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UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO BOULDER
Measurement Procedures for
Design and Enforcement of Harm Claim Thresholds
Janne Riihijärvi, Petri Mähönen
RWTH Aachen University, Germany
J. Pierre de Vries
Silicon Flatirons Centre, University of Colorado, USA
v. 7
IEEE DySPAN 2017
Overview
• Harm claim thresholds (HCTs) are expressed in terms of
measurable criteria on interference, e.g. in terms of field
strength
• HCTs enable regulators to specify the interference environment
in which a wireless system is expected to operate
• Observations (modeling and/or measurements) play a critical
role for enforcement and initial design of HCTs
• In this work we make a first comprehensive proposal for how
spectrum measurements should be treated for these purposes
2
Harm Claim Thresholds (HCTs) in Brief
• Answer to: “Is there harmful interference, and who
should fix it?”
• Explicit, up-front statement of the interference that
systems need to tolerate before operators can bring a
harmful interference claim
– Engineering proxy for the legal construct “harmful
interference”
• Incorporates receivers into regulation without using
receiver standards
3
HCT in practice
• Make observations
(measurements or modeling)
• Construct confidence interval for the
given confidence level
• Decide whether to declare HCT
violation or not
4
1. 50 dB(μV/m) per MHz
2. Exceeded at ≤ 5% of locations
(95th percentile)
3. At the 95% confidence level
frequency
fieldstrength
Band to be protected
p
Exceedance
percentile
Confidence level
❶
❷
❸
Confidence
interval
C.L.
Design Objectives
• Straightforward to specify at a high level in rules, e.g. a
small number of technology- and service-neutral parameters
• Relatively easy to accommodate new technologies, e.g. by
updating regulatory bulletins not changing rules
• Easy to understand and apply, and in particular should not
require sophisticated knowledge of statistics
– Contain as few parameters as possible
– Based on ex ante stratification distances rather than estimates
derived in the course of a continuous drive test
– Enable simple estimation and planning of measurements
5
Motivation – Pitfalls of Naïve Analysis
• Let’s consider a test drive
in a 10 km x 10 km square
as shown on the right
• Naïve analysis would
take all the 7266 data,
compute the percentile,
and find high statistical
confidence
– C.I. length < 1 dB
• But how reliable are
the obtained conclusions?
6
Motivation – Pitfalls of Naïve Analysis
• The stated statistical confidence is grossly overestimated, caused
by treating all 7266 measurements as independent samples
• However, nearby drive test measurements are always heavily
correlated, significantly reducing the amount of information they
convey about the underlying field strength
• Therefore the “true” number of measurements is much lower
• Further, the measurements are not representative is what an
interfered user would be likely to see, as they are obtained in a
rural highway environment with low population density
• Overall, in our example these effects result in close to 10 dB error
7
Our Proposal
• To remedy these problems we suggest to use two well-
known statistical techniques when analyzing drive test data
• Stratification is used to remove correlated measurement
points, enabling fair estimation of statistical confidence
• Weighting helps to ensure representativeness of
measurements, giving more value to samples collected from
where users are expected to be
• Results in a substantially simpler scheme than state-of-the-
art statistical approaches, at the cost of fewer usable data
8
Revisiting the Drive Test Data
• When applied to the example
data set, stratification reduces
the number of sample to 67
– Details follow
• This is too small number for
the results to have any
statistical confidence
– Formally, the confidence
interval has infinite length
• Weighting also slightly changes
the estimate, but the results are
meaningless in any case
9
Application to a Denser Drive
• When a denser segment of the test
drive is considered, very reasonable
results are obtained
• Stratification results in 260 remaining
samples from a 10 km x 10 km region
• Percentile estimate within 1 dB of ground
truth obtained from 4+ million samples
• Population density used as weights,
resulting in 3 dB increase in
the estimated field strength percentile
10
Implementing Stratification
• In the paper we discuss several
algorithms for implementing
stratification
• Simplest approach is the grid
based one, illustrated on the right
• Here stratification distance defines
the grid length, and just one
measurement per square is used
• We use 500 meters
HCT
violation
56.5
40 60
d strength [ dB(uV/m)/MHz ]
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ed and stratified CCDF from the data set of
Fig. 7. Example of a grid-based method for implementing str
11
Choosing the Stratification Distance, dS
• Selection of dS a crucial
choice
– Too small  spurious
conclusions
– Too large distance 
drives uneconomical
• We use a simple
similarity measure
– Calculate semivariogram γ(r)
for all pairs in bins r ± Δ
– Fit parametric model
– Choose dS ~ how close to
asymptote
• Could be derived run-time
from data; we recommend
fixing in advance
12
Considerations on Weighting
• Population density including working time effects (e.g.
the ORNL LandScan database) seems like the natural
candidate for many wireless services
• However, for services such as aeronautical radars,
emergency and military radios, etc. this should be
replaced with corresponding receiver density estimates
• Again, choice of weighting should be part of the
regulations, and clear for all involved stakeholders
13
Stratification as Prerequisite for Weighting
• Applying weighting becomes
complex if original data are
not uniform in space
• Stratification turns the data
back to roughly uniform,
making weighting easy
• Drive tests often have lots of
samples collected at
intersections, which needs to
be compensated for
14
Trade-Offs in HCT Parameter Choices
• We also studied in detail the
interplay between
– The chosen HCT percentile (p)
– Desired statistical confidence (C.L.)
– Number of measurements
(after stratification)
15
1. 50 dB(μV/m) per MHz
2. Exceeded at ≤ 5% of locations
(95th percentile)
3. At the 95% confidence level
frequency
fieldstrength
Band to be protected
p
Exceedance
percentile
Confidence level
❶
❷
❸
Confidence
interval
C.L.
Trade-Offs in HCT Parameter Choices
• For given n, generated 100 samples
of n measurements; plot one-sided
C.I. length
• HCT percentile
– Assume n=260 measurements
– Increasing HCT percentile from the 90th
or 95th to 99th or higher vastly increases
the amount of data needed for
enforcement
• Number of measurements
– Assume 95th percentile
– 200-300 measurements typically yields
estimates accurate to 5 dB or better
n = 260
16
95th percentile
Determining HCT Thresholds from Measurements
• Key issue is representativeness of measurements: avoid
underweighted regions that under-estimate field strengths
• So: add lowest allowable sum weight as additional criterion for
admissibility of a test drive
– Probably not needed for enforcement as bias is downwards
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55.8 dB(uV/m) per MHz
65.8 dB(uV/m) per MHz
20
40
60
10
2
10
3
10
4
10
5
10
6
Sum of population weights
95thperc.fieldstrength[dB(uV/m)/MHz]
. Illustration on the use of total population weight as criteria when selecting which region to cover when conducting measurements for the initial
d specification.
●
●
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126 (asymptotic value)
100
semivariogram become larger and larger, until saturating at
the overall variance of the data.
Wecan estimate thevalueof γ(r) simply by finding all pairs
(X i , X j ) of measurements where the locations are separated17
Measured 95th
percentile of
field strength
x
Total weights
… for all
distinct 10 km
x 10 km
regions in data
10 dB safety margin
over “ground truth”
What the Regulator Needs to Specify
18
What the Regulator Needs to Specify
• Regulator may wish to separate parameter families
– high-level, unchanging requirements, e.g. broad policy
requirements like field strength, percentile and C.L.
– more detailed and dynamic low-level specifications, e.g.
stratification distances, measurement methodologies
• High-level parameters in regulation
• Low-level parameters in guidance documents
– From regulator (e.g. FCC OET Bulletins, cf. E911)
– Delegated to standards bodies (e.g. ETSI guidance on
implementing EU Radio Equipment Directive)
• Parties could seek waivers, e.g. to reduce stratification
distance when cell densification occurs
19
Summary and Conclusions
• Measurements play a critical role for enforcement of HCTs,
and also for their initial design
• We propose a simple but effective method for processing
measurement data to avoid pitfalls of naïve statistical analysis
• Key ingredients in our approach are stratification and
weighting to ensure fair estimation of statistical confidence
and representativeness of the measurements
• Same method can be applied beyond HCT enforcement, e.g.
for processing of drive test data from cellular networks
20

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Measurement Procedures for Design and Enforcement of Harm Claim Thresholds

  • 1. UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO BOULDER Measurement Procedures for Design and Enforcement of Harm Claim Thresholds Janne Riihijärvi, Petri Mähönen RWTH Aachen University, Germany J. Pierre de Vries Silicon Flatirons Centre, University of Colorado, USA v. 7 IEEE DySPAN 2017
  • 2. Overview • Harm claim thresholds (HCTs) are expressed in terms of measurable criteria on interference, e.g. in terms of field strength • HCTs enable regulators to specify the interference environment in which a wireless system is expected to operate • Observations (modeling and/or measurements) play a critical role for enforcement and initial design of HCTs • In this work we make a first comprehensive proposal for how spectrum measurements should be treated for these purposes 2
  • 3. Harm Claim Thresholds (HCTs) in Brief • Answer to: “Is there harmful interference, and who should fix it?” • Explicit, up-front statement of the interference that systems need to tolerate before operators can bring a harmful interference claim – Engineering proxy for the legal construct “harmful interference” • Incorporates receivers into regulation without using receiver standards 3
  • 4. HCT in practice • Make observations (measurements or modeling) • Construct confidence interval for the given confidence level • Decide whether to declare HCT violation or not 4 1. 50 dB(μV/m) per MHz 2. Exceeded at ≤ 5% of locations (95th percentile) 3. At the 95% confidence level frequency fieldstrength Band to be protected p Exceedance percentile Confidence level ❶ ❷ ❸ Confidence interval C.L.
  • 5. Design Objectives • Straightforward to specify at a high level in rules, e.g. a small number of technology- and service-neutral parameters • Relatively easy to accommodate new technologies, e.g. by updating regulatory bulletins not changing rules • Easy to understand and apply, and in particular should not require sophisticated knowledge of statistics – Contain as few parameters as possible – Based on ex ante stratification distances rather than estimates derived in the course of a continuous drive test – Enable simple estimation and planning of measurements 5
  • 6. Motivation – Pitfalls of Naïve Analysis • Let’s consider a test drive in a 10 km x 10 km square as shown on the right • Naïve analysis would take all the 7266 data, compute the percentile, and find high statistical confidence – C.I. length < 1 dB • But how reliable are the obtained conclusions? 6
  • 7. Motivation – Pitfalls of Naïve Analysis • The stated statistical confidence is grossly overestimated, caused by treating all 7266 measurements as independent samples • However, nearby drive test measurements are always heavily correlated, significantly reducing the amount of information they convey about the underlying field strength • Therefore the “true” number of measurements is much lower • Further, the measurements are not representative is what an interfered user would be likely to see, as they are obtained in a rural highway environment with low population density • Overall, in our example these effects result in close to 10 dB error 7
  • 8. Our Proposal • To remedy these problems we suggest to use two well- known statistical techniques when analyzing drive test data • Stratification is used to remove correlated measurement points, enabling fair estimation of statistical confidence • Weighting helps to ensure representativeness of measurements, giving more value to samples collected from where users are expected to be • Results in a substantially simpler scheme than state-of-the- art statistical approaches, at the cost of fewer usable data 8
  • 9. Revisiting the Drive Test Data • When applied to the example data set, stratification reduces the number of sample to 67 – Details follow • This is too small number for the results to have any statistical confidence – Formally, the confidence interval has infinite length • Weighting also slightly changes the estimate, but the results are meaningless in any case 9
  • 10. Application to a Denser Drive • When a denser segment of the test drive is considered, very reasonable results are obtained • Stratification results in 260 remaining samples from a 10 km x 10 km region • Percentile estimate within 1 dB of ground truth obtained from 4+ million samples • Population density used as weights, resulting in 3 dB increase in the estimated field strength percentile 10
  • 11. Implementing Stratification • In the paper we discuss several algorithms for implementing stratification • Simplest approach is the grid based one, illustrated on the right • Here stratification distance defines the grid length, and just one measurement per square is used • We use 500 meters HCT violation 56.5 40 60 d strength [ dB(uV/m)/MHz ] ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ed and stratified CCDF from the data set of Fig. 7. Example of a grid-based method for implementing str 11
  • 12. Choosing the Stratification Distance, dS • Selection of dS a crucial choice – Too small  spurious conclusions – Too large distance  drives uneconomical • We use a simple similarity measure – Calculate semivariogram γ(r) for all pairs in bins r ± Δ – Fit parametric model – Choose dS ~ how close to asymptote • Could be derived run-time from data; we recommend fixing in advance 12
  • 13. Considerations on Weighting • Population density including working time effects (e.g. the ORNL LandScan database) seems like the natural candidate for many wireless services • However, for services such as aeronautical radars, emergency and military radios, etc. this should be replaced with corresponding receiver density estimates • Again, choice of weighting should be part of the regulations, and clear for all involved stakeholders 13
  • 14. Stratification as Prerequisite for Weighting • Applying weighting becomes complex if original data are not uniform in space • Stratification turns the data back to roughly uniform, making weighting easy • Drive tests often have lots of samples collected at intersections, which needs to be compensated for 14
  • 15. Trade-Offs in HCT Parameter Choices • We also studied in detail the interplay between – The chosen HCT percentile (p) – Desired statistical confidence (C.L.) – Number of measurements (after stratification) 15 1. 50 dB(μV/m) per MHz 2. Exceeded at ≤ 5% of locations (95th percentile) 3. At the 95% confidence level frequency fieldstrength Band to be protected p Exceedance percentile Confidence level ❶ ❷ ❸ Confidence interval C.L.
  • 16. Trade-Offs in HCT Parameter Choices • For given n, generated 100 samples of n measurements; plot one-sided C.I. length • HCT percentile – Assume n=260 measurements – Increasing HCT percentile from the 90th or 95th to 99th or higher vastly increases the amount of data needed for enforcement • Number of measurements – Assume 95th percentile – 200-300 measurements typically yields estimates accurate to 5 dB or better n = 260 16 95th percentile
  • 17. Determining HCT Thresholds from Measurements • Key issue is representativeness of measurements: avoid underweighted regions that under-estimate field strengths • So: add lowest allowable sum weight as additional criterion for admissibility of a test drive – Probably not needed for enforcement as bias is downwards ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● 55.8 dB(uV/m) per MHz 65.8 dB(uV/m) per MHz 20 40 60 10 2 10 3 10 4 10 5 10 6 Sum of population weights 95thperc.fieldstrength[dB(uV/m)/MHz] . Illustration on the use of total population weight as criteria when selecting which region to cover when conducting measurements for the initial d specification. ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● 126 (asymptotic value) 100 semivariogram become larger and larger, until saturating at the overall variance of the data. Wecan estimate thevalueof γ(r) simply by finding all pairs (X i , X j ) of measurements where the locations are separated17 Measured 95th percentile of field strength x Total weights … for all distinct 10 km x 10 km regions in data 10 dB safety margin over “ground truth”
  • 18. What the Regulator Needs to Specify 18
  • 19. What the Regulator Needs to Specify • Regulator may wish to separate parameter families – high-level, unchanging requirements, e.g. broad policy requirements like field strength, percentile and C.L. – more detailed and dynamic low-level specifications, e.g. stratification distances, measurement methodologies • High-level parameters in regulation • Low-level parameters in guidance documents – From regulator (e.g. FCC OET Bulletins, cf. E911) – Delegated to standards bodies (e.g. ETSI guidance on implementing EU Radio Equipment Directive) • Parties could seek waivers, e.g. to reduce stratification distance when cell densification occurs 19
  • 20. Summary and Conclusions • Measurements play a critical role for enforcement of HCTs, and also for their initial design • We propose a simple but effective method for processing measurement data to avoid pitfalls of naïve statistical analysis • Key ingredients in our approach are stratification and weighting to ensure fair estimation of statistical confidence and representativeness of the measurements • Same method can be applied beyond HCT enforcement, e.g. for processing of drive test data from cellular networks 20

Editor's Notes

  1. You‘re out of luck – I‘m not Janne Riihijärvi (lead author, statistician)
  2. Point out the “length” of the depicted one-sided confidence interval (concept needed later) ITU Radio Regulations, RR1-17 (and national regs like 47 C.F.R. 2.1) 1.169 harmful interference: Interference which endangers the functioning of a radionavigation service or of other safety services or seriously degrades, obstructs, or repeatedly interrupts a radiocommunication service operating in accordance with Radio Regulations (CS). Each HCT, for a given allocation, will be a customized combination of signal strength, probability levels, etc. Benefits of HCT Delegates system design decisions from regulators to operators Facilitates negotiated adjustment of interference boundaries
  3. Imagine an operator thinks there’s harmful interference: How do they prove it? Our base set: 4+ million observations over 120 km x 170 km area, major US metro area 2 GHz downlink band, 10 MHz Naive 95th percentile estimate = 46.7 dBu
  4. Ground truth = 53 dBu for 4+ million measurements in 120 km x 170 km area Population-weighted ground truth = 55.8 dBu Error by naive approach = 9.1 dB If such measurements are used to set HCTs, further safety margin is needed, resulting in total at least ~20 dB power budget decrease (microcell vs. Femtocell range)
  5. Efficiency costs: Grid-based approach: Least computational cost but also results in smallest number of usable data We retain one sample per stratification distance. In principle one could extract slightly more "effective samples" per stratification distance using fancy statistical techniques (but these are quite dangerous, with no non-specialist having much of a chance using them correctly) Original design objectives (slide version in backup slides): Straightforward to specify at a high level in rules, e.g. a small number of technology- and service-neutral parameters; implementation details can be promulgated in ancillary publications, e.g. bulletins in the FCC OET Knowledge Database. Relatively easy to accommodate new technologies, e.g. by updating regulatory bulletins not changing rules. Easy to understand and apply, and in particular should not require sophisticated knowledge of statistics. Contain as few parameters as possible. Based on ex ante stratification distances (one of the key parameters in our method, introduced in detail in the following two sections) rather than estimates derived in the course of a continuous drive test. Enable simple estimation and planning of measurements.
  6. “Details follow” refers to stratification distance estimation
  7. 56.5 dBu from this data set vs. 55.8 Population-weighted ground truth Error = 0.7 dB 3 dB increase is due to weighting, that is, the difference between only stratified and stratified + weighted estimate is approximately 3 dB (I think 2.8 dB to be exact).
  8. Purposes of stratification Estimate # of independent measurements Reduce inhomogeneity in data We chose location in each grid cell furthest away from the edge Algorithm choices: Full mathematical optimization to find maximal subset where not two locations closer than dS => takes maximum advantage of data, but has extremely high (exponentially increasing) computational complexity Finding a CSMA transmitting subset through selecting from random transmission start times within dS => still great performance but needs O(n^2) operations (pairwise distance calculation) () Grid-based approach: Least computational cost but also results in smallest number of usable data
  9. SERVICE / DEPLOYMENT DEPENDENT – this is small cell, micro cellular comms Use semivariogram γ(r) for difference between points r apart. Bin width Δ: for all pairs (X, Y) at distance r ± Δ, calculate semivariogram: average of (X - Y)^2 Low values => high similarity, high values => low similarity Fit analytical parametric model Histogram bars are “jumpy” due to estimation variability => here exponential used as standard choice in the literature backed up by measurements Choose a stratification distance (dS) based on how close the semivariance γ(dS) is to the asymptotic saturation value (overall variance of the data set). Choosing a threshold value for (dis)similarity ) and finding the distance High threshold => good results but expensive drives; small threshold => less stratification and higher chance of spurious conclusions 0.5 or 0.95 times the asymptotic value are typical Can in principle be derived run-time from data, but we recommend fixing in regulatory updates as this enables pre-planning of test drives Resulting distance should be pre-agreed to enable test drive planning Recommend rounding slightly up to a “nice” number, in our case e.g. 500m Can be more reliably estimated using propagation simulations as other HCT parameters
  10. Oak Ridge National Laboratory = ORNL
  11. Estimation approach: Take repeatedly given number of samples from the entire data set, and estimate the percentile and the one-sided CI length Top figure distribution of the achieved CI lengths for different percentiles, case assuming n = 260 measurement locations n = 260 corresponds to the “good” example test drive set after stratification Stratified and weighted, taken over the entire area covered by the drive test  the CI lengths increase rapidly as higher percentiles are estimated Bottom figure Relationship between n and obtained confidence interval for the overall data set, again for 95th percentile with one-sided confidence intervals computed at the alpha = 0.05 level. For each n: generated 100 samples of n measurements each; computed the associated confidence interval lengths distributions shown as the box and whiskers  diminishing returns from collecting more data
  12. Scatterplot of total weights and the measured 95th percentile of field strength for all the distinct 10 km x 10 km regions in our data (~200 of them) -- weighted + stratified. low total weights: the measurements are highly varying, with downward bias higher aggregate weights: the measured values agree well with each other Total weight = sum of the weights of all the measurement locations after stratification that can be collected from the region Important choice: Too low  outlaw existing, or viable future, deployments Too high  insufficient protection, harm to protected service
  13. E911 approach General rules for accuracy and reliability requirements in 47 CFR Section 20.18(h) and (j) of the Commission’s Rules e.g. for handset-based technologies, “50 meters for 67 percent of calls, and 150 meters for 80 percent of calls, on a per-county or per-PSAP basis” Detailed guidelines for testing and verifying the accuracy of wireless E911 location in OET Bulletin No. 71 which gives general principles, measurement conventions, and a statistical approach for demonstrating compliance for empirical testing. The EU RE-D (Radio Equipment Directive) on receivers -- Article 3 3.1(b) “1. Radio equipment shall be constructed so as to ensure: (a) …; (b) an adequate level of electromagnetic compatibility as set out in Directive 2014/30/EU.” 3.2 “Radio equipment shall be so constructed that it both effectively uses and supports the efficient use of radio spectrum in order to avoid harmful interference.” ETSI EG 203 336 V1.1.1 2015-08 - EM compatibility “Guide for selection of technical parameters for the production of Harmonised Standards …”
  14. Goldilocks method: between naive analysis and inscrutable sophistication