On Wednesday, 12 May 2021, Dr. Emer Smyth presented 'Risk and protective factors in adolescent behaviour' via a webinar.
Minister for Children, Equality, Diversity, Integration and Youth, Dr. Roderic O'Gorman, TD, launched the report.
The webinar provided an overview of the findings on how family, school, peer and neighbourhood factors shape (mis)behaviour among young people.
The Child Protection Policy and Procedures aimed to enhance CWISH quality of work with children through building and enabling environment for children to participate with the help of policy and procedure to safeguard children in contact with CWISH from any forms of harms and potential risk.
What's the difference between school counselors, school psychologists, and sc...James Wogan
School Counselors, School Psychologists, and School Social Workers have overlapping but distinct roles. This powerpoint describes how each role is similar and unique and outlines the ways each position can be used in traditional ways, as well as innovative approaches. Depending on the needs of the school community, under the framework of Mutli-Tiered System of Support MTSS, schools and school districts may realign Pupil Personnel Support Services Positions to meet the educational needs of students.
The Child Protection Policy and Procedures aimed to enhance CWISH quality of work with children through building and enabling environment for children to participate with the help of policy and procedure to safeguard children in contact with CWISH from any forms of harms and potential risk.
What's the difference between school counselors, school psychologists, and sc...James Wogan
School Counselors, School Psychologists, and School Social Workers have overlapping but distinct roles. This powerpoint describes how each role is similar and unique and outlines the ways each position can be used in traditional ways, as well as innovative approaches. Depending on the needs of the school community, under the framework of Mutli-Tiered System of Support MTSS, schools and school districts may realign Pupil Personnel Support Services Positions to meet the educational needs of students.
A presentation I created for a Human Behavior in the Social Environment course at Radford University on several key ideas of adolescents. Feedback is appreciated.
This presentation was created before the bill was passed. The RH is now a law so it is definitely no longer called as RH BILL but rather RH LAW. I hope this will still be useful esp. to those who do not know the law itself.
This presentation shows results from a new study of fathers drawing on the Growing Up in Ireland study. The report documents the nature and the quality of father-child relationships from infancy to middle childhood and examines the role of fathers in children’s outcomes. The study is part of a research programme with the Department of Equality, Children, Disability, Integration and Youth.
Read the full publication here: https://www.esri.ie/publications/fathers-and-children-from-infancy-to-middle-childhood
A video of the report launch is available on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCpzRsg-0wya_ao1bvb1Q9VA
On Thursday 2 July, ESRI researcher Selina McCoy spoke at the National Institute for Studies in Education, University of Limerick.
Selina presented 'The impact of COVID-19 on second level education in Ireland' which highlights the key findings from the report 'Learning for all? Second-level education in Ireland during COVID-19' which can be viewed here:
https://www.esri.ie/publications/learning-for-all-second-level-education-in-ireland-during-covid-19
A presentation I created for a Human Behavior in the Social Environment course at Radford University on several key ideas of adolescents. Feedback is appreciated.
This presentation was created before the bill was passed. The RH is now a law so it is definitely no longer called as RH BILL but rather RH LAW. I hope this will still be useful esp. to those who do not know the law itself.
This presentation shows results from a new study of fathers drawing on the Growing Up in Ireland study. The report documents the nature and the quality of father-child relationships from infancy to middle childhood and examines the role of fathers in children’s outcomes. The study is part of a research programme with the Department of Equality, Children, Disability, Integration and Youth.
Read the full publication here: https://www.esri.ie/publications/fathers-and-children-from-infancy-to-middle-childhood
A video of the report launch is available on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCpzRsg-0wya_ao1bvb1Q9VA
On Thursday 2 July, ESRI researcher Selina McCoy spoke at the National Institute for Studies in Education, University of Limerick.
Selina presented 'The impact of COVID-19 on second level education in Ireland' which highlights the key findings from the report 'Learning for all? Second-level education in Ireland during COVID-19' which can be viewed here:
https://www.esri.ie/publications/learning-for-all-second-level-education-in-ireland-during-covid-19
On Wednesday 19 August, ESRI researchers Selina McCoy, Eamonn Carroll, Georgiana Mihut and Gretta Mohan presented a study titled 'Lessons from the pandemic: Supporting student engagement'.
For more information, visit: https://www.esri.ie/events/webinar-lessons-from-remote-learning-to-create-better-teaching-in-the-new-school-year
On Wednesday 22 July 2020, ESRI researchers Merike Darmody, Emer Smyth and Helen Russell held a webinar that explored the findings of a study on the implications of the COVID-19 pandemic for policy in relation to children and young people in Ireland.
The study was conducted with the Department of Children, Disability, Equality and Integration and was launched by Minister Dr Roderic O’Gorman.
To view the full publication visit: https://www.esri.ie/publications/the-implications-of-the-covid-19-pandemic-for-policy-in-relation-to-children-and-young
A video of the webinar will be made available shortly.
Professor Emer Smyth delivered this presentation on 18 October 2019 at the launch of the Flying Start Initiative, a new framework supporting children, parents and professionals on the key transitions that happen in the first five years of a child’s life.
More information about the event is available here: http://genesislouth.ie/prof-emer-smyth-launches-flying-start/
The ESRI publication on this topic is available to download here: https://www.esri.ie/publications/the-transition-to-primary-education-insights-from-the-growing-up-in-ireland-study
On Friday, 4 September 2020, Neil Kenny, Selina McCoy and Georgiana Mihut delivered this presentation at the Educational Studies Association of Ireland annual conference.
On 20th October 2023, Selina McCoy and Eammon Carroll presented on research about post-school transitions for students with SEN at the NABMSE conference.
On 4 September, Dr Selina McCoy presented 'Shadow Education among Irish secondary school students: evidence for system reform?' View all slides from the conference here.
On 1 March 2022, Prof Selina McCoy's presented to the NAPD (National Association for Principals & Deputys) Symposium on the topic of Leaving Certificate reform.
Selina McCoy, Associate Research Professor at the ESRI, gave the keynote speech at the Teachers’ Union of Ireland conference on 9 November 2019.
The report is available to download from the ESRI website here: https://www.esri.ie/publications/the-early-impact-of-the-revised-leaving-certificate-grading-scheme-on-student
Individuals who experienced childhood poverty are much more likely to experience income poverty and material deprivation in adulthood. A new study funded by Pobal and carried out by the ESRI finds that in 2019, the likelihood of deprivation in adulthood was 35 percentage points higher among individuals who grew up in poverty when compared to individuals who grew up in ‘very good’ financial circumstances.
Read the full report: https://www.esri.ie/publications/intergenerational-poverty-in-ireland
Read the press release: https://www.esri.ie/news/childhood-poverty-associated-with-higher-risk-of-material-deprivation-and-income-poverty-in
This report is the first study to systematically compare the education systems in Ireland and Northern Ireland from primary to tertiary levels. It draws on international and national survey data, administrative data, interviews with policy stakeholders and input from a consultation with stakeholders to document commonalities and differences between the two systems. It is hoped that the study findings will provide insights for future policy learning in both jurisdictions.
Read the full report: https://www.esri.ie/publications/a-north-south-comparison-of-education-and-training-systems-lessons-for-policy
Bertrand Maître, ESRI, delivered this presentation at an event to launch new research on 14 February 2019. The research examines who is most likely to have unmet needs for formal childcare and professional home care.
The report is available to download here: https://www.esri.ie/publications/technical-paper-on-social-inclusion-and-access-to-care-services-in-ireland
The Dignity for All Students Act (DASA) went into effect on July 1, 2012 requiring schools to provide students with a safe and supportive environment free from discrimination, intimidation, taunting, harassment, and bullying. This presentation will cover what DASA is and how it is being implemented in NYC schools through the Discipline Code and Respect for All initiative. Participants will be provided with ways to find assistance and resources on DASA and bullying.
Luz Minaya
Poverty Proofing the School Day
Sara Bryson, Policy and Research Manager, Children North East
Presented at 'The impact of Poverty on Education - New Evidence of an Old Problem', Newcastle University, 12th June 2016
The following slides are a presentation that was used to present a new youth-adult relationship program to community stakeholders. The program is meant to increase the positive relationships that students have in order to increase both their achievement and social skills after returning to the 2021-2022 school year. This program was set in motion to help with student mental health concerns after pandemic teaching and times of uncertainty. The program will help benefit students inside and outside of the classroom, while also helping them to strengthen their relationships with teachers. The program was inspired by many American College of Education courses that I took while pursuing my Educational Leadership Master's Degree. The program helps spark school improvement, student engagement, community collaboration, and much more.
Similar to Risk and protective factors in adolescent behaviour (20)
On 7 November, Dr Brendan Walsh presented at the HSE's Evidence for Policy Conference on Modelling Healthcare Demand and Supply in New Residential Developments.
On Tuesday 14th November 2023, the ESRI launched 'Civic and political engagement among young adults in Ireland'.
This study looks at civic engagement (volunteering) and involvement in political activities among 20-year-olds, drawing on Growing Up in Ireland data.
Read the full report on our website: https://www.esri.ie/publications/civic-and-political-engagement-among-young-adults-in-ireland
Tax-benefit systems face challenges in achieving their objectives. One key challenge is to ensure people have adequate incomes without creating strong financial disincentives to work.
One element which may reduce work incentives are cliff edges. Cliff edges occur where benefit entitlements and other supports are withdrawn sharply (or entirely), or where tax and social insurance liabilities increase steeply as income rises. Research has found that people adjust their behaviour to keep their income below points such as these.
This paper examines where such cliff edges exist in the Irish tax-benefit system and outlines potential reforms. PRSI and USC both have cliff edges in their design as people under a certain income are exempt. Once this threshold is passed, however, all of a person’s income becomes liable for the charges. This results in a drop in disposable income once the threshold is passed. Removing the cliff edge is possible by introducing a 0% band with those above this level only paying USC/PRSI on the income above this band (as is the case in the income tax system). Reforming the current system is possible but would mean trade-offs if the government want such changes to be revenue neutral – either more low-income people would need to be brought into the USC/PRSI net or rates must increase.
Part-time and low-income workers are negatively impacted by current rules
The social welfare system mainly avoids cliff edges through the gradual withdrawal of benefits as incomes rise. However, two cliff edges exist. The 4-in-7 rule, whereby those working part-time can only receive a Jobseekers Allowance (JSA) payment if fully unemployed for 4 days out of 7, can disincentivise employment as it means that a person working part-time, but whose hours are spread out over the week, will have no JSA entitlement. A second cliff edge exists for lower-income workers – those working at least 38 hours a fortnight can receive the in-work support, the Working Family Payment, while those just under this cut-off cannot.
Read full report on the ESRI website:
https://www.esri.ie/news/eliminating-cliff-edges-in-the-tax-benefit-system-would-help-improve-work-incentives
Despite concern among the public and policymakers about housing and healthcare in Ireland, limited information exists on the relationship between these two critical issues. New research by the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), presented at the annual Budget Perspectives conference on June 15th, highlights significant variations in health outcomes and medical card coverage across supported renter, private renter, and homeowner tenure groups in Ireland. The variations we report should not be interpreted as showing causation, but it is important to identify the patterns for a variety of reasons including healthcare delivery.
Supported renters
Findings show that individuals in the supported rental sector experience the poorest health outcomes. Half of all older adults (aged 65+) in supported rental housing report poor self-reported health, in contrast to one-third of older homeowners. A decline in medical card coverage among supported renters is found, with only 74% holding a medical card in 2021 compared to 87% in 2015. Less than half of employed supported renters possess a medical card, despite facing a high risk of poverty and having incomes that qualify them for public housing assistance.
Private renters
Private renters are found to have poorer health outcomes compared to homeowners across all age groups, in combination with lower rates of medical card coverage. A quarter of private renters with a chronic illness are at risk of poverty, yet the majority lack a medical card. Additionally, over a quarter of older private renters with a chronic illness do not hold a medical card. These findings, combined with previous research demonstrating the financial benefits of possessing a medical card in reducing the burden of healthcare, highlight the significant financial risk faced by vulnerable private renters in the event of a health shock.
Read full report on the ESRI website:
https://www.esri.ie/publications/housing-tenure-health-and-public-healthcare-coverage-in-ireland
The cost of childcare by childminders may decrease by an average of €100 per month if care provided by childminders becomes eligible for the National Childcare Scheme. Such is the finding of new research by the ESRI, presented at the annual Budget Perspectives conference on 15th June.
Prior to the introduction of the National Childcare Scheme (NCS), parents in Ireland faced some of the highest childcare costs among OECD countries. The NCS provides subsidies for users of Tusla-registered childcare. Childminder care, which is typically unregistered, is however, the second most widely used form of paid childcare in Ireland and is not currently subsidised. The National Action Plan for Childminders has committed to the extension of NCS subsidies to childminders who care for non-relative children in the childminder’s own home. The extension is expected to happen on a phased basis over a three-year period from 2024.
This research shows that extending the NCS to children cared for by childminders will cost €35-122 million per annum, depending on how well the scheme is taken up. If all current non-relative childminders register with Tusla and all eligible parents claim NCS subsidies, the reform will benefit 80,000 children by an average of around €100 per month. Children cared for by a childminder tend to live in households with relatively high disposable income and high levels of parental employment, compared to children in centre-based care. The reform will therefore benefit middle-income households more than low- or high-income households.
Subsidising the cost of childminder care is likely to have other knock-on consequences. First, it may reduce the demand for formal (centre-based) care which could alleviate some of the current shortages of this form of childcare. Second, it may increase mothers’ labour supply by reducing barriers to work. Third, wider and positive societal impacts are likely if regulation of the childminder sector improves quality of care and health and safety. However, much depends on the administrative or financial requirements placed on childminders by the increased regulation.
Read the full report: https://www.esri.ie/publications/extending-the-national-childcare-scheme-to-childminders-cost-and-distributional-effect
This report examines newly available data for 2021 on Northern Ireland’s goods exports and imports and equivalent data for Ireland on a detailed product and market level. This allows, for the first time, the trade structures of both economies to be investigated on a consistent basis, giving new insight into both overall international trade patterns for each economy and how cross-border trade looks within this broader context.
Read on the ESRI website:
https://www.esri.ie/publications/structure-of-international-goods-trade-for-ireland-and-northern-ireland
Co-authors Dr Conor O'Toole and Prof Kieran McQuinn delivered a presentation on the ‘Quarterly Economic Commentary, Summer 2023’.
Read key findings from the QEC:
https://www.esri.ie/news/underlying-domestic-growth-still-quite-strong-however-global-uncertainties-impacting-headline
📈Rising interest rates, slower-than-expected global trade and persistent inflation cloud the international outlook, but the domestic economy is growing robustly.
⬆️Modified Domestic Demand (MDD), the more accurate measure of domestic economic activity, is forecasted for growth of 3.6% this year and 4.0% in 2024
👷Labour and housing market capacity constraints may have implications for future growth.
Read the Quarterly Economic Commentary, Summer 2023 on our website: https://www.esri.ie/publications/quarterly-economic-commentary-summer-2023
The ESRI, in collaboration with Pobal, have launched a report examining the economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on people living in disadvantaged areas in Ireland, as defined by the Pobal Haase Pratschke Deprivation Index. The report, titled ‘Pandemic Unemployment and Social Disadvantage in Ireland’, shows that people living in deprived areas, when compared to those living in more affluent areas, experienced greater disruption to their employment.
The Pandemic Unemployment Payment (PUP) was a social welfare payment for employees and self-employed people who lost all their employment due to the COVID-19 public health emergency and the resulting economic impact of lockdowns and restrictions. The payment was designed as income replacement to mitigate the short-term impact on financial wellbeing that pandemic-related job interruption would cause. This research examines the economic repercussions of the pandemic and the extent to which the proportion and duration of Pandemic Unemployment Payment (PUP) are related to area-level deprivation.
Read more key findings: https://www.esri.ie/news/people-in-disadvantaged-areas-experienced-greater-employment-disruption-during-the-covid-19
Read the report: https://www.esri.ie/publications/pandemic-unemployment-and-social-disadvantage-in-ireland
This report, conducted as part of a research programme with the Pensions Council, explores indicative future paths for homeownership rates in Ireland and explores the impact in terms of income poverty in retirement.
Using data from the Survey on Income and Living Conditions (SILC) and the Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA), we consider a number of scenarios to assess the possibility of renting households becoming homeowners, and then test the impact on income poverty rates if households were to continue to have rental costs into retirement.
Read the full report: https://www.esri.ie/publications/future-trends-in-housing-tenure-and-the-adequacy-of-retirement-income
The relationship between health and employment status continually shows that individuals who work have lower levels of illness and higher self-reported health. This study examines how self-reported health and objective measures of health (multimorbidity and mental health problems) differ across employment status and occupations among adults of working age (25-65 years). In addition, the study examines how public health coverage – medical card and GP visit card (GPVC) – and private health coverage (PHI), and lack thereof, differ across occupations. Overall, individuals not in employment have much lower rates of self-reported health and higher rates of illness. In particular, mental health problems are three times higher among unemployed individuals across all age groups. Examining workers separately, differences in health status across occupations are small. However, rates of health coverage differ considerably across occupations. In general, occupations associated with poorer health status tend to have the highest percentages of workers without a medical card/GPVC or PHI. This affects workers’ ability to access lower cost or free healthcare, including for the purpose of certified sick leave.
Read the full publication: https://www.esri.ie/publications/occupations-and-health
Ireland is an outlier among EU countries as it does not have a strong link between previous earnings and the level of payment provided to those who have recently lost their job or are on leave from work for the short- to medium-term for reasons of illness or maternity. This paper provides a historical background for earnings-related benefits in Ireland, outlines the rationale behind linking benefits with previous earnings and examines the potential impact of (re)instating them.
Existing research has shown that disability is costly and can result in an increased risk of living in poverty and a decrease in living standards. In this paper, we expand a framework of equality budgeting, previously applied from a gender perspective, to the population of households affected by disability. Using a microsimulation model linked to data from the EU Survey of Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC), we show how tax-benefit policy and other market income changes between 2007 and 2019 impacted households affected by disability and households not affected by disability. We find that disposable (or post-tax and transfer) income grew for both types of households but at a faster rate for households affected by disability than households not affected by disability. This income growth was driven by two counteracting forces. On the one hand, tax and welfare policy failed to keep pace with market income growth, reducing the living standards of households affected by disability by more than households not affected by disability. On the other hand, despite having lower average wage levels, wage growth for workers affected by disability outpaced wage growth for workers not affected by disability, while the labour supply of households affected by disability also increased. Future attempts to equality-proof budgetary policy should consider that changes to welfare disproportionally affect households with disabilities.
Read the full report: https://www.esri.ie/publications/the-impact-of-irish-budgetary-policy-by-disability-status
On Thursday, June 16th 2022, the ESRI launched the Community Foundation for Ireland/ESRI report Energy poverty and deprivation in Ireland, a topic once again to the forefront of the policy debate given recent increases in energy prices.
This report comprises two main sections. Firstly, it charts the nature of energy poverty in Ireland since the early 1990s, providing insight into the socioeconomic groups likely to experience either energy-related deprivation or high energy costs. Secondly, this report considers recent increases in energy prices to identify how this has affected the number of households experiencing energy poverty. The options policymakers may employ to counter energy poverty are considered.
Read the full report on our website:
https://www.esri.ie/publications/energy-poverty-and-deprivation-in-ireland
Read the accompanying press release on our website: https://www.esri.ie/news/energy-poverty-at-highest-recorded-rate
Subscribe to our Monthly Newsletter/Publication and Event notifications: https://www.esri.ie/sign-up-for-the-esri-newsletter
On Monday, June 20th 2022, the ESRI launched the report 'Disrupted transitions? Young adults and the COVID-19 pandemic'.
The report was conducted as part of a research programme with DCEDIY, draws on the Growing Up in Ireland COVID-19 survey to document the disruption to education, employment and day-to-day activities experienced by young adults during the pandemic and the consequences for their mental health. The report was launched by the Minister for Children, Equality, Disability, Integration and Youth, Dr Roderic O'Gorman, TD.
The research shows that the COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in poorer mental health among young adults. Using data from the Growing Up in Ireland COVID-19 survey, carried out in December 2020, the findings show that four-in-ten 22-year-old men and over half (55 per cent) of 22-year-old women were classified as depressed. These were much higher figures than two years previously when 22 per cent of men and 31 per cent of women were depressed.
Poorer mental health during the pandemic reflected the disruption to young adults’ employment, education and day-to-day activities. Just before the pandemic hit, most (63 per cent) of these 22-year-olds were in full-time education or training and so shifted to remote learning. The vast majority had the electronic devices they needed for remote learning and live online lectures/classes were offered by their institutions. However, around half did not have access to adequate broadband and a quiet place to study, and less than one third (30 per cent) received regular feedback on their work. Over half (57 per cent) found it difficult to study while learning remotely and this was linked to a greater risk of depression. In contrast, those who had more interaction with their institution and the resources they needed to study fared better.
Over half (57 per cent) of those working (either full-time or while studying) when the pandemic hit lost their job. Only one-in-six (16 per cent) of the young adults started working remotely or increased the hours they worked from home. Having higher Leaving Certificate grades and being in a professional/managerial job at age 20 appeared to act as some protection against job loss when the pandemic began. Receiving the Pandemic Unemployment Payment (PUP) served to shelter these young adults from financial strain following employment loss. Losing a full-time job was linked to poorer mental health, especially for young men.
Read the full report on our website: https://www.esri.ie/publications/disr...
Read the accompanying press release on our website: https://www.esri.ie/news/the-covid-19...
Subscribe to our Monthly Newsletter/Publication and Event notifications: https://www.esri.ie/sign-up-for-the-e...
On Tuesday 7 June 2022, the ESRI hosted an event titled 'Application of ethical principles for the design of Just Transition policies'.
Miguel Angel Tovar (ESRI) presented a presentation titled 'The cost of inaction'.
See more details on our website here: https://www.esri.ie/events/virtual-conference-application-of-ethical-principles-for-the-design-of-just-transition
On 11 April, Prof Frances McGinnity presented the findings from our latest report titled 'Origin and integration: Housing and family among migrants in the 2016 Irish Census'.
Read the full publication: https://www.esri.ie/publications/origin-and-integration-housing-and-family-among-migrants-in-the-2016-irish-census
For many commentators, the litmus test of integration is how well the children of migrants are faring. This report investigates whether children born in Ireland to migrant parents differ from children with Irish-born parents in terms of their English language development at three, five and nine years of age, and their self-concept at nine years. It draws on rich data from the ’08 cohort of Growing up in Ireland which collects information on the children, their families, their schools, their skills and well-being in the first nine years of their lives.
Read the full report on our website: https://www.esri.ie/publications/children-of-migrants-in-ireland-how-are-they-faring
Watch the video to accompany this presentation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OmgzYXMxNhY
Does engaging with climate science motivate support for climate policy and behaviour change?
On Tuesday 25 January at 12 PM, the ESRI’s Behavioural Research Unit presented findings from the first measure of climate change comprehension in Ireland.
The webinar featured results from an experimental test about whether engaging with a short climate science quiz alters support for a carbon tax and willingness to change behaviour. It also provided an overview of findings from the quiz and highlighted where knowledge is good and where gaps remain.
The webinar coincided with the publication of Public understanding of climate change and support for mitigation, an ESRI Research Series report by Shane Timmons and Pete Lunn. This report has been published on the ESRI website: https://www.esri.ie/publications/public-understanding-of-climate-change-and-support-for-mitigation
Watch report launch video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DxW3w3EU-Wo&list=PLh8e-RReCFKPfhEBdBirw3_ifBpnVgFy7
Associate Research Professor, Conor O'Toole and Research Professor, Kieran McQuinn presented an overview of the Quarterly Economic Commentary, Autumn 2021 to the media on Wednesday, 6 October 2021 ahead of the document's publication on Thursday, 7 October 2021.
Despite the ongoing effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, both domestic and foreign sources of growth have contributed to the Irish economy’s robust performance in 2021. As public health measures are eased considerably, we anticipate a return to more normal economic activity by the end of the year. For the present year, our expectation is that Irish GDP will grow by 12.6 per cent. The double-digit growth rate is mainly due to multinational related activities, in particular strong export figures. Modified domestic demand, a more accurate measure of underlying economic activity, is expected to grow by 7 per cent in the present year. Into 2022, we expect a continued strong performance of the economy, with GDP set to increase by 7 per cent.
The recovery from COVID-19 has contributed to inflationary pressures in many advanced economies stemming mainly from global supply chain problems and energy prices. While the current expectation is that these factors are largely temporary, further domestic inflationary risks remain relating to the rapidity of the recovery in household spending as well as how price changes feed into wage expectations. At this juncture, our expectation is that inflationary pressures will peak in Q4 2021 and abate through 2022. We expect an inflation rate of 2.3 per cent in 2021 and 2.5 per cent in 2022.
The monthly unemployment rate continues to fall as public health restrictions are eased. Consequently, we expect the unemployment rate to fall to 9 per cent in Q4 2021 and average 16.3 for 2021 overall. Unemployment is set to fall further into 2022 and will average just over 7 per cent for the year. However, we do not expect to see the unemployment rate fall back to pre-COVID rates until late 2023 at the earliest.
The significant reduction in unemployment along with strong underlying growth in taxation receipts has contributed to a smaller deficit in 2021 than expected. The eased pressure on the public finances comes at a time when significant investments will have to be made in the years ahead to tackle issues such as housing, climate change, and healthcare. Making these investments, while ensuring the domestic economy does not overheat, will be a key challenge for fiscal policy over the medium-term.
The publication can be read here: https://www.esri.ie/publications/quarterly-economic-commentary-autumn-2021
The press release accompanying the report can be read here: https://www.esri.ie/news/strong-exports-and-multinationals-contributing-to-double-digit-gdp-growth-however-challenges
For more from the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), visit our website: www.esri.ie
On Friday, 15th October 2021, ESRI researcher
Barra Roantree, Research Officer presented these slides as part of our annual post-Budget briefing.
See more here: https://www.esri.ie/events/post-budget-briefing
More from Economic and Social Research Institute (20)
Jennifer Schaus and Associates hosts a complimentary webinar series on The FAR in 2024. Join the webinars on Wednesdays and Fridays at noon, eastern.
Recordings are on YouTube and the company website.
https://www.youtube.com/@jenniferschaus/videos
Up the Ratios Bylaws - a Comprehensive Process of Our Organizationuptheratios
Up the Ratios is a non-profit organization dedicated to bridging the gap in STEM education for underprivileged students by providing free, high-quality learning opportunities in robotics and other STEM fields. Our mission is to empower the next generation of innovators, thinkers, and problem-solvers by offering a range of educational programs that foster curiosity, creativity, and critical thinking.
At Up the Ratios, we believe that every student, regardless of their socio-economic background, should have access to the tools and knowledge needed to succeed in today's technology-driven world. To achieve this, we host a variety of free classes, workshops, summer camps, and live lectures tailored to students from underserved communities. Our programs are designed to be engaging and hands-on, allowing students to explore the exciting world of robotics and STEM through practical, real-world applications.
Our free classes cover fundamental concepts in robotics, coding, and engineering, providing students with a strong foundation in these critical areas. Through our interactive workshops, students can dive deeper into specific topics, working on projects that challenge them to apply what they've learned and think creatively. Our summer camps offer an immersive experience where students can collaborate on larger projects, develop their teamwork skills, and gain confidence in their abilities.
In addition to our local programs, Up the Ratios is committed to making a global impact. We take donations of new and gently used robotics parts, which we then distribute to students and educational institutions in other countries. These donations help ensure that young learners worldwide have the resources they need to explore and excel in STEM fields. By supporting education in this way, we aim to nurture a global community of future leaders and innovators.
Our live lectures feature guest speakers from various STEM disciplines, including engineers, scientists, and industry professionals who share their knowledge and experiences with our students. These lectures provide valuable insights into potential career paths and inspire students to pursue their passions in STEM.
Up the Ratios relies on the generosity of donors and volunteers to continue our work. Contributions of time, expertise, and financial support are crucial to sustaining our programs and expanding our reach. Whether you're an individual passionate about education, a professional in the STEM field, or a company looking to give back to the community, there are many ways to get involved and make a difference.
We are proud of the positive impact we've had on the lives of countless students, many of whom have gone on to pursue higher education and careers in STEM. By providing these young minds with the tools and opportunities they need to succeed, we are not only changing their futures but also contributing to the advancement of technology and innovation on a broader scale.
Jennifer Schaus and Associates hosts a complimentary webinar series on The FAR in 2024. Join the webinars on Wednesdays and Fridays at noon, eastern.
Recordings are on YouTube and the company website.
https://www.youtube.com/@jenniferschaus/videos
Presentation by Jared Jageler, David Adler, Noelia Duchovny, and Evan Herrnstadt, analysts in CBO’s Microeconomic Studies and Health Analysis Divisions, at the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists Summer Conference.
What is the point of small housing associations.pptxPaul Smith
Given the small scale of housing associations and their relative high cost per home what is the point of them and how do we justify their continued existance
Russian anarchist and anti-war movement in the third year of full-scale warAntti Rautiainen
Anarchist group ANA Regensburg hosted my online-presentation on 16th of May 2024, in which I discussed tactics of anti-war activism in Russia, and reasons why the anti-war movement has not been able to make an impact to change the course of events yet. Cases of anarchists repressed for anti-war activities are presented, as well as strategies of support for political prisoners, and modest successes in supporting their struggles.
Thumbnail picture is by MediaZona, you may read their report on anti-war arson attacks in Russia here: https://en.zona.media/article/2022/10/13/burn-map
Links:
Autonomous Action
http://Avtonom.org
Anarchist Black Cross Moscow
http://Avtonom.org/abc
Solidarity Zone
https://t.me/solidarity_zone
Memorial
https://memopzk.org/, https://t.me/pzk_memorial
OVD-Info
https://en.ovdinfo.org/antiwar-ovd-info-guide
RosUznik
https://rosuznik.org/
Uznik Online
http://uznikonline.tilda.ws/
Russian Reader
https://therussianreader.com/
ABC Irkutsk
https://abc38.noblogs.org/
Send mail to prisoners from abroad:
http://Prisonmail.online
YouTube: https://youtu.be/c5nSOdU48O8
Spotify: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/libertarianlifecoach/episodes/Russian-anarchist-and-anti-war-movement-in-the-third-year-of-full-scale-war-e2k8ai4
A process server is a authorized person for delivering legal documents, such as summons, complaints, subpoenas, and other court papers, to peoples involved in legal proceedings.
ZGB - The Role of Generative AI in Government transformation.pdfSaeed Al Dhaheri
This keynote was presented during the the 7th edition of the UAE Hackathon 2024. It highlights the role of AI and Generative AI in addressing government transformation to achieve zero government bureaucracy
This session provides a comprehensive overview of the latest updates to the Uniform Administrative Requirements, Cost Principles, and Audit Requirements for Federal Awards (commonly known as the Uniform Guidance) outlined in the 2 CFR 200.
With a focus on the 2024 revisions issued by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), participants will gain insight into the key changes affecting federal grant recipients. The session will delve into critical regulatory updates, providing attendees with the knowledge and tools necessary to navigate and comply with the evolving landscape of federal grant management.
Learning Objectives:
- Understand the rationale behind the 2024 updates to the Uniform Guidance outlined in 2 CFR 200, and their implications for federal grant recipients.
- Identify the key changes and revisions introduced by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) in the 2024 edition of 2 CFR 200.
- Gain proficiency in applying the updated regulations to ensure compliance with federal grant requirements and avoid potential audit findings.
- Develop strategies for effectively implementing the new guidelines within the grant management processes of their respective organizations, fostering efficiency and accountability in federal grant administration.
Risk and protective factors in adolescent behaviour
1. www.esri.ie @ESRIDublin #ESRIevents #ESRIpublications
@ESRIDublin #ESRIevents #ESRIpublications www.esri.ie
Risk and protective factors
in adolescent behaviour
DATE
May 12, 2021
VENUE
ESRI, Whitaker Square,
Sir John Rogerson’s Quay,
Dublin 2
AUTHOR
Emer Smyth, Merike Darmody
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@ESRIDublin #ESRIevents #ESRIpublications www.esri.ie
2 12 May 2021
Acknowledgements
• Minister
• Research partnership with the Department of
Children, Equality, Disability, Integration and
Youth (DCEDIY)
• Growing Up in Ireland (GUI) Study Team
• GUI young people and their families
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3 12 May 2021
Background to the study
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Introduction
Use Growing Up in Ireland Cohort ‘98 data to examine:
1. What patterns of (mis)behaviour are found among
young people at 9, 13 and 17 years of age?
2. To what extent do these patterns relate to differences in
family resources (social class, parental education and
household income)?
3. To what extent does adolescent behaviour reflect the
social mix of the school?
4. To what extent does adolescent behaviour reflect the
social composition of the neighbourhood?
5. What family, peer, school and neighbourhood factors
help to reduce the incidence of behaviour difficulties
among young people?
5. www.esri.ie @ESRIDublin #ESRIevents #ESRIpublications
@ESRIDublin #ESRIevents #ESRIpublications www.esri.ie
5 12 May 2021
Adolescent behaviour
Domain Type of behaviour
Family • Externalising difficulties (acting out)
• Internalising difficulties (emotional and peer
problems)
• Prosocial behaviour (interaction with others)
School • School-based misbehaviour
• Truancy
Neighbourhood • Anti-social behaviour (ASB)
Family behaviour is reported by the young person’s mother;
school and neighbourhood behaviours by the young person themselves
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@ESRIDublin #ESRIevents #ESRIpublications www.esri.ie
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Overall pattern
• Low levels of behaviour difficulties at 9, 13 and 17
years of age
• Few young people consistently ‘act out’ at home,
at school and in the community – importance of
understanding behaviour in context
• Stability and change in difficulties over time: early
difficulties are a signal of later difficulties but, for
most, behaviour difficulties are temporary
• More stable – externalising difficulties; less stable –
anti-social behaviour
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@ESRIDublin #ESRIevents #ESRIpublications www.esri.ie
7 12 May 2021
Gender and family background
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Gender differences in internalising difficulties
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
9 years 13 years 17 years
Male Female
Males more externalising, anti-social and school (mis)behaviour and
females more internalising difficulties but also more prosocial behaviour
9. www.esri.ie @ESRIDublin #ESRIevents #ESRIpublications
@ESRIDublin #ESRIevents #ESRIpublications www.esri.ie
9 12 May 2021
Socio-economic background
• Multidimensional approach: social class, parental
education, household income, family structure
• Complex picture re behaviour and disadvantage
• Lower education levels among mothers linked to
externalising and internalising difficulties but not to
ASB or school-based behaviour
• Financial strain related to externalising,
internalising and school (mis)behaviour
• Lone parent or separated families – poorer
behaviour outcomes across domains, not
accounted for by financial strain or social
class/parental education
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10 12 May 2021
School influences
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Schools or neighbourhoods?
• In many countries, almost all young people attend their
local school, making it hard to distinguish between the
effects of the school they attend and the neighbourhood
they live in
• In Ireland, around ½ of those in second-level education
do not attend their nearest (or most accessible) school
• So there is no simple mapping between school and
neighbourhood
• Use cross-classified multilevel models to distinguish
school and neighbourhood effects, showing how much
behaviour varies across schools and neighbourhoods
12. www.esri.ie @ESRIDublin #ESRIevents #ESRIpublications
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12 12 May 2021
Variation between schools
• Significant variation between individual schools in
school-based misbehaviour, truancy, internalising
difficulties and prosocial behaviour, even taking
account of family background
• Little difference by school gender mix but lower
misbehaviour in single-sex (especially girls’) schools
and lower truancy rates in girls’ schools
• Significant variation by school social mix: second-
level – DEIS, fee-paying, non-DEIS; primary – Urban
Band 1 DEIS v. others
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Net effect of school social mix: behaviour at home
(compared to non-DEIS schools)
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
DEIS Urban Band 1 DEIS Urban Band 1 DEIS Urban Band 1
Externalising Internalising Prosocial
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Net effect of school social mix: behaviour at school and in
the community (compared with non-DEIS schools)
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
DEIS Urban Band
1
DEIS Fee-paying Urban Band
1
DEIS Fee-paying Urban Band
1
School behaviour Truancy (odds ratios) ASB
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Variation between neighbourhoods
• More variation between schools than
neighbourhoods
• Little systematic variation by socio-economic
profile of neighbourhood (SAPS composite scale),
except more externalising difficulties in most
disadvantaged areas
• Some effect of living in a large city or small town
• Perceived neighbourhood disorder linked to
externalising, internalising and prosocial behaviour
• Concern about local gangs linked to ASB
17. www.esri.ie @ESRIDublin #ESRIevents #ESRIpublications
@ESRIDublin #ESRIevents #ESRIpublications www.esri.ie
17 12 May 2021
Risk and protective factors
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18 12 May 2021
Family factors
• Conflict with parents +
• Positive relationships less significant (less
variation) but were associated with more
prosocial behaviour and lower truancy rates
• Parental monitoring -
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@ESRIDublin #ESRIevents #ESRIpublications www.esri.ie
19 12 May 2021
Peer factors
• Large friendship group – protection
(internalising) and risk (externalising, ASB,
school behaviour)
• Older friends as a risk factor +
• Trust in friends -
• Alienation from friends +
20. www.esri.ie @ESRIDublin #ESRIevents #ESRIpublications
@ESRIDublin #ESRIevents #ESRIpublications www.esri.ie
20 12 May 2021
School factors
• Positive interaction with teachers as protective -
• Negative interaction with teachers as risk +
• School disengagement +
• Engagement with school subjects -
• Academic performance -
21. www.esri.ie @ESRIDublin #ESRIevents #ESRIpublications
@ESRIDublin #ESRIevents #ESRIpublications www.esri.ie
21 12 May 2021
Neighbourhood factors
• Strong protective effect of having an adult to
talk to (at home, school or in the community) -
• Safe place to hang out and, to some extent,
access to facilities -
• Involvement in structured sports -
23. www.esri.ie @ESRIDublin #ESRIevents #ESRIpublications
@ESRIDublin #ESRIevents #ESRIpublications www.esri.ie
23 12 May 2021
Implications for policy
• We need to understand adolescent behaviour in context and how
behaviour reacts to different risk and protective factors
• Need to take a holistic approach to youth mental health and wellbeing
(Sharing the Vision); importance of early prevention but also specialist
supports for those with more severe difficulties (to avoid longer-term
problems)
• Schools as an arena for intervention as well as an influence; wellbeing
in the curriculum; school climate; school (dis)engagement
• Professional development for teachers and other professionals
working with children and young people
• Resources and supports for DEIS schools
• Financial strain – broader anti-poverty strategy
• Impact of the pandemic and related restrictions on youth mental
health makes a policy response all the more urgent