The boom in the labour market is finally reflected in employee remuneration. As much as 38 per cent of Poland’s medium-sized and large enterprises declare that they will be increasing salaries.
FactSet is a leading provider of financial data and analytics. It hires graduate consultants each year to work closely with clients, ensuring they effectively integrate FactSet's software into their investment processes. The newsletter discusses upcoming events hosted by the Aston Trading and Investment Society, including speed networking with companies like PwC, HSBC, and Barclays. It also provides a market roundup on topics like Mexico's economic reforms and potential for growth, the significance of Black Friday for retailers, and the fall in oil prices.
Indexes rallied led by technology and financial stocks as investors speculated a rate hike from the Federal Reserve. Oil prices rose on hopes of a US crude drawdown while gold prices fell. Costco is expected to report lower than expected sales and profits. HP is expected to report revenue slightly below estimates. The Federal Reserve banks of Philadelphia, Minneapolis, and Dallas will have various speaking events. Tiffany is expected to report lower sales. Exxon and Chevron will face pressure from shareholders on climate change. BlackRock will hold its annual meeting facing questions on CEO pay and oversight.
Ey an-analysis-of-trends-in-the-us-capital-marketsJulien Boucher
EY’s recently released white paper, Looking behind the declining number of public companies, documents the strength of the US public equity markets and growing influence and use of private capital, as part of the ongoing policy debate regarding the strength of the US IPO and public company markets.
Business Sweden Russia 2016 - Business Climate Survey final reportAnton Ekman
The document provides a summary of a business climate survey of Swedish companies operating in Russia in 2016. Key findings include:
- In 2015, 40% of companies saw increasing revenues in rubles, but 57% saw decreasing revenues in group currency due to currency depreciation.
- 80% of companies maintained or grew their market share despite challenges.
- 55% of companies raised prices in 2015 to counter inflation and currency volatility.
- Most companies lowered real wages and 38% decreased staffing levels to reduce costs.
- For 2016, companies expect continued revenue growth in rubles but declines in group currency, as well as further market share gains.
Ulster Bank Northern Ireland PMI Slide Pack August 2016Richard Ramsey
Slidepack for the Ulster Bank Northern Ireland PMI, August 2016 including analysis of global, Eurozone, UK, UK regions and Republic of Ireland economic performance by sector
The boom in the labour market is finally reflected in employee remuneration. As much as 38 per cent of Poland’s medium-sized and large enterprises declare that they will be increasing salaries.
FactSet is a leading provider of financial data and analytics. It hires graduate consultants each year to work closely with clients, ensuring they effectively integrate FactSet's software into their investment processes. The newsletter discusses upcoming events hosted by the Aston Trading and Investment Society, including speed networking with companies like PwC, HSBC, and Barclays. It also provides a market roundup on topics like Mexico's economic reforms and potential for growth, the significance of Black Friday for retailers, and the fall in oil prices.
Indexes rallied led by technology and financial stocks as investors speculated a rate hike from the Federal Reserve. Oil prices rose on hopes of a US crude drawdown while gold prices fell. Costco is expected to report lower than expected sales and profits. HP is expected to report revenue slightly below estimates. The Federal Reserve banks of Philadelphia, Minneapolis, and Dallas will have various speaking events. Tiffany is expected to report lower sales. Exxon and Chevron will face pressure from shareholders on climate change. BlackRock will hold its annual meeting facing questions on CEO pay and oversight.
Ey an-analysis-of-trends-in-the-us-capital-marketsJulien Boucher
EY’s recently released white paper, Looking behind the declining number of public companies, documents the strength of the US public equity markets and growing influence and use of private capital, as part of the ongoing policy debate regarding the strength of the US IPO and public company markets.
Business Sweden Russia 2016 - Business Climate Survey final reportAnton Ekman
The document provides a summary of a business climate survey of Swedish companies operating in Russia in 2016. Key findings include:
- In 2015, 40% of companies saw increasing revenues in rubles, but 57% saw decreasing revenues in group currency due to currency depreciation.
- 80% of companies maintained or grew their market share despite challenges.
- 55% of companies raised prices in 2015 to counter inflation and currency volatility.
- Most companies lowered real wages and 38% decreased staffing levels to reduce costs.
- For 2016, companies expect continued revenue growth in rubles but declines in group currency, as well as further market share gains.
Ulster Bank Northern Ireland PMI Slide Pack August 2016Richard Ramsey
Slidepack for the Ulster Bank Northern Ireland PMI, August 2016 including analysis of global, Eurozone, UK, UK regions and Republic of Ireland economic performance by sector
April 2011 - Building for a more competitive BrazilFGV Brazil
The Brazilian Economy is one of the oldest publications for expert economic analysis of both the Brazilian and international economies. Through this publication, FGV’s Brazilian Institute of Economics and Finance (FGV/IBRE) compares different periods of the economy, assessing both macroeconomic considerations and scenarios related to finance, administration, marketing, management, insurance, statistics, and price indices.
For more information, and Brazilian economic index results, visit: http://bit.ly/1EA1Loz
Capital Markets Industry Insights - Fall 2016Duff & Phelps
Middle-market issuers were greeted by strong demand this quarter from mainstream credit sources as well as those seeking higher degrees of risk and return. Macroeconomic fundamentals continued to improve, though the focus remained on monetary policy. With an increasingly stark dichotomy of views at the Federal Reserve, volatility persisted in anticipation of clearer guidance on the pace and timing of rate hikes.
Some forecasts about Mergers and Acquisitions for 2018Suzzanne Uhland
Mergers and acquisitions of companies are one of the alternatives within the possible investment strategies that a company may follow in order to fulfill its traditional mandate to maximize the benefit for its shareholders. What can be expected from mergers and acquisitions during the next year? Let's see.
Despite a strong start in January, global stock markets became unnerved in the latter part of the first quarter of 2018. Rising trade tensions contributed to the unease investors exhibited as the US took a stronger stance on bilateral trade negotiations through the enactment of targeted tariffs.
Strong fundamentals drive US dealmaking despite macro-economic and political uncertainties. First-half activity remains on a par with 2016 as strong fundamentals continue to drive M&A.
Though US M&A faced challenges in H1 2017, the figures show that the market is active and vibrant. There were 2,413 deals worth US$588.5 billion recorded in H1 2017, up 0.5 percent by value compared to US$585.4 billion registered in H1 2016. If activity continues at its current level, US dealmaking is on track for another strong year.
- The document initiates coverage of Bancolombia (CIB) stock with a "BUY" rating and target price representing 40.1% upside potential.
- Key reasons for the recommendation include expectations that oil price concerns are overblown, Colombia's economy and banking sector have strong long-term growth potential, and Bancolombia is well-positioned to benefit from these trends while offering a historically cheap valuation and solid dividend yield.
- Additional details are provided on Bancolombia's business operations, financials, growth projections, and the favorable economic environment in Colombia to support the investment thesis.
As the third quarter drew to a close, Canada had yet to come to terms with the US and Mexico on a renewed trade agreement. Investors woke up on Monday, October 1, 2018 to news that a deal had in fact been cobbled together at the last minute and that all was well in the world.
A euphoric start to 2019!
After a dismal end to last year, global stock markets rebounded in the first quarter making up much of the ground lost in the final quarter of 2018. The underpinnings of this sudden reversal in sentiment are less clear. There appears to be a disconnect between the direction of the stock markets and the direction of the global economies. Economists continue to moderate the outlook for future economic growth. The issues that vexed the markets in 2018 remain and in many cases, those issues have deteriorated even further.
Central banks around the world are still trying to restore economic conditions to pre-crisis levels and major policy differences remain, which will affect markets in 2016. The document predicts modest global stock market gains, a strong U.S. dollar, and low bond yields in 2016 alongside periods of market volatility. U.S. stock gains are expected to continue but the bull market is mature with weaker earnings growth and stretched valuations, leading to mixed performance and corrections. International stocks may benefit from improving global growth but gains will be limited in emerging markets due to concerns over monetary policy divergence and a rising dollar.
The Economic Outlook for 2017 by Kevin LingsSTANLIB
South Africa is searching for higher economic growth in a global environment increasingly shaped by rising nationalism, higher levels of trade protection and a fall-off in the effectiveness of monetary policy.
The document discusses the Catalan independence referendum in Spain and its implications. It makes the following key points:
1) While the referendum has increased short-term political volatility in Europe, the author maintains a bullish outlook on European equities as the situation does not pose an existential risk to the region.
2) The referendum results showed 90% support for independence but on a low 42% turnout, as those opposed largely boycotted it. However, the Spanish government deems the vote illegal.
3) The Spanish government's crackdown in response to the referendum has angered international observers and could increase momentum for the independence movement.
The summary captures the high level context around the Catalan
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
The IMF recently reported that Russia has entered a recession and warned that economic growth will further contract if Western sanctions are increased. The MNI Russia Business Indicator fell sharply in May due to the impact of sanctions over Russia's actions in Crimea. Industrial production growth increased in April but overall economic growth remains weak, forecast at just 0.5% for 2014 compared to original predictions of 2.5% growth. Russia signed a $400 billion gas deal with China aimed at boosting infrastructure investment.
THIRD QUARTER 2016
RETROSPECTIVE AND PROSPECTIVE
And The Band Played On…
“When democratic governments create economic calamity, free markets get the blame.”-Jack Kemp
“Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason.”- Mark Twain
Thus far, the calamities predicted by the pundits that would result from the Brexit vote to leave the European Union have not been as severe as anticipated. Perhaps this is due to the building geopolitical and economic stresses that have diverted the focus from Brexit to other issues. Furthermore, the impact of Brexit will likely take some time to discern as the trade, migration, political and other ramifications evolve over the coming months and years. Meanwhile, governments globally continue in their efforts to stimulate economic growth with what appears to be diminishing results.
The euphoria of the past year carried into the first quarter of 2014 only to be rudely interrupted by geopolitical events as Russia took over the Crimea. The hue and outcry was heard around the world and global markets were shaken by this event.
This document summarizes business gossip and trends in Russia from conversations at executive meetings in November 2018. Key points include:
1. Most businesses reported good growth in 2018 of 6-13% despite challenges, but executives feel pressure from high expectations for even faster growth.
2. Local competition is stronger with local brands improving quality and marketing to better compete on price and value.
3. The IT sector recovered in 2017-2018 with growth of 20-35% but some companies have yet to reach 2013 revenue levels. Demand will continue to be driven by digitization and e-commerce.
4. Discussions focused on how companies are incorporating digitization and preparing for accelerated e-commerce growth, with
Slide pack , Ulster Bank Northern Ireland PMI, March 2015Richard Ramsey
Slidepack for the Ulster Bank NI PMI for March 2015, including analysis of Global, Eurozone, UK, UK Regions, NI & Republic of Ireland economic performance by sector
This month’s update is longer and contains more geopolitics than usual. This is because, for the first time in two generations, the economies of every country in the world are growing (with the possible exception of North Korea). This synchronised global upswing presents new risks and uncertainties.
http://www.jsacs.com/
Term LIBOR Swaps: The Futures Fix-It KitJohn Coleman
This document discusses changes in the Treasury and LIBOR swap markets that have caused term LIBOR swap rates to no longer behave like corporate term borrowing costs. It argues that regulatory changes have reduced coupon issuance and increased Treasury bill issuance, putting downward pressure on swap rates. Additionally, the credit risk has been removed from LIBOR swaps since they are now cleared and collateralized, causing swap rates to diverge from corporate borrowing costs. The document provides graphs and data to support these assertions and argues for using futures to better hedge term funding costs.
Fuzje i przejęcia - Global M&A snapshot 2015Grant Thornton
Global M&A activity is increasing as companies focus on strategic acquisitions. The survey found that 43% of businesses seriously considered an acquisition in the last year, up from 39% in 2013. Additionally, 33% plan to use M&A for growth in the next three years, up from 28% two years ago. Vendor confidence is also rising as 14% expect a change in ownership, up from 11% last year. Finally, bank financing is becoming more available as 57% of companies plan to use debt financing for M&A, up from 48% in the last two years.
„Odwrócony VAT” zmusi firmy budowlane do udzielania Skarbowi
Państwa darmowych, kilkumiesięcznych pożyczek łącznie na 8,5 mld zł w skali roku – szacuje Grant Thornton. Branżę czekają zatory płatnicze?
April 2011 - Building for a more competitive BrazilFGV Brazil
The Brazilian Economy is one of the oldest publications for expert economic analysis of both the Brazilian and international economies. Through this publication, FGV’s Brazilian Institute of Economics and Finance (FGV/IBRE) compares different periods of the economy, assessing both macroeconomic considerations and scenarios related to finance, administration, marketing, management, insurance, statistics, and price indices.
For more information, and Brazilian economic index results, visit: http://bit.ly/1EA1Loz
Capital Markets Industry Insights - Fall 2016Duff & Phelps
Middle-market issuers were greeted by strong demand this quarter from mainstream credit sources as well as those seeking higher degrees of risk and return. Macroeconomic fundamentals continued to improve, though the focus remained on monetary policy. With an increasingly stark dichotomy of views at the Federal Reserve, volatility persisted in anticipation of clearer guidance on the pace and timing of rate hikes.
Some forecasts about Mergers and Acquisitions for 2018Suzzanne Uhland
Mergers and acquisitions of companies are one of the alternatives within the possible investment strategies that a company may follow in order to fulfill its traditional mandate to maximize the benefit for its shareholders. What can be expected from mergers and acquisitions during the next year? Let's see.
Despite a strong start in January, global stock markets became unnerved in the latter part of the first quarter of 2018. Rising trade tensions contributed to the unease investors exhibited as the US took a stronger stance on bilateral trade negotiations through the enactment of targeted tariffs.
Strong fundamentals drive US dealmaking despite macro-economic and political uncertainties. First-half activity remains on a par with 2016 as strong fundamentals continue to drive M&A.
Though US M&A faced challenges in H1 2017, the figures show that the market is active and vibrant. There were 2,413 deals worth US$588.5 billion recorded in H1 2017, up 0.5 percent by value compared to US$585.4 billion registered in H1 2016. If activity continues at its current level, US dealmaking is on track for another strong year.
- The document initiates coverage of Bancolombia (CIB) stock with a "BUY" rating and target price representing 40.1% upside potential.
- Key reasons for the recommendation include expectations that oil price concerns are overblown, Colombia's economy and banking sector have strong long-term growth potential, and Bancolombia is well-positioned to benefit from these trends while offering a historically cheap valuation and solid dividend yield.
- Additional details are provided on Bancolombia's business operations, financials, growth projections, and the favorable economic environment in Colombia to support the investment thesis.
As the third quarter drew to a close, Canada had yet to come to terms with the US and Mexico on a renewed trade agreement. Investors woke up on Monday, October 1, 2018 to news that a deal had in fact been cobbled together at the last minute and that all was well in the world.
A euphoric start to 2019!
After a dismal end to last year, global stock markets rebounded in the first quarter making up much of the ground lost in the final quarter of 2018. The underpinnings of this sudden reversal in sentiment are less clear. There appears to be a disconnect between the direction of the stock markets and the direction of the global economies. Economists continue to moderate the outlook for future economic growth. The issues that vexed the markets in 2018 remain and in many cases, those issues have deteriorated even further.
Central banks around the world are still trying to restore economic conditions to pre-crisis levels and major policy differences remain, which will affect markets in 2016. The document predicts modest global stock market gains, a strong U.S. dollar, and low bond yields in 2016 alongside periods of market volatility. U.S. stock gains are expected to continue but the bull market is mature with weaker earnings growth and stretched valuations, leading to mixed performance and corrections. International stocks may benefit from improving global growth but gains will be limited in emerging markets due to concerns over monetary policy divergence and a rising dollar.
The Economic Outlook for 2017 by Kevin LingsSTANLIB
South Africa is searching for higher economic growth in a global environment increasingly shaped by rising nationalism, higher levels of trade protection and a fall-off in the effectiveness of monetary policy.
The document discusses the Catalan independence referendum in Spain and its implications. It makes the following key points:
1) While the referendum has increased short-term political volatility in Europe, the author maintains a bullish outlook on European equities as the situation does not pose an existential risk to the region.
2) The referendum results showed 90% support for independence but on a low 42% turnout, as those opposed largely boycotted it. However, the Spanish government deems the vote illegal.
3) The Spanish government's crackdown in response to the referendum has angered international observers and could increase momentum for the independence movement.
The summary captures the high level context around the Catalan
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
The IMF recently reported that Russia has entered a recession and warned that economic growth will further contract if Western sanctions are increased. The MNI Russia Business Indicator fell sharply in May due to the impact of sanctions over Russia's actions in Crimea. Industrial production growth increased in April but overall economic growth remains weak, forecast at just 0.5% for 2014 compared to original predictions of 2.5% growth. Russia signed a $400 billion gas deal with China aimed at boosting infrastructure investment.
THIRD QUARTER 2016
RETROSPECTIVE AND PROSPECTIVE
And The Band Played On…
“When democratic governments create economic calamity, free markets get the blame.”-Jack Kemp
“Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason.”- Mark Twain
Thus far, the calamities predicted by the pundits that would result from the Brexit vote to leave the European Union have not been as severe as anticipated. Perhaps this is due to the building geopolitical and economic stresses that have diverted the focus from Brexit to other issues. Furthermore, the impact of Brexit will likely take some time to discern as the trade, migration, political and other ramifications evolve over the coming months and years. Meanwhile, governments globally continue in their efforts to stimulate economic growth with what appears to be diminishing results.
The euphoria of the past year carried into the first quarter of 2014 only to be rudely interrupted by geopolitical events as Russia took over the Crimea. The hue and outcry was heard around the world and global markets were shaken by this event.
This document summarizes business gossip and trends in Russia from conversations at executive meetings in November 2018. Key points include:
1. Most businesses reported good growth in 2018 of 6-13% despite challenges, but executives feel pressure from high expectations for even faster growth.
2. Local competition is stronger with local brands improving quality and marketing to better compete on price and value.
3. The IT sector recovered in 2017-2018 with growth of 20-35% but some companies have yet to reach 2013 revenue levels. Demand will continue to be driven by digitization and e-commerce.
4. Discussions focused on how companies are incorporating digitization and preparing for accelerated e-commerce growth, with
Slide pack , Ulster Bank Northern Ireland PMI, March 2015Richard Ramsey
Slidepack for the Ulster Bank NI PMI for March 2015, including analysis of Global, Eurozone, UK, UK Regions, NI & Republic of Ireland economic performance by sector
This month’s update is longer and contains more geopolitics than usual. This is because, for the first time in two generations, the economies of every country in the world are growing (with the possible exception of North Korea). This synchronised global upswing presents new risks and uncertainties.
http://www.jsacs.com/
Term LIBOR Swaps: The Futures Fix-It KitJohn Coleman
This document discusses changes in the Treasury and LIBOR swap markets that have caused term LIBOR swap rates to no longer behave like corporate term borrowing costs. It argues that regulatory changes have reduced coupon issuance and increased Treasury bill issuance, putting downward pressure on swap rates. Additionally, the credit risk has been removed from LIBOR swaps since they are now cleared and collateralized, causing swap rates to diverge from corporate borrowing costs. The document provides graphs and data to support these assertions and argues for using futures to better hedge term funding costs.
Fuzje i przejęcia - Global M&A snapshot 2015Grant Thornton
Global M&A activity is increasing as companies focus on strategic acquisitions. The survey found that 43% of businesses seriously considered an acquisition in the last year, up from 39% in 2013. Additionally, 33% plan to use M&A for growth in the next three years, up from 28% two years ago. Vendor confidence is also rising as 14% expect a change in ownership, up from 11% last year. Finally, bank financing is becoming more available as 57% of companies plan to use debt financing for M&A, up from 48% in the last two years.
„Odwrócony VAT” zmusi firmy budowlane do udzielania Skarbowi
Państwa darmowych, kilkumiesięcznych pożyczek łącznie na 8,5 mld zł w skali roku – szacuje Grant Thornton. Branżę czekają zatory płatnicze?
Polska utrzymuje dobry klimat dla zagranicznego biznesuGrant Thornton
Wyniki 10. edycji badania „Klimat inwestycyjny w Polsce”, przeprowadzonego przez Polską Agencję Informacji i Inwestycji Zagranicznych we współpracy z firmą Grant Thornton oraz bankiem HSBC.
Raport M&A Index Poland, 2Q 2016 - Stabilizacja na rynku fuzji i przejęć w Po...FORDATA VDR
Zapraszamy do zapoznania się z kolejnym wydaniem Raportu M&A Index Poland, opracowanego przez Panią Alicję Kukla-Kowalską - eksperta FORDATA wraz z Panem Janem Kospin z firmy doradczej Navigator Capital.
Wyniki drugiego kwartału 2016 roku wskazują na stabilizację na polskim rynku fuzji i przejęć. Korzystanie z technologii typu Virtual Data Room, które ułatwiają przepływ poufnych dokumentów i usprawniają komunikację pomiędzy stronami transakcji, stało się synonimem profesjonalnego podejścia do realizacji procesów transakcyjnych.
Spółka, którą Pan zarządza, w naturalny sposób ponosi
koszty działalności. Generowane koszty wsparcia mogą
stanowić kilkanaście procent wszystkich kosztów ponoszonych
przez Spółkę. Nie stanowią one kosztów podstawowej działalności, przez co mogą być traktowane jako drugoplanowe, stwarzając potencjał do ich optymalizacji.
Firma Grant Thornton, wychodząc naprzeciw potrzebom
swoich klientów, opracowała rozwiązania zapewniające
racjonalizację kosztów zakupów i podniesienie efektywności
finansowej przedsiębiorstwa.
Polska ma najwięcej miejsc pracy w historii | Purpurowy kalkulator Grant Thor...Grant Thornton
W naszym kraju zatrudnionych jest już ponad 16 mln osób – to rekord. Nasz rynek pracy w końcu odbudował, i to z nawiązką, straty wywołane światowym kryzysem – wynika z obliczeń Grant Thornton.
Raport Grant Thornton: Urzędy zasypują przedsiębiorców
stertą formularzy. Badanie skali obowiązków sprawozdawczych polskich przedsiębiorstw wobec instytucji publicznych
Optymalizacja procesów produkcji, logistyki i magazynowaniaGrant Thornton
W XXI wieku przedsiębiorstwa coraz częściej konkurują nie
produktami, lecz doskonałością operacyjną i niskim poziomem
kosztów. Zapewnienie wysokiego poziomu obsługi klientów
wymaga bowiem szybkiej reakcji na ich potrzeby. Reakcję
tę zagwarantować mogą wyłącznie sprawne, efektywne
i rentowne procesy.
Wyniki czwartej edycji badania funkcji audytu wewnętrznego w polskich przedsiębiorstwach.
Badanie zostały przeprowadzone w okresie luty - kwiecień 2014. Ankiety skierowane były do osób odpowiedzialnych za funkcję audytu wewnętrznego w polskich spółkach. Pytania dotyczyły organizacji oraz praktycznych aspektów działania audytu wewnętrznego w ich strukturach.
Ostatnie 25 lat to okres silnej ekspansji polskich firm na zagranicznych rynkach. Gwałtownie wzrosła przez ten czas wartość eksportu i poprawiła się jego struktura – zarówno produktowa, jak i geograficzna. Te pozytywne tendencje będą kontynuowane w kolejnych latach. Do 2020 r. eksport Polski wzrośnie o ponad jedną trzecią, a przedsiębiorcy będą coraz odważniej wchodzić na nowe, nieodkryte dotąd rynki – prognozują eksperci Grant Thornton w raporcie „Zagraniczna ekspansja polskich firm. Dokonania, ambicje, perspektywy”.
>> Legislacyjna burza szkodzi polskim firmom <<
> Barometr stabilności otoczenia prawnego w polskiej gospodarce <
Polskie prawo okazuje się jeszcze bardziej rozedrgane, niż się tego spodziewaliśmy. W ostatnich latach w życie wchodzi już ponad 20 tys. stron aktów prawnych rocznie, a rok 2014 był pod tym względem rekordowy i przyniósł aż 25,6 tys. stron nowego prawa. To kilkakrotnie więcej nawet niż w latach 90., gdy
zmienialiśmy cały ustrój państwa.
Raport M&A Index Poland - Fuzje i przejęcia w 2016FORDATA VDR
Zapraszamy do zapoznania się z kolejnym wydaniem Raportu M&A Index Poland - podsumowanie roku 2016, opracowanego przez panią Alicję Kukla-Kowalską - eksperta FORDATA wraz z panem Janem Kospin z firmy doradczej Navigator Capital.
Z przyjemnością prezentujemy kolejną edycję „Purpurowego Informatora”, czyli cyklu analiz, w którym omawiamy ważne dla przedsiębiorców kwestie prawne, księgowe i kadrowe. Tym razem tematem naszego cyklu jest minimalna stawka godzinowa, która 1 stycznia 2017 roku po raz pierwszy zawitała do naszego prawa cywilnego oraz związany z nią nowy obowiązek ewidencji godzin pracy zleceniobiorców.
Zmiany te to dobra wiadomość dla przedsiębiorstw, bowiem nieco odciążają je od części zbędnej „papierologii”. Liberalizują obowiązki pracodawcy związane z ustalaniem regulaminów oraz świadectw pracy, jak również wydłużają terminy na występowanie pracowników z roszczeniami ze stosunku pracy. W niniejszym raporcie pomagamy zrozumieć szczegóły dotyczące tych zmian i przygotować firmę do ich stosowania.
Rewolucja w opodatkowaniu usług budowlanych Grant Thornton
Nowe zasady rozliczania VAT w branży budowlanej.
Z jakimi niebezpieczeństwami podatkowymi się wiążą?
Jaki nowe narzędzia dostanie fiskus? Jak uniknąć sankcji?
Wyniki badania dotyczącego skłonności firm do podwyżek płac, przeprowadzonego w ramach cyklu badawczego International Business Report przez Grant Thornton
2017 Global Economic Outlook by Dun & BradstreetDun & Bradstreet
Learn from Dun & Bradstreet’s economists as they share our 2017 global economic outlook. Discover the top five economic game changers, take a look at the short-term economic outlook and view deep-dive analyses on featured countries.
This document provides a market review and outlook from Walker Crips in October 2016 following the Brexit vote. It discusses the resilience of markets in the short-term despite uncertainty around Brexit. It notes the expansion of Walker Crips' assets under management and efforts to prevent fraud. Various economic indicators and sectors in the UK, Europe and US are also reviewed, with the FTSE 100 breaking 7,000 but uncertainties remaining around inflation, interest rates and European banks.
Ryan Van Wagenen - 2018 European Private Equity Sector UpdateRyan Van Wagenen
The European private equity market showed strong growth in 2017, with deal volume up 6.9% and value increasing 14.4% to post-crisis highs. Buyout activity also increased, driven by a surge in mega-deals valued over $1 billion. Exits grew as well, with value rising 18.4% due to several large transactions. Going forward, steady dealmaking is expected to continue due to favorable economic conditions, though political uncertainty could impact the market.
The document discusses several topics related to the efficiency of trade systems over the next decade:
- Supply chains will evolve into more open and interconnected "value webs" that span entire ecosystems and help reduce costs, improve service, mitigate risk, and drive innovation.
- Increased use of technologies like RFID, geo-location tracking, and real-time product/temperature streaming will provide more visibility and traceability across supply chains.
- Autonomous vehicles are expected to significantly improve the efficiency of goods movement over the next 10 years, especially reducing the high costs associated with the "last mile" of deliveries.
July 2016 Toscafund Economic Update Issue 37savvas savouri
1. Purchasing managers have cut stock purchases due to fears over Brexit hurting demand, as they were repeatedly warned, even though final demand has held up better than expected. This has negatively affected supply chains and poor PMIs. However, like after 2008, the UK economy has had inventories drained, which will spur a rebuilding and boost activity, as lower inventories mean pricing power for those with stock. The current situation may not be as bad as feared and could help avoid deflation.
For all those that missed out last month in Chicago, we’ve crafted a full round up of our 3PL Summit & CSCO Forum. There’s coverage of the major sessions at the event, as well as up-to-date market research on the latest trends set to impact the industry.
As current growth rates reach a new low, competition for the future is on the...SimCorp
As growth rates came to a standstill in 2015, we took stock of expectations for the future. Surveying firms worldwide, we discovered them to be optimistic about long-term prospects, and found the pursuit of future profits gathering pace.
1) The author upgrades European equities to Overweight due to improved political and economic conditions in Europe. Political risk has receded following centrist election victories in France and improving economic data across major European countries.
2) Earnings growth in Europe has surprised to the upside, with revenues and earnings growing around 9% and 20% respectively in the recent reporting season, well above comparable US growth. However, European stock valuations remain attractive relative to US stocks.
3) Key factors that could further improve the European investment case include ongoing economic improvements, ECB maintaining accommodative monetary policy, and stability in bond markets and inflation. Political risks remain from the Italian elections.
10619, 1052 AMGlobalization Is Not in RetreatPage 1 of .docxaulasnilda
10/6/19, 10:52 AMGlobalization Is Not in Retreat
Page 1 of 8https://www.foreignaffairs.com/print/1122156
Home > Globalization Is Not in Retreat
Monday, April 16, 2018 - 12:00am
Globalization Is Not in Retreat
Digital Technology and the Future of Trade
Susan Lund and Laura Tyson
SUSAN LUND is a Partner at McKinsey & Company and a leader of the McKinsey Global
Institute. LAURA TYSON is Distinguished Professor of the Graduate School at the Haas School
of Business at the University of California, Berkeley. She served as Chair of the White House
Council of Economic Advisers during the Clinton Administration.
LAURA TYSON is Distinguished Professor of the Graduate School at the Haas School of
Business at the University of California, Berkeley. She served as Chair of the White House
Council of Economic Advisers during the Clinton administration.
By many standard measures, globalization is in retreat [1]. The 2008 financial crisis and the
ensuing recession brought an end to three decades of rapid growth in the trade of goods and
services. Cross-border financial flows have fallen by two-thirds. In many countries that have
traditionally championed globalization, including the United States and the United Kingdom, the
political conversation about trade has shifted from a focus on economic benefits to concerns
about job loss, dislocation, deindustrialization, and inequality [2]. A once solid consensus that
trade is a win-win proposition has given way to zero-sum thinking and calls for higher barriers.
Since November 2008, according to the research group Global Trade Alert, the G-20 countries
have implemented more than 6,600 protectionist measures.
But that’s only part of the story. Even as its detractors erect new impediments and walk away
from free-trade agreements, globalization is in fact continuing its forward march—but along new
paths. In its previous incarnation, it was trade-based and Western-led. Today, globalization is
being driven by digital technology and is increasingly led by China and other emerging
economies. While trade predicated on global supply chains that take advantage of cheap labor is
slowing, new digital technologies mean that more actors can participate in cross-border
transactions than ever before, from small businesses to multinational corporations. And
economic leadership is shifting east and south, as the United States turns inward and the EU and
the United Kingdom negotiate a divorce [3].
10/6/19, 10:52 AMGlobalization Is Not in Retreat
Page 2 of 8https://www.foreignaffairs.com/print/1122156
In other words, globalization has not given way to deglobalization; it has simply entered a
different phase. This new era will bring economic and societal benefits, boosting innovation and
productivity, offering people unprecedented (and often free) access to information, and linking
consumers and suppliers across the world. But it will also be disruptive. After certain sectors fade
away, certain jobs will disappear, and n ...
Corporate and shareholder sentiment towards MA has rebounded since the dark days of 2008. Low borrowing costs have coaxed many new buyers, including acquisitive Chinese conglomerates, into the market. The prices of prized assets have risen accordingly. It remains a sellers market in technology-driven deals, particularly in the consumer-goods, financial services, and media and telecommunications sectors.
Las economías de la eurozona recuperan su velocidad de crecimiento. La mejora iniciada este año alcanzó un +0,4% en el primer cuatrimestre, y actualmente ha superado el crecimiento de USA y UK en el mismo periodo.
Etude PwC Global Economy Watch (juin 2015)PwC France
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The Future of World Trade_LANDSCAPE DEF (versie die gedrukt is)Raoul Leering
The document discusses the historical growth of world trade relative to GDP growth. It finds that world trade growth has typically outpaced GDP growth over the long-term, averaging a ratio of 1.7 since 1970. However, this ratio has fluctuated, falling below 1 during economic downturns when trade declines more sharply than GDP. The current slowdown in trade growth since the financial crisis fits this pattern, though the ratio of around 1 since 2011 is weaker than most past downturns. The period from the 1990s to the 2000s saw exceptionally strong trade growth and a higher average ratio of 1.9, representing the peak of globalization.
- The UK has twin deficits in its government budget and current account that leave it reliant on foreign capital inflows. A Brexit vote could widen these deficits and increase uncertainty.
- Foreign investors hold over 30% of UK government bonds (gilts) and play a key role in financing the deficits. After a Brexit vote, they may demand a higher risk premium and switch to other assets.
- In the short-term after a vote to leave, the Bank of England could cut rates to support the economy, but over the long-run a Brexit is likely to have negative economic impacts and cause gilt yields to rise as the risk premium increases.
The document discusses the need to create a balanced and sustainable economy in the UK that is not overly reliant on any one sector or region. It argues that a "new economy" is required that spreads growth throughout the UK by harnessing entrepreneurship and supporting the mid-market sector. The mid-market, consisting of companies with turnover between £10-300 million, is highlighted as an important driver of the UK economy, employing millions of people. However, these companies are sometimes overlooked by policymakers.
This document discusses the importance of startups for economic growth and job creation. It argues that while large existing firms provide jobs and revenue, they typically do not create net new jobs over time. In contrast, startups and small businesses are responsible for over 70% of new job creation. The document also highlights how startup cultures that celebrate innovation, failure and passion can drive greater economic dynamism by pushing all firms to continuously evolve and innovate. It provides the example of the author's experience interning at a fast-growing Indian tech startup to illustrate the vibrant atmosphere such companies can foster.
The document provides an overview of a town hall meeting held by Innovate Finance regarding the effect of the UK's vote to leave the EU (Brexit) on London's fintech industry. Key points from the meeting included optimism about opportunities for fintech despite uncertainties, and a focus on ensuring London maintains its position as a leading international financial center. The author believes early signs are positive that the UK government and businesses will work to retain talent and support fintech, and that sectors like alternative finance, payments, and robo-advisory could benefit from increased regulation and needs for cost savings and innovative technology resulting from Brexit.
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The document summarizes a student research project investigating whether the UK can achieve its target of doubling exports to £1 trillion by 2020, as set by George Osborne. The project reviewed literature on key areas like the role of government support and breaking into emerging markets. Based on the literature, the majority of sources were pessimistic about meeting the target by 2020, though some felt it was ambitious but achievable with a focus on developing markets. Economic forecasts predicted the UK would fall short by 5 years, reaching £750 billion in exports by 2020 and £1 trillion by 2025. Recent export figures also did not point to meeting the target at the current growth rate.
Despite volatility in 2016, the European leveraged debt market showed resilience, with issuance improving after a slow first quarter. However, much of the new issuance was used for refinancing rather than new lending, as muted M&A activity reduced opportunities for deals. Covenant-lite loans became more common in Europe, while payment-in-kind notes and second-lien debt gained popularity as investors sought higher yields. The convergence of European and US leveraged debt markets continued, with US companies increasingly issuing in Europe.
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Grant Thornton’s transactional teams advised on a number of high profile deals throughout Europe in 2016, driving strong outcomes through highly experienced and internationally connected professionals. Grant Thornton’s success was reflected in the number two position (by average deal value) in the ranking of the top ten M&A advisors in Europe.
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Wpływy transferowe klubów piłkarskiej Ekstraklasy osiągnęły w sezonie 2016/2017 wartość 33,5 mln EUR – wynika z Grant Thornton. To najlepszy wynik w historii.
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Rynek fuzji i przejęć w Polsce ma się dobrze
1. Read more from our specialists at www.grantthornton.global
European M&A activity
Deal activity dipped in 2016 amidst political
uncertainty and upheaval, but fresh
opportunities are emerging
Merger and acquisition (M&A) activity has
slowed in 2016 following the record high
in 2015. Overall, transaction confidence
and the resulting level of cross-border
M&A have been tempered by economic
and political instability. Yet, as we explore
in this report, the picture in specific
markets is more varied. In contrast to
falls in Western Europe, for example, deal
activity increased in Central and Eastern
Europe, with Poland and the Czech
Republic leading the way.
The uncertainty has also created deal
opportunities, including the ‘bargains’
opened up in the UK by the drop in the
value of the Pound. And all the time,
the need for competitive reinvention in
the face of rapid technological change
continues to drive a search for the right
deals.
Kai Bartels
Global leader – mergers and acquisitions
Warth & Klein Grant Thornton
Viewp int
Viewp int
Viewp int
Viewp int
E kai.bartels@wkgt.com
2. Quarterly European M&A
activity
Uncertainty surrounding the
UK’s referendum on
membership of the EU and
the subsequent presidential
elections in the US caused
a slowdown in M&A activity.
The economic recovery and resulting
increase in market confidence had led
to a surge in cross-border M&A
activity, which reached its peak in
2015.
Deal volumes and values have
dipped in 2016, largely due to the
considerable political upheaval
experienced during the year.
Particular uncertainty has centred
on the UK’s vote to leave the EU
(‘Brexit’) in June and the
implications for Europe of the result
of November’s US presidential
election.
Activity has far from fallen away,
however, with some markets seeing a
continued upturn (e.g. Spain).
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FIGURE 1: Quarterly European M&A activity
Source: BvD zephyr (data up 31 October 2016 ); Note: Our analysis includes minority stakes
3. 3
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European M&A activity
by sector
FIGURE 2: Deal value and volume by sector
Source: BvD zephyr (data up 31 October 2016 ); Note: Our analysis includes minority stakes
TMT dominates deal
activity.
The first ten months of 2016 have
been a busy time in the deal market,
albeit not as much of a rush as 2015.
The technology, media &
telecommunications (TMT) sector
has led the way (21% of total deal
volume), reflecting the need for
constant competitive reinvention in a
market being transformed by
technology and rapidly changing
customer demands. TMT companies
have looked to M&A to acquire new
technologies, strengthen expertise
and capitalise on opportunities for
expansion. Extending market reach
and bringing in fresh talent through
M&A will continue to be critical to
survival in the TMT market and
beyond.
Several mega-deals in the
consumer and retail sector
contributed to its strong position in
the deal rankings, both in terms of
volume (12%) and value (16%).
The impetus for both
consolidation and acquisition of
innovative start-ups is likely to be
especially strong within the food and
beverage industry as companies seek
to reposition their businesses and
restructure their cost base.
The manufacturing sector also
accounts for a sizeable proportion of
activity (11% of deal volume). While
deal values are down as a result of
market uncertainty, companies
remain focused on expanding their
portfolios in high growth areas.
They are also seeking out
opportunities to dispose non-core
businesses, especially in the mid-
market.
Innovations such as the Internet of
Things and advancing robotics are
beginning to change how
manufacturing plants are set up and
how factories operate.
As a result, the pace of M&A is
likely to accelerate as manufacturers
strive to keep up with the changes in
production techniques and
marketplace demands.
FIGURE 3: Transaction volume split by deal size
Source: BvD zephyr (data up 31 October 2016 ); Note: Our analysis includes
minority stakes and disregards transactions with undisclosed deal values.
4. Viewp int
Legislative reform and
economic recovery have
encouraged Spanish M&A
Spain sees surge in M&A
activity.
Spanish M&A activity has increased
significantly following legislative
changes in 2015, which aimed at
facilitating the capitalisation of debt
and the acquisition of business units
from insolvent companies.
Furthermore, measures tackling
budgetary austerity and labour
market performance appear to have
paid off as the economy is expected to
grow by 3%. With a government in
place, Spain is well prepared for
further growth in an European
environment where access to cheap
financing is available.
Spain’s most targeted sectors for
M&A are construction & real estate,
consumer and technology and media
and telecommunications.
FIGURE 4: Domestic deal volume in Europe
Alfonso Ponce De Leon
Grant Thornton Spain
T +34 91 576 39 99
E alfonso.poncedeleon@es.gt.com
“The Spanish M&A
market is booming…
After a year without a
government, the issue
is finally solved. The
economy is growing and
investors are trying to
take advantage of the
last ‘bargains’ of the
crisis period. The outlook
for 2017 is brilliant.”
Source: BvD zephyr (data up 31 October 2016) Note: Our analysis includes minority stakes
5. 5
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Central and Eastern
European deal-makers look
to their home markets
While M&A activity in
Western Europe has
slowed, deal-making has
accelerated in Central and
Eastern Europe (CEE), with
Poland and the Czech
Republic leading the way.
Investors consider CEE as a
homogeneous market, emphasising
selected markets such as Poland,
Slovakia or the Czech Republic.
M&A activity has risen
significantly since the beginning of
2016, particularly in Poland
(transaction volume up by 40%) and
Czech Republic (transaction volume
up by 135%).
TMT is the most targeted sector,
but we are also seeing strong buyer
interest in business services,
consumer products and services, and
construction & real estate.
Deal volumes in the business
services segment almost doubled in
Poland and Czech Republic,
compared to the previous year.
M&A activity is most prominent in
the mid-market, as many business
owners facing succession issues opt to
cash out.
In Poland, the majority of mid-
market transactions take place in
unregulated sectors, which are less
impacted by the regulatory and tax
incursions of the current government.
With domestic transactions
predominating in CEE, there are
considerable untapped opportunities
for cross-border deals.
Dariusz Bugajski
Grant Thornton Poland
T +48 22 205 4843
E darius.bugajski@pl.gt.com
“The Polish M&A
market is booming with
transaction volumes
reaching their peak.
However, with a large
proportion of domestic
transactions as a
characteristic of the
Polish M&A market, we
leverage our network
to create cross-border
opportunities and
ultimately optimise the
shareholder value for our
clients.”
6. Viewp int
European cross-border deal
activity – Focus on UK
Political uncertainty has
led to reduced cross-
border activity across
Europe. Despite this,
European targets continue
to attract strong interest
from overseas buyers,
particularly from North
America and Asia. The UK
is a key target.
Domestic deal activity in the UK has
clearly been affected by the
uncertainty surrounding June’s
referendum. However, the number of
cross-border transactions has
gradually increased in the UK since
the beginning of 2016, bucking the
trend in many other parts of Europe.
Inbound M&A in the UK reached
its peak in the third quarter, just after
the vote. The increase has been
bolstered by the fall in the value of
the Pound following the referendum,
which has created bargains for
overseas acquirers.
FIGURE 5: Domestic versus cross-border activity
Source: BvD zephyr (data up 31 October 2016 )
While continental companies
appear reluctant to acquire UK
targets at present, British businesses
are attracting strong interest from
buyers based in North America and
Asia.
Besides their interest in UK-based
targets, North American acquirers
have shown strong interest in
Spanish, Italian, Dutch and,
especially, German targets. German
manufacturing companies are at the
top of the list of targets for North
American buyers.
UK buyers remain the most active
acquirers in continental Europe, with
strong interest in German, French,
Italian and Spanish targets.
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European cross-border deal
activity – Focus on Germany
Germany’s economic
strength and capabilities
have continued to make it
a key focus for inbound
M&A.
Despite slowing economic growth,
Germany remains one of the busiest
M&A markets in Europe.
The German M&A market is
characterised by both large
transaction volumes and sizes.
Transaction activity has increased
by 28% in 2016 compared to 2015,
with TMT and manufacturing being
the most targeted industries. Buyers’
interest in these sectors reflects
Germany’s expertise in the Internet
of Things and strong capabilities in
technical engineering.
Further interest stems from
Germany’s macro-economic and
industrial strength, positioning the
country as an attractive industry
location.
While inbound transactions
dominated the German M&A
market, German acquirers were
mainly active in the European
market, including acquisitions in the
UK, France, the Netherlands and
Scandinavia.
Hanno Hepke
Warth & Klein Grant Thornton
T +49 40 43218 6235
E hanno.hepke@wkgt.com
“The outlook for German
M&A activity for 2017 is
positive, driven by the
sound development and
structure of the German
economy and supported
by the favourable
financial environment.”
8. Viewp int
European cross-border deal
activity – Bilateral overview
FIGURE 6: Bilateral cross-border deal count in Europe
Source: BvD zephyr (data up 31 October 2016 ); Note: Our analysis includes minority stakes
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European cross-border deal
activity – Focus on Italy
Legislative reform is
helping to attract foreign
investment into Italy.
Italy recorded an increase in inbound
M&A, which is mainly attributable
to the Investment Compact Act
implemented in early 2015.
The legislation’s main aim of
encouraging investment has been well
received by foreign investors, many
of whom had previously been
deterred by the complex legal system
and rigid labour regulations.
In light of the act, the government
approved a bill under which Italy’s
mid-sized ‘popolari’ banks would be
transformed into joint stock
companies, with the ultimate aim of
increasing access to credit for small
business owners.
As a result, several large financial
services companies have been either
purchased by or have merged with
foreign counterparts, which has
boosted M&A activity in the sector.
The reform is expected to provide
new investment opportunities and
will push further market
participants to consider mergers.
Key drivers include the need to
strengthen the capital base, improve
market position and competitiveness
and, ultimately, be prepared to
address new banking regulations.
Sante Maiolica
Grant Thornton Italy
T +49 40 43218 6235
E sante.maiolica@bernoni.it.gt.com
“The Italian M&A market
had its strongest
performance since 2008
during the first half of
2016. The forecasts
for this year are to be
reviewed in the light
of Brexit’s impact on
financial markets and
the climate of high
uncertainty linked to
the UK’s exit from the
EU. All M&A activities
concerning listed
companies that typically
provide ‘stock for stock’
exchanges are likely to
be frozen.”
10. Viewp int
European cross-border deal
activity – Focus on Netherlands
Cross-border transactions
make up more than 60%
of deal activity in the
Netherlands.
The Netherlands is the most active
cross-border deal market, with these
deals making up 64.6% of overall
activity.
While the transaction volume in the
Netherlands is up 5.3% compared to
2015, the TMT sector has seen an
even bigger rise (16.7%) and is the
main contributor to the overall
increase.
Most buyers come from sectors
outside TMT, reflecting their need to
acquire TMT capabilities to develop
their businesses.
In a fast paced environment that is
shaped by digitisation, companies are
looking to improve their
competitiveness through the right
mix of technologies and skills. They
see TMT as a key target for this.
Evert Everaarts
Grant Thornton Netherlands
T +31 88 676 9722
E evert.everaarts@nl.gt.com
“As a result of further
globalisation and our
open, knowledge based
economy, we are
seeing strong interest
from foreign buyers in
Dutch companies. We
are used to conducting
a lot of cross-border
transactions, however
currently cross-border
transactions are our main
focus. Grant Thornton’s
international network
enables us to act on a
global level and to realise
the optimal deal.”
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Grant Thornton: international
reach and capability
Strategic growth decision
making
Globalisation and company growth
ambitions are driving an increase in
M&A activity worldwide as
businesses look to establish a
footprint in countries beyond their
own. Even within their own regions,
many businesses feel the pressure to
acquire in order to establish a
strategic presence in new markets,
such as those being created by rapid
technological innovation.
We work with dynamic
organisations to help them
understand the true commercial
potential of the business they plan to
acquire and how the purchase might
serve their strategic goals.
From exploring the strategic
options from the perspective of the
business or its shareholders, to
advising on and project managing the
chosen solution, we provide a truly
integrated corporate finance offering.
Kai Bartels
Global leader mergers & acquisitions
Warth & Klein Grant Thornton
T +49 40 43218 6213
E kai.bartels@wkgt.com
To find out more about
how the team can help
you with your next
merger or acquisition,
please contact Kai
Bartels.