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What’s Left Out of Bush Budget
Y Full 10-Year Numbers

Y Funding for Ongoing Iraq Costs Beyond
   FY 2005

Y AMT Reform

Y Social Security Privatization Transition
   Costs

Y Spending Policy Details Beyond FY 2006
   (Discretionary)
Cost of Bush Tax Cuts Explodes
  Outside Five-Year Budget Window
       ($ in billions)




$300




$200
                                           $1.6 Trillion
                                         Ten-year cost of
                                          Bush tax cuts
                                          FY 2006-2015
               Bush Budget only
$100
               covers first 5 years




  $0
   2005           2007        2009    2011     2013         2015

Source: OMB, Bush FY 2006 Budget
Note: Includes debt service.                                  Feb 7
Cost of AMT Reform Explodes
     Outside Five-Year Budget Window
        ($ in billions)
 $160



 $140



 $120



 $100



           Bush FY 2006 Budget
  $80
          includes no funding for
                AMT Reform
                                           $774 billion ten-year
  $60

                                           cost to reform AMT
                                              FY 2006-2015
  $40



  $20



   $0
   2005           2007         2009         2011          2013   2015

Source: CBO
Note: Includes interest cost, assumes tax cuts made permanent.
Long-Term Costs Underfunded for
Ongoing Operations in Iraq, Afghanistan,
    and Continuing War on Terror
        ($ in billions)


                                                 $383 B
 $400




 $300


              Bush Budget includes
              $81 billion for ongoing
              military operations in
 $200         Iraq, Afghanistan, and
              war on terrorism, and
              other items.




                     $81 B
 $100




   $0      Amount in Bush Budget for        CBO Estimate of Cost of
          Ongoing Military Operations in   Ongoing Military Operations
                    FY 2005                      FY 2006-2015

Source: OMB, CBO
Bush Budget Provides No
           Funding for President’s
            Social Security Plan
      ($ in trillions)
 $5

                                                          $4.5 T

 $4




 $3




 $2




                                 $754 B
 $1




                $0
 $0
                               Phased-In Cost of        20-Year Cost of
        Amount Provided in
          Bush Budget for      President’s Social      President’s Social
         President’s Social   Security Plan During   Security Plan After Full
           Security Plan        First Ten Years         Implementation
                                 FY 2006-2015            FY 2009-2028

Source: OMB, CBPP
Bush Budget Hides
         Worsening Budget Outlook
        ($ in billions)

             $236 B
$250




 $50


                                                                 Bush Deficits
                             Bush Administration
                                                                  Over Ten
                                Deficit Claim
                                                                  Years with
$-150
                                                                 Omitted Costs




$-350




                                                                        -$528 B
$-550
              2000               20042005 2006                2010             2015
    1998                  2002                      2008             2012   2014
              2000                                            2010


Source: OMB, CBPP
Note: Deficit under Bush FY 2006 Budget extended over ten
years w ith tax cuts m ade perm anent, AMT reform , ongoing
w ar costs, and w ith President's Social Security plan.
Bush Budget Spends Every Penny of
         $2.6 Trillion Social Security Surplus
            on Tax Cuts and Other Things
                              FY 2006-2015
                              FY 2006-2015
        ($ in billions)


                                                    $304 B
 $300




        $185 B
 $200




                           $2.6 Trillion Ten-Year
                          Social Security Surplus
 $100




   $0
   2006                    2009          2012            2015

Source: CBO
Publicly-Held Debt
         Under Bush Budget with Tax Cuts Made Permanent,
          AMT Reform, Ongoing War Costs, and with Social
          Security Privatization Transition Costs Borrowed
             ($ in trillions)

                                                                               $9.1 trillion
                                                                                 in 2015

    $8




    $6


             $3.3 trillion
               in 2001
    $4




    $2
      2001                      2005                             2010                          2015
Source: OMB
Note: Bush FY 2006 Budget extended over ten years with tax cuts made permanent, AMT
reform, ongoing war costs, and with Social Security privatization transition costs borrowed.
                                                    privatization
Top Ten Countries Holding Our
              National Debt
        Japan                         $715 B
        China                         $191 B
        United Kingdom                $152 B
        “Caribbean Banking Centers”    $76 B
        South Korea                    $69 B
        OPEC                           $61 B
        Taiwan                         $58 B
        Germany                        $56 B
        Switzerland                    $51 B
        Hong Kong                      $50 B
Source: Department of Treasury
Note: As of November 2004

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packet_fy2006BudgetRelease020705

  • 1. What’s Left Out of Bush Budget Y Full 10-Year Numbers Y Funding for Ongoing Iraq Costs Beyond FY 2005 Y AMT Reform Y Social Security Privatization Transition Costs Y Spending Policy Details Beyond FY 2006 (Discretionary)
  • 2. Cost of Bush Tax Cuts Explodes Outside Five-Year Budget Window ($ in billions) $300 $200 $1.6 Trillion Ten-year cost of Bush tax cuts FY 2006-2015 Bush Budget only $100 covers first 5 years $0 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 Source: OMB, Bush FY 2006 Budget Note: Includes debt service. Feb 7
  • 3. Cost of AMT Reform Explodes Outside Five-Year Budget Window ($ in billions) $160 $140 $120 $100 Bush FY 2006 Budget $80 includes no funding for AMT Reform $774 billion ten-year $60 cost to reform AMT FY 2006-2015 $40 $20 $0 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 Source: CBO Note: Includes interest cost, assumes tax cuts made permanent.
  • 4. Long-Term Costs Underfunded for Ongoing Operations in Iraq, Afghanistan, and Continuing War on Terror ($ in billions) $383 B $400 $300 Bush Budget includes $81 billion for ongoing military operations in $200 Iraq, Afghanistan, and war on terrorism, and other items. $81 B $100 $0 Amount in Bush Budget for CBO Estimate of Cost of Ongoing Military Operations in Ongoing Military Operations FY 2005 FY 2006-2015 Source: OMB, CBO
  • 5. Bush Budget Provides No Funding for President’s Social Security Plan ($ in trillions) $5 $4.5 T $4 $3 $2 $754 B $1 $0 $0 Phased-In Cost of 20-Year Cost of Amount Provided in Bush Budget for President’s Social President’s Social President’s Social Security Plan During Security Plan After Full Security Plan First Ten Years Implementation FY 2006-2015 FY 2009-2028 Source: OMB, CBPP
  • 6. Bush Budget Hides Worsening Budget Outlook ($ in billions) $236 B $250 $50 Bush Deficits Bush Administration Over Ten Deficit Claim Years with $-150 Omitted Costs $-350 -$528 B $-550 2000 20042005 2006 2010 2015 1998 2002 2008 2012 2014 2000 2010 Source: OMB, CBPP Note: Deficit under Bush FY 2006 Budget extended over ten years w ith tax cuts m ade perm anent, AMT reform , ongoing w ar costs, and w ith President's Social Security plan.
  • 7. Bush Budget Spends Every Penny of $2.6 Trillion Social Security Surplus on Tax Cuts and Other Things FY 2006-2015 FY 2006-2015 ($ in billions) $304 B $300 $185 B $200 $2.6 Trillion Ten-Year Social Security Surplus $100 $0 2006 2009 2012 2015 Source: CBO
  • 8. Publicly-Held Debt Under Bush Budget with Tax Cuts Made Permanent, AMT Reform, Ongoing War Costs, and with Social Security Privatization Transition Costs Borrowed ($ in trillions) $9.1 trillion in 2015 $8 $6 $3.3 trillion in 2001 $4 $2 2001 2005 2010 2015 Source: OMB Note: Bush FY 2006 Budget extended over ten years with tax cuts made permanent, AMT reform, ongoing war costs, and with Social Security privatization transition costs borrowed. privatization
  • 9. Top Ten Countries Holding Our National Debt Japan $715 B China $191 B United Kingdom $152 B “Caribbean Banking Centers” $76 B South Korea $69 B OPEC $61 B Taiwan $58 B Germany $56 B Switzerland $51 B Hong Kong $50 B Source: Department of Treasury Note: As of November 2004