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London Exponential Technologies
Robotics Technologies - 30 June, 2016
Peter Morgan
A Brief Overview of Robotics
©Peter Morgan 230 June 2016
Eight Great Technologies (UK Govt)
• Big Data
• Space
• Robotics and Autonomous Systems
• Synthetic biology
• Regenerative Medicine
• Agri-science
• Advanced Materials
• Energy
• https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/eight-great-technologies
©Peter Morgan 3
Robotics Market Size
©Peter Morgan 4
• Worldwide spending on robotics and related services will hit $135 billion in 2019 – IDC Report
• http://fortune.com/2016/02/24/robotics-market-multi-billion-boom/
What is Robotics?
• Intelligence = Agents that learn from and adapt to their environments while
setting and achieving goals
• Robotics = Embodied intelligence with mobility
• Similar to biological systems
• Multimodal (5 senses) is goal (AGI)
• Basically everything we can do
• Software/algorithms
• Neural networks
• Deep learning
• Vision, Language (NLP), Navigation (SLAM)
• Hardware
• CPU, GPU, FPGA, ASIC
• Neuromorphic chips
• Actuators
• Cloud Enabled
• Intelligence in the cloud
• Cloud Robotics
©Peter Morgan 5
Example: Learning and doing from watching videos
• Researchers at the University of Maryland, funded by DARPA
• System that enables robots to process visual data from a series of “how to”
cooking videos on YouTube - and then cook a meal
©Peter Morgan 6
Industrial Robotics
• Manufacturing (Baxter)
• Warehousing (Amazon)
• Police/Security
• Military
• Surgery
• Drones (UAV’s)
• Self-driving cars
• Trains
• Ships
• Planes
• Underwater
©Peter Morgan 7
Consumer Robotics
©Peter Morgan 8
• Robots with friendly user interface that can understand user’s needs and
emotions
• Visual; facial emotions
• Tone of voice
• Caretaking (Carebots)
• Elderly
• Young
• EmoSpark, Echo
• Education
• Home security
• Housekeeping
• Companionship
• Artificial limbs
• Exoskeletons
Consumer Robot Market Drivers
• Barriers to entry have never been lower
• Cheaper and improved sensors
• Connected cloud robotics
• Silicon Valley becoming hotbed for consumer robot companies
• Aging population feeds into demand for Personal Assistant Robots
• Nearly 100 Million Consumer Robots Will be Sold During the Next 5
Years – Tractica, Nov 2015
http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20151123005875/en/100-Million-
Consumer-Robots-Sold-5-Years
©Peter Morgan 9
Robots & Robotics Companies
• Industrial/Business
• Sawyer (ReThink)
• Asimo (Honda)
• Atlas (Boston Dynamics)
• Kiva (Amazon)
• Many (KUKA, ABB, Midea)
• Valkyrie (NASA)
• DURUS (SRI)
• Social/Consumer
• iCub (EU)
• Nao (Aldebaran)
• Pepper (Softbank)
• Roomba (iRobot)
• Jibo (MIT)
• Milo (Robokind)
• Oshbot (Fellows)
©Peter Morgan 10
Robotics Websites
• Jobs, News, Trade
• Robotics Business Review
• AI Hub
• AZoRobotics
• Robohub
• Robotics News
©Peter Morgan 11
Robotics Organisations & Events
• BARA = British Automation and Robot Association
• EU Robotics
• RIA = Robotic Industries Association
• IFR = International Federation of Robotics
• ISO – Robotics
• UK Robotics Week (this week)
©Peter Morgan 12
Opportunities
• Free humans of menial work to pursue arts and sciences
• The Venus Project
• Solve deep challenges (political, economic, scientific, social)
• Creation of new types of jobs
• Increased efficiencies in every market space
• Industry 4.0 (steam, electricity, digital, intelligence)
• Human-Robot collaboration
• Space colonization (Mars)
©Peter Morgan 13
Threats, Challenges, Issues
• Technological Unemployment
• Replace some jobs but create new ones?
• What will these be?
• Widen the inequality gap
• New economic paradigm needed
• Basic Income Guarantee?
• Safety
• Existential risk?
• Organisations
• Legal + Ethical issues
• New laws
• Machine rights
• Personhood
©Peter Morgan 14
Predictions
• More robots (exponential increase)
• More automation (everywhere)
• Endgame is to automate all work
• > 50% will be automated by 2035
• Loosely autonomous agents (2015)
• Semi-automomous agents (2020)
• Fully autonomous agents (2025)
• Above Human Level General Intelligence (2029?)
• Cyborgs (has started – biohackers, implants)
• Self-aware? (personhood)
• Ethics (more debate)
• Regulation (safety issues)
©Peter Morgan 15
References
• Barrat, James, Our Final Invention, St. Martin's Griffin, 2014
• Brynjolfsson, Erik and Andrew McAfee, The Second Machine Age, W.W.
Norton & Co., 2014
• Ford, Martin, Rise of the Robots: Technology and the Threat of a Jobless
Future, Basic Books, 2015
• Kaplan, Jerry – Humans Need Not Apply, Yale University Press, 2015
• Kurzweil, Ray, The Singularity is Near, Penguin Books, 2006
• Markoff, John – Machines of Loving Grace, Ecco Press, 2015
• Nowak, Peter, Humans 3.0: The Upgrading of the Species, Lyons Press,
2015
• Shanahan, Murray – The Technological Singularity, MIT Press, 2015
©Peter Morgan 16
Big Thanks to our Sponsors
• Innovation Warehouse
• Venue + Refreshments
• O’Reilly
• Giveaways – Books & Swag
Peter Morgan 30 June 2016
Thanks for listening!
©Peter Morgan30 Nov 2015 45

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Robotics Overview 2016

  • 1. London Exponential Technologies Robotics Technologies - 30 June, 2016 Peter Morgan
  • 2. A Brief Overview of Robotics ©Peter Morgan 230 June 2016
  • 3. Eight Great Technologies (UK Govt) • Big Data • Space • Robotics and Autonomous Systems • Synthetic biology • Regenerative Medicine • Agri-science • Advanced Materials • Energy • https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/eight-great-technologies ©Peter Morgan 3
  • 4. Robotics Market Size ©Peter Morgan 4 • Worldwide spending on robotics and related services will hit $135 billion in 2019 – IDC Report • http://fortune.com/2016/02/24/robotics-market-multi-billion-boom/
  • 5. What is Robotics? • Intelligence = Agents that learn from and adapt to their environments while setting and achieving goals • Robotics = Embodied intelligence with mobility • Similar to biological systems • Multimodal (5 senses) is goal (AGI) • Basically everything we can do • Software/algorithms • Neural networks • Deep learning • Vision, Language (NLP), Navigation (SLAM) • Hardware • CPU, GPU, FPGA, ASIC • Neuromorphic chips • Actuators • Cloud Enabled • Intelligence in the cloud • Cloud Robotics ©Peter Morgan 5
  • 6. Example: Learning and doing from watching videos • Researchers at the University of Maryland, funded by DARPA • System that enables robots to process visual data from a series of “how to” cooking videos on YouTube - and then cook a meal ©Peter Morgan 6
  • 7. Industrial Robotics • Manufacturing (Baxter) • Warehousing (Amazon) • Police/Security • Military • Surgery • Drones (UAV’s) • Self-driving cars • Trains • Ships • Planes • Underwater ©Peter Morgan 7
  • 8. Consumer Robotics ©Peter Morgan 8 • Robots with friendly user interface that can understand user’s needs and emotions • Visual; facial emotions • Tone of voice • Caretaking (Carebots) • Elderly • Young • EmoSpark, Echo • Education • Home security • Housekeeping • Companionship • Artificial limbs • Exoskeletons
  • 9. Consumer Robot Market Drivers • Barriers to entry have never been lower • Cheaper and improved sensors • Connected cloud robotics • Silicon Valley becoming hotbed for consumer robot companies • Aging population feeds into demand for Personal Assistant Robots • Nearly 100 Million Consumer Robots Will be Sold During the Next 5 Years – Tractica, Nov 2015 http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20151123005875/en/100-Million- Consumer-Robots-Sold-5-Years ©Peter Morgan 9
  • 10. Robots & Robotics Companies • Industrial/Business • Sawyer (ReThink) • Asimo (Honda) • Atlas (Boston Dynamics) • Kiva (Amazon) • Many (KUKA, ABB, Midea) • Valkyrie (NASA) • DURUS (SRI) • Social/Consumer • iCub (EU) • Nao (Aldebaran) • Pepper (Softbank) • Roomba (iRobot) • Jibo (MIT) • Milo (Robokind) • Oshbot (Fellows) ©Peter Morgan 10
  • 11. Robotics Websites • Jobs, News, Trade • Robotics Business Review • AI Hub • AZoRobotics • Robohub • Robotics News ©Peter Morgan 11
  • 12. Robotics Organisations & Events • BARA = British Automation and Robot Association • EU Robotics • RIA = Robotic Industries Association • IFR = International Federation of Robotics • ISO – Robotics • UK Robotics Week (this week) ©Peter Morgan 12
  • 13. Opportunities • Free humans of menial work to pursue arts and sciences • The Venus Project • Solve deep challenges (political, economic, scientific, social) • Creation of new types of jobs • Increased efficiencies in every market space • Industry 4.0 (steam, electricity, digital, intelligence) • Human-Robot collaboration • Space colonization (Mars) ©Peter Morgan 13
  • 14. Threats, Challenges, Issues • Technological Unemployment • Replace some jobs but create new ones? • What will these be? • Widen the inequality gap • New economic paradigm needed • Basic Income Guarantee? • Safety • Existential risk? • Organisations • Legal + Ethical issues • New laws • Machine rights • Personhood ©Peter Morgan 14
  • 15. Predictions • More robots (exponential increase) • More automation (everywhere) • Endgame is to automate all work • > 50% will be automated by 2035 • Loosely autonomous agents (2015) • Semi-automomous agents (2020) • Fully autonomous agents (2025) • Above Human Level General Intelligence (2029?) • Cyborgs (has started – biohackers, implants) • Self-aware? (personhood) • Ethics (more debate) • Regulation (safety issues) ©Peter Morgan 15
  • 16. References • Barrat, James, Our Final Invention, St. Martin's Griffin, 2014 • Brynjolfsson, Erik and Andrew McAfee, The Second Machine Age, W.W. Norton & Co., 2014 • Ford, Martin, Rise of the Robots: Technology and the Threat of a Jobless Future, Basic Books, 2015 • Kaplan, Jerry – Humans Need Not Apply, Yale University Press, 2015 • Kurzweil, Ray, The Singularity is Near, Penguin Books, 2006 • Markoff, John – Machines of Loving Grace, Ecco Press, 2015 • Nowak, Peter, Humans 3.0: The Upgrading of the Species, Lyons Press, 2015 • Shanahan, Murray – The Technological Singularity, MIT Press, 2015 ©Peter Morgan 16
  • 17. Big Thanks to our Sponsors • Innovation Warehouse • Venue + Refreshments • O’Reilly • Giveaways – Books & Swag Peter Morgan 30 June 2016
  • 18. Thanks for listening! ©Peter Morgan30 Nov 2015 45