Feb 9 Thinkers Lunch Presentation
•
0 likes•523 views
The document discusses several factors influencing political landscapes and elections, including population growth, urbanization, changing voter attitudes/demographics, outside money, and the rise of millennials. It then provides data on changes to various state legislative districts in North Carolina based on redistricting, listing the incumbent representatives, their party affiliation, the percentage change in each district's partisan lean, and a classification of each district as being more competitive, leaning Democratic or Republican, or solidly partisan.
More Related Content
Viewers also liked
Viewers also liked (12)
Similar to Feb 9 Thinkers Lunch Presentation
Similar to Feb 9 Thinkers Lunch Presentation (7)
More from North Carolina FreeEnterprise Foundation
More from North Carolina FreeEnterprise Foundation (11)
Recently uploaded
Recently uploaded (20)
Feb 9 Thinkers Lunch Presentation
- 1. The confluence of three ‘rivers’ Population Growth Urbanization/Density Suburbs = Battleground Nationalization of Voter Attitudes/Dispositions and Impact of Outside Money Rise of the Millennials and a Very Different Political Outlook
- 2. House +% 4.1% SR -‐0.7% House -‐% -‐3.8% LR 0.9% House D-‐held 0.5% COMP 4.1% House R-‐held -‐0.01% LD 1.3% House U-‐held 2.0% SD 0.3% Senate +% 3.4% SR -‐0.6% Senate -‐% -‐3.1% LR 3.1% Senate D-‐held 0.02% COMP -‐1.8% Senate R-‐held 0.3% LD NA Senate U-‐held NA SD -‐0.6% Average +/- changes
- 3. NC Senate District Incumbent Party +/-‐ % IDEAL CVB 8 Bill Rabon REP 8.6% LR 17 Tamara Barringer REP 8.6% LR 44 David CurTs REP 7.3% SR 16 Josh Stein DEM 7.0% SD 9 Michael Lee REP 6.2% LR 3 Erica Smith-‐Ingram DEM -‐9.2% SD 5 Don Davis DEM -‐7.2% SD 4 Angela Bryant DEM -‐4.9% SD 46 Warren Daniel REP -‐4.9% SR 47 Ralph Hise REP -‐4.7% SR Top 5 +/- NC Senate Districts
- 4. NC House District Incumbent Party +/-‐ % IDEAL CVB 41 Gale Adcock DEM 14.8% COMP 37 Paul Stam REP 12.1% SR 26 Leo Daughtry REP 10.7% SR 38 Yvonne Lewis Holley DEM 9.3% SD 92 Charles Jeter REP 9.1% COMP 7 Bobbie Richardson DEM -‐9.7% SD 27 Michael Wray DEM -‐8.7% SD 55 Mark Brody REP -‐8.3% SR 94 Jeffrey Elmore REP -‐7.6% SR 63 Steve Ross REP -‐7.4% LR Top 5 +/- NC House Districts
- 5. Wake Delega;on H11 Duane Hall DEM 5.3% SD H33 Rosa Gill DEM 7.2% SD H34 Grier MarTn DEM 2.0% SD H35 Chris Malone REP 7.8% LR H36 Nelson Dollar REP 6.3% LR H37 Paul Stam REP 12.1% SR H38 Yvonne Lewis Holley DEM 9.3% SD H39 Darren Jackson DEM 6.2% SD H40 Marilyn Avila REP 5.2% LR H41 Gale Adcock DEM 14.8% COMP H49 Gary Pendleton REP 1.9% COMP Mecklenburg Delega;on H88 Rob Bryan REP -‐6.6% SR H92 Charles Jeter REP 9.1% COMP H98 John Bradford REP 6.5% SR H99 Rodney Moore DEM 1.9% SD H100 Tricia Cotham DEM -‐2.9% SD H101 Beverly Earle DEM 3.8% SD H102 Becky Carney DEM -‐2.2% SD H103 William Brawley REP -‐1.5% SR H104 Dan Bishop REP -‐6.0% SR H105 Jacqueline Schaffer REP 4.5% SR H106 Carla Cunningham DEM -‐0.3% SD H107 Kelly Alexander DEM 2.3% SD Wake and Mecklenburg Delegations S14 Dan Blue DEM 3.5% SD S15 John Alexander Jr REP 1.1% LR S16 Josh Stein DEM 7.0% SD S17 Tamara Barringer REP 8.6% LR S18 Chad Barefoot REP 2.7% COMP S37 Jeff Jackson DEM -‐0.7% SD S38 Joel Ford DEM 2.2% SD S39 Bob Rucho REP -‐2.4% SR S40 Joyce Waddell DEM 0.7% SD S41 Jeff Tarte REP 3.8% SR
- 6. District Incumbent Party Home County +/-‐ % IDEAL CVB 2 Larry Yarborough REP Person 2.3% COMP 8 Susan MarTn REP Wilson 6.1% COMP 22 William D. Brisson DEM Bladen 1.6% COMP 41 Gale Adcock DEM Wake 14.8% COMP 45 John Szoka REP Cumberland 5.2% COMP 49 Gary Pendleton REP Wake 1.9% COMP 92 Charles Jeter REP Mecklenburg 9.1% COMP 115 John Ager DEM Buncombe 1.3% COMP 119 Joe Sam Queen DEM Haywood -‐5.7% COMP NC House – CVB = COMP or LEAN
- 7. District Incumbent Party Home County +/-‐ % IDEAL CVB 44 Rick Glazier DEM Cumberland -‐2.1% LD 46 Ken Waddell DEM Columbus 1.8% LD 54 Robert Reives DEM Lee 1.8% LD 66 Ken Goodman DEM Richmond 3.7% LD 1 Bob Steinburg REP Chowan 2.3% LR 6 Paul Tine UNA Dare 2.0% LR 9 Brian Brown REP Pid 5.9% LR 35 Chris Malone REP Wake 7.8% LR 36 Nelson Dollar REP Wake 6.3% LR 40 Marilyn Avila REP Wake 5.2% LR 51 Brad Salmon DEM Harned -‐2.2% LR 53 David Lewis REP Harned 5.3% LR 63 Steve Ross REP Alamance -‐7.4% LR 65 Bert Jones REP Rockingham -‐2.1% LR 93 Jonathan Jordan REP Ashe -‐3.1% LR 116 Brian Turner DEM Buncombe -‐2.5% LR 118 Michele Presnell REP Yancey -‐6.5% LR NC House – CVB = COMP or LEAN
- 8. District Incumbent Party Home County +/-‐ % IDEAL CVB 1 Bill Cook REP Beaufort -‐3.9% COMP 18 Chad Barefoot REP Wake 2.7% COMP 19 Wesley Meredith REP Cumberland -‐4.2% COMP 8 Bill Rabon REP Brunswick 8.6% LR 9 Michael Lee REP New Hanover 6.2% LR 10 Brent Jackson REP Sampson 0.8% LR 11 Buck Newton REP Wilson -‐0.7% LR 12 Ronald Rabin REP Harned 1.8% LR 15 John Alexander Jr REP Wake 1.1% LR 17 Tamara Barringer REP Wake 8.6% LR 25 Tom McInnis REP Richmond 0.5% LR 27 Trudy Wade REP Guilford 0.5% LR NC Senate – CVB = COMP or LEAN