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2. What is the probability that a person is male given they like
BK?
7/20
The following table shows the number of people that like a particular fast
food restaurant.
3/5
McD’s BK Wendy’s
Male 20 15 10
Female 20 10 25
1. What is the
probability that a person
likes Wendy’s?
Warm up
Probability
Independent and
Dependent Events
Independent Events
A occurring does NOT affect the
probability of B occurring.
“AND” means to MULTIPLY!
Independent Event FORMULA
P(A and B) = P(A)  P(B)
also known as
P(A  B) = P(A)  P(B)
Example 1
A coin is tossed and a 6-sided die is rolled.
Find the probability of landing on the head
side of the coin and rolling a 3 on the die.
P(Head and 3)
1 1
2 6

1
12

P(A  B) = P(A)  P(B)
Example 2
A card is chosen at random from a deck of
52 cards. It is then replaced and a second
card is chosen. What is the probability of
choosing a jack and an eight?
P(Jack and 8)
4 4
52 52

1
169

P(A  B) = P(A)  P(B)
Example 3
A jar contains 3 red, 5 green, 2 blue and 6
yellow marbles. A marble is chosen at random
from the jar. After replacing it, a second marble
is chosen. What is the probability of choosing
a green and a yellow marble?
P(Green and Yellow)
5 6
16 16

15
128

P(A  B) = P(A)  P(B)
Example 4
A school survey found that 9 out of 10
students like pizza. If three students are
chosen at random with replacement, what
is the probability that all three students like
pizza? P(Like and Like and Like)
729
1000

9 9 9
10 10 10
 
Dependent Events
A occurring AFFECTS the
probability of B occurring
Usually you will see the words
“without replacing”
“AND” still means to MULTIPLY!
Dependent Event Formula
P(A and B) = P(A)  P(B given A)
also known as
P(A  B) = P(A)  P(B|A)
Example 5
A jar contains 3 red, 5 green, 2 blue and 6 yellow
marbles. A marble is chosen at random from the
jar. A second marble is chosen without replacing
the first one. What is the probability of choosing a
green and a yellow marble?
P(Green and Yellow)
5
16 5
6
1

1
8

P(A  B) = P(A)  P(B|A)
Example 6
An aquarium contains 6 male goldfish and 4
female goldfish. You randomly select a fish from
the tank, do not replace it, and then randomly
select a second fish. What is the probability that
both fish are male? P(Male and Male)
6
10
5
9

1
3

P(A  B) = P(A)  P(B|A)
Example 7
A random sample of parts coming off a machine
is done by an inspector. He found that 5 out of
100 parts are bad on average. If he were to do a
new sample, what is the probability that he picks
a bad part and then, picks another bad part if he
doesn’t replace the first? P(Bad and Bad)
5
100
4
99

1
495

P(A  B) = P(A)  P(B|A)
Determining if 2
Events are
Independent
Determining if Events are Independent
3 Ways to check. We are going to practice
one of the ways:
P(A  B) = P(A)  P(B)
Substitute in what you know and check to
see if left side equals right side.
Example 8
Let event M = taking a math class. Let event S
= taking a science class. Then, M and S = taking
a math class and a science class.
Suppose P(M) = 0.6, P(S) = 0.5, and P(M and S) = 0.3.
Are M and S independent?
     
?
P M S P M P S
  
?
. .
.3 6 5
 
.3 .3 YES!

Conclusion: Taking a math class and taking a science
class are independent of each other.
Example 9
In a particular college class, 60% of the students are female. 50% of all
students in the class have long hair. 45% of the students are female and
have long hair. Of the female students, 75% have long hair. Let F be
the event that the student is female. Let L be the event that the student
has long hair. One student is picked randomly.
Are the events of being female and having long hair independent?
     
?
P F L P F P L
  
?
60%
45% 50%
 
.45 .30 NO!!!

Conclusion: Being a female and having long hair are
not independent.
?
.60
.45 .50
 
Homework
Practice Worksheet

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PPT - Independent and Dependent.pptx

  • 1. 2. What is the probability that a person is male given they like BK? 7/20 The following table shows the number of people that like a particular fast food restaurant. 3/5 McD’s BK Wendy’s Male 20 15 10 Female 20 10 25 1. What is the probability that a person likes Wendy’s? Warm up
  • 3. Independent Events A occurring does NOT affect the probability of B occurring. “AND” means to MULTIPLY!
  • 4. Independent Event FORMULA P(A and B) = P(A)  P(B) also known as P(A  B) = P(A)  P(B)
  • 5. Example 1 A coin is tossed and a 6-sided die is rolled. Find the probability of landing on the head side of the coin and rolling a 3 on the die. P(Head and 3) 1 1 2 6  1 12  P(A  B) = P(A)  P(B)
  • 6. Example 2 A card is chosen at random from a deck of 52 cards. It is then replaced and a second card is chosen. What is the probability of choosing a jack and an eight? P(Jack and 8) 4 4 52 52  1 169  P(A  B) = P(A)  P(B)
  • 7. Example 3 A jar contains 3 red, 5 green, 2 blue and 6 yellow marbles. A marble is chosen at random from the jar. After replacing it, a second marble is chosen. What is the probability of choosing a green and a yellow marble? P(Green and Yellow) 5 6 16 16  15 128  P(A  B) = P(A)  P(B)
  • 8. Example 4 A school survey found that 9 out of 10 students like pizza. If three students are chosen at random with replacement, what is the probability that all three students like pizza? P(Like and Like and Like) 729 1000  9 9 9 10 10 10  
  • 9. Dependent Events A occurring AFFECTS the probability of B occurring Usually you will see the words “without replacing” “AND” still means to MULTIPLY!
  • 10. Dependent Event Formula P(A and B) = P(A)  P(B given A) also known as P(A  B) = P(A)  P(B|A)
  • 11. Example 5 A jar contains 3 red, 5 green, 2 blue and 6 yellow marbles. A marble is chosen at random from the jar. A second marble is chosen without replacing the first one. What is the probability of choosing a green and a yellow marble? P(Green and Yellow) 5 16 5 6 1  1 8  P(A  B) = P(A)  P(B|A)
  • 12. Example 6 An aquarium contains 6 male goldfish and 4 female goldfish. You randomly select a fish from the tank, do not replace it, and then randomly select a second fish. What is the probability that both fish are male? P(Male and Male) 6 10 5 9  1 3  P(A  B) = P(A)  P(B|A)
  • 13. Example 7 A random sample of parts coming off a machine is done by an inspector. He found that 5 out of 100 parts are bad on average. If he were to do a new sample, what is the probability that he picks a bad part and then, picks another bad part if he doesn’t replace the first? P(Bad and Bad) 5 100 4 99  1 495  P(A  B) = P(A)  P(B|A)
  • 14. Determining if 2 Events are Independent
  • 15. Determining if Events are Independent 3 Ways to check. We are going to practice one of the ways: P(A  B) = P(A)  P(B) Substitute in what you know and check to see if left side equals right side.
  • 16. Example 8 Let event M = taking a math class. Let event S = taking a science class. Then, M and S = taking a math class and a science class. Suppose P(M) = 0.6, P(S) = 0.5, and P(M and S) = 0.3. Are M and S independent?       ? P M S P M P S    ? . . .3 6 5   .3 .3 YES!  Conclusion: Taking a math class and taking a science class are independent of each other.
  • 17. Example 9 In a particular college class, 60% of the students are female. 50% of all students in the class have long hair. 45% of the students are female and have long hair. Of the female students, 75% have long hair. Let F be the event that the student is female. Let L be the event that the student has long hair. One student is picked randomly. Are the events of being female and having long hair independent?       ? P F L P F P L    ? 60% 45% 50%   .45 .30 NO!!!  Conclusion: Being a female and having long hair are not independent. ? .60 .45 .50  