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Network Leadership in an
Increasingly Uncertain World
Professor Robin Teigland
Chalmers University of Technology
November 2020
www.robinteigland.com | www.slideshare.net/eteigland | robin.teigland@chalmers.se | @RobinTeigland
All open Access
https://www.amazon.com/AI-Leadership-Boards-Corporate-Governance-ebook/dp/B08C391GWG
The future?
Conway 2003
What we know
we don’t know
What we don’t know
we don’t know
What we know
Thx to R. Wieselfors, Ericsson for photos
Thx to R. Wieselfors, Ericsson for photos
“We always overestimate the change
that will occur in the next two years and
underestimate the change that will
occur in the next ten.”
- Bill Gates, The Road Ahead, 1996
Hidden influence of social networks
http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/en/nicholas_christakis_the_hidden_influence_of_social_networks.html
Happy people
In between people
Unhappy people
What is a network?
A set of actors connected by ties
•Ties/Links
−Knowledge, trust, team, sit by,
dislike, etc.
−Alliance, customer, investment,
etc.
Tie
•Actors/Nodes
−Individuals
−Teams
−Organizations, etc.
Actor
Myths about networks
• I already know what is going on in my network.
• How people fit into networks is a matter of
personality (which can’t be changed).
• Everyone should be connected to everyone else.
Adapted from Cross et al. 2002
”No one knows everything,
everyone knows something,
all knowledge resides in humanity.”networks
Adapted from Lévy 1997
Six degrees of separation
- Milgram, 1967
Image: Krebs
Uncovering networks in an organization
Formal organization Informal organization
Teigland et al. 2005
What do you notice about the informal network?
Cross, Introduction to organizational network analysis
Avoid creating “echo chambers”
http://www.enronexplorer.com/focus/19185#
Myths and reality checks
• I already know what is going on in my network.
• Those who think they know their network the best are usually the ones who
know the least.
• How people fit into networks is a matter of
personality (which can’t be changed).
• Less than 40% is due to personal genes.
• Everyone should be connected to everyone else.
• Networks can be strategically developed.
Adapted from Cross et al. 2002, Christakis & Fowler 2010
The future?
Conway 2003
What we know
we don’t know
What we don’t know
we don’t know
What we know
Future of
value
creation
Political Economic
Sociological
TechnologicalEnvironmental
Legal
PESTEL
https://furhatrobotics.com/
https://framtidsprao.trr.se/documents/Framtidens_arbetsliv_rapport_WEB.pdf
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Quh2OiPHkm8
Published 2013
https://www.bokus.com/bok/9781137283016/the-immersive-internet/
https://www.inc.com/glenn-leibowitz/meet-the-ceo-running-a-billion-dollar-company-with-no-offices-or-email.html
Increasing forces
for local community and
circular economies?
Fully self-sufficient
http://www.regenvillages.com/
Transformation of economic activity
Centralized,
hierarchical
organizations
Decentralized,
self-organizing
organizations
Looking into the future?
• Forecast
–How we think the future will be
• Vision
–How we want the future to be
• Scenarios
–What the future can be
–“Alternative memories” from the future
?
?
?
?
A scenario matrix for 2030
Global
Power
Struggle
New
World
Order
High Technology Convergence
Low Technology Convergence
Uncertainty 1
Uncertainty2
Four scenarios for 2030
Global
Power
Struggle
Scenario 1
Race to the bottom
in an Alibaba World
- AI for Efficiency
New
World
Order
High Technology Convergence
Low Technology Convergence
Scenario 3
Circular Villages
- AI for Sustainability
Scenario 4
Global Nomad Communities
- AI for Singularity
Scenario 2
MegaCities in
the ”Wild West”
- AI for Security
A simple exercise
Read out loud together
OPPORTUNITIESARENOWHERE
https://oceandatafactory.se/
Exploitation Exploration
BA
Two individuals (organizations)
with the same number of contacts…
…but with very different
access to resources, ideas, and signals
BA
Peniche, Portugal
One Hour North of Lisbon
Centuries of Tradition
The ocean is
in a critical state
A Broken Economic Model
How might we empower
coastal communities to take
back their future?
University
Shipyard
Port
Tourists
Entrepreneurs
Fishing Boats
Underutilized Resources
Warehouses
Fishermen
Digital Nomads
Students
Local Industries
Emerging technologies
enable sustainable
ocean opportunities
• AI/ML/NN
• Robotics/drones/AUVs/
• Graphene/composites
• 3D printing
• IoT/sensors
• Blockchain
• Renewables
To be a hotspot for entrepreneurial activity,
a flagship in ocean innovation, and
a showcase in circular economy
Recycling
Ocean Waste with
Graphene & 3D Printing
Recovering Ocean
Litter with Repurposed
Fishing Vessels
Manufacturing combined
with Blockchain
PENICHE OCEAN WATCH
A Blue Circular Economy Based on Ocean Litter
Sustainable Ocean
Entrepreneurship
Mapping Ocean Litter
with AI & Drones55
TONNE
S
LITTER
Developing opportunities
for small-scale fishing fleets:
from fish to ocean litter
The Peladrone Project
Recycling ocean plastic
Next step – to add ocean plastic waste ?
Go4Surf
2Rodas
Workshop
Ocean
Warehouse
Fishing Port
SmartOcean
ESTM
CETEMARES
EXAME 2019
The OCEAN Warehouse
A Tech Hub - Not a Surf Hostel
Leading under
uncertainty
Visioning
Networking for
Purpose and
Serendipity
Collective
Competence
Building
Co-creating
and
Experimenting
Teigland 2018
Documentary on Portuguese National TV
https://www.rtp.pt/programa/tv/p37509/e4
My TED talk: https://www.ted.com/talks/robin_teigland_circular_economy_and_serendipity
Network leadership
1. Build relationships across diverse networks, avoid echo chambers
2. Practice scenario thinking and look for signals from the periphery
3. Ask “What if?”, challenge basic assumptions, and experiment
4. Ensure access to resources, not ownership, through your networks
Boundary
spanner
Exploration
Robin Teigland
www.robinteigland.com
www.slideshare.net/eteigland
robin.teigland@chalmers.se
@RobinTeigland
http://www.go4surf.pt/
Trond Gunnar Teigland
tgteigland94@gmail.com
www.PenicheOceanWatch.com
@penicheoceanwatch
If you love knowledge, set it free!
OCEAN
TECH
HUB

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