My presentation for the doctoral consortium at SoLARs LAK23 conference

2. c.350,000 Members world-wide
Public speaking and Leadership
Educational programme since 2020
Choice of 11 Pathways
Levels 1 - 5
Head Quarters in Colorado, USA

3. Tenure
Average tenure is 2.4 years
Visibility
Pathways LMS means TMI can
see progress and access
Clubs
Run by volunteers

4. Binary logistic regression
Dependent variable – Recently Lapsed

5. “
”

6. Pilot Study
Dataset of UK Members
Models created! 
Predictions made
Study 2
Interviews with individuals –
what is the model not telling us?
Study 3
Additional variables to refine
model
Wider geography

7. -1.5
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
a b c d e f g h i j
Variables A
Exp (B)
Employer Sponsored Club a .022
Paid in 2020 b 3.021
Paid in 2019 c 1.67
>1 Pathway d .598
Years Club membership e .858
Club <10y f 1.244
Years Payment since 2002 g .747
<2y since L1 h .755
<6m join to enrol i .472
<1y since completion/enrol j .355
Model stats
-2 Log Likelihood 5803.584Nagerlkerke R2 .342
Chi-square 362.422Cox & Snell R2 .252

8. Bands
Mark up Members, share with
TMI
Watch what happens
Interviews
Those the model got wrong
Those the model got right
Outliers?
More Data
Prepare for main study
Granularity of variables
Beyond the UK?