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SAS OpRisk Solution
A Case Study

V. K. Srivastava
Deputy General Manager
Punjab National Bank



     Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Contents
                       Objective
                       Components of SAS OpRisk Solution
                       System Architecture
                       Issues and Challenges
                       Future Enhancements




Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
ORMF - Status
                    Organizational Setup
                    Policy Frameworks
                    Loss Data Collection
                        • Internal Losses
                        • Near Misses
                        • External Losses
                    Key Risk Indicators
                    Risk & Control Self Assessment Surveys
                    Scenario Analysis
                    Business Line wise Mapping of GI


Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Objectives
                     Replacement of the manual system of
                     collection of data with system driven
                     Technology; Making the existing ORM system
                     more robust, dynamic & accurate.
                     Measurement of Capital Charge under
                     Advanced Measurement Approach (AMA) as
                     against the present system of Measurement
                     under BIA & TSA approaches.
                     Make the Bank Basel compliant.


Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
SAS OpRisk Solution – Components
                      SAS OpRisk Monitor
                                  Internal Loss Data Collection
                                  Risk and Control Self Assessment Surveys (RCSA)
                                  Key Risk Indicators (KRI)
                                  Scenarios generation and analyses
                                  Issues Tracking System

                      BIA & TSA
                      SAS OpRisk Report Studio
                      SAS OpRisk VaR

Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
IT System Architecture

                                                                        Other
                                          CBS                          Sources

                                                       EDW
                                                                          Manual
                                                            SAS            feed

                                                             Monitor



Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
System Architecture
                                                                             EDW                 CBS
                                                            Loss Data
                                                            Collection
                                                                         Manual Feed         CO/FPIS/IAD/
                                                                                               Security

                                                                          Assessment             ORMD/
                                                                           Creation
                                                                                          All Business Owners
                                                              RCSA
                                                                          Assessment
                                                                           Response       All Business Owners
                        Monitor
                                                                         KRI Definition          ORMD/
                                                                                          All Business Owners
                                                               KRI
                                                                                                EDW/
                                                                         KRI Response
                                                                                              Assigned
                                                                                             Respondents
                                                                           Scenario              ORMD/
                                                                           Definition
                                                                                          All Business Owners
                                                            Scenarios
                                                                                                 ORMD/
                                                                         Scenario Feed
                                                                                          All Business Owners



Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
System Architecture
                                                                                 Report
                                                                                 Portal


                                                             Loss Data                           OpRisk
                                                             Collection                           VaR




                                                                                 Monitor                   External
                                                                                                          Loss Data
                                                            RCSA                                          - Public Loss
                                                                                                           - CORDEX




                                                                     Scenarios
                                                                                           KRI




Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Recording Loss Data
                                                                                    Create
                                                                                    Event


                                                                          Create            Create
                                                                           Loss            Recovery


                         Collection of Loss Events
                                                            Settled, Provided, Potential, Near Misses, Estimated etc.

                         Modification/ updation of existing events
                         Facilitates maker and checker


Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Reports Through Portal
                        Reports can be viewed by ORMD, HO & Circle Offices
                        through SAS OpRisk Report Link
                        The SAS OpRisk Reports provides following category
                        of reports
                                           BIA/TSA Reports
                                           Internal Loss Data Reports
                                           RCSA Reports
                                           KRI Reports
                                           Scenario Reports
                                           External Loss Reports
                                           Trend Reports
                                           Live Reports

Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
SAS OpRisk VaR
                     Analytical tool; aids in performing analyses of operational
                     loss data for regulatory requirements

                     Provides the ability to normalize (scale) loss frequency and
                     severity data to the current size of business.

                     Incorporates effect of KRI & RCSA on VaR

                     Enables mixing of internal, consortium and external loss
                     data and the Scenario outputs




Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Project Components
                                                                   Following project components are to be
                                                                   created in SAS OpRisk VaR

                                                                      Cross Classification variables: for 8x7
                                                                      matrix

                                                                      Filters: for filtering loss data

                                                                      Insurance policies: imported from OpRisk
                                                                      Monitor

                                                                      Scale Adjustments: for scale adjusting for
                                                                      size and time

                                                                      Scenario collections




Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Empirical Matrix




                      Provides moments based on empirical loss data, for each of
                              internal, consortium and external loss data

Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Fitting / Displaying Diagnostic graphs




Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Mixing of data




                                                                 SAS OpRisk VaR provides for mixing of internal and

                                                            external/ consortium loss data, and also set cell level sufficiency



Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Impact of Scenarios and KRI/RCSA




Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Computation of VaR and VaR plot




Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Generation of VaR Reports




Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Pre Requisite for SAS OpRisk
               OR Policies, Systems and Procedures
               Requirement of skill – Concepts & Tools
               Management support
               Creating value by leveraging the system
               Integration with existing MI System
               Technical support
               Ownership & Perseverance




Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Issues and Challenges
                       Ensuring completeness of data
                       Lack of pooled data
                       Updation of RDC
                       Creating impact of Insurance in VaR
                       Conduct of Scenarios
                       Handling Model Based Scenarios in OpRisk VAR
                       Estimation of Correlation




Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Issues and Challenges
                       Setting relation of KRI to Loss data
                       Aggregation of KRIs and RCSA for OpRisk VaR
                       Implementation and support
                       System Upgradation
                       Documentation
                       Develop Understanding
                       Create awareness




Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Future Enhancements
                            Capturing loss data and BL-wise PL data from all
                            available sources through EDW.
                            Up-gradation of SAS OpRisk.
                            Leveraging SAS OpRisk solution for Fraud
                            Reporting from field for onward submission to FIU
                            Capturing of KRI data directly from :
                                          RBIA
                                          RBMA
                                          HRMS
                                          AML
                                          FRM (Fraud)
                                          ADC (Alternate Delivery Channels)

Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
make connections • share ideas • be inspired
India’s Largest Analytics Forum




Thank You
V. K. Srivastava
Mob: 9868879299
vishesh@pnb.co.in
vishesh1966@yahoo.co.uk




     Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Internal Loss Data Reports
               List of Rejected Loss Records during a period
               Report of Updated Loss Records
               List of all loss records above a fixed threshold sourced from
               EDW
               Analysis of Operational Losses with Business Figures
               Analysis of Operational Risk Loss Data-Percentage of Gross/Net
               Losses above Threshold (Q/HY/Total)
               Summary of Trend Analysis of the major loss events (Q/HY/Y)
               Comparative position of losses (event-wise) for the period
               (Q/HY/Y)
               Comparative position of losses (failed-control and cause-wise)
               for the period (Quarter)
               Loss Event Category wise position of loss data (Above
               Threshold) during the last xx years


Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Internal Loss Data Reports
             Top 50 losses (basis gross loss amount) by BL/LE
             category for a quarter
             Internal losses classified as loss event category and
             causal factor wise (FY/HY/Q wise trend analysis)
             Business Line wise and Loss Event wise causal factor
             analysis- Borrowal related losses
             Operational risk above threshold: gross losses by
             business lines and loss event types in the last year
             Operational risk above threshold: net losses (gross loss
             amount net of all recoveries except insurance) by business
             lines and loss event types in the last year
             Operational risk above threshold: net losses (gross loss
             amount net of all recoveries including insurance) by
             business lines and loss event types in the last year


Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Internal Loss Data Reports
           Total Loss Amount by BL/LE Type (YoY/QoQ/HYoHY
           comparison)
           Operational risk above Threshold:
               • No. of losses and Gross Loss Amounts
               • No. of losses and Gross/Net Loss Amounts by Business
                 Line and Generic Process
               • No. of losses and Gross Loss Amounts by Business
                 Line and Risk category
               • No. of losses and Net Loss Amounts by Business Line
                 and Sub-Process
               • No. of losses and Net Loss Amounts by Business Line
                 and Cause
               • No. Of losses and Net Loss Amounts by State And Loss
                 Event type


Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Internal Loss Data Reports
                       Mitigants available by Business Line and Event Type
                       for Borrowal /Non Borrowal losses
                       Near Miss Events: Loss involved by Business Lines
                       and Loss Event Types in the last year
                       MO wise Loss Data across BL, Division, Activity and
                       Risk Category
                       MO-Wise Loss Data Report across Business Line,
                       Risk Category with Process and Control
                       Detailed loss data for a given period




Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
External Loss Data Reports
                       External loss events : Loss involved by business lines
                       and loss event types
                       External operational risk above threshold: No. of
                       events and gross loss amounts by state and loss
                       event type
                       External Loss Events: Bank Wise Gross Loss and
                       Financial Information
                       Top 10 External Loss Events In Q.E. (per BL-RC
                       combination)
                       Summary Of External Loss Data (YoY/HYoHY/ QoQ)



Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Trend Reports
                       Summary of Trend Analysis of the major loss events
                       (Q/HY/Y basis)
                       Internal losses classified as loss event Category and
                       causal factor wise (Q/HY/FY wise trend analysis)
                       Business Line wise and Loss Event wise causal
                       factor analysis- Borrowal related losses
                       Analysis of Operational Risk Loss Data-Percentage of
                       Gross Losses above Threshold (Q/HY/Y)
                       Analysis of Operational Risk Loss Data-Percentage of
                       Net Losses above Threshold (Q/HY/Y)
                       Comparative position of losses (event-wise) for the
                       period (Q/HY/Y)


Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Live Reports
                       RCSA Comments Report (Live)
                       RCSA User Wise Exceptions Report (Live)
                       CO Wise Loss Data Report (Live)




Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
BIA Reports




Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
TSA Report




Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
RCSA Reports




Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
KRI Reports




Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Scenario Reports




Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

SAS Operations Risk Solutions

  • 1.
    make connections •share ideas • be inspired India’s Largest Analytics Forum SAS OpRisk Solution A Case Study V. K. Srivastava Deputy General Manager Punjab National Bank Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 2.
    Contents Objective Components of SAS OpRisk Solution System Architecture Issues and Challenges Future Enhancements Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 3.
    ORMF - Status Organizational Setup Policy Frameworks Loss Data Collection • Internal Losses • Near Misses • External Losses Key Risk Indicators Risk & Control Self Assessment Surveys Scenario Analysis Business Line wise Mapping of GI Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 4.
    Objectives Replacement of the manual system of collection of data with system driven Technology; Making the existing ORM system more robust, dynamic & accurate. Measurement of Capital Charge under Advanced Measurement Approach (AMA) as against the present system of Measurement under BIA & TSA approaches. Make the Bank Basel compliant. Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 5.
    SAS OpRisk Solution– Components SAS OpRisk Monitor Internal Loss Data Collection Risk and Control Self Assessment Surveys (RCSA) Key Risk Indicators (KRI) Scenarios generation and analyses Issues Tracking System BIA & TSA SAS OpRisk Report Studio SAS OpRisk VaR Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 6.
    IT System Architecture Other CBS Sources EDW Manual SAS feed Monitor Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 7.
    System Architecture EDW CBS Loss Data Collection Manual Feed CO/FPIS/IAD/ Security Assessment ORMD/ Creation All Business Owners RCSA Assessment Response All Business Owners Monitor KRI Definition ORMD/ All Business Owners KRI EDW/ KRI Response Assigned Respondents Scenario ORMD/ Definition All Business Owners Scenarios ORMD/ Scenario Feed All Business Owners Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 8.
    System Architecture Report Portal Loss Data OpRisk Collection VaR Monitor External Loss Data RCSA - Public Loss - CORDEX Scenarios KRI Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 9.
    Recording Loss Data Create Event Create Create Loss Recovery Collection of Loss Events Settled, Provided, Potential, Near Misses, Estimated etc. Modification/ updation of existing events Facilitates maker and checker Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 10.
    Reports Through Portal Reports can be viewed by ORMD, HO & Circle Offices through SAS OpRisk Report Link The SAS OpRisk Reports provides following category of reports BIA/TSA Reports Internal Loss Data Reports RCSA Reports KRI Reports Scenario Reports External Loss Reports Trend Reports Live Reports Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 11.
    SAS OpRisk VaR Analytical tool; aids in performing analyses of operational loss data for regulatory requirements Provides the ability to normalize (scale) loss frequency and severity data to the current size of business. Incorporates effect of KRI & RCSA on VaR Enables mixing of internal, consortium and external loss data and the Scenario outputs Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 12.
    Project Components Following project components are to be created in SAS OpRisk VaR Cross Classification variables: for 8x7 matrix Filters: for filtering loss data Insurance policies: imported from OpRisk Monitor Scale Adjustments: for scale adjusting for size and time Scenario collections Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 13.
    Empirical Matrix Provides moments based on empirical loss data, for each of internal, consortium and external loss data Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 14.
    Fitting / DisplayingDiagnostic graphs Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 15.
    Mixing of data SAS OpRisk VaR provides for mixing of internal and external/ consortium loss data, and also set cell level sufficiency Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 16.
    Impact of Scenariosand KRI/RCSA Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 17.
    Computation of VaRand VaR plot Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 18.
    Generation of VaRReports Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 19.
    Pre Requisite forSAS OpRisk OR Policies, Systems and Procedures Requirement of skill – Concepts & Tools Management support Creating value by leveraging the system Integration with existing MI System Technical support Ownership & Perseverance Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 20.
    Issues and Challenges Ensuring completeness of data Lack of pooled data Updation of RDC Creating impact of Insurance in VaR Conduct of Scenarios Handling Model Based Scenarios in OpRisk VAR Estimation of Correlation Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 21.
    Issues and Challenges Setting relation of KRI to Loss data Aggregation of KRIs and RCSA for OpRisk VaR Implementation and support System Upgradation Documentation Develop Understanding Create awareness Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 22.
    Future Enhancements Capturing loss data and BL-wise PL data from all available sources through EDW. Up-gradation of SAS OpRisk. Leveraging SAS OpRisk solution for Fraud Reporting from field for onward submission to FIU Capturing of KRI data directly from : RBIA RBMA HRMS AML FRM (Fraud) ADC (Alternate Delivery Channels) Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 23.
    make connections •share ideas • be inspired India’s Largest Analytics Forum Thank You V. K. Srivastava Mob: 9868879299 vishesh@pnb.co.in vishesh1966@yahoo.co.uk Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 24.
    Internal Loss DataReports List of Rejected Loss Records during a period Report of Updated Loss Records List of all loss records above a fixed threshold sourced from EDW Analysis of Operational Losses with Business Figures Analysis of Operational Risk Loss Data-Percentage of Gross/Net Losses above Threshold (Q/HY/Total) Summary of Trend Analysis of the major loss events (Q/HY/Y) Comparative position of losses (event-wise) for the period (Q/HY/Y) Comparative position of losses (failed-control and cause-wise) for the period (Quarter) Loss Event Category wise position of loss data (Above Threshold) during the last xx years Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 25.
    Internal Loss DataReports Top 50 losses (basis gross loss amount) by BL/LE category for a quarter Internal losses classified as loss event category and causal factor wise (FY/HY/Q wise trend analysis) Business Line wise and Loss Event wise causal factor analysis- Borrowal related losses Operational risk above threshold: gross losses by business lines and loss event types in the last year Operational risk above threshold: net losses (gross loss amount net of all recoveries except insurance) by business lines and loss event types in the last year Operational risk above threshold: net losses (gross loss amount net of all recoveries including insurance) by business lines and loss event types in the last year Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 26.
    Internal Loss DataReports Total Loss Amount by BL/LE Type (YoY/QoQ/HYoHY comparison) Operational risk above Threshold: • No. of losses and Gross Loss Amounts • No. of losses and Gross/Net Loss Amounts by Business Line and Generic Process • No. of losses and Gross Loss Amounts by Business Line and Risk category • No. of losses and Net Loss Amounts by Business Line and Sub-Process • No. of losses and Net Loss Amounts by Business Line and Cause • No. Of losses and Net Loss Amounts by State And Loss Event type Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 27.
    Internal Loss DataReports Mitigants available by Business Line and Event Type for Borrowal /Non Borrowal losses Near Miss Events: Loss involved by Business Lines and Loss Event Types in the last year MO wise Loss Data across BL, Division, Activity and Risk Category MO-Wise Loss Data Report across Business Line, Risk Category with Process and Control Detailed loss data for a given period Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 28.
    External Loss DataReports External loss events : Loss involved by business lines and loss event types External operational risk above threshold: No. of events and gross loss amounts by state and loss event type External Loss Events: Bank Wise Gross Loss and Financial Information Top 10 External Loss Events In Q.E. (per BL-RC combination) Summary Of External Loss Data (YoY/HYoHY/ QoQ) Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 29.
    Trend Reports Summary of Trend Analysis of the major loss events (Q/HY/Y basis) Internal losses classified as loss event Category and causal factor wise (Q/HY/FY wise trend analysis) Business Line wise and Loss Event wise causal factor analysis- Borrowal related losses Analysis of Operational Risk Loss Data-Percentage of Gross Losses above Threshold (Q/HY/Y) Analysis of Operational Risk Loss Data-Percentage of Net Losses above Threshold (Q/HY/Y) Comparative position of losses (event-wise) for the period (Q/HY/Y) Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 30.
    Live Reports RCSA Comments Report (Live) RCSA User Wise Exceptions Report (Live) CO Wise Loss Data Report (Live) Copyright © 2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 31.
    BIA Reports Copyright ©2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 32.
    TSA Report Copyright ©2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 33.
    RCSA Reports Copyright ©2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 34.
    KRI Reports Copyright ©2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 35.
    Scenario Reports Copyright ©2011, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.