Evolve!The future of Strategic Media AnalysisM-Brain Business Intelligence SeminarMark Linder7 October 2010, Helsinki
This is a pivotal time for the strategic analyst of mediaStrategic analysis can move to a proactive roleThis role can put the analyst at the centre of strategy and decision-supportNew tools and more creative methods are available – and necessary
Today...Context-settingThe new monitoring paradigmExamples Discussion
What is the purpose of online research and analysis, anyway?
The capability at your fingertips is changingYesterdayUnderstand what tier I and trade media is saying, reactivelyTodayUnderstand what all media is saying, proactivelyAnalyze threats, sources, and rising topicsTrack what real people think, and who is influencing them
Strategic media analysis is not only about what the media is saying... It is not only about what real people think about your chosen topic, entity, brand...
...It is also what people are saying about what others thinkabout that topic
The world has fundamentally changed
Two big changes – only twoEverything else is a variation
There are no more majoritiesWe are in the age of the coalition
Western society has gone from 	deference 	to 	reference
	"The price we pay for the growth in egalitarianism offered by the Internet is the decentralized access to unedited stories. In this medium, contributions by intellectuals lose their power to create a focus.“			-- JuegenHabermas, 		quoted by Andrew Keen, 		“The Cult of the Amateur”
We live in the age of instant
“Never underestimate the importance of fast.”-- Eric Schmidt*
Journalists are adapting
“For the journalist, the deadline – any deadline – is a luxury”-- Andrew Lyons
Wikipedia “copy/paste” journalism....What’s out there... Grab it... Amend it...Push it outJournalists are, in a way, re-tweeting....
Implications for us
Topic and theme analysisWhat are the trending topics, and main themes being discussed?
Topic and theme analysismust include Influence MappingAre sites cross-referencing each other?Which sites/voices are the most influential?What are they saying?How does this change over time?
Social Media AnalysisWhich media should you be analysing?Should it be the most influential? The most authoritative?The 'Buzziest'?What media classifications are the most useful for your needs?Which analytics are meaningful to you?
Story moves....
What does this mean for us?
1.	Going broader, not just deeper
“Tier I” media is a reflection, a magnifier – need more
You have always gone deeper-- “trade” press has always been where media gets its intelligence
But now, you have to go broader...
The new “Tier I”YesterdayTier I -- NY Times, BBC, CNN, Guardian, etcThe supporting trade mediaTodayTier I -- NY Times, BBC, CNN, Guardian, etcSupporting trade mediaAnd, the big 5And, the relevant blogs
Going broader -- the big fiveTwitterYouTubeLinked-InFlickrFacebook30M tweets/day200K clips/day50M users4B photos540M active users
Topic and Theme AnalysisBP oil spillSocial media activity here was most stimulated by images of the spill… not by stories about the politics or environmental impact……celebrity engagement also stimulates social media reactions!
Pictures, not words -- BP oil spill
Tracking the opponents – BP oil spill18,000 followers @BP_America	With sunny skies, lower temps, clean beaches, Fall is a great time to visit Gulf Shores & Orange Beach190,000 followers @BPGlobalPRReports of 79% of the oil remaining in the Gulf are false according to the pie chart we made ourselves
Tracking the semantics -- HomeSunHomeSun is a solar generation company that funds the homeowner investmentSemantic analysis shows that the launch was treated as a renewable energy economy story, not a “solar” story
Assessing strategic themesUganda Analysis – public issuesEthnic and Religious TensionsAssessed Strategic ImportanceConflict and violenceTortureContracep-tionUnemploymentRefugees and IDPsLack of EducationKidnapAgricultureTerritorial DisputesHIV/AIDsPovertyEconomic InstabilityOilInter-national AidHousingHigh Infant Mortality RatesCorruptionRestriction of political freedomWater Manage-mentShort Life ExpectancyDiseaseKey:Size of circle = Assessed level of public interestColour of circle = Assessed strategic importanceOverlap = Interrelated issuesHIGH                                                                                LOW
The digital discovery toolboxMediaBlogs & ForumsSocial MediaWebsitesSearch
2.	Tracking the dynamics, 	not just the story
For example, search is a dynamicGoogle has the best indexGoogle makes available good toolsAlertsTrends, trends for websitesInsights for search
Insights for search – N8 news
Contrast with N8 web – different geography
An example where the dynamic IS the story
3.	Influence mapping
Influence MappingLondon Fields ShootingIn influential online media this turned out to be as much (or more) a political story as a policing story
Influence MappingLondon Fields ShootingMayor of HackneyChief SuperintendentDetective SergeantPolice are very much part of the story!
SummaryJournalism is a free-flowing copy/paste river, where words, video, pictures play an interrelated roleStrategic analysis goes beyond words, and beyond Tier ITopic analysis requires a look at rising trendsMust be married to dynamics to see what’s behind the storyYour product is insight
Discussion
CreditsAndrew Lyons (perspectives on journalism)Darrell Berry (influence maps and topic analysis, BP, Metropolitan Police)James Thomlinson (digital discovery toolbox)Nicholine Hayward (domestic violence example)Olton (Uganda strategic themes)Tim Bell (perspectives on change)
Thank youMark Linder, Bell-Pottinger Sans Frontièresmlinder@bell-pottinger.co.uk

M-Brain business intelligence seminar Oct 7 2010 final

  • 1.
    Evolve!The future ofStrategic Media AnalysisM-Brain Business Intelligence SeminarMark Linder7 October 2010, Helsinki
  • 2.
    This is apivotal time for the strategic analyst of mediaStrategic analysis can move to a proactive roleThis role can put the analyst at the centre of strategy and decision-supportNew tools and more creative methods are available – and necessary
  • 3.
  • 4.
    What is thepurpose of online research and analysis, anyway?
  • 5.
    The capability atyour fingertips is changingYesterdayUnderstand what tier I and trade media is saying, reactivelyTodayUnderstand what all media is saying, proactivelyAnalyze threats, sources, and rising topicsTrack what real people think, and who is influencing them
  • 6.
    Strategic media analysisis not only about what the media is saying... It is not only about what real people think about your chosen topic, entity, brand...
  • 7.
    ...It is alsowhat people are saying about what others thinkabout that topic
  • 8.
    The world hasfundamentally changed
  • 9.
    Two big changes– only twoEverything else is a variation
  • 10.
    There are nomore majoritiesWe are in the age of the coalition
  • 11.
    Western society hasgone from deference to reference
  • 12.
    "The price wepay for the growth in egalitarianism offered by the Internet is the decentralized access to unedited stories. In this medium, contributions by intellectuals lose their power to create a focus.“ -- JuegenHabermas, quoted by Andrew Keen, “The Cult of the Amateur”
  • 13.
    We live inthe age of instant
  • 15.
    “Never underestimate theimportance of fast.”-- Eric Schmidt*
  • 16.
  • 17.
    “For the journalist,the deadline – any deadline – is a luxury”-- Andrew Lyons
  • 18.
    Wikipedia “copy/paste” journalism....What’sout there... Grab it... Amend it...Push it outJournalists are, in a way, re-tweeting....
  • 19.
  • 20.
    Topic and themeanalysisWhat are the trending topics, and main themes being discussed?
  • 21.
    Topic and themeanalysismust include Influence MappingAre sites cross-referencing each other?Which sites/voices are the most influential?What are they saying?How does this change over time?
  • 22.
    Social Media AnalysisWhichmedia should you be analysing?Should it be the most influential? The most authoritative?The 'Buzziest'?What media classifications are the most useful for your needs?Which analytics are meaningful to you?
  • 23.
  • 29.
    What does thismean for us?
  • 30.
  • 31.
    “Tier I” mediais a reflection, a magnifier – need more
  • 32.
    You have alwaysgone deeper-- “trade” press has always been where media gets its intelligence
  • 33.
    But now, youhave to go broader...
  • 34.
    The new “TierI”YesterdayTier I -- NY Times, BBC, CNN, Guardian, etcThe supporting trade mediaTodayTier I -- NY Times, BBC, CNN, Guardian, etcSupporting trade mediaAnd, the big 5And, the relevant blogs
  • 35.
    Going broader --the big fiveTwitterYouTubeLinked-InFlickrFacebook30M tweets/day200K clips/day50M users4B photos540M active users
  • 36.
    Topic and ThemeAnalysisBP oil spillSocial media activity here was most stimulated by images of the spill… not by stories about the politics or environmental impact……celebrity engagement also stimulates social media reactions!
  • 37.
    Pictures, not words-- BP oil spill
  • 38.
    Tracking the opponents– BP oil spill18,000 followers @BP_America With sunny skies, lower temps, clean beaches, Fall is a great time to visit Gulf Shores & Orange Beach190,000 followers @BPGlobalPRReports of 79% of the oil remaining in the Gulf are false according to the pie chart we made ourselves
  • 39.
    Tracking the semantics-- HomeSunHomeSun is a solar generation company that funds the homeowner investmentSemantic analysis shows that the launch was treated as a renewable energy economy story, not a “solar” story
  • 40.
    Assessing strategic themesUgandaAnalysis – public issuesEthnic and Religious TensionsAssessed Strategic ImportanceConflict and violenceTortureContracep-tionUnemploymentRefugees and IDPsLack of EducationKidnapAgricultureTerritorial DisputesHIV/AIDsPovertyEconomic InstabilityOilInter-national AidHousingHigh Infant Mortality RatesCorruptionRestriction of political freedomWater Manage-mentShort Life ExpectancyDiseaseKey:Size of circle = Assessed level of public interestColour of circle = Assessed strategic importanceOverlap = Interrelated issuesHIGH LOW
  • 41.
    The digital discoverytoolboxMediaBlogs & ForumsSocial MediaWebsitesSearch
  • 42.
    2. Tracking the dynamics, not just the story
  • 43.
    For example, searchis a dynamicGoogle has the best indexGoogle makes available good toolsAlertsTrends, trends for websitesInsights for search
  • 44.
  • 46.
    Contrast with N8web – different geography
  • 47.
    An example wherethe dynamic IS the story
  • 50.
  • 51.
    Influence MappingLondon FieldsShootingIn influential online media this turned out to be as much (or more) a political story as a policing story
  • 52.
    Influence MappingLondon FieldsShootingMayor of HackneyChief SuperintendentDetective SergeantPolice are very much part of the story!
  • 53.
    SummaryJournalism is afree-flowing copy/paste river, where words, video, pictures play an interrelated roleStrategic analysis goes beyond words, and beyond Tier ITopic analysis requires a look at rising trendsMust be married to dynamics to see what’s behind the storyYour product is insight
  • 54.
  • 55.
    CreditsAndrew Lyons (perspectiveson journalism)Darrell Berry (influence maps and topic analysis, BP, Metropolitan Police)James Thomlinson (digital discovery toolbox)Nicholine Hayward (domestic violence example)Olton (Uganda strategic themes)Tim Bell (perspectives on change)
  • 56.
    Thank youMark Linder,Bell-Pottinger Sans Frontièresmlinder@bell-pottinger.co.uk

Editor's Notes

  • #41 NB: Please refer to Olton’s written reports for analysis of how alcohol is related to each of these strategic issues.This second slide provides a traffic-light grading system to demonstrate how important these issues are strategically in terms of Uganda’s future development and international standing (red = highly important, green = relatively lower importance).