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2. The Manpower Employment
Outlook Survey for the
third quarter 2015 was
conducted by interviewing
a representative sample
of 2,100 employers in
the UK.
All survey participants
were asked, “How do you
anticipate total employment
at your location to change
in the three months to
the end of September 2015
as compared to the
current quarter?”
Contents
UK Employment Outlook 1
Organisation-Size Comparisons
Regional Comparisons
Sector Comparisons
Global Employment Outlook 15
International Comparisons – EMEA
International Comparisons – Americas
International Comparisons – Asia & Pacific
About the Survey 31
About ManpowerGroupTM
32
UnitedKingdom
Employment
Outlook
3. Manpower Employment Outlook Survey 1
Increase Decrease No Change Don’t Know
Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
Adjusted
% % % % % %
July-Sep 2014 12 3 83 2 9 7
Oct-Dec 2014 11 4 83 2 7 6
Jan-Mar 2015 9 5 84 2 4 6
Apr-June 2015 8 2 88 2 6 6
July-Sep 2015 10 2 86 2 8 6
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
UK Employment Outlook
UK employers report encouraging signs for job
seekers in the coming quarter. With 10% of employers
forecasting an increase in staffing levels, 2% anticipating
a decrease and 86% expecting no change, the
resulting Net Employment Outlook is +8%.
Once the data is adjusted to allow for seasonal
variation, the Outlook stands at +6% for the fourth
consecutive quarter. Hiring prospects are unchanged
quarter-over-quarter and remain relatively stable
year-over-year.
Throughout this report, we use the term “Net Employment Outlook”. This figure is derived by taking the
percentage of employers anticipating total employment to increase and subtracting from this the percentage
expecting to see a decrease in employment at their location in the next quarter. The result of this calculation is the
Net Employment Outlook.
From this point forward, all data discussed in the commentary is seasonally adjusted, unless stated otherwise.
4. 2 Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
Participating employers are categorised into one of four
organisation sizes: Micro businesses have fewer than
10 employees; Small businesses have 10-49 employees;
Medium businesses have 50-199 employees; and
Large businesses have 200 or more employees.
Employers forecast payroll gains in all four organisation
size categories during the July-September period.
The strongest labour market is expected by Large
employers who report a Net Employment Outlook of
+19%. Elsewhere, Outlooks stand at +11% and +8%
in the Medium- and Small-size categories, respectively,
while the Outlook for Micro employers is +4%.
Organisation-Size Comparisons
Quarter-over-quarter, the Outlook for Large organisations
is three percentage points stronger but Small employers
report a decline of two percentage points. Elsewhere,
hiring plans are unchanged.
When compared with Quarter 3 2014, employers in
both the Small- and Medium-size categories report
weaker hiring intentions, with Outlooks declining by
seven and five percentage points, respectively.
Meanwhile, Micro firms report an improvement
of two percentage points.
IncreaseOrganisation-Size Decrease No Change Don’t Know
Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
Adjusted
% % % % % %
Large-Size 200 or more 26 6 66 2 20 19
Medium-Size 50-199 14 2 76 8 12 11
Small-Size 10-49 11 1 85 3 10 8
Micro-Size fewer than 10 8 2 88 2 6 4
Micro-Size fewer than 10Micro-Size fewer than 10
Graph displays Seasonally Adjusted DataGraph displays Seasonally Adjusted Data
Small-Size 10-49Small-Size 10-49 Medium-Size 50-199Medium-Size 50-199 Large-Size 200 or moreLarge-Size 200 or more
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
5. Manpower Employment Outlook Survey 3
Employers in 11 of the 12 regions expect to increase
staffing levels during the July-September period. The
strongest hiring pace is anticipated by employers in
the North East who report a Net Employment Outlook
of +10%. Employers in three regions report cautiously
optimistic Outlooks of +9% – the East Midlands,
London and the South West, while the Outlook stands
at +8% in Wales. Meanwhile, the weakest hiring plans
are reported in Scotland with an Outlook of 0%.
Hiring intentions strengthen in six of the 12 regions
when compared with the previous quarter. The most
noteworthy improvement of eight percentage points
is reported in the North East, while Outlooks are two
percentage points stronger in London, the South West
and Scotland. However, hiring prospects weaken in
East
East Midlands
London
North West
North East
Northern Ireland
Scotland
South East
South West
Decrease
Q3 2015 Q3 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2014
Qtr on Qtr
Change
Q2 2015
to Q3 2015
Yr on Yr
Change
Q3 2014
to Q3 2015
Increase
Q3 2015
%
11
12
9
9
9
8
6
7
15
%
0
1
0
0
2
5
2
0
0
%
11 (9)1
11 (7)1
9 (9)1
9 (10)1
7 (7)1
3 (2)1
4 (0)1
7 (4)1
15 (9)1
%
8 (10)1
8 (8)1
6 (7)1
4 (2)1
13 (12)1
-1 (1)1
3 (-2)1
8 (7)1
6 (7)1
%
20 (13)1
15 (11)1
1 (1)1
6 (6)1
7 (7)1
-3 (-5)1
12 (8)1
13 (10)1
20 (14)1
%
3 (-1)1
3 (-1)1
3 (2)1
5 (8)1
-6 (-5)1
4 (1)1
1 (2)1
-1 (-3)1
9 (2)1
%
-9 (-4)1
-4 (-4)1
8 (8)1
3 (4)1
0 (0)1
6 (7)1
-8 (-8)1
-6 (-6)1
-5 (-5)1
Wales 16 6 10 (8)1
9 (7)1
5 (3)1
1 (1)1
5 (5)1
West Midlands 9 3 6 (5)1
13 (12)1
11 (10)1
-7 (-7)1
-5 (-5)1
Yorkshire & Humberside 6 6 0 (3)1
4 (4)1
5 (8)1
-4 (-1)1
-5 (-5)1
1. Number in parentheses is the Net Employment Outlook when adjusted to remove seasonal variations.
Regional Summary
six regions, most notably by seven and five
percentage points in the West Midlands and the
North West, respectively.
Year-over-year, Outlooks decline in seven of the 12
regions. Scottish employers report the most notable
decline of eight percentage points while a decrease
of six percentage points is reported in the South East.
Hiring prospects are five percentage points weaker in
three regions – the South West, the West Midlands
and Yorkshire & Humberside. Elsewhere, hiring
intentions improve in four regions. London employers
report an improvement of eight percentage points while
increases of seven and five percentage points are
reported in Northern Ireland and Wales, respectively.
6. 4 Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
Job growth is forecast for all nine industry sectors in
Quarter 3 2015. Mining sector employers report the
strongest Net Employment Outlook of +9%. Elsewhere,
Outlooks of +7% are reported in the Agriculture sector,
the Construction sector and the Manufacturing sector.
Meanwhile, the most cautious Outlooks of +3% and +2%
are reported by employers in the Hotels & Retail sector
and the Transport & Communication sector, respectively.
Quarter-over-quarter, employers report weaker hiring
plans in five of the nine industry sectors, most notably
in the Utilities sector where the Outlook declines by
11 percentage points. However, Outlooks strengthen
Agriculture
Community & Social
Construction
Hotels & Retail
Finance & Business
Services
Manufacturing
Mining
Transport &
Communications
Utilities
Decrease
Q3 2015 Q3 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2014
Qtr on Qtr
Change
Q2 2015
to Q3 2015
Yr on Yr
Change
Q3 2014
to Q3 2015
Increase
Q3 2015
%
12
11
7
9
10
9
12
4
8
%
3
1
0
1
3
2
2
4
5
%
9 (6)1
10 (7)1
7 (7)1
8 (6)1
7 (3)1
7 (7)1
10 (9)1
0 (2)1
3 (6)1
%
6 (5)1
2 (-2)1
7 (6)1
7 (7)1
5 (5)1
11 (9)1
11 (8)1
8 (4)1
18 (17)1
%
5 (3)1
9 (6)1
1 (1)1
14 (12)1
10 (7)1
4 (5)1
14 (10)1
6 (6)1
12 (15)1
%
3 (1)1
8 (9)1
0 (1)1
1 (-1)1
2 (-2)1
-4 (-2)1
-1 (1)1
-8 (-2)1
-15 (-11)1
%
4 (3)1
1 (1)1
6 (6)1
-6 (-6)1
-3 (-4)1
3 (2)1
-4 (-1)1
-6 (-4)1
-9 (-9)1
1. Number in parentheses is the Net Employment Outlook when adjusted to remove seasonal variations.
Sector Summary
in four sectors, including the Agriculture sector where
employers report an increase of nine percentage points.
When compared with Quarter 3 2014, hiring intentions
are weaker in five of the nine industry sectors.
A considerable decline of nine percentage points
is reported by Utilities sector employers, while the
Outlook declines by six percentage points in the
Finance & Business Services sector. Elsewhere,
employers report improved hiring prospects in
four sectors, most notably with an increase of
six percentage points in the Construction sector.
7. Manpower Employment Outlook Survey 5
Employers forecast workforce gains in 11 of the 12
regions during Quarter 3 2015. The strongest hiring
intentions are reported in the North East where the
Net Employment Outlook stands at +10%. Cautiously
optimistic hiring plans are reported in three regions
with Outlooks of +9% – the East Midlands, London
and the South West – while the Outlook for Wales
stands at +8%. Some payroll growth is also expected
in both the North West and the East, with Outlooks
of +7%. Meanwhile, employers in Scotland report
flat hiring prospects with an Outlook of 0%.
When compared with the previous quarter, employers
report stronger Outlooks in six of the 12 regions. The
most noteworthy improvement of eight percentage
points is reported in the North East. Elsewhere, hiring
intentions strengthen by two percentage points in
three regions – London, the South West and Scotland.
However, hiring prospects weaken in six regions.
0 205 10 15
East
East Midlands
London
National Average
North East
North West
Northern Ireland
Scotland
South East
South West
Wales
West Midlands
Yorkshire & Humberside
7
11
9
11
9
9
6
8
10
9
7
7
2
3
0
4
4
7
9
15
8
10
5
6
3
0
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
Regional Comparisons
The most noteworthy declines of seven and five
percentage points are reported in the West Midlands
and the North West, respectively, while South East
employers report a decrease of three percentage points.
Year-over-year, employers in seven of the 12 regions
report declining Outlooks. The most noteworthy
decrease of eight percentage points is reported
in Scotland while the Outlook for the South East
declines by six percentage points. Hiring prospects
are five percentage points weaker in three regions
– the South West, the West Midlands and Yorkshire
& Humberside – and decline by four percentage
points in both the East and the East Midlands.
Meanwhile, hiring intentions improve in four regions.
The London Outlook is eight percentage points
stronger, while increases of seven and five
percentage points are reported in Northern Ireland
and Wales, respectively.
8. 6 Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
East
Employers forecast some payroll gains in the July-September time frame, reporting a Net
Employment Outlook of +7%. Hiring prospects remain relatively stable when compared
with the previous quarter but decline by four percentage points year-over-year.
East Midlands
Reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +9%, employers anticipate a fair hiring climate
in the coming quarter. The Outlook remains relatively stable quarter-over-quarter but is four
percentage points weaker year-over-year.
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
+11 (+7)%
+11 (+9)%
+9 (+9)% London
The strongest labour market since Quarter 3 2013 is expected in the next three months,
with employers reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +9%. Hiring intentions improve
by two percentage points quarter-over-quarter and are eight percentage points stronger
when compared with Quarter 3 2014.
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
9. Manpower Employment Outlook Survey 7
+9 (+10)% North East
Job seekers can expect to benefit from cautiously optimistic hiring activity in Quarter 3 2015,
according to employers who report a Net Employment Outlook of +10%. The Outlook improves
by eight and four percentage points quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year, respectively.
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
North West
With a Net Employment Outlook of +7%, employers forecast moderate payroll growth during
the next three months. However, hiring prospects decline by five percentage points when
compared with the previous quarter. Year-over-year, the Outlook is unchanged.
Northern Ireland
With a Net Employment Outlook of +2%, employers anticipate slow-paced hiring activity in
the July-September time frame. Hiring prospects remain relatively stable quarter-over-quarter
and improve by seven percentage points year-over-year.
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Northern Ireland joined the survey in Q2 2003 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
+7 (+7)%
+3 (+2)%
10. 8 Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
Scotland
Flat hiring activity is forecast for the next three months with employers reporting a Net
Employment Outlook of 0%. Hiring prospects are two percentage points stronger when
compared with the previous quarter but decline by eight percentage points year-over-year.
South East
Employers anticipate the weakest hiring pace since Quarter 3 2013 in the upcoming quarter,
reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +4%. Hiring intentions decline by three percentage
points quarter-over-quarter and are six percentage points weaker year-over-year.
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Scotland joined the survey in Q2 2002 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
+4 (0)%
+7 (+4)%
South West
Cautiously optimistic hiring plans are evident for the July-September time frame with employers
reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +9%. The Outlook is two percentage points stronger
when compared with the previous quarter but declines by five percentage points year-over-year.
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
+15 (+9)%
11. Manpower Employment Outlook Survey 9
Wales
Employers report encouraging signs for job seekers in Quarter 3 2015 with a Net Employment
Outlook of +8%. The Outlook remains relatively stable quarter-over-quarter and is five percentage
points stronger year-over-year.
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Wales joined the survey in Q2 2002 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
+10 (+8)%
West Midlands
Job seekers can expect modest hiring opportunities during Quarter 3 2015 with employers
reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +5%. However, hiring prospects decline by seven
percentage points quarter-over-quarter and are five percentage points weaker year-over-year.
Yorkshire & Humberside
Employers forecast a slight increase in staffing levels during the next three months, reporting
a Net Employment Outlook of +3%. Hiring intentions remain relatively stable when compared
with the previous quarter but decline by five percentage points year-over-year.
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
+6 (+5)%
0 (+3)%
12. 10 Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
Job seekers can expect some hiring opportunities in
all nine industry sectors during the coming quarter,
according to employers. The strongest labour market
is anticipated by Mining sector employers with a Net
Employment Outlook of +9%. Elsewhere, some payroll
gains are anticipated with Outlooks of +7% in the
Agriculture sector, the Construction sector and the
Manufacturing sector, while Outlooks of +6% are
reported in the Utilities sector, the Finance & Business
Services sector and the Community & Social sector.
Meanwhile, the weakest hiring pace is forecast by
Transport & Communication sector employers with
an Outlook of +2%.
Quarter-over-quarter, Outlooks weaken in five of the
nine industry sectors, most notably by 11 percentage
points in the Utilities sector. Employers in three sectors
report slight declines of two percentage points – the
0 15
Agriculture
Community & Social
Construction
Finance & Business Services
Hotels & Retail
Manufacturing
Mining
National Average
Transport & Communication
Utilities
7
10
6
9
7
7
6
8
3
7
7
7
9
10
6
8
2
0
6
3
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
5 10
Sector Comparisons
Manufacturing sector, the Transport & Communication
sector and the Hotels & Retail sector. However, hiring
intentions improve in four sectors, including the
Agriculture sector where the Outlook is nine percentage
points stronger.
When compared with Quarter 3 2014, hiring prospects
also decline in five of the nine industry sectors. The
most notable decreases of nine and six percentage
points are reported in the Utilities sector and the
Finance & Business Services sector, respectively,
while Outlooks are four percentage points weaker in
both the Transport & Communication sector and the
Hotels & Retail sector. Elsewhere, hiring plans improve
in four sectors. The Outlook for the Construction
sector is six percentage points stronger while
Community & Social sector employers report
an improvement of three percentage points.
13. Manpower Employment Outlook Survey 11
Agriculture
Job seekers can expect a moderate hiring pace in the July-September time frame according
to employers who report a Net Employment Outlook of +7%. Hiring intentions are nine
percentage points stronger when compared with the previous quarter and remain relatively
stable year-over-year.
Community & Social
With a Net Employment Outlook of +6%, employers anticipate modest payroll gains during
Quarter 3 2015. Hiring plans remain relatively stable when compared with the previous
quarter and are three percentage points stronger year-over-year.
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
The Agriculture sector joined the survey in Q2 2002 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
+9 (+6)%
+10 (+7)%
Construction
With a Net Employment Outlook of +7%, employers anticipate some hiring opportunities
during the upcoming quarter. Hiring plans remain relatively stable quarter-over-quarter and
improve by six percentage points year-over-year.
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
+7 (+7)%
14. 12 Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
Finance & Business Services
A conservative hiring pace is forecast for Quarter 3 2015 with employers reporting a Net
Employment Outlook of +6%. The Outlook is the weakest reported since Quarter 2 2012. While
hiring plans remain relatively stable quarter-over-quarter, employers report a year-over-year
decline of six percentage points.
Employers in the Finance sub-sector anticipate respectable payroll gains during the July-September
time frame with a Net Employment Outlook of +11%. Hiring prospects remain relatively stable
quarter-over-quarter and improve by 16 percentage points year-over-year.
Some hiring opportunities are forecast for the Business Services sub-sector, with employers
reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +6%, although the Outlook is the weakest reported
since Quarter 2 2012. Hiring plans remain relatively stable when compared with the previous
quarter but decline by eight percentage points year-over-year.
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
+8 (+6)%
Hotels & Retail
Some workforce gains are expected in the upcoming quarter with employers reporting a Net
Employment Outlook of +3%. However, hiring intentions decline by two percentage points when
compared with the previous quarter and are four percentage points weaker year-over-year.
Job seekers can expect some hiring opportunities in the B2B sub-sector during the next three
months with employers reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +7%. While the Outlook is
three percentage points weaker quarter-over-quarter, employers report a year-over-year
improvement of two percentage points.
Slow-paced hiring activity is anticipated in the B2C sub-sector in the July-September time frame, with
employers reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +3%. Hiring prospects remain relatively stable
when compared with the previous quarter but decline by three percentage points year-over-year.
With a Net Employment Outlook of +13%, Hotels & Restaurants sub-sector employers report
the strongest hiring plans since Quarter 3 2007. The Outlook improves by three and two
percentage points quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year, respectively.
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
+7 (+3)%
15. Manpower Employment Outlook Survey 13
Manufacturing
Employers anticipate a fair hiring climate in the coming quarter, reporting a Net Employment
Outlook of +7%. Hiring intentions are two percentage points weaker when compared with
the previous quarter but improve by two percentage points year-over-year.
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
+7 (+7)%
Mining
Job seekers can expect to benefit from a cautiously optimistic labour market in the next
three months, according to employers who report a Net Employment Outlook of +9%.
Hiring prospects remain relatively stable both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year.
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
The Mining sector joined the survey in Q2 2002 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
+10 (+9)%
16. 14 Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
Utilities
Employers forecast the weakest labour market since Quarter 3 2013 in the next three months,
reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +6%. Hiring prospects weaken considerably both
quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year, declining by 11 and nine percentage points, respectively.
Transport & Communication
A slight increase in staffing levels is likely in the July-September time frame, according to employers
who report a Net Employment Outlook of +2%. However, the Outlook is the weakest reported
since Quarter 4 2012, declining by two and four percentage points quarter-over-quarter and
year-over-year, respectively.
Reporting a Net Employment Outlook for the coming quarter of -2%, employers in the Transport
sub-sector forecast the weakest hiring pace since Quarter 1 2013. Hiring intentions decline by
10 percentage points quarter-over-quarter and are five percentage points weaker year-over-year.
Employers in the Telecomms sub-sector report cautiously optimistic hiring plans for Quarter 3 2015,
reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +9%. The Outlook is five percentage points stronger
when compared with the previous quarter but declines by five percentage points year-over-year.
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
The Utilities sector joined the survey in Q2 2002 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
+3 (+6)%
0 (+2)%
17. Manpower Employment Outlook Survey 15
13 (13)1
3 (1)1
1 (2)1
%
4 (6)1
20 (23)1
11 (12)1
17 (16)1
39 (37)1
14 (13)1
45 (42)1
15 (9)1
11 (10)1
8 (8)1
5 (4)1
6 (5)1
3 (2)1
1 (2)1
8 (7)1
5 (4)1
5 (1)1
2 (2)1
19 (14)1
-1 (-4)1
4 (5)1
0 (0)1
-2 (0)1
-6 (-2)1
-9 (2)1
-8 (-5)1
2 (-1)1
-2 (-1)1
0 (-1)1
-1 (-2)1
0 (0)1
-1 (-1)1
3 (3)1
-4 (-4)1
6 (6)1
-15 (-15)1
1 (1)1
-12 (-11)1
-6 (-6)1
2 (3)1
16 (10)1
2 (1)1
2 (2)1
10 (14)1
-1 (3)1
-2 (-2)1
13 (13)1
-2 (-2)1
-1 (-1)1
20 (16)1
2 (0)1
2 (2)1
7 (4)1
3 (0)1
4 (4)1
11 (7)1
-3 (-3)1
-2 (-1)1
6 (5)1
-7 (-5)1
-4 (-4)1
6 (8)1
-5 (-2)1
-5 (-5)1
11 (8)1
-1 (0)1
1 (1)1
12 4 7
9 (4)1
0 (-3)1
0 (0)1
14 (7)1
-6 (-2)1
-2 (-2)1
2 (-1)1
-1 (-1)1
0 (0)1
-1 (-1)1
-6 (-3)1
-9 (-4)1
-18 (-13)1
5 (5)1
-1 (2)1
-3 (-4)1
-4 (-4)1
7 (8)1
-3 (-2)1
-2 (-2)1
-10 (-9)1
12 (13)1
-5 (-5)1
-6 (-6)1
†EMEA – Europe, Middle East and Africa.
1. Number in parentheses is the Net Employment Outlook when adjusted to remove the
impact of seasonal variations in hiring activity. Please note that this data is not available
for all countries as a minimum of 17 quarters worth of data is required.
4 (3)1
0 (0)1
4 (4)1
11 0 5
0 (0)1
-1 (-2)1
-5 (-2)1
0 (1)1
2 (1)1
0 (-3)1
-4 (-2)1
-2 (-2)1
3 (2)1
3 (3)1
-1 (-1)1
5 (5)1
12 2 5
-2 (-1)1
0 (0)1
-4 (-4)1
-7 (-7)1
8 (6)1
2 (0)1
-1 (-1)1
4 (4)1
* Indicates unadjusted data.
Quarter 3 2015 Net Employment Outlook
-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
Taiwan
India
Japan
Hong Kong
United States
Costa Rica
Turkey
China
Colombia
Panama
Singapore
Israel
New Zealand
Slovakia
Finland
Bulgaria
Mexico
Canada
Guatemala
Peru
Slovenia
South Africa
Greece
Ireland
Romania
Australia
United Kingdom
Argentina
Germany
Hungary
Czech Republic
France
Norway
Poland
Belgium
Netherlands
Sweden
Switzerland
Austria
Spain
Brazil
Italy
+42%
+37%
+23%
+16%
+16%
+14%
+14%
+13%
+13%
+13%
+13%
+12%*
+12%
+12%*
+11%*
+10%
+10%
+9%
+8%
+8%
+8%
+8%
+7%
+7%
+7%
+6%
+6%
+5%
+5%
+5%
+4%
+4%
+4%
+4%
+2%
+2%
+2%
+2%
+1%
+1%
-3%
-4%
Quarter 3 2015
Qtr on Qtr Change
Q2 2015 to Q3 2015
Yr on Yr Change
Q3 2014 to Q3 2015
Americas
Asia Pacific
Australia
China
Hong Kong
Japan
India
New Zealand
Singapore
Taiwan
EMEA†
Austria
Belgium
Bulgaria
Costa Rica
Colombia
United States
Czech Republic
Greece
Hungary
South Africa
Slovenia
Slovakia
Poland
Romania
Canada
Mexico
Peru
Brazil
Argentina
Guatemala
Panama
France
Germany
Finland
Ireland
Netherlands
Norway
Spain
Turkey
Italy
Switzerland
Sweden
Israel
UK
Global Employment Outlook
18. 16 Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
ManpowerGroup interviewed nearly 59,000 employers
across 42 countries and territories to forecast labour
market activity* in Quarter 3 2015. All participants were
asked, “How do you anticipate total employment at your
location to change in the three months to the end of
September 2015 as compared to the current quarter?”
Third-quarter forecasts are mostly positive with
employers in 40 of 42 countries and territories
expecting to add to their workforces by varying
margins over the next three months. However,
although most forecasts indicate payrolls will grow
in the July-September time frame, the results suggest
hiring will proceed at an uneven pace and overall
hiring momentum will be marginally slower in
comparison to the prior quarter and last year at this
time. Hiring prospects improve in 11 countries and
territories in a quarter-over-quarter comparison, but
decline in 22. Outlooks strengthen in 15 countries and
territories year-over-year, but decline in 23. The most
optimistic Net Employment Outlooks are reported
in Taiwan, India, Japan, Hong Kong and the United
States. The weakest – and only negative – third-quarter
hiring plans are reported in Italy and Brazil.
Employers in nine of 10 countries in the Americas
expect to grow staffing levels in Quarter 3 2015.
But in a pattern echoed elsewhere across the globe,
opportunities for job seekers are expected to be less
abundant in the region than they were three months
ago and last year at this time. Quarter-over-quarter,
Net Employment Outlooks improve in two countries,
decline in six and are unchanged in two. Outlooks
decline in nine countries in a year-over-year
comparison and improve only in the United States.
Employers in the United States report the region’s
strongest hiring plans, while the negative forecast
from Brazil’s employers is the weakest.
Results are similar in the Asia Pacific region. Positive
hiring plans are reported in each of the eight countries
and territories, but are generally softer when compared
to results from the prior quarter and last year. Outlooks
improve in only two countries and territories when
compared with the second quarter, and weaken in six.
Outlooks strengthen in three countries and territories
and weaken in four when compared year-over-year.
Employers in Taiwan and India report the most
optimistic hiring intentions in the region and across
the globe, while the weakest hiring pace in the region
is expected in Australia.
Across the 24 countries in the Europe, Middle East
and Africa (EMEA) region, employers in 23 report
positive third-quarter forecasts. Hiring intentions
strengthen in seven countries when compared
with the April-June time frame, but weaken in 10.
Employers in 11 countries report stronger forecasts
in year-over-year comparisons and weaker hiring
intentions in 10. The strongest hiring pace is again
reported in Turkey where employer optimism remains
upbeat despite the Net Employment Outlook dipping
to its weakest level since the survey launched in
Quarter 1 2011. Italy’s negative forecast is the
weakest across the region and the globe.
Full survey results for each of the 42 countries and
territories included in this quarter’s survey, plus
regional and global comparisons, can be found at
www.manpowergroup.com/meos
The next Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
will be released on 8 September 2015 and will detail
expected labour market activity for the fourth quarter
of 2015.
* Commentary is based on seasonally adjusted data where
available. Data is not seasonally adjusted for Finland, Israel
and Slovakia.
The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is ManpowerGroup’s
quarterly index of employer hiring confidence.
19. Manpower Employment Outlook Survey 17
The Quarter 3 2015 survey included interviews with
more than 20,000 employers in 24 countries in the
Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) region.
Employers in 23 countries plan to add to their payrolls
during the July-September time frame, with forecasts
improving in seven countries in a quarter-over-quarter
comparison and declining in 10. Outlooks improve
in 11 countries year-over-year and decline in 10.
The strongest third-quarter forecasts are reported
in Turkey, Israel and Slovakia. Like the prior quarter,
the weakest – and only negative – forecast is reported
by Italian employers.
The research indicates hiring in Turkey will continue
at a steady pace through the third quarter. More than
one in four employers expect to add to their payrolls
through the end of September, with positive forecasts
reported in all industry sectors and regions. However,
the national Outlook has dipped slightly for two
consecutive quarters, and employer hiring intentions
are actually the weakest reported since the survey
began in Quarter 1 2011.
Employers in the UK were interviewed in the run up
to the spring general election, but still expected hiring
to continue at a modest pace through the end of
summer. Approximately one in every 10 employers
said they plan to add to their payrolls in the coming
quarter with positive Outlooks reported in all industry
sectors and in all regions except Scotland.
In Germany, job prospects are expected to hold firm
in the next three months with a steady hiring pace
expected in the Finance Business Services and
International Comparisons – EMEA
the Transport, Storage Communications sectors.
Manufacturing sector employers are also increasingly
optimistic and their forecast has improved marginally
for the second consecutive quarter.
Growing confidence among Manufacturing sector
employers is also adding strength to France’s
third-quarter forecast. The sector’s Outlook
improves considerably from year-ago levels, with
strong demand for a variety of skilled workers
expected to continue in the aerospace industry.
Hiring intentions in the Nordic countries are positive,
but staff levels are expected to remain mostly intact
with nearly nine in 10 Norwegian and Swedish
employers expecting no changes to their current
payrolls through the July-September period. More
activity is anticipated in Finland where employers
forecast a vigorous hiring pace in the Restaurants
Hotels sector, as well as steady demand in the
Construction and Wholesale Retail Trade sectors.
Job seekers are expected to find some opportunities
in the quarter ahead in Belgium, the Netherlands and
Switzerland, but employers in each country anticipate
a fairly soft labour market through the end of the summer.
Employers in Spain and Greece continue to report
positive hiring plans with Finance Business Services
sector employers reporting the most aggressive hiring
plans in both countries. Italy’s forecast is stronger
than the prior quarter and last year at this time.
But employers appear unable to generate sufficient
confidence to drive hiring, and the forecast remains
negative for the 18th consecutive quarter.
Austria +3 (+1)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
20. 18 Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
Belgium +1 (+2)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Bulgaria +16 (+10)%
Bulgaria joined the survey in Q1 2011 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Czech Republic +7 (+4)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Czech Republic joined the survey in Q2 2008 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Finland +11%
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Finland joined the survey in Q4 2012 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
21. Manpower Employment Outlook Survey 19
France +5 (+4)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Germany +6 (+5)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Greece +11 (+7)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Greece joined the survey in Q2 2008 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Hungary +6 (+5)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Hungary joined the survey in Q3 2009 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
22. 20 Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
Ireland +8 (+7)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Israel +12%
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Israel joined the survey in Q4 2011 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Italy -1 (-4)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Netherlands +3 (+2)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
23. Manpower Employment Outlook Survey 21
Norway +5 (+4)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Poland +9 (+4)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Poland joined the survey in Q2 2008 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Romania +14 (+7)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Romania joined the survey in Q2 2008 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Slovakia +12%
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Slovakia joined the survey in Q4 2011 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
24. 22 Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
Slovenia +11 (+8)%
Slovenia joined the survey in Q1 2011 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
South Africa +6 (+8)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
South Africa joined the survey in Q4 2006 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Spain +5 (+1)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Sweden +2 (+2)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
25. Manpower Employment Outlook Survey 23
Switzerland +1 (+2)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Switzerland joined the survey in Q3 2005 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Turkey +19 (+14)%
Turkey joined the survey in Q1 2011 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
United Kingdom +8 (+6)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
26. 24 Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
Over 23,000 employers from 10 countries throughout
North, Central and South America were interviewed
for the Quarter 3 2015 survey. Employers expect
payrolls to grow by varying margins in all countries
except Brazil. However, hiring momentum is expected
to slow in most in both quarter-over-quarter and
year-over-year comparisons. Outlooks improve
slightly in only Argentina and Costa Rica in
quarter-over-quarter comparisons, and decline in
nine of 10 countries when compared year-over-year.
U.S. employers report the region’s most optimistic
third-quarter hiring plans. The strongest opportunities
for job seekers are expected in the Leisure Hospitality
and Wholesale Retail Trade industry sectors.
However, more than a quarter of employers surveyed
in the Construction, the Professional Business
Services and the Transportation Utilities sectors
also expect to add to payrolls in the next three months.
Mexico’s employers expect the third quarter hiring
climate to remain favourable. But slower job growth
is expected from year-ago levels in all sectors and
regions. Employers may also be putting some hiring
decisions on hold until the impact of recently
implemented labour reforms are better understood.
Canada’s cautiously optimistic Outlook remains
relatively stable when compared to both the prior
quarter and Quarter 3 2014 with the strongest hiring
projections reported by Finance, Insurance Real
Estate and Transportation Public Utilities employers.
Opportunities for job seekers remain positive across
Central America. Costa Rican employers anticipate
the area’s strongest hiring pace, fuelled by upbeat
International Comparisons – Americas
forecasts in the Construction and the Transport
Communication sectors. Steady demand in the
Construction and the Services sectors is also
boosting hiring intentions in Panama. Meanwhile,
the Guatemalan Outlook softens in comparison
to three months ago and last year at this time,
and includes a steep year-over-year decline in
the Construction sector forecast.
In South America job prospects are mixed. Hiring
plans in Brazil have declined for 15 consecutive
quarters, and employer confidence is at its weakest
level since the survey began in Quarter 4 2009.
Employers in six of eight industry sectors and all
five regions also report their least optimistic Outlooks
since the survey was launched.
Elsewhere, job seekers will likely benefit from more
optimistic hiring projections. Argentina’s Outlook
improves slightly, helped by the strongest Manufacturing
sector forecast in two years. Colombian employers
report positive third-quarter hiring intentions in eight
of nine sectors, with active labour markets expected in
the Construction, Public Administration Education,
and Transportation Utilities industry sectors.
However, the Mining sector forecast has now weakened
for three consecutive quarters and stands at its
weakest level since analysis of the sector started
in Quarter 2 2013. Continuing weakness in the Mining
sector is also a factor in Peru where falling mineral
prices continue to erode employer confidence.
Forecasts dip by varying margins in all nine industry
sectors and in seven of eight regions when compared
to last year at this time.
Argentina +5 (+5)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Argentina joined the survey in Q1 2007 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
27. Manpower Employment Outlook Survey 25
Brazil -6 (-3)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Brazil joined the survey in Q4 2009 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Canada +15 (+9)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Colombia +13 (+13)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Colombia joined the survey in Q4 2008 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Costa Rica +10 (+14)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Costa Rica joined the survey in Q3 2006 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
28. 26 Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
Guatemala +7 (+8)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Guatemala joined the survey in Q2 2008 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Mexico +11 (+10)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Panama +12 (+13)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Panama joined the survey in Q2 2010 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Peru +8 (+8)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Peru joined the survey in Q2 2006 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
29. Manpower Employment Outlook Survey 27
+20 (+16)%United States of America
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
30. 28 Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
More than 15,000 employers were interviewed in the
Asia Pacific region, and employers in each of the eight
countries and territories included in the survey indicate
their payrolls will grow by varying degrees in the
July-September time frame. However, in a pattern
seen elsewhere across the globe, hiring intentions
improve in only two countries and territories in a
quarter-over-quarter comparison and in three when
compared to forecasts reported in Quarter 3 2014.
Employers in Taiwan, India and Japan report the
region’s most optimistic hiring plans, while those
in Australia report the weakest.
For the second consecutive quarter, employers in
Taiwan report the most optimistic forecast among
the 42 countries and territories that participate in
the survey. Job seekers can expect demand for their
talent to be vigorous in the months ahead – especially
in the Manufacturing and Services sectors where
one of every two employers surveyed expect to add
to their payrolls in the third quarter.
Even after four consecutive quarters of gradual
decline, India’s third-quarter forecast indicates the
hiring pace will remain brisk with more than four of
every 10 employers expecting to add staff in the
July-September time frame. Prospects are bright for
job seekers in all industry sectors and regions, but
employers continue to be frustrated by a scarcity of
essential skillsets, particularly in their efforts to recruit
for a wide variety of technical and professional roles.
International Comparisons – Asia Pacific
Job seekers in Japan can continue to expect an active
labour market in the months ahead with nearly one in
four employers saying they intend to add staff during
the third quarter. The Outlook is the strongest reported
since Quarter 1 2008 and follows four consecutive
quarters of gradual improvement. Demand for talent
remains solid across most of Japan’s industry sectors
and robust in the Mining Construction sector.
However, with the working age population declining
at more than 1% per year, employers continue to be
challenged by a shrinking labour force.
In the midst of an ongoing transition to a more
services-based economy, employer optimism in
China shows signs of rebounding with forecasts in
all industry sectors and regions improving from three
months ago. The strongest hiring plans are reported
by employers in the Transportation Utilities sector
where forecasts have strengthened for three
consecutive quarters.
The continuing decline of Australia’s Mining
Construction sector is impacting employer confidence
across many sectors. Forecasts remain positive in
all but one industry sector and one region, but decline
by varying margins in six of seven sectors and in five of
eight regions when compared to year-ago forecasts.
The downturn is even more severe in New Zealand
where Outlooks remain positive in all sectors and
regions but drop by considerable margins in
comparison to last year at this time.
Australia +4 (+6)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
31. Manpower Employment Outlook Survey 29
+13 (+13)%China
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
China joined the survey in Q2 2005 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Hong Kong +17 (+16)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
+39 (+37)%India
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
India joined the survey in Q3 2005 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Japan +20 (+23)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
32. 30 Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
New Zealand +11 (+12)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Singapore +14 (+13)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Taiwan +45 (+42)%
Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Taiwan joined the survey in Q2 2005 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero
20062005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
33. Manpower Employment Outlook Survey 31
The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is conducted
quarterly to measure employers’ intentions to increase
or decrease the number of employees in their
workforces during the next quarter. ManpowerGroup’s
comprehensive forecast of employer hiring plans has
been running for more than 50 years and is one of the
most trusted surveys of employment activity in the
world. Various factors underpin the success of the
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey:
Unique: It is unparalleled in its size, scope, longevity
and area of focus.
Projective: The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
is the most extensive, forward-looking employment
survey in the world, asking employers to forecast
employment over the next quarter. In contrast, other
surveys and studies focus on retrospective data to
report on what occurred in the past.
Independent: The survey is conducted with a
representative sample of employers from throughout
the countries and territories in which it is conducted.
The survey participants are not derived from
ManpowerGroup’s customer base.
Robust: The survey is based on interviews with
nearly 59,000 public and private employers across
42 countries and territories to measure anticipated
employment trends each quarter. This sample allows
for analysis to be performed across specific sectors
and regions to provide more detailed information.
Focused: For more than five decades the survey has
derived all of its information from a single question:
For the Quarter 3 2015 research, all employers
participating in the survey worldwide are asked
the same question, “How do you anticipate total
employment at your location to change in the three
months to the end of September 2015 as compared
to the current quarter?”
About the Survey
Methodology
The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is
conducted using a validated methodology, in
accordance with the highest standards in market
research. The survey has been structured to be
representative of each national economy. The margin
of error for all national, regional and global data is not
greater than +/- 3.9%.
In the UK, the national survey includes 2,100 employers.
With this number of interviews, the margin of error for
the UK survey is +/- 2.1%.
Net Employment Outlook
Throughout this report, we use the term “Net
Employment Outlook.” This figure is derived by taking
the percentage of employers anticipating an increase
in hiring activity and subtracting from this the
percentage of employers expecting to see a decrease
in employment at their location in the next quarter.
The result of this calculation is the Net Employment
Outlook. Net Employment Outlooks for countries and
territories that have accumulated at least 17 quarters
of data are reported in a seasonally adjusted format
unless otherwise stated.
Seasonal adjustments have been applied to the data
for all participating countries except Finland, Slovakia
and Israel. ManpowerGroup intends to add seasonal
adjustments to the data for these countries in the
future as more historical data is compiled. Note that in
Quarter 2 2008, ManpowerGroup adopted the
TRAMO-SEATS method of seasonal adjustment
for data.
34. 32 Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
ManpowerGroup™ (NYSE: MAN) has been the world’s
workforce expert, creating innovative workforce
solutions, for more than 65 years. As workforce
experts, we connect more than 600,000 men and
women to meaningful work across a wide range
of skills and industries every day. Through our
ManpowerGroup family of brands – Manpower®,
Experis™, Right Management® and ManpowerGroup™
Solutions – we help more than 400,000 clients in
80 countries and territories address their critical
talent needs, providing comprehensive solutions
to resource, manage and develop talent. In 2015,
ManpowerGroup was named one of the World’s
Most Ethical Companies for the fifth consecutive
year and one of Fortune’s Most Admired Companies,
confirming our position as the most trusted
and admired brand in the industry. See how
ManpowerGroup makes powering the world of
work humanly possible: manpowergroup.com
About ManpowerGroupTM
About Manpower UK
Manpower is the global leader in contingent and
permanent recruitment workforce solutions. It is part
of ManpowerGroup, the world’s workforce expert,
which creates and delivers high-impact solutions that
enable clients to achieve their business goals and
enhance their competitiveness.
With a network of offices in cities across the country,
Manpower has provided organisations in the UK with
a continuum of staffing solutions from the incidental
to the strategic for nearly 60 years, working with
businesses such as BT, IBM, Royal Mail and Xerox
to help them win.
In the Human Age, where talent has replaced access to
capital as the key competitive differentiator, Manpower
UK leverages its trusted brand to develop a deep talent
pool, providing clients with access to the people they
need, fast.
Manpower UK creates powerful connections between
organisations and the talent they need to enhance their
competitiveness and unleash their workforce potential.
By creating these powerful connections, we help
everybody achieve more than they imagined, and
power the world of work.
For more information, see manpower.co.uk