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Citywide positive net absorption continues to
peak
Research &
Forecast Report
AUSTIN | OFFICE
Q4 2015
Hannah Tysor Senior Marketing & Research Coordinator | Houston & Austin
According to Wallethub’s list of “2016’s Best & Worst Cities to Find a
Job”, Austin ranks 3rd in the nation behind Plano, Texas and Overland
Park, Kansas. The strong numbers in this report prove that despite
low oil prices that are taking a toll on other Texas markets, Austin
continues to thrive.
Once again, overall positive net absorption in the Austin market has
reached the highest ever recorded. Tenants moving into new office
space during Q4 2015 amount to a positive net absorption of 902,046
square feet.
Five buildings totaling 676,904 square feet delivered in the fourth
quarter and 1,579,496 square feet of office space is currently under
construction. Projects that delivered in Q4 include Lamar Central, a
168,752 SF mixed-use development in the West Central submarket.
In the Northwest submarket, Quarry Oaks III delivered and is 100%
leased.
The citywide average rental rate increased by only 0.6% from
$30.52 to $30.71 over the quarter. Class A rental rates in Austin’s
CBD increased by 1.4% over the quarter to $44.36, a small increase
in comparison to the 7% increase that occurred in Q3. Suburban
submarkets also saw an increase in rental rates as the average Class
A suburban rental rate increased from $32.73 per square foot to
$33.16 per square foot over the quarter.
Austin’s unemployment rate of 3.3% is now well below the state
average of 4.5% and the national average of 4.8%. Job Growth in the
city is also remarkably higher than the state and national average with
a 3.9% annual increase in job growth.
Vacancy & Availability
Austin’s citywide vacancy rate fell 40 basis points from 11.7% to
11.3% between quarters, continuing its gradual decrease since
Q2 of 2009. Vacancy in the CBD remains lower than the average
at 6.8%, a decrease of 160 basis points since the end of the third
quarter. This drop in vacancy is the most significant drop in the
fourth quarter.
Summary Statistics
Austin Office Market Q4 2014 Q3 2015 Q4 2015
Vacancy Rate 12.4% 11.7% 11.3%
Net Absorption
(Million Square Feet)
.388 .899 .902
New Construction
(Million Square Feet)
.532 .625 .805
Under Construction
(Million Square Feet)
3.129 1.996 1.579
Class A Vacancy Rate
CBD
Suburban
10.5%
13.7%
9.8%
13.8%
7.6%
13.4%
Asking Rents
Per Square Foot Per Year
Average $28.88 $30.52 $30.71
CBD Class A $41.06 $43.75 $44.36
Suburban Class A $30.64 $32.73 $33.16
Market Indicators
Relative to prior period
Annual
Change
Quarterly
Change
Quarterly
Forecast*
VACANCY
NET ABSORPTION
NEW CONSTRUCTION
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
*Projected
2 Austin Research & Forecast Report | Q4 2015 | Office | Colliers International
Overall suburban vacancy also continues to decrease although it remains
higher than the CBD at 12.4% vacancy in Q4. Major submarkets that saw a
significant decrease in vacancy over the quarter include Central, North/Domain,
Southwest, and Northwest.
Submarkets that experienced increases in vacancy in Q4 include Cedar Park,
Far Northwest, and the South submarket. The increase in vacancy in the Cedar
Park submarket is due primarily to the delivery of Paloma Ridge Buildings A
& B which created 212,400 SF of available office space in the Cedar Park
submarket. Both buildings were completely vacant upon delivery in December.
Absorption, New Supply and Vacancy
Absorption & Demand
Austin’s office market posted 902,046 SF of positive net absorption in Q4
2015, the highest positive net absorption ever recorded according to our data
service provider, CoStar. Approximately 327,720 square feet of that absorption
occurred in Class A office space in the Southwest submarket where Apple,
Inc. moved into 217,490 square feet at Capital Ridge. Class A space in the
Northwest submarket posted the second highest positive net absorption of
204,809 square feet in the fourth quarter. The CBD posted the third highest
gain of 148,599 square feet of Class A positive net absorption. Only the South
submarket saw negative net absorption over the quarter of 10,965 square feet.
Total positive net absorption for 2015 reached 2,874,695 square feet, well over
double the amount of positive net absorption in 2014.
Rental Rates
The citywide average rental rate increased slightly over the quarter from $30.52
per square foot to $30.71 per square foot. The highest rates across the Austin
market are in the CBD where Class A rental rates reached $44.36 per square foot
in Q4, a 1.4% increase over last quarter. Rates were also high in the South and
West Central submarkets, where Class A rates reached $39.37 per square foot and
$38.74 per square foot, respectively.
Citywide Class B rental rates rose slightly in the fourth quarter to $25.19 per
square foot from $24.92 per square foot.
Over the year, citywide rental rates rose 3.6%, a significant increase in
comparison to years past. In 2014, the citywide average rental rate rose only 0.8%
over the year.
Job Growth & Unemployment
(not seasonally adjusted)
UNEMPLOYMENT 11/14 11/15
AUSTIN 3.7% 3.3%
TEXAS 4.5% 4.5%
U.S. 5.5% 4.8%
JOB GROWTH
Annual
Change
# of Jobs
Added
AUSTIN 3.9% 36.1K
TEXAS 1.7% 204.8K
U.S. 1.9% 2.6M
CBD vs. Suburban
CLASS A OFFICE VACANCY
CLASS A OFFICE RENTS
33 Austin Research & Forecast Report | Q4 2015 | Office | Colliers International
Q4 2015 Top Office Lease Transactions
BUILDING NAME/ADDRESS SUBMARKET SF TENANT LEASE DATE
Parmer 3.2 Northeast 93,000 Natera Genetics Oct-15
Aspen Lake One Far Northwest 88,000 LDR Spine USA, Inc.2
Oct-15
4516 Seton Center Pky Northwest 62,193 BancVue, Ltd.1
Nov-15
Research Park V Northwest 51,624 Planview Oct-15
One Congress Plaza CBD 46,960 Main Street Hub Oct-15
3800 Quick Hill Rd. North/Domain 46,247 Protect America1
Oct-15
San Jacinto Center CBD 40,207 Outbound Engine Dec-15
823 Congress Ave. CBD 33,000 AllClear ID Dec-15
The Terrace 7 Southwest 25,082 BPL Plasma Dec-15
5th+Colorado CBD 19,087 Industrious Office4
Oct-15
Ben White 6 Southeast 18,990 Tokyo Electron1
Dec-15
1300 Guadalupe St. CBD 18,446 Projekt202 Oct-15
Frost Bank Tower CBD 14,000 Pillsbury Winthrop Shaw Pittman LLP Oct-15
5th+Colorado CBD 12,434 Sheri Hill4
Oct-15
Leasing Activity
Austin’s office leasing activity recorded 898,758 SF in Q4 2015. Major transactions this quarter included a new lease for Natera Genetics,
a renewal for LDR Spine, USA, and an expansion for Q2 Holdings, Inc.
1
Renewal
2
Expansion
3
Sublease
4
Pre-lease/proposed or under construction
Q4 2015 Significant Sales Transactions – (100,000 SF or greater)
BUILDING NAME SUBMARKET RBA (SF) YEAR BUILT BUYER SELLER SALE PRICE $/SF CLOSED
7700 W Parmer Ln (4
Properties)*
Far
Northwest
911,579 1999
Accesso
Partners, LLC
Spear Street Capital $272,250,000 $299 Dec-15
Amber Oaks Corporate
Center (10 Properties)*
Far
Northwest
667,999 1999-2007 Menlo Equities CBRE Global Investors Ltd. $116,000,000 $173 Dec-15
301 Congress Ave. CBD 418,338 1985
Prudential
Investment
Management, Inc.
Commonwealth Partners
Management Services LP
N/A N/A Dec-15
6800 Burleson Rd. Southeast 204,346 1986
Capital
Commercial
DivcoWest N/A N/A Dec-15
Sales Activity
Austin’s office investment sales activity included four sales transactions (including two portfolio sales) with an average sale price of $236
per SF.
Sources: CoStar and Real Capital Analytics
*Part of a portfolio
4 Austin Research & Forecast Report | Q4 2015 | Office | Colliers International
Austin Office Market Summary (CBD, Suburban, & Overall)
INVENTORY DIRECT VACANCY
SUBLEASE
VACANCY
VACANCY VACANCY RATE (%)
NET ABSORPTION
(SF)
RENTAL
RATE
CLASS
# OF
BLDGS.
TOTAL (SF) (SF)
RATE
(%)
(SF)
RATE
(%)
TOTAL
(SF)
Q4-2015 Q3-2015 Q4-2015 Q3-2015
AVG
($/SF)
CBD
A 26 6,741,601 471,319 7.0% 39,189 0.6% 510,508 7.6% 9.8% 148,599 141,732 $44.36
B 32 2,382,745 98,289 4.1% 2,670 0.1% 100,959 4.2% 3.8% -11,255 -20,590 $36.57
C 9 470,243 39,269 8.4% 0 0.0% 39,269 8.4% 9.9% 7,231 8,045 $27.55
Total 67 9,594,589 608,877 6.3% 41,859 0.4% 650,736 6.8% 8.3% 144,575 129,187 $41.84
SUBURBAN
A 170 19,840,831 2,322,588 11.7% 330,978 1.7% 2,653,566 13.4% 13.8% 784,266 394,343 $33.16
B 322 17,386,138 1,935,607 11.1% 234,575 1.3% 2,170,182 12.5% 12.4% -21,629 353,127 $24.44
C 57 3,025,382 180,904 6.0% 1,800 0.1% 182,704 6.0% 5.9% -5,166 20,415 $16.42
Total 549 40,252,351 4,439,099 11.0% 567,353 1.4% 5,006,452 12.4% 12.6% 757,471 767,885 $29.04
OVERALL
A 195 26,386,711 2,770,238 10.5% 370,167 1.4% 3,140,405 11.9% 12.8% 932,865 538,744 $35.04
B 354 19,768,883 2,033,896 10.3% 237,245 1.2% 2,271,141 11.5% 11.3% -32,884 332,537 $25.19
C 66 3,495,625 220,173 6.3% 1,800 0.1% 221,973 6.4% 6.4% 2,065 28,460 $18.35
Total 615 49,651,219 5,024,307 10.1% 609,212 1.2% 5,633,519 11.3% 11.7% 902,046 899,741 $30.71
INVENTORY
DIRECT
VACANCY
SUBLEASE
VACANCY
VACANCY VACANCY RATE (%) NET ABSORPTION (SF)
RENTAL
RATE
CLASS
# OF
BLDGS.
TOTAL (SF) (SF)
RATE
(%)
(SF)
RATE
(%)
TOTAL
(SF)
Q4-2015 Q3-2015 Q4-2015 Q3-2015
AVG
($/SF)
CEDAR PARK
A 4 444,674 223,357 50.2% 0 0.0% 223,357 50.2% 6.3% 3,766 0 $26.48
B 3 142,622 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 1,800 $27.20
Total 7 587,296 223,357 38.0% 0 0.0% 223,357 38.0% 3.9% 3,766 1,800 $26.49
CENTRAL
A 3 474,288 74,057 15.6% 0 0.0% 74,057 15.6% 17.2% 7,678 0 $34.01
B 35 1,932,024 180,656 9.4% 17,690 0.9% 198,346 10.3% 10.9% 12,890 27,922 $23.72
C 16 939,288 26,125 2.8% 0 0.0% 26,125 2.8% 2.9% 875 5,679 $16.51
Total 54 3,345,600 280,838 8.4% 17,690 0.5% 298,528 8.9% 9.6% 21,443 33,601 $24.93
EAST
A 2 104,821 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 -
B 13 1,980,452 451,945 22.8% 0 0.0% 451,945 22.8% 22.8% 292 2,802 $19.44
C 4 149,025 29,050 19.5% 0 0.0% 29,050 19.5% 19.5% 0 0 $19.98
Total 19 2,234,298 480,995 21.5% 0 0.0% 480,995 21.5% 21.5% 292 2,802 $19.47
FAR NORTHEAST
B 1 23,408 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 -
Total 1 23,408 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 -
FAR NORTHWEST
A 13 2,046,751 274,904 13.4% 51,094 2.5% 325,998 15.9% 14.6% 82,979 89,839 $28.72
B 8 327,418 26,191 8.0% 0 0.0% 26,191 8.0% 8.7% 2,163 -2,854 $21.53
C 1 21,964 2,600 11.8% 1,800 8.2% 4,400 20.0% 0.0% -4,400 0 $20.48
Total 22 2,396,133 303,695 12.7% 52,894 2.2% 356,589 14.9% 13.6% 80,742 86,985 $27.50
Austin Suburban Office Market Summary
5 Austin Research & Forecast Report | Q4 2015 | Office | Colliers International
Austin Suburban Office Market Summary - Continued
INVENTORY DIRECT VACANCY
SUBLEASE
VACANCY
VACANCY VACANCY RATE (%)
NET ABSORPTION
(SF)
RENTAL
RATE
CLASS
# OF
BLDGS.
TOTAL (SF) (SF)
RATE
(%)
(SF)
RATE
(%)
TOTAL
(SF)
Q4-2015 Q3-2015 Q4-2015 Q3-2015
AVG
($/SF)
NORTH/DOMAIN
A 11 1,526,977 111,453 7.3% 5,162 0.3% 116,615 7.6% 12.5% 73,665 69,343 $33.37
B 31 1,983,536 110,721 5.6% 88,282 4.5% 199,003 10.0% 8.5% -29,566 3,930 $22.96
C 2 102,925 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 24,759 $18.98
Total 44 3,613,438 222,174 6.1% 93,444 2.6% 315,618 8.7% 10.0% 44,099 98,032 $29.07
NORTHEAST
A 4 375,146 200,598 53.5% 0 0.0% 200,598 53.5% 54.1% 2,296 1,359 $24.12
B 18 1,280,754 136,153 10.6% 12,657 1.0% 148,810 11.6% 12.0% 4,723 25,017 $18.67
C 8 305,114 96,461 31.6% 0 0.0% 96,461 31.6% 31.6% 0 -12,807 $11.70
Total 30 1,961,014 433,212 22.1% 12,657 0.6% 445,869 22.7% 23.1% 7,019 13,569 $19.55
NORTHWEST
A 72 6,789,939 496,816 7.3% 70,208 1.0% 567,024 8.4% 9.5% 204,809 17,559 $33.07
B 97 4,309,631 347,042 8.1% 102,787 2.4% 449,829 10.4% 9.2% -53,392 287,686 $28.18
C 4 401,563 386 0.1% 0 0.0% 386 0.1% 0.4% 1,313 -209 $33.00
Total 173 11,501,133 844,244 7.3% 172,995 1.5% 1,017,239 8.8% 9.1% 152,730 305,036 $30.75
ROUND ROCK
A 1 87,000 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 $29.13
B 11 434,646 27,860 6.4% 0 0.0% 27,860 6.4% 8.7% 9,865 6,867 $20.42
C 3 147,466 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0
Total 15 669,112 27,860 4.2% 0 0.0% 27,860 4.2% 5.6% 9,865 6,867 $21.10
SOUTH
A 4 372,497 11,648 3.1% 2,798 0.8% 14,446 3.9% 3.4% -1,887 -1,635 $39.37
B 23 1,216,351 63,977 5.3% 2,389 0.2% 66,366 5.5% 5.4% -913 6,607 $29.73
C 11 651,834 22,234 3.4% 0 0.0% 22,234 3.4% 2.2% -8,165 2,281 $22.81
Total 38 2,240,682 97,859 4.4% 5,187 0.2% 103,046 4.6% 4.1% -10,965 7,253 $30.55
SOUTHEAST
B 9 989,009 432,366 43.7% 0 0.0% 432,366 43.7% 44.8% 10,678 -1,860 $22.17
C 4 161,933 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 2.2% 3,502 561 $15.50
Total 13 1,150,942 432,366 37.6% 0 0.0% 432,366 37.6% 38.8% 14,180 -1,299 $21.45
SOUTHWEST
A 51 6,785,262 732,744 10.8% 199,365 2.9% 932,109 13.7% 16.6% 327,720 194,909 $35.29
B 69 2,583,587 143,376 5.5% 10,770 0.4% 154,146 6.0% 6.8% 21,631 -8,207 $27.94
C 3 94,138 1,340 1.4% 0 0.0% 1,340 1.4% 6.1% 4,417 -896 $27.54
Total 123 9,462,987 877,460 9.3% 210,135 2.2% 1,087,595 11.5% 13.8% 353,768 185,806 $34.15
WEST CENTRAL
A 4 637,755 173,342 27.2% 2,351 0.4% 175,693 27.5% 19.2% 83,240 25,638 $38.74
B 4 182,700 15,320 8.4% 0 0.0% 15,320 8.4% 8.4% 0 3,417 $33.82
C 1 50,132 2,708 5.4% 0 0.0% 2,708 5.4% 0.0% -2,708 1,047 $28.25
Total 9 870,587 191,370 22.0% 2,351 0.3% 193,721 22.3% 15.0% 80,532 30,102 $38.19
6 Austin Research & Forecast Report | Q4 2015 | Office | Colliers International
Office Development Pipeline
1.6 million square feet of office space was under construction during Q4 2015. Five buildings totaling 676,904 square feet delivered in Q4
including Lamar Central, a mixed-use development with 132,000 square feet of office space.
BUILDING NAME ADDRESS SUBMARKET SF
PRE-
LEASED
DEVELOPER
EST.
DELIVERY
NorthShore 110 San Antonio St CBD 23,592 100.0% Trammel Crow Co Jan-16
Research Park Plaza Bldg V 12301 Research Blvd Northwest 172,854 29.9% Cousins Properties
Incorporated
Feb-16
5th & Colorado 201 W 5th St CBD 179,846 26.8% Lincoln Property Company Mar-16
Domain 1 11801 Domain Blvd North/Domain 124,578 0.0% Endeavor Real Estate Group Mar-16
Domain 5 2901 Esperanza Crossing North 74,804 0.0% Endeavor Real Estate Group Mar-16
411 W Main St 411 W Main St Round Rock 26,563 0.0% 411 Partners, LLC Jun-16
2700 La Frontera Blvd 2700 La Frontera Blvd Round Rock 97,941 89.3% Jul-16
317 Grace Ln 317 Grace Ln Southwest 87,748 2.5% Equitable Commercial Realty Dec-16
Green Water Treament Plant 500 W 2nd St CBD 500,512 41.2% Trammel Crow Co Jan-17
Domain 8 11601 Alterra Parkway North/Domain 291,058 0.0% Endeavor Real Estate Group Jan-17
QUOTED GROSS RENTAL RATES FOR EXISTING TOP PERFORMING OFFICE BUILDINGS
BUILDING NAME ADDRESS SUBMARKET RBA (SF)
YEAR
BUILT
%
LEASED
AVAIL.
SF
RENT
($/SF)
OWNER
Frost Bank Tower 401 Congress Ave. CBD 535,078 2003 98.50% 7,944 $55.97 CalSTRS
One Congress Plaza 111 Congress Ave. CBD 518,385 1985 93.70% 119,441 $56.49 Parkway Properties, Inc
One American Center 600 Congress Ave. CBD 503,951 1984 97.40% 13,187 $48.91 CalSTRS
300 West Sixth 300 W. 6th Street CBD 454,225 2001 99.70% 8,502 $56.57 CalSTRS
301 Congress 301 Congress Ave. CBD 418,338 1986 88.60% 75,877 $52.46 National Office Partners, LP
100 Congress 100 Congress Ave. CBD 411,536 1987 97.70% 27,991 $55.52 Metlife, Inc.
7700 W Parmer Ln -
Bldg. B
7700 W Parmer Ln - Bldg. B Far Northwest 350,000 1999 90.60% 31,500 $35.20 Unknown
7700 W. Parmer Ln -
Bldg. C
7700 W. Parmer Ln. - Bldg.
C
Far Northwest 282,000 1999 91.80% 23,693 $35.33 Unknown
Two Barton Skyway 1601 S MoPac Southwest 195,639 2000 97.10% 5,639 $32.1 University Federal Credit
Union
Note: Avail. SF includes direct and sublet space as well as any future available space listed.
Source: CoStar Property
7 <<region>> Research & Forecast Report | Quarter Year or Date | <<Location / Sector>> | Colliers International7 North American Research & Forecast Report | Q4 2014 | Office Market Outlook | Colliers International
Copyright © 2015 Colliers International.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable. While
every reasonable effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it. No
responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult their
professional advisors prior to acting on any of the material contained in this report.
Colliers International | Market
000 Address, Suite #
000 Address, Suite #
+1 000 000 0000
colliers.com/<<market>>
7 North American Research & Forecast Report | Q4 2014 | Office Market Outlook | Colliers International
Copyright © 2015 Colliers International.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable. While
every reasonable effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it. No
responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult their
professional advisors prior to acting on any of the material contained in this report.
Colliers International | Austin
515 Congress Avenue, Suite 1700
Austin, Texas 78701
+1 512 539 3000
colliers.com/texas/austin
FOR MORE INFORMATION
Hannah Tysor
Senior Marketing & Research Coordinator | Houston & Austin
+1 713 830 2192
hannah.tysor@colliers.com
Q4 2015 Highlights
Class A (53%) Class B (40%) Class C (7%)
26.4M SF 19.8M SF
3.5M SF
1.6M SF
11.7%
Current Vacancy
676,904 SF
Delivered Inventory
49.9
Million SF
LEADING THE NATION
Austin is ranked No. 1 for real estate development
across all 75 markets surveyed in Emerging
Trends in Real Estate, an annual report published
by the Urban Land Institute and PwC LLP. Austin
ranked second in the nation for overall real estate
prospects.
902K
674K
433K
899K
Square Feet
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
2015
388KQ3
2014
Highest
Positive Net
Absorption
Ever
Recorded
CITYWIDE POSITIVE NET ABSORPTION
TOTAL OFFICE
INVENTORY

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Q4 2015 Austin Office Market Research & Forecast Report

  • 1. Citywide positive net absorption continues to peak Research & Forecast Report AUSTIN | OFFICE Q4 2015 Hannah Tysor Senior Marketing & Research Coordinator | Houston & Austin According to Wallethub’s list of “2016’s Best & Worst Cities to Find a Job”, Austin ranks 3rd in the nation behind Plano, Texas and Overland Park, Kansas. The strong numbers in this report prove that despite low oil prices that are taking a toll on other Texas markets, Austin continues to thrive. Once again, overall positive net absorption in the Austin market has reached the highest ever recorded. Tenants moving into new office space during Q4 2015 amount to a positive net absorption of 902,046 square feet. Five buildings totaling 676,904 square feet delivered in the fourth quarter and 1,579,496 square feet of office space is currently under construction. Projects that delivered in Q4 include Lamar Central, a 168,752 SF mixed-use development in the West Central submarket. In the Northwest submarket, Quarry Oaks III delivered and is 100% leased. The citywide average rental rate increased by only 0.6% from $30.52 to $30.71 over the quarter. Class A rental rates in Austin’s CBD increased by 1.4% over the quarter to $44.36, a small increase in comparison to the 7% increase that occurred in Q3. Suburban submarkets also saw an increase in rental rates as the average Class A suburban rental rate increased from $32.73 per square foot to $33.16 per square foot over the quarter. Austin’s unemployment rate of 3.3% is now well below the state average of 4.5% and the national average of 4.8%. Job Growth in the city is also remarkably higher than the state and national average with a 3.9% annual increase in job growth. Vacancy & Availability Austin’s citywide vacancy rate fell 40 basis points from 11.7% to 11.3% between quarters, continuing its gradual decrease since Q2 of 2009. Vacancy in the CBD remains lower than the average at 6.8%, a decrease of 160 basis points since the end of the third quarter. This drop in vacancy is the most significant drop in the fourth quarter. Summary Statistics Austin Office Market Q4 2014 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Vacancy Rate 12.4% 11.7% 11.3% Net Absorption (Million Square Feet) .388 .899 .902 New Construction (Million Square Feet) .532 .625 .805 Under Construction (Million Square Feet) 3.129 1.996 1.579 Class A Vacancy Rate CBD Suburban 10.5% 13.7% 9.8% 13.8% 7.6% 13.4% Asking Rents Per Square Foot Per Year Average $28.88 $30.52 $30.71 CBD Class A $41.06 $43.75 $44.36 Suburban Class A $30.64 $32.73 $33.16 Market Indicators Relative to prior period Annual Change Quarterly Change Quarterly Forecast* VACANCY NET ABSORPTION NEW CONSTRUCTION UNDER CONSTRUCTION *Projected
  • 2. 2 Austin Research & Forecast Report | Q4 2015 | Office | Colliers International Overall suburban vacancy also continues to decrease although it remains higher than the CBD at 12.4% vacancy in Q4. Major submarkets that saw a significant decrease in vacancy over the quarter include Central, North/Domain, Southwest, and Northwest. Submarkets that experienced increases in vacancy in Q4 include Cedar Park, Far Northwest, and the South submarket. The increase in vacancy in the Cedar Park submarket is due primarily to the delivery of Paloma Ridge Buildings A & B which created 212,400 SF of available office space in the Cedar Park submarket. Both buildings were completely vacant upon delivery in December. Absorption, New Supply and Vacancy Absorption & Demand Austin’s office market posted 902,046 SF of positive net absorption in Q4 2015, the highest positive net absorption ever recorded according to our data service provider, CoStar. Approximately 327,720 square feet of that absorption occurred in Class A office space in the Southwest submarket where Apple, Inc. moved into 217,490 square feet at Capital Ridge. Class A space in the Northwest submarket posted the second highest positive net absorption of 204,809 square feet in the fourth quarter. The CBD posted the third highest gain of 148,599 square feet of Class A positive net absorption. Only the South submarket saw negative net absorption over the quarter of 10,965 square feet. Total positive net absorption for 2015 reached 2,874,695 square feet, well over double the amount of positive net absorption in 2014. Rental Rates The citywide average rental rate increased slightly over the quarter from $30.52 per square foot to $30.71 per square foot. The highest rates across the Austin market are in the CBD where Class A rental rates reached $44.36 per square foot in Q4, a 1.4% increase over last quarter. Rates were also high in the South and West Central submarkets, where Class A rates reached $39.37 per square foot and $38.74 per square foot, respectively. Citywide Class B rental rates rose slightly in the fourth quarter to $25.19 per square foot from $24.92 per square foot. Over the year, citywide rental rates rose 3.6%, a significant increase in comparison to years past. In 2014, the citywide average rental rate rose only 0.8% over the year. Job Growth & Unemployment (not seasonally adjusted) UNEMPLOYMENT 11/14 11/15 AUSTIN 3.7% 3.3% TEXAS 4.5% 4.5% U.S. 5.5% 4.8% JOB GROWTH Annual Change # of Jobs Added AUSTIN 3.9% 36.1K TEXAS 1.7% 204.8K U.S. 1.9% 2.6M CBD vs. Suburban CLASS A OFFICE VACANCY CLASS A OFFICE RENTS
  • 3. 33 Austin Research & Forecast Report | Q4 2015 | Office | Colliers International Q4 2015 Top Office Lease Transactions BUILDING NAME/ADDRESS SUBMARKET SF TENANT LEASE DATE Parmer 3.2 Northeast 93,000 Natera Genetics Oct-15 Aspen Lake One Far Northwest 88,000 LDR Spine USA, Inc.2 Oct-15 4516 Seton Center Pky Northwest 62,193 BancVue, Ltd.1 Nov-15 Research Park V Northwest 51,624 Planview Oct-15 One Congress Plaza CBD 46,960 Main Street Hub Oct-15 3800 Quick Hill Rd. North/Domain 46,247 Protect America1 Oct-15 San Jacinto Center CBD 40,207 Outbound Engine Dec-15 823 Congress Ave. CBD 33,000 AllClear ID Dec-15 The Terrace 7 Southwest 25,082 BPL Plasma Dec-15 5th+Colorado CBD 19,087 Industrious Office4 Oct-15 Ben White 6 Southeast 18,990 Tokyo Electron1 Dec-15 1300 Guadalupe St. CBD 18,446 Projekt202 Oct-15 Frost Bank Tower CBD 14,000 Pillsbury Winthrop Shaw Pittman LLP Oct-15 5th+Colorado CBD 12,434 Sheri Hill4 Oct-15 Leasing Activity Austin’s office leasing activity recorded 898,758 SF in Q4 2015. Major transactions this quarter included a new lease for Natera Genetics, a renewal for LDR Spine, USA, and an expansion for Q2 Holdings, Inc. 1 Renewal 2 Expansion 3 Sublease 4 Pre-lease/proposed or under construction Q4 2015 Significant Sales Transactions – (100,000 SF or greater) BUILDING NAME SUBMARKET RBA (SF) YEAR BUILT BUYER SELLER SALE PRICE $/SF CLOSED 7700 W Parmer Ln (4 Properties)* Far Northwest 911,579 1999 Accesso Partners, LLC Spear Street Capital $272,250,000 $299 Dec-15 Amber Oaks Corporate Center (10 Properties)* Far Northwest 667,999 1999-2007 Menlo Equities CBRE Global Investors Ltd. $116,000,000 $173 Dec-15 301 Congress Ave. CBD 418,338 1985 Prudential Investment Management, Inc. Commonwealth Partners Management Services LP N/A N/A Dec-15 6800 Burleson Rd. Southeast 204,346 1986 Capital Commercial DivcoWest N/A N/A Dec-15 Sales Activity Austin’s office investment sales activity included four sales transactions (including two portfolio sales) with an average sale price of $236 per SF. Sources: CoStar and Real Capital Analytics *Part of a portfolio
  • 4. 4 Austin Research & Forecast Report | Q4 2015 | Office | Colliers International Austin Office Market Summary (CBD, Suburban, & Overall) INVENTORY DIRECT VACANCY SUBLEASE VACANCY VACANCY VACANCY RATE (%) NET ABSORPTION (SF) RENTAL RATE CLASS # OF BLDGS. TOTAL (SF) (SF) RATE (%) (SF) RATE (%) TOTAL (SF) Q4-2015 Q3-2015 Q4-2015 Q3-2015 AVG ($/SF) CBD A 26 6,741,601 471,319 7.0% 39,189 0.6% 510,508 7.6% 9.8% 148,599 141,732 $44.36 B 32 2,382,745 98,289 4.1% 2,670 0.1% 100,959 4.2% 3.8% -11,255 -20,590 $36.57 C 9 470,243 39,269 8.4% 0 0.0% 39,269 8.4% 9.9% 7,231 8,045 $27.55 Total 67 9,594,589 608,877 6.3% 41,859 0.4% 650,736 6.8% 8.3% 144,575 129,187 $41.84 SUBURBAN A 170 19,840,831 2,322,588 11.7% 330,978 1.7% 2,653,566 13.4% 13.8% 784,266 394,343 $33.16 B 322 17,386,138 1,935,607 11.1% 234,575 1.3% 2,170,182 12.5% 12.4% -21,629 353,127 $24.44 C 57 3,025,382 180,904 6.0% 1,800 0.1% 182,704 6.0% 5.9% -5,166 20,415 $16.42 Total 549 40,252,351 4,439,099 11.0% 567,353 1.4% 5,006,452 12.4% 12.6% 757,471 767,885 $29.04 OVERALL A 195 26,386,711 2,770,238 10.5% 370,167 1.4% 3,140,405 11.9% 12.8% 932,865 538,744 $35.04 B 354 19,768,883 2,033,896 10.3% 237,245 1.2% 2,271,141 11.5% 11.3% -32,884 332,537 $25.19 C 66 3,495,625 220,173 6.3% 1,800 0.1% 221,973 6.4% 6.4% 2,065 28,460 $18.35 Total 615 49,651,219 5,024,307 10.1% 609,212 1.2% 5,633,519 11.3% 11.7% 902,046 899,741 $30.71 INVENTORY DIRECT VACANCY SUBLEASE VACANCY VACANCY VACANCY RATE (%) NET ABSORPTION (SF) RENTAL RATE CLASS # OF BLDGS. TOTAL (SF) (SF) RATE (%) (SF) RATE (%) TOTAL (SF) Q4-2015 Q3-2015 Q4-2015 Q3-2015 AVG ($/SF) CEDAR PARK A 4 444,674 223,357 50.2% 0 0.0% 223,357 50.2% 6.3% 3,766 0 $26.48 B 3 142,622 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 1,800 $27.20 Total 7 587,296 223,357 38.0% 0 0.0% 223,357 38.0% 3.9% 3,766 1,800 $26.49 CENTRAL A 3 474,288 74,057 15.6% 0 0.0% 74,057 15.6% 17.2% 7,678 0 $34.01 B 35 1,932,024 180,656 9.4% 17,690 0.9% 198,346 10.3% 10.9% 12,890 27,922 $23.72 C 16 939,288 26,125 2.8% 0 0.0% 26,125 2.8% 2.9% 875 5,679 $16.51 Total 54 3,345,600 280,838 8.4% 17,690 0.5% 298,528 8.9% 9.6% 21,443 33,601 $24.93 EAST A 2 104,821 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 - B 13 1,980,452 451,945 22.8% 0 0.0% 451,945 22.8% 22.8% 292 2,802 $19.44 C 4 149,025 29,050 19.5% 0 0.0% 29,050 19.5% 19.5% 0 0 $19.98 Total 19 2,234,298 480,995 21.5% 0 0.0% 480,995 21.5% 21.5% 292 2,802 $19.47 FAR NORTHEAST B 1 23,408 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 - Total 1 23,408 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 - FAR NORTHWEST A 13 2,046,751 274,904 13.4% 51,094 2.5% 325,998 15.9% 14.6% 82,979 89,839 $28.72 B 8 327,418 26,191 8.0% 0 0.0% 26,191 8.0% 8.7% 2,163 -2,854 $21.53 C 1 21,964 2,600 11.8% 1,800 8.2% 4,400 20.0% 0.0% -4,400 0 $20.48 Total 22 2,396,133 303,695 12.7% 52,894 2.2% 356,589 14.9% 13.6% 80,742 86,985 $27.50 Austin Suburban Office Market Summary
  • 5. 5 Austin Research & Forecast Report | Q4 2015 | Office | Colliers International Austin Suburban Office Market Summary - Continued INVENTORY DIRECT VACANCY SUBLEASE VACANCY VACANCY VACANCY RATE (%) NET ABSORPTION (SF) RENTAL RATE CLASS # OF BLDGS. TOTAL (SF) (SF) RATE (%) (SF) RATE (%) TOTAL (SF) Q4-2015 Q3-2015 Q4-2015 Q3-2015 AVG ($/SF) NORTH/DOMAIN A 11 1,526,977 111,453 7.3% 5,162 0.3% 116,615 7.6% 12.5% 73,665 69,343 $33.37 B 31 1,983,536 110,721 5.6% 88,282 4.5% 199,003 10.0% 8.5% -29,566 3,930 $22.96 C 2 102,925 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 24,759 $18.98 Total 44 3,613,438 222,174 6.1% 93,444 2.6% 315,618 8.7% 10.0% 44,099 98,032 $29.07 NORTHEAST A 4 375,146 200,598 53.5% 0 0.0% 200,598 53.5% 54.1% 2,296 1,359 $24.12 B 18 1,280,754 136,153 10.6% 12,657 1.0% 148,810 11.6% 12.0% 4,723 25,017 $18.67 C 8 305,114 96,461 31.6% 0 0.0% 96,461 31.6% 31.6% 0 -12,807 $11.70 Total 30 1,961,014 433,212 22.1% 12,657 0.6% 445,869 22.7% 23.1% 7,019 13,569 $19.55 NORTHWEST A 72 6,789,939 496,816 7.3% 70,208 1.0% 567,024 8.4% 9.5% 204,809 17,559 $33.07 B 97 4,309,631 347,042 8.1% 102,787 2.4% 449,829 10.4% 9.2% -53,392 287,686 $28.18 C 4 401,563 386 0.1% 0 0.0% 386 0.1% 0.4% 1,313 -209 $33.00 Total 173 11,501,133 844,244 7.3% 172,995 1.5% 1,017,239 8.8% 9.1% 152,730 305,036 $30.75 ROUND ROCK A 1 87,000 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 $29.13 B 11 434,646 27,860 6.4% 0 0.0% 27,860 6.4% 8.7% 9,865 6,867 $20.42 C 3 147,466 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 Total 15 669,112 27,860 4.2% 0 0.0% 27,860 4.2% 5.6% 9,865 6,867 $21.10 SOUTH A 4 372,497 11,648 3.1% 2,798 0.8% 14,446 3.9% 3.4% -1,887 -1,635 $39.37 B 23 1,216,351 63,977 5.3% 2,389 0.2% 66,366 5.5% 5.4% -913 6,607 $29.73 C 11 651,834 22,234 3.4% 0 0.0% 22,234 3.4% 2.2% -8,165 2,281 $22.81 Total 38 2,240,682 97,859 4.4% 5,187 0.2% 103,046 4.6% 4.1% -10,965 7,253 $30.55 SOUTHEAST B 9 989,009 432,366 43.7% 0 0.0% 432,366 43.7% 44.8% 10,678 -1,860 $22.17 C 4 161,933 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 2.2% 3,502 561 $15.50 Total 13 1,150,942 432,366 37.6% 0 0.0% 432,366 37.6% 38.8% 14,180 -1,299 $21.45 SOUTHWEST A 51 6,785,262 732,744 10.8% 199,365 2.9% 932,109 13.7% 16.6% 327,720 194,909 $35.29 B 69 2,583,587 143,376 5.5% 10,770 0.4% 154,146 6.0% 6.8% 21,631 -8,207 $27.94 C 3 94,138 1,340 1.4% 0 0.0% 1,340 1.4% 6.1% 4,417 -896 $27.54 Total 123 9,462,987 877,460 9.3% 210,135 2.2% 1,087,595 11.5% 13.8% 353,768 185,806 $34.15 WEST CENTRAL A 4 637,755 173,342 27.2% 2,351 0.4% 175,693 27.5% 19.2% 83,240 25,638 $38.74 B 4 182,700 15,320 8.4% 0 0.0% 15,320 8.4% 8.4% 0 3,417 $33.82 C 1 50,132 2,708 5.4% 0 0.0% 2,708 5.4% 0.0% -2,708 1,047 $28.25 Total 9 870,587 191,370 22.0% 2,351 0.3% 193,721 22.3% 15.0% 80,532 30,102 $38.19
  • 6. 6 Austin Research & Forecast Report | Q4 2015 | Office | Colliers International Office Development Pipeline 1.6 million square feet of office space was under construction during Q4 2015. Five buildings totaling 676,904 square feet delivered in Q4 including Lamar Central, a mixed-use development with 132,000 square feet of office space. BUILDING NAME ADDRESS SUBMARKET SF PRE- LEASED DEVELOPER EST. DELIVERY NorthShore 110 San Antonio St CBD 23,592 100.0% Trammel Crow Co Jan-16 Research Park Plaza Bldg V 12301 Research Blvd Northwest 172,854 29.9% Cousins Properties Incorporated Feb-16 5th & Colorado 201 W 5th St CBD 179,846 26.8% Lincoln Property Company Mar-16 Domain 1 11801 Domain Blvd North/Domain 124,578 0.0% Endeavor Real Estate Group Mar-16 Domain 5 2901 Esperanza Crossing North 74,804 0.0% Endeavor Real Estate Group Mar-16 411 W Main St 411 W Main St Round Rock 26,563 0.0% 411 Partners, LLC Jun-16 2700 La Frontera Blvd 2700 La Frontera Blvd Round Rock 97,941 89.3% Jul-16 317 Grace Ln 317 Grace Ln Southwest 87,748 2.5% Equitable Commercial Realty Dec-16 Green Water Treament Plant 500 W 2nd St CBD 500,512 41.2% Trammel Crow Co Jan-17 Domain 8 11601 Alterra Parkway North/Domain 291,058 0.0% Endeavor Real Estate Group Jan-17 QUOTED GROSS RENTAL RATES FOR EXISTING TOP PERFORMING OFFICE BUILDINGS BUILDING NAME ADDRESS SUBMARKET RBA (SF) YEAR BUILT % LEASED AVAIL. SF RENT ($/SF) OWNER Frost Bank Tower 401 Congress Ave. CBD 535,078 2003 98.50% 7,944 $55.97 CalSTRS One Congress Plaza 111 Congress Ave. CBD 518,385 1985 93.70% 119,441 $56.49 Parkway Properties, Inc One American Center 600 Congress Ave. CBD 503,951 1984 97.40% 13,187 $48.91 CalSTRS 300 West Sixth 300 W. 6th Street CBD 454,225 2001 99.70% 8,502 $56.57 CalSTRS 301 Congress 301 Congress Ave. CBD 418,338 1986 88.60% 75,877 $52.46 National Office Partners, LP 100 Congress 100 Congress Ave. CBD 411,536 1987 97.70% 27,991 $55.52 Metlife, Inc. 7700 W Parmer Ln - Bldg. B 7700 W Parmer Ln - Bldg. B Far Northwest 350,000 1999 90.60% 31,500 $35.20 Unknown 7700 W. Parmer Ln - Bldg. C 7700 W. Parmer Ln. - Bldg. C Far Northwest 282,000 1999 91.80% 23,693 $35.33 Unknown Two Barton Skyway 1601 S MoPac Southwest 195,639 2000 97.10% 5,639 $32.1 University Federal Credit Union Note: Avail. SF includes direct and sublet space as well as any future available space listed. Source: CoStar Property
  • 7. 7 <<region>> Research & Forecast Report | Quarter Year or Date | <<Location / Sector>> | Colliers International7 North American Research & Forecast Report | Q4 2014 | Office Market Outlook | Colliers International Copyright © 2015 Colliers International. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable. While every reasonable effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult their professional advisors prior to acting on any of the material contained in this report. Colliers International | Market 000 Address, Suite # 000 Address, Suite # +1 000 000 0000 colliers.com/<<market>> 7 North American Research & Forecast Report | Q4 2014 | Office Market Outlook | Colliers International Copyright © 2015 Colliers International. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable. While every reasonable effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult their professional advisors prior to acting on any of the material contained in this report. Colliers International | Austin 515 Congress Avenue, Suite 1700 Austin, Texas 78701 +1 512 539 3000 colliers.com/texas/austin FOR MORE INFORMATION Hannah Tysor Senior Marketing & Research Coordinator | Houston & Austin +1 713 830 2192 hannah.tysor@colliers.com Q4 2015 Highlights Class A (53%) Class B (40%) Class C (7%) 26.4M SF 19.8M SF 3.5M SF 1.6M SF 11.7% Current Vacancy 676,904 SF Delivered Inventory 49.9 Million SF LEADING THE NATION Austin is ranked No. 1 for real estate development across all 75 markets surveyed in Emerging Trends in Real Estate, an annual report published by the Urban Land Institute and PwC LLP. Austin ranked second in the nation for overall real estate prospects. 902K 674K 433K 899K Square Feet Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2015 388KQ3 2014 Highest Positive Net Absorption Ever Recorded CITYWIDE POSITIVE NET ABSORPTION TOTAL OFFICE INVENTORY