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Genomic Prediction Methods
Steve Hystad - Field Application Scientist
20 most promising
Biotech Technology
Providers
Top 10 Analytics
Solution Providers
Hype Cycle for
Life sciences
Golden Helix – Who We Are
Golden Helix is a global bioinformatics
company founded in 1998.
CNV Analysis
GWAS
Genomic Prediction
Large-N-Population Studies
RNA-Seq
Large-N CNV-Analysis
Variant Warehouse
Centralized Annotations
Hosted Reports
Sharing and Integration
Variant Calling
Filtering and Annotation
Clinical Reports
CNV Analysis
Pipeline: Run Workflows
Cited in over 1100 peer-reviewed publications
Over 350 customers globally
Golden Helix – Who We Are
When you choose a Golden Helix solution, you get more than just software
 REPUTATION
 TRUST
 EXPERIENCE
 INDUSTRY FOCUS
 THOUGHT
LEADERSHIP
 COMMUNITY
 TRAINING
 SUPPORT
 RESPONSIVENESS
 INNOVATION and
SPEED
 CUSTOMIZATIONS
Core
Features
Packages
Core Features
 Powerful Data Management
 Rich Visualizations
 Robust Statistics
 Flexible
Applications
 Genotype Analysis
 DNA sequence analysis
 CNV Analysis
 RNA-seq differential
expression
SNP & Variation Suite (SVS)
Agenda
2
4
NGS Based CNV Analysis – How it works
1 CNV Analysis
Use Case – Cardio Cohort
3 NGS Based CNV Demo
CNVs Polymorphisms
 CNVs are key contributors to intra-species genetic variation.
 Humans – drivers of specific cancers and associated with various
diseases.
- EGFR Exon 19 deletion common in lung cancer.
- PIK3CA Amplification in breast cancer
- Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD)
 Animals - CNVs associated with bovine health and production traits1
- Beta-defensin gene families.
 Plants
- 400 CNVs Maize inbred Mo17 compared to teosinte2
- 641 identified CNVs that distinguished two rice cultivars, Nipponbare (O.
sativa ssp. japonica) and Guang-lu-ai 4 (O. sativa ssp. indica)3
- Several 100 unique CNVs found to three soybean cultivars4
- Flowering time and plant height (Vrn-A1 & Ppd)
1Fadista et al. 2010 – BMC Genomics
2Springer et al 2009 – PLoS Genetics
3Yu et al 2011 – BNC Genomics
4Swanson-Wagner et al 2010 – Genome Res
CNVs Polymorphisms
R GeneP
Tandem Gene Duplication
R GeneP GeneP
R GeneP
R GenePR
Duplication of Enhancer Sequences
Elevated Level of Transcript
R GeneP
Complete Gene Deletion
R
R GeneP
Partial Gene Deletion
R GeneP
Decreased level of transcript
 CNVs overlapping a gene may alter the expression level of the gene by virtue of
changing the number of functional copies.
Background
 Genomic prediction is a key focus for agrigenomics
 Growing world population requires improved food production
- 3B in 1960
- 7.3B today
- 9.6B projected in 2050
Source: Wikipedia
Country
Population
2010
Population
1990
Growth (%)
1990–2010
World 6,895,889,000 5,306,425,000 30.0%
China 1,341,335,000 1,145,195,000 17.1%
India 1,224,614,000 873,785,000 40.2%
United
States
310,384,000 253,339,000 22.5%
Indonesia 239,871,000 184,346,000 30.1%
Brazil 194,946,000 149,650,000 30.3%
Pakistan 173,593,000 111,845,000 55.3%
Nigeria 158,423,000 97,552,000 62.4%
Bangladesh 148,692,000 105,256,000 41.3%
Russia 142,958,000 148,244,000 -3.6%
Japan 128,057,000 122,251,000 4.7%
Why Use Genomic Prediction?
 Calculate breeding value (gEBV) for all subjects in a population
- May be more accurate than breeding selection based only on pedigree and trait data
 Predict breeding values for subjects with unknown phenotypes
- May avoid costly and lengthy field trials
- May not always be possible to measure the phenotype
 Identify genetic markers with best predictive power for a trait
- Assist in development of predictive tests and other assays
OR ?
Genomic Prediction Methods Available in SVS
 GBLUP
- Assumes all loci contribute to the
phenotype
 Bayes C
- Estimates effects of gene loci
together with parameters
required to define probability
distribution over events
- Prior probability that any SNP will
have no effect fixed
 Bayes C-pi
- Prior probability that any SNP will
have no effect unknown and
allowed to vary
GBLUP
 Assumes all loci contribute to phenotype
 Incorporates genomic relationship matrix (GRM) in mixed linear model
framework to account for relatedness among samples
 Calculates allele substitution effect (ASE) for each SNP
 Computes estimated breeding values (GEBV) and predicted phenotypes
for all samples
 Also calculates:
- Pseudo-heritability of trait
- Genetic component of trait variance
- Error component of trait variance
Bayes C, C-pi
 Bayesian methods predict effects of loci together with parameters
required to define probability distribution over effects
 Gibbs sampling (MCMC) used to obtain parameter estimates
 The π (pi) parameter is the prior probability that any SNP will have no
effect.
 Pi is fixed in Bayes C, typically at π=0.9
 Pi is considered unknown and allowed to vary by Bayes C-pi
 Both methods return ASE, gEBV, other parameters of final model
 SVS implementation incorporates GRM
K-Fold Cross-Validation
 Build a model that can be
applied to new genetic data to
predict a phenotype
 Cross Validation makes it
possible to assess the
performance built from a given
reference/training dataset.
 Can be used with GBLUP,
Bayes C, Bayes C-pi
 Requires all samples have a
phenotype value
 Can include covariates
Simulated Cattle Data
 472 Bos taurus cattle from Bovine
HapMap project
- 422 samples: training set
- 50 samples: validation set (no phenotypes)
 Illumina 50k genotypes
Use Case – Improving Beef Quality
 Focus of Research
- Overall: Beef healthfulness
- Phenotypes measured:
- WB-Steak Shear Force
- Tenderness
- Juiciness
- Connective tissue
- Beef Flavor
 Develop tools to select for:
- Nutritious beef
- Tasty beef
- Improved production
 Dr. Raluca Mateescu
- Department of Animal Sciences at University of
Florida
- Journal of Animal Science 90, 4248-4255 (2012)
- Link to slides
http://goldenhelix.com/media/pdfs/webcasts/Golde
nHelix_July2015_Handout.pdf
- Link to webcast
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e6Czycr_DnE
Use Case – Improving Beef Quality
 Genomic Prediction results – Shear Force
- GBLUP and Bayes C-pi
- Manhattan plot with Allele Substitution Effects
GBLUP
Bayes
C-pi
Use Case – Output from GBLUP
 Correlations for Shear Force
- Actual phenotypes vs Estimated Breeding value (gEBV)
Use Case – Success
 Outcome of the study
- Identified markers associated with beef quality
- SAPS3: modulates protein phosphatase catalytic subunits
- CAPN1: modulates proteolysis of cytoskeletal remodeling and
signal transduction
- CHI3L2: involved in cartilage biogenesis
- CA10: catalyzes reversible hydration of carbon dioxide
- GPHN: involved in membrane protein-cytoskeleton interactions
Additional Information
 Genomic Prediction ebook
 Golden Helix at PAG 2018 – San Diego!
- Grand Exhibit Hall
- Come see demos and ask us questions!
 SVS package upgrade!
- NGS-based CNV calling for large sample size &
association tests
Questions or
more info:
 Email
info@goldenhelix.com
 Request an evaluation of
the software at
www.goldenhelix.com
 Check out our abstract
competition!

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NGS-Based Clinical Analysis

  • 1. Genomic Prediction Methods Steve Hystad - Field Application Scientist 20 most promising Biotech Technology Providers Top 10 Analytics Solution Providers Hype Cycle for Life sciences
  • 2. Golden Helix – Who We Are Golden Helix is a global bioinformatics company founded in 1998. CNV Analysis GWAS Genomic Prediction Large-N-Population Studies RNA-Seq Large-N CNV-Analysis Variant Warehouse Centralized Annotations Hosted Reports Sharing and Integration Variant Calling Filtering and Annotation Clinical Reports CNV Analysis Pipeline: Run Workflows
  • 3. Cited in over 1100 peer-reviewed publications
  • 5. Golden Helix – Who We Are When you choose a Golden Helix solution, you get more than just software  REPUTATION  TRUST  EXPERIENCE  INDUSTRY FOCUS  THOUGHT LEADERSHIP  COMMUNITY  TRAINING  SUPPORT  RESPONSIVENESS  INNOVATION and SPEED  CUSTOMIZATIONS
  • 6. Core Features Packages Core Features  Powerful Data Management  Rich Visualizations  Robust Statistics  Flexible Applications  Genotype Analysis  DNA sequence analysis  CNV Analysis  RNA-seq differential expression SNP & Variation Suite (SVS)
  • 7. Agenda 2 4 NGS Based CNV Analysis – How it works 1 CNV Analysis Use Case – Cardio Cohort 3 NGS Based CNV Demo
  • 8. CNVs Polymorphisms  CNVs are key contributors to intra-species genetic variation.  Humans – drivers of specific cancers and associated with various diseases. - EGFR Exon 19 deletion common in lung cancer. - PIK3CA Amplification in breast cancer - Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD)  Animals - CNVs associated with bovine health and production traits1 - Beta-defensin gene families.  Plants - 400 CNVs Maize inbred Mo17 compared to teosinte2 - 641 identified CNVs that distinguished two rice cultivars, Nipponbare (O. sativa ssp. japonica) and Guang-lu-ai 4 (O. sativa ssp. indica)3 - Several 100 unique CNVs found to three soybean cultivars4 - Flowering time and plant height (Vrn-A1 & Ppd) 1Fadista et al. 2010 – BMC Genomics 2Springer et al 2009 – PLoS Genetics 3Yu et al 2011 – BNC Genomics 4Swanson-Wagner et al 2010 – Genome Res
  • 9. CNVs Polymorphisms R GeneP Tandem Gene Duplication R GeneP GeneP R GeneP R GenePR Duplication of Enhancer Sequences Elevated Level of Transcript R GeneP Complete Gene Deletion R R GeneP Partial Gene Deletion R GeneP Decreased level of transcript  CNVs overlapping a gene may alter the expression level of the gene by virtue of changing the number of functional copies.
  • 10. Background  Genomic prediction is a key focus for agrigenomics  Growing world population requires improved food production - 3B in 1960 - 7.3B today - 9.6B projected in 2050 Source: Wikipedia Country Population 2010 Population 1990 Growth (%) 1990–2010 World 6,895,889,000 5,306,425,000 30.0% China 1,341,335,000 1,145,195,000 17.1% India 1,224,614,000 873,785,000 40.2% United States 310,384,000 253,339,000 22.5% Indonesia 239,871,000 184,346,000 30.1% Brazil 194,946,000 149,650,000 30.3% Pakistan 173,593,000 111,845,000 55.3% Nigeria 158,423,000 97,552,000 62.4% Bangladesh 148,692,000 105,256,000 41.3% Russia 142,958,000 148,244,000 -3.6% Japan 128,057,000 122,251,000 4.7%
  • 11. Why Use Genomic Prediction?  Calculate breeding value (gEBV) for all subjects in a population - May be more accurate than breeding selection based only on pedigree and trait data  Predict breeding values for subjects with unknown phenotypes - May avoid costly and lengthy field trials - May not always be possible to measure the phenotype  Identify genetic markers with best predictive power for a trait - Assist in development of predictive tests and other assays OR ?
  • 12. Genomic Prediction Methods Available in SVS  GBLUP - Assumes all loci contribute to the phenotype  Bayes C - Estimates effects of gene loci together with parameters required to define probability distribution over events - Prior probability that any SNP will have no effect fixed  Bayes C-pi - Prior probability that any SNP will have no effect unknown and allowed to vary
  • 13. GBLUP  Assumes all loci contribute to phenotype  Incorporates genomic relationship matrix (GRM) in mixed linear model framework to account for relatedness among samples  Calculates allele substitution effect (ASE) for each SNP  Computes estimated breeding values (GEBV) and predicted phenotypes for all samples  Also calculates: - Pseudo-heritability of trait - Genetic component of trait variance - Error component of trait variance
  • 14. Bayes C, C-pi  Bayesian methods predict effects of loci together with parameters required to define probability distribution over effects  Gibbs sampling (MCMC) used to obtain parameter estimates  The π (pi) parameter is the prior probability that any SNP will have no effect.  Pi is fixed in Bayes C, typically at π=0.9  Pi is considered unknown and allowed to vary by Bayes C-pi  Both methods return ASE, gEBV, other parameters of final model  SVS implementation incorporates GRM
  • 15. K-Fold Cross-Validation  Build a model that can be applied to new genetic data to predict a phenotype  Cross Validation makes it possible to assess the performance built from a given reference/training dataset.  Can be used with GBLUP, Bayes C, Bayes C-pi  Requires all samples have a phenotype value  Can include covariates
  • 16. Simulated Cattle Data  472 Bos taurus cattle from Bovine HapMap project - 422 samples: training set - 50 samples: validation set (no phenotypes)  Illumina 50k genotypes
  • 17.
  • 18. Use Case – Improving Beef Quality  Focus of Research - Overall: Beef healthfulness - Phenotypes measured: - WB-Steak Shear Force - Tenderness - Juiciness - Connective tissue - Beef Flavor  Develop tools to select for: - Nutritious beef - Tasty beef - Improved production  Dr. Raluca Mateescu - Department of Animal Sciences at University of Florida - Journal of Animal Science 90, 4248-4255 (2012) - Link to slides http://goldenhelix.com/media/pdfs/webcasts/Golde nHelix_July2015_Handout.pdf - Link to webcast https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e6Czycr_DnE
  • 19. Use Case – Improving Beef Quality  Genomic Prediction results – Shear Force - GBLUP and Bayes C-pi - Manhattan plot with Allele Substitution Effects GBLUP Bayes C-pi
  • 20. Use Case – Output from GBLUP  Correlations for Shear Force - Actual phenotypes vs Estimated Breeding value (gEBV)
  • 21. Use Case – Success  Outcome of the study - Identified markers associated with beef quality - SAPS3: modulates protein phosphatase catalytic subunits - CAPN1: modulates proteolysis of cytoskeletal remodeling and signal transduction - CHI3L2: involved in cartilage biogenesis - CA10: catalyzes reversible hydration of carbon dioxide - GPHN: involved in membrane protein-cytoskeleton interactions
  • 22. Additional Information  Genomic Prediction ebook  Golden Helix at PAG 2018 – San Diego! - Grand Exhibit Hall - Come see demos and ask us questions!  SVS package upgrade! - NGS-based CNV calling for large sample size & association tests
  • 23. Questions or more info:  Email info@goldenhelix.com  Request an evaluation of the software at www.goldenhelix.com  Check out our abstract competition!