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Sandia National Laboratories is a multi-program laboratory managed and operated by Sandia Corporation, a wholly owned subsidiary of Lockheed Martin
Corporation, for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-AC04-94AL85000. SAND NO. 2011-XXXXP
Panel:		Establishing	a	Successful	Blade	Maintenance	Prog.
• Josh	Crayton,	Director	of	Business	Development,		Rope	Partner
• Jeffrey	Hammit,	Principal	Technical	Specialist,	NextEra	Energy
• Olen	Richardson,	President,	Blade	Consultant	Services
• Gary	Kanaby,	Commercial	Manager,	WindCom
• Chair:	 Carsten	Westergaard,	Senior	Advisor	(Cont),	Wind	&	water,	Sandia	National	Laboratories
(track	354440	and	dept.	side)
DOE	Wind	Program	Mission
§ We	seek	to	increase	the	deployment	of	wind	energy	systems	
to	offset	carbon	in	the	atmosphere	and	increase	domestic	
energy	product	by	technology	development	guided	by	
Department	of	Energy	Wind	Vision	towards	35%	wind	
penetration	in	2050:
Ø Wind Power Resources and Site Characterization
Ø Wind Plant Technology Advancement
Ø Supply Chain, Manufacturing and Logistics
Ø Wind Power Performance, Reliability, and Safety
Ø Wind Electricity Delivery and Integration
Ø Wind Siting and Permitting
Ø Collaboration, Education, and Outreach
Ø Workforce Development
2
Wind	Energy	Technologies	Objective
§ Serve	the	nations	needs	by	providing	world	leading	expertise:
1. Rotor	Systems	Innovation	
2. Innovative	Experimentation	in	Wind	Plant	Technologies	and	
Operations	
3. Quantification	and	Reduction	of	Uncertainties	in	Wind	Plant	
Modeling	and	Experimentation		
4. Wind	Power	Performance,	Reliability,	and	Safety
§ We	accomplish	our	open-innovation	goals	through	a	nation-
leading	engineering	team,	leveraging	the	broader	capabilities	
of	the	largest	US	engineering	laboratory	and	utilizing	the	most	
advanced	and	well	documented	wind	plant	research	facility	in	
the	world
3
Why	Innovative	Rotors?
§ Single	largest	driver	of	LCOE	reduction
§ Longer	blades	both	reduce	LCOE	and	
allow	for	increased	deployment
§ Larger	blades	require	breakthroughs	in:
§ Modular/on-Site	 Construction
§ Load	control
§ Low-cost	high	strength	fiber
§ Manufacturing	 quality
§ Improvements	to	design	standards	are	
needed	for	low	wind-speed	rotors
§ Taller	towers	enable	longer	blades
§ New	opportunities	may	be	found	in	
blade	innovation	combined	with	wind	
plant	controls	
4
Unplanned	Reliability	
Events	Estimates
5
Preliminary crude numbers misc. collected data from
workgroups,discussion and presentations
Lifetime	cost	per	
turbine	
(not	including
scheduled	
maintenance)
Annual	failure	rate	
of	repairable	items
Fraction	of	fleet	
which	will	
experience	major	
replacement	in	
lifetime	(20	yrs)
Blade $													150,400 16% 14%	
Gear	+	bearing $													189,200 6% 42%
Generator $													112,200	 3% 25%
Other $													44,120 39%
Forced	outage /	
resets $													20,645	
Total	over	20	yrs $													516,565*
Here	of	replacement	$													330,600	
Unscheduled	cost $	5.1	per	MWh
Unplanned reliability cost, 2 MW @ 98% availability
An	insurance	company’s	perspective
§ Observations:
§ Cost	is	known
§ High	level	root	cause	is	
known,	sometimes	at	a	
lower	level
§ Limited	technical	data	on	
fundamental	mechanisms
§ Environment	plays	an	
important	role
6
Source: GCube,
September 2014
Environmentally	induced	
Reliability	Events
7
The data on environmental is not quantified atthis stage
and are fleet average.I.e. icing is a regional effect
Failure induced	by Component Annual	failure	rate	of	
repairable	items
(number	is	relative	to	all	
component	repairs)
Fraction	of	fleet	which	will	
experience	major	
replacement	in	lifetime	
(20	years)
Lightning
35 days/year
Blade 3% 4%
Ice Blade ? ?
Erosion Blade High Almost none
Extreme	wind	w/wo
vibration
Blade ? 6%
Corrosion	and	surface	
degradation
Blade ? ?
Misc. Blade ? 4%
Requirements	To	Determine	
The	Benefit	Of	Pro-active	Vs	Reactive	?
§ Measure	and	benchmark
§ How	do	we	accurately	created	technical reliability	data	for	blades	?
§ Is	it	meaningful	to	correlate	technical	and	economical	benchmarks	?
§ Can	we	use	historical	data	to	predict	the	future	?
§ How	do	we	quantify	the	actual	operating	envelope	and	include:
§ Environmental	conditions	?
§ Operational	conditions	?
§ Data-mining	SCADA	data	for	both	performance	and	reliability	?
§ Do	we	need	to	have	new	sensors	in	the	blade	?
§ Can	these	data	be	used	to	control	and/or	extended	the	life	time	of	a	wind	farm	
(remaining	useful	life)	?
§ Field	actions
§ Do	we	need	better	field	inspections	and	follow-up	methods	?
§ Effects	of	structural	improvements	or	repairs	?
§ Data	collection	?
§ Verification	of	the	starting	point
§ Can	field	data	be	used	to	improve	future	design	?	
8
Example	of	discrete	series	of	events	which	
will	bias	an	average	unreasonably
§ Specific	turbine	in	MW	class	has	a	
peak	of	blade	challenge(s)	 in	2011.	
Level	normalized	in	2013	and	
disappeared	in	2014
§ Relative	young	turbines,	 presumably	
an	issue	of	proprietary	nature	
§ Blade	may	only	be	inspected	every	2nd
or	3rd year
§ Sub-conclusion:	
§ Including	discrete	(infancy)	events	
will	not	support	conclusion	of	
future	performance
§ Inspection	methods	and	
frequency	will	bias	inter-annual	
results
9
Graph source: Coffey (2014)
Lightning:	Regional	Risk	Variation
§ Technical	report	IEC/TR	61400-24:2002	
§ Based	on	data	from	2800	“small	turbines”
in	Northern	EU	(<15	days)	and	inner	
Germany	(<35	days	of	thunderstorms)
§ Annual	failure	rate	0.4	to	1.4%
§ US	has	5	to	100	days	of	thunderstorms,	
0.3%	to	5%
§ Midwest	has	~55	day	with	an	annual	
failure	rate	up	to	3%
§ Sub-conclusion:	
§ Fleet	average	without	considering	 regional	exposure	is	fairly	meaning	less	
§ A	well	document	standard	for	normalization	 combined	with	a	national	
fleet	average	could	improve	our	understanding
§ Many	US	owners,	has	more	accumulate	experience	than	what	the	IEC	
standard	is	based	upon
10
NOAA.gov, Cannata (2014), Coffery
(2014), Nissam (2013), LM Wind power
Lightning:	Technology	bias	and	Size	bias
§ Lightning	 risk,	according	to	IEC61400-24	and	
ported	from	building	 code,	suggest	risk	is	
proportional	 to	height	squared,	including	
landscape	topology
§ Experience	shows	much	higher	height	
dependency	~R4
§ On	the	flip	side,	improved	LPS	systems	are	
reported	to	have	as	much	as	an	X10	
improvement
§ Sub-conclusion:	 Historical	fleet	average	will	
not	predict	the	future	without	significant	
considerations	to	technology	 and	size	
correction
11
Cannata (2014), Coffery (2014), Green
(2014), LM Wind power
Proportional to ~R4
Observations	and	Tagging
§ Gear	and	generators	have	received	a	
lot	of	attention
§ Blades	are	receiving	more	attention.	
More	frequent	inspections	are	
increasing	awareness
§ Lack	of	common	naming	and	tagging	
makes	direct	comparison	of	
technical	data	difficult
§ New	CREW	objectives	is	to	develop	a	
common	platform	through	an	
auditing	process	and	aggregate	
these	into	a	high	level	benchmark	
with	more	data
12
A controlled
connection between
rotor and rotor wake
impact every aspect
of the plant
Rotor	systems	innovation
§ The	wind	plant	rotors	controls	and	drives	every	aspect	of	a	successful	
wind	plant	operation.	Advanced	rotor	concepts	offer	great	potential	for	
improving	reliable	wind	plant	performance	while	reducing	energy	costs	
13
§ Innovative	rotors	flown	at	the	National	Rotor	Testbed	hosted	at	DOE/	
Sandia	SWiFT wind	plant	offers	elaborate	verification	and	validation	a	real	
and	controlled	wind	plant	environment,	documented	to	reduce	
experimental	uncertainties	and	thereby	the	reliability	of	the	results
Innovative	Experimentation	in	Wind	
Plant	Technologies	and	Operations	
§ Ensuring	site	suitability,	reproducibility,	resilience	and	
efficiency	of	wind	plants	to	produce	usable	electric	power	
14
Variability
Tower vibration
§ Wind	plant	controllers
§ Cyber	security	and	micro	grid	
integration	
§ Development	and	testing	of	
new	flow	diagnostics	with	
commercial	partners	
§ Data	analytics	(SCADA)	wind	
plant	performance	and	
reliability	analysis
§ Environmental	impact,	such	as	
radar	interference	mitigation
Quantification	and	Reduction	of	Uncertainties	in	
Wind	Plant	Modeling	and	Experimentation	
§ High-fidelity	modeling	of	wind	plants	for	reduction	
in	COE
§ Accurate	prediction	of	wind	plant	power	production
§ Understanding	of	complex	aero-structural	load	scenarios
§ Leveraging	of	nuclear	weapons	simulation	
technology	
§ Sandia’s	Nalu computational	fluid	dynamics	code	has	been	
chosen	as	a	DOE	exascale application	code	for	exploitation	of	
next-generation	supercomputing	hardware.
§ Nalu is	an	open	source	code	born	from	the	Fuego	code,	used	
originally	for	abnormal	fire	environments	for	stockpile	
systems.
§ Validation
§ Validation	experiments	to	be	performed	at	SWiFT and	other	
facilities
§ Quantified	uncertainty	bounds	on	simulation	predictions	-
needed	for	decisions	impacting	wind	plant	design	and	
financing
15
A	Nalu simulation	of	stalled	flow	past	a	wind	
turbine	 blade	section,	performed	in	the	DOE	
Trinity	supercomputer.
Wind	Power	Performance,	
Reliability,	and	Safety
§ Sandia	leads	efforts	in	wind	turbine	reliability	research,	specifically	
focusing	on:
§ Nondestructive	inspection
§ Effects	of	blade	defects
§ Composite	materials	research
§ Structural	health	monitoring
§ Structure	dynamics
§ Wind	loading
§ Full	system	hazard	and	root	cause	analysis
16
Innovative	wind	plant	technology	
platform	for	the	future	industry	partnerships
17
Short	term	program	goals:
§ Reduce	turbine-turbine	 inter-
action	and	wind	plant	under-
performance
§ Develop	advanced	wind	
turbine	rotors
§ Public,	open-source	in	order	to	
produce	high	accurate	results	
supporting	 development	of	
advanced	simulations
Facilities:
§ Three	variable-speed	variable-pitch	modified	 wind	turbines	with	
full	power	conversion	and	extensive	sensor	suite
§ Two	heavily	instrumented	in-flow	meteorological	towers
§ Massive	LIDAR	instrumentation	 (in	the	pipeline)
§ Site-wide	time-synchronized	data	collection	
§ Home	to	the	National	Rotor	Testbed
Thank	you!
This	work	is	supported	by	the	US	DOE	EERE	Wind	and	Water	Power	Program.

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