This document discusses trends in wireless technology and networks. It begins with an overview of market trends, noting that by 2005, 60% of speech became mobile and devices fit in the hand. It then covers the evolution of access networks, including the growth of technologies like GSM and GPRS to support increasing mobile data usage. The document also analyzes internet penetration rates and population sizes across Asian countries.

1. GSM-GPRS Operation
Wireless Technology
Overview
Modul 1
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2. Outline
 Market Trends
 Network Evolutions
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Wireless Market Trends
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Technology
(dataspeed)
Prices
HW/SW
PABX
1999
2000
2005
2007
60%
?
?
5 x volume
1/3 price
”New frames"
LAN/WAN
Internet
PABX
LAN/WAN
Internet
19991999
1998
Speech becomes mobile
All in hand
The Vision
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Trends Access Network
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Nascent Growth Developed Mature
Source: A.T. Kearney analysis
Market
Environment
Key
Challenges
 Supply constrained  High growth
 New entrants
 Increasing competition
 Slowing growth
 Stronger competition
 Mature / no growth
 Intense competition
 Meeting demand
 Investment
constraint
 Speed to market
 Brand establishment
 Customer acquisition
 Customer retention
 Product innovation
 Customer intimacy
 Margin improvement
 Customer retention
 Revenue protection
 New growth
Selected
Key Trends
 Access provision
 Voice penetration
 Coverage increase
 Voice growth
 Broadband and data
services take-up
 Fixed to mobile
substitution
 Cost orientation
 Convergence
 Triple Play
 Consolidation
 NGN / IP technology
Japan
Indonesia
Thailand
India
Vietnam
Philippines
IncreasingPenetration
African
nations
UK/ France /
Germany
Australia /
New
Zealand
USA
Central
European
Countries
Singapore
Bangladesh
China
Jabotabek
Indonesian Market in the Global Context
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Population
No Country
Population % of World Population Expected Pop.
( 2007 Est. ) Population Growth Rate for year 2050
1 China 1,317,431,495 20.00% 1.10% 1,470,468,924
2 India 1,129,667,528 17.20% 1.70% 1,619,582,271
3 United States 301,967,681 4.60% 0.80% 403,943,147
4 Indonesia 224,481,720 3.40% 1.80% 337,807,011
5 Brazil 186,771,161 2.80% 1.40% 206,751,477
6 Pakistan 167,806,831 2.60% 2.60% 267,813,495
7 Nigeria 162,082,868 2.50% 2.60% 303,586,770
8 Russia 143,406,042 2.20% 0.50% 118,233,243
9 Bangladesh 137,493,990 2.10% 1.10% 205,093,861
10 Japan 128,646,345 2.00% 0.10% 101,228,471
Top 10 Country 3,899,755,661 59.30% - 5,034,508,670
Remain Country 2,674,910,756 40.70% - 4,049,986,735
World Population 6,574,666,417 100.00% 1.10% 9,084,495,405
Sumber: www.internetworldstats.com 7

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Asia Internet Usage & Population
ASIA Population Internet Users, Penetration (%) Users Use Growth
( 2007 Est.) Latest Data (% Population) in Asia ( 2000-2007 )
Korea, North 23,510,379 -- -- -- n/a %
Hong Kong * 7,150,254 4,878,713 68.20% 1.10% 113.70%
Japan 128,646,345 86,300,000 67.10% 19.80% 83.30%
Korea, South 51,300,989 34,120,000 66.50% 7.80% 79.20%
Singapore 3,654,103 2,421,800 66.30% 0.60% 101.80%
Taiwan 23,001,442 14,500,000 63.00% 3.30% 131.60%
Malaysia 28,294,120 13,528,200 47.80% 3.10% 265.60%
Macao* 500,631 201,000 40.10% 0.00% 235.00%
Brunei Darussalem 403,500 135,000 33.50% 0.00% 350.00%
Vietnam 85,031,436 16,511,849 19.40% 3.80% 8155.90%
Philippines 87,236,532 14,000,000 16.00% 3.20% 600.00%
Thailand 67,249,456 8,420,000 12.50% 1.90% 266.10%
China 1,317,431,495 162,000,000 12.30% 37.10% 620.00%
Mongolia 2,601,641 268,300 10.30% 0.10% 794.30%
Indonesia 224,481,720 20,000,000 8.90% 4.60% 900.00%
Azerbaijan 8,448,260 678,800 8.00% 0.20% 5556.70%
Pakistan 167,806,831 12,000,000 7.20% 2.70% 8861.90%
Maldives 303,732 20,100 6.60% 0.00% 235.00%
Uzbekistan 26,607,252 1,745,000 6.60% 0.40% 23166.70%
Georgia 4,389,004 271,400 6.20% 0.10% 1257.00%
Armenia 2,950,060 161,000 5.50% 0.00% 436.70%
Kyrgystan 5,436,608 280,000 5.20% 0.10% 442.60%
Kazakhstan 14,653,998 609,200 4.20% 0.10% 770.30%
India 1,129,667,528 42,000,000 3.70% 9.60% 740.00%
Bhutan 812,184 25,000 3.10% 0.00% 4900.00%
ASIA INTERNET USAGE AND POPULATION
Sumber: www.internetworldstats.com
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9. GSM-GPRS Operation
Wireless Network
Evolution
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10. GSM-GPRS Operation
End of Section 1
Wireless Technology
Overview