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Noninferiority Trials An Overview Hollie Sturgeon, PharmD
What is a noninferiority trial? ,[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Similar to classically designed  head-to-head superiority trials, noninferiority trials provide comparison data for evaluating treatment alternatives.  CONCEPT:  If Treatment A is similar enough in efficacy to Treatment B that the difference between them is clinically negligible, then my patient can use the less expensive alternative.
How are noninferiority trials different from other trials?   Superiority Equivalence Noninferiority Objective To determine if one treatment is superior to another To determine if an experimental treatment and an active reference treatment are similar in effect within a prestated range To determine that an experimental treatment is not clinically worse than an active reference intervention by more than a small, preset margin Null Hypothesis There is no difference between the two interventions. One treatment is superior to the other The experimental treatment is equivalent to the comparator within the prestated margin Alternate Hypothesis One treatment is superior to the other One treatment is superior to the other The experimental treatment is no worse than the comparator with respect to the prestated margin Limit P (-∆ to +∆) (0 to +∆)
How common are noninferiority trials? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],“ Our study identified a clear trend of increasing frequency of publication of noninferiority trials” [5]
Advantages of noninferiority trials  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Disadvantages of noninferiority trials  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Noninferiority Trial Design ,[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Noninferiority Trial Design
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Noninferiority Trial Design
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Noninferiority Trial Design
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Noninferiority Trial Design
Noninferiority Trial Design
Noninferiority Trial Interpretation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Superior Noninferior Noninferior Inconclusive Inconclusive Inferior
Common Errors ,[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Common errors to watch for
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Common errors to watch for
[object Object],[object Object],Summary
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Summary
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],References

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Noninferiority Trials Presentation

  • 1. Noninferiority Trials An Overview Hollie Sturgeon, PharmD
  • 2.
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  • 4. How are noninferiority trials different from other trials?   Superiority Equivalence Noninferiority Objective To determine if one treatment is superior to another To determine if an experimental treatment and an active reference treatment are similar in effect within a prestated range To determine that an experimental treatment is not clinically worse than an active reference intervention by more than a small, preset margin Null Hypothesis There is no difference between the two interventions. One treatment is superior to the other The experimental treatment is equivalent to the comparator within the prestated margin Alternate Hypothesis One treatment is superior to the other One treatment is superior to the other The experimental treatment is no worse than the comparator with respect to the prestated margin Limit P (-∆ to +∆) (0 to +∆)
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Editor's Notes

  1. This is a brief overview of Noninferiority Trials. Look at WHAT they are and WHY we use them Cover the basic info needed to ANALYZE the quality of these reports and draw APPROPRIATE conclusions.
  2. A trial where researchers want to show that the experimental treatment is not WORSE than another treatment by more than a CLINICALLY NEGLIGIBLE AMOUNT.
  3. Like a typical RCT (aka superiority trial), these studies provide comparison info for making evidence-based decisions. So why not just use a head-to-head trial that we’re more familiar with? Consider the following: You have 2 medications in the same class. They performed so similarly against placebo that no one is willing to invest time/money in a head-to-head trial that will likely result in no clear superiority. When we expect the treatments to be the same, a Noninferiority trial can provide a justification OTHER THAN GREATER EFFICACY for choosing one medication over another (ex: decreased cost, better side effect profile, reduced pill burden). Additionally, if a clear superiority or inferiority exists, a properly executed noninferiority trial will spot it.
  4. Essentially, Superiority & Equivalence trials are two distinctly different kinds of trials, with Noninferiority trials as a sort-of hybrid between the two. OBJECTIVE Superiority: Show one treatment is better than the other Equivalence: Show that both treatments are the same (think of bioequivalence trials – AB rating) Noninferiority: Show that the difference between the two treatments is so small, that they might as well be the same (think of therapeutic interchange) HYPOTHESES Superiority: Assume the treatments are the same & hope to show they are actually different Equivalence & Noninferiority: Assume the treatments are different & hope to show they are the same LIMIT Superiority: set an upper limit (P). Results are statistically significant when they are less than that upper limit P Equivalence: Set both an upper AND lower limit. Results are significant when they are contained entirely between the upper & lower limits. Noninferiority: BOTH a range AND an upper limit (∆) ∆=“noninferiority margin”
  5. How likely am I to encounter a noninferiority trial? A study in September’s Pharmacotherapy journal reviewed the frequency of these studies. They found a clear trend of increasing frequency.
  6. Why are they so popular? Placebo control inappropriate: For instance, it would be unethical to replace an active medication with a placebo when investigating a drug for use in acute asthma attack Can be used for physical interventions (ex: surgical procedures) as long as there is an accepted standard of treatment to compare it to. Risk-benefit analyses: Consider our previous example of the two treatments. These are helpful in making formulary decisions. Comparing a drug to itself: allows a manufacturer to set min/max dosing, determine the best titration strategies, and fine tune their formulations Inferior/Noninferior/Superior claims are all appropriate: Superiority trials can ONLY establish whether a superiority exists, or does not exist.
  7. Biggest disadvantage is that these trials have very specific design & reporting requirements. Based on the studies currently available, these requirements may not be fully understood. If there is no reference treatment, if it is controversial, or inconsistent against placebo (ex: antidepressants, Alzheimer meds) then this trial is inappropriate Larger sample size can make a noninferiority trial more difficult & more expensive.
  8. Start with the assumption that the treatments are different. Note the wording of the alternate hypothesis. It is not enough to state that one treatment is not inferior to another. Claims of noninferiority HAVE to reference the margin.
  9. In designing these studies, we start with the standard procedures (ex: randomization, blinding & control) but the control has to meet some specific criteria It must be a well-established therapy There must be at least 1 superiority trial establishing its advantage over placebo. That superiority trial becomes the blueprint for the remaining design decisions (ex: inclusion/exclusion criteria, outcome measures & trial conduct) Like any trial, a limit to measure our results against is set. Standard RCTs state the P value. Noninferiority studies state the upper limit (AKA noninferiority margin) Unique to Noninferiority trials, is that the JUSTIFICATION for that choice MUST be given. It has to be both statistically AND clinically valid.
  10. In setting the margin, we want the smallest value that would be clinically meaningful. The key question to consider – What would be clinically relevant to THIS situation? A clinician might be willing to accept a 5% difference in treatment for the prevention of acne, but not a 5% difference in the prevention of death-due-to-stroke. Ideally, we want a value smaller than the difference between the reference treatment and its placebo. Example: We look at the superiority trial establishing the reference treatment as better than placebo & see that the reference treatment was 12% better than placebo. If we set the margin at 7%, we are accepting that our experimental treatment may be up to 5% worse than the comparator, but at least 7% better than placebo. Once a margin is determined, we use that choice, the size of the CI and the desired study Power to calculate sample size.
  11. Analysis in these trials can be tricky. ITT can shift the bias towards noninferiority. Per-Protocol only accounts for the patients who completed all the study parameters appropriately. It can also introduce bias – and that bias is less predictable. Noninferiority trials should USE and REPORT THE RESULTS from Both Methods. Those results can then be treated equally for a balanced conclusion, or the more pessimistic results can be used for a conservative interpretation.
  12. Results are stated as CI. Both single-sided & two-sided intervals are valid. In any study, reporting the results without comparing them to the prestated limit is inappropriate. In superiority trials, results (typically a single value) are compared with the upper limit P. With THESE studies, the results are typically a range of values that are fully encompassed by the CI. We compare the entire CI with both the established range AND the upper limit.
  13. The established range (AKA Zone of Inferiority) is tinted for clarity. The noninferiority margin is at point ∆. When the entire CI is less than zero (case A), researchers may appropriately claim superiority. When the upper limit of the CI is less than the noninferiority margin (case B & C), researchers can claim noninferiority. Even though part of the CI for case B falls within the “treatment is better” territory, it would be inappropriate for researchers to claim “possible superiority” as it could lead to misunderstanding. When the upper limit of the CI is greater than ∆, the results are, at best, inconclusive. However, if the entire CI is above the margin, researchers should report it as inferior. A claim of “inconclusive” would be inaccurate.
  14. Multiple reviews of noninferiority trials have been done. Reviewers found examples of repeated design and reporting flaws. Recognizing these flaws makes us more effective at evaluating the evidence at hand
  15. Improper or misleading terminology: The terms noninferiority and equivalence are often misused. Authors treat them synonymously. Or they choose ambiguous expressions like “not substantially lower than” or “comparable to,” leading to misinterpretation. It could be simple confusion, however, drug trial reports are now commonly used for marketing purposes. . Manufacturers don’t want to say “Our drug was no more than 5% worse than the one we compared it to.” In providing a positive spin for advertising purposes, the results are often misleading. Inappropriate noninferiority margin: The margin must be determined using both statistical rationale AND clinical judgment. Reviewers found multiple instances in which clinical judgment was discounted = margins that were too large for clinical relevance. A strategy to evaluate appropriateness: compare effect size (absolute difference in treatments ÷ by standard deviation). Researchers may NOT use this approach to set the margin, as it must be stated prior to trial initiation – NOT calculated after the fact. Confused error types: Because the hypotheses of noninferiority & superiority trials are swapped, readers may be confused when authors refer to a Type I or Type II error without giving its precise meaning.
  16. Incomplete results analysis: Researchers commonly report EITHER Intention-To-Treat OR Per-Protocol analysis. Individually, each may lead to biased conclusions. Bias is reduced when both methods are used and ALL RESULTS are reported. Noninferiority claims from a superiority trial : Noninferiority trials can provide evidence for a claim of superiority. BUT, when superiority trials result in a finding of no superiority, we CANNOT infer equivalence or noninferiority. Reviewers found more than one case where superiority trials were wrongly reported as noninferiority or equivalence trials. Be suspicious when an study does not include a justification for the noninferiority margin, when the margin appears to have been calculated at study completion, or when the margin was not referenced in calculating sample size.
  17. Noninferiority trials are gaining in popularity. Increased publication = greater role in influencing the FDA & other decision makers. Need to have a clear understanding of these trials to appropirately recommend or select treatment for the patients in our care.
  18. The quality of a noninferiority study is directly dependent on its adherence to the design and reporting requirements.