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March 24, 2016
1
Agenda
1. Jim Locker
2. Innovation and Economics
3. Entrepreneurial Observations
4. Boundaries
5. Projects and Funding
6. Economics/Management
7. The Value Proposition
8. People
2
Innovation & Economics
3
WINNING!
Pluses
 Mentors
 Metrics
 Value Proposition
 Savvy
 Acceptance/Relevance
Pitfalls
 Weak cash flows
 Underestimate time
 Unclear business model
 Overinvestment
 Lack of team capabilities
4
Observations from Two
Entrepreneurs
 3 Year view
 92% of Startups failed
 74% failed due to
premature scaling
 Tech highest rate
 5 Year view
 90% of new businesses fail
 9% - “Walking Wounded”
 Failure - not idea, money or
competition - management
5
Innovation Landscape
 iPhone 3 >> 4, 5, 6, 6S; Samsung
 Apple Watch >>?
 Camera >> Digital – LCD, LED
 PayPal >> Apple/Samsung Pay
 Honest Dollar (Fintech) >>?
 IsoPlexis (pharma) >>?
 Yogurt, craft beer
 Toothpaste
 Detergent
 Delivery of home cooked meals
 Breakfast all day
 Auxiliary lens for smart phone
 Catalyst for metal processing
6
Current Ventures
1. Point-of-care diagnostic test
2. Substrate technology
3. Image data
4. Patronize local bars
5. On-demand transportation
6. Over the counter health
supplement
7. Subscription service for
home related products
8. Personal finance
management tool
9. Specialty beverages
10. Promote STEAM careers
7
University BUniversity A
Venture Action Activity
8
Economics
 Investment
 People
 Opportunity cost/alternatives
 Tradeoffs and alternatives
 Careful spending – “progress payments”
 Spend on what really matters
9
Managing the Venture
 No guarantee – even for “best” idea
 Reflect in “lean terms”
 Waste Quality Delivery Cost
 Utilize a Team-based process
 Metrics Timing Teamwork
 Spend management
10
Value Proposition
Solve a problem
 What is the problem?
 How much commitment?
 What does success look like?
Reality and environment
 Current options
 Competitors
 Alternatives
 Delivery
11
Theory and Practice
 Home cooking delivered to your door
 Steam Iron
 Electrochemical processing
 IsoPlexis (pharma)
 Auxiliary lens for Smart Phone
12
People Dimension
Team leadership
 Definition of roles
 Focus on the problem, not the person
 Don’t shut out the lower power individuals
 Mentors
 Pace of progress
 Informal oversight
 The two entrepreneurs
13
Importance of People
1. Hands-on role
2. Athletes
3. Team and culture
4. Weekly meetings
5. Feedback
6. Metrics
7. Questions
8. Divide and conquer
9. Collective atmosphere
10. Your company’s mission
11.Spend time with every employee
14
Summary
 Hone venture’s Value Prop
 Adopt team-based development process
 Venture is dynamic – reconfirm Value Prop
along the way
 Don’t default the process
 Accept feedback
 Mentor and advisory board perspectives
 Watch cash flow
 HAVE FUN
15
March 24, 2016
16

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Presentation Purdue Springer Lecture on Economics & Innovation March 2016

  • 2. Agenda 1. Jim Locker 2. Innovation and Economics 3. Entrepreneurial Observations 4. Boundaries 5. Projects and Funding 6. Economics/Management 7. The Value Proposition 8. People 2
  • 4. WINNING! Pluses  Mentors  Metrics  Value Proposition  Savvy  Acceptance/Relevance Pitfalls  Weak cash flows  Underestimate time  Unclear business model  Overinvestment  Lack of team capabilities 4
  • 5. Observations from Two Entrepreneurs  3 Year view  92% of Startups failed  74% failed due to premature scaling  Tech highest rate  5 Year view  90% of new businesses fail  9% - “Walking Wounded”  Failure - not idea, money or competition - management 5
  • 6. Innovation Landscape  iPhone 3 >> 4, 5, 6, 6S; Samsung  Apple Watch >>?  Camera >> Digital – LCD, LED  PayPal >> Apple/Samsung Pay  Honest Dollar (Fintech) >>?  IsoPlexis (pharma) >>?  Yogurt, craft beer  Toothpaste  Detergent  Delivery of home cooked meals  Breakfast all day  Auxiliary lens for smart phone  Catalyst for metal processing 6
  • 7. Current Ventures 1. Point-of-care diagnostic test 2. Substrate technology 3. Image data 4. Patronize local bars 5. On-demand transportation 6. Over the counter health supplement 7. Subscription service for home related products 8. Personal finance management tool 9. Specialty beverages 10. Promote STEAM careers 7 University BUniversity A
  • 9. Economics  Investment  People  Opportunity cost/alternatives  Tradeoffs and alternatives  Careful spending – “progress payments”  Spend on what really matters 9
  • 10. Managing the Venture  No guarantee – even for “best” idea  Reflect in “lean terms”  Waste Quality Delivery Cost  Utilize a Team-based process  Metrics Timing Teamwork  Spend management 10
  • 11. Value Proposition Solve a problem  What is the problem?  How much commitment?  What does success look like? Reality and environment  Current options  Competitors  Alternatives  Delivery 11
  • 12. Theory and Practice  Home cooking delivered to your door  Steam Iron  Electrochemical processing  IsoPlexis (pharma)  Auxiliary lens for Smart Phone 12
  • 13. People Dimension Team leadership  Definition of roles  Focus on the problem, not the person  Don’t shut out the lower power individuals  Mentors  Pace of progress  Informal oversight  The two entrepreneurs 13
  • 14. Importance of People 1. Hands-on role 2. Athletes 3. Team and culture 4. Weekly meetings 5. Feedback 6. Metrics 7. Questions 8. Divide and conquer 9. Collective atmosphere 10. Your company’s mission 11.Spend time with every employee 14
  • 15. Summary  Hone venture’s Value Prop  Adopt team-based development process  Venture is dynamic – reconfirm Value Prop along the way  Don’t default the process  Accept feedback  Mentor and advisory board perspectives  Watch cash flow  HAVE FUN 15

Editor's Notes

  1. Use slides with high level bullet points Speak to what is behind the bullets – the color commentary Questions – prefer at end AGENDA
  2. We are going to cover 6 points today and they will include: My background - shortest Innovation “Map” and Economics – 3 areas > venture spend; money raised; revenue generated Observations from entrepreneurs on what enhances/impedes success Innovation – are there boundaries – yes you are, no you are not – eyes of the doer University venture activity Typical projects Funding success Chairs and tables on the street – innovation everywhere Factors Economic Considerations in managing – process Value proposition with examples People part About myself – ME/Rocket Lab; GE Jet Engine; Marketing, Sales, President – consumer. industrial; new products in many industries; not serial entrepreneur, but idea, research, tech, teamwork, channel, make/buy
  3. Innovation (ball) is not a firm handshake or short putt (hole is success) – might be. More of a long tee play for the Innovation to reach the hole – two putts better than one that misses; mighty shot -- no hole-in-one. Control Length of hole depends on the extent of the Innovation. From shot-to-hole lies the Economic Landscape with the “crowd” – distractions, noise, weather, obstacles Goal is to give our play the best chance of holing out Can’t rely on gimmes, mulligans – few second chances >> cost (not stroke) penalties WINNING
  4. Entrepreneurs Speak Their Pluses & Pitfalls A compelling idea is not enough to avoid failure/reaching full potential What can the venture do to enhance winning – people/process focus Pluses Mentors helpful as a sounding board (consultants) Track metrics/milestones – launching/spending to activity accomplishment Startups that revise value proposition do better – feedback reflected to a point (iPhone 3) Teams outdo solo founders – business savvy + technical savvy – economics and innovation blend Product/market fit before IP – acceptance/relevance Pitfalls Weak cashflow model; Premature scaling (spending, our control) – what if revenue (customer control) lags? Underestimate time for validation; premature launch despite problems Unclear business/revenue model – before start up (stages of commitment – “cake” – will the frosting save us) Overinvest before proof of concept firmed up Team capabilities not balanced “Guardrails” – minimize shortcuts; considered judgment; process vs personality OBSERVATIONS
  5. M U Within 3 years, 92% of startups failed. Of those who failed 74%, failed due to premature scaling Premature scaling means spending money on marketing, hiring etc. either before you found a working business model (you acquire users for less than the revenue they bring) or in general spending too fast while failing to secure further financing As far as I know, tech. startups have highest rate of failure among all industries mainly due to number of uncertainties that come with launching something new/innovative to the market R E As near as I could figure out, and it requires a lot of generalization even to reach this point, somewhere around 90-percent of new businesses fail within five years.  Of the ones that don't fail, 90-percent remain what I call walking wounded, small businesses that essentially do little more than buy someone a low-paying job. What is interesting is that the few studies I could find that tried to determine the reasons for failure seemed to agree that it's not because of a bad idea, it's not because of lack of money, it's not because of competition, it's because of poor management. The good news from this is that if you start a new business and you run it smartly and without doing stupid things, there is a very high probability that you will be personally successful. LANDSCAPE
  6. Successful products lead to new versions to meet other needs and/or deflect competitors “>>”; some likely to cannibalize existing products – not all a gain Boundaries of what could be an innovation – be open minded (not just disruptive) Big Company – iPhone; Apple Watch; Windows 7,8,10 (110 million – free helps); Google car; iTunes Consumer start up – PayPal accepted by consumers and merchants (customer not a single decision maker) Fintech – Honest Dollar > Goldman Sachs bought (WSJ – 3/15/16) - ETF for small business; Pandit – Payday loan-“0” Pharma Tech – IsoPlexis (pharma discovery); Consumer tech > low energy-use phone circuit Consumer been around – Chobani (#2), craft beer (#1) - Harry’s, WL DRY; Crest Toothpaste (ADA as partner) Evolution – Arm & Hammer detergent with OxiClean (new; partnership); Tide Pods Evolution – breakfast all day!! And others I’ll cover Never before –auxiliary lens for smart phone (new – history channel) Frame by targeting un/underserved need (stated or latent); value for sufficient “population” willing to buy at my price (R E) But the above are hindsight – need same insight in looking ahead CURRENT VENTURES
  7. Notice the presence of both consumer and tech University A Ventures Venture 1, a venture commercializing a point-of-care diagnostic test Venture 2, aims to commercialize a substrate technology Venture 3, helps companies work with image data Venture 4, helps users patronize local bars Venture 5, provides on-demand niche transportation Venture 6, an over-the-counter antacid supplement University B Ventures Venture 7, a subscription service for pet products Venture 8, a free personal finance management tool Venture 9, beverages for expectant mothers Venture 10, promote STEAM careers (A is for arts) Winning: one university reported 100 ventures raised $150 million in funding – Purdue $85 million SILICON VALLEY
  8. The environment is all over the place – couches are gone. NY Times 2/29/16 Participants in Cal Hacks 2.0, a 36-hour hackathon in October 2015, building projects inside the football stadium at the University of California, Berkeley. Ross-Ade event ECONOMICS
  9. Economics – are everywhere Investment (hard dollars) – to some degree depending on venture Project development – engineering, samples, coding, field testing, etc Production – facility, tooling and equipment; make/buy Marketing – advertising, trade shows, symposium/road show; launch program, web based marketing Distribution – warehousing and/or delivery Working capital – inventory and receivables Unit cost/volume commitment People – staff (comp & expenses), outside experts, pros – lawyers and accountants Opportunity cost/alternatives – could do something else – personal time is money Tradeoffs and alternatives Yogurt brand – core competency was make but master distributor – factory transfer/delivery/collection Lawn and Garden – Initial design post-production issues; new model to contract manufacturer; brand/dist. Don’t outspend progress - careful until concept proves out; assume revenue comes slower; “progress payments”; WHAT really matters; find options in areas not decisive to success
  10. No guarantee – enhance chance of succeeding by mitigating risk Reflect in ‘lean” terms – QDC: Quality, Delivery & Cost Think “waste” – inefficient, unnecessary and/or repetitive activities (“Muda”) Quality – meet or exceed customer expectation before, during and after sale Auto purchase – dealer treatment was inappropriate; Jet Engine – zero defects – AAA analogy Look, feel, HMI, instructions – NOT just 6 sigma Delivery – “Deliver a quality product on time at a fair price – that is all we ask for” Good things happen to people who deliver on time – Monday to Friday; don’t take order if you can’t deliver Precision components; water timer Jet engine – test cell is like a “hotel room” Alarm control – By passing an extensive alpha (lab) test, why need a beta (field) test? Recall Cost is more forgiving Develop using a team process – metrics by stage of development, timing and responsibility; not personality driven; no freelancing; “row together”; get feedback from potential “champions” Maxim to avoid: Don’t have time to do it right the first time, only time to do it over Engineering to me: If Marketing knows what it wants (not change), finish design on time Manufacturing to me: The design is not done until after the tooling is completed Cost – expenditures/commitments increase as venture moves ahead VALUE PROPOSITION
  11. An innovation must solve a problem for enough “customers” who are willing to pay what is needed to support commercialization (M U on revenue/cost) As innovators, we need to ask the following question of our prospects Do you have this problem/situation? If so, does my solution resolve your problem ? This is known as acceptance (of problem) and relevance (my solution). This applies whether consumer or commercial (but in commercial decision maker might not be the user Alongside that inquiry, gauge strength of commitment (strongly agree) and value (what is it worth) Gather information by interviews, observations, questionnaires, third party research, etc Start with the problem, not the solution (not sell what we can make but opposite) Where does your innovation lead (iPhone 3 >> iPhone 4, 5, 5S, 6) as a building block Recognize the a context where the innovation has to deliver – in golf the “crowd” Current options – yogurt, craft beer Strength of interest/commitment – why change (friction) Competitors Alternative solutions Delivery THEORY AND PRACTICE
  12. “In theory there is no difference between theory and practice. In practice there is” (Yogi) – Details/Quality Home cooked meal delivered to your door (current venture) When you are too busy to cook dinner is your meal satisfying? Would you prefer to enjoy the taste and quality of a home cooked meal delivered directly to your door? Context: Who are Prime Prospects: alternatives (restaurant delivery, take out, supermarket hot bar, freezer) and metrics (quality, variety, prep /infredient standards, packaging, consistency, pick up/deliver, cost) Steam Iron (in market) Are you concerned that the iron was still on when you left your home? Would you be interested in the peace-of-mind of an iron that automatically shuts off? Context: Who; not everyone needs (don’t iron very much; careful to shut off, priorities ,etc.) Auxiliary lens for smartphone (current venture – History channel) Are you unhappy with the range/quality of portrait pictures your phone delivers? Would you be interested in an auxiliary lens that easily attaches (and removes) for great portraits? Context: picture issues (e.g., portrait shots); put on/take off; possibly lose; gimmick/break; how often; not handy when Pipe Cutting machine (current product) Target Prospect doing in-field pipe repair/fabrication application; reality user is in small fabrication shops EVOLVING
  13. Good ideas come from everyone – not predictable; ideas build; listening is critical Team leadership – hard to do – not used to; some peers; some outsiders Definition of roles and expectations (follow the process) If stumble, remember to focus on the problem (root cause, shortfall) and not the person All voices heard; don’t shut out the lower power individuals (consulting) Mentor or seek mentors for the team Slowest moving person (in terms of accomplishing delegated activities) determines the pace of progress Back door to check one-on-one Reflect back to the observations from the two entrepreneurs IMPORTANCE OF PEOPLE – 11 TOP LINE
  14. Give employees a hands-on role Treat employees as athletes Focus on team and culture Hold weekly meetings Ask for feedback Agree on metrics Ask specific questions Divide and conquer Encourage a collective atmosphere Engage everyone on your company’s mission Spend time with every employee SUMMARY
  15. Hone venture into clear Value Proposition confirmed by target customer Problem – Solution = Value > Cost Adopt team-based development process – planned “check ins” Metrics > Stage of development – Timing – Outcome – Person Useful in reporting progress to outside (investors, mentors, etc.) Venture is dynamic – reconfirm Value Prop to reflect change along the way Don’t default to: taking shortcuts, relying on intuition, “in theory ……..” But deliver on commitments or raise a flag; seek team assistance Accept feedback Engage with mentor and advisory board – gain perspective Watch cash flow – easy to add cost and/or spend (your choice); harder to get revenue (someone else's choice) or financing (also someone else's choice) HAVE FUN