This document introduces a new Supply Chain Index that aims to determine which supply chain metrics correlate most strongly with financial market valuations, as measured by market capitalization, across different industries. It describes 18 months of research analyzing correlations between supply chain financial ratios and market cap data for various industries. Key findings include that the metrics that matter most vary significantly by industry, and that some industries like household/personal products have clear supply chain leaders while others do not. The report aims to help supply chain leaders understand which metrics have the greatest impact on improving shareholder value for their specific industry.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on Chemical, and Oil & Gas Companie...Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
Chemical supply chains serve global markets and multiple industries at varying levels of maturity. Over the last decade, no company stands out as a leader. The industry is stuck unable to make significant improvement on margin, inventory and asset utilization. The facts run counter to traditional beliefs. In most companies, there is a pervasive belief that Chemical and Oil and Gas companies implemented new technologies, and evolved processes to drive improved balance sheet results. As will be shown in this report, this is not true.
Why did this happen? The focus of the chemical companies remains functional and inside-out. The industry is slow to build adaptive networks and even slower to adopt demand-driven processes. This is in sharp contrast to an industry like consumer electronics where the thrusts and changes were swift and direct. To survive, these companies adopted new processes and technologies at a quicker rate than those in the Chemical, and Oil and Gas industries.
BASF wins the Supply Chains to Admire award while Statoil becomes a finalist. To help the industry to understand the current state and benchmark current processes, here we share insights.
The Race for Growth
The chemical industry experienced a post-recessionary boom with growth rates of 11% in the period of 2010-2012. In the recent three years, the growth rate has slowed to -1%. These recent growth rates were greatly affected by the boon and slowing of the Chinese markets and by the ups and down in crude. Over the period, AgroSciences and Specialty chemicals experienced the highest growth rates of the sector.
With the dramatic impact of the economy of growth and industry sector performance, one would think that the supply chain leaders of this sector would be aggressively pursuing market-driven supply chain practices to forecast based on market indicators and translate channel demand to supply. This is not the case. These processes remain very supply-centered with no chemical company driving market-driven programs.
Supply Chain Index: Evaluating the Consumer Value Network -24 JUN 2014Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
Supply chain management is a balancing act. It requires alignment. This is easier said than done. The terms lack definition. What is balance? How can companies judge alignment? What defines improvement? In this series of reports, we want to help.
Day by day leaders are forced to make decisions on priorities and trade-offs like growth, profitability, cycle, and complexity. The supply chain leader is charged with improving the potential of an organization at the intersection of operating margins, inventory turns and case-fill rate1. But are the choices that are made conscious or unconscious? This is a strong factor in determining supply chain excellence. It is our hope that through this series of reports the choices can be made consciously, based on an improved knowledge of what is possible.
In our research, we find that laggards are held hostage and struggle to balance disparate demands with the threat of throwing the supply chain out of alignment. Success requires a nuanced approach using a portfolio of carefully selected metrics to ensure success.
While supply chain excellence does not make a company, it is hard for a company to succeed without it. While the discrete industries are more focused on cycles, the consumer value network is more focused on the optimization of flows.
Progress on the Supply Chain Index
The Supply Chain Index is a new methodology to measure corporate performance on the Supply Chain Effective Frontier. It was defined by the Supply Chain Insights team based on 30 months of research.
We find that supply chain practitioners struggle to manage conflicting priorities. To visualize this, we built the Effective Frontier Model. As shown in Figure 2, the Effective Frontier visualizes the competing priorities of every supply chain leader. Growth and profitability should be maximized, cycle time should be reduced, and complexity should be managed. However, an overweighed focus on any one of the four categories can wreak havoc on the operations of a supply chain. A focus on a singular metric can throw the supply chain out of balance.
The Supply Chain Index is designed to measure progress on balance, and metrics alignment. To build the Index, we chose the metrics of year-over-year growth, return on invested capital (ROIC), operating margin and inventory turns.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter - A Focus on Chemical Companies - 28 May 2015Lora Cecere
The basis of this report is publicly available information from corporate annual reports from the period of 2006-2014 for publicly-owned companies in the chemical industry. The methodology to understand supply chain performance and improvement is based on three years of data mining of supply chain financial ratios. In Table 1, we share the supply chain ratios we analyzed to understand the trends in the Supply Chain Metrics That Matter report series
Table 1. Financial Ratios Considered in the Development of the Supply Chain Index
While there are other measurements which we believe are important in the determination of supply chain excellence—forecast accuracy, case fill rate, carbon footprint, and inventory write-offs—we cannot find a reliable and consistent source of data for these metrics that covers all industries and the years studied. While these metrics are valuable, we find that the industry data sources are spotty and largely inaccurate due to the self-reporting of data. Without a consistent data source across the industries, we cannot include these factors even though we believe that they are important.
The Supply Chain Index methodology was built on the belief that the supply chain is a complex system with increasing complexity. We believe it is the supply chain leader’s role to build and manage supply chain performance to drive year-over-year improvements which are balanced, strong and resilient. We find that most companies throw the system out of balance and are able to drive progress only on a single metric, not a metrics portfolio. To illustrate this point, in the development of the Supply Chains to Admire Report, we studied public manufacturing and retail companies for the period of 2006-2013, and we found that only 21 of the companies in the study group performed better than their peer group on the portfolio of metrics of operating margin, inventory turns and Return on Invested Capital (ROIC).
In our review of the data in this report with supply chain leaders, we found that most companies are not aware of how they rate relative to their peer group, and many have driven a singular metric as opposed to a balanced portfolio.
In the management of the supply chain, there are many metrics. In fact, we find that most supply chain leaders measure too many, which drives confusion. Our first goal in the research was to determine which metrics should be tracked in the portfolio analysis. To understand the relationship between supply chain performance and market capitalization, we calculated the correlation of seven years of financial ratios (based on quarterly reporting) to market capitalization (the number of outstanding shares multiplied by the share price) on a quarterly basis. The results of this study on the correlation to market capitalization are presented in Table 2. Our goal was to select a portfolio of metrics that could be meaningful to all industries.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on Food and Beverage Companies - 2015Lora Cecere
Executive Summary: Current State of Food and Beverage Industries
Over the last decade, consumer confidence in the food and beverage industry supply chains has waned. Shopper distrust is high; and as a result, growth in many categories like carbonated beverages and cereals declined.
While these two industries have similarities, there are different underlying dynamics in business drivers. The potential of the food supply chain is different than that of beverage. As a result, in this report, we share information on the two industries separately.
For both industries, the last decade was a tough market. Despite attempts to stimulate demand through trade programs, new product launch, and product expansion into new continents, growth declined. In 2003-2006, growth in the food industry was 7% while in 2011-2014, year-over growth was 4%. In parallel, in 2003-2006, growth in the beverage industry was 22%; yet, in 2011-2014, it was 7%. As growth declined, supply chain maturity mattered more than ever. Most companies were not equal to the challenge.
Traditional marketing tactics are not as effective in these two industries as they were a decade ago. To try to stimulate growth, 33% new items were introduced into the retail chain from these two industries. This rise in complexity reduced the effectiveness of the supply chain at a time of declining volumes. In Table 4, we profile the results in the food industry, while in Table 5 we portray the trends in the beverage industry.
In both industries, operating margin declined despite improved productivity in revenue per employee. In parallel, despite multiple investments in technologies, inventory turns declined in the food industry. Companies were unable to balance metrics in times of declining volumes. The reason? Rising commodity costs and the slow development of supply chain skills.
Companies that did the best in driving improvement in key metrics in times of declining volumes have seven characteristics: core competency in network design; strong capabilities in transportation management; a focus on inventory management; use of more advanced forms of supply chain planning; balance and understanding of the trade-offs of volume, price and mix; use of channel data; and continuity of leadership.
Table 4. Progress on the Effective Frontier for Food Companies
Table 5. Progress on the Effective Frontier for Beverage Companies
When we compiled the Supply Chains to Admire Report in August 2014, two food and beverage companies—General Mills and ABInBev—made the list. To make the list, a company had to deliver performance (posting above-average results for the period of 2009-2013 when compared to their peer group on a portfolio of metrics including operating margin, inventory turns and Return on Invested Capital). They also had to drive supply chain improvement (based on the Supply Chain Index as defined in the Research Methodology section) faster than their peer group. We believe b
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on Apparel - 9 May 2013Lora Cecere
Different industries are making progress on supply chain excellence at different rates. In the writing of the Supply Chain Metrics That Matter series of reports, we see that the consumer electronics industry is one of the only sectors making consistent and sustainable progress in balancing growth, profitability, cycles and complexity. We also see that many other industries—chemical, consumer products, pharmaceutical and medical device—are stuck on a horizontal plateau. They are treading water with no company able to move forward. In contrast, we see that the apparel industry is trending backwards.
When we analyze progress in the apparel industry over the last decade, we see a degradation of results on the Supply Chain Effective Frontier: days of inventory are flat or increasing and three of the six companies show flat or decreasing performance on operating margin. This is the sharpest reversal in progress on supply chain excellence that we have seen in the Supply Chain Metrics That Matter series (for a complete series listing see the Appendix).
Figure 1 illustrates the intersection of inventory turns and revenue per employee over the preceding decade. Ideally, companies would be moving consistently from the lower left to the upper right as they increased both inventory turns and revenue per employee performance. Instead, we see inconsistency, a lack of resiliency and stagnancy across the industry.
The Supply Chain Index - Improving Strength, Balance and Resiliency - 13 MAY ...Lora Cecere
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter is a series of monthly reports published by Supply Chain Insights LLC. These reports are a deep focus on a specific industry. This was preparatory work to understand the patterns of supply chain ratios for supply chain leaders.
As shown in Figure 1, the Supply Chain Insights team analyzed 15 different industries with deep dives on their progress on the cash-to-cash cycle.
Figure 1. Supply Chain Metrics That Matter Reports Published in 2012-2014
Here we take a next step, and launch the Supply Chain Index. The Supply Chain Index is a mathematical formula that a supply chain leader can use to measure their relative performance to an industry peer group. It was built in cooperation with the Operations Research team at Arizona State University (ASU).
This methodology was designed to measure the balance, strength and resiliency of a company’s supply chain from an objective financial perspective. It is a measurement of supply chain improvement during the period of 2006-2012. In April 2014, we published an in-depth look at the resiliency metric: Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: Improving Supply Chain Resiliency. In this report, adding strength and balance, we examine the calculation of these three values in tandem.
The supply chain is a complex system with increasing complexity. Here we analyze how companies made trade-offs over a period of several years in balancing growth, profitability, cycles, and complexity. Many of the trade-offs were unconscious. As complexity rose, it became more difficult for companies to manage the intersection of growth and inventory turns. For leaders, as you will see in this report, the trade-offs were conscious.
Within the world of Supply Chain Management (SCM), each industry is unique. We believe that it is dangerous to list all industries in a spreadsheet and declare a supply chain leader. Instead, we believe that change needs to be measured over a number of years with a focus on an industry peer group. Here we define, and demonstrate, how the Supply Chain Index can be used to measure supply chain performance. To help the reader, we share insights on three industries—chemical, consumer packaged goods and pharmaceutical—using the methodology.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on Pharmaceutical Companies - 2016Lora Cecere
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on Pharmaceutical Companies – 2016
2006-2015
This report is based on analysis of financial balance sheet data and income statements for the pharmaceutical industry over the period of 2006-2015. (Data is sourced from YCharts). The report reflects insights from the pre- and post-recession periods and compares the progress of companies within the peer group(s).
RESEARCH OVERVIEW:
Report Details: This report is based on analysis of financial balance sheet and income statement data within the pharmaceutical industry, for the period of 2006-2015. The data is collected from YCharts.
Objective: To use financial balance sheet and income statement data to better understand the state of pharmaceutical supply chains and to determine which Pharmaceutical company’s supply chain did the best on the delivery of a portfolio of metrics over the last decade.
Hypothesis: The supply chain within the pharmaceutical industry is increasing in importance to deliver on the objectives of quality, drug efficacy and reliability. Risk mitigation, and counterfeiting are important cornerstones for the end-to-end supply chain vision.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: Driving Reliability in Margins - 6 JAN 2013Lora Cecere
Supply chain management practices are thirty years old. Over the last decade, companies have invested in technology projects to improve financial outcomes (Technology investments over this period have averaged 1.7% of revenue). The ultimate goal was to reduce costs and improve inventory management. While many supply chain leaders believe that they delivered on these metrics, we find a less persuasive story. Through analysis of publically available balance sheet and income statement data, we find that 75% of companies in process industries lost ground on margins and only 5% of companies improved their positions on the number of days of inventory. The goal of this report is to answer the question “Why?” (For more on inventory and the Cash-to-Cash Cycle, see Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: The Cash-to-Cash Cycle.)
To begin our analysis, we wanted to understand the general trends. In table 1, we share the differences in average values for the companies profiled in this report by industry for the period of 2000-2011. In general, we see a decline in operating margins (OM). There is an increase in selling, general & administrative Costs (SG&A) and revenue per employee performance. The industries have mixed results on return on assets (ROA).
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on Chemical, and Oil & Gas Companie...Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
Chemical supply chains serve global markets and multiple industries at varying levels of maturity. Over the last decade, no company stands out as a leader. The industry is stuck unable to make significant improvement on margin, inventory and asset utilization. The facts run counter to traditional beliefs. In most companies, there is a pervasive belief that Chemical and Oil and Gas companies implemented new technologies, and evolved processes to drive improved balance sheet results. As will be shown in this report, this is not true.
Why did this happen? The focus of the chemical companies remains functional and inside-out. The industry is slow to build adaptive networks and even slower to adopt demand-driven processes. This is in sharp contrast to an industry like consumer electronics where the thrusts and changes were swift and direct. To survive, these companies adopted new processes and technologies at a quicker rate than those in the Chemical, and Oil and Gas industries.
BASF wins the Supply Chains to Admire award while Statoil becomes a finalist. To help the industry to understand the current state and benchmark current processes, here we share insights.
The Race for Growth
The chemical industry experienced a post-recessionary boom with growth rates of 11% in the period of 2010-2012. In the recent three years, the growth rate has slowed to -1%. These recent growth rates were greatly affected by the boon and slowing of the Chinese markets and by the ups and down in crude. Over the period, AgroSciences and Specialty chemicals experienced the highest growth rates of the sector.
With the dramatic impact of the economy of growth and industry sector performance, one would think that the supply chain leaders of this sector would be aggressively pursuing market-driven supply chain practices to forecast based on market indicators and translate channel demand to supply. This is not the case. These processes remain very supply-centered with no chemical company driving market-driven programs.
Supply Chain Index: Evaluating the Consumer Value Network -24 JUN 2014Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
Supply chain management is a balancing act. It requires alignment. This is easier said than done. The terms lack definition. What is balance? How can companies judge alignment? What defines improvement? In this series of reports, we want to help.
Day by day leaders are forced to make decisions on priorities and trade-offs like growth, profitability, cycle, and complexity. The supply chain leader is charged with improving the potential of an organization at the intersection of operating margins, inventory turns and case-fill rate1. But are the choices that are made conscious or unconscious? This is a strong factor in determining supply chain excellence. It is our hope that through this series of reports the choices can be made consciously, based on an improved knowledge of what is possible.
In our research, we find that laggards are held hostage and struggle to balance disparate demands with the threat of throwing the supply chain out of alignment. Success requires a nuanced approach using a portfolio of carefully selected metrics to ensure success.
While supply chain excellence does not make a company, it is hard for a company to succeed without it. While the discrete industries are more focused on cycles, the consumer value network is more focused on the optimization of flows.
Progress on the Supply Chain Index
The Supply Chain Index is a new methodology to measure corporate performance on the Supply Chain Effective Frontier. It was defined by the Supply Chain Insights team based on 30 months of research.
We find that supply chain practitioners struggle to manage conflicting priorities. To visualize this, we built the Effective Frontier Model. As shown in Figure 2, the Effective Frontier visualizes the competing priorities of every supply chain leader. Growth and profitability should be maximized, cycle time should be reduced, and complexity should be managed. However, an overweighed focus on any one of the four categories can wreak havoc on the operations of a supply chain. A focus on a singular metric can throw the supply chain out of balance.
The Supply Chain Index is designed to measure progress on balance, and metrics alignment. To build the Index, we chose the metrics of year-over-year growth, return on invested capital (ROIC), operating margin and inventory turns.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter - A Focus on Chemical Companies - 28 May 2015Lora Cecere
The basis of this report is publicly available information from corporate annual reports from the period of 2006-2014 for publicly-owned companies in the chemical industry. The methodology to understand supply chain performance and improvement is based on three years of data mining of supply chain financial ratios. In Table 1, we share the supply chain ratios we analyzed to understand the trends in the Supply Chain Metrics That Matter report series
Table 1. Financial Ratios Considered in the Development of the Supply Chain Index
While there are other measurements which we believe are important in the determination of supply chain excellence—forecast accuracy, case fill rate, carbon footprint, and inventory write-offs—we cannot find a reliable and consistent source of data for these metrics that covers all industries and the years studied. While these metrics are valuable, we find that the industry data sources are spotty and largely inaccurate due to the self-reporting of data. Without a consistent data source across the industries, we cannot include these factors even though we believe that they are important.
The Supply Chain Index methodology was built on the belief that the supply chain is a complex system with increasing complexity. We believe it is the supply chain leader’s role to build and manage supply chain performance to drive year-over-year improvements which are balanced, strong and resilient. We find that most companies throw the system out of balance and are able to drive progress only on a single metric, not a metrics portfolio. To illustrate this point, in the development of the Supply Chains to Admire Report, we studied public manufacturing and retail companies for the period of 2006-2013, and we found that only 21 of the companies in the study group performed better than their peer group on the portfolio of metrics of operating margin, inventory turns and Return on Invested Capital (ROIC).
In our review of the data in this report with supply chain leaders, we found that most companies are not aware of how they rate relative to their peer group, and many have driven a singular metric as opposed to a balanced portfolio.
In the management of the supply chain, there are many metrics. In fact, we find that most supply chain leaders measure too many, which drives confusion. Our first goal in the research was to determine which metrics should be tracked in the portfolio analysis. To understand the relationship between supply chain performance and market capitalization, we calculated the correlation of seven years of financial ratios (based on quarterly reporting) to market capitalization (the number of outstanding shares multiplied by the share price) on a quarterly basis. The results of this study on the correlation to market capitalization are presented in Table 2. Our goal was to select a portfolio of metrics that could be meaningful to all industries.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on Food and Beverage Companies - 2015Lora Cecere
Executive Summary: Current State of Food and Beverage Industries
Over the last decade, consumer confidence in the food and beverage industry supply chains has waned. Shopper distrust is high; and as a result, growth in many categories like carbonated beverages and cereals declined.
While these two industries have similarities, there are different underlying dynamics in business drivers. The potential of the food supply chain is different than that of beverage. As a result, in this report, we share information on the two industries separately.
For both industries, the last decade was a tough market. Despite attempts to stimulate demand through trade programs, new product launch, and product expansion into new continents, growth declined. In 2003-2006, growth in the food industry was 7% while in 2011-2014, year-over growth was 4%. In parallel, in 2003-2006, growth in the beverage industry was 22%; yet, in 2011-2014, it was 7%. As growth declined, supply chain maturity mattered more than ever. Most companies were not equal to the challenge.
Traditional marketing tactics are not as effective in these two industries as they were a decade ago. To try to stimulate growth, 33% new items were introduced into the retail chain from these two industries. This rise in complexity reduced the effectiveness of the supply chain at a time of declining volumes. In Table 4, we profile the results in the food industry, while in Table 5 we portray the trends in the beverage industry.
In both industries, operating margin declined despite improved productivity in revenue per employee. In parallel, despite multiple investments in technologies, inventory turns declined in the food industry. Companies were unable to balance metrics in times of declining volumes. The reason? Rising commodity costs and the slow development of supply chain skills.
Companies that did the best in driving improvement in key metrics in times of declining volumes have seven characteristics: core competency in network design; strong capabilities in transportation management; a focus on inventory management; use of more advanced forms of supply chain planning; balance and understanding of the trade-offs of volume, price and mix; use of channel data; and continuity of leadership.
Table 4. Progress on the Effective Frontier for Food Companies
Table 5. Progress on the Effective Frontier for Beverage Companies
When we compiled the Supply Chains to Admire Report in August 2014, two food and beverage companies—General Mills and ABInBev—made the list. To make the list, a company had to deliver performance (posting above-average results for the period of 2009-2013 when compared to their peer group on a portfolio of metrics including operating margin, inventory turns and Return on Invested Capital). They also had to drive supply chain improvement (based on the Supply Chain Index as defined in the Research Methodology section) faster than their peer group. We believe b
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on Apparel - 9 May 2013Lora Cecere
Different industries are making progress on supply chain excellence at different rates. In the writing of the Supply Chain Metrics That Matter series of reports, we see that the consumer electronics industry is one of the only sectors making consistent and sustainable progress in balancing growth, profitability, cycles and complexity. We also see that many other industries—chemical, consumer products, pharmaceutical and medical device—are stuck on a horizontal plateau. They are treading water with no company able to move forward. In contrast, we see that the apparel industry is trending backwards.
When we analyze progress in the apparel industry over the last decade, we see a degradation of results on the Supply Chain Effective Frontier: days of inventory are flat or increasing and three of the six companies show flat or decreasing performance on operating margin. This is the sharpest reversal in progress on supply chain excellence that we have seen in the Supply Chain Metrics That Matter series (for a complete series listing see the Appendix).
Figure 1 illustrates the intersection of inventory turns and revenue per employee over the preceding decade. Ideally, companies would be moving consistently from the lower left to the upper right as they increased both inventory turns and revenue per employee performance. Instead, we see inconsistency, a lack of resiliency and stagnancy across the industry.
The Supply Chain Index - Improving Strength, Balance and Resiliency - 13 MAY ...Lora Cecere
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter is a series of monthly reports published by Supply Chain Insights LLC. These reports are a deep focus on a specific industry. This was preparatory work to understand the patterns of supply chain ratios for supply chain leaders.
As shown in Figure 1, the Supply Chain Insights team analyzed 15 different industries with deep dives on their progress on the cash-to-cash cycle.
Figure 1. Supply Chain Metrics That Matter Reports Published in 2012-2014
Here we take a next step, and launch the Supply Chain Index. The Supply Chain Index is a mathematical formula that a supply chain leader can use to measure their relative performance to an industry peer group. It was built in cooperation with the Operations Research team at Arizona State University (ASU).
This methodology was designed to measure the balance, strength and resiliency of a company’s supply chain from an objective financial perspective. It is a measurement of supply chain improvement during the period of 2006-2012. In April 2014, we published an in-depth look at the resiliency metric: Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: Improving Supply Chain Resiliency. In this report, adding strength and balance, we examine the calculation of these three values in tandem.
The supply chain is a complex system with increasing complexity. Here we analyze how companies made trade-offs over a period of several years in balancing growth, profitability, cycles, and complexity. Many of the trade-offs were unconscious. As complexity rose, it became more difficult for companies to manage the intersection of growth and inventory turns. For leaders, as you will see in this report, the trade-offs were conscious.
Within the world of Supply Chain Management (SCM), each industry is unique. We believe that it is dangerous to list all industries in a spreadsheet and declare a supply chain leader. Instead, we believe that change needs to be measured over a number of years with a focus on an industry peer group. Here we define, and demonstrate, how the Supply Chain Index can be used to measure supply chain performance. To help the reader, we share insights on three industries—chemical, consumer packaged goods and pharmaceutical—using the methodology.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on Pharmaceutical Companies - 2016Lora Cecere
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on Pharmaceutical Companies – 2016
2006-2015
This report is based on analysis of financial balance sheet data and income statements for the pharmaceutical industry over the period of 2006-2015. (Data is sourced from YCharts). The report reflects insights from the pre- and post-recession periods and compares the progress of companies within the peer group(s).
RESEARCH OVERVIEW:
Report Details: This report is based on analysis of financial balance sheet and income statement data within the pharmaceutical industry, for the period of 2006-2015. The data is collected from YCharts.
Objective: To use financial balance sheet and income statement data to better understand the state of pharmaceutical supply chains and to determine which Pharmaceutical company’s supply chain did the best on the delivery of a portfolio of metrics over the last decade.
Hypothesis: The supply chain within the pharmaceutical industry is increasing in importance to deliver on the objectives of quality, drug efficacy and reliability. Risk mitigation, and counterfeiting are important cornerstones for the end-to-end supply chain vision.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: Driving Reliability in Margins - 6 JAN 2013Lora Cecere
Supply chain management practices are thirty years old. Over the last decade, companies have invested in technology projects to improve financial outcomes (Technology investments over this period have averaged 1.7% of revenue). The ultimate goal was to reduce costs and improve inventory management. While many supply chain leaders believe that they delivered on these metrics, we find a less persuasive story. Through analysis of publically available balance sheet and income statement data, we find that 75% of companies in process industries lost ground on margins and only 5% of companies improved their positions on the number of days of inventory. The goal of this report is to answer the question “Why?” (For more on inventory and the Cash-to-Cash Cycle, see Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: The Cash-to-Cash Cycle.)
To begin our analysis, we wanted to understand the general trends. In table 1, we share the differences in average values for the companies profiled in this report by industry for the period of 2000-2011. In general, we see a decline in operating margins (OM). There is an increase in selling, general & administrative Costs (SG&A) and revenue per employee performance. The industries have mixed results on return on assets (ROA).
At one time, the physical store defined the retailer. It was the brand. Today, this has changed. Now the store is a part of a cross-channel experience. It is a combination of goods and services. The impact of the change is different by retail sector, but it is pervasive.
While changes in other industries have happened incrementally through continuous improvement and process innovation, retail has been transformed by new business models. The pace is faster and the customer demands higher.
Redefining the role of the store is critical. It requires partnerships of both retailers and manufacturers. It is for this reason that we wrote this report.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on Consumer ElectronicsLora Cecere
Executive Overview
Supply chain management is thirty years old. The year 2012 marked the end of the third decade of the evolution of supply chain practices. In the journey for supply chain excellence, each industry has progressed at their own rate based on their own set of opportunities and limitations including market drivers, industry factors and product cycles. No industry has had greater obstacles to overcome than consumer electronics, and no industry has made more progress.
Consumer electronics has led the pack in managing complexity, improving growth and margin performance, reducing inventory, and accelerating productivity in the face of complexity (revenue per employee). Was it an accident? No, we don’t think so. Instead, we see it as an advanced case study of supply chain excellence in action.
Ask any executive of the consumer electronics industry if supply chain matters and you will get a resounding “YES!” While other industries are more likely to define supply chain efforts as a departmental effort focused within silos—procurement, transportation/distribution or manufacturing—the consumer electronics sector is more likely to model the supply chain as a value network focused on end-to-end improvement. They are also more likely to value the planning function and excel at it, as well as understand how to integrate new product launch efforts with value chain design.
For most companies, the consumer electronics industry offers a lot of lessons and insights for supply chain leaders. It is for this reason that we share this report.
Setting the Stage
Over the course of the last decade, the consumer electronics industry has outperformed most other industries in four significant areas: growth, profitability, cycle management, and complexity. Balancing these four categories of metrics is what we term the Supply Chain Effective Frontier, further profiled in our recent report: Conquering the Supply Chain Effective Frontier.
Supply Chains to Admire - An Analysis of Supply Chain Excellence for 2006-2013Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
Supply chain excellence matters. It can make or break corporate performance. To drive improvements, companies need a clear definition of supply chain competency. It is easier to state than to define, and the market is full of beliefs that are not grounded by hard, cold facts.
Now 30-years old, the practice of supply chain management is still evolving. While companies speak of ‘best practices’, and boast about improvements in operating margin, inventory levels and asset management in conference after conference, we do not see it in our analysis of balance sheet information for any industry. The reason? The supply chain is not well-understood by executive teams, and many companies have pursued a project-based approach (implementing multiple projects with ROI above a threshold) or a focus on vertical excellence (where functional charters create very strong functional excellence); however, this is misguided. We do not find that these two approaches make a difference. Instead, we find that it is supply chain leadership driving resilient, predictable, and forward-looking processes that drives sustained balance sheet improvement. We find that for top performers that it happens in a slow and steady pattern versus the big-bang approach.
Supply chain leaders want to drive excellence. By their nature, these leaders are competitive. They want to drive performance improvements, increase corporate value and outpace competitors. It is not easy. The rate of business change is intense and the personal stakes are high. Day after day, leaders must answer questions like, “Which path should I to take? What are the best technologies to use? What is an acceptable rate of performance? How am I doing against my peer group? And, what can I learn from others that I can use to improve the performance of my own operation?” Until the development of the Supply Chain Index there was no independent and objective data-driven methodology that could answer these questions. With the development of this methodology, there now is a way to gauge improvement.
Collecting the data and doing the analysis in this report is the result of a 24-month effort. We were fearful at the end of the process that it would be difficult to pick the top performers, but we should not have worried. When we applied the methodology, the top companies hopped off the page. They were easy to spot. Listed by industry, the Companies to Admire are listed in Table 4. Within a peer group, we place them within alpha order. Due to the complexity of the analysis it is hard to rate them more granularly.
No companies made the list from the contract manufacturing, medical device, paper, pharmaceutical or retail peer groups. Likewise, there were more companies that made the list in the industrial than the consumer value networks.
What Is the Value Proposition of Sales and Operations Planning?Lora Cecere
Survey Details: The research for this report was conducted online from January 6 - September 14, 2015 by Supply Chain Insights. Surveys were conducted among Manufacturers and Wholesalers/Distributors/Co-operatives with $250M+ in revenue and who have at least one S&OP process (n=73). For the purpose of analysis, respondents were split between those with a self-reported "effective" S&OP (n=31) and those without (n=42).
Objective: To understand the value proposition of an effective S&OP (Sales and Operations Planning) process. NOTE: An S&OP process was defined as a "tactical planning process to forecast sales and plan operations."
Highlight: Companies with a more effective S&OP process are more aligned, agile and balanced, which leads to greater control and improved response.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: Third Party Logistics Providers-10 DEC 2013Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
Third party logistics (3PL) providers fill a critical role in today’s global supply chains. With the rise in e-commerce, the growth of global markets, and the reshaping of the retail market, dependency on 3PLs is rising. It is an industry with fierce competition. Despite the promises of technology-driven differentiation, as of yet, no 3PL has successfully been able to differentiate and create significant brand loyalty. This is the market opportunity moving forward.
Today, companies on average send 30% of goods through third party logistics (3PL) providers. The 3PL market is now $148 billion in size with single-digit annual growth. Hit hard by the Great Recession, the industry is still in recovery. The 3PL industry has matured over the last 50 years; but it operates at a low margin, struggling to balance what we term The Effective Frontier.
The ongoing inability to drive resiliency on The Effective Frontier by managing tradeoffs of growth, profitability, cycle and complexity should be a concern for those working in, or working with, the 3PL industry. Comparable results from ten industries are shown in Table 1, ranked by average operating margin. 3PLs not only occupy the second lowest ranking, they have also seen the most significant drop in operating margin as a percentage since 2000. In this report, we look more closely at the current state of the industry.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on RetailLora Cecere
■Survey Details: The basis of this report is publically available information from corporate annual reports from the period of 2000-2012. In this report, we use this data to understand the past trends and future projections of retail industry supply chains. To drive insights, we augment this financial data with information that we have obtained through interactions with retail clients and recent insights from our quantitative research studies.
■Objective: To use financial balance sheet data coupled with recent research to better understand the state of retail supply chains.
■Hypothesis: With the shifts in the channel, the role of the store has changed, and there is a need to redefine value in the value chain.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: Improving Supply Chain Resiliency - 18 MAR ...Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
Ask any supply chain leader which metrics are the most important to deliver, and the most common answers are operating margin, inventory turns, and revenue growth. In our plotting of industry results for the Supply Chain Metrics That Matter reports, we could see that certain industries had greater variation at the intersection of operating margin and inventory turns than others. We wanted to know why.
The supply chain is a complex system. It is growing even more so. Supply chain leaders are charged to deliver reliable results on The Effective Frontier for costs and inventory cycles. Failure to do so can result in termination. The Effective Frontier is depicted in Figure 1.
It is a juggling act. There are finite trade-offs and the metrics are interrelated. Each company is operating at a different potential. A new technology can elevate the frontier and improve the company’s ability to operate at a higher level of performance. Often when companies attempt to drive down costs they will elevate inventory. When complexity increases, it can have an adverse effect on both operating margin and inventory turns. It is a continuous balancing act which has been made easier through the evolution of Advanced Planning Systems (APS).
Progress happens in small increments. It happens over the period of many years (three to five). We believe that reliability of results at the intersection of operating margin and inventory turns is a characteristic of supply chain excellence.
We are trying to understand who’s done it best. It is for this reason that we have been studying these patterns for the last two years. What can we see? Over the last decade, industry progress has been quite different. In Table 1, we list the performance of five industries (The industries are listed from the most to the least profitable as measured by operating margin). Companies have become more efficient, but not necessarily more effective. Note in this table that all manufacturing industries have significantly improved revenue per employee, but only one of the industries has improved both operating margins and inventory turns.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on Food and Beverage Companies - 15...Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
Food and Beverage supply chains serve local markets. Regional taste buds drive localized assortment. While many are attempting to be global, they have strong regional governance drivers. As a result, growth agendas have driven an increase in items by 32% since 2010. Product complexity grew faster than growth. Average sales per item dropped 22% . This increase in complexity lengthened the long tail of the supply chain affecting both cost and inventory.
We hope this report can be a guide to help companies understand what is possible to determine more accurate set points, and understand the relationship between supply chain metric performance and value.
As will be seen, in the Food and Beverage industries we find most companies to be stuck on the critical metrics that drive value. They have either regressed in supply chain performance or they are at the same point they were a decade ago. For many supply chain leaders who attend conferences this may seem unfathomable. There is an industry belief that companies have implemented new technologies, and evolved processes, and driven improved balance sheet results. As will be shown in this report, this is not true.
The analysis also demonstrates the importance of outside-in supply chain excellence programs. Who does the best? Hershey outperforms within the Food group and makes the Supply Chains to Admire list for 2016; and while AB/InBev drives the strongest performance in the Beverage category, it is not sufficient to make the list. The goal of this report is to enable benchmarking and to spark a new conversation on value in the definition of supply chain excellence.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on the Retail Industry - 16 FEB 2017Lora Cecere
Report Details: This report is based on analysis of financial balance sheet and income statement data within the Retail industry, for the period of 2006-2015. The data is collected from YCharts.
Objective: To use financial balance sheet and income statement data to better understand the state of Grocery Retailers' and Mass Merchants' supply chains and to determine which companies’ supply chains did the best on the delivery of a portfolio of metrics over the last decade.
Highlight: During the Great Recession retailers faced strong declines in spending. It was a critical time, but for many it was an opportunity to emerge stronger. Those who redefined their stores for the dollar-conscious customer or built new and innovative formats while driving supply chain innovation, drove strong balance sheet results. Others learned that doing traditional retail more efficiently was not enough.
What Drives Inventory Effectiveness in a Market-Driven World? Lora Cecere
Survey Details: The research for this report was conducted from February 12 - October 8, 2015. Surveys were conducted among Manufacturers, Retailers, and Wholesalers/Distributors/Co-operatives with $250M+ in revenue and who use (and are familiar with) inventory optimization software (n=64). Respondents were evenly split between those using basic (ERP or ERP+APS) and advanced (software in addition to ERP/APS) software. All surveys were conducted by Supply Chain Insights.
Objective: To understand the impact of inventory optimization software on supply chain excellence. NOTE: inventory optimization software was defined as "any form of ERP (Enterprise Resource Planning), APS (Advanced Planned Software), or sophisticated inventory planning tools."
Highlight: Companies who use advanced software are more likely to be satisfied with their software, to be effective at making inventory decisions and to drive a return on investment for their software.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Closer Look at the Cash-To-Cash Cycle (20...Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
When it comes to metrics that matter, the cash-to-cash cycle is one of the top metrics cited by supply chain professionals. It is among the best financial metrics to provide a comprehensive picture of a company’s supply chain and the management of working capital.
The supply chain is a complex system. Successful management requires both orchestration and balance. To drive supply chain excellence, companies are required to balance four competing priorities: growth, profitability, cycle management and complexity. Several popular metrics, including the cash-to-cash cycle, for a variety of industries are presented in table 1.
Executive Summary
Supply chain management it is now three decades old. The processes are maturing. With the increase in complexity in markets and new product launch, supply chain excellence matters more than ever.
Manufacturing and distribution companies are looking for insights on how to parlay advances in supply chain management into balance sheet results. This is the goal of this report.
This report is a summary of research conducted during 2015. It provides a short summary of the major insights gathered from six quantitative and four qualitative studies. For more in-depth analysis reference the full reports outlined in the appendix.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter - A Focus on Pharmaceutical Companies - 27 A...Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
When we compiled the Supply Chains to Admire Report in August 2014, no pharmaceutical company made the list. To make the list, a company had to deliver performance (above average results for the period of 2009-2013 than their peer group on a portfolio of metrics including operating margin, inventory turns and Return on Invested Capital) and drive supply chain improvement (based on the Supply Chain Index) faster than their peer group. We believe both performance and improvement matter.
In the pharmaceutical industry, we find most companies to be stuck. They have either regressed in supply chain performance or they are at the same point as they were a decade ago. For many supply chain leaders that attend conferences, this may seem unfathomable. There is an industry belief that companies have implemented new technologies, and evolved processes, and driven improved balance sheet results.
As we will show in this report, as seen in Figure 4, this is not necessarily the case. On average, AstraZeneca has outperformed Bristol-Myers Squibb, and the industry as a whole, but they are not resilient. They have gone backwards in margin and not sustained inventory turn improvements. In contrast, Bristol-Meyers Squibb has not made progress in either performance or improvement and has remained at the same level of performance, without improvement, throughout the period.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on the High-Tech Industry - 2016Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
High-Tech supply chains serve global markets with regional preferences. They include some of the most advanced processes and strongest supply chain leadership across all industries. As a result, the value chain made more progress than others in the course of the last decade.
Unlike other value chains, all four segments of this value chain improved inventory turns. It was through hard work, network design, and a focus on planning. While other industries implemented supply chain planning and then turned to spreadsheets, this industry got good at managing inventories. The stakes were higher. As inventories sit in the channel for the High-Tech industry, prices fall. As a result, this industry has developed some of the best inventory practices across all industries.
On the flip-side, the lack of growth and the declining margins of the Contract Manufacturing industry is a risk for this value chain. Within the High-Tech value chain, Contract Manufacturing is the weak link.
The industry will drive the autonomous supply chain. These leaders will make the digital pivot first. With some of the earliest technology adopters, and with more to gain from the adoption of technology, look for companies like Apple, Cisco, Dell, EMC, Emerson, Intel, and Samsung to drive cloud-based computing, cognitive computing, the Internet of Things (IoT), sensor development, and prescriptive analytics. The industry is also driving a shift through wide adoption and use of Open Source code from the Apache Software Foundation. These manufacturing leaders will pave the way for others. Their ability to lead will drive cross-industry demand and growth agendas.
We hope that this report is a useful guide for companies in other industries to understand the impact of technology adoption on supply chain excellence.
Conquering the Supply Chain Effective FrontierLora Cecere
Conquering the Supply Chain Effective Frontier - A Handbook for the Value Chain Leader to Manage Trade-offs in Defining Supply Chain Excellence
Supply chain practices are nearing their third decade of maturation. The term supply chain excellence is bandied about by leaders, consultants and technology providers, but there is no alignment on what it means.
Conventional systems of measurement for supply chain excellence are problematic. In this report, we share insights gained during interviews with 75 supply chain pioneers. Based on their feedback we created a new framework, that we define here as the Supply Chain Effective Frontier, for supply chain leaders to use to determine supply chain excellence. This methodology is based on publicly available financial balance sheet data grouped into four sets of supply chain ratios: growth, profitability, cycle, and complexity.
We believe that supply chain excellence is best defined as the alignment of the supply chain team to deliver results to meet and exceed the requirements of the business strategy. This requires a clear vision and cross-functional coordination and alignment over a multi-year road map. It needs to be holistic. A supply chain is a complex system with increasing business complexity. The analysis needs to facilitate a clear understanding of trade-offs embedded in day-to-day decision making. It is this clarity that we find missing in many teams that we work with, and it is for this reason we wrote this report.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Critical Look at Operating Margin -10 DEC...Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
If a supply chain leader cannot demonstrate improvement in operating margin, they are often fired. Consequences are severe. However, as complexity in global supply chains has increased, it has become increasingly difficult to improve profitability metrics. Among supply chain leaders, operating margin is one of the preferred measures of profitability.
Successful supply chain management is about balance and particularly the balancing of growth, profitability, cycle and complexity. This is what we call The Effective Frontier. Supply chain management is getting tougher as commodity markets get more volatile, wage prices increase, and product life cycles shorten. It is up to the supply chain leader to design the network and processes to protect margin and balance the supply chain. This is becoming an increasingly difficult task.
The challenges are many and they vary by industry. Commodity pressure is higher than at any previous point in time as shown in Figure 2. There is a limited toolkit for how to offset margin pressure. They include better planning, transportation optimization, rethinking network design, improved Sales & Operations (S&OP) execution, and Kanban events with suppliers and customers. None are easy or quick fixes.
Additionally, while many think that calculating cost and monitoring profitability should be easy, this is not true. In our research, we find that only 24% of companies surveyed can easily access total supply chain cost information. The ability to get to the data and connect the dots on cost to operating margin performance remains difficult for most. In fact, as shown in Figure 3, for 53% of survey respondents, getting to total supply chain cost is difficult.
Operating margin is a straightforward calculation with serious implications. Of the ten industries profiled in Table 1, only two have increased operating margin over the period: consumer electronics and consumer packaged goods. Furthermore, of the 18 companies profiled individually in this report, less than 40% (7/18 = 39%) have made progress on margin in 2012 compared to their result in 2000. As shown in Table 1, it is becoming more and more difficult for companies to maintain balance on their portfolio of supply chain metrics. This trend is true across all industry subgroups.
Companies with the highest operating margin tend to be the least mature in their understanding of supply chain principles. As a result, they demonstrate the worst performance in balancing competing priorities on the Supply Chain Effective Frontier and are stuck on the Supply Chain Plateau. The positions of companies, and their relative successes over the last decade, are shown in figure 4.
Table 1 is sorted by average operating margin with pharmaceutical companies returning the highest average value at 0.25 over the period. With the patent cliff, and significant changes in the healthcare environment including ongoing implementation of the Affordable Care Act, ...
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on Medical Device Companies – 2016Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
Globalization. Compliance. Risk Management. Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR). Patient outcomes. Over the last decade the number and variety of supply chain initiatives exploded for the medical device leader. As a result, the supply chain group, and the related business imperatives, grew in importance.
Overall the medical device supply chain fared better through the decade than other industries, despite the fact that they are smaller, more focused companies trying to become global. (see Table C in the appendix for company size). On average the industry performance on operating margin and inventory turns was better in 2006 than 2015. The reason? The medical device supply chain entered the decade as a supply chain laggard. Through focused supply chain programs they were able to catch up to the level of other industries.
Table 6. Industry Snapshot of Performance
We hope this report can be a guide to help companies understand what is possible, and how supply chain metrics drive value. In the medical device industry we find most companies to be stuck. They have either regressed in supply chain performance or they are at the same point they were a decade ago. For many supply chain leaders that attend conferences, this may seem unfathomable. There is an industry belief that companies have implemented new technologies, and evolved processes, and driven improved balance sheet results. The goal of this report is to enable benchmarking and to spark a new conversation on the definition of supply chain excellence.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter - A Focus on Contract Manufacturing - 13 AUG...Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
Growth is stalled. Margin pressure is high. Shorter life cycles, as well as increasing compliance and regulatory pressure, provide additional challenges to the contract manufacturing industry. Finally, excess capacity is a significant problem. Is this a recipe for opportunity or a disaster for the brand owner using outsourced manufacturing partners? We think the latter.
Over the last decade, brand owners from consumer electronics to medical devices have grown more dependent on outsourced contract manufacturing. In fact, the contract manufacturing industry grew up out of a desire to mitigate risk and improve costs for brand owners. However, the market has shifted significantly in recent years and the contract manufacturing industry is struggling. As a result, they pose a risk to brand owners. In this report, we illustrate how the lack of resiliency affecting contract manufacturers represents a serious risk to brand owners and offer advice on what can be done to mitigate the problem.
Over the last decade, many contract manufacturers have attempted to differentiate services and refine their business model to gain competitive advantage. However, in looking at the financial results, we find that most companies are struggling. As a result, it is time to redesign the business model and relationships of contract manufacturers and brand owners. While companies can outsource the role of manufacturing, they cannot outsource the responsibility of managing the extended supplier network. This is one of the many challenges the industry now faces.
The Global Supply Chain Ups the Ante for Risk ManagementLora Cecere
Executive Summary
Unfortunately, supply chain disruptions are a fact of life for today’s global multinational company. The reasons are many. A risk management event can be triggered by natural events, geopolitical shifts, economic uncertainty and demand/supply volatility.
Historically, the roots and genesis of risk management programs were based on attempts to reduce insurance costs. Today it is much, much more. The focus is on prevention, early sensing, and the execution of well-orchestrated plans to mitigate the impact of a disruption. Global supply chain leaders understand that designing and implementing a robust risk management practice is essential and fundamental to running a global business. The size of the bubble in Figure 2 indicates the relative level of risk today, and the colors correspond to the level of risk.
Figure 2. Comparison of Risk Drivers for the Past Five Years and Future Five Years
While product quality and supply chain visibility are declining but still important, the areas of operations complexity and the definition of globalization infrastructure is increasing. The areas of economic uncertainty, supplier reliability, along with demand volatility, are continued risk factors.
Over time, as supply chains morphed from regional to global multinational organizations, globalization and regulatory compliance increased. As a result, procurement has shifted from traditional programs focused solely on contract management, price and term negotiations, and supplier scorecards to include the evolution of supplier development, to manage product quality and multi-tier supplier relationships, in and across value chain relationships.
Today is a less certain world than a decade ago. Geopolitical shifts, economic uncertainty and demand/supply volatility are rising. In addition, to spur growth companies are quick to add products to the item master, but slow to rationalize the portfolio. The rising complexity of items sold decreases the organization’s ability to forecast, and the longer lead times across multiple tiers of sourcing and supply increases the Bullwhip Effect’s impact (distortion of the demand signal across multiple tiers of the value network). As a result, there is a greater need for supplier development and supplier sensing to reduce supply risk. Inventory management and supplier financial sensing grow in importance with the increase in uncertainty.
Risk management is no longer narrowly focused: a technology, a response to a natural disaster, or improving supply chain visibility. Instead, it is more holistic with a focus on managing demand and supply variability cross-functionally and improving outcomes in an uncertain world.
In this report, we share insights on the current state of risk management programs while providing recommendations on what defines excellence.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on the High-Tech Industry - 2015Lora Cecere
Executive Summary: Current State of the High-Tech Industry
Globalization. Commodity inflation. Margin squeeze. Economic uncertainty. Warranty issues. Shortening product life cycles. Recalls. Labor arbitrage and outsourcing. The list of market pressures could go on and on, but one thing is clear: the high-tech industry was redefined over the course of the last decade. In Table 4 we show the progress of discrete industries for the periods of 2006-2014 and 2011- 2014. Notice there is more red (lack of progress) than green (progress) in the industry trends.
Table 4. Supply Chain Performance by Industry within the Discrete Industries
High-tech companies have the most advanced practices for inventory management, planning and analytics. They are just treading water (keeping slightly ahead of the market dynamics). The rate of change drives innovation. Within this industry there are more supply chain innovators taking a hard look and driving the adoption of prescriptive analytics and canonical value network infrastructures.
Taking a closer view at the value chain of the sub-industries within high-tech, i.e. consumer electronics, B2B Electronics, and semiconductor industries, the impact of the industry drivers and the importance of supply chain performance becomes clearer.
Table 5. Supply Chain Performance by Industry within the High-Tech Sector
The entire value chain is struggling to maintain margins and improve inventory turns. For consumer electronics and B2B electronics, growth is down, operating margins are degrading and inventory turns worsening. Supply chain matters more than ever.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on Brick & Mortar Retail-18 FEB 2013Lora Cecere
The bricks and mortar retailer is being squeezed. Growth is slowing and margin is under pressure. With the rise of e-commerce, the role of the store is being redefined. It is about service and the customer experience. As a result, it is time to rethink the metrics that matter and focus outside-in on the shopper experience.
In this report, we share insights on the current state of bricks and mortar retail and offer our suggestions.
Brick & mortar retailers have weathered an intense decade with the persistent rise of e-commerce. The shopper has changed and recovery from the Great Recession is ongoing, but slow. Our previous Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on Retail report focused on the broader industry trends affecting five different divisions of retailers and the challenges of multi-channel retail. This report narrows the focus to three segments of brick & mortar retailers struggling to adapt to the new world.
A retailer is not a retailer. We believe that retailers should be compared by business model. We do not believe that one can throw all retailers together and identify the “most improved” or “best” supply chain. There are too many variables and circumstances affecting the retail landscape to make valid comparisons. In our research, we find that small and well-defined peer groups offer the best way forward for understanding both segment and industry specific trends.
The industry segments analyzed in this report are grocery, mass and specialty. Grocery retailers are involved in the sale of perishable and non-perishable food stuffs. Mass retailers are larger companies focused on providing a comprehensive retail experience to their customers. Finally, specialty retailers are dedicated to specific customers, activities and goods. The companies in this analysis represent both American and global retailers.
Our grocery peer group consists of Carrefour, Delhaize Group, Safeway and The Kroger Co. The mass retailer peer group includes Costco, Metro, Target and Walmart. The choice of specialty retailers was by far the most difficult because there are so many dedicated stores in this category. For this publication, our peer group includes Bed Bath & Beyond, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Foot Locker and Ross Stores. Additional information about all of these companies is presented in the Appendix.
At one time, the physical store defined the retailer. It was the brand. Today, this has changed. Now the store is a part of a cross-channel experience. It is a combination of goods and services. The impact of the change is different by retail sector, but it is pervasive.
While changes in other industries have happened incrementally through continuous improvement and process innovation, retail has been transformed by new business models. The pace is faster and the customer demands higher.
Redefining the role of the store is critical. It requires partnerships of both retailers and manufacturers. It is for this reason that we wrote this report.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on Consumer ElectronicsLora Cecere
Executive Overview
Supply chain management is thirty years old. The year 2012 marked the end of the third decade of the evolution of supply chain practices. In the journey for supply chain excellence, each industry has progressed at their own rate based on their own set of opportunities and limitations including market drivers, industry factors and product cycles. No industry has had greater obstacles to overcome than consumer electronics, and no industry has made more progress.
Consumer electronics has led the pack in managing complexity, improving growth and margin performance, reducing inventory, and accelerating productivity in the face of complexity (revenue per employee). Was it an accident? No, we don’t think so. Instead, we see it as an advanced case study of supply chain excellence in action.
Ask any executive of the consumer electronics industry if supply chain matters and you will get a resounding “YES!” While other industries are more likely to define supply chain efforts as a departmental effort focused within silos—procurement, transportation/distribution or manufacturing—the consumer electronics sector is more likely to model the supply chain as a value network focused on end-to-end improvement. They are also more likely to value the planning function and excel at it, as well as understand how to integrate new product launch efforts with value chain design.
For most companies, the consumer electronics industry offers a lot of lessons and insights for supply chain leaders. It is for this reason that we share this report.
Setting the Stage
Over the course of the last decade, the consumer electronics industry has outperformed most other industries in four significant areas: growth, profitability, cycle management, and complexity. Balancing these four categories of metrics is what we term the Supply Chain Effective Frontier, further profiled in our recent report: Conquering the Supply Chain Effective Frontier.
Supply Chains to Admire - An Analysis of Supply Chain Excellence for 2006-2013Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
Supply chain excellence matters. It can make or break corporate performance. To drive improvements, companies need a clear definition of supply chain competency. It is easier to state than to define, and the market is full of beliefs that are not grounded by hard, cold facts.
Now 30-years old, the practice of supply chain management is still evolving. While companies speak of ‘best practices’, and boast about improvements in operating margin, inventory levels and asset management in conference after conference, we do not see it in our analysis of balance sheet information for any industry. The reason? The supply chain is not well-understood by executive teams, and many companies have pursued a project-based approach (implementing multiple projects with ROI above a threshold) or a focus on vertical excellence (where functional charters create very strong functional excellence); however, this is misguided. We do not find that these two approaches make a difference. Instead, we find that it is supply chain leadership driving resilient, predictable, and forward-looking processes that drives sustained balance sheet improvement. We find that for top performers that it happens in a slow and steady pattern versus the big-bang approach.
Supply chain leaders want to drive excellence. By their nature, these leaders are competitive. They want to drive performance improvements, increase corporate value and outpace competitors. It is not easy. The rate of business change is intense and the personal stakes are high. Day after day, leaders must answer questions like, “Which path should I to take? What are the best technologies to use? What is an acceptable rate of performance? How am I doing against my peer group? And, what can I learn from others that I can use to improve the performance of my own operation?” Until the development of the Supply Chain Index there was no independent and objective data-driven methodology that could answer these questions. With the development of this methodology, there now is a way to gauge improvement.
Collecting the data and doing the analysis in this report is the result of a 24-month effort. We were fearful at the end of the process that it would be difficult to pick the top performers, but we should not have worried. When we applied the methodology, the top companies hopped off the page. They were easy to spot. Listed by industry, the Companies to Admire are listed in Table 4. Within a peer group, we place them within alpha order. Due to the complexity of the analysis it is hard to rate them more granularly.
No companies made the list from the contract manufacturing, medical device, paper, pharmaceutical or retail peer groups. Likewise, there were more companies that made the list in the industrial than the consumer value networks.
What Is the Value Proposition of Sales and Operations Planning?Lora Cecere
Survey Details: The research for this report was conducted online from January 6 - September 14, 2015 by Supply Chain Insights. Surveys were conducted among Manufacturers and Wholesalers/Distributors/Co-operatives with $250M+ in revenue and who have at least one S&OP process (n=73). For the purpose of analysis, respondents were split between those with a self-reported "effective" S&OP (n=31) and those without (n=42).
Objective: To understand the value proposition of an effective S&OP (Sales and Operations Planning) process. NOTE: An S&OP process was defined as a "tactical planning process to forecast sales and plan operations."
Highlight: Companies with a more effective S&OP process are more aligned, agile and balanced, which leads to greater control and improved response.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: Third Party Logistics Providers-10 DEC 2013Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
Third party logistics (3PL) providers fill a critical role in today’s global supply chains. With the rise in e-commerce, the growth of global markets, and the reshaping of the retail market, dependency on 3PLs is rising. It is an industry with fierce competition. Despite the promises of technology-driven differentiation, as of yet, no 3PL has successfully been able to differentiate and create significant brand loyalty. This is the market opportunity moving forward.
Today, companies on average send 30% of goods through third party logistics (3PL) providers. The 3PL market is now $148 billion in size with single-digit annual growth. Hit hard by the Great Recession, the industry is still in recovery. The 3PL industry has matured over the last 50 years; but it operates at a low margin, struggling to balance what we term The Effective Frontier.
The ongoing inability to drive resiliency on The Effective Frontier by managing tradeoffs of growth, profitability, cycle and complexity should be a concern for those working in, or working with, the 3PL industry. Comparable results from ten industries are shown in Table 1, ranked by average operating margin. 3PLs not only occupy the second lowest ranking, they have also seen the most significant drop in operating margin as a percentage since 2000. In this report, we look more closely at the current state of the industry.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on RetailLora Cecere
■Survey Details: The basis of this report is publically available information from corporate annual reports from the period of 2000-2012. In this report, we use this data to understand the past trends and future projections of retail industry supply chains. To drive insights, we augment this financial data with information that we have obtained through interactions with retail clients and recent insights from our quantitative research studies.
■Objective: To use financial balance sheet data coupled with recent research to better understand the state of retail supply chains.
■Hypothesis: With the shifts in the channel, the role of the store has changed, and there is a need to redefine value in the value chain.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: Improving Supply Chain Resiliency - 18 MAR ...Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
Ask any supply chain leader which metrics are the most important to deliver, and the most common answers are operating margin, inventory turns, and revenue growth. In our plotting of industry results for the Supply Chain Metrics That Matter reports, we could see that certain industries had greater variation at the intersection of operating margin and inventory turns than others. We wanted to know why.
The supply chain is a complex system. It is growing even more so. Supply chain leaders are charged to deliver reliable results on The Effective Frontier for costs and inventory cycles. Failure to do so can result in termination. The Effective Frontier is depicted in Figure 1.
It is a juggling act. There are finite trade-offs and the metrics are interrelated. Each company is operating at a different potential. A new technology can elevate the frontier and improve the company’s ability to operate at a higher level of performance. Often when companies attempt to drive down costs they will elevate inventory. When complexity increases, it can have an adverse effect on both operating margin and inventory turns. It is a continuous balancing act which has been made easier through the evolution of Advanced Planning Systems (APS).
Progress happens in small increments. It happens over the period of many years (three to five). We believe that reliability of results at the intersection of operating margin and inventory turns is a characteristic of supply chain excellence.
We are trying to understand who’s done it best. It is for this reason that we have been studying these patterns for the last two years. What can we see? Over the last decade, industry progress has been quite different. In Table 1, we list the performance of five industries (The industries are listed from the most to the least profitable as measured by operating margin). Companies have become more efficient, but not necessarily more effective. Note in this table that all manufacturing industries have significantly improved revenue per employee, but only one of the industries has improved both operating margins and inventory turns.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on Food and Beverage Companies - 15...Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
Food and Beverage supply chains serve local markets. Regional taste buds drive localized assortment. While many are attempting to be global, they have strong regional governance drivers. As a result, growth agendas have driven an increase in items by 32% since 2010. Product complexity grew faster than growth. Average sales per item dropped 22% . This increase in complexity lengthened the long tail of the supply chain affecting both cost and inventory.
We hope this report can be a guide to help companies understand what is possible to determine more accurate set points, and understand the relationship between supply chain metric performance and value.
As will be seen, in the Food and Beverage industries we find most companies to be stuck on the critical metrics that drive value. They have either regressed in supply chain performance or they are at the same point they were a decade ago. For many supply chain leaders who attend conferences this may seem unfathomable. There is an industry belief that companies have implemented new technologies, and evolved processes, and driven improved balance sheet results. As will be shown in this report, this is not true.
The analysis also demonstrates the importance of outside-in supply chain excellence programs. Who does the best? Hershey outperforms within the Food group and makes the Supply Chains to Admire list for 2016; and while AB/InBev drives the strongest performance in the Beverage category, it is not sufficient to make the list. The goal of this report is to enable benchmarking and to spark a new conversation on value in the definition of supply chain excellence.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on the Retail Industry - 16 FEB 2017Lora Cecere
Report Details: This report is based on analysis of financial balance sheet and income statement data within the Retail industry, for the period of 2006-2015. The data is collected from YCharts.
Objective: To use financial balance sheet and income statement data to better understand the state of Grocery Retailers' and Mass Merchants' supply chains and to determine which companies’ supply chains did the best on the delivery of a portfolio of metrics over the last decade.
Highlight: During the Great Recession retailers faced strong declines in spending. It was a critical time, but for many it was an opportunity to emerge stronger. Those who redefined their stores for the dollar-conscious customer or built new and innovative formats while driving supply chain innovation, drove strong balance sheet results. Others learned that doing traditional retail more efficiently was not enough.
What Drives Inventory Effectiveness in a Market-Driven World? Lora Cecere
Survey Details: The research for this report was conducted from February 12 - October 8, 2015. Surveys were conducted among Manufacturers, Retailers, and Wholesalers/Distributors/Co-operatives with $250M+ in revenue and who use (and are familiar with) inventory optimization software (n=64). Respondents were evenly split between those using basic (ERP or ERP+APS) and advanced (software in addition to ERP/APS) software. All surveys were conducted by Supply Chain Insights.
Objective: To understand the impact of inventory optimization software on supply chain excellence. NOTE: inventory optimization software was defined as "any form of ERP (Enterprise Resource Planning), APS (Advanced Planned Software), or sophisticated inventory planning tools."
Highlight: Companies who use advanced software are more likely to be satisfied with their software, to be effective at making inventory decisions and to drive a return on investment for their software.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Closer Look at the Cash-To-Cash Cycle (20...Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
When it comes to metrics that matter, the cash-to-cash cycle is one of the top metrics cited by supply chain professionals. It is among the best financial metrics to provide a comprehensive picture of a company’s supply chain and the management of working capital.
The supply chain is a complex system. Successful management requires both orchestration and balance. To drive supply chain excellence, companies are required to balance four competing priorities: growth, profitability, cycle management and complexity. Several popular metrics, including the cash-to-cash cycle, for a variety of industries are presented in table 1.
Executive Summary
Supply chain management it is now three decades old. The processes are maturing. With the increase in complexity in markets and new product launch, supply chain excellence matters more than ever.
Manufacturing and distribution companies are looking for insights on how to parlay advances in supply chain management into balance sheet results. This is the goal of this report.
This report is a summary of research conducted during 2015. It provides a short summary of the major insights gathered from six quantitative and four qualitative studies. For more in-depth analysis reference the full reports outlined in the appendix.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter - A Focus on Pharmaceutical Companies - 27 A...Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
When we compiled the Supply Chains to Admire Report in August 2014, no pharmaceutical company made the list. To make the list, a company had to deliver performance (above average results for the period of 2009-2013 than their peer group on a portfolio of metrics including operating margin, inventory turns and Return on Invested Capital) and drive supply chain improvement (based on the Supply Chain Index) faster than their peer group. We believe both performance and improvement matter.
In the pharmaceutical industry, we find most companies to be stuck. They have either regressed in supply chain performance or they are at the same point as they were a decade ago. For many supply chain leaders that attend conferences, this may seem unfathomable. There is an industry belief that companies have implemented new technologies, and evolved processes, and driven improved balance sheet results.
As we will show in this report, as seen in Figure 4, this is not necessarily the case. On average, AstraZeneca has outperformed Bristol-Myers Squibb, and the industry as a whole, but they are not resilient. They have gone backwards in margin and not sustained inventory turn improvements. In contrast, Bristol-Meyers Squibb has not made progress in either performance or improvement and has remained at the same level of performance, without improvement, throughout the period.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on the High-Tech Industry - 2016Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
High-Tech supply chains serve global markets with regional preferences. They include some of the most advanced processes and strongest supply chain leadership across all industries. As a result, the value chain made more progress than others in the course of the last decade.
Unlike other value chains, all four segments of this value chain improved inventory turns. It was through hard work, network design, and a focus on planning. While other industries implemented supply chain planning and then turned to spreadsheets, this industry got good at managing inventories. The stakes were higher. As inventories sit in the channel for the High-Tech industry, prices fall. As a result, this industry has developed some of the best inventory practices across all industries.
On the flip-side, the lack of growth and the declining margins of the Contract Manufacturing industry is a risk for this value chain. Within the High-Tech value chain, Contract Manufacturing is the weak link.
The industry will drive the autonomous supply chain. These leaders will make the digital pivot first. With some of the earliest technology adopters, and with more to gain from the adoption of technology, look for companies like Apple, Cisco, Dell, EMC, Emerson, Intel, and Samsung to drive cloud-based computing, cognitive computing, the Internet of Things (IoT), sensor development, and prescriptive analytics. The industry is also driving a shift through wide adoption and use of Open Source code from the Apache Software Foundation. These manufacturing leaders will pave the way for others. Their ability to lead will drive cross-industry demand and growth agendas.
We hope that this report is a useful guide for companies in other industries to understand the impact of technology adoption on supply chain excellence.
Conquering the Supply Chain Effective FrontierLora Cecere
Conquering the Supply Chain Effective Frontier - A Handbook for the Value Chain Leader to Manage Trade-offs in Defining Supply Chain Excellence
Supply chain practices are nearing their third decade of maturation. The term supply chain excellence is bandied about by leaders, consultants and technology providers, but there is no alignment on what it means.
Conventional systems of measurement for supply chain excellence are problematic. In this report, we share insights gained during interviews with 75 supply chain pioneers. Based on their feedback we created a new framework, that we define here as the Supply Chain Effective Frontier, for supply chain leaders to use to determine supply chain excellence. This methodology is based on publicly available financial balance sheet data grouped into four sets of supply chain ratios: growth, profitability, cycle, and complexity.
We believe that supply chain excellence is best defined as the alignment of the supply chain team to deliver results to meet and exceed the requirements of the business strategy. This requires a clear vision and cross-functional coordination and alignment over a multi-year road map. It needs to be holistic. A supply chain is a complex system with increasing business complexity. The analysis needs to facilitate a clear understanding of trade-offs embedded in day-to-day decision making. It is this clarity that we find missing in many teams that we work with, and it is for this reason we wrote this report.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Critical Look at Operating Margin -10 DEC...Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
If a supply chain leader cannot demonstrate improvement in operating margin, they are often fired. Consequences are severe. However, as complexity in global supply chains has increased, it has become increasingly difficult to improve profitability metrics. Among supply chain leaders, operating margin is one of the preferred measures of profitability.
Successful supply chain management is about balance and particularly the balancing of growth, profitability, cycle and complexity. This is what we call The Effective Frontier. Supply chain management is getting tougher as commodity markets get more volatile, wage prices increase, and product life cycles shorten. It is up to the supply chain leader to design the network and processes to protect margin and balance the supply chain. This is becoming an increasingly difficult task.
The challenges are many and they vary by industry. Commodity pressure is higher than at any previous point in time as shown in Figure 2. There is a limited toolkit for how to offset margin pressure. They include better planning, transportation optimization, rethinking network design, improved Sales & Operations (S&OP) execution, and Kanban events with suppliers and customers. None are easy or quick fixes.
Additionally, while many think that calculating cost and monitoring profitability should be easy, this is not true. In our research, we find that only 24% of companies surveyed can easily access total supply chain cost information. The ability to get to the data and connect the dots on cost to operating margin performance remains difficult for most. In fact, as shown in Figure 3, for 53% of survey respondents, getting to total supply chain cost is difficult.
Operating margin is a straightforward calculation with serious implications. Of the ten industries profiled in Table 1, only two have increased operating margin over the period: consumer electronics and consumer packaged goods. Furthermore, of the 18 companies profiled individually in this report, less than 40% (7/18 = 39%) have made progress on margin in 2012 compared to their result in 2000. As shown in Table 1, it is becoming more and more difficult for companies to maintain balance on their portfolio of supply chain metrics. This trend is true across all industry subgroups.
Companies with the highest operating margin tend to be the least mature in their understanding of supply chain principles. As a result, they demonstrate the worst performance in balancing competing priorities on the Supply Chain Effective Frontier and are stuck on the Supply Chain Plateau. The positions of companies, and their relative successes over the last decade, are shown in figure 4.
Table 1 is sorted by average operating margin with pharmaceutical companies returning the highest average value at 0.25 over the period. With the patent cliff, and significant changes in the healthcare environment including ongoing implementation of the Affordable Care Act, ...
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on Medical Device Companies – 2016Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
Globalization. Compliance. Risk Management. Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR). Patient outcomes. Over the last decade the number and variety of supply chain initiatives exploded for the medical device leader. As a result, the supply chain group, and the related business imperatives, grew in importance.
Overall the medical device supply chain fared better through the decade than other industries, despite the fact that they are smaller, more focused companies trying to become global. (see Table C in the appendix for company size). On average the industry performance on operating margin and inventory turns was better in 2006 than 2015. The reason? The medical device supply chain entered the decade as a supply chain laggard. Through focused supply chain programs they were able to catch up to the level of other industries.
Table 6. Industry Snapshot of Performance
We hope this report can be a guide to help companies understand what is possible, and how supply chain metrics drive value. In the medical device industry we find most companies to be stuck. They have either regressed in supply chain performance or they are at the same point they were a decade ago. For many supply chain leaders that attend conferences, this may seem unfathomable. There is an industry belief that companies have implemented new technologies, and evolved processes, and driven improved balance sheet results. The goal of this report is to enable benchmarking and to spark a new conversation on the definition of supply chain excellence.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter - A Focus on Contract Manufacturing - 13 AUG...Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
Growth is stalled. Margin pressure is high. Shorter life cycles, as well as increasing compliance and regulatory pressure, provide additional challenges to the contract manufacturing industry. Finally, excess capacity is a significant problem. Is this a recipe for opportunity or a disaster for the brand owner using outsourced manufacturing partners? We think the latter.
Over the last decade, brand owners from consumer electronics to medical devices have grown more dependent on outsourced contract manufacturing. In fact, the contract manufacturing industry grew up out of a desire to mitigate risk and improve costs for brand owners. However, the market has shifted significantly in recent years and the contract manufacturing industry is struggling. As a result, they pose a risk to brand owners. In this report, we illustrate how the lack of resiliency affecting contract manufacturers represents a serious risk to brand owners and offer advice on what can be done to mitigate the problem.
Over the last decade, many contract manufacturers have attempted to differentiate services and refine their business model to gain competitive advantage. However, in looking at the financial results, we find that most companies are struggling. As a result, it is time to redesign the business model and relationships of contract manufacturers and brand owners. While companies can outsource the role of manufacturing, they cannot outsource the responsibility of managing the extended supplier network. This is one of the many challenges the industry now faces.
The Global Supply Chain Ups the Ante for Risk ManagementLora Cecere
Executive Summary
Unfortunately, supply chain disruptions are a fact of life for today’s global multinational company. The reasons are many. A risk management event can be triggered by natural events, geopolitical shifts, economic uncertainty and demand/supply volatility.
Historically, the roots and genesis of risk management programs were based on attempts to reduce insurance costs. Today it is much, much more. The focus is on prevention, early sensing, and the execution of well-orchestrated plans to mitigate the impact of a disruption. Global supply chain leaders understand that designing and implementing a robust risk management practice is essential and fundamental to running a global business. The size of the bubble in Figure 2 indicates the relative level of risk today, and the colors correspond to the level of risk.
Figure 2. Comparison of Risk Drivers for the Past Five Years and Future Five Years
While product quality and supply chain visibility are declining but still important, the areas of operations complexity and the definition of globalization infrastructure is increasing. The areas of economic uncertainty, supplier reliability, along with demand volatility, are continued risk factors.
Over time, as supply chains morphed from regional to global multinational organizations, globalization and regulatory compliance increased. As a result, procurement has shifted from traditional programs focused solely on contract management, price and term negotiations, and supplier scorecards to include the evolution of supplier development, to manage product quality and multi-tier supplier relationships, in and across value chain relationships.
Today is a less certain world than a decade ago. Geopolitical shifts, economic uncertainty and demand/supply volatility are rising. In addition, to spur growth companies are quick to add products to the item master, but slow to rationalize the portfolio. The rising complexity of items sold decreases the organization’s ability to forecast, and the longer lead times across multiple tiers of sourcing and supply increases the Bullwhip Effect’s impact (distortion of the demand signal across multiple tiers of the value network). As a result, there is a greater need for supplier development and supplier sensing to reduce supply risk. Inventory management and supplier financial sensing grow in importance with the increase in uncertainty.
Risk management is no longer narrowly focused: a technology, a response to a natural disaster, or improving supply chain visibility. Instead, it is more holistic with a focus on managing demand and supply variability cross-functionally and improving outcomes in an uncertain world.
In this report, we share insights on the current state of risk management programs while providing recommendations on what defines excellence.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on the High-Tech Industry - 2015Lora Cecere
Executive Summary: Current State of the High-Tech Industry
Globalization. Commodity inflation. Margin squeeze. Economic uncertainty. Warranty issues. Shortening product life cycles. Recalls. Labor arbitrage and outsourcing. The list of market pressures could go on and on, but one thing is clear: the high-tech industry was redefined over the course of the last decade. In Table 4 we show the progress of discrete industries for the periods of 2006-2014 and 2011- 2014. Notice there is more red (lack of progress) than green (progress) in the industry trends.
Table 4. Supply Chain Performance by Industry within the Discrete Industries
High-tech companies have the most advanced practices for inventory management, planning and analytics. They are just treading water (keeping slightly ahead of the market dynamics). The rate of change drives innovation. Within this industry there are more supply chain innovators taking a hard look and driving the adoption of prescriptive analytics and canonical value network infrastructures.
Taking a closer view at the value chain of the sub-industries within high-tech, i.e. consumer electronics, B2B Electronics, and semiconductor industries, the impact of the industry drivers and the importance of supply chain performance becomes clearer.
Table 5. Supply Chain Performance by Industry within the High-Tech Sector
The entire value chain is struggling to maintain margins and improve inventory turns. For consumer electronics and B2B electronics, growth is down, operating margins are degrading and inventory turns worsening. Supply chain matters more than ever.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on Brick & Mortar Retail-18 FEB 2013Lora Cecere
The bricks and mortar retailer is being squeezed. Growth is slowing and margin is under pressure. With the rise of e-commerce, the role of the store is being redefined. It is about service and the customer experience. As a result, it is time to rethink the metrics that matter and focus outside-in on the shopper experience.
In this report, we share insights on the current state of bricks and mortar retail and offer our suggestions.
Brick & mortar retailers have weathered an intense decade with the persistent rise of e-commerce. The shopper has changed and recovery from the Great Recession is ongoing, but slow. Our previous Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on Retail report focused on the broader industry trends affecting five different divisions of retailers and the challenges of multi-channel retail. This report narrows the focus to three segments of brick & mortar retailers struggling to adapt to the new world.
A retailer is not a retailer. We believe that retailers should be compared by business model. We do not believe that one can throw all retailers together and identify the “most improved” or “best” supply chain. There are too many variables and circumstances affecting the retail landscape to make valid comparisons. In our research, we find that small and well-defined peer groups offer the best way forward for understanding both segment and industry specific trends.
The industry segments analyzed in this report are grocery, mass and specialty. Grocery retailers are involved in the sale of perishable and non-perishable food stuffs. Mass retailers are larger companies focused on providing a comprehensive retail experience to their customers. Finally, specialty retailers are dedicated to specific customers, activities and goods. The companies in this analysis represent both American and global retailers.
Our grocery peer group consists of Carrefour, Delhaize Group, Safeway and The Kroger Co. The mass retailer peer group includes Costco, Metro, Target and Walmart. The choice of specialty retailers was by far the most difficult because there are so many dedicated stores in this category. For this publication, our peer group includes Bed Bath & Beyond, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Foot Locker and Ross Stores. Additional information about all of these companies is presented in the Appendix.
Executive Summary
Supply chain excellence makes a difference to corporate value. Resilient, predictable, and forward-looking supply chain processes drive sustained balance sheet improvement. This is especially true in times of declining growth. (In this research, only four industries—aerospace & defense, apparel, automotive, and packaging suppliers—experienced growth for 2009-2014.)
Leaders want to drive excellence. By their nature these leaders are competitive. They want to power performance improvements, increase corporate value, and outpace competitors. It is not easy. The rate of business change is intense and the personal stakes are high. Day after day, supply chain leaders must answer questions like, “Which path should I to take? What are the best technologies to use? What is an acceptable rate of performance? How am I doing against my peer group? And, what can I learn from others that I can use to improve the performance of my own operation?” Until the development of the Supply Chain Index there was no independent and objective data-driven methodology that could answer these questions. With the development of this methodology there is now a way to gauge improvement.
When we started this work we were fearful that the methodology would not be selective enough to reward leaders. Our fear was that the list would be too large. However, we should not have worried. For two consecutive years only 10% of the companies studied are performing above the average of their peer group on the Supply Chain Metrics That Matter—operating margin, inventory turns and Return on Invested Capital—while driving improvement to a greater degree than their peer group. It is a select group. Figure 5 shows the 26 winners of the 2015 Supply Chains to Admire analysis.
The 26 companies are: Anheuser-Busch InBev; Audi AG; Biogen Inc; CCL Industries Inc.; Cisco Systems, Inc.; Coloplast Corp.; CVS Pharmacy; Dollar General Corporation; Dollar Tree, Inc.; Eastman Chemical Company; EMC Corporation; The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.; General Mills, Inc.; Intel Corporation; Deere & Company; Lexmark International Inc.; L'Oréal Group; Nike, Inc.; PPG Industries; Qualcomm Inc.; Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd.; United Tractors; Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.; Western Digital Corporation; and Whole Foods Market Inc. (Note: Shorter corporate or trade names are used in the tables within this report.)
Seven companies have made the list for two consecutive years: Cisco Systems, Inc.; General Mills, Inc.; Eastman Chemical Company; EMC Corporation; Anheuser-Busch InBev; Intel Corporation; and Nike, Inc.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on the Automotive Industry – 2015 Lora Cecere
RESEARCH OVERVIEW:
Report Details: This report is based on analysis of financial balance sheet and income statement data for the period of 2006-2014 and interactions with clients in the automotive industry in supply chain strategy engagements. The report applies the Supply Chain Index and the Supply Chains To Admire methodology to the automotive industry. In the analysis there are clear distinctions between automotive companies with European, Asian and North American heritages. The European-based companies are top performing with Audi making the Supply Chains to Admire listing for two consecutive years.
Objective: To use financial balance sheet and income statement data coupled with recent research to better understand the state of automotive industry supply chains.
Hypothesis: The automotive industry struggled during the Great Recession and continues the bumpy ride of an ongoing boom-and-bust cycle. With current high growth levels, now is the time to reflect on the lessons of the 2007 recession and build a resilient and agile supply chain for the future.
Conquering the Supply Chain Effective Frontier - 27 NOV 2017 - ReportLora Cecere
Executive Overview
Over the course of the last decade, retailers made more progress on costs and inventory turns than manufacturers. In the rush for technology adoption, we commonly find companies overstating what is possible because they are not clear on the historical trends, and often mistakenly coached to overcommit by industry consultants to justify technology investments.
In studying supply chain metrics, we find that each industry has a definitive pattern. Few are linear. To set reasonable goals, the definitions need to be very industry specific. That is the goal of this report.
In developing supply chain strategy, one of the first objectives is defining what is possible. This involves delineating the metrics, establishing reasonable targets, and rates of improvement. In the review of strategy documents for clients, we find that most companies are not clear on any of these critical sets of assumptions. This report is designed to help. We start with the definition of metrics and then share industry progress for the period of 2006-2016. This report ends with recommendations and conclusions.
• Report Details: This report is based on the analysis of orbit chart charts showing year-over-year supply chain performance at the intersection of operating margin and inventory turns for twenty industries for the period of 2006-2016. The goal is to help supply chain leaders to understand what is possible.
• Objective: As supply chain leaders attempt to define supply chain excellence, they need guidance on industry supply chain performance and overall trends for benchmarking. The goal is to help supply chain leaders make better decisions.
• Hypothesis: Each industry is unique and a good supply chain has different characteristics based upon the specific industry it is in, the product it creates and the customers it serves. Our aim is to help supply chain leaders understand relative industry performance. As shown in this report, each individual industry is charting a unique path on supply chain performance.
The Supply Chain Index: Evaluating the Healthcare Value NetworkLora Cecere
Executive Overview
Supply chain performance matters. It can make or break corporate performance. Now 30-years old, the practice of supply chain management is still evolving. While companies speak of best practices, and boast about improvements in operating margin, inventory levels and asset management in conference after conference, we do not see it in our analysis of balance sheet information.
By their nature, supply chain leaders are competitive. They want to drive performance improvements and increase corporate value. Their goal is to outpace competitors. The rate of business change is intense and the personal stakes are high. Day after day, leaders must answer questions like, “Which path should I to take? What are the best technologies to use? What is an acceptable rate of performance? How am I doing against my peer group? And, what can I learn from others that I can use to improve the performance of my own operation?” Until the development of the Supply Chain Index by Supply Chain Insights, there was no independent and objective data-driven methodology that could answer these questions. With the development of this methodology, there now is.
While it is easy to say the term supply chain excellence, it is difficult to define. Many people think that they know the definition, but there is no agreed-upon standard. The lack of a clear definition, and a methodology to gauge improvement, makes progress hard to quantify and track. The Supply Chain Index is designed to help. It is an objective measurement of supply chain improvement. It enables the comparison of companies’ progress within a peer group for a given time period. The Index is based upon financial performance of companies on four metrics integral to supply chain operations: inventory turns, operating margin, Return on Invested Capital and year-over-year revenue growth. There were three goals.
1. Quantify Levels of Supply Chain Improvement. The Index is a composite metric based on the calculation of balance, strength and resiliency factors for a given time period. In the analysis, there is an underlying assumption that the companies that can sustain the best improvement in these three areas are driving the highest rates of supply chain improvement. The input metrics of inventory turns, operating margin, ROIC and year-over-year revenue growth were selected in part due to their high correlation to market capitalization.
2. Bridge the Gap between Finance and Supply Chain. Our second goal is to bridge the gap between the supply chain organization and the financial team. While the financial team is often backwards-looking at transactions, the supply chain team is forward-looking based on flows. There is often a temptation to focus on a single financial ratio in isolation, like inventory turns, not realizing that the supply chain is a complex system with tightly interrelated relationships amongst metrics based on supply chain potential.
The Supply Chain Index: Evaluating the Industrial Value Network - 18 AUG 2014Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
Supply chain performance matters. It can make or break corporate performance. Now 30-years old, the practice of supply chain management is still evolving. While companies speak of best practices, and boast about improvements in operating margin, inventory levels and asset management in conference after conference, we do not see it in our analysis of balance sheet information for any industry.
By their nature, supply chain leaders are competitive. They want to drive performance improvements and increase corporate value. Their goal is to outpace competitors. The rate of business change is intense and the personal stakes are high. Day after day, leaders must answer questions like, “Which path should I to take? What are the best technologies to use? What is an acceptable rate of performance? How am I doing against my peer group? And, what can I learn from others that I can use to improve the performance of my own operation?” Until the development of the Supply Chain Index by Supply Chain Insights, there was no independent and objective data-driven methodology that could answer these questions. With the development of this methodology, there now is a way to gauge improvement.
While it is easy to say the term supply chain excellence, it is difficult to define. Many people think that they know the definition, but there is no agreed-upon standard. The lack of a clear definition, and a methodology to measure improvement, makes progress hard to quantify and track.
The Supply Chain Index is designed to help. It is an objective measurement of supply chain improvement. It enables the comparison of companies’ progress within a peer group for a given time period. The Index is based upon financial performance of companies on four metrics integral to supply chain operations: Year-over-Year Revenue Growth, Return on Invested Capital, Inventory Turns, and Operating Margin. In building the Supply Chain Index, we had three goals:
1. Quantify Levels of Supply Chain Improvement. The Index is a composite metric based on the calculation of balance, strength and resiliency factors for a given time period. Each factor is measuring the pattern of performance over time. In the analysis, there is an underlying assumption that the companies that can sustain the best improvement in these three areas are driving the highest rates of supply chain improvement. The input metrics of Year-over-Year Revenue Growth, Return on Invested Capital, Inventory Turns, and Operating Margin were selected in part due to their high correlation to market capitalization.
2. Bridge the Gap between Finance and Supply Chain. Our second goal is to bridge the gap between the supply chain organization and the financial team...
The Supply Chains to Admire™ analysis is an annual study of supply chain excellence. Now in its fifth year of development, the focus of this research is to better understand supply chain performance and improvement of 655 publicly held companies in 28 peer groups for the period of 2010-2017. This year there are 31 winners! At the 2018 Supply Chain Insights Global Summit, winners from the analysis will share insights on driving supply chain excellence.
2017 Supply Chains to Admire - 13 JUN 2017 reportLora Cecere
The Supply Chains to Admire™ analysis is an annual study of supply chain excellence. Now in its fourth year of development, the focus of this research is to better understand supply chain performance and improvement of 494 publicly held companies in 31 peer groups for the period of 2010-2016. At the 2017 Supply Chain Insights Global Summit, winners from the analysis will share insights on driving supply chain excellence.
2016 Supply Chains to Admire - Report - 26 July 2016Lora Cecere
Executive Summary
Supply chain excellence is easier to say than define. To make progress, companies need to clearly define the journey and the goals. For many this is problematic. The goals are unclear and the financial metrics are not well-understood. We want to provide research to help supply chain leaders correct these issues.
Supply chain leaders want to improve results to drive shareholder value, but there is a problem. There is no industry standard definition of supply chain excellence or clarity on the how actions of the supply chain team drive shareholder value. In this report we try to help fill in the gaps by giving definitions to both.
The Supply Chains to Admire analysis is now in its third year. It is a deep analysis of performance, improvement, and Price to Tangible Book Value (PTBV) of 320 companies across 31 industries for the period of 2009-2015. The source data for the analysis is public reporting of balance sheets and income statements. (Our source of balance sheet and income statement data is YCharts .)
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter: A Focus on Household, and Beauty, Products...Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
Household and Beauty Products brands dominate our daily lives. For the Household Products industry, this includes items like diapers, laundry detergent, paper towels, while Personal Products brands include Beauty (cosmetic) items, vitamins, shampoo, toothpaste and over-the-counter drugs. These two segments have similar manufacturing processes, but very different supply chain metrics considerations. As will be seen in this report, the flows of cash and inventory are significantly slower in the Beauty Products companies than Household Products.
Progress is tough. Companies in both industries are stuck. Traditional supply chain thinking is not equal to the challenge of driving a step change in performance. Companies struggle to drive improvement in the face of growing complexity. Digital disruption offers promise to move these industries to the next level of supply chain excellence, but few are ready to drive the step change in thinking. Most operate in functional silos. The building of outside-in processes to sense and adapt is new. Organizations are busy on traditional software deployments, and the adoption of new technologies like cognitive computing and the Internet of Things (IOT) lacks sponsorship.
Figure 1. Commodity Volatility
There are three primary shifts:
1) Rising Commodity Costs. In the 1990s, supply chain leaders experienced the shift from regional to global supply chains. In the last decade, the key to driving a competitive advantage was aligning and synchronizing the supply chain to manage material spend, and the network response in the face of ever-changing demand. Few do this well. Most companies are stuck in functional metrics and inside-out processes. They are unable to manage the rising commodity costs and volatility shown in Figure 1. To combat volatile commodity prices, supply chain flows need to be built market-to-market (from consumer to supplier). This capability is beyond the traditional ERP-centric view of an integrated supply chain. The flows are outside-in, while traditional processes are inside-out.
2) Shift in Consumer Expectations. In parallel, the rules of engagement with the consumer are changing. Consumers want brands they can trust. This includes eco-friendly products, safe for their family, with minimal environmental impact. The evolution of brands like “Honest” is changing the landscape of competition. The new shopper wants to scan the shelf and see the source of origin. This level of visibility is not possible in today’s supply chains.
3) Rise in Complexity. The variance of products offered in this industry has been a real problem for companies. This complexity adds cost, increases demand volatility, and creates uncertainty. The average Household Products company added 38% more items to the item master over the past five years .
As a result, it was difficult to maintain performance in either industry segment.
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter-A Focus on Semiconductor CompaniesLora Cecere
In this report, we share insights on 31 companies in the Semiconductor industry. This industry is the primary raw material provider and driver of innovation in the technology value network. Within the industry, there are three primary shifts defining the market:
1) Advanced analytics are pushing advancement in semiconductor manufacturing
2) New mobility trends are diversifying demand for automotive semiconductors
3) Security issues represent the greatest obstacle to growth of the Internet of Things, and semiconductor companies are helping address the issue
Within the technology value network, the story is survival. Price compression, technology advancement, and short product life cycles transformed supply chains. Most scrambled to keep up.
Due to the degree of change, some of the most advanced supply chain practices within any industry are in the technology value network. Despite the scramble to drive change and improve value, year-over-year change in this maturing value chain is a sea of red. In Table 1, the top number within each cell represents the average during the 2010 through 2016 time period, and the bottom number represents the percentage change in 2016 as compared to the value in 2010. So, the average growth in the Semiconductor industry was 14%, but the net change comparing the growth of 2010 to 2016 was a sharp decline of 23%.
Sales & Operations Planning - The State of the Union - 10 June 2013Lora Cecere
Sales and Operations Planning processes are now in their fourth decade of maturity. The processes are growing more complex. Progress is slow. The infographic below shows the current state of the union of sales and operations into S&OP processes. In this world of uncertainty, good planning matters. Complexity and volatility are escalating. Improving S&OP in a systematic approach, focused on goal evolution and systemic process governance, makes a difference; but, it requires education. A barrier to improvement is the executive team not understanding the supply chain as a complex system. It is the goal of this report to help alleviate this problem.
Inventory Optimization in a Market-Driven World - 27 APR 2015Lora Cecere
Executive Overview
Growth is slowing and the complexity in today’s supply chain is unprecedented. As a result, within a company, inventory management is often a hot issue. Shrinking inventory spins off a one-time, and highly desirable, cash windfall. In most industries there is a connection between market capitalization and inventory management. This drives pressure to reduce inventory and question existing practices. However, while companies are quick to ask questions, they often make the wrong judgements about inventory strategies. The goal of this report is to improve this dialogue.
Most companies have invested in many inventory optimization solutions over the last decade. Within the company, there is mounting frustration about the failure of these projects to actualize and maintain targets. What most companies fail to realize is that the technology strategy needs to be worked in concert with supply chain strategy. Often we find while companies improve inventory levels through the deployment of inventory technologies, operational decisions to widen the item master or lengthen the supply chain will undermine the project targets.
There are many drivers of inventory, and the management of inventory levels requires discipline and a cross-functional focus. It is a story of people, process, and technology. Let’s start with people. Today, fewer than 5% of companies have an end-to-end focus (as defined from the customer’s customer to the supplier’s supplier), and most companies lack alignment and balance. The largest gaps between are between operational and commercial groups. (Cecere L. , Three Techniques to Improve Organizational Alignment, 2013). As companies close the organizational gap, progress is made on inventory. Likewise, when it comes to balance, 68% of organizations surveyed lack balance in Sales and Operations Planning between the commercial groups (the “S”) and the operational groups (the “OP), When balance is achieved, the organization rates itself as more agile, and aligned, and there is an 11% improvement in inventory turns (Cecere L. , Research in Review, 2014).
Supply chain processes are now over 30-years old. While there is a generalized belief that maturity of supply chain processes has improved inventory turns, as can be seen in Figure 2, the improvements in cash-to-cash have primarily been driven by lengthening payables. In industries like beverage, pharmaceuticals, consumer packaged goods and medical device, the industry averages have gone backwards (inventory turns have decreased not increased). Only the food and apparel industries have posted double-digit improvements in inventory turns. Why? Food and apparel are largely regional supply chains which are maturing. They lag consumer packaged goods in supply chain maturity. While consumer packaged goods companies are more mature, they are more global. The rise of the global multinational has greatly impacted inventory requirements.
A critical look at three years of supply chain disruption. Using quantitative and qualitative research, Lora Cecere, Founder of Supply Chain Insights, looks critically at the factors within companies that drove resilience and the factors less successful. Companies that won were aligned, used market signals, decreased process latency, used scenario planning, and implemented descriptive analytics. Those that fared worse, had tight integration of supply chain planning to ERP, were not aligned, and were focused on a digital transformation strategy.
River of Demand - ALL RIVERS with QR.pdfLora Cecere
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At the Supply Chain Insights Global Summit, we challenged the audience to think about "social tokens" using this presentation from Luke Layden of Coin Desk.
Today's supply chain processes are inside-out. Outside-in processes, using channel and market data, improve the time to respond. This presentation reflects two years of testing using machine learning to understand the impact on the bullwhip effect and Forecast Value Added.
Now in its ninth year, the Supply Chains to Admire analysis is a study of the progress of each industry sector on the balanced scorecard of growth, operating margin, inventory turns, and Return on Invested Capital (ROIC). Twenty-two companies outperform their peer group, defining and exemplifying supply chain excellence.
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Supply Chains to Admire is a data-driven analysis based on public reporting of manufacturing and retail companies. The research evaluates which public companies drove improvement while outperforming their peer groups on performance metrics and value for the ten-year period of 2012-2021. The 25 winners are a testimonial to supply chain resilience.
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1. Launch of the Supply Chain Index
Which Supply Chain Metrics Matter to Financial Market Valuations?
6/11/2013
By Lora Cecere
Founder and CEO
With research assistance by
Abby Mayer
Research Associate
Supply Chain Insights LLC