% 2,2% 2,1% 3,0% 2,6% 2,4% 2,4% 2,9% 1,5% 5,0% 4,3% 9,6% 1985-1997 1,6% 1,4% 1,2% 1,9% 1,1% 0,9% 2,6% 1,3% 1,7% 1,0% 3,7% 2,1% 7,0% 1997-2009 1,2% 1,5% 1,7% 1,0% 1,2% 1,8% 2,9% 1,1% 1,7% 0,4% 4,0% 1,8% 8,1% 2009-2017 1,0% 2,0% 2,2% 1,7% 0,8% 1,7% 3,9% 1,0% 1,3% 2,5% 4,7% 2,7% 6,4% Source: EC-DG AGRI, based on OECD.