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A Transatlantic Approach to Europe’s East:
Relaunching the Eastern Partnership
BYFRANCESG.BURWELL
Atlantic Council
TRANSATLANTIC RELATIONS PROGRAM
ISSUE INFOCUS
Frances G. Burwell is a Vice President and the Director of the Program on Transatlantic Relations at the Atlantic Council.
MAY 2015
To safeguard its own security, Europe must build a
closer and more integrated relationship with the key
countries of its Eastern Partnership (EaP). Ukraine, Mol-
dova, and Georgia must become priorities, and over the
longer term, Europe must look for opportunities with
Belarus, Azerbaijan, and Armenia. As long as these coun-
tries are poor, vulnerable to aggression, and politically
unstable—some with frozen or active conflicts within
their borders—they will erode the security of the rest of
Europe. The Eastern Partnership Summit in Riga, Latvia,
on May 20-21, 2015, offers a key opportunity for the
European Union (EU) to confront this challenge by
launching a reinvigorated EaP and, with the United
States, a new Transatlantic Partnership for Wider Eu-
rope.
A Partnership of Good Intentions
Following the collapse of the Soviet Union, the most suc-
cessful foreign policy effort of the European and US gov-
ernments was the integration of Central European states
into NATO and the EU. NATO engaged these countries
in a strategic discussion across the Atlantic while also
teaching their militaries how to behave in a democracy.
Accession to the EU was even more intrusive, requiring
these new democracies to transform their economies
and their judicial and political systems, while also bring-
ing a convergence of their foreign policies. As the EU’s
border moved eastward, its attention also moved to its
new neighbors.
In 2004, the EU proposed its European Neighborhood
Policy (ENP) as a way of reaching out to sixteen of its
neighbors, in both the east and south, and developing
stronger relations based on shared values, economic
connections, and human and cultural connections, but
without the expectation of eventual EU membership.
The diversity of the neighbors led the EU to establish
the Euro-Mediterranean partnership and the Black Sea
Synergy in 2008. In 2009, the EU established perhaps its
most consequential outgrowth of the ENP, the Eastern
Partnership with Ukraine, Moldova, Georgia, Azerbaijan,
Armenia, and Belarus. The EaP was intended to “ac-
celerate the political association and further economic
integration between the European Union and interested
partner countries.” The EaP would focus on four “plat-
forms”:
•	 democracy, good governance, and stability;
•	 economic integration and convergence with the EU;
•	 energy security; and
•	 people-to-people initiatives.
Progress was measured by how closely these countries
came to adopting the EU’s own policy and regulatory
structure, the acquis communautaire. In time, success-
ful partners were expected to negotiate an Association
Agreement (AA) with the EU, the highlight of which
would be a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Agree-
ment (DCFTA), which not only removed tariff barriers,
but also sought to bring the partners’ economic regula-
tory policy to an EU level. The EaP also aimed to create
“mobility partnerships,” under which their citizens could
qualify for visa-free travel to the EU.
Transatlantic Relations Program
The Transatlantic Relations Program promotes
dialogue on major issues affecting the transatlantic
partnership and the ability of the United States and
Europe to respond to global challenges.
This issue in focus was published with funds
generously provided by the Embassy of Latvia in
the United States, as part of the Atlantic Council’s
initiative Toward a Transatlantic Strategy for
Europe’s East.
2	 ATLANTIC COUNCIL
This effort should not be seen as altruistic—it was
widely believed that advancing the security and prosper-
ity of these six partners would help build a more secure
and prosperous EU. But in contrast with the process
that brought the Central European countries into the EU,
membership was not on the table for the EaP countries.
Accession was not explicitly ruled out, but many EU
members made clear their opposition to bringing in new
members. Regardless of its progress, no partner country
could count on being considered for membership for
many years.
For a time, the EaP enjoyed some progress. In return
for taking some steps toward reform, these countries
received significant EU financial assistance,1
and in
some partner states, there was real progress in terms
of economic and political reform. Georgia, Moldova, and
Ukraine signed Association Agreements with the EU in
2014. All three eventually signed DCFTAs, although imple-
mentation of the Ukrainian agreement has been delayed
until 2016. In Belarus, however, there was little progress
at all; and, in Azerbaijan and Armenia—both of which,
under Russian pressure, declined to pursue Association
1 During 2010-2013, the EU made available €2.5 billion to the six EaP
countries to meet the Partnership objectives. The countries were also
eligible for funding from other EU instruments, such as ERASMUS schol-
arship support for students and the Horizon 2020 grant framework for
research. See European Union External Action, “The Eastern Partner-
ship—Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ),”
http://eeas.europa.eu/eastern/faq/index_en.htm#8.
Agreements—episodic progress was overshadowed by
continuing problems of corruption, and human rights
abuses. Six years after the start of the EaP, some partner
countries had made progress, but others seemed to have
turned away from the idea of joining Europe.
In some cases, the lack of progress was due to decisions
by the partner governments, who found the needed
reforms too difficult—or too threatening to corrupt
interests. There was nothing in the EU toolbox that could
tempt a dictator like Alexander Lukashenko to disrupt
the system that kept him in power. Even when govern-
ments genuinely tried to move forward, there was no
escaping the fact that the reforms required in an EU
Association Agreement were incredibly difficult for any
government, but especially those with limited institu-
tional capacity.
The uneven progress of the partner countries was also
due to their deteriorating security environment. When
Central Europe originally moved to join NATO and
the EU, Russia had been focused on its own domestic
reforms and was too weak to threaten its former satel-
lites. For a time, it even seemed that Russia might itself
opt for closer partnership with the West, as indicated
by the NATO-Russia Council. But by 2008, the situation
had changed, as demonstrated by the Russian attack on
Georgia. Its manipulation of the Azeri-Armenian conflict
over Nagorno-Karabakh, and its continuing support of
Leaders gathered at the 3rd Eastern Partnership Summit in Vilnius in November 2013. Photo credit: Lithuanian Presidency of the
Council of the European Union 2013.
ATLANTIC COUNCIL	 3
the separatists in Transniestria sent a clear message to
any who thought of challenging Russian hegemony in
its border states. For a time, the Russian government
ignored the Eastern Partnership, as its concern was
focused on the possibility of further NATO expansion. It
saw the EU as a weak institution focused on economic
issues, with little political impact. But as Central Europe
became more and more integrated within the EU—both
economically and politically—Russian President Vladi-
mir Putin reacted to prevent a similar path being taken
by the EaP countries.
Confronted with this challenge, the EU and its member
states were slow to respond. The EaP acted as a process
between the EU and its partners, with no way to take
into account the views of external actors. For many
EU members, the East was simply not a priority—they
were more focused on the eurozone crisis or the grow-
ing instability across the Mediterranean. Nor was the
United States immediately engaged. It had focused on
NATO enlargement, but this no longer seemed on the
agenda for any of the EaP countries except Georgia; even
there, membership was at best a long term prospect.
With wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, and a growing focus
on Asia, the US administration was content to leave this
challenge to the Europeans.
The Ukraine crisis that began in late 2013 showed the
poverty of the EU and US approaches. The failure of
President Viktor Yanukovych to sign the EU Association
Agreement at the Vilnius Summit demonstrated that
the rather legalistic EU process was no match for power
politics. Putin’s annexation of Crimea and support for
militant separatists in eastern Ukraine made clear to the
other partners just how far he would go to stop align-
ment with the West.
To Refine or Relaunch?
The EU now faces a choice. At the Riga Summit, the EU
member states and the six Eastern Partnership coun-
tries will once again meet to discuss their future ar-
rangements. This will not be a negotiation: while each of
the six partners can assert the type of relationship they
want with the EU, and by extension, with the West, it is
the EU that holds almost all of the cards: trade, financial
support, visa facilitation, even the possibility of eventual
membership. The EU’s aim is clearly to have a stable
neighborhood, and the consensus in Europe is that such
stability is best achieved by having market oriented
democracies next door. The question is how to reach
that aim.
In one scenario, the EU could choose to modify the EaP
by merely refining its current approach. In this option,
the EU would reaffirm the right of any partner to choose
its own future, and it would diversify the paths partners
can take, allowing them to select the various elements—
economic reform, political reform, etc.—on an à la carte
basis. There will be more flexibility and fewer demands,
as well as lowered expectations regarding how far the
partners will progress and how much the EU will offer.
In a second scenario, however, the EU will relaunch the
EaP, and then build on this with the United States to cre-
ate a Transatlantic Partnership for Wider Europe. The
ambition of the EaP will remain largely the same—to
bring these countries into a stable political association
with the EU and more closely integrate their economies
with the European one. The EU will start by identifying
the factors that make these countries vulnerable and
unstable, and design strategies specifically to overcome
each weakness, in some cases building on the experi-
ence of the EaP to date. Although each country will dif-
fer, most of the partners are vulnerable in the following
areas: energy security; physical security; corrupt and
underperforming economies; inadequate infrastructure;
poor governance and administrative capacity; weak
public support for reform; and human rights violations
and poor judicial systems.
The EaP addressed all of these areas to some extent,
but often required progress across all areas in order to
unlock a strong EU commitment. The implementation of
a relaunched EaP will differ in two important ways from
the current partnership. First, each program will be
designed to fit the circumstances of each partner; it will
not automatically be assumed that the end point is the
adoption of EU-like systems or the acquis communau-
taire. On some issues, and for some countries, that may
be a desirable end, but probably not for all.
Second, there will be less of a quid pro quo, i.e., reform
brings more financial support. The EU must recognize
that its partners live in a complicated world and their
progress in some areas will be limited in the short
term. Lack of progress in political reform should not
prevent assistance in developing greater energy supply
THE EU SHOULD
RELAUNCH THE EASTERN
PARTNERSHIP, AND THEN
BUILD ON THIS WITH THE
UNITED STATES TO CREATE
A TRANSATLANTIC
PARTNERSHIP FOR
WIDER EUROPE.
4	 ATLANTIC COUNCIL
diversity, for example. Instead, EU leaders should ask if
addressing a particular issue in the partner countries
is in Europe’s interest; if so, they should move forward
where they can, including with financial support. Some
will argue that the EU will end up supporting authori-
tarian governments, and that is always a risk. But by
working to reduce vulnerabilities such as corruption,
poor governance, and nonperforming economies, the EU
will lay a stronger foundation for political reform. Nor is
there anything preventing the EU from criticizing gov-
ernments for antidemocratic behavior or human rights
violations. But there will not be an automatic assump-
tion that countries must move toward a European model
in order to receive assistance in any area. Certainly,
where it works, that would be a desirable end; but these
countries should not be neglected because their current
situation is too complicated to allow such an outcome in
the short term.
The United States cannot stand idly by and simply leave
this to Europe, however. The current challenge to the
international order is also a threat to the United States,
and Washington should thus be ready to help vulnerable
states where it can. The EU will have to lead, as it has so
much more at stake, given its proximity to these part-
ners, and so much more leverage, both economic and
otherwise. But the United States must actively support
a new EaP. Its approach to these countries, including
financial and technical assistance, should be harmo-
nized with the EU approach wherever possible. The EaP
should thus be embedded in a larger structure of consul-
tation and assistance, the Transatlantic Partnership for a
Wider Europe.
Eastern Partnership 2.0
Building this new partnership must start with the EU.
While US participation and support is required for
success, the first steps must happen at the Riga East-
ern Partnership Summit. In particular, the EU should
announce its intention to take the following steps, which
are designed to reduce the vulnerabilities listed above:
Create an Energy Union encompassing those EaP
members who wish to belong and who will take
on the responsibilities. Most discussions of Energy
Union—including the Commission’s February 2015
proposal—envision the new structure involving only
EU members, while some of the EaP countries would
continue their current memberships in the European
Energy Community (Ukraine and Moldova are contract-
ing parties, Georgia is a candidate country, and Armenia
is an observer). The Energy Community is designed to
bring the countries of the Balkans and Eastern Europe
closer to the EU through gradual adoption of its energy-
related acquis communautaire. Yet EU energy security
will not be complete without the full engagement of
some EaP countries. Instead of viewing the Energy
Union as an exclusive club, EU members should recall
that even Schengen includes some non-EU members;
indeed there is considerable “variable geometry” within
Europe. EaP countries that are already contracting par-
ties or candidates in the EC should be given “candidate”
status in the Energy Union. After satisfying a series of
benchmarks based on EU energy regulation, includ-
ing the third energy package—a major EU initiative
designed to open energy and gas markets to competi-
tion—these countries could become full members of the
Energy Union. This would achieve two important goals:
bringing these countries into a more integrated energy
framework with the EU that would enhance everyone’s
energy security; and provide Ukraine, Moldova, and
Georgia with a closer sense of belonging to Europe. As
for Belarus, Armenia, and Azerbaijan, if they decide later
to join the EC, they could also progress down this same
road; it would be their choice.
Launch a campaign to win the “hearts and minds” of
EaP citizens, using one of the EU’s best “weapons”—
visa liberalization—and also creating alternative
Russian-language media. The EU is a “soft-power”
superpower. Despite the financial crisis, despite the rise
of anti-establishment parties both left and right, despite
the regular disparagement of the EU from within its
own borders, we should not forget that the people of
the Maidan were protesting to join Europe. It was the
failure of their government to pursue a European path
that made them take to the streets. But this happens by
accident—Europe does not have a strategy to win sup-
port among the citizens of neighboring states. Even the
European Commission itself admitted being too late in
issuing a fact sheet to correct the inaccuracies about the
Association Agreement put forward by anti-EU factions
in Ukraine. It is time for the EU to think strategically
EASTERN PARTNERSHIP
COUNTRIES THAT ARE
ALREADY CONTRACTING
PARTIES OR CANDIDATES
IN THE ENERGY
COMMUNITY SHOULD
BE GIVEN “CANDIDATE”
STATUS IN
THE ENERGY UNION.
ATLANTIC COUNCIL	 5
about its reputation, and how to garner support within
strategic populations, including those of the EaP states.
The tasking of the European External Action Service with
developing a plan to counter Russian propaganda is a
good step forward. The EU should also be very public
about what it is doing in terms of support for the govern-
ments of Ukraine and Moldova, and be alert to the need
to counter misinformation about its own policies and
actions. Most importantly, the EU should recognize the
importance of allowing citizens from countries that meet
the technical requirements to enter the EU for tourism
and business visits. Nothing will have more impact than
fast-tracking efforts to provide such access to the EU for
EaP citizens. Ironically, it is easier for citizens of Argen-
tina and Brazil to visit the EU visa free than most EaP citi-
zens. Moldova qualified for visa-free travel in 2014, and
there are hopes that Ukraine and Georgia may receive
that status at the Riga Summit. Meeting those expecta-
tions would give the EU a powerful tool for encouraging
those citizens on their European path.
Provide support for further economic growth and
reform, by providing greater market access, as well
as financial and technical support required to at-
tract greater foreign investment. The EU will benefit
enormously by having prosperous, stable economies on
its borders and in its close neighborhood. The EU already
provides extensive financial support for most of the EaP
countries. Perhaps just as important as this aid is the
market access the EU has provided at key moments: in
late 2013, quick access for Moldovan wine was granted
after a Russian boycott went into force, and throughout
2014-15, unilateral market access was granted to Ukrai-
nian products when the implementation of the DCFTA
was delayed. The EU should now move forward on two
fronts. First, those EaP countries that cannot manage—or
do not want—a DCFTA, should be offered much more
basic market access for key exports. This will not neces-
sarily conflict with their obligations under the Eurasian
Economic Union (EEU), but will help build stronger
economic ties with the West. A DCFTA should not be the
only option for EU trade policy vis à vis these countries.
Second, the EU should encourage greater private sector
investment in the EaP countries, as this will be key to
building stronger economies. The European Investment
Bank has already allocated €600 million for rebuilding
infrastructure in eastern Ukraine and for helping local
small and medium enterprises recover.2
But there should
also be credit guarantees and other measures to help
foreign investors who have considered investment even
in western Ukraine but who are unwilling to take on the
risks alone.
2 European Investment Bank, “EIB Supports Early Recovery and SME Sec-
tor in Ukraine with EUR 600 Million,” December 22, 2014, http://www.
eib.org/infocentre/press/releases/all/2014/2014-301-eib-supports-
early-recovery-and-sme-sector-in-ukraine-with-eur-600-million.htm.
Iurie Leanca, then Prime Minister of Moldova, and Catherine Ashton, then High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security
Policy, shaking hands at the Eastern Partnership Summit in Vilnius, November 2013. Photo credit: Lithuanian Presidency of the
Council of the European Union 2013.
6	 ATLANTIC COUNCIL
Support efforts to strengthen government coher-
ence and transparency, as well as anticorruption
efforts, with both financial and technical assistance.
If an economy is to flourish, corruption must not be any
part of the normal way of doing business. The greatest
safeguard against corruption is government transpar-
ency, both in its own dealings and in requiring this of
the private sector. The EU has used such mechanisms as
“twinning” officials—sending member state experts and
officials to work alongside officials in other states—to
enhance government capacities and expertise, and this
should be continued if not enhanced. The EU can also
financially support efforts of the EaP governments to
put documents and processes on line, and also support
civil society groups that focus on gathering and publish-
ing information on government activities. The EU should
also work with member state businesses active in EaP
countries to ensure that they are not facilitating corrupt
practices. Although boosting government coherence and
fighting corruption with transparency seem relatively
modest goals, they provide an essential foundation for
sustainable democracy.
Continue to point out shortcomings in terms of
human rights abuses and violations of democratic
norms, including freedom of speech and assem-
bly. Under this relaunched EaP, the European Union
will sometimes decide that strengthening a country’s
energy infrastructure is important irrespective of the
stage of its democratic development. That does not
mean that the EU—or the United States—should be
silent when abuses of human rights or democratic
process occur. The EU has a long history of speaking
out in support of democracy, even to close diplomatic
partners, and this should not stop. Tangible support
for civil society should be provided through the Eu-
ropean Endowment for Democracy and other mecha-
nisms, and the EU’s support of election observations
should not cease. And clearly, if an EaP country wants
to be considered as a future EU or NATO member, it
must move decisively to address democratic short-
comings.
Many in the Partnership countries would say that their
highest priority is to receive a membership perspective;
i.e., to be promised EU membership when they meet the
criteria. But this is very unlikely to happen at the Riga
Summit. Indeed, one of the failings of the EaP has been to
treat these countries as though they are moving toward
membership, when that was not the EU’s ambition. By
taking the membership perspective for the group off the
table, the EU will be free to support a much more variable
approach to these countries, focused on their particu-
lar situation and the EU interest in boosting stability,
prosperity, and good governance. Some of these coun-
tries should receive a full EU membership perspective,
hopefully in the very near future. Those EaP countries
that seek to “belong” to Europe immediately should pur-
sue the option of membership in the Energy Union. The
EU, by opening Energy Union membership to all Energy
Community members and candidates, would contribute
significantly to the sense of inclusion and stability in the
region.
A Transatlantic Project
This effort should not be a totally European undertaking,
however. Since the end of the Cold War, the United States
has played an essential role in integrating Central Europe
into the Euro-Atlantic community. It took on a leadership
role in making NATO enlargement a reality, and it encour-
aged EU candidate countries to work diligently at the
necessary reforms (while not always being patient about
the length of EU processes). Today, the United States
should not leave support for the EaP countries solely to
the EU and its member states. The EU has a much more
significant stake in these countries—thanks to close eco-
nomic, cultural, and historical ties as well as the impact of
immigration, both legal and illegal. But the United States
still has a serious interest in the ability of these countries
to choose their own future path and to enjoy strong econ-
omies and political systems while doing so. The United
States should fully support the EU in the efforts listed
above, and especially should focus on providing financial
assistance for anticorruption and transparency efforts, as
well as credit guarantees for those seeking to invest. The
close cooperation that has developed between the United
States and EU in the Ukraine crisis should be extended
to transatlantic management of assistance to all the EaP
BY WORKING WITH
EUROPE TO PROVIDE THE
EAP COUNTRIES WITH
SOME ELEMENTS OF
SECURITY AND TO ENSURE
THAT THE IMPACT OF TTIP
IS POSITIVE, THE UNITED
STATES CAN HELP THESE
COUNTRIES ACHIEVE
A GREATER LEVEL
OF PROSPERITY AND
SECURITY.
ATLANTIC COUNCIL	 7
countries. In addition, the United States can take two
important steps—with its European partners—to bring
the EaP countries closer to the transatlantic partnership.
In particular, the United States and Europe should:
Open discussions with EaP countries about how the
Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership
(TTIP) will affect them and explore the potential for
using TTIP to grant the EaP countries market access
to both sides of the Atlantic. Those EaP countries that
have successfully concluded a DCFTA with the European
Union will certainly be affected by TTIP, but whether
they will achieve access to the US market will depend on
the rules-of-origin clauses, and perhaps other regula-
tions. Those EaP countries that do not have a DCFTA
in force face a more ambiguous situation. The United
States and EU should consult with the EaP countries to
determine whether market access would be a benefit
for them. Those with a DCFTA already have access to the
EU market, and have already started to cope with the
free import of EU goods. The impact of access to the US
market is likely to be much less in terms of economics,
but could be a great boost politically in terms of belong-
ing to the West. For those without a DCFTA, it has been
recommended earlier that the EU open its markets any-
way, at least for certain key products. The United States
should do likewise—either through TTIP or a regular
FTA. Again the actual economic impact will be small, as
none of the EaP countries has much trade with the US
compared to Europe, but the political significance would
be much greater. At the same time, such a market ac-
cess agreement should not conflict with any obligations
under the EEU.
Build on existing security and defense cooperation
with some EaP countries to strengthen military-
to-military cooperation, interoperability, and joint
training, including through NATO and EU operations.
The United States, through NATO and directly, already
has security and defense partnerships with some EaP
countries. All the EaP countries are members of NATO’s
Partnership for Peace, for example, although some, such
as Georgia, have been far more active than others. The
EaP countries face very diverse and in some cases, very
threatening security situations. Without some prospect
of security, these governments are unlikely to be able
to undertake desired reforms or achieve any lasting
stability. They are unlikely to become members of NATO
in the near future—and not all want to join the alliance.
Thus, the United States and Europe must find alterna-
tive means of providing some level of security for these
countries, at least those who want to work with the
United States and Europe. Perhaps most important is
the building of strong military-to-military partnerships,
which create confidence and greater understanding
by both parties. Visits by NATO troops, either under
Alliance or national commands will also be important.
US and European forces should participate in military
exercises when invited by EaP countries and also invite
those countries to send their troops to NATO and PfP
exercises. While all these activities happen occasionally
with EaP countries, it needs to be a much more robust
and strategic engagement if it is have any significant
impact.
The European Union has the first responsibility to
manage relations with the EaP countries and create a
new form of partnership, as it has the most connections
with them and the most at stake. But the United States
can play a crucially important role, especially in helping
ensure that these countries can feel part of the West.
By working with Europe to provide the EaP countries
with some elements of security and to ensure that the
impact of TTIP is positive, the United States can help
these countries achieve a greater level of prosperity and
security. By working together to address the challenging
situation of the EaP—by building a truly transatlantic
partnership for this wider Europe—the United States
and EU can help these countries reach a more stable,
prosperous, and secure future.
CHAIRMAN
*Jon M. Huntsman, Jr.
CHAIRMAN,
INTERNATIONAL
ADVISORY BOARD
Brent Scowcroft
PRESIDENT AND CEO
*Frederick Kempe
EXECUTIVE
VICE CHAIRS
*Adrienne Arsht
*Stephen J. Hadley
VICE CHAIRS
*Robert J. Abernethy
*Richard Edelman
*C. Boyden Gray
*George Lund
*Virginia A. Mulberger
*W. DeVier Pierson
*John Studzinski
TREASURER
*Brian C. McK. Henderson
SECRETARY
*Walter B. Slocombe
DIRECTORS
Stephane Abrial
Odeh Aburdene
Peter Ackerman
Timothy D. Adams
John Allen
Michael Andersson
Michael Ansari
Richard L. Armitage
David D. Aufhauser
Elizabeth F. Bagley
Peter Bass
*Rafic Bizri
*Thomas L. Blair
Francis Bouchard
Myron Brilliant
Esther Brimmer
*R. Nicholas Burns
*Richard R. Burt
Michael Calvey
James E. Cartwright
John E. Chapoton
Ahmed Charai
Sandra Charles
George Chopivsky
Wesley K. Clark
David W. Craig
*Ralph D. Crosby, Jr.
Nelson Cunningham
Ivo H. Daalder
Gregory R. Dahlberg
*Paula J. Dobriansky
Christopher J. Dodd
Conrado Dornier
Patrick J. Durkin
Thomas J. Edelman
Thomas J. Egan, Jr.
*Stuart E. Eizenstat
Thomas R. Eldridge
Julie Finley
Lawrence P. Fisher, II
Alan H. Fleischmann
Michèle Flournoy
*Ronald M. Freeman
Laurie Fulton
*Robert S. Gelbard
Thomas Glocer
*Sherri W. Goodman
Mikael Hagström
Ian Hague
John D. Harris II
Frank Haun
Michael V. Hayden
Annette Heuser
*Karl Hopkins
Robert Hormats
*Mary L. Howell
Robert E. Hunter
Wolfgang Ischinger
Reuben Jeffery, III
Robert Jeffrey
*James L. Jones, Jr.
George A. Joulwan
Lawrence S. Kanarek
Stephen R. Kappes
Maria Pica Karp
Francis J. Kelly, Jr.
Zalmay M. Khalilzad
Robert M. Kimmitt
Henry A. Kissinger
Franklin D. Kramer
Philip Lader
*Richard L. Lawson
*Jan M. Lodal
Jane Holl Lute
William J. Lynn
Izzat Majeed
Wendy W. Makins
Mian M. Mansha
William E. Mayer
Allan McArtor
Eric D.K. Melby
Franklin C. Miller
James N. Miller
*Judith A. Miller
*Alexander V. Mirtchev
Obie L. Moore
*George E. Moose
Georgette Mosbacher
Steve C. Nicandros
Thomas R. Nides
Franco Nuschese
Joseph S. Nye
Sean O’Keefe
Hilda Ochoa-
Brillembourg
Ahmet Oren
*Ana Palacio
Carlos Pascual
Thomas R. Pickering
Daniel B. Poneman
Daniel M. Price
*Andrew Prozes
Arnold L. Punaro
*Kirk A. Radke
Teresa M. Ressel
Charles O. Rossotti
Stanley O. Roth
Robert Rowland
Harry Sachinis
William O. Schmieder
John P. Schmitz
Brent Scowcroft
Alan J. Spence
James Stavridis
Richard J.A. Steele
*Paula Stern
Robert J. Stevens
John S. Tanner
Peter J. Tanous
*Ellen O. Tauscher
Karen Tramontano
Clyde C. Tuggle
Paul Twomey
Melanne Verveer
Enzo Viscusi
Charles F. Wald
Jay Walker
Michael F. Walsh
Mark R. Warner
David A. Wilson
Maciej Witucki
Mary C. Yates
Dov S. Zakheim
HONORARY
DIRECTORS
David C. Acheson
Madeleine K. Albright
James A. Baker, III
Harold Brown
Frank C. Carlucci, III
Robert M. Gates
Michael G. Mullen
Leon E. Panetta
William J. Perry
Colin L. Powell
Condoleezza Rice
Edward L. Rowny
George P. Shultz
John W. Warner
William H. Webster
*Executive Committee Members
List as of May 12, 2015
Atlantic Council Board of Directors
This paper is written and published in accordance with the Atlantic Council Policy
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recommendations. The Atlantic Council, its partners, and funders do not determine,
nor do they necessarily endorse or advocate for, any of this report’s particular
conclusions.
The Atlantic Council is a nonpartisan organization that ­promotes constructive US
leadership and engagement in ­international ­affairs based on the central role of the
Atlantic community in ­meeting today’s global ­challenges.
© 2015 The Atlantic Council of the United States. All rights reserved. No part of this
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Relaunching the eastern_partnership_web

  • 1. A Transatlantic Approach to Europe’s East: Relaunching the Eastern Partnership BYFRANCESG.BURWELL Atlantic Council TRANSATLANTIC RELATIONS PROGRAM ISSUE INFOCUS Frances G. Burwell is a Vice President and the Director of the Program on Transatlantic Relations at the Atlantic Council. MAY 2015 To safeguard its own security, Europe must build a closer and more integrated relationship with the key countries of its Eastern Partnership (EaP). Ukraine, Mol- dova, and Georgia must become priorities, and over the longer term, Europe must look for opportunities with Belarus, Azerbaijan, and Armenia. As long as these coun- tries are poor, vulnerable to aggression, and politically unstable—some with frozen or active conflicts within their borders—they will erode the security of the rest of Europe. The Eastern Partnership Summit in Riga, Latvia, on May 20-21, 2015, offers a key opportunity for the European Union (EU) to confront this challenge by launching a reinvigorated EaP and, with the United States, a new Transatlantic Partnership for Wider Eu- rope. A Partnership of Good Intentions Following the collapse of the Soviet Union, the most suc- cessful foreign policy effort of the European and US gov- ernments was the integration of Central European states into NATO and the EU. NATO engaged these countries in a strategic discussion across the Atlantic while also teaching their militaries how to behave in a democracy. Accession to the EU was even more intrusive, requiring these new democracies to transform their economies and their judicial and political systems, while also bring- ing a convergence of their foreign policies. As the EU’s border moved eastward, its attention also moved to its new neighbors. In 2004, the EU proposed its European Neighborhood Policy (ENP) as a way of reaching out to sixteen of its neighbors, in both the east and south, and developing stronger relations based on shared values, economic connections, and human and cultural connections, but without the expectation of eventual EU membership. The diversity of the neighbors led the EU to establish the Euro-Mediterranean partnership and the Black Sea Synergy in 2008. In 2009, the EU established perhaps its most consequential outgrowth of the ENP, the Eastern Partnership with Ukraine, Moldova, Georgia, Azerbaijan, Armenia, and Belarus. The EaP was intended to “ac- celerate the political association and further economic integration between the European Union and interested partner countries.” The EaP would focus on four “plat- forms”: • democracy, good governance, and stability; • economic integration and convergence with the EU; • energy security; and • people-to-people initiatives. Progress was measured by how closely these countries came to adopting the EU’s own policy and regulatory structure, the acquis communautaire. In time, success- ful partners were expected to negotiate an Association Agreement (AA) with the EU, the highlight of which would be a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Agree- ment (DCFTA), which not only removed tariff barriers, but also sought to bring the partners’ economic regula- tory policy to an EU level. The EaP also aimed to create “mobility partnerships,” under which their citizens could qualify for visa-free travel to the EU. Transatlantic Relations Program The Transatlantic Relations Program promotes dialogue on major issues affecting the transatlantic partnership and the ability of the United States and Europe to respond to global challenges. This issue in focus was published with funds generously provided by the Embassy of Latvia in the United States, as part of the Atlantic Council’s initiative Toward a Transatlantic Strategy for Europe’s East.
  • 2. 2 ATLANTIC COUNCIL This effort should not be seen as altruistic—it was widely believed that advancing the security and prosper- ity of these six partners would help build a more secure and prosperous EU. But in contrast with the process that brought the Central European countries into the EU, membership was not on the table for the EaP countries. Accession was not explicitly ruled out, but many EU members made clear their opposition to bringing in new members. Regardless of its progress, no partner country could count on being considered for membership for many years. For a time, the EaP enjoyed some progress. In return for taking some steps toward reform, these countries received significant EU financial assistance,1 and in some partner states, there was real progress in terms of economic and political reform. Georgia, Moldova, and Ukraine signed Association Agreements with the EU in 2014. All three eventually signed DCFTAs, although imple- mentation of the Ukrainian agreement has been delayed until 2016. In Belarus, however, there was little progress at all; and, in Azerbaijan and Armenia—both of which, under Russian pressure, declined to pursue Association 1 During 2010-2013, the EU made available €2.5 billion to the six EaP countries to meet the Partnership objectives. The countries were also eligible for funding from other EU instruments, such as ERASMUS schol- arship support for students and the Horizon 2020 grant framework for research. See European Union External Action, “The Eastern Partner- ship—Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ),” http://eeas.europa.eu/eastern/faq/index_en.htm#8. Agreements—episodic progress was overshadowed by continuing problems of corruption, and human rights abuses. Six years after the start of the EaP, some partner countries had made progress, but others seemed to have turned away from the idea of joining Europe. In some cases, the lack of progress was due to decisions by the partner governments, who found the needed reforms too difficult—or too threatening to corrupt interests. There was nothing in the EU toolbox that could tempt a dictator like Alexander Lukashenko to disrupt the system that kept him in power. Even when govern- ments genuinely tried to move forward, there was no escaping the fact that the reforms required in an EU Association Agreement were incredibly difficult for any government, but especially those with limited institu- tional capacity. The uneven progress of the partner countries was also due to their deteriorating security environment. When Central Europe originally moved to join NATO and the EU, Russia had been focused on its own domestic reforms and was too weak to threaten its former satel- lites. For a time, it even seemed that Russia might itself opt for closer partnership with the West, as indicated by the NATO-Russia Council. But by 2008, the situation had changed, as demonstrated by the Russian attack on Georgia. Its manipulation of the Azeri-Armenian conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh, and its continuing support of Leaders gathered at the 3rd Eastern Partnership Summit in Vilnius in November 2013. Photo credit: Lithuanian Presidency of the Council of the European Union 2013.
  • 3. ATLANTIC COUNCIL 3 the separatists in Transniestria sent a clear message to any who thought of challenging Russian hegemony in its border states. For a time, the Russian government ignored the Eastern Partnership, as its concern was focused on the possibility of further NATO expansion. It saw the EU as a weak institution focused on economic issues, with little political impact. But as Central Europe became more and more integrated within the EU—both economically and politically—Russian President Vladi- mir Putin reacted to prevent a similar path being taken by the EaP countries. Confronted with this challenge, the EU and its member states were slow to respond. The EaP acted as a process between the EU and its partners, with no way to take into account the views of external actors. For many EU members, the East was simply not a priority—they were more focused on the eurozone crisis or the grow- ing instability across the Mediterranean. Nor was the United States immediately engaged. It had focused on NATO enlargement, but this no longer seemed on the agenda for any of the EaP countries except Georgia; even there, membership was at best a long term prospect. With wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, and a growing focus on Asia, the US administration was content to leave this challenge to the Europeans. The Ukraine crisis that began in late 2013 showed the poverty of the EU and US approaches. The failure of President Viktor Yanukovych to sign the EU Association Agreement at the Vilnius Summit demonstrated that the rather legalistic EU process was no match for power politics. Putin’s annexation of Crimea and support for militant separatists in eastern Ukraine made clear to the other partners just how far he would go to stop align- ment with the West. To Refine or Relaunch? The EU now faces a choice. At the Riga Summit, the EU member states and the six Eastern Partnership coun- tries will once again meet to discuss their future ar- rangements. This will not be a negotiation: while each of the six partners can assert the type of relationship they want with the EU, and by extension, with the West, it is the EU that holds almost all of the cards: trade, financial support, visa facilitation, even the possibility of eventual membership. The EU’s aim is clearly to have a stable neighborhood, and the consensus in Europe is that such stability is best achieved by having market oriented democracies next door. The question is how to reach that aim. In one scenario, the EU could choose to modify the EaP by merely refining its current approach. In this option, the EU would reaffirm the right of any partner to choose its own future, and it would diversify the paths partners can take, allowing them to select the various elements— economic reform, political reform, etc.—on an à la carte basis. There will be more flexibility and fewer demands, as well as lowered expectations regarding how far the partners will progress and how much the EU will offer. In a second scenario, however, the EU will relaunch the EaP, and then build on this with the United States to cre- ate a Transatlantic Partnership for Wider Europe. The ambition of the EaP will remain largely the same—to bring these countries into a stable political association with the EU and more closely integrate their economies with the European one. The EU will start by identifying the factors that make these countries vulnerable and unstable, and design strategies specifically to overcome each weakness, in some cases building on the experi- ence of the EaP to date. Although each country will dif- fer, most of the partners are vulnerable in the following areas: energy security; physical security; corrupt and underperforming economies; inadequate infrastructure; poor governance and administrative capacity; weak public support for reform; and human rights violations and poor judicial systems. The EaP addressed all of these areas to some extent, but often required progress across all areas in order to unlock a strong EU commitment. The implementation of a relaunched EaP will differ in two important ways from the current partnership. First, each program will be designed to fit the circumstances of each partner; it will not automatically be assumed that the end point is the adoption of EU-like systems or the acquis communau- taire. On some issues, and for some countries, that may be a desirable end, but probably not for all. Second, there will be less of a quid pro quo, i.e., reform brings more financial support. The EU must recognize that its partners live in a complicated world and their progress in some areas will be limited in the short term. Lack of progress in political reform should not prevent assistance in developing greater energy supply THE EU SHOULD RELAUNCH THE EASTERN PARTNERSHIP, AND THEN BUILD ON THIS WITH THE UNITED STATES TO CREATE A TRANSATLANTIC PARTNERSHIP FOR WIDER EUROPE.
  • 4. 4 ATLANTIC COUNCIL diversity, for example. Instead, EU leaders should ask if addressing a particular issue in the partner countries is in Europe’s interest; if so, they should move forward where they can, including with financial support. Some will argue that the EU will end up supporting authori- tarian governments, and that is always a risk. But by working to reduce vulnerabilities such as corruption, poor governance, and nonperforming economies, the EU will lay a stronger foundation for political reform. Nor is there anything preventing the EU from criticizing gov- ernments for antidemocratic behavior or human rights violations. But there will not be an automatic assump- tion that countries must move toward a European model in order to receive assistance in any area. Certainly, where it works, that would be a desirable end; but these countries should not be neglected because their current situation is too complicated to allow such an outcome in the short term. The United States cannot stand idly by and simply leave this to Europe, however. The current challenge to the international order is also a threat to the United States, and Washington should thus be ready to help vulnerable states where it can. The EU will have to lead, as it has so much more at stake, given its proximity to these part- ners, and so much more leverage, both economic and otherwise. But the United States must actively support a new EaP. Its approach to these countries, including financial and technical assistance, should be harmo- nized with the EU approach wherever possible. The EaP should thus be embedded in a larger structure of consul- tation and assistance, the Transatlantic Partnership for a Wider Europe. Eastern Partnership 2.0 Building this new partnership must start with the EU. While US participation and support is required for success, the first steps must happen at the Riga East- ern Partnership Summit. In particular, the EU should announce its intention to take the following steps, which are designed to reduce the vulnerabilities listed above: Create an Energy Union encompassing those EaP members who wish to belong and who will take on the responsibilities. Most discussions of Energy Union—including the Commission’s February 2015 proposal—envision the new structure involving only EU members, while some of the EaP countries would continue their current memberships in the European Energy Community (Ukraine and Moldova are contract- ing parties, Georgia is a candidate country, and Armenia is an observer). The Energy Community is designed to bring the countries of the Balkans and Eastern Europe closer to the EU through gradual adoption of its energy- related acquis communautaire. Yet EU energy security will not be complete without the full engagement of some EaP countries. Instead of viewing the Energy Union as an exclusive club, EU members should recall that even Schengen includes some non-EU members; indeed there is considerable “variable geometry” within Europe. EaP countries that are already contracting par- ties or candidates in the EC should be given “candidate” status in the Energy Union. After satisfying a series of benchmarks based on EU energy regulation, includ- ing the third energy package—a major EU initiative designed to open energy and gas markets to competi- tion—these countries could become full members of the Energy Union. This would achieve two important goals: bringing these countries into a more integrated energy framework with the EU that would enhance everyone’s energy security; and provide Ukraine, Moldova, and Georgia with a closer sense of belonging to Europe. As for Belarus, Armenia, and Azerbaijan, if they decide later to join the EC, they could also progress down this same road; it would be their choice. Launch a campaign to win the “hearts and minds” of EaP citizens, using one of the EU’s best “weapons”— visa liberalization—and also creating alternative Russian-language media. The EU is a “soft-power” superpower. Despite the financial crisis, despite the rise of anti-establishment parties both left and right, despite the regular disparagement of the EU from within its own borders, we should not forget that the people of the Maidan were protesting to join Europe. It was the failure of their government to pursue a European path that made them take to the streets. But this happens by accident—Europe does not have a strategy to win sup- port among the citizens of neighboring states. Even the European Commission itself admitted being too late in issuing a fact sheet to correct the inaccuracies about the Association Agreement put forward by anti-EU factions in Ukraine. It is time for the EU to think strategically EASTERN PARTNERSHIP COUNTRIES THAT ARE ALREADY CONTRACTING PARTIES OR CANDIDATES IN THE ENERGY COMMUNITY SHOULD BE GIVEN “CANDIDATE” STATUS IN THE ENERGY UNION.
  • 5. ATLANTIC COUNCIL 5 about its reputation, and how to garner support within strategic populations, including those of the EaP states. The tasking of the European External Action Service with developing a plan to counter Russian propaganda is a good step forward. The EU should also be very public about what it is doing in terms of support for the govern- ments of Ukraine and Moldova, and be alert to the need to counter misinformation about its own policies and actions. Most importantly, the EU should recognize the importance of allowing citizens from countries that meet the technical requirements to enter the EU for tourism and business visits. Nothing will have more impact than fast-tracking efforts to provide such access to the EU for EaP citizens. Ironically, it is easier for citizens of Argen- tina and Brazil to visit the EU visa free than most EaP citi- zens. Moldova qualified for visa-free travel in 2014, and there are hopes that Ukraine and Georgia may receive that status at the Riga Summit. Meeting those expecta- tions would give the EU a powerful tool for encouraging those citizens on their European path. Provide support for further economic growth and reform, by providing greater market access, as well as financial and technical support required to at- tract greater foreign investment. The EU will benefit enormously by having prosperous, stable economies on its borders and in its close neighborhood. The EU already provides extensive financial support for most of the EaP countries. Perhaps just as important as this aid is the market access the EU has provided at key moments: in late 2013, quick access for Moldovan wine was granted after a Russian boycott went into force, and throughout 2014-15, unilateral market access was granted to Ukrai- nian products when the implementation of the DCFTA was delayed. The EU should now move forward on two fronts. First, those EaP countries that cannot manage—or do not want—a DCFTA, should be offered much more basic market access for key exports. This will not neces- sarily conflict with their obligations under the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU), but will help build stronger economic ties with the West. A DCFTA should not be the only option for EU trade policy vis à vis these countries. Second, the EU should encourage greater private sector investment in the EaP countries, as this will be key to building stronger economies. The European Investment Bank has already allocated €600 million for rebuilding infrastructure in eastern Ukraine and for helping local small and medium enterprises recover.2 But there should also be credit guarantees and other measures to help foreign investors who have considered investment even in western Ukraine but who are unwilling to take on the risks alone. 2 European Investment Bank, “EIB Supports Early Recovery and SME Sec- tor in Ukraine with EUR 600 Million,” December 22, 2014, http://www. eib.org/infocentre/press/releases/all/2014/2014-301-eib-supports- early-recovery-and-sme-sector-in-ukraine-with-eur-600-million.htm. Iurie Leanca, then Prime Minister of Moldova, and Catherine Ashton, then High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, shaking hands at the Eastern Partnership Summit in Vilnius, November 2013. Photo credit: Lithuanian Presidency of the Council of the European Union 2013.
  • 6. 6 ATLANTIC COUNCIL Support efforts to strengthen government coher- ence and transparency, as well as anticorruption efforts, with both financial and technical assistance. If an economy is to flourish, corruption must not be any part of the normal way of doing business. The greatest safeguard against corruption is government transpar- ency, both in its own dealings and in requiring this of the private sector. The EU has used such mechanisms as “twinning” officials—sending member state experts and officials to work alongside officials in other states—to enhance government capacities and expertise, and this should be continued if not enhanced. The EU can also financially support efforts of the EaP governments to put documents and processes on line, and also support civil society groups that focus on gathering and publish- ing information on government activities. The EU should also work with member state businesses active in EaP countries to ensure that they are not facilitating corrupt practices. Although boosting government coherence and fighting corruption with transparency seem relatively modest goals, they provide an essential foundation for sustainable democracy. Continue to point out shortcomings in terms of human rights abuses and violations of democratic norms, including freedom of speech and assem- bly. Under this relaunched EaP, the European Union will sometimes decide that strengthening a country’s energy infrastructure is important irrespective of the stage of its democratic development. That does not mean that the EU—or the United States—should be silent when abuses of human rights or democratic process occur. The EU has a long history of speaking out in support of democracy, even to close diplomatic partners, and this should not stop. Tangible support for civil society should be provided through the Eu- ropean Endowment for Democracy and other mecha- nisms, and the EU’s support of election observations should not cease. And clearly, if an EaP country wants to be considered as a future EU or NATO member, it must move decisively to address democratic short- comings. Many in the Partnership countries would say that their highest priority is to receive a membership perspective; i.e., to be promised EU membership when they meet the criteria. But this is very unlikely to happen at the Riga Summit. Indeed, one of the failings of the EaP has been to treat these countries as though they are moving toward membership, when that was not the EU’s ambition. By taking the membership perspective for the group off the table, the EU will be free to support a much more variable approach to these countries, focused on their particu- lar situation and the EU interest in boosting stability, prosperity, and good governance. Some of these coun- tries should receive a full EU membership perspective, hopefully in the very near future. Those EaP countries that seek to “belong” to Europe immediately should pur- sue the option of membership in the Energy Union. The EU, by opening Energy Union membership to all Energy Community members and candidates, would contribute significantly to the sense of inclusion and stability in the region. A Transatlantic Project This effort should not be a totally European undertaking, however. Since the end of the Cold War, the United States has played an essential role in integrating Central Europe into the Euro-Atlantic community. It took on a leadership role in making NATO enlargement a reality, and it encour- aged EU candidate countries to work diligently at the necessary reforms (while not always being patient about the length of EU processes). Today, the United States should not leave support for the EaP countries solely to the EU and its member states. The EU has a much more significant stake in these countries—thanks to close eco- nomic, cultural, and historical ties as well as the impact of immigration, both legal and illegal. But the United States still has a serious interest in the ability of these countries to choose their own future path and to enjoy strong econ- omies and political systems while doing so. The United States should fully support the EU in the efforts listed above, and especially should focus on providing financial assistance for anticorruption and transparency efforts, as well as credit guarantees for those seeking to invest. The close cooperation that has developed between the United States and EU in the Ukraine crisis should be extended to transatlantic management of assistance to all the EaP BY WORKING WITH EUROPE TO PROVIDE THE EAP COUNTRIES WITH SOME ELEMENTS OF SECURITY AND TO ENSURE THAT THE IMPACT OF TTIP IS POSITIVE, THE UNITED STATES CAN HELP THESE COUNTRIES ACHIEVE A GREATER LEVEL OF PROSPERITY AND SECURITY.
  • 7. ATLANTIC COUNCIL 7 countries. In addition, the United States can take two important steps—with its European partners—to bring the EaP countries closer to the transatlantic partnership. In particular, the United States and Europe should: Open discussions with EaP countries about how the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) will affect them and explore the potential for using TTIP to grant the EaP countries market access to both sides of the Atlantic. Those EaP countries that have successfully concluded a DCFTA with the European Union will certainly be affected by TTIP, but whether they will achieve access to the US market will depend on the rules-of-origin clauses, and perhaps other regula- tions. Those EaP countries that do not have a DCFTA in force face a more ambiguous situation. The United States and EU should consult with the EaP countries to determine whether market access would be a benefit for them. Those with a DCFTA already have access to the EU market, and have already started to cope with the free import of EU goods. The impact of access to the US market is likely to be much less in terms of economics, but could be a great boost politically in terms of belong- ing to the West. For those without a DCFTA, it has been recommended earlier that the EU open its markets any- way, at least for certain key products. The United States should do likewise—either through TTIP or a regular FTA. Again the actual economic impact will be small, as none of the EaP countries has much trade with the US compared to Europe, but the political significance would be much greater. At the same time, such a market ac- cess agreement should not conflict with any obligations under the EEU. Build on existing security and defense cooperation with some EaP countries to strengthen military- to-military cooperation, interoperability, and joint training, including through NATO and EU operations. The United States, through NATO and directly, already has security and defense partnerships with some EaP countries. All the EaP countries are members of NATO’s Partnership for Peace, for example, although some, such as Georgia, have been far more active than others. The EaP countries face very diverse and in some cases, very threatening security situations. Without some prospect of security, these governments are unlikely to be able to undertake desired reforms or achieve any lasting stability. They are unlikely to become members of NATO in the near future—and not all want to join the alliance. Thus, the United States and Europe must find alterna- tive means of providing some level of security for these countries, at least those who want to work with the United States and Europe. Perhaps most important is the building of strong military-to-military partnerships, which create confidence and greater understanding by both parties. Visits by NATO troops, either under Alliance or national commands will also be important. US and European forces should participate in military exercises when invited by EaP countries and also invite those countries to send their troops to NATO and PfP exercises. While all these activities happen occasionally with EaP countries, it needs to be a much more robust and strategic engagement if it is have any significant impact. The European Union has the first responsibility to manage relations with the EaP countries and create a new form of partnership, as it has the most connections with them and the most at stake. But the United States can play a crucially important role, especially in helping ensure that these countries can feel part of the West. By working with Europe to provide the EaP countries with some elements of security and to ensure that the impact of TTIP is positive, the United States can help these countries achieve a greater level of prosperity and security. By working together to address the challenging situation of the EaP—by building a truly transatlantic partnership for this wider Europe—the United States and EU can help these countries reach a more stable, prosperous, and secure future.
  • 8. CHAIRMAN *Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. CHAIRMAN, INTERNATIONAL ADVISORY BOARD Brent Scowcroft PRESIDENT AND CEO *Frederick Kempe EXECUTIVE VICE CHAIRS *Adrienne Arsht *Stephen J. Hadley VICE CHAIRS *Robert J. Abernethy *Richard Edelman *C. Boyden Gray *George Lund *Virginia A. Mulberger *W. DeVier Pierson *John Studzinski TREASURER *Brian C. McK. Henderson SECRETARY *Walter B. Slocombe DIRECTORS Stephane Abrial Odeh Aburdene Peter Ackerman Timothy D. Adams John Allen Michael Andersson Michael Ansari Richard L. Armitage David D. Aufhauser Elizabeth F. Bagley Peter Bass *Rafic Bizri *Thomas L. Blair Francis Bouchard Myron Brilliant Esther Brimmer *R. Nicholas Burns *Richard R. Burt Michael Calvey James E. Cartwright John E. Chapoton Ahmed Charai Sandra Charles George Chopivsky Wesley K. Clark David W. Craig *Ralph D. Crosby, Jr. Nelson Cunningham Ivo H. Daalder Gregory R. Dahlberg *Paula J. Dobriansky Christopher J. Dodd Conrado Dornier Patrick J. Durkin Thomas J. Edelman Thomas J. Egan, Jr. *Stuart E. Eizenstat Thomas R. Eldridge Julie Finley Lawrence P. Fisher, II Alan H. Fleischmann Michèle Flournoy *Ronald M. Freeman Laurie Fulton *Robert S. Gelbard Thomas Glocer *Sherri W. Goodman Mikael Hagström Ian Hague John D. Harris II Frank Haun Michael V. Hayden Annette Heuser *Karl Hopkins Robert Hormats *Mary L. Howell Robert E. Hunter Wolfgang Ischinger Reuben Jeffery, III Robert Jeffrey *James L. Jones, Jr. George A. Joulwan Lawrence S. Kanarek Stephen R. Kappes Maria Pica Karp Francis J. Kelly, Jr. Zalmay M. Khalilzad Robert M. Kimmitt Henry A. Kissinger Franklin D. Kramer Philip Lader *Richard L. Lawson *Jan M. Lodal Jane Holl Lute William J. Lynn Izzat Majeed Wendy W. Makins Mian M. Mansha William E. Mayer Allan McArtor Eric D.K. Melby Franklin C. Miller James N. Miller *Judith A. Miller *Alexander V. Mirtchev Obie L. Moore *George E. Moose Georgette Mosbacher Steve C. Nicandros Thomas R. Nides Franco Nuschese Joseph S. Nye Sean O’Keefe Hilda Ochoa- Brillembourg Ahmet Oren *Ana Palacio Carlos Pascual Thomas R. Pickering Daniel B. Poneman Daniel M. Price *Andrew Prozes Arnold L. Punaro *Kirk A. Radke Teresa M. Ressel Charles O. Rossotti Stanley O. Roth Robert Rowland Harry Sachinis William O. Schmieder John P. Schmitz Brent Scowcroft Alan J. Spence James Stavridis Richard J.A. Steele *Paula Stern Robert J. Stevens John S. Tanner Peter J. Tanous *Ellen O. Tauscher Karen Tramontano Clyde C. Tuggle Paul Twomey Melanne Verveer Enzo Viscusi Charles F. Wald Jay Walker Michael F. Walsh Mark R. Warner David A. Wilson Maciej Witucki Mary C. Yates Dov S. Zakheim HONORARY DIRECTORS David C. Acheson Madeleine K. Albright James A. Baker, III Harold Brown Frank C. Carlucci, III Robert M. Gates Michael G. Mullen Leon E. Panetta William J. Perry Colin L. Powell Condoleezza Rice Edward L. Rowny George P. Shultz John W. Warner William H. Webster *Executive Committee Members List as of May 12, 2015 Atlantic Council Board of Directors
  • 9. This paper is written and published in accordance with the Atlantic Council Policy on Intellectual Independence. The authors are solely responsible for its analysis and recommendations. The Atlantic Council, its partners, and funders do not determine, nor do they necessarily endorse or advocate for, any of this report’s particular conclusions. The Atlantic Council is a nonpartisan organization that ­promotes constructive US leadership and engagement in ­international ­affairs based on the central role of the Atlantic community in ­meeting today’s global ­challenges. © 2015 The Atlantic Council of the United States. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without permission in writing from the Atlantic Council, except in the case of brief quotations in news articles, critical articles, or reviews. Please contact us for more information. 1030 15th Street, NW, 12th Floor, Washington, DC 20005 (202) 778-4952 AtlanticCouncil.org