OS20 - Economic considerations for advancement through the progressive control pathway: Cost-benefit analysis of FMD control in Punjab province, Pakistan - Nicholas Anthony Lyons

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This document summarizes a cost-benefit analysis conducted to determine if advancing Pakistan's FMD control program from Progressive Control Pathway Stage 2 to Stage 3 is worthwhile. Production models were used to estimate the long-term impacts of FMD on milk production, animal offtakes, and herd value. While results indicated the investment is likely beneficial, there was a large degree of uncertainty due to limited field data. More data collection is needed to better evaluate the costs and benefits of advancing Pakistan's FMD control efforts.

Health & Medicine

1EuFMD | Open Session special edition | #OS20se
N.A. Lyons1,2, M. Afzal3, F. Toirov3, A. Irshad3, C. Bartels4, J. Rushton1
1 Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, UK
2 European Commission for the Control of Foot-and-Mouth Disease, Food and Agriculture
Organization of the United Nations, Rome, Italy
3 Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations, Islamabad, Pakistan
4 Animal Health Works, The Netherlands
Economic considerations for advancement
through the progressive control pathway:
Cost-benefit analysis of FMD control in Punjab
province, Pakistan

2EuFMD | Open Session special edition | #OS20se
Cost-benefit analysis
• FMD is endemic in Pakistan who have been in PCP Stage
2 since 2015
• A key question is whether advancement to PCP stage 3
and beyond is worth the extra investment needed?
• This project undertook a cost-benefit analysis to attempt
to answer this question, with the long term view of
creating a FMD free zone with vaccination within a zone
located in Punjab province

3EuFMD | Open Session special edition | #OS20se
Cost-benefit analysis
• Production system models were created to estimate the long term
impacts of FMD though milk production, changes in offtakes, and
changes in herd value
• Data were gathered from the literature and through expert opinion

4EuFMD | Open Session special edition | #OS20se
Results and Discussion
Overall the CBA indicated the investment was likely though with a
large degree of uncertainty indicating more data are needed from
the field

eufmdvirtual.com
8, 10, 15, 17 December 2020
EuFMD / Open Session

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