With the increased demand for meat of bovine animals (beef and buffalo meat), Vietnamese producers need to be more strategic in their plans in order to be proficient to supply local
demand. They also need to compete with foreign imports. Quantity of bovine meat per capita in Vietnam increased yearly by level of consumption. The Vietnam livestock industry has many weaknesses from production to marketing.
It is to briefly introduces the academic paper "Mongolia's Meat Supply Chain Management: Benchmarking with Australian Meat Supply Chain". It outlines Australian and Mongolian meat supply chain analysis and stages comparison between meat supply chain of these 2 countries.
Thailand has an ambitious plan to be the “kitchen of the world” and thereby secure its future as one of the most important food exporters globally. The country has a market leading position in areas such as rice and sugar cane.
In this Research Note from Ipsos Business Consulting, we examine the development of the industry in Thailand and consider the relevance of poultry to the “kitchen of the world” policy.
Dr. Viroj NaRanong and Mr. Phunjasit Chokesomritpol, Thailand Development Research Institute.
Presented at the ReSAKSS-Asia conference “Agriculture and Rural Transformation in Asia: Past Experiences and Future Opportunities”. An international conference jointly organized by ReSAKSS-Asia, IFPRI, TDRI, and TVSEP project of Leibniz Universit Hannover with support from USAID and Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) at the Dusit Thani Hotel, Bangkok, Thailand December 12–14, 2017.
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It is to briefly introduces the academic paper "Mongolia's Meat Supply Chain Management: Benchmarking with Australian Meat Supply Chain". It outlines Australian and Mongolian meat supply chain analysis and stages comparison between meat supply chain of these 2 countries.
Thailand has an ambitious plan to be the “kitchen of the world” and thereby secure its future as one of the most important food exporters globally. The country has a market leading position in areas such as rice and sugar cane.
In this Research Note from Ipsos Business Consulting, we examine the development of the industry in Thailand and consider the relevance of poultry to the “kitchen of the world” policy.
Dr. Viroj NaRanong and Mr. Phunjasit Chokesomritpol, Thailand Development Research Institute.
Presented at the ReSAKSS-Asia conference “Agriculture and Rural Transformation in Asia: Past Experiences and Future Opportunities”. An international conference jointly organized by ReSAKSS-Asia, IFPRI, TDRI, and TVSEP project of Leibniz Universit Hannover with support from USAID and Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) at the Dusit Thani Hotel, Bangkok, Thailand December 12–14, 2017.
Pork Trade Update - Erin Borror, United States Meat Export Federation, from the 2019 Minnesota Pork Congress, February 5 - 6, 2019, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
More presentations at https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL_5bHW6MgRAxR_WyINKBPyCwAeXFJ5CfZ
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address the gap by analysing primary data obtained from 480 poultry Egg-farmers in Ogun State through a
multistage sampling technique. The results revealed that poultry is a male dominated enterprise cutting across
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switching cost, both monetized and psychological that an Egg-farmer may incur if he switches to the Next Best
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Production of Bovine Meat in Vietnam – Opportunities for Exporting Thai Livestock
1. 1
Production of Bovine Meat in Vietnam – Opportunities for
Exporting Thai Livestock
Dang Xuan Phi
Center for Applied Economic Research, Kasetsart University
Thailand
INTRODUCTION
With the increased demand for meat of bovine animals (beef and buffalo meat), Vietnamese
producers need to be more strategic in their plans in order to be proficient to supply local
demand. They also need to compete with foreign imports. Quantity of bovine meat per capita in
Vietnam increased yearly by level of consumption. The Vietnam livestock industry has many
weaknesses from production to marketing.
According to Chartsbin, Vietnam is on the world’s top 15 in terms of quantity of meat
production as well as consumption. It annually produces 3.6 million tons and consumes 4.1
million tons of meat (every year, Vietnam must import meat to meet local demand). In terms of
per capita consumption, Vietnam is at a low - average level of about 50 kg/person/year.
However, compared to other countries in Southeast Asia, Vietnam is the second largest country
with per capita meat consumption, followed by Malaysia (52.3 kg) and significantly higher than
Philippines (33.6 kg), Thailand (25.8 kg) and Indonesia (11.6 kg).
Among the variety of meat types, pork, beef and poultry are considered important meats.
Currently, Thailand has the potential for breeding and bovine feedlotting and processing. The
country has the opportunities to export more bovine meat to the Vietnam market.
LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS OVERVIEW AND DEMAND OF BOVINE MEAT
IN VIETNAM
Vietnam livestock products overview
Livestock is an important economic sector of Vietnam, which creates supply of foodstuff for the
Vietnamese people. The industry helps farmers to increase their income. For over a decade, the
livestock industry has gradually shifted from small-scale production to bigger scale farms, with
focus on ensuring food safety and minimizing environmental pollution.
However, in recent years, the livestock sector in Vietnam has met many difficulties such as
rising input costs (mainly as animal feed), output price instability, diseases, excessive use of
prohibited substances and antibiotics, competition from imported meat products, and dependence
on the feed source of foreign enterprises. Consequently, many farmers were affected and gone
out of business. In a nutshell, the number of cattle in Vietnam has been increasing and is on an
upward trend (Fig. 1).
2. 2
Fig. 1. Number of Buffalo and Cattle in Vietnam (1961-2014)
Source: FAOSTAT (2016)
In general, the Vietnam livestock industry has many weaknesses as follows:
- Majority of feed inputs in Vietnam are imported, so the cost of production of feeds is high. In
livestock production, with 65-70% of feeds cost shared. Compared with Thailand, price of
animal feeds in Vietnam is higher than 10%.
- Ability to control diseases in livestock is not that effective. Foot-and-mouth disease (FMD)
in cattle is still prevalent in Vietnam.
- Breeding of animal is also a weakness. The development of breeding animal quality in
Vietnam is time-consuming.
- Poor organization of Vietnam livestock: production scale is minor and also not have vertical
integration from production to marketing. Eighty-five percent of cattle in Vietnam is still in
the category of small-scale farming.
- Manual slaughtering is still popular in Vietnam, leading to problems in food hygiene and
safety, and reduction of value-added activities for livestock production. Now, around 20% of
meat production are done in meat processing plants.
- The taxes for importing meat in Vietnam is high, however in 2018, the taxes for importing
meat cutback will be 0% based on the rules of AFTA and TPP. Vietnam’s livestock industry
will face many challenges, especially competition, from abroad.
According to General Statistics Office of Vietnam (GSO-VN) in 2015, Vietnam has 2.58
million buffaloes; 5.18 million beef, increased 0.9% versus 2014. The number of buffaloes and
cows continued to decline due to the decrease in their grazing area, low raising efficiency did not
encourage farmers to invest. Table 1 shows the volume of livestock products in Vietnam for the
past six years.
3. 3
Table 1. Livestock products period 2010 – 2015 in Vietnam
No Products Unit Livestock production
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
I Meat L.W. 000 Tons 4,036.9 4,331.6 4,289.8 4,354.4 4,625.1 4,806.6
1 Pig Thous Tons 3,036 3,200 3,160 3,217.9 3,351.1 3,491.6
Ratio (%) 75.52 74.18 73,99 73.90 72.46 72.67
2 Poultry Thous Tons 621 708 729 747.0 875.0 908.1
Ratio (%) 15.38 16.34 16.99 17.16 18.92 18.89
3 Bovine meat Thous Tons 363 406 382 370.8 378.6 385.1
Ratio (%) 8.99 9.37 8.90 8.52 8.19 8.01
4 Goat, sheep meat Thous Tons 16.91 17.60 18.78 18.71 20.38 21.84
Ratio (%) 0.42 0.41 0.44 0.43 0.44 0.45
II Eggs Billion 6.3 7.0 7.3 7.8 8.2 8.9
III Fresh milk Thous Tons 306.7 360.0 381.7 456.4 549.5 723.2
Source: General Statistics Office of Vietnam (2016)
Conferring from U.S. Department of Agriculture, in 2016, demand of bovine meat in
Vietnam was approximately 408,000 tons and bovine production in Vietnam is expected to reach
385,000 tons, and to meet the need to import at least 20,000 tons in 2014.
Food supply of bovine meat in Vietnam is shown in Fig. 2.
Fig. 2. Food supply of bovine meat in Vietnam from 1961-2013
Source: FAOSTAT (2016)
Demand of bovine meat in Vietnamese’s consumption
Rising demand for protein and the reduction of domestic beef supplies has placed Vietnam on
the meat market map. However, meat consumption in Vietnam has risen significantly over the
past decade and is expected to remain strong in the next five years. Average meat, egg, milk per
capita per year in Vietnam during the period of 2000-2015 and its plan of 2016 are shown in
Table 2.
4. 4
Table 2. Average meat, egg, milk per capita per year in Vietnam
Products Unit
Year
2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
2016
(Plan)
L.W. meat kg 23.6 34.3 46.2 48.3 48.5 49.3 51.0 52.1 54.1
Of which:
Pork meat
kg 15.1 27.2 34.9 35.5 35.6 36.2 36.9 37.9 39.1
Poultry meat kg 3.4 3.8 7.1 8.3 8.4 8.5 9.6 9.9 10.2
Bovine meat kg 1.8 2.4 4.2 4.5 4.5 4.6 4.2 4.2 4.5
Eggs egg 47.8 47.0 72.5 74.9 83.0 83.0 90.9 96.2 102.6
Fresh milk kg 0.7 2.4 3.5 3.8 3.9 4.0 6.1 7.8 9.3
Source: General Statistics Office of Vietnam (2016)
The situation of imports of bovine meat
Vietnam has shown an improvement in the import of meat products since it joined the World
Trade Organization (WTO) in 2007. With WTO trade agreements, the country has facilities to
import. Vietnam’s livestock sector is not creating enough supply to meet its domestic demand.
Besides, science and technology livestock production in this country is still considered poor and
not comparable to many countries around the worlds. So imported meat products from overseas
are considered inevitable to meet domestic demand. According to Vietnam Customs, Vietnam
import value of live bovine was US$425.517 million in 2015 (Fig. 3).
Fig. 3. Vietnam import value of livestock products in 2015
Source: Vietnam Customs
Most of the beef consumed in Vietnam are derived from local cattle and live imports from
Thailand, Laos and Cambodia, but the number of cattle imported from Australia has increased
since 2010. The situation of imports of livestock products in Vietnam in 2015 is shown on Table
3.
Unit: Mil$
5. 5
Table 3. Review the situation of imports of livestock products in Vietnam in 2015
TT Category Unit 2015 Vs 2014 (%) Vs 2013 (%) Vs 2012 (%)
1 Breed pig head 4,181 83.2 153.2 -43.4
2 Breed poultry head 2,061,930 15.4 13.2 37.0
3 Fork ton 9,022 136.7 170.8 157.5
4 Chicken ton 124,366 35.4 60.1 68.2
5 Live bovine animals head 419,952 78.9 158.7 N/A
6 Deboned bovine meat ton 854 30.2 N/A N/A
7 Bone bovine meat ton 34,845 31.4 N/A N/A
8 Goat, sheep meat ton 890 -6.0 N/A N/A
Source: Vietnam Customs (2016)
OPPORTUNITIES FOR THAI LIVESTOCK EXPORTING
Situation of Thailand’s bovine animals and new supply chain
Thailand has a normal trend in decreasing cattle numbers from 1993 to 2014 (7.47 to 4.90
million heads) and decreasing buffalo numbers (4.75 to 1.02 million heads) according to
FAOSTAT (2016). There have been previous incidents where agricultural mechanization
replaced manual buffalo power. But other problems include debt, labor constraints, reduced
grazing areas, and government policies that favor intensification of mono cropping. Overall, total
bovine numbers have concentrated and are located in the Northeastern followed by the Central
and the Northern Regions of the country. Bovine number in the North of Thailand is stabilized
and developed. Number of head cattle and buffalo in Thailand is shown in Fig. 4.
Northeast Thailand, a large plateau of relatively infertile soils, is an area of traditional beef
cattle farming. The region has undergone a rapid process of physical, social and economic
change in the past 40 years. Clearing of forests during this period and the development of new
infrastructure, particularly reading, has increased the level of human settlement and opened new
agricultural areas for cropping.
6. 6
Fig. 4. Number of head cattle and buffalo in Thailand from 1993-2014
Source: FAOSTAT (2016)
Thailand will be an agent between Australia and others countries. Following the Department of
Agriculture and Food, Western Australia (DAFWA), there exists a new Supply Chain in
Thailand, including:
Live exports of feeder cattle with fattening and processing.
Live Export of slaughter cattle with processing.
Preliminary processing (e.g. carcass quarters/halves) in Australia with further processing in
Thailand.
Export of deboned beef from Australia.
With a range of competitive investment locations across Southeast Asia, the most suitable
host country and specific site locations will ultimately depend on the needs and priorities of
individual project proponents.
Australian Access into Thailand: Australia possesses tariff-free live cattle export into
Thailand under the Thailand-Australia Free Trade Agreement (TAFTA). Conversely, processed
beef imports are subjected to significant import tariffs (50% beef and 33% offal) enforced on
imports beyond modest initial tariff-free quotas.
Opportunities export to Vietnam and ASIAN market
Thailand Access to Third Party Export Countries: Thailand possesses preferential access to
regional beef markets through the ASEAN Economic Community (including Vietnam, Malaysia,
Cambodia, Laos, and the Philippines) and the ASEAN-China Free Trade Agreement. Both
country-level and facility level food health approvals will be required to permit beef exports into
the lucrative Chinese market. Thailand has a strong reputation for quality as a food product
exporter and is strategically positioning itself to supply growing regional food demand
7. 7
Fig. 5. Beef and Veal Consumption Trends in some ASEAN countries, China and The World
Source: OECD (2015)
The Thailand beef industry is strategically placed in order to service growing Asian demand over
the coming years. The development of a significant new supply chain utilizing modern
processing and best practice management has the potential to drive significant industry
development.
Table 4. Vietnam’s imports live bovine animals from Thailand
Viet Nam's imports from Thailand
(US $ thousand)
Thailand's exports to
world (US $ thousand)
Value in 2013 18,479 75,206
Value in 2014 42,505 79,726
Source: trademap.org (2016)
Elsewhere within the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) region (for
countries with data available), Vietnam has recently experienced a surge in per capita
consumption, driven by rising incomes and rising restaurant demand (Figure 5). Vietnamese data
is also potentially influenced by rising cross-border trade to China.
The ASEAN Economic Community is creating a single market of over 600 million people.
The creation of the ASEAN Economic Community enhances significant re-export opportunities
for the new supply chain across the region.
Thailand has an established beef cattle industry that includes a well-developed feedlot sector.
The Thai cattle industry incorporates local processing for the domestic market (just over 1
million head per annum), as well as significant feed lofting and live on-selling to surrounding
Chinese and Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) markets.
So SWOT analysis for Thai livestock exporting represent below:
8. 8
Table 5. SWOT analysis and strategies for Thai livestock exporting to Vietnam market
STRENGTHS
- Stabilize bovine number in the North
of Thailand
- Have good cattle breeding
- Good marbling quality of meat
- Well-developed feedlot sector
WEAKNESSES
- Fat stock depend on beef
from Australia and buffalo
from India
OPPORTUNITIES
- ASEAN Economic
Community is big market
- Demand of bovine meat
in Vietnam still increase
- Supply chain of
exporting live feeder and
slaughter cattle from
Australia to Thailand
directionally
S/O - The short term strategies:
- Continue to export live bovine and
meat to Vietnam.
- Export bovine breeding to Vietnam
- Add value in bovine temporary
import and re-export of fats
W/O- The medium term
strategies:
- Have opportunity to
access other markets
- Investment incentive
offerings for the firms join
in supply chain
THREATS
- FMD (Foot and mouth
disease) can be appear
- Unofficial trade stills
common
- Some countries will be
increase exporting bovine
to Vietnam
S/T - The medium term strategies:
- Control FMD
- Support for official trade
- Competitive in production price
W/T – The long term
strategies:
- Create a stable supply
chain
CONCLUSION
Forecasts for 2019, reveal that total meat consumption in Vietnam will surpass the 4 million ton
mark; accounting for nearly 65 % of total consumption, pork will still account for the largest
share in the Vietnamese diet. However, significant growth is estimated at 3-5 % / year and is
expected to open up promising prospects for the consumption of poultry meat and beef in the
near future. However, this growth is not sufficient to meet market demand while supply and the
stability of pork to meet domestic demand, supplies for beef and poultry meat could fall into
serious shortages.
In the meantime, the potential for growing Thailand bovine exports to Vietnam remains high
because of breeding, live bovine and bovine feedlotting and processing. A new supply chain
from Australia exporting live feeder cattle to Thailand for fattening and processing possesses a
number of advantages, including avoiding processed beef import quotas/tariffs and accessing
low-cost feedlotting and processing labor within Thailand.
REFERECES
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing. Statistical Data. General Statistics Office of Vietnam.
https://www.gso.gov.vn
Review the situation of imports of livestock products in 2015. Vietnam Customs. Retrieved from
http://www.customs.gov.vn/
9. 9
Product: 0102 Live bovine animals. Bilateral trade between Viet Nam and Thailand. Bilateral
trade between Viet Nam and Australia. Retrieved from http://www.trademap.org/
Retrieved from http://chartsbin.com/
Food Balance Sheets. FAOSTAT. Retrieved from http://fenix.fao.org/faostat/beta/en/#data/FBS
Meat consumption. OECD Data. Retrieved from https://data.oecd.org/agroutput/meat-
consumption.htm
Production/Live Animals. FAOSTAT. Retrieved from http://faostat3.fao.org
New and innovative beef supply chains in Thailand. Prepared by AEC Group for the Department
of Agriculture and Food, Western Australia (DAFWA)
Date submitted: Sept. 30, 2016
Reviewed, edited and uploaded: Oct. 5, 2016