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Foreign Direct Investment

            and Institutional Environment

                   in Transition Economies


Wirtschaftuniversitaet - Wien                  Henry Sichel
Doing business in C.E.E.                     Elizabeth Pyle
Profits

                             Corporate growth


                             Industrialized
                               economies
         Transition
         economies

    Positive externalities

        Human capital
        intensification

   Technological diffusion
                                              Henry Sichel
Doing business in C.E.E.                    Elizabeth Pyle
Determinants of FDIs inflows

Quality of the Institutional framework

     Private property rights

     Law of contracts
                                          Generally
     Strong and limited government role


Quality of regulation

Formal institutions development
                                          In transition
Perceived risk
                                          economies…
Intellectual property protection
I – The evolution
                                                Central- Baltic
                                                 South-East
                                                Former U.S.S.R
   % of total FDIs




                     1992               2004


                                                    Henry Sichel
Doing business in C.E.E.                          Elizabeth Pyle
II – Why?
                             Slow down in privatizations


                             Increase in net outflows


                             Repayments




                             Acceleration in privatizations…
                             … and greenfield investments
                             Increase in trust

                             Oil

                             Retail                              Henry Sichel
Doing business in C.E.E.                                       Elizabeth Pyle
III – The Impact
Per capita GDP




                     FDIs
                               Beyond FDIs, other influential variables

                 Long-run growth
                              • Gross fixed capital;
                              • Labour;
                              • Human capital
                                                               +
                 Short-run movements
                              • Inflation;
                              • Budget deficit
                                                                -
                                                 Dependent variable: GDP per capita
IV – Which are the drivers?
Finding out the different aspects of Institutional Quality


           1° Regulation

                                                        Legal
           2° Property rights protection               aspects                FDIs
                                                                            climate
           3° Black market existance


           4° Capital mobility
                                                     Economical
                                                       aspects
           5° Wages level


                                   Based on the Heritage Foundation 10 variables- Index
V –FDIs climate… and what else?

                           1° FDIs climate


                           2° Budget deficits


                           3° Typology of privatizations


                           4° Labour costs (positive effect!)




                                                                  Henry Sichel
Doing business in C.E.E.                                        Elizabeth Pyle

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Foreign direct investments in central eastern europe

  • 1. Foreign Direct Investment and Institutional Environment in Transition Economies Wirtschaftuniversitaet - Wien Henry Sichel Doing business in C.E.E. Elizabeth Pyle
  • 2. Profits Corporate growth Industrialized economies Transition economies Positive externalities Human capital intensification Technological diffusion Henry Sichel Doing business in C.E.E. Elizabeth Pyle
  • 3. Determinants of FDIs inflows Quality of the Institutional framework Private property rights Law of contracts Generally Strong and limited government role Quality of regulation Formal institutions development In transition Perceived risk economies… Intellectual property protection
  • 4. I – The evolution Central- Baltic South-East Former U.S.S.R % of total FDIs 1992 2004 Henry Sichel Doing business in C.E.E. Elizabeth Pyle
  • 5. II – Why? Slow down in privatizations Increase in net outflows Repayments Acceleration in privatizations… … and greenfield investments Increase in trust Oil Retail Henry Sichel Doing business in C.E.E. Elizabeth Pyle
  • 6. III – The Impact Per capita GDP FDIs Beyond FDIs, other influential variables Long-run growth • Gross fixed capital; • Labour; • Human capital + Short-run movements • Inflation; • Budget deficit - Dependent variable: GDP per capita
  • 7. IV – Which are the drivers? Finding out the different aspects of Institutional Quality 1° Regulation Legal 2° Property rights protection aspects FDIs climate 3° Black market existance 4° Capital mobility Economical aspects 5° Wages level Based on the Heritage Foundation 10 variables- Index
  • 8. V –FDIs climate… and what else? 1° FDIs climate 2° Budget deficits 3° Typology of privatizations 4° Labour costs (positive effect!) Henry Sichel Doing business in C.E.E. Elizabeth Pyle