Samaritan's Ruby Gala - Celebrating 40 Years of CaringSamaritan
Samaritan held its annual gala on Saturday, February 8, 2020 at The Crowne Plaza in Cherry Hill. This year the Hoey Family and Wolf Commercial Real Estate were presented with the Circle of Excellence Award. Kathy Orr, Fox 29 Philly weather anchor, served as special guest emcee.
Samaritan's Ruby Gala - Celebrating 40 Years of CaringSamaritan
Samaritan held its annual gala on Saturday, February 8, 2020 at The Crowne Plaza in Cherry Hill. This year the Hoey Family and Wolf Commercial Real Estate were presented with the Circle of Excellence Award. Kathy Orr, Fox 29 Philly weather anchor, served as special guest emcee.
On February 5, Chapel Hill Transit director Brian Litchfield presented a strategic and financial plan update for the Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber's Economic Development & Public Policy Committee.
Dear CHYP Colleagues,
It was a true pleasure meeting you yesterday! I hope you found our discussion valuable and feel more equipped than ever to develop the relationships necessary to achieve your aspirations. I have shared my slide deck with the CHYP leadership team and it includes comprehensive notes that you can use as a reference moving forward. Feel free to contact me if you have any questions or if there is anything I can do to help you in the future.
I wish you nothing but the best and look forward to re-connecting soon!
Malcom C. Riley, III
Presentation to UNC Communications Council by
Linda Convissor, Director of Community Relations, UNC
Meg McGurk, Executive Director, Chapel Hill Downtown Partnership
Marlene Barbera, Director of Sales, Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
Kristen Smith, Vice President for Advocacy & Engagement, Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce
On February 5, Chapel Hill Transit director Brian Litchfield presented a strategic and financial plan update for the Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber's Economic Development & Public Policy Committee.
Dear CHYP Colleagues,
It was a true pleasure meeting you yesterday! I hope you found our discussion valuable and feel more equipped than ever to develop the relationships necessary to achieve your aspirations. I have shared my slide deck with the CHYP leadership team and it includes comprehensive notes that you can use as a reference moving forward. Feel free to contact me if you have any questions or if there is anything I can do to help you in the future.
I wish you nothing but the best and look forward to re-connecting soon!
Malcom C. Riley, III
Presentation to UNC Communications Council by
Linda Convissor, Director of Community Relations, UNC
Meg McGurk, Executive Director, Chapel Hill Downtown Partnership
Marlene Barbera, Director of Sales, Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
Kristen Smith, Vice President for Advocacy & Engagement, Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce
Explore the latest economic trends in our region
Get the latest on economic trends at the local, state and national level from Professor of Banking and Economist for the North Carolina Bankers Association, Harry Davis, PhD.
What is your assessment of our local economy?
Speaker: Harry Davis, PhD
Dr. Harry M. Davis is the Professor of Banking (1980) and Economist (1981) for the North Carolina Bankers Association. He is professor of Finance and past Chair of the Department of Finance, Banking, and Insurance at Appalachian State University (1981-1998).
As the North Carolina Bankers Association Economist, Dr. Davis puts together quarterly economic forecasts that are carried by various news outlets. Dr. Davis is frequently interviewed throughout the year by newspapers, television, and radio stations for stories on the economy and banking. Dr. Davis is a frequent speaker at state, regional and national banking conventions on economic and banking issues.
This year, we are excited to welcome members of the Carolinas Association of Chamber of Commerce Executives (CACCE) to the Briefing as our special guests.
The Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce was chosen to host the CACCE 2016 Annual Management Conference. Over 100 Chamber executives will be in attendance at the breakfast briefing to get the latest on economic forecasts.
NCFEF is a non-partisan, nonprofit organization that conducts impartial, objective research and analysis on candidates, campaigns, voter attitudes and demographic changes that impact North Carolina’s political landscape. Executive Director Joe Stewart presented to the Rotary Club of North Raleigh Wednesday August 19, 2015.
Election landscape for the 2014 State Senate and Assembly in Wisconsin presented by Matt Brusky, Deputy Director of Citizen Action of Wisconsin on March 13, 2014.
NC FreeEnterprise Foundation Executive Director Joe Stewart’s career spans 25 years in government service, politics, issue advocacy and association management in Baltimore, Washington, DC, and North Carolina. His first professional position was in fundraising, with a job in the UNC Chapel Hill Development Office that began while he was still an undergraduate. He has also worked as a consultant providing insights to corporations and trade associations on issue and political advocacy strategies.
I was responsible for updating the Barnstormers roster/active roster each week, identifying and updating the opponents game day active roster, and officiators roster.
Education: Strengthening our Workforce Pipeline
Panelists:
• Brett Brenton, Regional Impact Manager, myFutureNC (moderator)
• Al Ciarochi, Deputy Superintendent of Operations, Chapel Hill Carrboro City Schools
• Abe Dones, Vice President and Chief Student Services Officer, Durham Technical Community College
• Julie Pack, Incoming Chief Academic Officer, Orange County School District
• Rodney Trice, Deputy Superintendent of Teaching & Learning, Equity & Engagement, Chapel Hill Carrboro City Schools
Download Brett’s presentation <LINK>
Highlights from the session included:
• Brett Brenton opened the session with an overview of myFutureNC and emphasized the importance of aligning educational efforts with the needs of high-demand sectors such as healthcare, technology, and building trades.
• Panelists discussed the evolving landscape of talent development and its impact on educational strategies, and shared opportunities for collaboration among educational institutions and employers to improve outcomes.
• The session closed with discussion about role for the Chamber’s forthcoming employer-led Workforce Council.
Increasing Housing Supply & Affordability
Panelists:
• Delores Bailey, Executive Director, Empowerment Inc.
• Lee Bowman, Principal, Legion Land & Development
• Kimberly Sanchez, Executive Director, Community Home Trust
• Sarah Viñas, Director, Affordable Housing and Community Connections Department, Town of Chapel Hill (moderator)
Highlights from the session included:
• Sarah presented the Chapel Hill Affordable Housing Plan, detailing local strategies to increase the supply of affordable housing, including ownership and for-rent units, through public, non-profit and private development.
• Delores and Kimberly each explained their models to deliver more affordable housing units, and Lee illuminated the practical challenges for housing affordability in our community.
• The panel highlighted some policy change opportunities, particularly in the pending LUMO update, that could create a more favorable environment for new housing projects across the affordability spectrum.
What: The Economic Forecast Forum presented by Adkin CPA PLLC and Chapel Hill Media Group
When: Thursday, February 22, 2024 from 8:00am-10:00am
8:00am-8:30am: Coffee networking
8:30am-10:00am: Program
Where: The Lumina Theater
Why: The purpose of this forum is for Chamber members and friends to receive timely information on the current performance and future predictions of our national, state, regional, and local economy.
How: This forum will be divided into two segments. The first segment will feature Dr. Walden's forecast for our national, state, and regional economy. The second segment will feature Chamber President and CEO Aaron Nelson's summary of findings from The Chamber's annual local economic conditions survey.
Sponsored by: Chapel Hill Media Group, The Lumina Theater, and Weaver Street Market.
Leadership Chapel Hill-Carrboro (Leadership) is an extensive program designed to inform, develop, connect, and engage committed and emerging leaders in Greater Chapel Hill-Carrboro.
Leadership Chapel Hill-Carrboro (Leadership) is an extensive program designed to inform, develop, connect, and engage committed and emerging leaders in Greater Chapel Hill-Carrboro.
Leadership Chapel Hill-Carrboro is an extensive program designed to inform, develop, connect, and engage committed and emerging leaders in Greater Chapel Hill-Carrboro.
Learn more at www.CarolinaChamber.org/Leadership
Leadership Chapel Hill-Carrboro (Leadership) is an extensive program designed to inform, develop, connect, and engage committed and emerging leaders in Greater Chapel Hill-Carrboro.
On Thursday, April 27, 2023 from 8:00 a.m. - 10:00 a.m. The Chamber held the Economic Development Forum, the second of four forums in the 2023 Critical Issues Series.
This forum examined economic development throughout Greater Chapel Hill-Carrboro and unpack what's underway, why it matters, and what we can expect going forward.
Speakers included Steve Brantley (Orange County Economic Development), Dwight Bassett (Chapel Hill Economic Development), and John Hartman Brown (Carrboro Economic Development.
There were also project updates from Simon George (UNC Health) on main campus and Eastowne, Jeff Kurtz (Ram Realty Group) on the redevelopment of University Place, Sheryl Waddell (UNC Economic Development and Innovation Hubs) on The Junction, and Danny Hume (Trinsic Residential) on Aura Chapel Hill.
About the Critical Issues Series: The 2023 Critical Issues Series (formerly known as the Policy Series) includes quarterly forums that feature influential guest speakers who address timely topics for Greater Chapel Hill-Carrboro related to the economy, economic development, public policy, and elections. The series is coordinated by The Chamber's Government Affairs Committee and presented by Chapel Hill Media Group and ServPro of South Durham and Orange Counties with support from the Small Business and Technology Development Center (SBTDC), which provides free and confidential business counseling. Special thank you to The Lumina Theater for hosting this event and Weaver Street Market for providing delicious coffee.
The purpose of this virtual information session is to provide interested applicants with a convenient and easy way to learn more about Leadership 2023 - an extensive program designed to inform, develop, connect, and engage committed and emerging leaders in Greater Chapel Hill-Carrboro.
What: The Economic Outlook Forum Featuring Renowned Economist Dr. Michael Walden
When: Thursday, February 23, 2023
Where: The Lumina Theater
Why: The purpose of this forum is for Chamber members and friends to receive timely information on the current performance and future predictions of our national, state, regional, and local economy.
How: This forum will be divided into two segments. The first segment will feature Dr. Walden's forecast for our national, state, and regional economy. The second segment will feature Chamber President and CEO Aaron Nelson's summary of findings from The Chamber's annual local economic conditions survey.
About the Critical Issues Series: The 2023 Critical Issues Series (formerly known as the Policy Series) includes quarterly forums that feature influential guest speakers who address timely topics for Greater Chapel Hill-Carrboro related to the economy, economic development, public policy, and elections. The series is coordinated by The Chamber's Government Affairs Committee and presented by Chapel Hill Media Group and ServPro of South Durham and Orange Counties with support from the Small Business and Technology Development Center (SBTDC), which provides free and confidential business counseling. Special thank you to The Lumina Theater for hosting this event and Weaver Street Market for providing delicious coffee.
What: Summer Careers Academy "Building Our Future" Employer Information Session
When: Wednesday, February 15, 2023 from 12pm-1pm
Why: To inform employers about the opportunity participate in the second-annual Summer Careers Academy "Building Our Future" cohort, which is a Registered Youth Apprenticeship program in the skilled trades that takes place over eight-weeks in the summer (June-August).
Where: Via zoom
Who: All small, mid-size, and large employers from the private, public, and nonprofit sectors with jobs in the skilled trades are encouraged to attend this information session, especially those employers with occupations in the construction trades (carpentry, plumbing, electrical, masonry, and HVAC-R repair).
Flow: The input session will feature an opening presentation to explain the program and the employer benefits and responsibilities, and then offer time for discussion and next steps.
https://members.hbadoc.com/events/details/summer-careers-academy-building-our-future-employer-information-session-5655
What: Summer Careers Academy "Building Our Future" Employer Information Session
When: Wednesday, January 25, 2023
Why: To inform employers about the opportunity participate in the second-annual Summer Careers Academy "Building Our Future" cohort, which is a Registered Youth Apprenticeship program in the skilled trades that takes place over eight-weeks in the summer (June-August).
Where: Via zoom
Who: All small, mid-size, and large employers from the private, public, and nonprofit sectors with jobs in the skilled trades are encouraged to attend this information session, especially those employers with occupations in the construction trades (carpentry, plumbing, electrical, masonry, and HVAC-R repair).
What: The Legislative Forum
When: Thursday, December 8, 2022 from 8:30am-10:00am
Why: In a quick 90 minutes, participants got timely updates as well as reflections and predictions on federal and state policies and legislative activities that matter to your business and our community.
Who: Invited speakers include elected officials who represent our community with U.S. Congress and the NC General Assembly and leaders who advocate for a Greater Chapel Hill-Carrboro.
About: The 2022 Critical Issues Series is presented by Chapel Hill Media Group, Durham Tech, Glen Lennox, and Servpro of South Durham and Orange Counties with support from the Small Business and Technology Development Center (SBTDC), which provides free and confidential business counseling.
Contact: For event-related questions, contact McKenzie Steagall at (443) 907-5476 (m). For content-related questions, contact Katie Loovis at (919) 696-0781 (m).
What: Inter-City Visit 2022 (ICV) Delegation Orientation
When: Thursday, October 13, 2022 from 4:00pm-5:30pm
Where: Chapel Hill Public Library, 100 Library Drive, Chapel Hill, NC 27514 (Meeting Room B)
Logistics: This is an in-person event. Free and convenient parking is available in the adjoining lots. Light refreshments will be provided. Attire is business casual.
Why: This 90-minute orientation will give Delegates an overview of the ICV 2022 learning objectives and agenda, and introduce delegates to one another and the technologies that will power our experience (Groupme and GuideBook). It is recommended that every delegate attend.
What: The Economic Development Forum
When: Thursday, September 29, 2022 from 8:30 a.m. - 10:00 a.m.
Why: What does it mean and what does it take to have a thriving community? This forum will look closely at economic development throughout Greater Chapel Hill-Carrboro and Orange County, and unpack what's underway, why it matters, and what we can expect going forward.
Panel Presentations
Steve Brantley, Orange County Economic Development
Dwight Bassett, Town of Chapel Hill Economic Development
Matt Gladdek, Chapel Hill Downtown Partnership
Jon Hartman-Brown, Town of Carrboro Economic Development
Shannan Campbell, Town of Hillsborough Economic Development
About the Critical Issues Series: The 2022 Critical Issues Series (formerly known as the Policy Series) includes quarterly forums that feature influential guest speakers who address timely topics for Greater Chapel Hill-Carrboro related to the economy, economic development, public policy, and elections. The series is presented by Chapel Hill Media Group, Durham Tech, Glen Lennox, and Servpro of South Durham and Orange Counties with support from the Small Business and Technology Development Center (SBTDC), which provides free and confidential business counseling.
Contact: For questions, contact Katie Loovis, The Chamber's Vice President for External Affairs at (919) 696-0781 (cell) or KLoovis@carolinachamber.org.
This presentation accompanied a zoom discussion about the Inter-City Visit and Leadership Conference happening Monday, October 24, 2022 - Wednesday, October 26, 2022. The delegation of ~75 business, government, nonprofit, education, and faith leaders will head to Asheville, NC with a stop in Winston-Salem. Learn more at www.CarolinaChamber.org/ICV
Presentation for Leadership Chapel Hill-Carrboro Class of 2022 during Session #9 on Safety, Equity, and Civility at The Siena Hotel in Chapel Hill on Thursday, August, 25, 2022
Presentation to Leadership Chapel Hill-Carrboro 2022 by Aaron Nelson, President and CEO, The Chamber, on Thursday, August 25, 2022 at The Siena Hotel in Chapel Hill, NC
What is the point of small housing associations.pptxPaul Smith
Given the small scale of housing associations and their relative high cost per home what is the point of them and how do we justify their continued existance
Jennifer Schaus and Associates hosts a complimentary webinar series on The FAR in 2024. Join the webinars on Wednesdays and Fridays at noon, eastern.
Recordings are on YouTube and the company website.
https://www.youtube.com/@jenniferschaus/videos
Presentation by Jared Jageler, David Adler, Noelia Duchovny, and Evan Herrnstadt, analysts in CBO’s Microeconomic Studies and Health Analysis Divisions, at the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists Summer Conference.
Russian anarchist and anti-war movement in the third year of full-scale warAntti Rautiainen
Anarchist group ANA Regensburg hosted my online-presentation on 16th of May 2024, in which I discussed tactics of anti-war activism in Russia, and reasons why the anti-war movement has not been able to make an impact to change the course of events yet. Cases of anarchists repressed for anti-war activities are presented, as well as strategies of support for political prisoners, and modest successes in supporting their struggles.
Thumbnail picture is by MediaZona, you may read their report on anti-war arson attacks in Russia here: https://en.zona.media/article/2022/10/13/burn-map
Links:
Autonomous Action
http://Avtonom.org
Anarchist Black Cross Moscow
http://Avtonom.org/abc
Solidarity Zone
https://t.me/solidarity_zone
Memorial
https://memopzk.org/, https://t.me/pzk_memorial
OVD-Info
https://en.ovdinfo.org/antiwar-ovd-info-guide
RosUznik
https://rosuznik.org/
Uznik Online
http://uznikonline.tilda.ws/
Russian Reader
https://therussianreader.com/
ABC Irkutsk
https://abc38.noblogs.org/
Send mail to prisoners from abroad:
http://Prisonmail.online
YouTube: https://youtu.be/c5nSOdU48O8
Spotify: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/libertarianlifecoach/episodes/Russian-anarchist-and-anti-war-movement-in-the-third-year-of-full-scale-war-e2k8ai4
A process server is a authorized person for delivering legal documents, such as summons, complaints, subpoenas, and other court papers, to peoples involved in legal proceedings.
Jennifer Schaus and Associates hosts a complimentary webinar series on The FAR in 2024. Join the webinars on Wednesdays and Fridays at noon, eastern.
Recordings are on YouTube and the company website.
https://www.youtube.com/@jenniferschaus/videos
Many ways to support street children.pptxSERUDS INDIA
By raising awareness, providing support, advocating for change, and offering assistance to children in need, individuals can play a crucial role in improving the lives of street children and helping them realize their full potential
Donate Us
https://serudsindia.org/how-individuals-can-support-street-children-in-india/
#donatefororphan, #donateforhomelesschildren, #childeducation, #ngochildeducation, #donateforeducation, #donationforchildeducation, #sponsorforpoorchild, #sponsororphanage #sponsororphanchild, #donation, #education, #charity, #educationforchild, #seruds, #kurnool, #joyhome
Up the Ratios Bylaws - a Comprehensive Process of Our Organizationuptheratios
Up the Ratios is a non-profit organization dedicated to bridging the gap in STEM education for underprivileged students by providing free, high-quality learning opportunities in robotics and other STEM fields. Our mission is to empower the next generation of innovators, thinkers, and problem-solvers by offering a range of educational programs that foster curiosity, creativity, and critical thinking.
At Up the Ratios, we believe that every student, regardless of their socio-economic background, should have access to the tools and knowledge needed to succeed in today's technology-driven world. To achieve this, we host a variety of free classes, workshops, summer camps, and live lectures tailored to students from underserved communities. Our programs are designed to be engaging and hands-on, allowing students to explore the exciting world of robotics and STEM through practical, real-world applications.
Our free classes cover fundamental concepts in robotics, coding, and engineering, providing students with a strong foundation in these critical areas. Through our interactive workshops, students can dive deeper into specific topics, working on projects that challenge them to apply what they've learned and think creatively. Our summer camps offer an immersive experience where students can collaborate on larger projects, develop their teamwork skills, and gain confidence in their abilities.
In addition to our local programs, Up the Ratios is committed to making a global impact. We take donations of new and gently used robotics parts, which we then distribute to students and educational institutions in other countries. These donations help ensure that young learners worldwide have the resources they need to explore and excel in STEM fields. By supporting education in this way, we aim to nurture a global community of future leaders and innovators.
Our live lectures feature guest speakers from various STEM disciplines, including engineers, scientists, and industry professionals who share their knowledge and experiences with our students. These lectures provide valuable insights into potential career paths and inspire students to pursue their passions in STEM.
Up the Ratios relies on the generosity of donors and volunteers to continue our work. Contributions of time, expertise, and financial support are crucial to sustaining our programs and expanding our reach. Whether you're an individual passionate about education, a professional in the STEM field, or a company looking to give back to the community, there are many ways to get involved and make a difference.
We are proud of the positive impact we've had on the lives of countless students, many of whom have gone on to pursue higher education and careers in STEM. By providing these young minds with the tools and opportunities they need to succeed, we are not only changing their futures but also contributing to the advancement of technology and innovation on a broader scale.
Up the Ratios Bylaws - a Comprehensive Process of Our Organization
Post-Election Briefing from the NC FreeEnterprise Foundation
1. 2014 Election Updates & Insights
Post-Election Briefing
November 6, 2014
Joe Stewart
Executive Director
jstewart@ncfef.org
(919) 614-0520
2. NC FreeEnterprise Foundation
The North Carolina FreeEnterprise Foundation is a 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization exclusively focused
on providing innovative educational programs to foster informed civic involvement and a better
understanding of how voters perceive key public policy issues that impact our state’s economic vitality.
NCFEF does not lobby, or participate in any way with political campaigns.
4. What was the 2014 election ‘about?’
Voter Turnout = 44% Black voter participation = 19 – 20%
White UNA voters in suburban and rural areas = 60:40 for GOP White DEM xover = 12 – 14%
7. US Senate
Kay
Hagan (I)
Incumbent
47%
Thom
Tillis
NC House
Speaker
49%
Sean
Haugh
Delivery Driver
4%
Was polling off somehow?
In Washington v Raleigh battle,
Washington (Obama) lost
Momentum at the end mattered
Did deluge of ads make a
difference, because a deluge of
ads is probably the new norm
Was LIB a spoiler?
Haugh = 108,177
Tillis – Hagan = 48,501
8. LIB high water mark
2014
Thom Tillis 48.88%
Kay Hagan 47.20%
Sean Haugh 3.74%
Write In 0.18%
2010 2002
Richard Burr 54.81% Elizabeth H. Dole 53.56%
Elaine Marshall 43.05% Erskine B. Bowles 44.96%
Michael Beitler 2.09% Sean Haugh 1.45%
Write-in 0.05% Write In 0.03%
10. 2014 US Senate, by margin of victory in county
AVERY
BURKE
CLEVELAND
GUILFORD
BERTIE
MARTIN
ALLEGHANY
SURRY STOKES
ANSON
ASHE
BEAUFORT
BLADEN
BRUNSWICK
BUNCOMBE
CABARRUS
CALDWELL
CARTERET
CASWELL
CATAWBA
CHATHAM
CHEROKEE
CLAY
COLUMBUS
CRAVEN
CUMBERLAND
DARE
DAVIDSON
DAVIE
HALIFAX
DUPLIN
DURHAM
EDGECOMBE
FORSYTH
FRANKLIN
GASTON
GATES
GRAHAM
GREENE
HARNETT
HAYWOOD
HENDERSON
HERTFORD
HOKE
HYDE
IREDELL
JACKSON
JOHNSTON
JONES
LEE
LENOIR
LINCOLN
MCDOWELL
MACON
MADISON
MECKLENBURG
MOORE
NASH
NEW
HANOVER
NORTHAMPTON
ONSLOW
ORANGE
PAMLICO
PENDER
PERSON
PITT
POLK
RANDOLPH
RICHMOND
ROBESON
ROCKINGHAM
ROWAN
RUTHERFORD
SAMPSON
STANLY
SWAIN
TYRRELL
UNION
VANCE
WAKE
WARREN
WASHINGTON
WATAUGA
WAYNE
WILKES
WILSON
YADKIN
YANCEY
Strong GOP > 5% R
Lean GOP 2% R - 5% R
Competitive 2% R - 2% D
Lean DEM 2% D - 5% D
Strong DEM > 5% D
12. NC Supreme Court
Chief Justice
Mark Martin (former Associate Supreme Court Justice, now Chief Justice) 72%
Ola Lewis (current NC Superior Court Judge) 28%
Associate Justice (Martin Seat)
Sam J. Ervin IV (current Court of Appeals Judge) 53%
Robert N. Hunter Jr. (former Court of Appeals Judge, now Associate Justice) 47%
Associate Justice (Hudson Seat)
Robin E. Hudson (current Associate Supreme Court Justice) 52%
Eric L. Levinson (fmr. Court of Appeals Judge) 48%
Associate Justice (Beasley Seat)
Cheri Beasley (current Associate Supreme Court Justice) 50.1%
Mike Robinson (Attorney) 49.9%
13. Court of Appeals
Court of Appeals (Hunter Seat)
Lucy Inman (Special Superior Court Judge) 52%
Bill Southern (District Court Judge - District 17-B) 48%
Court of Appeals (Stroud Seat)
Donna Stroud (Incumbent Judge) 100%
Court of Appeals (Davis Seat)
Mark Davis (Incumbent Judge) 59%
Paul Holcombe (District Court Judge - District 11) 41%
14. Court of Appeals
Court of Appeals Chief Judge (Martin Seat)
John Arrowood – 14% Sabra Faires Patricia "Tricia" Shields
Betsy Bunting Abe Jones Elizabeth Davenport Scott
Lori G. Christian Ann Kirby John M. Tyson – 24%
Jeffrey Cook Keischa Lovelace Marion Warren
J. Brad Donovan Marty Martin Chuck Winfree
Daniel Patrick Donahue Hunter Murphy Valerie Johnson Zachary
Joseph "Jody" Newsome
16. Congressional Races – 2014 Winners
Strong DEM Lean DEM Competitive Lean REP Strong REP
12 - Adams* 7 - D. Rouser* 9 - R. Pittenger
1 - G. Butterfield 8 - R. Hudson 11 - M. Meadows
4 - D. Price 3 - W. Jones 5 - V. Foxx
13 - G. Holding 10 - P. McHenry
6 - M. Walker*
2 - R. Ellmers
3 DEM - 10 REP *freshman members = 3
17. US Congress
NC 2 CVB: Strong REP
Clay
Aiken
Entertainer
41%
Renee
Ellmers
Incumbent
59%
NC 6 CVB: Strong REP
Laura
Fjeld
Fmr. General
Counsel
41%
Mark
Walker
Pastor
59%
18. US Congress
Jonathan
Barfield
New
Hanover Co.
Comm.
37%
David
Rouzer
Consultant
59%
CVB: Lean REP
Wesley
Casteen
Attorney/
CPA
4%
NC 7
21. NC Senate CVB Breakdown
Strong DEM Lean DEM Competitive Lean REP Strong REP
28 - G. Robinson 3 - E. Smith-Ingram* 19 - W. Meredith 25 – T. McInnis* 45 - D. Soucek 29 - J. Tillman
40 - J. Waddell* 23 - V. Foushee 18 - C. Barefoot 15 - J. Alexander* 50 - J. Davis 30 – S. Randleman
38 - J. Ford 5 - D. Davis 1 - B. Cook 9 - M. Lee* 46 - W. Daniel 33 – S. Bingham
20 - F. McKissick 13 - J. Smith* 8 - B. Rabon 41 - J. Tarte 35 - T. Tucker
14 - D. Blue 22 - M. Woodard 17 - T. Barringer 26 - P. Berger 42 - A. Wells*
4 - A. Bryant 37 - J. Jackson** 10 - B. Jackson 6 - H. Brown 44 - D. Curtis
21 - B. Clark 16 - J. Stein 12 - R. Rabin 24 - R. Gunn 31 - J. Krawiec
32 - E. Parmon 49 - T. Van Duyn** 27 - T. Wade 7 - L. Pate 34 - A. Brock
11 - B. Newton 47 - R. Hise 43 - K. Harrington
48 - T. Apodaca 39 - B. Rucho
2 - N. Sanderson 36 - F. Hartsell
16 DEM - 34 REP *freshmen members = 7
22. Partisan Balance of Power – NC Senate
12 = already winners
12 = incumbents in SR districts
4 = incumbents in LR districts
2 = open seats in LR districts
1 = challenge to DEM in LR district (+1)
3 = incumbents in COMP districts
16
34
23. NC Senate – Open Seat Races
SD 9 CVB: Lean REP SD 13 CVB: Strong DEM
Elizabeth
Redenbaugh
Fmr. New
Hanover BOE
44%
Michael
Lee
Attorney
56%
Jane
Smith
Retired Realtor
63%
Bernard
White
Small Business
Owner
37%
24. NC Senate – Open Seat Races
SD 15 CVB: Lean REP SD 40 CVB: Strong DEM
Tom
Bradshaw
Fmr. Raleigh
Mayor
49.6%
John
Alexander
Business
Owner
50.4%
Joyce
Waddell
Educator
WINNER
No
Opponent
25. NC Senate – Races of Notes
SD 1 CVB: Competitive SD 8 CVB: Lean REP
Stan
White
Realtor
47%
Bill
Cook
Incumbent
’13 LBR: 78.59
53%
Ernie
Ward
Veterinarian
43%
Bill
Rabon
Incumbent
‘13 LBR: 82.03
57%
26. NC Senate – Races of Note
SD 10 CVB: Lean REP SD 18 CVB: Competitive
Donald
Rains
Mayor of
Princeton
38%
Brent
Jackson
Incumbent
‘13 LBR: 88.06
62%
Sarah
Crawford
Non-Profit
Executive
47%
Chad
Barefoot
Incumbent
‘13 LBR: 83.11
53%
27. NC Senate – Races To Watch
SD 19 CVB: Competitive
Billy
Richardson
Attorney
46%
Wesley
Meredith
Incumbent
‘13 LBR: 80.00
54%
SD 25
CVB: Lean REP
Gene
McLaurin
Incumbent
‘13 LBR: 80.28
47%
Tom
McInnis
Small Business
Owner
50%
P.H.
Dawkins
3%
28. NC Senate – Races of Note
SD 50 CVB: Strong REP
Jane Hipps
Retired
Educator
46%
Jim Davis
Incumbent
‘13 LBR: 84.31
54%
31. NC House CVB Breakdown
Strong DEM Lean DEM Competitive Lean REP Strong REP
29 - L. Hall 50 - G. Meyer 66 - K. Goodman 119 - J. Queen 118 - M. Presnell 109 - D. Bumgardner 90 - S. Stevens 78 - A. McNeill
106 - C. Cunnigham 39 - D. Jackson 46 - K. Waddell 2 - L. Yarborough* 6 - P. Tine 19 - T. Davis Jr. 117 - C. McGrady 70 - P. Hurley
102 - B. Carney 12 - G. Graham 54 - R. Reives II 22 - W. Brisson 9 - B. Brown 61 - J. Faircloth 84 - R. Turner 80 - R. Younts
31 - M. Michaux 11 - D. Hall 44 - R. Glazier 92 - C. Jeter 63 - S. Ross 59 - J. Hardister 28 - J. Langdon 73 - L. Zachary*
99 - R. Moore 34 - G. Martin 115 – J. Ager* 93 - J. Jordan 111 - T. Moore 52 - J. Boles 85 - J. Dobson
33 - R. Gill 7 - B. Richardson 41 - G. Adcock* 51 - B. Salmon* 104 - D. Bishop* 10 - J. Bell 97 - J. Saine
38 - Y. Holley 18 - S. Hamilton 45 - J. Szoka 40 - M. Avila 26 - L. Daughtry 83 - L. Johnson 79 - J. Howard
107 - K. Alexander 21 - L. Bell 8 - S. Martin 53 - D. Lewis 25 - J. Collins 105 - J. Schaffer 89 - M. Setzer
60 - C. Brockman*
23 - S.
Willingham*
49 - G. Pendleton** 35 - C. Malone 86 - H. Blackwell 17 - F. Iler 95 - J. Fraley*
58 - R. Johnson* 72 - E. Hanes 36 - N. Dollar 75 - D. Lambeth 77 - Warren 94 - J. Elmore
56 - V. Insko 43 - E. Floyd 65 - B. Jones 55 - M. Brody 112 - M. Hager 68 - C. Horn
24 - J. Butterfield 47 - C. Graham 116 - B. Turner* 37 - P. Stam 4 - J. Dixon 87 - E. Starnes
57 - P. Harrison 32 - N. Baskerville 1 - B. Steinburg 103 - B. Brawley 91 - B. Holloway 13 - P. McElraft
71 - E. Terry 30 - P. Luebke 14 - G. Cleveland 113 - C. Whitmire 69 - D. Arp
101 - B. Earle 5 - H. Hunter III* 88 - R. Bryan 110 - K. Hastings 76 - C. Ford
48 - G. Pierce 82 - L. Pittman 74 - D. Conrad 81 - R. Brown
114 - S. Fisher 64 - D. Riddell 16 - C. Millis 67 - J. Burr
42 - M. Lucas 3 - M. Speciale 20 - R. Catlin 120 - R. West
100 - T. Cotham 62 - J. Blust 15 - P. Shepard 96 - J. Adams*
27 - M. Wray 98 - J. Bradford* 108 - J. Torbett
46 DEM - 74 REP *freshmen members = 14
32. Partisan Balance of Power – NC House
• 31 = already winners
• 25 = incumbents in SR districts
• 3 = open seats in SR districts
• 12 = incumbents in LR districts (+2)
• 1 = challenge to DEM in LR district
• 4 = incumbents in COMP districts (+2)
• 2 = open seats in COMP districts (+1)
46
74
33. NC House – Open Seat Races
HD 2
CVB: Competitive
Ray
Jeffers
Person Co.
Commissioner
43%
Larry
Yarborough
Businessman
57%
HD 58 CVB: Strong DEM
Ralph
Johnson
Greensboro
Zoning Comm.
WINNER
No
Opponent
34. NC House – Open Seat Races
HD 60 CVB: Strong DEM
Cecil
Brockman
Consultant
WINNER
No
Opponent
HD 73 CVB: Strong REP
No
Opponent
Lee
Zachary
Attorney
WINNER
35. NC House – Open Seat Races
HD 96 CVB: Strong REP
Cliff
Moone
Part-Time
Professor
33%
Jay
Adams
Commercial
Realtor
67%
HD 98 CVB: Strong REP
Natasha
Marcus
Attorney
45%
John
Bradford
Engineer
55%
36. NC House – Open Seat Races
HD 104 CVB: Strong REP
Dan
Bishop
Attorney
75%
Eric
Cable
Financial
Services
25%
37. NC House – Races of Note
HD 1 CVB: Lean REP HD 6 CVB: Lean REP
Garry
Meiggs
Camden Co.
Commissioner
31%
Bob
Steinburg
Incumbent
‘13 LBR: 87.15
69%
Paul
Tine
Incumbent
‘13 LBR: 68.10
54%
Mattie
Lawson
Activist
46%
38. NC House – Races of Note
HD 35 CVB: Lean REP HD 36 CVB: Lean REP
Brian
Mountcastle
Small Business
Owner
44%
Chris
Malone
Incumbent
‘13 LBR: 83.57
56%
Lisa
Baker
Small Business
Owner
46%
Nelson
Dollar
Incumbent
‘13 LBR: 88.27
54%
39. NC House – Races of Note
HD 40 CVB: Lean REP HD 41 CVB: Competitive
Margaret
Broadwell
Small Business
Owner
46%
Marilyn
Avila
Incumbent
’13 LBR: 88.87
54%
HD 41
Gale
Adcock
Nurse
Practitioner
51%
Tom
Murry
Incumbent
’13 LBR: 93.44
49%
40. NC House – Races of Note
Rick
Glazier
Incumbent
‘13 LBR: 36.33
52%
Richard
Button
Retired
Engineer
48%
HD 44
CVB: Lean DEM
41. NC House – Races of Note
HD 49 CVB: Competitive
Kim
Hanchette
Diabetes
Educator
48%
Gary
Pendleton
Small Business
Owner
52%
HD 46 CVB: Lean DEM
Ken
Waddell
Incumbent
‘13 LBR: 57.15
53%
Brenden
Jones
Small Business
Owner
47%
42. NC House – Races of Note
HD 92 CVB: Competitive
Robin
Bradford
Activist
47%
Charles
Jeter
Incumbent
‘13 LBR: 86.00
53%
HD 51 CVB: Lean REP
Brad
Salmon
Attorney &
Farmer
54%
Mike
Stone
Incumbent
‘13 LBR: 88.80
46%
43. NC House – Races of Note
HD 93 CVB: Lean REP HD 115
CVB: Competitive
Sue
Counts
Ret NC Coop.
Ext.
47%
Jonathan
Jordan
Incumbent
‘13 LBR: 87.50
53%
John
Ager
Farmer/ Land
Developer
51%
Nathan
Ramsey
Incumbent
‘13 LBR: 88.52
49%
44. NC House – Races of Note
HD 116 CVB: Lean REP HD 118 CVB: Lean REP
Brian
Turner
Small Business
Owner
52%
Tim
Moffitt
Incumbent
‘13 LBR: 95.65
48%
Dean
Hicks
Yancey Co.
Commissioner
49%
Michele
Presnell
Incumbent
‘13 LBR: 86.25
51%
HD 116
45. NC House – Races of Note
HD 119 CVB: Competitive
Joe Sam
Queen
Incumbent
‘13 LBR: 32.33
52%
Mike
Clampitt
Ret. Firefighter
48%
46. What we were saying …
Significant $ Advantage
NC House GOP = 2:1
NC Senate GOP = 2.7:1
Outside Money
in US Senate, Judicial,
Key Legislative Races
Congressional Races
NC7 Likely Goes R
NC2 & NC6 Likely Stay R
NC12 Likely Stays D
US Senate = Tight, Likely to
Break R Near the End
Seems Very Likely
NC General Assembly Remains R
Seems Likely +/- Current Numbers
47. What did we learn from 2014
Outside money matters … has eclipsed candidates and campaigns
Candidates matter a lot … especially in the suburbs
North Carolina’s politics is indeed nationalized,
but local issues still (and probably always will) matter
The marketing of accomplishments matters,
especially if the other side has a lot of $$$
Even celebrities must reflect the voters of the district
48. 2016 Elections have begun
Next up: Select Speaker - Do NC House Outcomes Impact Choices?
Do Governor and Legislative Leaders Find a Way to Get Along?
2016 - Triple Full Moon: President (PRIMARY), Senate, Governor
Other legislative, statewide, Congressional open seats?
2016 Likely To See Large Sums of Outside Money (Again)
Suburban Districts Continue To Grow, Become More PURPLE