Chapter 1
The Portfolio Management Process – Overview
 Major learning objectives: To understand
1. the importance of the portfolio perspective
2. the steps of the portfolio management process
3. the types of investment objectives
4. the types of investment constraints
11/9/2015 1
Specific Learning Outcomes
 The role of the investment policy statement in the portfolio
management process
 The client’s
 risk objective
 return objective
 time horizon, liquidity and other constraints
 Passive, active and semi-active approaches to investing
 The role of capital market expectations in the portfolio
management process
 The role of strategic asset allocation in the portfolio
management process
 Portfolio implementation in the portfolio management process
 The role of performance evaluation
 The purpose of monitoring and rebalancing
11/9/2015 2
1. The Importance of the Portfolio
Perspective
 Asset returns are correlated. Analyzing assets in isolation
ignores the interrelationships among assets → can lead to
misunderstanding of the risk and return prospects for the
investor’s total position
 Idea dates back to Markowitz
 Avoid the behavioural bias of mental accounting
 Should care about overall portfolio’s risk and return, tax
efficiency, liquidity … etc.
11/9/2015 3
2. Steps in the Portfolio Management
Process
 Planning
 Identify and specify the investor’s objectives and
constraints
 Create the investment policy statement (IPS)
 Form capital market expectations
 Create the strategic asset allocation
 Execution
 Select specific assets and implement decisions
 Determine need for tactical asset allocation
 Feedback
 Monitoring and rebalancing
 Performance evaluation
11/9/2015 4
Planning: Types of Investment
Objectives
 Risk objective
 How to measure? Volatility, tracking error, downside risk?
 Investor appetite for risk
 Investor ability to take risk – spending needs, wealth
targets, obligations, ability to increase savings
 How much risk is investor both willing and able to bear?
 Specific risk objective
 How should risk be allocated to specific investments?
11/9/2015 5
Planning: Types of Investment
Objectives
 Return objective
 How to measure return – total return, nominal, real, pre-
tax or after-tax?
 Return desired – is it realistic and consistent with risk
objective?
 Return needed – Specific objectives for ending wealth
require specific returns in order to be met.
 Specific return objective – incorporates above points into
measurable annual return objective that could be
absolute (i.e. 10%) or relative (i.e. greater than inflation
or a benchmark return.)
11/9/2015 6
Planning: Investment Policy
Statement (IPS)
 Outlines investor objectives and constraints, as well as
manager requirements for reporting, rebalancing, fees,
investment strategy and style, performance benchmarks
 Ensures that all future investment decisions are consistent
with outlined objectives and constraints
 In Canada, it is called the Statement of Investment Policies
and Procedures (SIP&P)
 Required by law for pension plans in most jurisdictions
 Examples: York University’s pension fund SIP&P
11/9/2015 7
Planning: Approaches to Investing
 Passive approach does not react to changes in capital market
expectations
 Indexing – holds a portfolio designed to replicate the return of a
benchmark index
 Strict buy and hold
 Active approach responds to changing conditions
 Holdings differ from benchmark according to management’s
assessment of each holding
 Goal is to produce excess return (alpha) relative to the benchmark
 Semi-active, risk-controlled active or enhanced index
approach seeks positive alpha while tightly controlling risk
factors
11/9/2015 8
Planning: Capital Market
Expectations
 Managers should form long-term forecasts of the risk
and return characteristics of asset classes
 Forms the basis for choosing portfolios that minimize
risk relative to return or maximize return relative to risk
 Influences asset allocation strategy and frequency of
rebalancing
11/9/2015 9
Planning: Strategic Asset Allocation
 Optimal asset mix for a specific investor/plan
 Combine IPS with capital market expectations to
determine target weight for each asset class (possibly
maximum and minimum weight range)
 Single period perspective simplest
 Multiple period perspective (dynamic asset allocation),
taking into account say, serial correlations in returns
11/9/2015 10
Execution: Portfolio Selection,
Composition and Implementation
 Portfolio Selection/Composition Decision
 Managers initiate portfolio decisions based on analysts’
input
 May involve a quantitative optimization process
 Portfolio Implementation Decision
 Trading desk implements decision
 Must incorporate transaction costs, including explicit
(commissions, fees and taxes) and implicit costs (bid-ask
spread, market impact, and opportunity costs when orders
are unable to be filled or are filled slowly)
11/9/2015 11
Monitoring: Elements of
Performance Evaluation
 Performance evaluation is needed to monitor investor
progress toward goals and measure manager skill
 Skill assessment has three components
 Performance measurement – rate of return
 Performance attribution – sources of return include
strategic allocation (asset mix), sector and security
selection
 Performance appraisal – to benchmark returns
11/9/2015 12
Monitoring: Rebalancing Portfolios
 Changes in investor circumstances or in market and
economic conditions provide feedback to the portfolio
management process
 Changing economic and market conditions cause assets
to drift away from target weight and necessitate
rebalancing portfolio to ensure client objectives and
constraints remain satisfied
 Issues with rebalancing: Frequency, timing, capital
gains/losses
11/9/2015 13
Further Discussion: Formulating a Risk
Objective
 Risk objective will largely determine the return objective
(no free lunch plans)
 How to measure risk?
 Variance, Standard deviation
 Tracking error relative to benchmark
 Downside risk, Value at risk
 Investor’s ability to take risk
 How much volatility would inconvenience investor
 Wealth targets and achievability
 Liabilities
 Financial strength outside portfolio (income, ability to save)
11/9/2015 14
Further Discussion: Formulating a Risk
Objective
 Risk tolerance/aversion – how much is investor
both willing and able to bear
 May translate “low risk tolerance” into “loss in any
given year should not exceed x%” or “portfolio
standard deviation of x%”.
 Risk budgeting – how should the desired level of
risk be allocated among various assets?
11/9/2015 15
Further Discussion: Formulating an
Investment Return Objective
 Must be consistent with risk objective
 How to measure?
 Total return
 Real or nominal
 Before or after tax
 How much is desired
 How much is required in order to meet objectives
 Specific objective – “average annual return in excess
of 5% after tax.”
11/9/2015 16
Further Discussion: Types of Investment
Constraints
 Liquidity requirements
 Investment time horizon
 Tax
 Legal/Regulatory
 Others
11/9/2015 17
Liquidity Requirements
 Liquidity requirements are needs for cash that exceed
contributions or savings
 Stem from liquidity events
 Planned – buying a house in 2 years
 Unplanned – house damaged in hurricane
 Requires allocation to assets that can be readily converted
into cash without impacting value
 May also be met using insurance or derivative strategies
11/9/2015 18
Investment Time Horizon
 Time period associated with investment objective –
short term or long-term (> 10 years)
 Affects ability to assume risk
 Can lead to different asset allocation
 Must consider investor tolerance for temporary risks
 Longer time horizon typically allows:
 higher risk tolerance → higher allocation to risky assets
 Target–date funds
11/9/2015 19
Other Constraints
 Tax
 Different tax rates applied to income/dividends/gains
 Tax advantaged savings vehicles
 Legal and Regulatory
 Limits on allocations to certain assets
 Limits on investments in tax-advantaged accounts
 Pension laws and acts (e.g., ERISA in the U.S.)
 Other considerations
 Social concerns → Socially Responsible Investing (SRI)
 (For individual investors: Health needs, dependents,
bequests, estate taxes … etc.)
11/9/2015 20

Portfolio Management

  • 1.
    Chapter 1 The PortfolioManagement Process – Overview  Major learning objectives: To understand 1. the importance of the portfolio perspective 2. the steps of the portfolio management process 3. the types of investment objectives 4. the types of investment constraints 11/9/2015 1
  • 2.
    Specific Learning Outcomes The role of the investment policy statement in the portfolio management process  The client’s  risk objective  return objective  time horizon, liquidity and other constraints  Passive, active and semi-active approaches to investing  The role of capital market expectations in the portfolio management process  The role of strategic asset allocation in the portfolio management process  Portfolio implementation in the portfolio management process  The role of performance evaluation  The purpose of monitoring and rebalancing 11/9/2015 2
  • 3.
    1. The Importanceof the Portfolio Perspective  Asset returns are correlated. Analyzing assets in isolation ignores the interrelationships among assets → can lead to misunderstanding of the risk and return prospects for the investor’s total position  Idea dates back to Markowitz  Avoid the behavioural bias of mental accounting  Should care about overall portfolio’s risk and return, tax efficiency, liquidity … etc. 11/9/2015 3
  • 4.
    2. Steps inthe Portfolio Management Process  Planning  Identify and specify the investor’s objectives and constraints  Create the investment policy statement (IPS)  Form capital market expectations  Create the strategic asset allocation  Execution  Select specific assets and implement decisions  Determine need for tactical asset allocation  Feedback  Monitoring and rebalancing  Performance evaluation 11/9/2015 4
  • 5.
    Planning: Types ofInvestment Objectives  Risk objective  How to measure? Volatility, tracking error, downside risk?  Investor appetite for risk  Investor ability to take risk – spending needs, wealth targets, obligations, ability to increase savings  How much risk is investor both willing and able to bear?  Specific risk objective  How should risk be allocated to specific investments? 11/9/2015 5
  • 6.
    Planning: Types ofInvestment Objectives  Return objective  How to measure return – total return, nominal, real, pre- tax or after-tax?  Return desired – is it realistic and consistent with risk objective?  Return needed – Specific objectives for ending wealth require specific returns in order to be met.  Specific return objective – incorporates above points into measurable annual return objective that could be absolute (i.e. 10%) or relative (i.e. greater than inflation or a benchmark return.) 11/9/2015 6
  • 7.
    Planning: Investment Policy Statement(IPS)  Outlines investor objectives and constraints, as well as manager requirements for reporting, rebalancing, fees, investment strategy and style, performance benchmarks  Ensures that all future investment decisions are consistent with outlined objectives and constraints  In Canada, it is called the Statement of Investment Policies and Procedures (SIP&P)  Required by law for pension plans in most jurisdictions  Examples: York University’s pension fund SIP&P 11/9/2015 7
  • 8.
    Planning: Approaches toInvesting  Passive approach does not react to changes in capital market expectations  Indexing – holds a portfolio designed to replicate the return of a benchmark index  Strict buy and hold  Active approach responds to changing conditions  Holdings differ from benchmark according to management’s assessment of each holding  Goal is to produce excess return (alpha) relative to the benchmark  Semi-active, risk-controlled active or enhanced index approach seeks positive alpha while tightly controlling risk factors 11/9/2015 8
  • 9.
    Planning: Capital Market Expectations Managers should form long-term forecasts of the risk and return characteristics of asset classes  Forms the basis for choosing portfolios that minimize risk relative to return or maximize return relative to risk  Influences asset allocation strategy and frequency of rebalancing 11/9/2015 9
  • 10.
    Planning: Strategic AssetAllocation  Optimal asset mix for a specific investor/plan  Combine IPS with capital market expectations to determine target weight for each asset class (possibly maximum and minimum weight range)  Single period perspective simplest  Multiple period perspective (dynamic asset allocation), taking into account say, serial correlations in returns 11/9/2015 10
  • 11.
    Execution: Portfolio Selection, Compositionand Implementation  Portfolio Selection/Composition Decision  Managers initiate portfolio decisions based on analysts’ input  May involve a quantitative optimization process  Portfolio Implementation Decision  Trading desk implements decision  Must incorporate transaction costs, including explicit (commissions, fees and taxes) and implicit costs (bid-ask spread, market impact, and opportunity costs when orders are unable to be filled or are filled slowly) 11/9/2015 11
  • 12.
    Monitoring: Elements of PerformanceEvaluation  Performance evaluation is needed to monitor investor progress toward goals and measure manager skill  Skill assessment has three components  Performance measurement – rate of return  Performance attribution – sources of return include strategic allocation (asset mix), sector and security selection  Performance appraisal – to benchmark returns 11/9/2015 12
  • 13.
    Monitoring: Rebalancing Portfolios Changes in investor circumstances or in market and economic conditions provide feedback to the portfolio management process  Changing economic and market conditions cause assets to drift away from target weight and necessitate rebalancing portfolio to ensure client objectives and constraints remain satisfied  Issues with rebalancing: Frequency, timing, capital gains/losses 11/9/2015 13
  • 14.
    Further Discussion: Formulatinga Risk Objective  Risk objective will largely determine the return objective (no free lunch plans)  How to measure risk?  Variance, Standard deviation  Tracking error relative to benchmark  Downside risk, Value at risk  Investor’s ability to take risk  How much volatility would inconvenience investor  Wealth targets and achievability  Liabilities  Financial strength outside portfolio (income, ability to save) 11/9/2015 14
  • 15.
    Further Discussion: Formulatinga Risk Objective  Risk tolerance/aversion – how much is investor both willing and able to bear  May translate “low risk tolerance” into “loss in any given year should not exceed x%” or “portfolio standard deviation of x%”.  Risk budgeting – how should the desired level of risk be allocated among various assets? 11/9/2015 15
  • 16.
    Further Discussion: Formulatingan Investment Return Objective  Must be consistent with risk objective  How to measure?  Total return  Real or nominal  Before or after tax  How much is desired  How much is required in order to meet objectives  Specific objective – “average annual return in excess of 5% after tax.” 11/9/2015 16
  • 17.
    Further Discussion: Typesof Investment Constraints  Liquidity requirements  Investment time horizon  Tax  Legal/Regulatory  Others 11/9/2015 17
  • 18.
    Liquidity Requirements  Liquidityrequirements are needs for cash that exceed contributions or savings  Stem from liquidity events  Planned – buying a house in 2 years  Unplanned – house damaged in hurricane  Requires allocation to assets that can be readily converted into cash without impacting value  May also be met using insurance or derivative strategies 11/9/2015 18
  • 19.
    Investment Time Horizon Time period associated with investment objective – short term or long-term (> 10 years)  Affects ability to assume risk  Can lead to different asset allocation  Must consider investor tolerance for temporary risks  Longer time horizon typically allows:  higher risk tolerance → higher allocation to risky assets  Target–date funds 11/9/2015 19
  • 20.
    Other Constraints  Tax Different tax rates applied to income/dividends/gains  Tax advantaged savings vehicles  Legal and Regulatory  Limits on allocations to certain assets  Limits on investments in tax-advantaged accounts  Pension laws and acts (e.g., ERISA in the U.S.)  Other considerations  Social concerns → Socially Responsible Investing (SRI)  (For individual investors: Health needs, dependents, bequests, estate taxes … etc.) 11/9/2015 20